Notre Dame at Arkansas - 2025 Matchup Preview
Notre Dame logo (#22)Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Arkansas RazorbacksArkansas logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -5.5 (64.5) (-218)  Open: -10.5
Notre Dame 56 - Arkansas: 13

 
Fighting Irish (4 - 2) (3 - 3 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (33 - 10)
Avg Score : 40 - 21 (40 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 2.6 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 1)
ARK is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Notre Dame -14  (SP+ ND -10.5)

Projected Score: ND: 39 - ARK: 25 (65)
ND Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
ND Travel: 577 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Razorbacks (2 - 4) (2 - 4 - 0)
Coach Bobby Petrino (Int) (34 - 15)
Avg Score : 36 - 31 (33 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#120)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Notre Dame's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Notre Dame at Miami-2.553.5L 24 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Notre Dame vs Texas A&M-7.548.5L 40 - 41ON
Sat 9/20 Notre Dame vs Purdue-24.551.5W 56 - 30OY
Sat 9/27 Notre Dame at Arkansas-5.564.5W 56 - 13OY
Sat 10/4 Notre Dame vs Boise State-21.563.5W 28 - 7UN
Sat 10/11 Notre Dame vs NC State-23.559.5W 36 - 7UY
Sat 10/18 Notre Dame vs USC-9.561.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Notre Dame at Boston College-26.5
Sat 11/8 Notre Dame vs Navy-24.5
Sat 11/15 Notre Dame at Pittsburgh-9.5
Sat 11/22 Notre Dame vs Syracuse-30.5
Sat 11/29 Notre Dame at Stanford-30.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Arkansas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arkansas vs Alabama A&M-45.562.5W 52 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Arkansas vs Arkansas State-23.562.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 9/13 Arkansas at Ole Miss+3.560.5L 35 - 41ON
Sat 9/20 Arkansas at Memphis-7.059.5L 31 - 32ON
Sat 9/27 Arkansas vs Notre Dame+5.564.5L 13 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Arkansas at Tennessee+10.068.5L 31 - 34UY
Sat 10/18 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+7.561.5
Sat 10/25 Arkansas vs Auburn+8
Sat 11/1 Arkansas vs Mississippi State+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Arkansas at LSU+15
Sat 11/22 Arkansas at Texas+17.5
Sat 11/29 Arkansas vs Missouri+14.5

Total: Elite: 10, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND#13 (.35)50% (18)4049% (27)3.06 (56)17551% (16)2935.05 (14)#64 (.16)41% (69)20.843% (82)40% (62)3.36 (37)5012
ARK#7 (.4)53% (3)36.356% (3)3.46 (11)21951% (12)2934.42 (43)#133 (.34)50% (133)30.753% (134)47% (117)4.78 (130)47.81.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND#8 (.32)47% (22)47% (26)3.31 (24)18147% (21)1604.8 (5)#1 (-.02)36% (8)43% (73)29% (1)2.75 (4)42.40.81.8
ARK#27 (.25)48% (13)52% (5)3.23 (38)16844% (41)2483.95 (64)#45 (.13)42% (66)39% (32)44% (100)3.31 (22)56.31.71



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Offense6404049.9%5.05124468175293553%47%49%51%14%.35
ARK Defense630.731.550%4.781 - - - - - 51%49%53%47%16%.34
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Defense620.82041.3%3.362 - - - - - 44%56%43%40%15%.16
ARK Offense636.332.553.4%4.421.8265122192936.250%50%56%51%15%.4

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Notre Dame629:5423.749%36%5.850123.52.3231.1
Arkansas629:5925.857%40%5.347.81.815.71.8027
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Offense653% (42)49% (27)34.8174.7517 (16).23 (31)3.06 (56)54% (134)9% (71)1.07 (34)
ARK Defense651% (82)53% (134) - - - - .31 (134)3.15 (114)79% (107)9% (83)1 (87)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Defense644% (16)43% (82) - - - - .14 (93)3.16 (117)68% (52)6% (134)0.9 (43)
ARK Offense650% (77)56% (3)35.2218.76.214 (28).34 (8)3.46 (11)83% (18)8% (43)1.05 (39)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Offense647% (90)51% (16)1928292.810.515.413 (27)3 (26).5 (14)1.7 (18)29% (36)45% (3).62 (9)5% (52)1.8 (109)
ARK Defense649% (56)47% (117) - - - - - - 4 (62).37 (115)1.6 (89)28% (122)41% (135).52 (130)6% (52)1.9 (59)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Defense656% (121)40% (62) - - - - - - 11 (2).19 (52)1.5 (69)34% (38)26% (31).23 (51)8% (10)2 (82)
ARK Offense650% (60)51% (12)20.732.8293.38.914.215 (13)5 (77).49 (16)1.7 (29)29% (43)44% (4).66 (4)7% (103)2.3 (14)

Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 30.98  #10
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 29.14  #8
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: -2.15  #27
2025 Talent Rating: 1072.00  #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 58%  #8
Notre Dame's 2025 Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6
Notre Dame's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.3  #9
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #4
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7  #23

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 833
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 30.98   Arkansas: 12.225

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 21.3   Arkansas: 10.7




Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 12.225  #53
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 28.64  #9
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 19.89  #125
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00  #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 14  #33
Arkansas's 2025 Expected Record: 3.4 - 8.6
Arkansas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.7  #37
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.2  #9
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #73

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 40 PPG
Offense on Road: 40
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 20

Notre Dame's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 39
Arkansas 25


Total Points: 65

Based on Last 4 Games
Arkansas 40
Notre Dame 27

Total Points: 67

Based on Entire Season
Notre Dame 35
Arkansas 28

Total Points: 63
Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 36.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.5
Defense: 30.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.5

Arkansas's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27Arkansas13Notre Dame56Notre Dame -5.5Notre Dame64.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas001 Overs
Notre Dame110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#10) ND at (#53) ARK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNDARK
Power RatePwr #10 #53
SP+SP+ #9 #37
Perf GradeGrade #18 #48
OffenseOff #10 #24
DefenseDef #45 #84
Spec TeamsST #44 #71
TalentTal #6 #48
Blue ChipsBC% #8 #33

Notre Dame Notes
(10/13) OC Craig out for season, Irish down 2 starting OL
(10/11) Last 35 Def series, 4 TDs, 9 Ints. 0 2nd Half Points
(10/10) CB L Moore is essential to Irish defense. #1 in CFB
(9/27) Off is rolling, avg 44 PPG. Carr impressive, run great
(9/23) RB Love & Price are incredible, OL improving
(9/21) Freeman sounds exhausted about Def issues
(9/21) Off rising to dominant, QB Carr & WR improved
(9/15) Pass Def is awful. DB depth is huge issue
(9/15) DL a big issue, no pass rush w/ all these DEs?
(8/31) Carr is a baller, but OL is not good. Def leaked
(8/19) QB1 will be CJ Carr, beat Kenny Minchey

Arkansas Notes
(9/30) Def has no players, schematics almost don't matter
(9/30) Pittman fired, Petrino Interim, Def staff fired
(9/27) Damn break vs ND, Def mauled, Off awful. Green bad
(9/23) Have fumbled away 2 straight games, brutal
(9/23) QB Taylen Green leads CFB in total offense (Wk 5)
(9/19) Off hot start, QB Green great, WR Blake weapon
(9/19) Pass Def torched by Ole Miss, Run D held up
(8/17) OC & DC are fighting, nearly physically?
(8/17) Def front 7 biggest issue, pass rush SEC worst
(5/23) Hogs getting picked clean by portal, NIL bad
(5/23) OL returns 3/5. 5 portals. Best left via portal
Notre Dame on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffARK Def
Perf GradePerf #10 #84
SuccessSuc #18 #133
ExplosiveExp #16 #80
PPAPPA #13 #133
PowerPwr #8 #125
SP+SP+ #4 #73
Pts POPPO #14 #130
HavocHav #58 #68
Notre Dame Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffARK Def
Run GameRun #14 #75
Run SuccessRSuc #27 #134
Run ExplRExp #34 #87
PPAExp #31 #134
Run BlockR Blk #73 -
OL YdsOLY #56 #114
Stuff RateStuff #100 #42
TackleTak -  #12
Notre Dame Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffARK Def
Pass GamePass #12 #96
Pass SuccessPSuc #16 #117
Pass ExplPExl #18 #89
PPAExp #14 #115
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #72 #57
F7 HavocF7 #71 #83
DB HavocDB #52 #52
Arkansas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCatARK OffND Def
Perf GradePerf #24 #45
SuccessSuc #3 #69
ExplosiveExp #30 #60
PPAPPA #7 #64
PowerPwr #9 #27
SP+SP+ #9 #23
Pts POPPO #43 #37
HavocHav #68 #103
Arkansas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
ARK OffND Def
Run GameRun #1 #32
Run SuccessRSuc #3 #82
Run ExplRExp #39 #43
PPAExp #8 #93
Run BlockR Blk #76 -
OL YdsOLY #11 #117
Stuff RateStuff #73 #123
TackleTak -  #28
Arkansas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCatARK OffND Def
Pass GamePass #42 #65
Pass SuccessPSuc #12 #62
Pass ExplPExl #29 #69
PPAExp #16 #52
Pass Block/RushP Blk #17 #73
F7 HavocF7 #43 #134
DB HavocDB #103 #10
Program Comparison
ARK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 80°
Rematch from Week 5
Notre Dame 5.5 (64.5)
Notre Dame won at Arkansas this year (56-13)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ND's OC Mike Denbrock (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
C.J. Carr10515867%162213310.3
Kenny Minchey8989%950010.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiyah Love10053085.346
Jadarian Price6342276.749
Nolan James Jr.83304.115
Aneyas Williams63015.017
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Faison29376213.048
Eli Raridon20342017.165
Malachi Fields (Tr)18339218.866
Will Pauling (Tr)13243318.742

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Chris Ash (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drayk Bowen311120
Adon Shuler290002
Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa282111
Jaiden Ausberry261100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Boubacar Traore246530
Jaylen Sneed143200
Drayk Bowen311120
Jordan Botelho111110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Gray110006
Mark Zackery IV71002
Adon Shuler290002

ARK's OC Bobby Petrino (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taylen Green11918963%16541458.8
KJ Jackson5771%1061015.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Michael Washington8052456.653
Taylen Green7150437.164
Braylen Russell4021235.323
Rodney Hill73705.318
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
O'Mega Blake (Tr)35464313.333
Raylen Sharpe (Tr)21249211.937
Rohan Jones (Tr)7229332.762
CJ Brown14192213.726

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Chris Wilson (Int) (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Stephen Dix Jr.442000
Xavian Sorey Jr.422121
Julian Neal (Tr)342005
Larry Worth331001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quincy Rhodes Jr.248540
Phillip Lee (Tr)225340
Miguel Mitchell311101
Bradley Shaw183111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kani Walker (Tr)221006
Julian Neal (Tr)342005
Jordan Young (Tr)100003