Bowling Green Falcons at Ball State Cardinals
Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (2:00 PM EST)
Bowling Green -12.5 (54.5) (-455) Open: -10.0
Bowling Green 38 - Ball State: 13 (Mid-American)
Falcons (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (20 - 35)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Coach Scot Loeffler (20 - 35)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Our Line: Bowling Green -16.5 (SP+ BGSU -18)
Projected Score: BGSU: 36 - BALL: 20 (56)
BGSU Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
BGSU Travel: 123 miles
Projected Score: BGSU: 36 - BALL: 20 (56)
BGSU Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
BGSU Travel: 123 miles
Cardinals (3 - 9) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Collin Johnson (Int) (37 - 56)
Avg Score : 25 - 40 (29 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Coach Collin Johnson (Int) (37 - 56)
Avg Score : 25 - 40 (29 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
| Bowling Green's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Bowling Green vs Fordham | -15.5 | 60.5 | W 41 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Bowling Green at Penn State | +35.5 | 51.5 | L 27 - 34 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/21 | Bowling Green at Texas A&M | +21.0 | 50.5 | L 20 - 26 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Bowling Green vs Old Dominion | -11.0 | 51.5 | L 27 - 30 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Bowling Green at Akron | -17.0 | 48.5 | W 27 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois | -3.0 | 46.5 | L 7 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Bowling Green vs Kent State | -24.0 | 54.5 | W 27 - 6 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Bowling Green at Toledo | +1.5 | 47.5 | W 41 - 26 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/5 | Bowling Green at Central Michigan | -14.5 | 47.5 | W 23 - 13 | U | N | |
| Tue 11/12 | Bowling Green vs Western Michigan | -9.5 | 57.5 | W 31 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Bowling Green at Ball State | -12.5 | 54.5 | W 38 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Fri 11/29 | Bowling Green vs Miami (OH) | -3.0 | 37.5 | L 12 - 28 | O | N | |
| Thu 12/26 | Bowling Green vs Arkansas State | -10.5 | 54.5 | L 31 - 38 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
| Ball State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/7 | Ball State vs Missouri State | -2.5 | 50.5 | W 42 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Ball State at Miami | +36.5 | 55.5 | L 0 - 62 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Ball State at Central Michigan | +6.5 | 51.0 | L 34 - 37 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Ball State at James Madison | +22.0 | 56.5 | L 7 - 63 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Ball State vs Western Michigan | +10.0 | 57.5 | L 42 - 45 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Ball State at Kent State | -3.0 | 58.0 | W 37 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Ball State at Vanderbilt | +27.5 | 57.5 | L 14 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Ball State vs Northern Illinois | +13.5 | 47.5 | W 25 - 23 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/5 | Ball State vs Miami (OH) | +12.5 | 48.5 | L 21 - 27 | U | Y | |
| Tue 11/12 | Ball State at Buffalo | +3.5 | 55.5 | L 48 - 51 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Ball State vs Bowling Green | +12.5 | 54.5 | L 13 - 38 | U | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Ball State at Ohio | +17.5 | 51.5 | L 21 - 42 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Predictions for Ball State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU | #53 (.21) | 43% (68) | 27.1 | 41% (99) | 3.01 (74) | 134 | 44% (38) | 207 | 3.84 (77) | #43 (.13) | 38% (15) | 21.6 | 39% (29) | 37% (20) | 3.47 (32) | 41.1 | 0.8 | 1 |
| BALL | #98 (.14) | 42% (78) | 25.3 | 44% (70) | 3.06 (61) | 103 | 41% (72) | 245 | 3.94 (65) | #128 (.32) | 46% (118) | 40.1 | 46% (103) | 47% (121) | 4.81 (133) | 45.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU | #53 (.21) | 43% (68) | 41% (99) | 3.01 (74) | 134 | 44% (38) | 207 | 3.84 (77) | #43 (.13) | 38% (15) | 39% (29) | 37% (20) | 3.47 (32) | 41.1 | 0.8 | 1 | ||
| BALL | #98 (.14) | 42% (78) | 44% (70) | 3.06 (61) | 103 | 41% (72) | 245 | 3.94 (65) | #128 (.32) | 46% (118) | 46% (103) | 47% (121) | 4.81 (133) | 45.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU Offense | 13 | 27.1 | 29.3 | 42.6% | 3.84 | 0.8 | 18 | 341 | 134 | 207 | 4.4 | 47% | 53% | 41% | 44% | 18% | .21 |
| BALL Defense | 12 | 40.1 | 33.4 | 46.5% | 4.81 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 52% | 46% | 47% | 13% | .32 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU Defense | 13 | 21.6 | 22 | 37.6% | 3.47 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 49% | 39% | 37% | 16% | .13 |
| BALL Offense | 12 | 25.3 | 28.6 | 42.1% | 3.94 | 1.2 | 20 | 348 | 103 | 245 | 3.4 | 42% | 58% | 44% | 41% | 19% | .14 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green | 13 | 29:21 | 18.2 | 37% | 59% | 4.8 | 41.1 | 0.8 | 1 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 29.2 |
| Ball State | 12 | 30:58 | 20.3 | 42% | 46% | 4.9 | 45.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 30.3 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU Offense | 13 | 47% (92) | 41% (99) | 30.6 | 133.5 | 4.4 | 20 (67) | .14 (64) | 3.01 (74) | 78% (34) | 12% (118) | 1.08 (30) |
| BALL Defense | 12 | 47% (34) | 46% (103) | - | - | - | - | .22 (116) | 3.17 (90) | 74% (72) | 9% (103) | 1.08 (110) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU Defense | 13 | 50% (66) | 39% (29) | - | - | - | - | .17 (94) | 3.28 (109) | 80% (113) | 10% (75) | 1.1 (116) |
| BALL Offense | 12 | 42% (120) | 44% (70) | 30.8 | 103.4 | 3.4 | 10 (122) | .1 (91) | 3.06 (61) | 80% (23) | 11% (99) | 0.87 (117) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU Offense | 13 | 53% (42) | 44% (38) | 18.7 | 28.4 | 207.3 | 7.3 | 11.1 | 16 (87) | 6 (10) | .28 (53) | 1.4 (127) | 32% (86) | 32% (67) | .29 (85) | 5% (53) | 1.8 (128) |
| BALL Defense | 12 | 52% (100) | 47% (121) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 (93) | .44 (128) | 1.8 (119) | 33% (55) | 40% (133) | .57 (131) | 5% (115) | 2.2 (115) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU Defense | 13 | 49% (66) | 37% (20) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 (52) | .11 (19) | 1.6 (65) | 34% (31) | 24% (3) | .15 (9) | 6% (69) | 2 (46) |
| BALL Offense | 12 | 58% (16) | 41% (72) | 23.3 | 36.6 | 244.7 | 6.7 | 10.5 | 26 (26) | 11 (72) | .19 (98) | 1.6 (73) | 33% (93) | 28% (101) | .29 (88) | 8% (123) | 2.2 (15) |
Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -2.77 #73
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 20.86 #56
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 7.25 #46
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Bowling Green's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Bowling Green's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -2.77 #73
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 20.86 #56
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 7.25 #46
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Bowling Green's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Bowling Green's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -2.77 Ball State: -18.945
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -1.8 Ball State: -19.8
Bowling Green: -2.77 Ball State: -18.945
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -1.8 Ball State: -19.8
Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -18.945 #126
Ball State's Offense Rating: 17.16 #93
Ball State's Defense Rating: 22.27 #132
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Ball State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Ball State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Ball State's Power Rating: -18.945 #126
Ball State's Offense Rating: 17.16 #93
Ball State's Defense Rating: 22.27 #132
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Ball State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Ball State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.3
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 22
Bowling Green's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.3
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 22
Bowling Green's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Bowling Green 36
Ball State 20
Total Points: 56
Bowling Green 36
Ball State 20
Total Points: 56
Ball State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.6
Defense: 40.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4
Ball State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.6
Defense: 40.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4
Ball State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/23 | Ball State | 13 | Bowling Green | 38 | Bowling Green | Bowling Green -12.5 | Bowling Green | 54.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/01 | Bowling Green | 24 | Ball State | 21 | Bowling Green | Bowling Green -4.5 | Ball State | 39.5 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/24 | Ball State | 10 | Bowling Green | 48 | Bowling Green | Bowling Green -20.5 | Bowling Green | 74.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/28 | Bowling Green | 24 | Ball State | 41 | Ball State | Bowling Green -9 | Ball State | 0 | |
| 2009 | 10/17 | Ball State | 17 | Bowling Green | 31 | Bowling Green | ||||
| 2005 | 09/10 | Ball State | 31 | Bowling Green | 40 | Bowling Green | ||||
| 2004 | 10/16 | Bowling Green | 51 | Ball State | 13 | Bowling Green | ||||
| 2003 | 11/22 | Ball State | 14 | Bowling Green | 41 | Bowling Green | ||||
| 2002 | 10/26 | Bowling Green | 38 | Ball State | 20 | Bowling Green |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State | 1 | 2 | 1 Overs |
| Bowling Green | 8 | 2 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 3 - 6 | 0 - 4 | 0 - 2 | 0 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 6 - 3 | 4 - 0 | 2 - 0 | 2 - 0 |
(#73) Bowling Green Info
Power Rating: -2.77 #73
Offense Rating: 20.86 #56
Defense Rating: 7.25 #46
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Bowling Green has won 4 straight
Bowling Green has won 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Bowling Green Notes
(11/13) Off better, Rgame good 220+, 7.4 ypc in WMU W
(11/8) Off OK vs CMU, Rgame 181, 5.2 ypc. Def great TW
(10/20) Bazelak torched Kent St, Rgame was really bad
(10/14) QB Bazelak hurt vs N. Illinois (day to day)
(10/14) Backup QB Lucian A. cannot throw the ball
(10/13) Scored open TD and 0 after in 17-7 L (N Ill)
(9/28) Bazelak 300 yds in W over ODU, Rgame really bad
(9/26) Great fight w/ A&M. Off is good, Def is underrated
(9/8) Nearly upset PSU, QB Bazelak/WR Fannin v good
(8/6) 14 starters back w/ momentum. MAC sleeper
Bowling Green Highlights
Bowling Green has a really good defense (#29)
Bowling Green has a good run defense (#11)
Bowling Green has a good pass defense (#58)
Bowling Green has a great TO Margin (#1)
Bowling Green commits very few Penalties (#95)
Bowling Green Deficiencies
Bowling Green Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#56)
Bowling Green Does Not Stuff Runs (#30)
Bowling Green has a bad defensive line (#31)
Power Rating: -2.77 #73
Offense Rating: 20.86 #56
Defense Rating: 7.25 #46
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Bowling Green has won 4 straight
Bowling Green has won 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Bowling Green Notes
(11/13) Off better, Rgame good 220+, 7.4 ypc in WMU W
(11/8) Off OK vs CMU, Rgame 181, 5.2 ypc. Def great TW
(10/20) Bazelak torched Kent St, Rgame was really bad
(10/14) QB Bazelak hurt vs N. Illinois (day to day)
(10/14) Backup QB Lucian A. cannot throw the ball
(10/13) Scored open TD and 0 after in 17-7 L (N Ill)
(9/28) Bazelak 300 yds in W over ODU, Rgame really bad
(9/26) Great fight w/ A&M. Off is good, Def is underrated
(9/8) Nearly upset PSU, QB Bazelak/WR Fannin v good
(8/6) 14 starters back w/ momentum. MAC sleeper
Bowling Green Highlights
Bowling Green has a really good defense (#29)
Bowling Green has a good run defense (#11)
Bowling Green has a good pass defense (#58)
Bowling Green has a great TO Margin (#1)
Bowling Green commits very few Penalties (#95)
Bowling Green Deficiencies
Bowling Green Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#56)
Bowling Green Does Not Stuff Runs (#30)
Bowling Green has a bad defensive line (#31)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | BALL | BGSU |
| OverallOver | #92 | #26 |
| OffenseOff | #75 | #40 |
| DefenseDef | #115 | #22 |
| Special TeamsST | #91 | #16 |
| PassingPass | #70 | #29 |
| RushingRush | #98 | #34 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #69 | #70 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #38 | #62 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #50 | #17 |
| TacklingTkl | #105 | #33 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #108 | #63 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #54 | #34 |
| Coverage DefCov | #110 | #14 |
Rematch from Week 13
Bowling Green 12.5 (54.5)
Bowling Green won at Ball State this year (38-13)
Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Ball State last year (38-13)
Bowling Green beat Ball State in 2023 (24-21)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Scheumann Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: BGSU | BALL
Depth Chart: BGSU | BALL
Rosters: BGSU | BALL
(#126) Ball State Info
Power Rating: -18.945 #126
Offense Rating: 17.16 #93
Defense Rating: 22.27 #132
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.94 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.81 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Ball State has lost 2 straight
Ball State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 3 (4 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Ball State Notes
(11/29) Fr QB Semonza good vs Ohio, 333 yds, 3/0 TD/Int
(11/16) HC Neu fired, OL Colin Johnson interim
(11/8) Good fight w/ M-O, Rgame abysmal, QB great
(10/22) Def stop rate 37% (#132) into week 9
(10/20) Good fight w/ Vandy, QB 21-29 for 190 yds?
(10/13) Shootout W over Kent St. Pass Def torched
(10/4) Sched brutal, Def CFB #133. Over every game.
(9/12) Over bet team. Off much improved, Def horrific
(9/8) Def gave up 34 to Mizzu St? Off looked good in open
(9/8) Run game strength LY only 2/5 OL and new RBs
Ball State Highlights
Ball State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#120)
Ball State commits very few Penalties (#59)
Ball State Deficiencies
Ball State Can Not Run the Ball (#80)
Ball State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Ball State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Ball State has a bad defense (#128)
Ball State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#77)
Ball State has a bad red zone defense (#70)
Power Rating: -18.945 #126
Offense Rating: 17.16 #93
Defense Rating: 22.27 #132
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.94 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.81 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Ball State has lost 2 straight
Ball State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 3 (4 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Ball State Notes
(11/29) Fr QB Semonza good vs Ohio, 333 yds, 3/0 TD/Int
(11/16) HC Neu fired, OL Colin Johnson interim
(11/8) Good fight w/ M-O, Rgame abysmal, QB great
(10/22) Def stop rate 37% (#132) into week 9
(10/20) Good fight w/ Vandy, QB 21-29 for 190 yds?
(10/13) Shootout W over Kent St. Pass Def torched
(10/4) Sched brutal, Def CFB #133. Over every game.
(9/12) Over bet team. Off much improved, Def horrific
(9/8) Def gave up 34 to Mizzu St? Off looked good in open
(9/8) Run game strength LY only 2/5 OL and new RBs
Ball State Highlights
Ball State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#120)
Ball State commits very few Penalties (#59)
Ball State Deficiencies
Ball State Can Not Run the Ball (#80)
Ball State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Ball State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Ball State has a bad defense (#128)
Ball State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#77)
Ball State has a bad red zone defense (#70)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Bazelak | 269 | 402 | 67% | 3044 | 18 | 5 | 7.6 |
| Lucian Anderson III | 5 | 12 | 42% | 32 | 1 | 1 | 2.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terion Stewart | 166 | 898 | 6 | 5.4 | 73 |
| Jaison Patterson | 99 | 426 | 5 | 4.3 | 41 |
| Jamal Johnson | 26 | 188 | 1 | 7.2 | 41 |
| Rahkeem Smith | 20 | 128 | 3 | 6.4 | 40 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harold Fannin | 117 | 1550 | 10 | 13.2 | 65 |
| Malcolm Johnson Jr. (Tr) | 49 | 573 | 3 | 11.7 | 50 |
| Rahkeem Smith | 25 | 349 | 3 | 14.0 | 66 |
| Jamal Johnson | 31 | 229 | 1 | 7.4 | 36 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Horne | 81 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Joseph Sipp Jr. | 79 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 2 |
| CJ Brown (Tr) | 73 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Charles Rosser | 62 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Sipp Jr. | 79 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 2 |
| Charles Rosser | 62 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Anthony Hawkins | 46 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Ali Saad | 40 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Oladokun | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Ja'Corey Benjamin | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Todd Bumphis (Tr) | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kadin Semonza | 275 | 427 | 64% | 2900 | 25 | 10 | 6.8 |
| Aidan Leffler | 2 | 6 | 33% | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braedon Sloan (Tr) | 150 | 597 | 4 | 4.0 | 40 |
| Vaughn Pemberton | 61 | 276 | 2 | 4.5 | 41 |
| Cam Pickett | 17 | 170 | 2 | 10.0 | 34 |
| TJ Horton | 23 | 107 | 0 | 4.7 | 17 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Koziol | 94 | 839 | 8 | 8.9 | 33 |
| Cam Pickett | 49 | 528 | 2 | 10.8 | 65 |
| Justin Bowick (Tr) | 20 | 383 | 3 | 19.2 | 57 |
| Braedon Sloan (Tr) | 29 | 329 | 1 | 11.3 | 72 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Udo (Tr) | 78 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Keionte Newson | 73 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Riley Tolsma (Tr) | 59 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 1 |
| Joey Stemler | 56 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Tolsma (Tr) | 59 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 1 |
| Brandon Berger | 38 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| Sam Feeney | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Darin Conley | 16 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Norwood (Tr) | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Keionte Newson | 73 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Brandon Berger | 38 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 4 |