Massachusetts at Missouri Game Matchup
Massachusetts logo Massachusetts Minutemen at Missouri TigersMissouri logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Faurot Field - Columbia, MO

 
Minutemen (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Joe Harasymiak (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (18 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#129)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
UMASS coming off BYE
MIZ is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Missouri -37.5   (SP+ MIZ -36)
Projected Score: UMASS: 8 - MIZ: 45 (54)
MIZ Win prob: 100% | Cover: 35%
UMASS Travel: 1062 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (37 - 24)
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (32 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
 
Massachusetts's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Massachusetts vs Temple-1.50.0
Sat 9/6 Massachusetts vs Bryant-1
Sat 9/13 Massachusetts at Iowa+36.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Massachusetts at Missouri+37.5
Sat 10/4 Massachusetts vs Western Michigan+2.5
Sat 10/11 Massachusetts at Kent State-1.5
Sat 10/18 Massachusetts vs Buffalo+12.5
Sat 10/25 Massachusetts at Central Michigan+11
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Massachusetts at Akron+5.5
Wed 11/12 Massachusetts vs Northern Illinois+9
Tue 11/18 Massachusetts at Ohio+21
Tue 11/25 Massachusetts vs Bowling Green+6

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Missouri's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Missouri vs Central Arkansas-36.5
Sat 9/6 Missouri vs Kansas-11.5
Sat 9/13 Missouri vs Louisiana-22
Sat 9/20 Missouri vs South Carolina+0.5
Sat 9/27 Missouri vs Massachusetts-37.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Missouri vs Alabama+14.5
Sat 10/18 Missouri at Auburn+6.5
Sat 10/25 Missouri at Vanderbilt-5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Missouri vs Texas A&M+7
Sat 11/15 Missouri vs Mississippi State-14
Sat 11/22 Missouri at Oklahoma+8.5
Sat 11/29 Missouri at Arkansas-1

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS#69 (.19)41% (94)22.543% (78)3.1 (50)16438% (110)1823.73 (89)#114 (.26)46% (116)35.551% (128)40% (71)4.66 (129)63.20.80.8
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)28.947% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)20.442% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Offense1222.517.840.8%3.730.8203461641824.156%44%43%38%17%.19
MIZ Defense1320.415.640.6%3.381.2 - - - - - 53%47%42%39%18%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Defense1235.538.846.3%4.660.8 - - - - - 60%39%51%40%14%.26
MIZ Offense1328.932.144%3.910.7193611592024.353%47%47%41%11%.19

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Massachusetts1232:1919.738%58%7.363.20.80.84.11.3125.4
Missouri1330:2819.547%53%5.2460.71.251.9231
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense1256% (27)43% (78)40.21644.118 (78).16 (53)3.1 (50)74% (62)11% (95)0.96 (68)
MIZ Defense1353% (91)42% (57) - - - - .01 (18)2.75 (29)73% (64)12% (22)0.92 (43)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense1260% (133)51% (128) - - - - .25 (125)3.51 (131)87% (131)8% (113)0.95 (52)
MIZ Offense1353% (48)47% (28)37.1158.74.325 (41).12 (73)3.04 (67)79% (26)8% (31)0.9 (100)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense1244% (109)38% (110)15.627.3181.86.711.714 (108)6 (10).23 (81)1.7 (22)33% (87)32% (57).34 (69)6% (80)2 (98)
MIZ Defense1347% (47)39% (56) - - - - - - 6 (109).23 (65)1.6 (70)32% (61)27% (20).2 (27)6% (54)2 (65)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense1239% (2)40% (71) - - - - - - 6 (109).29 (100)1.7 (112)28% (118)28% (29).27 (51)6% (72)2.1 (89)
MIZ Offense1347% (85)41% (80)17.828.5202.27.111.412 (118)5 (6).26 (66)1.6 (69)30% (49)33% (52).39 (44)4% (10)2.1 (49)

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -20.78 #128
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 6.27 #115
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 27.05 #129
2025 Talent Rating: 462.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Massachusetts's 2025 Expected Record: 3.4 - 8.6
Massachusetts's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.9 #135
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #119
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.2 #135

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -20.78   Missouri: 15.32

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -23.9   Missouri: 12.5




Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 15.32 #26
Missouri's Offense Rating: 17.13 #48
Missouri's Defense Rating: 3.99 #15
2025 Talent Rating: 858.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 31 #21
Missouri's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Missouri's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.5 #21
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #41
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #22

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.8

Massachusetts's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 45
Massachusetts 8

Projected Total Points: 54
Missouri Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.1
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Missouri's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Massachusetts3Missouri45MissouriMissouri -27Missouri54.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Missouri110 Overs
Massachusetts001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#128) Massachusetts Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -20.78 #128
Offense Rating: 6.27 #115
Defense Rating: 27.05 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -23.9 #135
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #119
Defense SP+ Rating: 43.2 #135
Talent Rating: 462.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 3.4 - 8.6

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Massachusetts Notes
(3/21) QB G. Jordan (Yale) or Rose (Utah)?
(3/21) RBs meh. Hester has exp. Campbell top rated
(3/21) WR rebuild. JAGs,not much size
(3/21) OL 5/5 back. Not bad, could be good TY
(3/21) Def near worst LY. 12 portals. Any ballers?
(3/21) New HC Harasymiak was 'Gers DC. Tough job
(3/21) New OC Bajakian all over, NFL, Utah, NW
Massachusetts     Ratings Matchup     Missouri
Power #128
#26
Off #115
#48
Def #129
#15
Talent #116
#28
SP+ #135
#21
SP+ Off #119
#41
SP+ Def #135
#22

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Massachusetts last year (45-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UMASS | MIZ
Depth Chart: UMASS | MIZ
Rosters: UMASS | MIZ
(#26) Missouri Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 15.32 #26
Offense Rating: 17.13 #48
Defense Rating: 3.99 #15
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.5 #21
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #41
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #22
Talent Rating: 858.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 31 #21
Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.91 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.38 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Missouri Notes
(5/23) Mizzu was 6-1 in 1 score games LY (4-0 in '23)
(4/4) OG Cayden Green a top G via PFF
(3/18) QB1 B. Pribula (PSU) talented/mobile
(3/18) RB, Hardy (ULM) 1,300 yds as Fr LY
(3/18) WRs rebuild. Coleman (MSU) great pickup
(3/18) OL 2/5 back. Avg LY, 2 portal adds.
(3/18) Def v good LY and loaded TY. DL could be ?
(3/18) Should improve TY w/ better QB, great Def
(3/18) Drinkwitz underrated HC. Team always tough


  
Massachusetts's OC Mike Bajakian
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Grant Jordan (Tr)16625066%19382237.8
AJ Hairston407355%480506.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Grant Jordan (Tr)7736054.728
Brandon Campbell6123333.821
Jackson Paradis217013.313
Brandon Rose (Tr)116606.027
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ty Harding18303516.858
Jacquon Gibson23270111.739
Sterling Galban2521008.421
Brandon Campbell86708.424

View Massachusetts's Full Roster
Massachusetts's DC Jared Keyte
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gerrell Johnson743122
D.D. Snyder (Tr)552001
Te'Rai Powell522001
Derrieon Craig433011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Lebrun222200
Shambre Jackson122100
Malachi Madison (Tr)11100
Sahnai Swain-Price71100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lake Ellis293005
Gerrell Johnson743122
Jalen Harrell221002

Missouri's OC Kirby Moore
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Beau Pribula (Tr)263574%275517.9
Connor Weselman (Tr)010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ahmad Hardy (Tr)2371352135.780
Beau Pribula (Tr)3824246.449
Jamal Roberts5321634.114
Tavorus Jones135504.214
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Coleman Jr. (Tr)69844512.280
Marquis Johnson25352114.149
Vince Brown II (Tr)24256310.730
Brett Norfleet2623529.036

View Missouri's Full Roster
Missouri's DC Corey Batoon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Trotter (Tr)934152
Jalen Catalon (Tr)775213
Triston Newson727241
Marvin Burks Jr.662002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damon Wilson Jr.226340
Nate Johnson (Tr)293311
Zion Young416353
Chris McClellan396332
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daylan Carnell515006
Nicholas Deloach Jr.231004
Santana Banner (Tr)542014