Bowling Green at Texas A&M - 2024 Matchup Preview
Bowling Green logo Bowling Green Falcons at Texas A&M Aggies(#10)Texas A&M logo
Saturday, September 21st 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Texas A&M -21 (50.5) (-1450)  Open: 0.0
Texas A&M 26 - Bowling Green: 20

 
Falcons (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (20 - 35)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BGSU coming off BYE
TA&M is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Texas A&M -19.5   (SP+ TA&M -19)

Projected Score: BGSU: 15 - TA&M: 35 (50)
TA&M Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
BGSU Travel: 1027 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Aggies (8 - 5) (3 - 10 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 22 (31 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Bowling Green's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Bowling Green vs Fordham-15.560.5W 41 - 17UY
Sat 9/7 Bowling Green at Penn State+35.551.5L 27 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Bowling Green at Texas A&M+21.050.5L 20 - 26UY
Sat 9/28 Bowling Green vs Old Dominion-11.051.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 10/5 Bowling Green at Akron-17.048.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 10/12 Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois-3.046.5L 7 - 17UN
Sat 10/19 Bowling Green vs Kent State-24.054.5W 27 - 6UN
Sat 10/26 Bowling Green at Toledo+1.547.5W 41 - 26OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5 Bowling Green at Central Michigan-14.547.5W 23 - 13UN
Tue 11/12 Bowling Green vs Western Michigan-9.557.5W 31 - 13UY
Sat 11/23 Bowling Green at Ball State-12.554.5W 38 - 13UY
Fri 11/29 Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)-3.037.5L 12 - 28ON
Thu 12/26 Bowling Green vs Arkansas State-10.554.5L 31 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Texas A&M's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Texas A&M vs Notre Dame-3.047.0L 13 - 23UN
Sat 9/7 Texas A&M vs McNeese-48.556.5W 52 - 10ON
Sat 9/14 Texas A&M at Florida-4.547.0W 33 - 20OY
Sat 9/21 Texas A&M vs Bowling Green-21.050.5W 26 - 20UN
Sat 9/28 Texas A&M vs Arkansas-6.550.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 10/5 Texas A&M vs Missouri-3.047.5W 41 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Texas A&M at Mississippi State-21.055.5W 34 - 24ON
Sat 10/26 Texas A&M vs LSU-2.054.5W 38 - 23OY
Sat 11/2 Texas A&M at South Carolina-3.043.5L 20 - 44ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Texas A&M vs New Mexico State-38.554.5W 38 - 3UN
Sat 11/23 Texas A&M at Auburn-2.547.0L 41 - 43ON
Sat 11/30 Texas A&M vs Texas+4.549.5L 7 - 17UN
Fri 12/27 Texas A&M vs USC-3.556.5L 31 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU#53 (.21)43% (68)27.141% (99)3.01 (74)13444% (38)2073.84 (77)#43 (.13)38% (15)21.639% (29)37% (20)3.47 (32)41.10.81
TA&M#54 (.21)45% (41)30.446% (38)3.29 (27)18543% (58)1883.63 (93)#67 (.16)38% (23)22.240% (38)37% (22)3.03 (9)60.711.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU#53 (.21)43% (68)41% (99)3.01 (74)13444% (38)2073.84 (77)#43 (.13)38% (15)39% (29)37% (20)3.47 (32)41.10.81
TA&M#54 (.21)45% (41)46% (38)3.29 (27)18543% (58)1883.63 (93)#67 (.16)38% (23)40% (38)37% (22)3.03 (9)60.711.3



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Offense1327.129.342.6%3.840.8183411342074.447%53%41%44%18%.21
TA&M Defense1322.215.138.1%3.031.3 - - - - - 47%53%40%37%20%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Defense1321.62237.6%3.471 - - - - - 50%49%39%37%16%.13
TA&M Offense1330.430.744.8%3.631203721851884.957%43%46%43%12%.21

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bowling Green1329:2118.237%59%4.841.10.814.92.2229.2
Texas A&M1329:1319.645%41%6.960.711.36.61.8238.6
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense1347% (92)41% (99)30.6133.54.420 (67).14 (64)3.01 (74)78% (34)12% (118)1.08 (30)
TA&M Defense1347% (35)40% (38) - - - - .1 (60)2.55 (10)77% (89)11% (46)1.11 (117)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense1350% (66)39% (29) - - - - .17 (94)3.28 (109)80% (113)10% (75)1.1 (116)
TA&M Offense1357% (21)46% (38)37.8184.54.926 (36).19 (37)3.29 (27)73% (68)7% (12)0.97 (66)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense1353% (42)44% (38)18.728.4207.37.311.116 (87)6 (10).28 (53)1.4 (127)32% (86)32% (67).29 (85)5% (53)1.8 (128)
TA&M Defense1353% (105)37% (22) - - - - - - 13 (31).22 (62)1.8 (131)36% (11)30% (69).37 (94)8% (2)2.3 (131)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense1349% (66)37% (20) - - - - - - 11 (52).11 (19)1.6 (65)34% (31)24% (3).15 (9)6% (69)2 (46)
TA&M Offense1343% (112)43% (58)14.624.5187.87.712.916 (87)9 (48).25 (70)1.6 (72)30% (48)34% (43).35 (61)5% (28)1.9 (112)

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -2.77 #73
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 20.86 #56
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 7.25 #46
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Bowling Green's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Bowling Green's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -2.77   Texas A&M: 17.02

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -1.8   Texas A&M: 17.0




Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 17.02 #24
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 18.38 #83
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 6.01 #35
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 59 #5
Texas A&M's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas A&M's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.0 #13
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #21
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #19

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.3
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Bowling Green's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 35
Bowling Green 15


Total Points: 50

Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Texas A&M's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 3 - 10 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21Texas A&M26Bowling Green20Texas A&MTexas A&M -21Bowling Green50.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas A&M100 Overs
Bowling Green011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#73) Bowling Green Info
Power Rating: -2.77 #73
Offense Rating: 20.86 #56
Defense Rating: 7.25 #46
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Bowling Green has lost 1 straight
Bowling Green has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Bowling Green Notes
(11/13) Off better, Rgame good 220+, 7.4 ypc in WMU W
(11/8) Off OK vs CMU, Rgame 181, 5.2 ypc. Def great TW
(10/20) Bazelak torched Kent St, Rgame was really bad
(10/14) QB Bazelak hurt vs N. Illinois (day to day)
(10/14) Backup QB Lucian A. cannot throw the ball
(10/13) Scored open TD and 0 after in 17-7 L (N Ill)
(9/28) Bazelak 300 yds in W over ODU, Rgame really bad
(9/26) Great fight w/ A&M. Off is good, Def is underrated
(9/8) Nearly upset PSU, QB Bazelak/WR Fannin v good
(8/6) 14 starters back w/ momentum. MAC sleeper

Bowling Green Highlights
Bowling Green has a really good defense (#29)
Bowling Green has a good run defense (#11)
Bowling Green has a good pass defense (#58)
Bowling Green has a great TO Margin (#1)
Bowling Green commits very few Penalties (#95)

Bowling Green Deficiencies
Bowling Green Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#56)
Bowling Green Does Not Stuff Runs (#30)
Bowling Green has a bad defensive line (#31)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTA&MBGSU
OverallOver#41#26
OffenseOff#56#40
DefenseDef#42#22
Special TeamsST#83#16
PassingPass#83#29
RushingRush#39#34
Run BlockRBLK#39#70
Pass BlockPBLK#47#62
Route RunningWR Rt#49#17
TacklingTkl#100#33
Run DefenseR Def#19#63
Pass Rush DefPRush#27#34
Coverage DefCov#82#14

Rematch from Week 4
Texas A&M -21.0 (50.5)
Texas A&M won vs Bowling Green this year (26-20)

Previous Matchups
Texas A&M beat Bowling Green last year (26-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BGSU | TA&M
Depth Chart: BGSU | TA&M
Rosters: BGSU | TA&M
(#24) Texas A&M Info
Power Rating: 17.02 #24
Offense Rating: 18.38 #83
Defense Rating: 6.01 #35
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.0 #13
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #21
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #19
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 59 #5
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.63 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.03 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Great Field Position

Texas A&M has won 2 straight
Texas A&M has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 2 (2 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

Texas A&M Notes
(11/30) Off pitiful vs Tex, Rgame awful, Run Def mauled
(11/30) Beat LSU and NOTHING else to finish 8-4
(11/24) Def mauled by Aub, comeback fell in 4 OT
(11/5) Lead RB Moss (765 yds) out for season (leg)
(10/27) QB Reed 3 TD rush over LSU, DL was diff in game
(10/19) Off bad vs MSU. Def just OK this week
(10/7) Weigman/Rgame/Def great in rout of Mizzu.
(9/28) Def/Reed just good enough vs Hogs. Run D great
(9/26) Rgame 237 (5.6 ypc) in fight w/ BG. Reed better QB
(9/16) Rgame 310 (5.6 ypc) @ UF. QB Reed adds mobility

Texas A&M Highlights
Texas A&M has Really Good Running Game (#65)
Texas A&M has a top Offensive Line (#41)
Texas A&M does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#70)

Texas A&M has a really good defense (#36)
Texas A&M defense is really good in red zone (#116)
Texas A&M has a good pass defense (#48)
Texas A&M Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#48)
Texas A&M Defensive Line is very good (#28)
Texas A&M Secondary is very good (#107)
Texas A&M has a great TO Margin (#28)

Texas A&M Deficiencies
Texas A&M Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Texas A&M offense is not Explosive (#30)
Texas A&M gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#124)


  
Bowling Green's OC Greg Nosal
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Connor Bazelak26940267%30441857.6
Lucian Anderson III51242%32112.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Terion Stewart16689865.473
Jaison Patterson9942654.341
Jamal Johnson2618817.241
Rahkeem Smith2012836.440
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Harold Fannin11715501013.265
Malcolm Johnson Jr. (Tr)49573311.750
Rahkeem Smith25349314.066
Jamal Johnson3122917.436

View Bowling Green's Full Roster
Bowling Green's DC Sammy Lawanson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brock Horne816221
Joseph Sipp Jr.7912712
CJ Brown (Tr)732012
Charles Rosser628540
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Sipp Jr.7912712
Charles Rosser628540
Anthony Hawkins468523
Ali Saad409430
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Oladokun351007
Ja'Corey Benjamin261005
Todd Bumphis (Tr)81103

Texas A&M's OC Collin Klein
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Marcel Reed14724061%18641567.8
Conner Weigman6411456%819357.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Le'Veon Moss121765106.375
Amari Daniels13966184.871
Marcel Reed11654774.731
E.J. Smith (Tr)5420703.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Noah Thomas39574814.773
Jabre Barber (Tr)38381210.058
Jahdae Walker29345211.940
Tre Watson (Tr)21280113.333

View Texas A&M's Full Roster
Texas A&M's DC Jay Bateman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taurean York8310324
Dalton Brooks596132
Marcus Ratcliffe (Tr)484010
Scooby Williams (Tr)438024
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nic Caraway3714442
Cashius Howell (Tr)409487
Taurean York8310324
Malick Sylla63200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will Lee III (Tr)4210010
Cashius Howell (Tr)409487
Albert Regis363126