Massachusetts at Missouri - 2025 Matchup Preview
Massachusetts logo   Massachusetts Minutemen at Missouri Tigers  Missouri logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Missouri -44.5 (57.5) (0)  Open: -42.5
Missouri 42 - Massachusetts: 6

 
Minutemen (0 - 12) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Joe Harasymiak (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 11 - 39 (9 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 12 (#136)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
UMASS coming off BYE
MIZ is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Missouri -47  (SP+ MIZ -51)

Projected Score: UMASS: 4 - MIZ: 51 (55)
MIZ Win prob: 100% | Cover: 53%
UMASS Travel: 1062 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (37 - 24)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (40 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#54)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 6) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Massachusetts's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Massachusetts vs Temple+3.051.5L 10 - 42ON
Sat 9/6 Massachusetts vs Bryant-14.552.0L 26 - 27ON
Sat 9/13 Massachusetts at Iowa+35.544.5L 7 - 47ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Massachusetts at Missouri+44.557.5L 6 - 42UY
Sat 10/4 Massachusetts vs Western Michigan+12.546.5L 3 - 21UN
Sat 10/11 Massachusetts at Kent State+1.549.5L 6 - 42UN
Sat 10/18 Massachusetts vs Buffalo+16.547.5L 21 - 28OY
Sat 10/25 Massachusetts at Central Michigan+16.546.5L 13 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Massachusetts at Akron+12.551.5L 10 - 44ON
Wed 11/12 Massachusetts vs Northern Illinois+8.543.5L 3 - 45ON
Tue 11/18 Massachusetts at Ohio+34.553.5L 14 - 42OY
Tue 11/25 Massachusetts vs Bowling Green+14.044.5L 14 - 45ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Missouri's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Missouri vs Central Arkansas-38.552.5W 61 - 6OY
Sat 9/6 Missouri vs Kansas-5.551.0W 42 - 31OY
Sat 9/13 Missouri vs Louisiana-27.547.5W 52 - 10OY
Sat 9/20 Missouri vs South Carolina-10.048.5W 29 - 20ON
Sat 9/27 Missouri vs Massachusetts-44.557.5W 42 - 6UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Missouri vs Alabama+3.550.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 10/18 Missouri at Auburn-1.543.5W 23 - 17UY
Sat 10/25 Missouri at Vanderbilt+3.052.5L 10 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Missouri vs Texas A&M+7.048.5L 17 - 38ON
Sat 11/15 Missouri vs Mississippi State-7.550.5W 49 - 27OY
Sat 11/22 Missouri at Oklahoma+4.542.5L 6 - 17UN
Sat 11/29 Missouri at Arkansas-4.554.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 12/27 Missouri vs Virginia-4.043.5L 7 - 13UN

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS#69 (.19)41% (94)11.143% (78)3.1 (50)16438% (110)1823.73 (89)#114 (.26)46% (116)38.651% (128)40% (71)4.66 (129)63.20.80.8
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)30.247% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)18.942% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Offense1211.19.340.8%3.730.8203461641824.156%44%43%38%17%.19
MIZ Defense1318.920.640.6%3.381.2 - - - - - 53%47%42%39%18%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Defense1238.642.546.3%4.660.8 - - - - - 60%39%51%40%14%.26
MIZ Offense1330.239.544%3.910.7193611592024.353%47%47%41%11%.19

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Massachusetts1232:1919.738%58%7.363.20.80.84.11.3125.4
Missouri1330:2819.547%53%5.2460.71.251.9231
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense1256% (27)43% (78)40.21644.118 (78).16 (53)3.1 (50)74% (62)11% (95)0.96 (68)
MIZ Defense1353% (91)42% (57) - - - - .01 (18)2.75 (29)73% (64)12% (22)0.92 (43)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense1260% (133)51% (128) - - - - .25 (125)3.51 (131)87% (131)8% (113)0.95 (52)
MIZ Offense1353% (48)47% (28)37.1158.74.325 (41).12 (73)3.04 (67)79% (26)8% (31)0.9 (100)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense1244% (109)38% (110)15.627.3181.86.711.714 (108)6 (10).23 (81)1.7 (22)33% (87)32% (57).34 (69)6% (80)2 (98)
MIZ Defense1347% (47)39% (56) - - - - - - 6 (109).23 (65)1.6 (70)32% (61)27% (20).2 (27)6% (54)2 (65)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense1239% (2)40% (71) - - - - - - 6 (109).29 (100)1.7 (112)28% (118)28% (29).27 (51)6% (72)2.1 (89)
MIZ Offense1347% (85)41% (80)17.828.5202.27.111.412 (118)5 (6).26 (66)1.6 (69)30% (49)33% (52).39 (44)4% (10)2.1 (49)

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -26.33  #137
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: -0.22  #136
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 26.11  #134
2025 Talent Rating: 540.00  #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Massachusetts's 2025 Expected Record: 0.0 - 12.0
Massachusetts's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -36.6  #136
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 7.8  #136
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 42.8  #136

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -26.33   Missouri: 15.335

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -36.6   Missouri: 14.4




Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 15.335  #39
Missouri's Offense Rating: 12.08  #73
Missouri's Defense Rating: 0.81  #12
2025 Talent Rating: 856.00  #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 32  #21
Missouri's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Missouri's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.4  #21
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2  #47
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4  #10

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 11.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.3
Defense: 38.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.5

Massachusetts's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 12
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 51
Massachusetts 4


Projected Total Points: 55
Missouri Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

Missouri's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27Missouri42Massachusetts6Missouri -44.5Massachusetts57.5Under
202410/12Massachusetts3Missouri45Missouri -27Missouri54.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Missouri210 Overs
Massachusetts012 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams1 - 12 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#137) UMASS at (#39) MIZ
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUMASSMIZ
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #137 #39
SP+SP+ #136 #21
Perf GradeGrade #136 #7
OffenseOff #136 #13
DefenseDef #130 #7
Spec TeamsST #123 #9
TalentTal #109 #38
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #21
Massachusetts Notes
(11/4) Killed by Akron, 169 total yds, 3 TOs. Worst FBS
(10/31) Worst program in CFB, but fair everyone is hurt
(10/31) UMass disgrace to MAC, should drop to FCS
(10/30) Only competitive in 2 games & 1 was L to Bryant
(10/24) 13 starters from Week 1 are out now.
(10/15) Have not scored 7+ points in any game over a month
(10/12) Blown out by Kent? UMass is worst team in CFB
(10/12) There is nothing here to like or fear. Mid FCS at best
(9/25) DBs are extremely banged up, moving CB to S
(9/25) 17 pts vs 2 FBS teams, 0 in the 2nd half
(9/25) QB1 B Rose is out, Hairston & Jordan playing
(8/30) Killed by Temple? Barely 300 yds, gave up 450+
Massachusetts Injury Report
Missouri Notes
(12/28) 0-5 vs winning teams, 8 wins vs teams (30-67)
(12/21) Hired Chip Lindsey at OC (Mich). Awful hire
(11/27) HC Drinkwitz extended, makes almost 11 mil per
(11/21) QB Pribula will start vs OU
(11/16) Killed MSU, but QB3 Zollers ain't ready. Run Off++
(10/22) Starting Kicker inj, Fr R Meyer replacement
(10/10) OT Cayden Green returns for Bama game, big add
(9/21) Big W over SCar, Run Off good, Run Def great
(9/8) QB Pribula a good passer, a dynamic weapon
(9/8) RBs Hardy & Roberts are a great duo
(8/28) QB Horn looks done for the year (leg)
(7/20) DBs really good w/ Catalon + Hall portal adds
Missouri Injury Report
Massachusetts on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UMASS OffMIZ Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #136 #7
SuccessSuc #94 #54
ExplosiveExp #72 #51
PPAPPA #69 #32
PowerPwr #136 #12
SP+SP+ #136 #10
Pts POPPO #89 #28
HavocHav #95 #32
Massachusetts Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UMASS OffMIZ Def
Run GameRun #134 #7
Run SuccessRSuc #78 #57
Run ExplRExp #68 #43
PPAExp #53 #18
Run BlockR Blk #109 -
OL YdsOLY #50 #29
Stuff RateStuff #38 #46
TackleTak -  #17
Massachusetts Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UMASS OffMIZ Def
Pass GamePass #112 #22
Pass SuccessPSuc #110 #56
Pass ExplPExl #22 #70
PPAExp #81 #65
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #134 #6
F7 HavocF7 #95 #22
DB HavocDB #80 #54
Missouri on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatMIZ OffUMASS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #13 #130
SuccessSuc #54 #116
ExplosiveExp #114 #41
PPAPPA #70 #114
PowerPwr #73 #134
SP+SP+ #47 #136
Pts POPPO #68 #129
HavocHav #9 #106
Missouri Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
MIZ OffUMASS Def
Run GameRun #11 #117
Run SuccessRSuc #28 #128
Run ExplRExp #100 #52
PPAExp #73 #125
Run BlockR Blk #10 -
OL YdsOLY #67 #131
Stuff RateStuff #25 #131
TackleTak -  #78
Missouri Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatMIZ OffUMASS Def
Pass GamePass #69 #135
Pass SuccessPSuc #80 #71
Pass ExplPExl #69 #112
PPAExp #66 #100
Pass Block/RushP Blk #7 #60
F7 HavocF7 #31 #113
DB HavocDB #10 #72
Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

UMASS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 78°
Rematch from Week 5
Missouri -44.5 (57.5)
Missouri won vs Massachusetts this year (42-6)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Massachusetts last year (42-6)
Missouri beat Massachusetts in 2024 (45-3)

  
UMASS's OC Mike Bajakian (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
AJ Hairston10721650%957444.4
Grant Jordan (Tr)6311057%595325.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brandon Hood (Tr)9836823.890
Rocko Griffin (Tr)5324524.643
Elijah Faulkner4011402.914
Juwuan Price2610103.927
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacquon Gibson6361609.850
Donnie Gray (Tr)2726009.641
Max Dowling (Tr)20199310.077
Jake McConnachie (Tr)1614409.021

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC Jared Keyte (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Martin973002
Derrieon Craig781112
Zeraun Daniel (Tr)753002
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)694222
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marques White4311531
David Onuoha (Tr)425320
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)694222
Tim Grant-Randall273221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Martin973002
Brennen Bailey181002
Derrieon Craig781112

MIZ's OC Kirby Moore (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Beau Pribula (Tr)18227067%19461197.2
Matt Zollers478853%503425.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ahmad Hardy (Tr)2561649166.472
Jamal Roberts12475366.163
Beau Pribula (Tr)9529763.149
Marquise Davis3420025.923
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Coleman Jr. (Tr)66732111.150
Donovan Olugbode30401213.434
Marquis Johnson28345212.349
Joshua Manning29318211.034

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Corey Batoon (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Trotter (Tr)8413271
Nicholas Rodriguez614207
Santana Banner (Tr)591003
Marvin Burks Jr.492001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damon Wilson Jr.2299132
Zion Young42167142
Chris McClellan488662
Darris Smith1565112
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nicholas Rodriguez614207
Dreyden Norwood242005
Daylan Carnell417014