Kent State at Bowling Green - 2024 Matchup Preview
Kent State logo Kent State Golden Flashes at Bowling Green FalconsBowling Green logo
Saturday, October 19th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Bowling Green -24 (54.5) (-2400)  Open: -24.5
Bowling Green 27 - Kent State: 6  (Mid-American)

 
Golden Flashes (0 - 12) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Kenni Burns (1 - 11)
Avg Score : 14 - 44 (9 - 48 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 12 (#134)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
BGSU 2nd straight Home Game
BGSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Bowling Green -33   (SP+ BGSU -31)

Projected Score: KENT: 10 - BGSU: 43 (53)
BGSU Win prob: 96% | Cover: 57%
KENT Travel: 121 miles
Falcons (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (20 - 35)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (24 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
 
Kent State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Kent State at Pittsburgh+23.555.5L 24 - 55ON
Sat 9/7 Kent State vs St. Francis (PA)-17.549.5L 17 - 23UN
Sat 9/14 Kent State at Tennessee+49.561.5L 0 - 71ON
Sat 9/21 Kent State at Penn State+49.058.0L 0 - 56UN
Sat 9/28 Kent State vs Eastern Michigan+14.046.0L 33 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Kent State vs Ball State+3.058.0L 35 - 37OY
Sat 10/19 Kent State at Bowling Green+24.054.5L 6 - 27UY
Sat 10/26 Kent State at Western Michigan+19.061.0L 21 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6 Kent State vs Ohio+20.553.5L 0 - 41UN
Wed 11/13 Kent State at Miami (OH)+31.047.5L 7 - 34UY
Tue 11/19 Kent State vs Akron+10.549.0L 17 - 38ON
Tue 11/26 Kent State at Buffalo+23.550.5L 7 - 43UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3

Predictions for Kent State's Schedule
Bowling Green's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Bowling Green vs Fordham-15.560.5W 41 - 17UY
Sat 9/7 Bowling Green at Penn State+35.551.5L 27 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Bowling Green at Texas A&M+21.050.5L 20 - 26UY
Sat 9/28 Bowling Green vs Old Dominion-11.051.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 10/5 Bowling Green at Akron-17.048.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 10/12 Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois-3.046.5L 7 - 17UN
Sat 10/19 Bowling Green vs Kent State-24.054.5W 27 - 6UN
Sat 10/26 Bowling Green at Toledo+1.547.5W 41 - 26OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5 Bowling Green at Central Michigan-14.547.5W 23 - 13UN
Tue 11/12 Bowling Green vs Western Michigan-9.557.5W 31 - 13UY
Sat 11/23 Bowling Green at Ball State-12.554.5W 38 - 13UY
Fri 11/29 Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)-3.037.5L 12 - 28ON
Thu 12/26 Bowling Green vs Arkansas State-10.554.5L 31 - 38ON

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENT#131 (.01)30% (134)13.933% (132)2.57 (128)7829% (134)1552.89 (130)#133 (.35)50% (131)44.150% (123)51% (130)4.34 (115)35.71.70.9
BGSU#53 (.21)43% (68)27.141% (99)3.01 (74)13444% (38)2073.84 (77)#43 (.13)38% (15)21.639% (29)37% (20)3.47 (32)41.10.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENT#131 (.01)30% (134)33% (132)2.57 (128)7829% (134)1552.89 (130)#133 (.35)50% (131)50% (123)51% (130)4.34 (115)35.71.70.9
BGSU#53 (.21)43% (68)41% (99)3.01 (74)13444% (38)2073.84 (77)#43 (.13)38% (15)39% (29)37% (20)3.47 (32)41.10.81



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENT Offense1213.99.330.5%2.891.713233781552.447%51%33%29%28%.01
BGSU Defense1321.618.537.6%3.471 - - - - - 50%49%39%37%16%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENT Defense1244.148.350.1%4.340.9 - - - - - 55%45%50%51%12%.35
BGSU Offense1327.124.242.6%3.840.8183411342074.447%53%41%44%18%.21

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kent State1226:5212.919%38%4.835.71.70.94.71.5027.2
Bowling Green1329:2118.237%59%4.841.10.814.92.2229.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENT Offense1247% (91)33% (132)32.377.52.43 (134)-.07 (132)2.57 (128)61% (123)19% (134)0.95 (72)
BGSU Defense1350% (66)39% (29) - - - - .17 (94)3.28 (109)80% (113)10% (75)1.1 (116)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENT Defense1255% (113)50% (123) - - - - .3 (132)3.58 (133)81% (115)8% (111)1.13 (122)
BGSU Offense1347% (92)41% (99)30.6133.54.420 (67).14 (64)3.01 (74)78% (34)12% (118)1.08 (30)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENT Offense1251% (54)29% (134)11.624.5155.46.313.418 (68)13 (103).14 (109)2.1 (2)41% (134)19% (134).11 (132)8% (128)2.7 (1)
BGSU Defense1349% (66)37% (20) - - - - - - 11 (52).11 (19)1.6 (65)34% (31)24% (3).15 (9)6% (69)2 (46)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENT Defense1245% (25)51% (130) - - - - - - 4 (125).41 (126)1.5 (23)28% (124)38% (127).42 (109)4% (127)1.8 (15)
BGSU Offense1353% (42)44% (38)18.728.4207.37.311.116 (87)6 (10).28 (53)1.4 (127)32% (86)32% (67).29 (85)5% (53)1.8 (128)

Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -32.59 #134
Kent State's Offense Rating: 8.84 #130
Kent State's Defense Rating: 22.62 #133
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Kent State's 2024 Expected Record: 0.0 - 12.0
Kent State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -33.0 #134
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #133
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.8 #134

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -32.59   Bowling Green: 0.215

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -33.0   Bowling Green: -1.8




Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: 0.215 #73
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 20.86 #56
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 7.25 #46
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Bowling Green's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Bowling Green's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Kent State Scoring
Offense: 13.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.3
Defense: 44.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 48.3

Kent State's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 12
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Projected Score
Bowling Green 43
Kent State 10


Total Points: 53

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.2
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

Bowling Green's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Bowling Green27Kent State6Bowling GreenBowling Green -24Kent State54.5Under
202311/08Kent State19Bowling Green49Bowling GreenBowling Green -10.5Bowling Green41.5Over
202211/09Bowling Green6Kent State40Kent StateKent State -2.5Kent State55.5Under
202110/02Kent State27Bowling Green20Kent StateKent State -16.5Bowling Green56.0Under
202011/10Bowling Green24Kent State62Kent StateKent State -20.5Kent State55.0Over
201909/21Kent State62Bowling Green20Kent StateKent State -12Kent State61.5Over
201810/30Bowling Green28Kent State35Kent StateBowling Green -1.5Kent State67.5Under
201710/31Kent State16Bowling Green44Bowling GreenBowling Green -1Bowling Green48.0Over
201611/15Bowling Green42Kent State7Bowling GreenKent State -3Bowling Green54.0Under
201510/24Kent State0Bowling Green48Bowling GreenBowling Green -9.5Bowling Green59.0Under
201411/12Bowling Green30Kent State20Bowling GreenBowling Green -13Kent State0
201309/07Kent State22Bowling Green41Bowling GreenBowling Green -8Bowling Green0
201211/17Bowling Green24Kent State31Kent State
201110/29Kent State27Bowling Green15Kent State
201010/23Bowling Green6Kent State30Kent State
200910/10Kent State35Bowling Green36Bowling Green
200811/01Bowling Green45Kent State30Bowling Green
200710/20Kent State20Bowling Green31Bowling Green
200609/23Bowling Green3Kent State38Kent State
200511/05Kent State14Bowling Green24Bowling Green
200311/15Bowling Green42Kent State33Bowling Green
200211/02Kent State14Bowling Green45Bowling Green
200110/06Bowling Green24Kent State7Bowling Green
200009/29Kent State11Bowling Green18Bowling Green
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Bowling Green1564 Overs
Kent State966 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 152 - 101 - 41 - 6
Road Teams15 - 910 - 26 - 14 - 1

(#134) Kent State Info
Power Rating: -32.59 #134
Offense Rating: 8.84 #130
Defense Rating: 22.62 #133
Overall SP+ Rating: -33.0 #134
Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #133
Defense SP+ Rating: 43.8 #134
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 0.0 - 12.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 30%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.89 PPO
Awful Run Success 33%
Awful Pass Success 29%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.34 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Kent State has lost 6 straight
Kent State has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 7 (2 - 5 - 0 vs Spread )

Kent State Notes
(11/27) Avg score 14 -44. Total outscored 529-167
(11/18) Took 1st lead vs M OH, all 34 straight, may not W
(11/7) CFB worst. New Fr QB new suck. Rgame sucks
(11/7) Have never had a lead in any game at 0-9
(10/22) Def stop rate last in CFB (36%) into week 9
(10/13) Pass game expl in shootout L (Ball St). Def bad
(10/4) Sched brutal but bottom 5 in Every Off/Def stat
(9/29) Outscored 234-57 by four P4 opps this year
(9/26) Top 2 QBs out for season, 3rd QB looks hurt
(9/26) Worst team in CFB, top QBs hurt. Burns sucks?

Kent State Highlights
Kent State offense is explosive (#43)
Kent State commits very few Penalties (#85)

Kent State Deficiencies
Kent State has a really bad Offense
Kent State Can Not Run the Ball (#122)
Kent State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Kent State offense is really bad (#134)
Kent State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#99)
Kent State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#126)
Kent State run game is really bad (#135)
Kent State pass game is really bad (#116)
Kent State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Kent State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Kent State does not Sack the QB (#112)
Kent State has a bad defense (#66)
Kent State Does Not Stuff Runs (#39)
Kent State has a bad defensive line (#53)
Kent State has a bad red zone defense (#89)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatBGSUKENT
OverallOver#26#101
OffenseOff#40#112
DefenseDef#22#109
Special TeamsST#16#88
PassingPass#29#107
RushingRush#34#101
Run BlockRBLK#70#108
Pass BlockPBLK#62#103
Route RunningWR Rt#17#78
TacklingTkl#33#98
Run DefenseR Def#63#104
Pass Rush DefPRush#34#62
Coverage DefCov#14#108

Rematch from Week 8
Bowling Green -24.0 (54.5)
Bowling Green won vs Kent State this year (27-6)

Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Kent State last year (27-6)
Bowling Green beat Kent State in 2023 (49-19)
Kent State beat Bowling Green in 2022 (40-6)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: KENT | BGSU
Depth Chart: KENT | BGSU
Rosters: KENT | BGSU
(#73) Bowling Green Info
Power Rating: 0.215 #73
Offense Rating: 20.86 #56
Defense Rating: 7.25 #46
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Bowling Green has lost 1 straight
Bowling Green has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Bowling Green Notes
(11/13) Off better, Rgame good 220+, 7.4 ypc in WMU W
(11/8) Off OK vs CMU, Rgame 181, 5.2 ypc. Def great TW
(10/20) Bazelak torched Kent St, Rgame was really bad
(10/14) QB Bazelak hurt vs N. Illinois (day to day)
(10/14) Backup QB Lucian A. cannot throw the ball
(10/13) Scored open TD and 0 after in 17-7 L (N Ill)
(9/28) Bazelak 300 yds in W over ODU, Rgame really bad
(9/26) Great fight w/ A&M. Off is good, Def is underrated
(9/8) Nearly upset PSU, QB Bazelak/WR Fannin v good
(8/6) 14 starters back w/ momentum. MAC sleeper

Bowling Green Highlights
Bowling Green has a really good defense (#29)
Bowling Green has a good run defense (#11)
Bowling Green has a good pass defense (#58)
Bowling Green has a great TO Margin (#1)
Bowling Green commits very few Penalties (#95)

Bowling Green Deficiencies
Bowling Green Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#56)
Bowling Green Does Not Stuff Runs (#30)
Bowling Green has a bad defensive line (#31)


  
Kent State's OC Mark Carney
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tommy Ulatowski8117546%13421587.7
Devin Kargman458255%432325.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ky Thomas13555014.138
Curtis Douglas4814503.019
Jahzae Kimbrough2711404.218
Ayden Harris2911013.813
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chrishon Mccray40705917.668
Luke Floriea44688715.680
Jay Jay Etheridge1413719.837
Dashawn Martin8108013.527

View Kent State's Full Roster
Kent State's DC Kody Morgan
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Baka903005
Mason Woods (Tr)684001
Tevin Tucker652002
Rocco Nicholl611032
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kameron Olds (Tr)427621
Stephen Daley519463
Matt Harmon567251
Kaden Beatty193101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Baka903005
Naim Muhammad242113
Stephen Daley519463

Bowling Green's OC Greg Nosal
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Connor Bazelak26940267%30441857.6
Lucian Anderson III51242%32112.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Terion Stewart16689865.473
Jaison Patterson9942654.341
Jamal Johnson2618817.241
Rahkeem Smith2012836.440
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Harold Fannin11715501013.265
Malcolm Johnson Jr. (Tr)49573311.750
Rahkeem Smith25349314.066
Jamal Johnson3122917.436

View Bowling Green's Full Roster
Bowling Green's DC Sammy Lawanson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brock Horne816221
Joseph Sipp Jr.7912712
CJ Brown (Tr)732012
Charles Rosser628540
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Sipp Jr.7912712
Charles Rosser628540
Anthony Hawkins468523
Ali Saad409430
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Oladokun351007
Ja'Corey Benjamin261005
Todd Bumphis (Tr)81103