Bowling Green at Akron Game Matchup
Bowling Green logo Bowling Green Falcons at Akron ZipsAkron logo
Saturday, October 5th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Bowling Green -17 (48.5) (-750)  Open: -14.5
Bowling Green 27 - Akron: 20  (Mid-American)

 
Falcons (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (20 - 35)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
AKR is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Bowling Green -13.5   (SP+ BGSU -16)

Projected Score: BGSU: 32 - AKR: 18 (51)
BGSU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
BGSU Travel: 112 miles
Zips (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Joe Moorhead (4 - 20)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (25 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
 
Bowling Green's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Bowling Green vs Fordham-15.560.5W 41 - 17UY
Sat 9/7 Bowling Green at Penn State+35.551.5L 27 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Bowling Green at Texas A&M+21.050.5L 20 - 26UY
Sat 9/28 Bowling Green vs Old Dominion-11.051.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 10/5 Bowling Green at Akron-17.048.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 10/12 Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois-3.046.5L 7 - 17UN
Sat 10/19 Bowling Green vs Kent State-24.054.5W 27 - 6UN
Sat 10/26 Bowling Green at Toledo+1.547.5W 41 - 26OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5 Bowling Green at Central Michigan-14.547.5W 23 - 13UN
Tue 11/12 Bowling Green vs Western Michigan-9.557.5W 31 - 13UY
Sat 11/23 Bowling Green at Ball State-12.554.5W 38 - 13UY
Fri 11/29 Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)-3.037.5L 12 - 28ON
Thu 12/26 Bowling Green vs Arkansas State-10.554.5L 31 - 38ON

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Akron's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Akron at Ohio State+50.558.5L 6 - 52UY
Sat 9/7 Akron at Rutgers+24.541.5L 17 - 49ON
Sat 9/14 Akron vs Colgate-13.548.5W 31 - 20ON
Sat 9/21 Akron at South Carolina+25.042.0L 7 - 50ON
Sat 9/28 Akron at Ohio+8.546.0L 10 - 30UN
Sat 10/5 Akron vs Bowling Green+17.048.5L 20 - 27UY
Sat 10/12 Akron at Western Michigan+9.548.5L 24 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Akron vs Eastern Michigan+2.550.5W 25 - 21UY
Sat 11/2 Akron vs Buffalo-1.049.0L 30 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/13 Akron at Northern Illinois+14.043.5L 16 - 29OY
Tue 11/19 Akron at Kent State-10.549.0W 38 - 17OY
Tue 11/26 Akron vs Toledo+9.550.5W 21 - 14UY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Akron's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU#74 (.18)41% (81)27.145% (46)3.06 (81)13739% (98)1893.65 (87)#44 (.15)42% (63)21.648% (119)36% (11)3.71 (62)60.91.52.2
AKR#129 (.04)36% (124)20.441% (86)2.74 (123)8134% (121)1982.59 (131)#29 (.12)39% (37)3241% (53)38% (22)3.78 (68)60.21.80.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
AKR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Offense1327.129.341.2%3.651.5173261371894.248%50%45%39%18%.18
AKR Defense123224.639.2%3.780.9 - - - - - 52%47%41%38%14%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Defense1321.62241.6%3.712.2 - - - - - 54%44%48%36%17%.15
AKR Offense1220.425.436.4%2.591.817279811982.840%58%41%34%18%.04

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bowling Green1330:3016.833%60%6.960.91.52.24.92.5333.8
Akron1229:3316.733%35%6.960.21.80.95.21.6127.6
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense1348% (82)45% (46)33137.44.222 (51).16 (65)3.06 (81)80% (18)13% (121)1.09 (24)
AKR Defense1252% (100)41% (53) - - - - .11 (49)2.91 (38)72% (62)10% (77)1.09 (110)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense1354% (112)48% (119) - - - - .22 (108)3.28 (105)80% (110)10% (67)0.95 (41)
AKR Offense1240% (124)41% (86)28.8812.812 (116).09 (97)2.74 (123)81% (16)10% (72)0.9 (110)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense1350% (60)39% (98)16.527.5188.86.911.517 (85)14 (107).27 (72)1.7 (35)36% (127)31% (67).29 (82)6% (54)2 (82)
AKR Defense1247% (34)38% (22) - - - - - - 6 (120).18 (19)1.7 (102)35% (23)30% (63).31 (67)5% (112)2.2 (115)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense1344% (17)36% (11) - - - - - - 17 (3).21 (35)1.7 (111)33% (46)28% (38).32 (71)7% (21)2.1 (72)
AKR Offense1258% (14)34% (121)21.535.4197.65.69.210 (120)15 (116).07 (127)1.4 (128)35% (118)24% (120).13 (122)8% (121)2.1 (54)

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -2.77 #73
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 20.86 #56
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 7.25 #46
2024 Talent Rating: 478.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Bowling Green's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Bowling Green's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -2.77   Akron: -15.965

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -1.8   Akron: -17.9




Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -15.965 #121
Akron's Offense Rating: 12.44 #118
Akron's Defense Rating: 12.15 #90
2024 Talent Rating: 596.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #62
Akron's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Akron's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.7 #129
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #117

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.3
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Bowling Green's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Bowling Green 32
Akron 18


Projected Total Points: 51
Akron Scoring
Offense: 20.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.4
Defense: 32 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.6

Akron's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Akron20Bowling Green27Bowling GreenBowling Green -17Akron48.5Under
202310/21Bowling Green41Akron14Bowling GreenBowling Green -7Bowling Green37.0Over
202210/01Akron28Bowling Green31Bowling GreenBowling Green -9Akron49.5Over
202110/09Bowling Green20Akron35AkronBowling Green -14Akron46.0Over
202012/05Akron31Bowling Green3AkronAkron -2.5Akron54.5Under
201911/02Bowling Green35Akron6Bowling GreenBowling Green -3.5Bowling Green49.5Under
201811/17Akron6Bowling Green21Bowling GreenAkron -6.5Bowling Green48.5Under
201709/30Bowling Green23Akron34AkronAkron -3Akron57.5Under
201611/09Akron28Bowling Green38Bowling GreenAkron -11.5Bowling Green73.0Under
201510/17Bowling Green59Akron10Bowling GreenBowling Green -11.5Bowling Green62.5Over
201411/04Akron10Bowling Green27Bowling GreenAkron -4Bowling Green0
201309/28Bowling Green31Akron14Bowling GreenBowling Green -15.5Bowling Green0
201210/06Akron10Bowling Green24Bowling Green
200911/20Bowling Green36Akron20Bowling Green
200810/11Akron33Bowling Green37Bowling Green
200711/02Bowling Green44Akron20Bowling Green
200611/04Akron35Bowling Green28Akron
200510/29Bowling Green14Akron24Akron
200110/20Akron11Bowling Green16Bowling Green
200010/06Bowling Green21Akron27Akron
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Akron654 Overs
Bowling Green1476 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 127 - 55 - 42 - 1
Road Teams12 - 85 - 71 - 24 - 5

(#73) Bowling Green Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.77 #73
Offense Rating: 20.86 #56
Defense Rating: 7.25 #46
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75
Talent Rating: 478.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Bowling Green Notes
(11/13) Off better, Rgame good 220+, 7.4 ypc in WMU W
(11/8) Off OK vs CMU, Rgame 181, 5.2 ypc. Def great TW
(10/20) Bazelak torched Kent St, Rgame was really bad
(10/14) QB Bazelak hurt vs N. Illinois (day to day)
(10/14) Backup QB Lucian A. cannot throw the ball
(10/13) Scored open TD and 0 after in 17-7 L (N Ill)
(9/28) Bazelak 300 yds in W over ODU, Rgame really bad
(9/26) Great fight w/ A&M. Off is good, Def is underrated
(9/8) Nearly upset PSU, QB Bazelak/WR Fannin v good
(8/6) 14 starters back w/ momentum. MAC sleeper
Bowling Green     Ratings Matchup     Akron
Power #73
#121
Off #56
#118
Def #46
#90
Talent #106
#75
SP+ #77
#123
SP+ Off #79
#129
SP+ Def #75
#117

Rematch from Week 6
Bowling Green 17.0 (48.5)
Bowling Green won at Akron this year (27-20)

Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Akron last year (27-20)
Bowling Green beat Akron in 2023 (41-14)
Bowling Green beat Akron in 2022 (31-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Summa Field at InfoCision Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 72°

Team Information
Injuries: BGSU | AKR
Depth Chart: BGSU | AKR
Rosters: BGSU | AKR
(#121) Akron Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.965 #121
Offense Rating: 12.44 #118
Defense Rating: 12.15 #90
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.7 #129
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #117
Talent Rating: 596.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #62
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.26 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Awful Pass Success 36%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.19 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Akron Notes
(11/27) Won 3 of last 5, competitive team most of season
(11/18) Run game awful vs N Ill, 50 rush, 19/52 pass
(10/27) Run game great vs EMU in W, 220 yds, 7.1 ypc
(10/13) Finley great, Rgame awful, 4 TO's in L WMU
(10/4) Pass heavy Off is awful but Run game is worse
(10/4) Sched been brutal but Zips may be CFB #2 worst
(8/16) Ohio St, Rutgers and SC? Why?
(8/16) Off was dead last LY. Not much TY
(7/30) Def has some pieces, DB's need rebuild
(7/30) HC Moorhead has 4 wins in 2 yrs. Hot Seat?


  
Bowling Green's OC Greg Nosal
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Lucian Anderson III51242%32112.7
Baron May11100%431043.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Terion Stewart16689865.473
Rahkeem Smith2012836.440
Lucian Anderson III196723.519
Justin Pegues (Tr)135103.914
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malcolm Johnson Jr. (Tr)49573311.750
Rahkeem Smith25349314.066
Finn Hogan17175010.333
Justin Pegues (Tr)114404.07

View Bowling Green's Full Roster
Bowling Green's DC Sammy Lawanson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Sipp Jr.7912712
CJ Brown (Tr)732012
Tracy Revels400021
Darius McClendon (Tr)312200
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Sipp Jr.7912712
Darius McClendon (Tr)312200
Myles Bradley223220
Todd Bumphis (Tr)81103
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Corey Benjamin261005
Todd Bumphis (Tr)81103
Joseph Sipp Jr.7912712

Akron's OC Taylor Housewright
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Finley (Tr)21138755%25811696.7
Brayden Roggow1250%9014.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Simmons11066426.073
Charles Kellom8535814.243
Ben Finley (Tr)805100.633
Bobby Golden114014.014
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Bobby Golden31446114.456
Ahmarian Granger17308218.172
Jacob Newell3525427.329
Charles Kellom2721027.827

View Akron's Full Roster
Akron's DC Tim Tibesar
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan McCoy1203032
Paul Lewis III (Tr)766016
Darrian Lewis723006
C.J. Nunnally5512640
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Nunnally5512640
Justin Anderson423100
Nathan Kapongo (Tr)366120
Bruno Dall92121
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devonte Nelson331007
Darrian Lewis723006
Paul Lewis III (Tr)766016