Western Michigan at Bowling Green Game Matchup
Western Michigan logo Western Michigan Broncos at Bowling Green FalconsBowling Green logo
Tuesday, November 12th 2024 (7:00 PM EST)
Bowling Green -9.5 (57.5) (-345)  Open: -7.0
Bowling Green 31 - Western Michigan: 13  (Mid-American)

 
Broncos (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 29 - 31 (22 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Our Line: Bowling Green -10.5   (SP+ BGSU -8)
Projected Score: WMU: 22 - BGSU: 33 (54)
BGSU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
WMU Travel: 120 miles
Falcons (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (20 - 35)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (24 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
Western Michigan's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Western Michigan at Wisconsin+24.057.0L 14 - 28UY
Sat 9/7 Western Michigan at Ohio State+37.554.5L 0 - 56ON
Sat 9/14 Western Michigan vs Bethune-Cookman-33.554.5W 59 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Western Michigan at Marshall+3.553.5L 20 - 27UN
Sat 10/5 Western Michigan at Ball State-10.057.5W 45 - 42ON
Sat 10/12 Western Michigan vs Akron-9.548.5W 34 - 24OY
Sat 10/19 Western Michigan at Buffalo-1.049.5W 48 - 41OY
Sat 10/26 Western Michigan vs Kent State-19.061.0W 52 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6 Western Michigan vs Northern Illinois+2.551.5L 28 - 42ON
Tue 11/12 Western Michigan at Bowling Green+9.557.5L 13 - 31UN
Tue 11/19 Western Michigan at Central Michigan-6.056.0L 14 - 16UN
Sat 11/30 Western Michigan vs Eastern Michigan-6.556.5W 26 - 18UY
Sat 12/14 Western Michigan vs South Alabama+6.053.5L 23 - 30UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Bowling Green's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Bowling Green vs Fordham-15.560.5W 41 - 17UY
Sat 9/7 Bowling Green at Penn State+35.551.5L 27 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Bowling Green at Texas A&M+21.050.5L 20 - 26UY
Sat 9/28 Bowling Green vs Old Dominion-11.051.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 10/5 Bowling Green at Akron-17.048.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 10/12 Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois-3.046.5L 7 - 17UN
Sat 10/19 Bowling Green vs Kent State-24.054.5W 27 - 6UN
Sat 10/26 Bowling Green at Toledo+1.547.5W 41 - 26OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5 Bowling Green at Central Michigan-14.547.5W 23 - 13UN
Tue 11/12 Bowling Green vs Western Michigan-9.557.5W 31 - 13UY
Sat 11/23 Bowling Green at Ball State-12.554.5W 38 - 13UY
Fri 11/29 Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)-3.037.5L 12 - 28ON
Thu 12/26 Bowling Green vs Arkansas State-10.554.5L 31 - 38ON

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU#85 (.16)40% (90)28.941% (87)3.09 (71)15340% (87)2113.89 (72)#92 (.22)44% (101)31.346% (99)44% (99)4.15 (105)62.31.11.5
BGSU#74 (.18)41% (81)27.145% (46)3.06 (81)13739% (98)1893.65 (87)#44 (.15)42% (63)21.648% (119)36% (11)3.71 (62)60.91.52.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BGSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Offense1228.92240.3%3.891.1203651532113.854%45%41%40%16%.16
BGSU Defense1321.618.541.6%3.712.2 - - - - - 54%44%48%36%17%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Defense1231.334.444.3%4.151.5 - - - - - 50%48%46%44%19%.22
BGSU Offense1327.124.241.2%3.651.5173261371894.248%50%45%39%18%.18

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Michigan1229:5519.636%49%7.162.31.11.55.22028.3
Bowling Green1330:3016.833%60%6.960.91.52.24.92.5333.8
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Offense1254% (38)41% (87)39.9153.33.821 (54).15 (73)3.09 (71)75% (58)10% (66)1 (65)
BGSU Defense1354% (112)48% (119) - - - - .22 (108)3.28 (105)80% (110)10% (67)0.95 (41)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Defense1250% (74)46% (99) - - - - .17 (91)3.48 (127)81% (112)11% (44)0.95 (40)
BGSU Offense1348% (82)45% (46)33137.44.222 (51).16 (65)3.06 (81)80% (18)13% (121)1.09 (24)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Offense1245% (98)40% (87)20.632.8211.26.510.313 (111)9 (40).2 (96)1.5 (105)30% (29)25% (113).25 (93)6% (88)2 (96)
BGSU Defense1344% (17)36% (11) - - - - - - 17 (3).21 (35)1.7 (111)33% (46)28% (38).32 (71)7% (21)2.1 (72)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Defense1248% (47)44% (99) - - - - - - 9 (87).33 (104)1.6 (78)31% (94)30% (71).23 (29)9% (7)1.9 (31)
BGSU Offense1350% (60)39% (98)16.527.5188.86.911.517 (85)14 (107).27 (72)1.7 (35)36% (127)31% (67).29 (82)6% (54)2 (82)

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -10.37 #103
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 22.99 #41
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 15.82 #113
2024 Talent Rating: 588.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Western Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Western Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #105
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #86
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #120

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -10.37   Bowling Green: 0.215

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -10.2   Bowling Green: -1.8




Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: 0.215 #73
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 20.86 #56
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 7.25 #46
2024 Talent Rating: 478.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Bowling Green's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Bowling Green's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

Western Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Bowling Green 33
Western Michigan 22


Projected Total Points: 54
Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.2
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

Bowling Green's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/12Bowling Green31Western Michigan13Bowling GreenBowling Green -9.5Bowling Green57.5Under
202311/21Western Michigan10Bowling Green34Bowling GreenBowling Green -2Bowling Green54.5Under
202211/02Bowling Green13Western Michigan9Bowling GreenBowling Green -5Western Michigan48.0Under
201910/26Western Michigan49Bowling Green10Western MichiganWestern Michigan -26.5Western Michigan65.5Under
201810/13Bowling Green35Western Michigan42Western MichiganWestern Michigan -14.5Bowling Green68.5Over
201511/11Western Michigan27Bowling Green41Bowling GreenBowling Green -4.5Bowling Green72.0Under
201410/18Bowling Green14Western Michigan26Western MichiganBowling Green -2.5Western Michigan0
201110/08Western Michigan45Bowling Green21Western Michigan
201011/26Bowling Green7Western Michigan41Western Michigan
200510/22Bowling Green14Western Michigan45Western Michigan
200411/06Bowling Green52Western Michigan0Bowling Green
200310/11Western Michigan21Bowling Green32Bowling Green
200210/19Bowling Green48Western Michigan45Bowling Green
200110/13Western Michigan37Bowling Green28Western Michigan
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Bowling Green741 Overs
Western Michigan735 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 73 - 42 - 21 - 2
Road Teams7 - 74 - 32 - 12 - 2

(#103) Western Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.37 #103
Offense Rating: 22.99 #41
Defense Rating: 15.82 #113
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #105
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #86
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #120
Talent Rating: 588.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 46%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Western Michigan Notes
(11/25) 3 str L's, zero Rgame, QB sucked, Vs EMU 4 bowl
(11/13) QBs/Rgame awful vs BG, Run Def torched in L
(11/7) TO's, stupidity cost vs N Ill. QB Wolff a fraud
(10/22) Def stop rate 47% (#125) into week 9
(10/20) Off torched Buffalo, Def awful vs both Pass & Run
(10/18) Better than record, sched rough, close losses
(10/13) Rgame good, Pass D torched by Akron. Def 4 TOs
(10/4) Run a lot w/ good success. Def awful so far
(10/4) Let's see how they play now sched lightens up
(8/15) DBs supposed to be near the best in the MAC
Western Michigan     Ratings Matchup     Bowling Green
Power #103
#73
Off #41
#56
Def #113
#46
Talent #79
#106
SP+ #105
#77
SP+ Off #86
#79
SP+ Def #120
#75

Rematch from Week 12
Bowling Green -9.5 (57.5)
Bowling Green won vs Western Michigan this year (31-13)

Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Western Michigan last year (31-13)
Bowling Green beat Western Michigan in 2023 (34-10)
Bowling Green beat Western Michigan in 2022 (13-9)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 43° - Wind: 6 mph


Team Information
Injuries: WMU | BGSU
Depth Chart: WMU | BGSU
Rosters: WMU | BGSU
(#73) Bowling Green Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.215 #73
Offense Rating: 20.86 #56
Defense Rating: 7.25 #46
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75
Talent Rating: 478.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Bowling Green Notes
(11/13) Off better, Rgame good 220+, 7.4 ypc in WMU W
(11/8) Off OK vs CMU, Rgame 181, 5.2 ypc. Def great TW
(10/20) Bazelak torched Kent St, Rgame was really bad
(10/14) QB Bazelak hurt vs N. Illinois (day to day)
(10/14) Backup QB Lucian A. cannot throw the ball
(10/13) Scored open TD and 0 after in 17-7 L (N Ill)
(9/28) Bazelak 300 yds in W over ODU, Rgame really bad
(9/26) Great fight w/ A&M. Off is good, Def is underrated
(9/8) Nearly upset PSU, QB Bazelak/WR Fannin v good
(8/6) 14 starters back w/ momentum. MAC sleeper


  
Western Michigan's OC Walt Bell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Broc Lowry (Tr)4850%21002.6
Ryan Millmore010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Nixon132874126.692
Jalen Buckley12065785.561
Broc Lowry (Tr)2212335.640
Jamal Hailey660110.048
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malique Dieudonne12209217.443
Jordin Parker (Tr)12140011.738
Jalen Buckley129808.224
Christopher Toudle891111.423

View Western Michigan's Full Roster
Western Michigan's DC Scott Power
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tate Hallock845005
Aaron Wofford642114
Corey Walker387635
Anterio Thompson (Tr)342152
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Corey Walker387635
Mason Nelson319311
Isaiah Green283240
Popeye Williams (Tr)192150
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tate Hallock845005
Corey Walker387635
Nyquan Washington313005

Bowling Green's OC Greg Nosal
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Lucian Anderson III51242%32112.7
Baron May11100%431043.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Terion Stewart16689865.473
Rahkeem Smith2012836.440
Lucian Anderson III196723.519
Justin Pegues (Tr)135103.914
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malcolm Johnson Jr. (Tr)49573311.750
Rahkeem Smith25349314.066
Finn Hogan17175010.333
Justin Pegues (Tr)114404.07

View Bowling Green's Full Roster
Bowling Green's DC Sammy Lawanson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Sipp Jr.7912712
CJ Brown (Tr)732012
Tracy Revels400021
Darius McClendon (Tr)312200
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Sipp Jr.7912712
Darius McClendon (Tr)312200
Myles Bradley223220
Todd Bumphis (Tr)81103
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Corey Benjamin261005
Todd Bumphis (Tr)81103
Joseph Sipp Jr.7912712