South Carolina at Missouri - 2025 Matchup Preview
South Carolina logo South Carolina Gamecocks at Missouri Tigers(#23)Missouri logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Missouri -10 (48.5) (-355)  Open: -3.0
Missouri 29 - South Carolina: 20  (SEC)

 
Gamecocks (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shane Beamer (29 - 21)
Avg Score : 23 - 22 (19 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 6) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
MIZ 4th straight Home Game
MIZ is playing their 4th straight game
SC is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Missouri -7.5  (SP+ MIZ -11)

Projected Score: SC: 21 - MIZ: 28 (49)
MIZ Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
SC Travel: 715 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (37 - 24)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (40 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#54)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
South Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 South Carolina vs Virginia Tech-8.548.5W 24 - 11UY
Sat 9/6 South Carolina vs South Carolina State-43.054.0W 38 - 10UN
Sat 9/13 South Carolina vs Vanderbilt-3.048.5L 7 - 31UN
Sat 9/20 South Carolina at Missouri+10.048.5L 20 - 29OY
Sat 9/27 South Carolina vs Kentucky-5.546.5W 35 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 South Carolina at LSU+8.544.5L 10 - 20UN
Sat 10/18 South Carolina vs Oklahoma+4.542.5L 7 - 26UN
Sat 10/25 South Carolina vs Alabama+11.547.5L 22 - 29OY
Sat 11/1 South Carolina at Ole Miss+12.555.5L 14 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 South Carolina at Texas A&M+16.549.5L 30 - 31OY
Sat 11/22 South Carolina vs Coastal Carolina-24.050.0W 51 - 7OY
Sat 11/29 South Carolina vs Clemson-2.545.5L 14 - 28UN

Total: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Carolina's Schedule
Missouri's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Missouri vs Central Arkansas-38.552.5W 61 - 6OY
Sat 9/6 Missouri vs Kansas-5.551.0W 42 - 31OY
Sat 9/13 Missouri vs Louisiana-27.547.5W 52 - 10OY
Sat 9/20 Missouri vs South Carolina-10.048.5W 29 - 20ON
Sat 9/27 Missouri vs Massachusetts-44.557.5W 42 - 6UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Missouri vs Alabama+3.550.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 10/18 Missouri at Auburn-1.543.5W 23 - 17UY
Sat 10/25 Missouri at Vanderbilt+3.052.5L 10 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Missouri vs Texas A&M+7.048.5L 17 - 38ON
Sat 11/15 Missouri vs Mississippi State-7.550.5W 49 - 27OY
Sat 11/22 Missouri at Oklahoma+4.542.5L 6 - 17UN
Sat 11/29 Missouri at Arkansas-4.554.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 12/27 Missouri vs Virginia-4.043.5L 7 - 13UN

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SC#109 (.1)37% (118)22.739% (107)2.89 (77)11236% (120)2252.61 (134)#30 (.09)42% (67)22.139% (39)44% (106)3.15 (29)57.31.51.8
MIZ#50 (.2)45% (42)30.248% (21)3.12 (37)22842% (64)1883.85 (56)#11 (.04)35% (8)18.936% (8)35% (12)3.36 (40)51.21.30.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SC#48 (.22)44% (58)44% (74)3.01 (73)17544% (42)2033.97 (62)#15 (.08)42% (73)45% (93)40% (61)3.19 (16)53.81.51.7
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)47% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)42% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SC Offense1222.718.537.2%2.611.5183371122253.349%50%39%36%20%.1
MIZ Defense1318.920.634.6%3.360.9 - - - - - 47%51%36%35%20%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SC Defense1222.127.541.6%3.151.8 - - - - - 51%47%39%44%16%.09
MIZ Offense1330.239.544.8%3.851.3234172281885.355%43%48%42%13%.2

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Carolina1227:5817.732%50%7.357.31.51.85.31.8426.6
Missouri1331:5123.145%59%5.551.21.30.96.92.8428.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SC Offense1249% (73)39% (107)34111.63.314 (107).09 (81)2.89 (77)62% (124)14% (132)1.07 (30)
MIZ Defense1347% (41)36% (8) - - - - .01 (20)2.64 (23)69% (50)12% (10)0.95 (66)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SC Defense1251% (86)39% (39) - - - - -.06 (8)2.7 (31)68% (42)10% (49)0.88 (24)
MIZ Offense1355% (31)48% (21)42.8228.55.331 (4).23 (15)3.12 (37)89% (1)9% (47)1.08 (26)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SC Offense1250% (63)36% (120)17.428.5225.37.912.913 (121)11 (60).17 (109)1.7 (30)36% (131)24% (127).14 (125)6% (81)1.8 (119)
MIZ Defense1351% (98)35% (12) - - - - - - 7 (75).1 (14)1.6 (82)35% (20)28% (35).27 (61)7% (15)2.1 (82)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SC Defense1247% (54)44% (106) - - - - - - 12 (22).25 (72)1.5 (40)31% (83)29% (68).14 (14)6% (69)1.9 (39)
MIZ Offense1343% (108)42% (64)17.627.8188.46.810.715 (50)11 (108).18 (108)1.4 (115)29% (35)31% (61).28 (77)4% (15)2.1 (29)

South Carolina's Power Ratings
South Carolina's Power Rating: 12.09  #32
South Carolina's Offense Rating: 16.51  #49
South Carolina's Defense Rating: 4.42  #20
2025 Talent Rating: 902.00  #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 36%  #20
South Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
South Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2  #51
South Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1  #85
South Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5  #28

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
South Carolina: 12.09   Missouri: 16.185

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Carolina: 5.2   Missouri: 16.1




Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 16.185  #39
Missouri's Offense Rating: 12.08  #73
Missouri's Defense Rating: 0.81  #12
2025 Talent Rating: 856.00  #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 32  #21
Missouri's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Missouri's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.1  #19
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3  #32
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.6  #13

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


South Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.5
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5

South Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 28
South Carolina 21


Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Missouri 31
South Carolina 17

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
Missouri 30
South Carolina 20

Total Points: 50
Missouri Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

Missouri's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Missouri29South Carolina20Missouri -10South Carolina48.5Over
202411/16South Carolina34Missouri30South Carolina -10.5Missouri42.5Over
202310/21Missouri34South Carolina12Missouri -7.5Missouri57.5Under
202210/29South Carolina10Missouri23South Carolina -3.5Missouri45.5Under
202111/13Missouri31South Carolina28Missouri -1Missouri56.5Over
202011/21South Carolina10Missouri17Missouri -5.0Missouri57.5Under
201909/21Missouri34South Carolina14Missouri -9.5Missouri61.0Under
201810/06South Carolina37Missouri35Missouri -1South Carolina62.5Over
201709/09Missouri13South Carolina31Missouri -2.5South Carolina71.0Under
201611/05South Carolina31Missouri21South Carolina -5South Carolina56.5Under
201510/03Missouri24South Carolina10Missouri -3.5Missouri42.5Under
201409/27South Carolina20Missouri21South Carolina -5.5Missouri0
201310/26Missouri24South Carolina27Missouri -2.5South Carolina0
201209/22South Carolina31Missouri10
200512/30Missouri38South Carolina31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Missouri984 Overs
South Carolina657 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 56 - 75 - 61 - 1
Road Teams5 - 107 - 61 - 16 - 5

(#32) SC at (#39) MIZ
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSCMIZ
Net PPPPPP #65 #40
Power RatePwr #32 #39
SP+SP+ #51 #19
Perf GradeGrade #95 #7
OffenseOff #108 #13
DefenseDef #44 #7
Spec TeamsST #84 #9
TalentTal #24 #38
Blue ChipsBC% #20 #21
South Carolina Notes
(11/16) Blowing 30-3 lead vs A&M feels like the bottom
(11/2) OC Mike Shula fired after Ole Miss loss
(10/22) Bottom 5 in CFB in Off scoring opportunities
(10/19) Off Success #'s bottom 10 in all CFB. Not improving
(10/19) Scored 44 pts vs 4 SEC games not named UK
(10/12) OL coach Lonnie Teasley fired after LSU game.
(9/22) RB Faison has issues blocking/protecting
(9/21) Run Off is awful, Run Def run over by Mizzu
(9/21) 51 car, 77 yds in SEC play, 431 rush yds allowed
(9/15) Sellers left Vandy game (concussion), ? Mizzu
(8/26) RB Faison (USU) cleared by NCAA to play TY
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp but 51% is via portals
South Carolina Injury Report
Missouri Notes
(12/28) 0-5 vs winning teams, 8 wins vs teams (30-67)
(12/21) Hired Chip Lindsey at OC (Mich). Awful hire
(11/27) HC Drinkwitz extended, makes almost 11 mil per
(11/21) QB Pribula will start vs OU
(11/16) Killed MSU, but QB3 Zollers ain't ready. Run Off++
(10/22) Starting Kicker inj, Fr R Meyer replacement
(10/10) OT Cayden Green returns for Bama game, big add
(9/21) Big W over SCar, Run Off good, Run Def great
(9/8) QB Pribula a good passer, a dynamic weapon
(9/8) RBs Hardy & Roberts are a great duo
(8/28) QB Horn looks done for the year (leg)
(7/20) DBs really good w/ Catalon + Hall portal adds
Missouri Injury Report
South Carolina on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
SC OffMIZ Def
PPPOffPPP #91 #58
Perf GradePerf #108 #7
SuccessSuc #118 #8
ExplosiveExp #19 #73
PPAPPA #109 #11
PowerPwr #49 #12
SP+SP+ #85 #13
Pts POPPO #134 #40
HavocHav #130 #8
South Carolina Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
SC OffMIZ Def
Run GameRun #116 #7
Run SuccessRSuc #107 #8
Run ExplRExp #30 #66
PPAExp #81 #20
Run BlockR Blk #121 -
OL YdsOLY #77 #23
Stuff RateStuff #44 #38
TackleTak -  #17
South Carolina Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
SC OffMIZ Def
Pass GamePass #50 #22
Pass SuccessPSuc #120 #12
Pass ExplPExl #30 #82
PPAExp #109 #14
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #102 #6
F7 HavocF7 #132 #10
DB HavocDB #81 #15
Missouri on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatMIZ OffSC Def
PPPDefPPP #34 #29
Perf GradePerf #13 #44
SuccessSuc #42 #67
ExplosiveExp #86 #36
PPAPPA #50 #30
PowerPwr #73 #20
SP+SP+ #32 #28
Pts POPPO #56 #29
HavocHav #23 #61
Missouri Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
MIZ OffSC Def
Run GameRun #11 #25
Run SuccessRSuc #21 #39
Run ExplRExp #26 #24
PPAExp #15 #8
Run BlockR Blk #10 -
OL YdsOLY #37 #31
Stuff RateStuff #45 #26
TackleTak -  #53
Missouri Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatMIZ OffSC Def
Pass GamePass #69 #82
Pass SuccessPSuc #64 #106
Pass ExplPExl #115 #40
PPAExp #108 #72
Pass Block/RushP Blk #7 #70
F7 HavocF7 #47 #49
DB HavocDB #15 #69
Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

SC 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 85° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 4
Missouri -10.0 (48.5)
Missouri won vs South Carolina this year (29-20)

Previous Matchups
South Carolina beat Missouri last year (34-30)
Missouri beat South Carolina in 2023 (34-12)
Missouri beat South Carolina in 2022 (23-10)

  
SC's OC Mike Shula (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Lanorris Sellers17829361%24371388.3
Luke Doty193063%153015.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rahsul Faison (Tr)9647034.946
Lanorris Sellers14927051.826
Matthew Fuller7226023.672
Oscar Adaway III4114013.423
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nyck Harbor30618620.680
Vandrevious Jacobs32548417.174
Jayden Sellers22337115.375
Donovan Murph14197114.138

View South Carolina's Full Roster

SC's DC Clayton White (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DQ Smith642001
Justin Okoronkwo (Tr)634021
Fred Johnson624143
Jalon Kilgore5400110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Thomas Jr.40117121
Dylan Stewart3112462
Nick Barrett426211
Jatius Geer133220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalon Kilgore5400110
Vicari Swain281105
Brandon Cisse (Tr)272015

MIZ's OC Kirby Moore (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Beau Pribula (Tr)18227067%19461197.2
Matt Zollers478853%503425.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ahmad Hardy (Tr)2561649166.472
Jamal Roberts12475366.163
Beau Pribula (Tr)9529763.149
Marquise Davis3420025.923
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Coleman Jr. (Tr)66732111.150
Donovan Olugbode30401213.434
Marquis Johnson28345212.349
Joshua Manning29318211.034

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Corey Batoon (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Trotter (Tr)8413271
Nicholas Rodriguez614207
Santana Banner (Tr)591003
Marvin Burks Jr.492001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damon Wilson Jr.2299132
Zion Young42167142
Chris McClellan488662
Darris Smith1565112
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nicholas Rodriguez614207
Dreyden Norwood242005
Daylan Carnell417014