Kansas at Missouri - 2025 Matchup Preview
Kansas logo Kansas Jayhawks at Missouri TigersMissouri logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Missouri -5.5 (51.0) (-240)  Open: -6.5 | 54.5
Missouri 42 - Kansas: 31

 
Jayhawks (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (22 - 28)
Avg Score : 36 - 19 (31 - 42 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 5.3 (#67)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 0)
MIZ 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Missouri -16   (SP+ MIZ -9)

Projected Score: KU: 21 - MIZ: 37 (59)
MIZ Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
KU Travel: 157 miles
Tigers (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (37 - 24)
Avg Score : 52 - 16 (52 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 3 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
 
Kansas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Kansas vs Fresno State-14.051.5W 31 - 7UY
Fri 8/29 Kansas vs Wagner-45.557.5W 46 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Kansas at Missouri+5.551.0L 31 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Kansas vs West Virginia-13.554.5
Sat 9/27 Kansas vs Cincinnati+0.5
Sat 10/4 Kansas at UCF-1
Sat 10/11 Kansas at Texas Tech+16
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Kansas vs Kansas State-6
Sat 11/1 Kansas vs Oklahoma State-18
Sat 11/8 Kansas at Arizona+1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Kansas at Iowa State+6.5
Sat 11/29 Kansas vs Utah+8

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule
Missouri's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Missouri vs Central Arkansas-38.552.5W 61 - 6OY
Sat 9/6 Missouri vs Kansas-5.551.0W 42 - 31OY
Sat 9/13 Missouri vs Louisiana-27.547.5W 52 - 10OY
Sat 9/20 Missouri vs South Carolina-13.546.5
Sat 9/27 Missouri vs Massachusetts-50.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Missouri vs Alabama+2.5
Sat 10/18 Missouri at Auburn+2.5
Sat 10/25 Missouri at Vanderbilt-3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Missouri vs Texas A&M-3.5
Sat 11/15 Missouri vs Mississippi State-12
Sat 11/22 Missouri at Oklahoma+5
Sat 11/29 Missouri at Arkansas-6

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU#19 (.4)54% (18)3651% (36)3.93 (4)16558% (9)2484.89 (34)#100 (.2)38% (62)18.735% (36)42% (82)4.1 (93)45.711.3
MIZ#15 (.45)56% (11)51.760% (6)3.91 (6)30253% (24)2855.52 (12)#29 ()31% (15)15.732% (18)31% (26)3.86 (84)58.30.71
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU#9 (.32)48% (16)49% (15)3.6 (3)21348% (11)2094.68 (11)#108 (.23)45% (99)46% (104)43% (95)3.83 (73)38.41.41.4
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)47% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)42% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Offense3363154.2%4.891224131652484.944%54%51%58%12%.4
MIZ Defense315.715.731.2%3.861 - - - - - 44%55%32%31%26%
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Defense318.74238.1%4.11.3 - - - - - 48%51%35%42%22%.2
MIZ Offense351.751.756.5%5.520.7285873022856.252%48%60%53%10%.45

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas328:3822.329%71%5.745.711.38.73.3032.3
Missouri337:4928.362%86%658.30.717.32.3129.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Offense344% (102)51% (36)33.71654.94 (79).23 (43)3.93 (4)75% (52)8% (66)0.83 (100)
MIZ Defense344% (31)32% (18) - - - - .07 (70)2.35 (34)38% (4)17% (4)1.21 (113)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Defense348% (56)35% (36) - - - - -.1 (21)2.35 (33)86% (112)16% (12)1.02 (85)
MIZ Offense352% (62)60% (6)49302.36.211 (8).42 (8)3.91 (6)88% (19)7% (40)1.08 (46)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Offense354% (40)58% (9)19.728248.38.912.69 (13)2 (60).64 (12)1.5 (82)26% (31)35% (45).62 (27)3% (31)2.1 (52)
MIZ Defense355% (104)31% (26) - - - - - - 2 (56).01 (23)1.6 (81)31% (86)21% (28).23 (60)8% (22)2.2 (108)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Defense351% (75)42% (82) - - - - - - 2 (56).52 (123)2 (130)37% (32)34% (101).55 (118)6% (56)2.4 (125)
MIZ Offense348% (71)53% (24)24.331.3284.79.111.78 (18)1 (23).48 (28)1.5 (73)22% (12)47% (10).77 (13)3% (24)2.1 (57)

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 11.24 #50
Kansas's Offense Rating: 23.42 #24
Kansas's Defense Rating: 12.17 #92
2025 Talent Rating: 770.00 #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Kansas's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3
Kansas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #36
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #19
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #58

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 11.24   Missouri: 26.755

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 10.2   Missouri: 19.5




Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 26.755 #13
Missouri's Offense Rating: 26.82 #13
Missouri's Defense Rating: -2.19 #21
2025 Talent Rating: 856.00 #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 32 #21
Missouri's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0
Missouri's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.5 #11
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #17
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #18

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Kansas Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 18.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 42

Kansas's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 37
Kansas 21


Total Points: 59

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 51.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 51.7
Defense: 15.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

Missouri's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Missouri42Kansas31MissouriMissouri -5.5Missouri51.0Over
201111/26Kansas10Missouri24Missouri
201011/27Missouri35Kansas7Missouri
200911/28Kansas39Missouri41Missouri
200811/29Missouri37Kansas40Kansas
200711/24Kansas28Missouri36Missouri
200611/25Missouri42Kansas17Missouri
200510/29Kansas13Missouri3Kansas
200411/20Missouri14Kansas31Kansas
200309/27Kansas35Missouri14Kansas
200210/26Missouri36Kansas12Missouri
200110/20Kansas34Missouri38Missouri
200010/13Missouri17Kansas38Kansas
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Missouri811 Overs
Kansas500 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 71 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams7 - 60 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#50) Kansas Info
Power Rating: 11.24 #50
Offense Rating: 23.42 #24
Defense Rating: 12.17 #92
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #19
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #58
Talent Rating: 770.00 #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
Great Offense Success Rate of 54%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.89 PPO
Good Run Success 51%
Great Pass Success 58%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.1 PPO
Good Run Def Success 35%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Kansas has won 2 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Kansas Notes
(7/19) Replacing career 4.5k RB yds, 7k WR yds
(5/23) KU was 1-5 in 1 score games LY (of 7 L's)
(4/4) QB Daniels back, electric when healthy
(4/4) RB rebuild. Hishaw exp'd, added Williams (Iowa)
(4/4) OL 2/5 back, good LY. 3 portal adds
(4/4) Def bad LY, replaces a lot. 11 portal adds
(3/21) WR total rebuild. 3 portals. Pickett (BG) #1?
(3/21) New OC Zebrowski was Co-OC/QB LY
(3/21) New DC McDonald promoted? Why?
(3/21) Strange '24, 1-5 to 5-7. Underachieved

Kansas Highlights
Kansas offense is efficent (#18)
Kansas has a top Offensive Line (#4)
Kansas does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#4)

Kansas Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Kansas Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#18)
Kansas Front 7 is disruptive (#12)

Kansas Deficiencies
Kansas offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Kansas gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#128)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMIZKU
OverallOver#3#16
OffenseOff#3#14
DefenseDef#9#59
Special TeamsST#76#9
PassingPass#3#27
RushingRush#9#34
Run BlockRBLK#18#15
Pass BlockPBLK#7#69
Route RunningWR Rt#5#26
TacklingTkl#23#95
Run DefenseR Def#10#80
Pass Rush DefPRush#17#50
Coverage DefCov#22#33

Rematch from Week 2
Missouri -5.5 (51.0)
Missouri won vs Kansas this year (42-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: KU | MIZ
Depth Chart: KU | MIZ
Rosters: KU | MIZ
(#13) Missouri Info
Power Rating: 26.755 #13
Offense Rating: 26.82 #13
Defense Rating: -2.19 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 19.5 #11
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #17
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #18
Talent Rating: 856.00 #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 32 #21
Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 56%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.52 PPO
Great Run Success 60%
Good Pass Success 53%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 31%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.86 PPO
Great Run Def Success 32%
Good Pass Def Success 31%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Missouri has won 1 straight
Missouri has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 0 (3 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Missouri Notes
(9/8) RBs Hardy & Roberts are a great duo
(8/28) QB Horn looks done for the year (leg)
(7/20) DBs really good w/ Catalon + Hall portal adds
(6/3) Off portals @ QB, RB, WR, 2-3 OL proj starters
(6/3) OL 2/5 back. Looks decent w/ 6 portal adds.
(5/23) Mizzu was 6-1 in 1 score games LY (4-0 in '23)
(4/4) OG Cayden Green a top G via PFF
(3/18) RB, Hardy (ULM) 1,300 yds as Fr LY
(3/18) WRs rebuild. Coleman (MSU) great pickup
(3/18) Def v good LY and loaded TY. DL could be ?

Missouri Highlights
Missouri is Undefeated vs Spread
Missouri in Undefeated
Missouri is Undefeated at Home
Missouri is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Missouri has Really Good Running Game (#3)
Missouri offense is efficent (#11)
Missouri has a top Offensive Line (#6)
Missouri offense is good in red zone (#12)
Missouri offense is good on 3rd downs
Missouri does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#27)

Missouri has a really good defense (#15)
Missouri has a good run defense (#18)
Missouri has a good pass defense (#26)
Missouri Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#20)
Missouri Front 7 is disruptive (#4)
Missouri Secondary is very good (#22)
Missouri has a great TO Margin (#28)

Missouri Deficiencies
Missouri gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#110)


  
Kansas's OC Jim Zebrowski
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalon Daniels547572%679929.1
Cole Ballard2633%38006.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daniel Hishaw Jr.3316915.121
Jalon Daniels218213.923
Leshon Williams (Tr)95716.321
Cole Ballard75207.415
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Emmanuel Henderson Jr. (Tr)12183215.362
Cam Pickett (Tr)10124312.421
Levi Wentz7103014.750
DeShawn Hanika995310.624

View Kansas's Full Roster
Kansas's DC D.K. McDonald
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Lathan (Tr)254112
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)171001
Mason Ellis131000
Bangally Kamara (Tr)134101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leroy Harris III (Tr)84410
D.J. Withers43210
Bangally Kamara (Tr)134101
Kenean Caldwell62100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Lathan (Tr)254112
Devin Dye71102
Taylor Davis90001

Missouri's OC Kirby Moore
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Beau Pribula (Tr)688976%791718.9
Matt Zollers55100%631012.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ahmad Hardy (Tr)5746258.171
Jamal Roberts2922217.763
Marquise Davis2512324.917
Beau Pribula (Tr)257633.031
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Coleman Jr. (Tr)24258110.850
Marquis Johnson9173219.249
Brett Norfleet118737.927
Joshua Manning881010.117

View Missouri's Full Roster
Missouri's DC Corey Batoon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Trotter (Tr)155000
Jalen Catalon (Tr)100000
Jeremiah Beasley90000
Nicholas Rodriguez82000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damon Wilson Jr.63320
Zion Young73110
Darris Smith31130
Khalil Jacobs51110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dreyden Norwood61004
Caleb Flagg30002
Nicholas Deloach Jr.20001