Louisiana at Missouri - 2025 Matchup Preview

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at Missouri Tigers(#25)

Saturday, September 13th 2025 (1:00 PM EDT)
Missouri -27.5 (47.5) (-4500) Open: -27.5
Missouri 52 - Louisiana: 10

Ragin' Cajuns (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (23 - 17)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (24 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#75)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)

Temp: 92.7° (39% Hum)
MIZ 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Missouri -29 (SP+ MIZ -25)
Projected Score: ULL: 9 - MIZ: 38 (47)
MIZ Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
ULL Travel: 603 miles

Tigers (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (37 - 24)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (40 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#54)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 6) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)

Matchup
Schedules
ULL Players
MIZ Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisiana's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Louisiana vs Rice	-14.5	49.5	L 12 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/6	Louisiana vs McNeese	-19.0	50.0	W 34 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/13	Louisiana at Missouri	+27.5	47.5	L 10 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/20	Louisiana at Eastern Michigan	-2.5	51.5	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/27	Louisiana vs Marshall	+2.5	47.5	W 54 - 51	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Louisiana at James Madison	+18.5	44.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/18	Louisiana vs Southern Miss	+4.5	54.5	L 10 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/25	Louisiana at Troy	+7.0	47.5	L 23 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/1	Louisiana at South Alabama	+3.5	52.5	W 31 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/8	Louisiana vs Texas State	+3.5	62.5	W 42 - 39	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/20	Louisiana at Arkansas State	+2.5	54.5	W 34 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/29	Louisiana vs UL Monroe	-10.5	47.5	W 30 - 27	O	N
Wed 12/17	Louisiana vs Delaware	-1.5	60.5	L 13 - 20	U	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule

Missouri's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Missouri vs Central Arkansas	-38.5	52.5	W 61 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/6	Missouri vs Kansas	-5.5	51.0	W 42 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Missouri vs Louisiana	-27.5	47.5	W 52 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Missouri vs South Carolina	-10.0	48.5	W 29 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/27	Missouri vs Massachusetts	-44.5	57.5	W 42 - 6	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Missouri vs Alabama	+3.5	50.5	L 24 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Missouri at Auburn	-1.5	43.5	W 23 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/25	Missouri at Vanderbilt	+3.0	52.5	L 10 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Missouri vs Texas A&M	+7.0	48.5	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/15	Missouri vs Mississippi State	-7.5	50.5	W 49 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/22	Missouri at Oklahoma	+4.5	42.5	L 6 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/29	Missouri at Arkansas	-4.5	54.5	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 12/27	Missouri vs Virginia	-4.0	43.5	L 7 - 13	U	N

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL	#101 (.12)	39% (109)	26	42% (84)	2.9 (76)	183	35% (128)	161	3.45 (93)	#90 (.19)	46% (124)	29.2	48% (126)	45% (109)	3.33 (39)	46.5	1.5	1.4
MIZ	#51 (.2)	45% (43)	30.2	48% (23)	3.12 (37)	216	42% (65)	181	3.85 (56)	#11 (.04)	35% (7)	18.9	35% (8)	35% (13)	3.24 (33)	48.1	1.2	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL	#16 (.3)	45% (47)		42% (91)	3.24 (35)	159	47% (17)	242	4.27 (32)	#97 (.22)	48% (126)		53% (133)	44% (105)	4.43 (121)	44.5	0.6	1.4
MIZ	#70 (.19)	44% (54)		47% (28)	3.04 (67)	159	41% (80)	202	3.91 (68)	#32 (.11)	41% (54)		42% (57)	39% (56)	3.38 (28)	46	0.7	1.2

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Offense	13	26	23.8	38.7%	3.45	1.5	19	344	183	161	4.6	57%	41%	42%	35%	16%	.12
MIZ Defense	13	18.9	20.6	34.5%	3.24	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	35%	35%	20%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Defense	13	29.2	32.8	46.1%	3.33	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	48%	45%	14%	.19
MIZ Offense	13	30.2	39.5	44.8%	3.85	1.2	22	397	216	181	5.4	55%	43%	48%	42%	13%	.2

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisiana	13	29:58	18.9	41%	55%	5.9	46.5	1.5	1.4	4.5	1.7	2	27.6
Missouri	13	30:11	22.1	46%	68%	5.1	48.1	1.2	0.8	6.6	2.8	4	28.1

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Offense	13	57% (22)	42% (84)	39.6	182.9	4.6	26 (40)	.13 (62)	2.9 (76)	71% (75)	11% (110)	0.99 (58)
MIZ Defense	13	47% (38)	35% (8)	-	-	-	-	.01 (19)	2.64 (23)	68% (49)	13% (9)	0.95 (64)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Defense	13	53% (109)	48% (126)	-	-	-	-	.18 (115)	3.29 (126)	73% (80)	9% (103)	0.99 (89)
MIZ Offense	13	55% (32)	48% (23)	40.3	216.2	5.4	30 (4)	.23 (16)	3.12 (37)	89% (1)	9% (49)	1.08 (26)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Offense	13	41% (120)	35% (128)	14.4	26.2	161.2	6.1	11.2	12 (121)	14 (119)	.15 (115)	1.6 (45)	33% (108)	26% (110)	.21 (102)	5% (44)	1.9 (108)
MIZ Defense	13	51% (98)	35% (13)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (75)	.1 (16)	1.6 (83)	35% (20)	28% (39)	.27 (61)	7% (14)	2.1 (82)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Defense	13	45% (29)	45% (109)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (55)	.27 (81)	1.5 (32)	26% (133)	28% (44)	.31 (75)	5% (104)	2.3 (133)
MIZ Offense	13	43% (106)	42% (65)	16.7	26	180.6	7	10.8	15 (50)	10 (108)	.18 (106)	1.4 (115)	29% (34)	31% (60)	.28 (76)	4% (16)	2.1 (28)

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: -12.00 #120
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 2.57 #110
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 14.57 #109
2025 Talent Rating: 568.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Louisiana's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 6.5
Louisiana's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.7 #100
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #75
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #116

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: -12.00 Missouri: 18.74

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: -8.7 Missouri: 16.1

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 18.74 #29
Missouri's Offense Rating: 11.48 #56
Missouri's Defense Rating: -4.90 #15
2025 Talent Rating: 856.00 #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 32 #21
Missouri's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Missouri's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.1 #19
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #32
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.6 #13

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Louisiana's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Missouri 38
Louisiana 9

Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Missouri 24
Louisiana 13

Total Points: 37

Based on Entire Season
Missouri 33
Louisiana 23

Total Points: 56

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

Missouri's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/13	Missouri	52	Louisiana	10	Missouri -27.5	Missouri	47.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Missouri	1	1	1 Overs
Louisiana	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#120) ULL at (#29) MIZ

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ULL	MIZ
Power RatePwr	#120	#29
SP+SP+	#100	#19
Perf GradeGrade	#121	#10
OffenseOff	#120	#11
DefenseDef	#113	#9
Spec TeamsST	#116	#12
TalentTal	#102	#38
Blue ChipsBC%	#88	#21

Louisiana Notes(11/21) Was 2-6, won 3 straight to stay in bowl fight
(11/20) QB Lunch Winfield a find. Program changer?
(10/19) 1-4 run, can't Pass and teams know it. Killing Off
(9/20) Def allowed 400 yds to EMU? WTF the deal here?
(9/20) Pass Off bottom 10 in CFB, Def is awful.
(9/4) QB Daniel Beale (rFr) now starter this year
(9/4) QB Walker Howard likely out for the season
(9/4) 4 straight years starting QB has been injured
(8/30) Offense awful in bad L to Rice, Howard terrible
(8/28) Don't love HC Desormeaux so far
(8/19) QB1 Walker Howard named starter Aug 19th
(8/1) Off has great potential, but slow & methodical
Louisiana Injury Report

Missouri Notes(12/28) 0-5 vs winning teams, 8 wins vs teams (30-67)
(12/21) Hired Chip Lindsey at OC (Mich). Awful hire
(11/27) HC Drinkwitz extended, makes almost 11 mil per
(11/21) QB Pribula will start vs OU
(11/16) Killed MSU, but QB3 Zollers ain't ready. Run Off++
(10/22) Starting Kicker inj, Fr R Meyer replacement
(10/10) OT Cayden Green returns for Bama game, big add
(9/21) Big W over SCar, Run Off good, Run Def great
(9/8) QB Pribula a good passer, a dynamic weapon
(9/8) RBs Hardy & Roberts are a great duo
(8/28) QB Horn looks done for the year (leg)
(7/20) DBs really good w/ Catalon + Hall portal adds
Missouri Injury Report

Louisiana on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	ULL Off	MIZ Def
Perf GradePerf	#120	#9
SuccessSuc	#109	#7
ExplosiveExp	#93	#73
PPAPPA	#101	#11
PowerPwr	#110	#15
SP+SP+	#75	#13
Pts POPPO	#93	#33
HavocHav	#79	#9

Louisiana Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	ULL Off	MIZ Def
Run GameRun	#70	#8
Run SuccessRSuc	#84	#8
Run ExplRExp	#58	#64
PPAExp	#62	#19
Run BlockR Blk	#68	-
OL YdsOLY	#76	#23
Stuff RateStuff	#108	#38
TackleTak	-	#11

Louisiana Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	ULL Off	MIZ Def
Pass GamePass	#126	#28
Pass SuccessPSuc	#128	#13
Pass ExplPExl	#45	#83
PPAExp	#115	#16
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#92	#4
F7 HavocF7	#110	#9
DB HavocDB	#44	#14

Missouri on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	MIZ Off	ULL Def
Perf GradePerf	#11	#113
SuccessSuc	#43	#124
ExplosiveExp	#85	#37
PPAPPA	#51	#90
PowerPwr	#56	#109
SP+SP+	#32	#116
Pts POPPO	#56	#39
HavocHav	#25	#111

Missouri Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	MIZ Off	ULL Def
Run GameRun	#6	#111
Run SuccessRSuc	#23	#126
Run ExplRExp	#26	#89
PPAExp	#16	#115
Run BlockR Blk	#14	-
OL YdsOLY	#37	#126
Stuff RateStuff	#44	#106
TackleTak	-	#90

Missouri Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	MIZ Off	ULL Def
Pass GamePass	#73	#85
Pass SuccessPSuc	#65	#109
Pass ExplPExl	#115	#32
PPAExp	#106	#81
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#12	#112
F7 HavocF7	#49	#103
DB HavocDB	#16	#104

Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

ULL 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 93° - Wind: 10 mph

Rematch from Week 3
Missouri -27.5 (47.5)
Missouri won vs Louisiana this year (52-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ULL's OC Tim Leger (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
D'Wayne' Winfield	127	215	59%	1555	11	7	7.2
Daniel Beale	42	84	50%	385	1	4	4.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bill Davis	158	763	6	4.8	76
Zylan Perry	138	689	8	5.0	84
D'Wayne' Winfield	152	667	9	4.4	42
Steven Blanco	30	156	2	5.2	34

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Shelton Sampson Jr. (Tr)	32	537	6	16.8	45
Robert Williams	25	309	0	12.4	44
Charles Robertson	15	250	1	16.7	45
Caden Jensen	29	231	1	8.0	40

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC Jim Salgado (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaden Dugger	124	13	4	1	3
Terrence Williams	95	3	1	0	0
Brent Gordon Jr.	62	1	0	1	11
Tyree Skipper	55	1	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Lawson	52	15	5	9	1
Jaden Dugger	124	13	4	1	3
Jaelen Crider	25	4	3	1	1
Cameron Whitfield	30	2	1	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brent Gordon Jr.	62	1	0	1	11
Courtline Flowers	48	3	1	0	4
Jaden Dugger	124	13	4	1	3

MIZ's OC Kirby Moore (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Beau Pribula (Tr)	182	270	67%	1946	11	9	7.2
Matt Zollers	47	88	53%	503	4	2	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ahmad Hardy (Tr)	256	1649	16	6.4	72
Jamal Roberts	124	753	6	6.1	63
Beau Pribula (Tr)	95	297	6	3.1	49
Marquise Davis	34	200	2	5.9	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kevin Coleman Jr. (Tr)	66	732	1	11.1	50
Donovan Olugbode	30	401	2	13.4	34
Marquis Johnson	28	345	2	12.3	49
Joshua Manning	29	318	2	11.0	34

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Corey Batoon (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Josiah Trotter (Tr)	84	13	2	7	1
Nicholas Rodriguez	61	4	2	0	7
Santana Banner (Tr)	59	1	0	0	3
Marvin Burks Jr.	49	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Damon Wilson Jr.	22	9	9	13	2
Zion Young	42	16	7	14	2
Chris McClellan	48	8	6	6	2
Darris Smith	15	6	5	11	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nicholas Rodriguez	61	4	2	0	7
Dreyden Norwood	24	2	0	0	5
Daylan Carnell	41	7	0	1	4