Massachusetts at Missouri - 2025 Matchup Preview
Massachusetts logo Massachusetts Minutemen at Missouri Tigers(#23)Missouri logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Faurot Field - Columbia, MO

 
Minutemen (0 - 3) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Joe Harasymiak (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 39 (7 - 47 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#135)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
UMASS coming off BYE
MIZ is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Missouri -50.5   (SP+ MIZ -48)

Projected Score: UMASS: 5 - MIZ: 55 (60)
MIZ Win prob: 100% | Cover: 33%
UMASS Travel: 1062 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (37 - 24)
Avg Score : 52 - 16 (52 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 3 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Massachusetts's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Massachusetts vs Temple+3.051.5L 10 - 42ON
Sat 9/6 Massachusetts vs Bryant-14.552.0L 26 - 27ON
Sat 9/13 Massachusetts at Iowa+35.544.5L 7 - 47ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Massachusetts at Missouri+50.5
Sat 10/4 Massachusetts vs Western Michigan+4
Sat 10/11 Massachusetts at Kent State+6.5
Sat 10/18 Massachusetts vs Buffalo+16.5
Sat 10/25 Massachusetts at Central Michigan+5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Massachusetts at Akron+7
Wed 11/12 Massachusetts vs Northern Illinois+14.5
Tue 11/18 Massachusetts at Ohio+20.5
Tue 11/25 Massachusetts vs Bowling Green+10

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Missouri's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Missouri vs Central Arkansas-38.552.5W 61 - 6OY
Sat 9/6 Missouri vs Kansas-5.551.0W 42 - 31OY
Sat 9/13 Missouri vs Louisiana-27.547.5W 52 - 10OY
Sat 9/20 Missouri vs South Carolina-13.546.5
Sat 9/27 Missouri vs Massachusetts-50.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Missouri vs Alabama+2.5
Sat 10/18 Missouri at Auburn+2.5
Sat 10/25 Missouri at Vanderbilt-3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Missouri vs Texas A&M-3.5
Sat 11/15 Missouri vs Mississippi State-12
Sat 11/22 Missouri at Oklahoma+5
Sat 11/29 Missouri at Arkansas-6

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS#120 (.06)41% (92)14.335% (119)2.25 (124)7746% (50)1832.73 (121)#113 (.25)42% (87)38.738% (64)46% (106)4.24 (98)4510.7
MIZ#15 (.45)56% (11)51.760% (6)3.91 (6)30253% (24)2855.52 (12)#29 ()31% (15)15.732% (18)31% (26)3.86 (84)58.30.71
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS#69 (.19)41% (94)43% (78)3.1 (50)16438% (110)1823.73 (89)#114 (.26)46% (116)51% (128)40% (71)4.66 (129)63.20.80.8
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)47% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)42% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Offense314.3740.7%2.73116260771832.746%53%35%46%19%.06
MIZ Defense315.715.731.2%3.861 - - - - - 44%55%32%31%26%
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Defense338.74742.5%4.240.7 - - - - - 40%59%38%46%9%.25
MIZ Offense351.751.756.5%5.520.7285873022856.252%48%60%53%10%.45

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Massachusetts330:0515.728%20%54510.72.71.3127.1
Missouri337:4928.362%86%658.30.717.32.3129.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense346% (93)35% (119)2876.72.74 (79)-.04 (120)2.25 (124)60% (103)13% (121)1.14 (35)
MIZ Defense344% (31)32% (18) - - - - .07 (70)2.35 (34)38% (4)17% (4)1.21 (113)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense340% (9)38% (64) - - - - .1 (90)3.39 (126)75% (80)4% (134)0.81 (35)
MIZ Offense352% (62)60% (6)49302.36.211 (8).42 (8)3.91 (6)88% (19)7% (40)1.08 (46)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense353% (48)46% (50)19.331.31835.89.50 (133)2 (60).22 (82)1.1 (133)34% (103)32% (67).32 (74)6% (96)2 (74)
MIZ Defense355% (104)31% (26) - - - - - - 2 (56).01 (23)1.6 (81)31% (86)21% (28).23 (60)8% (22)2.2 (108)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense359% (126)46% (106) - - - - - - 2 (56).4 (115)1.6 (94)30% (103)25% (42).11 (33)4% (100)1.8 (46)
MIZ Offense348% (71)53% (24)24.331.3284.79.111.78 (18)1 (23).48 (28)1.5 (73)22% (12)47% (10).77 (13)3% (24)2.1 (57)

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -19.00 #127
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 1.39 #126
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 20.39 #121
2025 Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Massachusetts's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Massachusetts's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -28.8 #136
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #129
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 44.9 #136

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -19.00   Missouri: 26.755

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -28.8   Missouri: 19.5




Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 26.755 #13
Missouri's Offense Rating: 26.82 #13
Missouri's Defense Rating: -2.19 #21
2025 Talent Rating: 856.00 #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 32 #21
Missouri's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0
Missouri's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.5 #11
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #17
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #18

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 38.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 47

Massachusetts's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 55
Massachusetts 5


Total Points: 60

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 51.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 51.7
Defense: 15.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

Missouri's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Massachusetts3Missouri45MissouriMissouri -27Missouri54.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Missouri110 Overs
Massachusetts001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#127) Massachusetts Info
Power Rating: -19.00 #127
Offense Rating: 1.39 #126
Defense Rating: 20.39 #121
Overall SP+ Rating: -28.8 #136
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #129
Defense SP+ Rating: 44.9 #136
Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.73 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.24 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 38%
Poor Pass Def Success 46%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Massachusetts has lost 3 straight
Massachusetts has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Massachusetts Notes
(9/9) Long list of injuries pre Iowa, check report
(8/30) Killed by Temple? Barely 300 yds, gave up 450+
(8/30) Def could be bottom 10, allowed 6 TD passes
(3/21) QB G. Jordan (Yale) or Rose (Utah)?
(3/21) RBs meh. Hester has exp. Campbell top rated
(3/21) WR rebuild. JAGs,not much size
(3/21) OL 5/5 back. Not bad, could be good TY
(3/21) Def near worst LY. 12 portals. Any ballers?
(3/21) New HC Harasymiak was 'Gers DC. Tough job
(3/21) New OC Bajakian all over, NFL, Utah, NW

Massachusetts Highlights

Massachusetts Deficiencies
Massachusetts has a really bad Offense
Massachusetts Can Not Run the Ball (#126)
Massachusetts offense is not Explosive (#108)
Massachusetts Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#124)
Massachusetts offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#121)
Massachusetts run game is really bad (#119)
Massachusetts offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Massachusetts Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Massachusetts Does Not Stuff Runs (#133)
Massachusetts has a bad defensive line (#126)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMIZUMASS
OverallOver#3#91
OffenseOff#3#106
DefenseDef#9#69
Special TeamsST#76#87
PassingPass#3#96
RushingRush#9#101
Run BlockRBLK#18#85
Pass BlockPBLK#7#113
Route RunningWR Rt#5#88
TacklingTkl#23#4
Run DefenseR Def#10#42
Pass Rush DefPRush#17#21
Coverage DefCov#22#106

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Massachusetts last year (45-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UMASS | MIZ
Depth Chart: UMASS | MIZ
Rosters: UMASS | MIZ
(#13) Missouri Info
Power Rating: 26.755 #13
Offense Rating: 26.82 #13
Defense Rating: -2.19 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 19.5 #11
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #17
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #18
Talent Rating: 856.00 #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 32 #21
Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 56%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.52 PPO
Great Run Success 60%
Good Pass Success 53%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 31%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.86 PPO
Great Run Def Success 32%
Good Pass Def Success 31%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Missouri has lost 1 straight
Missouri has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 0 (3 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Missouri Notes
(9/8) RBs Hardy & Roberts are a great duo
(8/28) QB Horn looks done for the year (leg)
(7/20) DBs really good w/ Catalon + Hall portal adds
(6/3) Off portals @ QB, RB, WR, 2-3 OL proj starters
(6/3) OL 2/5 back. Looks decent w/ 6 portal adds.
(5/23) Mizzu was 6-1 in 1 score games LY (4-0 in '23)
(4/4) OG Cayden Green a top G via PFF
(3/18) RB, Hardy (ULM) 1,300 yds as Fr LY
(3/18) WRs rebuild. Coleman (MSU) great pickup
(3/18) Def v good LY and loaded TY. DL could be ?

Missouri Highlights
Missouri is Undefeated vs Spread
Missouri in Undefeated
Missouri is Undefeated at Home
Missouri is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Missouri has Really Good Running Game (#3)
Missouri offense is efficent (#11)
Missouri has a top Offensive Line (#6)
Missouri offense is good in red zone (#12)
Missouri offense is good on 3rd downs
Missouri does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#27)

Missouri has a really good defense (#15)
Missouri has a good run defense (#18)
Missouri has a good pass defense (#26)
Missouri Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#20)
Missouri Front 7 is disruptive (#4)
Missouri Secondary is very good (#22)
Missouri has a great TO Margin (#28)

Missouri Deficiencies
Missouri gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#110)


  
Massachusetts's OC Mike Bajakian
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brandon Rose (Tr)274461%217014.9
Grant Jordan (Tr)243863%248016.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rocko Griffin (Tr)3014214.741
Brandon Hood (Tr)164212.618
Jacquon Gibson31103.713
Grant Jordan (Tr)171020.619
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacquon Gibson24258010.850
Donnie Gray (Tr)587017.441
Tyree Kelly (Tr)552010.415
Max Dowling (Tr)54208.419

View Massachusetts's Full Roster
Massachusetts's DC Jared Keyte
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)242101
Derrieon Craig230001
Tyler Martin190001
Kendall Bournes151000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marques White64211
Tim Grant-Randall92111
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)242101
Donovan Dyson20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Magee (Tr)90002
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)242101
Tyler Martin190001

Missouri's OC Kirby Moore
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Beau Pribula (Tr)688976%791718.9
Matt Zollers55100%631012.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ahmad Hardy (Tr)5746258.171
Jamal Roberts2922217.763
Marquise Davis2512324.917
Beau Pribula (Tr)257633.031
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Coleman Jr. (Tr)24258110.850
Marquis Johnson9173219.249
Brett Norfleet118737.927
Joshua Manning881010.117

View Missouri's Full Roster
Missouri's DC Corey Batoon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Trotter (Tr)155000
Jalen Catalon (Tr)100000
Jeremiah Beasley90000
Nicholas Rodriguez82000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damon Wilson Jr.63320
Zion Young73110
Darris Smith31130
Khalil Jacobs51110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dreyden Norwood61004
Caleb Flagg30002
Nicholas Deloach Jr.20001