Kansas at Missouri - 2025 Matchup Preview
Kansas logo   Kansas Jayhawks at Missouri Tigers  Missouri logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Missouri -5.5 (51.0) (-240)  Open: -6.5 | 54.5
Missouri 42 - Kansas: 31

 
Jayhawks (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (22 - 28)
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (22 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 0)
MIZ 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Missouri -11  (SP+ MIZ -10)

Projected Score: KU: 21 - MIZ: 32 (54)
MIZ Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
KU Travel: 157 miles
Tigers (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (37 - 24)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (40 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#54)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
 
Kansas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Kansas vs Fresno State-14.051.5W 31 - 7UY
Fri 8/29 Kansas vs Wagner-45.557.5W 46 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Kansas at Missouri+5.551.0L 31 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Kansas vs West Virginia-12.554.5W 41 - 10UY
Sat 9/27 Kansas vs Cincinnati-5.555.5L 34 - 37ON
Sat 10/4 Kansas at UCF-4.053.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 10/11 Kansas at Texas Tech+13.558.5L 17 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Kansas vs Kansas State-3.555.5L 17 - 42ON
Sat 11/1 Kansas vs Oklahoma State-24.554.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 11/8 Kansas at Arizona+5.556.5L 20 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Kansas at Iowa State+3.055.5L 14 - 38UN
Fri 11/28 Kansas vs Utah+10.559.5L 21 - 31UY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule
Missouri's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Missouri vs Central Arkansas-38.552.5W 61 - 6OY
Sat 9/6 Missouri vs Kansas-5.551.0W 42 - 31OY
Sat 9/13 Missouri vs Louisiana-27.547.5W 52 - 10OY
Sat 9/20 Missouri vs South Carolina-10.048.5W 29 - 20ON
Sat 9/27 Missouri vs Massachusetts-44.557.5W 42 - 6UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Missouri vs Alabama+3.550.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 10/18 Missouri at Auburn-1.543.5W 23 - 17UY
Sat 10/25 Missouri at Vanderbilt+3.052.5L 10 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Missouri vs Texas A&M+7.048.5L 17 - 38ON
Sat 11/15 Missouri vs Mississippi State-7.550.5W 49 - 27OY
Sat 11/22 Missouri at Oklahoma+4.542.5L 6 - 17UN
Sat 11/29 Missouri at Arkansas-4.554.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 12/27 Missouri vs Virginia-4.043.5L 7 - 13UN

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU#9 (.32)48% (16)28.149% (15)3.6 (3)21348% (11)2094.68 (11)#108 (.23)45% (99)26.846% (104)43% (95)3.83 (73)38.41.41.4
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)30.247% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)18.942% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Offense1228.121.848.1%4.681.4224212132095.658%41%49%48%12%.32
MIZ Defense1318.920.640.6%3.381.2 - - - - - 53%47%42%39%18%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Defense1226.833.244.5%3.831.4 - - - - - 50%50%46%43%17%.23
MIZ Offense1330.239.544%3.910.7193611592024.353%47%47%41%11%.19

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas1230:5421.551%67%4.538.41.41.45.82.3225.3
Missouri1330:2819.547%53%5.2460.71.251.9231
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Offense1258% (19)49% (15)37.8212.75.629 (18).33 (4)3.6 (3)83% (8)7% (20)1.08 (29)
MIZ Defense1353% (91)42% (57) - - - - .01 (18)2.75 (29)73% (64)12% (22)0.92 (43)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Defense1250% (58)46% (104) - - - - .22 (117)3.4 (124)82% (117)10% (62)1 (78)
MIZ Offense1353% (48)47% (28)37.1158.74.325 (41).12 (73)3.04 (67)79% (26)8% (31)0.9 (100)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Offense1241% (122)48% (11)14.725.5208.88.214.215 (98)12 (85).38 (17)1.6 (62)30% (38)36% (26).38 (51)5% (31)1.9 (117)
MIZ Defense1347% (47)39% (56) - - - - - - 6 (109).23 (65)1.6 (70)32% (61)27% (20).2 (27)6% (54)2 (65)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Defense1250% (72)43% (95) - - - - - - 12 (39).3 (101)1.7 (110)32% (60)33% (104).29 (61)7% (31)2.1 (80)
MIZ Offense1347% (85)41% (80)17.828.5202.27.111.412 (118)5 (6).26 (66)1.6 (69)30% (49)33% (52).39 (44)4% (10)2.1 (49)

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 4.95  #51
Kansas's Offense Rating: 19.97  #27
Kansas's Defense Rating: 15.02  #79
2025 Talent Rating: 770.00  #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 2%  #79
Kansas's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kansas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1  #58
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9  #48
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5  #76

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 4.95   Missouri: 15.335

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 4.1   Missouri: 14.4




Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 15.335  #39
Missouri's Offense Rating: 12.08  #73
Missouri's Defense Rating: 0.81  #12
2025 Talent Rating: 856.00  #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 32  #21
Missouri's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Missouri's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.4  #21
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2  #47
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4  #10

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Kansas Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.2

Kansas's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 32
Kansas 21


Projected Total Points: 54
Missouri Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

Missouri's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Missouri42Kansas31Missouri -5.5Missouri51.0Over
201111/26Kansas10Missouri24
201011/27Missouri35Kansas7
200911/28Kansas39Missouri41
200811/29Missouri37Kansas40
200711/24Kansas28Missouri36
200611/25Missouri42Kansas17
200510/29Kansas13Missouri3
200411/20Missouri14Kansas31
200309/27Kansas35Missouri14
200210/26Missouri36Kansas12
200110/20Kansas34Missouri38
200010/13Missouri17Kansas38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Missouri811 Overs
Kansas500 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 71 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams7 - 60 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#51) KU at (#39) MIZ
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKUMIZ
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #51 #39
SP+SP+ #58 #21
Perf GradeGrade #38 #7
OffenseOff #38 #13
DefenseDef #64 #7
Spec TeamsST #30 #9
TalentTal #62 #38
Blue ChipsBC% #79 #21
Kansas Notes
(9/24) RB Hinshaw doubtful for Cincy game
(9/24) Off good success not expl, Daniels a weapon
(9/24) Def Success #'s really good early, but bad Expl
(9/20) Run Off mauled WVU, Daniels efficient, Def decent
(7/30) RB Williams was Iowa leader (800+) in '23
(7/19) Replacing career 4.5k RB yds, 7k WR yds
(5/23) KU was 1-5 in 1 score games LY (of 7 L's)
(4/4) QB Daniels back, electric when healthy
(4/4) RB rebuild. Hishaw exp'd, added Williams (Iowa)
(4/4) OL 2/5 back, good LY. 3 portal adds
(4/4) Def bad LY, replaces a lot. 11 portal adds
(3/21) WR total rebuild. 3 portals. Pickett (BG) #1?
Kansas Injury Report
Missouri Notes
(12/28) 0-5 vs winning teams, 8 wins vs teams (30-67)
(12/21) Hired Chip Lindsey at OC (Mich). Awful hire
(11/27) HC Drinkwitz extended, makes almost 11 mil per
(11/21) QB Pribula will start vs OU
(11/16) Killed MSU, but QB3 Zollers ain't ready. Run Off++
(10/22) Starting Kicker inj, Fr R Meyer replacement
(10/10) OT Cayden Green returns for Bama game, big add
(9/21) Big W over SCar, Run Off good, Run Def great
(9/8) QB Pribula a good passer, a dynamic weapon
(9/8) RBs Hardy & Roberts are a great duo
(8/28) QB Horn looks done for the year (leg)
(7/20) DBs really good w/ Catalon + Hall portal adds
Missouri Injury Report
Kansas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KU OffMIZ Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #38 #7
SuccessSuc #16 #54
ExplosiveExp #63 #51
PPAPPA #9 #32
PowerPwr #27 #12
SP+SP+ #48 #10
Pts POPPO #11 #28
HavocHav #19 #32
Kansas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KU OffMIZ Def
Run GameRun #39 #7
Run SuccessRSuc #15 #57
Run ExplRExp #29 #43
PPAExp #4 #18
Run BlockR Blk #16 -
OL YdsOLY #3 #29
Stuff RateStuff #5 #46
TackleTak -  #17
Kansas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KU OffMIZ Def
Pass GamePass #53 #22
Pass SuccessPSuc #11 #56
Pass ExplPExl #62 #70
PPAExp #17 #65
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #88 #6
F7 HavocF7 #20 #22
DB HavocDB #31 #54
Missouri on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatMIZ OffKU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #13 #64
SuccessSuc #54 #99
ExplosiveExp #114 #101
PPAPPA #70 #108
PowerPwr #73 #79
SP+SP+ #47 #76
Pts POPPO #68 #73
HavocHav #9 #54
Missouri Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
MIZ OffKU Def
Run GameRun #11 #89
Run SuccessRSuc #28 #104
Run ExplRExp #100 #78
PPAExp #73 #117
Run BlockR Blk #10 -
OL YdsOLY #67 #124
Stuff RateStuff #25 #118
TackleTak -  #88
Missouri Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatMIZ OffKU Def
Pass GamePass #69 #54
Pass SuccessPSuc #80 #95
Pass ExplPExl #69 #110
PPAExp #66 #101
Pass Block/RushP Blk #7 #53
F7 HavocF7 #31 #62
DB HavocDB #10 #31
Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

KU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Missouri -5.5 (51.0)
Missouri won vs Kansas this year (42-31)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Kansas last year (42-31)

  
KU's OC Matt Lubick (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalon Daniels19831962%25042277.8
Cole Ballard102246%108114.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daniel Hishaw Jr.12458754.722
Leshon Williams (Tr)9756575.862
Jalon Daniels11742343.638
Isaiah Marshall15160010.743
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Emmanuel Henderson Jr. (Tr)45766517.093
Boden Groen (Tr)36450512.546
Cam Pickett (Tr)45449310.038
Levi Wentz16258216.150

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC D.K. McDonald (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Lathan (Tr)867265
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)721037
Bangally Kamara (Tr)549114
Austin Alexander464002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leroy Harris III (Tr)317518
D.J. Withers165310
Tommy Dunn264321
Jalen Todd442214
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leroy Harris III (Tr)317518
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)721037
Trey Lathan (Tr)867265

MIZ's OC Kirby Moore (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Beau Pribula (Tr)18227067%19461197.2
Matt Zollers478853%503425.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ahmad Hardy (Tr)2561649166.472
Jamal Roberts12475366.163
Beau Pribula (Tr)9529763.149
Marquise Davis3420025.923
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Coleman Jr. (Tr)66732111.150
Donovan Olugbode30401213.434
Marquis Johnson28345212.349
Joshua Manning29318211.034

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Corey Batoon (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Trotter (Tr)8413271
Nicholas Rodriguez614207
Santana Banner (Tr)591003
Marvin Burks Jr.492001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damon Wilson Jr.2299132
Zion Young42167142
Chris McClellan488662
Darris Smith1565112
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nicholas Rodriguez614207
Dreyden Norwood242005
Daylan Carnell417014