Kent State at Bowling Green - 2024 Matchup Preview

Kent State Golden Flashes at Bowling Green Falcons

Saturday, October 19th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Bowling Green -24 (54.5) (-2400) Open: -24.5
Bowling Green 27 - Kent State: 6 (Mid-American)

Golden Flashes (0 - 12) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Kenni Burns (1 - 11)
Avg Score : 14 - 44 (9 - 48 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 12 (#134)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BGSU 2nd straight Home Game
BGSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Bowling Green -33 (SP+ BGSU -31)
Projected Score: KENT: 10 - BGSU: 43 (54)
BGSU Win prob: 96% | Cover: 57%
KENT Travel: 121 miles

Falcons (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (20 - 35)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (24 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
KENT Players
BGSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kent State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Kent State at Pittsburgh	+23.5	55.5	L 24 - 55	O	N
Sat 9/7	Kent State vs St. Francis (PA)	-17.5	49.5	L 17 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/14	Kent State at Tennessee	+49.5	61.5	L 0 - 71	O	N
Sat 9/21	Kent State at Penn State	+49.0	58.0	L 0 - 56	U	N
Sat 9/28	Kent State vs Eastern Michigan	+14.0	46.0	L 33 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Kent State vs Ball State	+3.0	58.0	L 35 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Kent State at Bowling Green	+24.0	54.5	L 6 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Kent State at Western Michigan	+19.0	61.0	L 21 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6	Kent State vs Ohio	+20.5	53.5	L 0 - 41	U	N
Wed 11/13	Kent State at Miami (OH)	+31.0	47.5	L 7 - 34	U	Y
Tue 11/19	Kent State vs Akron	+10.5	49.0	L 17 - 38	O	N
Tue 11/26	Kent State at Buffalo	+23.5	50.5	L 7 - 43	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kent State's Schedule

Bowling Green's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Bowling Green vs Fordham	-15.5	60.5	W 41 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Bowling Green at Penn State	+35.5	51.5	L 27 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Bowling Green at Texas A&M	+21.0	50.5	L 20 - 26	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Bowling Green vs Old Dominion	-11.0	51.5	L 27 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/5	Bowling Green at Akron	-17.0	48.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/12	Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois	-3.0	46.5	L 7 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/19	Bowling Green vs Kent State	-24.0	54.5	W 27 - 6	U	N
Sat 10/26	Bowling Green at Toledo	+1.5	47.5	W 41 - 26	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5	Bowling Green at Central Michigan	-14.5	47.5	W 23 - 13	U	N
Tue 11/12	Bowling Green vs Western Michigan	-9.5	57.5	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Bowling Green at Ball State	-12.5	54.5	W 38 - 13	U	Y
Fri 11/29	Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)	-3.0	37.5	L 12 - 28	O	N
Thu 12/26	Bowling Green vs Arkansas State	-10.5	54.5	L 31 - 38	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KENT	#131 (.01)	30% (134)	13.9	33% (132)	2.57 (128)	78	29% (134)	155	2.89 (130)	#133 (.35)	50% (131)	44.1	50% (123)	51% (130)	4.34 (115)	35.7	1.7	0.9
BGSU	#53 (.21)	43% (68)	27.1	41% (99)	3.01 (74)	134	44% (38)	207	3.84 (77)	#43 (.13)	38% (15)	21.6	39% (29)	37% (20)	3.47 (32)	41.1	0.8	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KENT	#131 (.01)	30% (134)		33% (132)	2.57 (128)	78	29% (134)	155	2.89 (130)	#133 (.35)	50% (131)		50% (123)	51% (130)	4.34 (115)	35.7	1.7	0.9
BGSU	#53 (.21)	43% (68)		41% (99)	3.01 (74)	134	44% (38)	207	3.84 (77)	#43 (.13)	38% (15)		39% (29)	37% (20)	3.47 (32)	41.1	0.8	1

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KENT Offense	12	13.9	9.3	30.5%	2.89	1.7	13	233	78	155	2.4	47%	51%	33%	29%	28%	.01
BGSU Defense	13	21.6	18.5	37.6%	3.47	1	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	39%	37%	16%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KENT Defense	12	44.1	48.3	50.1%	4.34	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	50%	51%	12%	.35
BGSU Offense	13	27.1	24.2	42.6%	3.84	0.8	18	341	134	207	4.4	47%	53%	41%	44%	18%	.21

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kent State	12	26:52	12.9	19%	38%	4.8	35.7	1.7	0.9	4.7	1.5	0	27.2
Bowling Green	13	29:21	18.2	37%	59%	4.8	41.1	0.8	1	4.9	2.2	2	29.2

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KENT Offense	12	47% (91)	33% (132)	32.3	77.5	2.4	3 (134)	-.07 (132)	2.57 (128)	61% (123)	19% (134)	0.95 (72)
BGSU Defense	13	50% (66)	39% (29)	-	-	-	-	.17 (94)	3.28 (109)	80% (113)	10% (75)	1.1 (116)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KENT Defense	12	55% (113)	50% (123)	-	-	-	-	.3 (132)	3.58 (133)	81% (115)	8% (111)	1.13 (122)
BGSU Offense	13	47% (92)	41% (99)	30.6	133.5	4.4	20 (67)	.14 (64)	3.01 (74)	78% (34)	12% (118)	1.08 (30)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KENT Offense	12	51% (54)	29% (134)	11.6	24.5	155.4	6.3	13.4	18 (68)	13 (103)	.14 (109)	2.1 (2)	41% (134)	19% (134)	.11 (132)	8% (128)	2.7 (1)
BGSU Defense	13	49% (66)	37% (20)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.11 (19)	1.6 (65)	34% (31)	24% (3)	.15 (9)	6% (69)	2 (46)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KENT Defense	12	45% (25)	51% (130)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (125)	.41 (126)	1.5 (23)	28% (124)	38% (127)	.42 (109)	4% (127)	1.8 (15)
BGSU Offense	13	53% (42)	44% (38)	18.7	28.4	207.3	7.3	11.1	16 (87)	6 (10)	.28 (53)	1.4 (127)	32% (86)	32% (67)	.29 (85)	5% (53)	1.8 (128)

Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -32.59 #134
Kent State's Offense Rating: 8.84 #130
Kent State's Defense Rating: 22.62 #133
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Kent State's 2024 Expected Record: 0.0 - 12.0
Kent State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -33.0 #134
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #133
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.8 #134

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -32.59 Bowling Green: 0.215

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -33.0 Bowling Green: -1.8

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: 0.215 #73
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 20.86 #56
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 7.25 #46
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Bowling Green's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Bowling Green's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Kent State Scoring
Offense: 13.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.3
Defense: 44.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 48.3

Kent State's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 12
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0

Projected Score
Bowling Green 43
Kent State 10

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Bowling Green 39
Kent State 16

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Bowling Green 36
Kent State 16

Total Points: 52

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.2
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

Bowling Green's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Kent State	24	Bowling Green	21	Bowling Green -7.5	Kent State	47.5	Under
2024	10/19	Bowling Green	27	Kent State	6	Bowling Green -24	Kent State	54.5	Under
2023	11/08	Kent State	19	Bowling Green	49	Bowling Green -10.5	Bowling Green	41.5	Over
2022	11/09	Bowling Green	6	Kent State	40	Kent State -2.5	Kent State	55.5	Under
2021	10/02	Kent State	27	Bowling Green	20	Kent State -16.5	Bowling Green	56.0	Under
2020	11/10	Bowling Green	24	Kent State	62	Kent State -20.5	Kent State	55.0	Over
2019	09/21	Kent State	62	Bowling Green	20	Kent State -12	Kent State	61.5	Over
2018	10/30	Bowling Green	28	Kent State	35	Bowling Green -1.5	Kent State	67.5	Under
2017	10/31	Kent State	16	Bowling Green	44	Bowling Green -1	Bowling Green	48.0	Over
2016	11/15	Bowling Green	42	Kent State	7	Kent State -3	Bowling Green	54.0	Under
2015	10/24	Kent State	0	Bowling Green	48	Bowling Green -9.5	Bowling Green	59.0	Under
2014	11/12	Bowling Green	30	Kent State	20	Bowling Green -13	Kent State	0
2013	09/07	Kent State	22	Bowling Green	41	Bowling Green -8	Bowling Green	0
2012	11/17	Bowling Green	24	Kent State	31
2011	10/29	Kent State	27	Bowling Green	15
2010	10/23	Bowling Green	6	Kent State	30
2009	10/10	Kent State	35	Bowling Green	36
2008	11/01	Bowling Green	45	Kent State	30
2007	10/20	Kent State	20	Bowling Green	31
2006	09/23	Bowling Green	3	Kent State	38
2005	11/05	Kent State	14	Bowling Green	24
2003	11/15	Bowling Green	42	Kent State	33
2002	11/02	Kent State	14	Bowling Green	45
2001	10/06	Bowling Green	24	Kent State	7
2000	09/29	Kent State	11	Bowling Green	18

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Bowling Green	15	6	4 Overs
Kent State	10	7	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 15	3 - 10	1 - 4	2 - 6
Road Teams	15 - 10	10 - 3	6 - 2	4 - 1

(#134) KENT at (#73) BGSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	KENT	BGSU
Power RatePwr	#134	#73
SP+SP+	#134	#77
Perf GradeGrade	#136	#35
OffenseOff	#136	#46
DefenseDef	#130	#29
Spec TeamsST	#108	#18
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#102

Kent State Notes(11/27) 0-12, killed by Buff. CFB worst, HC Burns 1-23
(11/27) Avg score 14 -44. Total outscored 529-167
(11/18) Took 1st lead vs M OH, all 34 straight, may not W
(11/7) CFB worst. New Fr QB new suck. Rgame sucks
(11/7) Have never had a lead in any game at 0-9
(10/22) Def stop rate last in CFB (36%) into week 9
(10/13) Pass game expl in shootout L (Ball St). Def bad
(10/4) Sched brutal but bottom 5 in Every Off/Def stat
(9/29) Outscored 234-57 by four P4 opps this year
(9/26) Top 2 QBs out for season, 3rd QB looks hurt
(9/26) Worst team in CFB, top QBs hurt. Burns sucks?
(9/26) Outrushed 207-78 in L vs St Francis?
Kent State Injury Report

Bowling Green Notes(11/25) Bullied Ball St. Finale vs M OH for MAC title gm
(11/13) Off better, Rgame good 220+, 7.4 ypc in WMU W
(11/8) Off OK vs CMU, Rgame 181, 5.2 ypc. Def great TW
(10/20) Bazelak torched Kent St, Rgame was really bad
(10/14) QB Bazelak hurt vs N. Illinois (day to day)
(10/14) Backup QB Lucian A. cannot throw the ball
(10/13) Scored open TD and 0 after in 17-7 L (N Ill)
(9/28) Bazelak 300 yds in W over ODU, Rgame really bad
(9/26) Great fight w/ A&M. Off is good, Def is underrated
(9/8) Nearly upset PSU, QB Bazelak/WR Fannin v good
(8/6) 14 starters back w/ momentum. MAC sleeper
(8/6) Will take lumps vs Penn St/Tex A&M early
Bowling Green Injury Report

Kent State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	KENT Off	BGSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#136	#29
SuccessSuc	#134	#15
ExplosiveExp	#1	#98
PPAPPA	#131	#43
PowerPwr	#130	#46
SP+SP+	#133	#75
Pts POPPO	#130	#32
HavocHav	#134	#73

Kent State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	KENT Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	#135	#80
Run SuccessRSuc	#132	#29
Run ExplRExp	#72	#116
PPAExp	#132	#94
Run BlockR Blk	#136	-
OL YdsOLY	#128	#109
Stuff RateStuff	#126	#103
TackleTak	-	#37

Kent State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	KENT Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	#132	#17
Pass SuccessPSuc	#134	#20
Pass ExplPExl	#2	#65
PPAExp	#109	#19
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#119	#39
F7 HavocF7	#134	#75
DB HavocDB	#128	#69

Bowling Green on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	BGSU Off	KENT Def
Perf GradePerf	#46	#130
SuccessSuc	#68	#131
ExplosiveExp	#75	#79
PPAPPA	#53	#133
PowerPwr	#56	#133
SP+SP+	#79	#134
Pts POPPO	#77	#115
HavocHav	#104	#127

Bowling Green Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	BGSU Off	KENT Def
Run GameRun	#49	#129
Run SuccessRSuc	#99	#123
Run ExplRExp	#30	#122
PPAExp	#64	#132
Run BlockR Blk	#89	-
OL YdsOLY	#74	#133
Stuff RateStuff	#124	#133
TackleTak	-	#113

Bowling Green Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	BGSU Off	KENT Def
Pass GamePass	#35	#131
Pass SuccessPSuc	#38	#130
Pass ExplPExl	#127	#23
PPAExp	#53	#126
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#70	#71
F7 HavocF7	#118	#111
DB HavocDB	#53	#127

Program Comparison
BGSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

KENT 5 Year Profile: Declining Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
Bowling Green -24.0 (54.5)
Bowling Green won vs Kent State this year (27-6)

Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Kent State last year (27-6)
Bowling Green beat Kent State in 2023 (49-19)
Kent State beat Bowling Green in 2022 (40-6)

KENT's OC Mark Carney (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tommy Ulatowski	81	175	46%	1342	15	8	7.7
Devin Kargman	45	82	55%	432	3	2	5.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ky Thomas	135	550	1	4.1	38
Curtis Douglas	48	145	0	3.0	19
Jahzae Kimbrough	27	114	0	4.2	18
Ayden Harris	29	110	1	3.8	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chrishon Mccray	40	705	9	17.6	68
Luke Floriea	44	688	7	15.6	80
Jay Jay Etheridge	14	137	1	9.8	37
Dashawn Martin	8	108	0	13.5	27

View Kent State's Full Roster

KENT's DC Kody Morgan (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Josh Baka	90	3	0	5
Mason Woods (Tr)	68	4	0	1
Tevin Tucker	65	2	0	2
Rocco Nicholl	61	1	3	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kameron Olds (Tr)	42	7	6	2	1
Stephen Daley	51	9	4	6	3
Matt Harmon	56	7	2	5	1
Kaden Beatty	19	3	1	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Josh Baka	90	3	0	0	5
Naim Muhammad	24	2	1	1	3
Stephen Daley	51	9	4	6	3

BGSU's OC Greg Nosal (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Connor Bazelak	269	402	67%	3044	18	5	7.6
Lucian Anderson III	5	12	42%	32	1	1	2.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Terion Stewart	166	898	6	5.4	73
Jaison Patterson	99	426	5	4.3	41
Jamal Johnson	26	188	1	7.2	41
Rahkeem Smith	20	128	3	6.4	40

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Harold Fannin	117	1550	10	13.2	65
Malcolm Johnson Jr. (Tr)	49	573	3	11.7	50
Rahkeem Smith	25	349	3	14.0	66
Jamal Johnson	31	229	1	7.4	36

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Sammy Lawanson (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brock Horne	81	6	2	2	1
Joseph Sipp Jr.	79	12	7	1	2
CJ Brown (Tr)	73	2	0	1	2
Charles Rosser	62	8	5	4	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joseph Sipp Jr.	79	12	7	1	2
Charles Rosser	62	8	5	4	0
Anthony Hawkins	46	8	5	2	3
Ali Saad	40	9	4	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jordan Oladokun	35	1	0	7
Ja'Corey Benjamin	26	1	0	5
Todd Bumphis (Tr)	8	1	1	3