South Carolina at Missouri - 2025 Matchup Preview
South Carolina logo South Carolina Gamecocks at Missouri Tigers(#23)Missouri logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Missouri -10 (48.5) (-355)  Open: -3.0
Missouri 29 - South Carolina: 20  (SEC)

 
Gamecocks (3 - 3) (3 - 3 - 0)
Coach Shane Beamer (29 - 21)
Avg Score : 22 - 19 (15 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 6.9 (#94)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 6) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
MIZ 4th straight Home Game
MIZ is playing their 4th straight game
SC is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Missouri -17  (SP+ MIZ -11)

Projected Score: SC: 16 - MIZ: 33 (49)
MIZ Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
SC Travel: 715 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (5 - 1) (4 - 2 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (37 - 24)
Avg Score : 42 - 17 (42 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 2.8 (#22)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
South Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 South Carolina vs Virginia Tech-8.548.5W 24 - 11UY
Sat 9/6 South Carolina vs South Carolina State-43.054.0W 38 - 10UN
Sat 9/13 South Carolina vs Vanderbilt-3.048.5L 7 - 31UN
Sat 9/20 South Carolina at Missouri+10.048.5L 20 - 29OY
Sat 9/27 South Carolina vs Kentucky-5.546.5W 35 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 South Carolina at LSU+8.544.5L 10 - 20UN
Sat 10/18 South Carolina vs Oklahoma+5.542.5
Sat 10/25 South Carolina vs Alabama+12
Sat 11/1 South Carolina at Ole Miss+16
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 South Carolina at Texas A&M+17.5
Sat 11/22 South Carolina vs Coastal Carolina-27
Sat 11/29 South Carolina vs Clemson+3

Total: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Carolina's Schedule
Missouri's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Missouri vs Central Arkansas-38.552.5W 61 - 6OY
Sat 9/6 Missouri vs Kansas-5.551.0W 42 - 31OY
Sat 9/13 Missouri vs Louisiana-27.547.5W 52 - 10OY
Sat 9/20 Missouri vs South Carolina-10.048.5W 29 - 20ON
Sat 9/27 Missouri vs Massachusetts-44.557.5W 42 - 6UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Missouri vs Alabama+3.550.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 10/18 Missouri at Auburn-1.543.5
Sat 10/25 Missouri at Vanderbilt-1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Missouri vs Texas A&M-2
Sat 11/15 Missouri vs Mississippi State-14.5
Sat 11/22 Missouri at Oklahoma+2.5
Sat 11/29 Missouri at Arkansas-14.5

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SC#102 (.14)37% (125)22.336% (126)2.72 (103)11638% (112)1952.79 (130)#20 (.05)42% (75)1941% (59)43% (91)3.43 (45)68.712
MIZ#16 (.35)53% (5)41.756% (4)3.67 (4)27149% (20)2415.12 (9)#22 (.06)32% (7)16.730% (5)35% (17)4.05 (89)46.510.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SC#48 (.22)44% (58)44% (74)3.01 (73)17544% (42)2033.97 (62)#15 (.08)42% (73)45% (93)40% (61)3.19 (16)53.81.51.7
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)47% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)42% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SC Offense622.31537%2.791183111161953.356%44%36%38%17%.14
MIZ Defense616.716.732.4%4.050.8 - - - - - 44%56%30%35%22%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SC Defense61924.542%3.432 - - - - - 55%45%41%43%15%.05
MIZ Offense641.741.752.8%5.12127512271241653%47%56%49%11%.35

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Carolina627:0717.836%46%9.268.7125.52.3426.8
Missouri634:5026.755%80%4.746.510.86.82.8128.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SC Offense656% (32)36% (126)35.7116.33.37 (95).08 (98)2.72 (103)74% (62)12% (126)1.14 (18)
MIZ Defense644% (18)30% (5) - - - - -.06 (9)2.44 (21)43% (1)14% (9)0.92 (51)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SC Defense655% (111)41% (59) - - - - -.06 (10)2.79 (52)73% (81)11% (51)0.78 (12)
MIZ Offense653% (47)56% (4)45.5270.8619 (7).36 (4)3.67 (4)92% (2)7% (19)1.05 (41)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SC Offense644% (105)38% (112)15.323.8194.78.212.74 (125)3 (26).23 (86)1.6 (51)39% (135)22% (128).16 (112)4% (30)2 (78)
MIZ Defense656% (120)35% (17) - - - - - - 3 (93).17 (45)1.7 (112)35% (24)23% (17).29 (73)8% (13)2.2 (120)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SC Defense645% (28)43% (91) - - - - - - 8 (12).18 (49)1.5 (65)31% (91)30% (81).09 (16)5% (106)1.9 (50)
MIZ Offense647% (85)49% (20)2230240.881112 (39)5 (77).34 (39)1.4 (111)23% (5)42% (5).56 (16)4% (16)2 (69)

South Carolina's Power Ratings
South Carolina's Power Rating: 13.66  #44
South Carolina's Offense Rating: 10.81  #71
South Carolina's Defense Rating: -2.85  #22
2025 Talent Rating: 902.00  #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 36%  #20
South Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 5.1 - 6.9
South Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.1  #40
South Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4  #68
South Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4  #18

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
South Carolina: 13.66   Missouri: 29.07

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Carolina: 10.1   Missouri: 21.5




Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 29.07  #8
Missouri's Offense Rating: 27.90  #12
Missouri's Defense Rating: -4.87  #14
2025 Talent Rating: 856.00  #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 32  #21
Missouri's 2025 Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8
Missouri's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.5  #6
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5  #14
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.9  #14

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


South Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 15
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.5

South Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 33
South Carolina 16


Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Missouri 31
South Carolina 18

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Missouri 32
South Carolina 18

Total Points: 50
Missouri Scoring
Offense: 41.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.7
Defense: 16.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.7

Missouri's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Missouri29South Carolina20Missouri -10South Carolina48.5Over
202411/16South Carolina34Missouri30South Carolina -10.5Missouri42.5Over
202310/21Missouri34South Carolina12Missouri -7.5Missouri57.5Under
202210/29South Carolina10Missouri23South Carolina -3.5Missouri45.5Under
202111/13Missouri31South Carolina28Missouri -1Missouri56.5Over
202011/21South Carolina10Missouri17Missouri -5.0Missouri57.5Under
201909/21Missouri34South Carolina14Missouri -9.5Missouri61.0Under
201810/06South Carolina37Missouri35Missouri -1South Carolina62.5Over
201709/09Missouri13South Carolina31Missouri -2.5South Carolina71.0Under
201611/05South Carolina31Missouri21South Carolina -5South Carolina56.5Under
201510/03Missouri24South Carolina10Missouri -3.5Missouri42.5Under
201409/27South Carolina20Missouri21South Carolina -5.5Missouri0
201310/26Missouri24South Carolina27Missouri -2.5South Carolina0
201209/22South Carolina31Missouri10
200512/30Missouri38South Carolina31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Missouri984 Overs
South Carolina657 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 56 - 75 - 61 - 1
Road Teams5 - 107 - 61 - 16 - 5

(#44) SC at (#8) MIZ
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSCMIZ
Power RatePwr #44 #8
SP+SP+ #40 #6
Perf GradeGrade #82 #3
OffenseOff #111 #4
DefenseDef #65 #8
Spec TeamsST #86 #18
TalentTal #24 #38
Blue ChipsBC% #20 #21

South Carolina Notes
(10/12) Scored 37 pts in 3 SEC games not vs Kentucky
(10/12) OL coach Lonnie Teasley fired after LSU game.
(9/22) RB Faison has issues blocking/protecting
(9/21) Run Off is awful, Run Def run over by Mizzu
(9/21) 51 car, 77 yds in SEC play, 431 rush yds allowed
(9/15) Sellers left Vandy game (concussion), ? Mizzu
(8/26) RB Faison (USU) cleared by NCAA to play TY
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp but 51% is via portals
(5/3) ST's lost K, P, holder and LS. Could be notable
(5/1) Fr WR Malik Clark has flashed early, will play
(4/19) WR Harbor huge talent. Lots of talent, incl Fr

Missouri Notes
(10/10) OT Cayden Green returns for Bama game, big add
(9/21) Big W over SCar, Run Off good, Run Def great
(9/8) QB Pribula a good passer, a dynamic weapon
(9/8) RBs Hardy & Roberts are a great duo
(8/28) QB Horn looks done for the year (leg)
(7/20) DBs really good w/ Catalon + Hall portal adds
(6/3) Off portals @ QB, RB, WR, 2-3 OL proj starters
(6/3) OL 2/5 back. Looks decent w/ 6 portal adds.
(5/23) Mizzu was 6-1 in 1 score games LY (4-0 in '23)
(4/4) OG Cayden Green a top G via PFF
(3/18) RB, Hardy (ULM) 1,300 yds as Fr LY
South Carolina on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
SC OffMIZ Def
Perf GradePerf #111 #8
SuccessSuc #125 #7
ExplosiveExp #25 #119
PPAPPA #102 #22
PowerPwr #71 #14
SP+SP+ #68 #14
Pts POPPO #130 #89
HavocHav #94 #5
South Carolina Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
SC OffMIZ Def
Run GameRun #103 #4
Run SuccessRSuc #126 #5
Run ExplRExp #18 #51
PPAExp #98 #9
Run BlockR Blk #123 -
OL YdsOLY #103 #21
Stuff RateStuff #42 #19
TackleTak -  #14
South Carolina Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
SC OffMIZ Def
Pass GamePass #42 #38
Pass SuccessPSuc #112 #17
Pass ExplPExl #51 #112
PPAExp #86 #45
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #106 #5
F7 HavocF7 #126 #9
DB HavocDB #30 #13
Missouri on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatMIZ OffSC Def
Perf GradePerf #4 #65
SuccessSuc #5 #75
ExplosiveExp #86 #19
PPAPPA #16 #20
PowerPwr #12 #22
SP+SP+ #14 #18
Pts POPPO #9 #45
HavocHav #12 #81
Missouri Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
MIZ OffSC Def
Run GameRun #2 #36
Run SuccessRSuc #4 #59
Run ExplRExp #41 #12
PPAExp #4 #10
Run BlockR Blk #17 -
OL YdsOLY #4 #52
Stuff RateStuff #23 #23
TackleTak -  #50
Missouri Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatMIZ OffSC Def
Pass GamePass #28 #99
Pass SuccessPSuc #20 #91
Pass ExplPExl #111 #65
PPAExp #39 #49
Pass Block/RushP Blk #27 #54
F7 HavocF7 #19 #51
DB HavocDB #16 #106
Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

SC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 85° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 4
Missouri -10.0 (48.5)
Missouri won vs South Carolina this year (29-20)

Previous Matchups
South Carolina beat Missouri last year (34-30)
Missouri beat South Carolina in 2023 (34-12)
Missouri beat South Carolina in 2022 (23-10)

  
SC's OC Mike Shula (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Lanorris Sellers7311464%1010428.9
Luke Doty182864%148015.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rahsul Faison (Tr)5423134.330
Matthew Fuller3315424.772
Oscar Adaway III3312113.723
Lanorris Sellers7011711.720
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Vandrevious Jacobs20341217.159
Nyck Harbor13256119.764
Donovan Murph594018.827
Brady Hunt108908.920

View South Carolina's Full Roster

SC's DC Clayton White (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DQ Smith321000
Fred Johnson291121
Jalon Kilgore270011
Justin Okoronkwo (Tr)261001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dylan Stewart259351
Bryan Thomas Jr.215350
Nick Barrett213201
Jatius Geer72210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Cisse (Tr)182013
Vicari Swain180002
Gerald Kilgore71001

MIZ's OC Kirby Moore (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Beau Pribula (Tr)12617373%13701157.9
Matt Zollers66100%751012.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ahmad Hardy (Tr)11578296.871
Jamal Roberts5340037.563
Marquise Davis3420025.923
Beau Pribula (Tr)5118243.631
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Coleman Jr. (Tr)4038819.750
Marquis Johnson21301214.349
Brett Norfleet2321259.227
Joshua Manning13144111.117

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Corey Batoon (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Trotter (Tr)366040
Jalen Catalon (Tr)230011
Khalil Jacobs205320
Santana Banner (Tr)200000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damon Wilson Jr.116670
Khalil Jacobs205320
Zion Young186372
Darris Smith72280
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dreyden Norwood112004
Caleb Flagg40002
Nicholas Rodriguez203102