Notre Dame at Arkansas - 2025 Matchup Preview
Notre Dame logo (#22)Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Arkansas RazorbacksArkansas logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -5.5 (64.5) (-218)  Open: -10.5
Notre Dame 56 - Arkansas: 13

 
Fighting Irish (10 - 2) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (33 - 10)
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (38 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 2 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 1)
ARK is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Notre Dame -17  (SP+ ND -19.5)

Projected Score: ND: 41 - ARK: 24 (64)
ND Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
ND Travel: 577 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Razorbacks (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (29 - 31)
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Notre Dame's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Notre Dame at Miami-2.553.5L 24 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Notre Dame vs Texas A&M-7.548.5L 40 - 41ON
Sat 9/20 Notre Dame vs Purdue-24.551.5W 56 - 30OY
Sat 9/27 Notre Dame at Arkansas-5.564.5W 56 - 13OY
Sat 10/4 Notre Dame vs Boise State-21.563.5W 28 - 7UN
Sat 10/11 Notre Dame vs NC State-23.559.5W 36 - 7UY
Sat 10/18 Notre Dame vs USC-10.560.5W 34 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Notre Dame at Boston College-31.555.5W 25 - 10UN
Sat 11/8 Notre Dame vs Navy-30.554.5W 49 - 10OY
Sat 11/15 Notre Dame at Pittsburgh-12.555.5W 37 - 15UY
Sat 11/22 Notre Dame vs Syracuse-36.551.5W 70 - 7OY
Sat 11/29 Notre Dame at Stanford-32.550.5W 49 - 20ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Arkansas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arkansas vs Alabama A&M-45.562.5W 52 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Arkansas vs Arkansas State-23.562.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 9/13 Arkansas at Ole Miss+3.560.5L 35 - 41ON
Sat 9/20 Arkansas at Memphis-7.059.5L 31 - 32ON
Sat 9/27 Arkansas vs Notre Dame+5.564.5L 13 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Arkansas at Tennessee+10.068.5L 31 - 34UY
Sat 10/18 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+7.557.5L 42 - 45OY
Sat 10/25 Arkansas vs Auburn-2.555.5L 24 - 33ON
Sat 11/1 Arkansas vs Mississippi State-5.566.5L 35 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Arkansas at LSU+4.058.5L 22 - 23UY
Sat 11/22 Arkansas at Texas+10.557.5L 37 - 52ON
Sat 11/29 Arkansas vs Missouri+4.554.5L 17 - 31UN

Total: Elite: 10, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND#4 (.36)49% (10)4247% (25)3.05 (50)20451% (6)2554.79 (6)#12 (.04)36% (13)17.638% (20)36% (16)2.58 (6)53.10.81.9
ARK#11 (.31)49% (12)32.954% (1)3.43 (6)19245% (38)2634.2 (31)#127 (.27)47% (127)33.850% (132)46% (117)4.21 (119)671.70.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND#8 (.32)47% (22)47% (26)3.31 (24)18147% (21)1604.8 (5)#1 (-.02)36% (8)43% (73)29% (1)2.75 (4)42.40.81.8
ARK#27 (.25)48% (13)52% (5)3.23 (38)16844% (41)2483.95 (64)#45 (.13)42% (66)39% (32)44% (100)3.31 (22)56.31.71



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Offense124238.249%4.790.8234602042555.953%45%47%51%13%.36
ARK Defense1233.83547.3%4.210.8 - - - - - 54%44%50%46%15%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Defense1217.61736.4%2.581.9 - - - - - 43%56%38%36%18%.04
ARK Offense1232.930.548.7%4.21.7234551922635.748%51%54%45%17%.31

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Notre Dame1229:1722.548%55%5.553.10.81.95.82.8732.5
Arkansas1229:0123.347%53%7.8671.70.85.41.8227.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Offense1253% (38)47% (25)34.8204.45.938 (11).25 (11)3.05 (50)62% (122)8% (36)1.16 (8)
ARK Defense1254% (118)50% (132) - - - - .21 (125)3.05 (100)71% (68)9% (89)0.95 (61)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Defense1243% (6)38% (20) - - - - .04 (37)2.74 (39)71% (66)9% (77)0.89 (32)
ARK Offense1248% (78)54% (1)33.6192.25.725 (30).3 (4)3.43 (6)65% (106)10% (79)1.08 (25)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Offense1245% (95)51% (6)18.126.8255.19.514.125 (33)6 (34).45 (10)1.7 (25)29% (37)44% (2).65 (3)5% (35)2 (65)
ARK Defense1244% (15)46% (117) - - - - - - 6 (75).44 (132)1.7 (122)31% (84)36% (132).44 (129)6% (52)2.1 (107)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Defense1256% (132)36% (16) - - - - - - 21 (1).09 (8)1.6 (93)36% (9)26% (24).17 (17)9% (3)2.1 (84)
ARK Offense1251% (55)45% (38)19.331.8262.98.313.722 (8)11 (60).37 (31)1.7 (22)31% (59)40% (5).58 (5)7% (114)2.3 (3)

Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 28.73  #3
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 26.69  #6
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: -2.21  #2
2025 Talent Rating: 1060.00  #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 57%  #8
Notre Dame's 2025 Expected Record: 10.0 - 2.0
Notre Dame's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3  #5
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.1  #7
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1  #11

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 827
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 28.73   Arkansas: 9.505

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 24.3   Arkansas: 4.9




Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 9.505  #43
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 24.32  #14
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 15.21  #80
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00  #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 14  #33
Arkansas's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Arkansas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9  #52
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5  #16
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9  #99

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense on Road: 38.2
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

Notre Dame's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 41
Arkansas 24


Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
Arkansas 40
Notre Dame 27

Total Points: 67

Based on Entire Season
Notre Dame 37
Arkansas 24

Total Points: 61
Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35

Arkansas's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27Arkansas13Notre Dame56Notre Dame -5.5Notre Dame64.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas001 Overs
Notre Dame110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#3) ND at (#43) ARK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNDARK
Net PPPPPP #2 #76
Power RatePwr #3 #43
SP+SP+ #5 #52
Perf GradeGrade #5 #77
OffenseOff #5 #42
DefenseDef #5 #112
Spec TeamsST #23 #116
TalentTal #7 #48
Blue ChipsBC% #8 #33
Notre Dame Notes
(11/16) Killed Pitt, 10-2 finish likely. Get healthy for CFP?
(11/4) Huge issues at K, missed 2 XP, short FG vs BC
(10/20) OG Billy Schrauth out until at least Pitt/Cuse (3 OL)
(10/18) 300 yds rush vs USC, Pass Def torched, huge Win
(10/16) DL G Rubio out vs SC (best DT) & L Thomas (depth)
(10/13) OC Craig out for season, Irish down 2 starting OL
(10/11) Last 35 Def series, 4 TDs, 9 Ints. 0 2nd Half Points
(10/10) CB L Moore is essential to Irish defense. #1 in CFB
(9/27) Off is rolling, avg 44 PPG. Carr impressive, run great
(9/23) RB Love & Price are incredible, OL improving
(9/21) Freeman sounds exhausted about Def issues
(9/21) Off rising to dominant, QB Carr & WR improved
Notre Dame Injury Report
Arkansas Notes
(11/30) Hired Ryan Silverfield (Memphis). Meh hire IMO
(10/22) Defense is worst in CFB in Success Rate, Off great
(10/18) Off great vs A&M, Def torched as usual. 9 flags hurt
(9/30) Def has no players, schematics almost don't matter
(9/30) Pittman fired, Petrino Interim, Def staff fired
(9/27) Damn break vs ND, Def mauled, Off awful. Green bad
(9/23) Have fumbled away 2 straight games, brutal
(9/23) QB Taylen Green leads CFB in total offense (Wk 5)
(9/19) Off hot start, QB Green great, WR Blake weapon
(9/19) Pass Def torched by Ole Miss, Run D held up
(8/17) OC & DC are fighting, nearly physically?
(8/17) Def front 7 biggest issue, pass rush SEC worst
Arkansas Injury Report
Notre Dame on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffARK Def
PPPOffPPP #1 #20
Perf GradePerf #5 #112
SuccessSuc #10 #127
ExplosiveExp #3 #76
PPAPPA #4 #127
PowerPwr #6 #80
SP+SP+ #7 #99
Pts POPPO #6 #119
HavocHav #36 #74
Notre Dame Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffARK Def
Run GameRun #5 #74
Run SuccessRSuc #25 #132
Run ExplRExp #8 #61
PPAExp #11 #125
Run BlockR Blk #46 -
OL YdsOLY #50 #100
Stuff RateStuff #101 #63
TackleTak -  #19
Notre Dame Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffARK Def
Pass GamePass #10 #126
Pass SuccessPSuc #6 #117
Pass ExplPExl #25 #122
PPAExp #10 #132
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #59 #69
F7 HavocF7 #36 #89
DB HavocDB #35 #52
Arkansas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatARK OffND Def
PPPDefPPP #24 #120
Perf GradePerf #42 #5
SuccessSuc #12 #13
ExplosiveExp #17 #85
PPAPPA #11 #12
PowerPwr #14 #2
SP+SP+ #16 #11
Pts POPPO #31 #6
HavocHav #102 #19
Arkansas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
ARK OffND Def
Run GameRun #2 #8
Run SuccessRSuc #1 #20
Run ExplRExp #25 #32
PPAExp #4 #37
Run BlockR Blk #70 -
OL YdsOLY #6 #39
Stuff RateStuff #93 #74
TackleTak -  #9
Arkansas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatARK OffND Def
Pass GamePass #67 #7
Pass SuccessPSuc #38 #16
Pass ExplPExl #22 #93
PPAExp #31 #8
Pass Block/RushP Blk #80 #25
F7 HavocF7 #79 #77
DB HavocDB #114 #3
Program Comparison
ARK 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 80°
Rematch from Week 5
Notre Dame 5.5 (64.5)
Notre Dame won at Arkansas this year (56-13)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ND's OC Mike Denbrock (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
C.J. Carr19529367%27412469.4
Kenny Minchey202677%196007.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiyah Love1991372186.994
Jadarian Price113674116.058
Aneyas Williams2422459.354
Kenny Minchey784112.034
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Faison49640413.154
Malachi Fields (Tr)36630517.566
Eli Raridon32482015.165
Will Pauling (Tr)26381614.744

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Chris Ash (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drayk Bowen675423
Adon Shuler522125
Jaiden Ausberry514250
Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa488352
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Boubacar Traore3710780
Drayk Bowen675423
Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa488352
Jaylen Sneed355330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Gray1810010
Leonard Moore310007
Adon Shuler522125

ARK's OC Bobby Petrino (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taylen Green19832661%271419118.3
KJ Jackson335461%441308.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Michael Washington168106886.457
Taylen Green13877985.664
Braylen Russell5528655.223
Raylen Sharpe (Tr)65409.041
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
O'Mega Blake (Tr)57760513.336
Raylen Sharpe (Tr)41592314.458
Rohan Jones (Tr)19519427.362
CJ Brown28319311.426

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Travis Williams (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavian Sorey Jr.818333
Stephen Dix Jr.794100
Larry Worth641001
Caleb Wooden (Tr)593013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quincy Rhodes Jr.4316860
Phillip Lee (Tr)316440
Xavian Sorey Jr.818333
Bradley Shaw505211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kani Walker (Tr)5231011
Julian Neal (Tr)5520010
Jordan Young (Tr)280016