Central Arkansas at Missouri - 2025 Matchup Preview
Central Arkansas logo   Central Arkansas Bears at Missouri Tigers  Missouri logo
Thursday, August 28th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Missouri -38.5 (52.5) (0)  Open: -36.5 | 51.5
Missouri 61 - Central Arkansas: 6

 
Bears (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 6 - 61 (6 - 61 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Missouri -15.5  (SP+ MIZ -14)
MIZ Win prob: 97% | Cover: 51%
Tigers (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (37 - 24)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (40 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#54)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Central Arkansas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Central Arkansas at Missouri+38.552.5L 6 - 61ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Central Arkansas's Schedule
Missouri's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Missouri vs Central Arkansas-38.552.5W 61 - 6OY
Sat 9/6 Missouri vs Kansas-5.551.0W 42 - 31OY
Sat 9/13 Missouri vs Louisiana-27.547.5W 52 - 10OY
Sat 9/20 Missouri vs South Carolina-10.048.5W 29 - 20ON
Sat 9/27 Missouri vs Massachusetts-44.557.5W 42 - 6UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Missouri vs Alabama+3.550.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 10/18 Missouri at Auburn-1.543.5W 23 - 17UY
Sat 10/25 Missouri at Vanderbilt+3.052.5L 10 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Missouri vs Texas A&M+7.048.5L 17 - 38ON
Sat 11/15 Missouri vs Mississippi State-7.550.5W 49 - 27OY
Sat 11/22 Missouri at Oklahoma+4.542.5L 6 - 17UN
Sat 11/29 Missouri at Arkansas-4.554.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 12/27 Missouri vs Virginia-4.043.5L 7 - 13UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCA0%60%000%000%610%0%0000
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)30.247% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)18.942% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCA Offense1660%00000000%0%0%0%0%
MIZ Defense1318.920.640.6%3.381.2 - - - - - 53%47%42%39%18%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCA Defense161610%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
MIZ Offense1330.239.544%3.910.7193611592024.353%47%47%41%11%.19

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Central Arkansas10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Missouri1330:2819.547%53%5.2460.71.251.9231
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCA Offense10%0%000000%0%0
MIZ Defense1353% (91)42% (57) - - - - .01 (18)2.75 (29)73% (64)12% (22)0.92 (43)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCA Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
MIZ Offense1353% (48)47% (28)37.1158.74.325 (41).12 (73)3.04 (67)79% (26)8% (31)0.9 (100)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCA Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
MIZ Defense1347% (47)39% (56) - - - - - - 6 (109).23 (65)1.6 (70)32% (61)27% (20).2 (27)6% (54)2 (65)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCA Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
MIZ Offense1347% (85)41% (80)17.828.5202.27.111.412 (118)5 (6).26 (66)1.6 (69)30% (49)33% (52).39 (44)4% (10)2.1 (49)

Central Arkansas's Power Ratings
Central Arkansas's Power Rating: NR
Central Arkansas's Offense Rating: NR
Central Arkansas's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Central Arkansas's 2025 Expected Record: -
Central Arkansas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Central Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Central Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Atlantic Sun Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Arkansas:    Missouri: 15.335

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Arkansas:    Missouri: 14.4




Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 15.335  #39
Missouri's Offense Rating: 12.08  #73
Missouri's Defense Rating: 0.81  #12
2025 Talent Rating: 856.00  #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 32  #21
Missouri's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Missouri's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.4  #21
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2  #47
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4  #10

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Central Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 6 PPG
Offense on Road: 6
Defense: 61 PPG
Defense on Road: 61

Central Arkansas's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 36
Central Arkansas 21


Projected Total Points: 57
Missouri Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

Missouri's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/28Missouri61Central Arkansas6Missouri -38.5Missouri52.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Missouri111 Overs
Central Arkansas000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) UCA at (#39) MIZ
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCAMIZ
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #39
SP+SP+NR #21
Perf GradeGradeNR #7
OffenseOffNR #13
DefenseDefNR #7
Spec TeamsSTNR #9
TalentTalNR #38
Blue ChipsBC%NR #21
Missouri Notes
(12/28) 0-5 vs winning teams, 8 wins vs teams (30-67)
(12/21) Hired Chip Lindsey at OC (Mich). Awful hire
(11/27) HC Drinkwitz extended, makes almost 11 mil per
(11/21) QB Pribula will start vs OU
(11/16) Killed MSU, but QB3 Zollers ain't ready. Run Off++
(10/22) Starting Kicker inj, Fr R Meyer replacement
(10/10) OT Cayden Green returns for Bama game, big add
(9/21) Big W over SCar, Run Off good, Run Def great
(9/8) QB Pribula a good passer, a dynamic weapon
(9/8) RBs Hardy & Roberts are a great duo
(8/28) QB Horn looks done for the year (leg)
(7/20) DBs really good w/ Catalon + Hall portal adds
Missouri Injury Report
Central Arkansas on Offense
CategoryCat
UCA OffMIZ Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #7
SuccessSucNR #54
ExplosiveExpNR #51
PPAPPANR #32
PowerPwrNR #12
SP+SP+NR #10
Pts POPPONR #28
HavocHavNR #32
Central Arkansas Run Game
CategoryCat
UCA OffMIZ Def
Run GameRunNR #7
Run SuccessRSucNR #57
Run ExplRExpNR #43
PPAExpNR #18
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #29
Stuff RateStuffNR #46
TackleTak -  #17
Central Arkansas Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCA OffMIZ Def
Pass GamePassNR #22
Pass SuccessPSucNR #56
Pass ExplPExlNR #70
PPAExpNR #65
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #6
F7 HavocF7NR #22
DB HavocDBNR #54
Missouri on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatMIZ OffUCA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #13NR
SuccessSuc #54NR
ExplosiveExp #114NR
PPAPPA #70NR
PowerPwr #73NR
SP+SP+ #47NR
Pts POPPO #68NR
HavocHav #9NR
Missouri Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
MIZ OffUCA Def
Run GameRun #11NR
Run SuccessRSuc #28NR
Run ExplRExp #100NR
PPAExp #73NR
Run BlockR Blk #10 -
OL YdsOLY #67NR
Stuff RateStuff #25NR
TackleTak - NR
Missouri Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatMIZ OffUCA Def
Pass GamePass #69NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #80NR
Pass ExplPExl #69NR
PPAExp #66NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #7NR
F7 HavocF7 #31NR
DB HavocDB #10NR
Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

UCA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 79°
Rematch from Week 1
Missouri -38.5 (52.5)
Missouri won vs Central Arkansas this year (61-6)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Central Arkansas last year (61-6)

  
UCA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Austin Myers12421757%15971377.4
Luther Richesson (Tr)619862%726637.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Landen Chambers2421273105.353
Chapman McKown (Tr)4622614.918
Cam Young3313624.113
Luther Richesson (Tr)529211.830
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malachi Henry698891012.956
Tyrell Pollard26515719.876
Ty Durham36508214.155
Landen Chambers2723808.834

View Central Arkansas's Full Roster

UCA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dillon Williams80000
Daylon Land70000
Dude Person60000
Ny'Len Ramon Jones60000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gary Lewis11100
Dillon Williams80000
Sean Smith20000
Reggie Shepherd10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mari Smith (Tr)00001
Sean Smith20000
Reggie Shepherd10000

MIZ's OC Kirby Moore (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Beau Pribula (Tr)18227067%19461197.2
Matt Zollers478853%503425.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ahmad Hardy (Tr)2561649166.472
Jamal Roberts12475366.163
Beau Pribula (Tr)9529763.149
Marquise Davis3420025.923
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Coleman Jr. (Tr)66732111.150
Donovan Olugbode30401213.434
Marquis Johnson28345212.349
Joshua Manning29318211.034

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Corey Batoon (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Trotter (Tr)8413271
Nicholas Rodriguez614207
Santana Banner (Tr)591003
Marvin Burks Jr.492001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damon Wilson Jr.2299132
Zion Young42167142
Chris McClellan488662
Darris Smith1565112
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nicholas Rodriguez614207
Dreyden Norwood242005
Daylan Carnell417014