Bowling Green at Central Michigan Game Matchup

Bowling Green Falcons at Central Michigan Chippewas

Tuesday, November 5th 2024 (7:30 PM EST)
Bowling Green -14.5 (47.5) (-700) Open: -12.5 | 48.5
Bowling Green 23 - Central Michigan: 13 (Mid-American)

Falcons (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (20 - 35)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)

Rain Predicted
BGSU coming off BYE
CMU coming off BYE
Our Line: Bowling Green -10 (SP+ BGSU -14)
Projected Score: BGSU: 30 - CMU: 20 (50)
BGSU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
BGSU Travel: 163 miles

Chippewas (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jim McElwain (29 - 28)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (30 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)

Matchup
Schedules
BGSU Players
CMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Bowling Green's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Bowling Green vs Fordham	-15.5	60.5	W 41 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Bowling Green at Penn State	+35.5	51.5	L 27 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Bowling Green at Texas A&M	+21.0	50.5	L 20 - 26	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Bowling Green vs Old Dominion	-11.0	51.5	L 27 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/5	Bowling Green at Akron	-17.0	48.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/12	Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois	-3.0	46.5	L 7 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/19	Bowling Green vs Kent State	-24.0	54.5	W 27 - 6	U	N
Sat 10/26	Bowling Green at Toledo	+1.5	47.5	W 41 - 26	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5	Bowling Green at Central Michigan	-14.5	47.5	W 23 - 13	U	N
Tue 11/12	Bowling Green vs Western Michigan	-9.5	57.5	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Bowling Green at Ball State	-12.5	54.5	W 38 - 13	U	Y
Fri 11/29	Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)	-3.0	37.5	L 12 - 28	O	N
Thu 12/26	Bowling Green vs Arkansas State	-10.5	54.5	L 31 - 38	O	N

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Central Michigan's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Central Michigan vs Central Connecticut	-33.5	54.5	W 66 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Central Michigan vs Florida International	-3.5	51.5	L 16 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/14	Central Michigan at Illinois	+21.5	49.5	L 9 - 30	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Central Michigan vs Ball State	-6.5	51.0	W 37 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/28	Central Michigan vs San Diego State	-2.5	47.5	W 22 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Central Michigan vs Ohio	+3.0	50.5	L 25 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan	+3.5	52.5	L 34 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/26	Central Michigan at Miami (OH)	+10.5	48.5	L 7 - 46	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5	Central Michigan vs Bowling Green	+14.5	47.5	L 13 - 23	U	Y
Tue 11/12	Central Michigan at Toledo	+15.0	52.5	L 10 - 37	U	N
Tue 11/19	Central Michigan vs Western Michigan	+6.0	56.0	W 16 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Central Michigan at Northern Illinois	+16.5	41.5	L 16 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 3

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	#74 (.18)	41% (81)	27.1	45% (46)	3.06 (81)	137	39% (98)	189	3.65 (87)	#44 (.15)	42% (63)	21.6	48% (119)	36% (11)	3.71 (62)	60.9	1.5	2.2
CMU	#83 (.16)	40% (101)	22.6	43% (72)	3.29 (35)	160	36% (111)	185	4.2 (39)	#128 (.32)	45% (115)	29.7	48% (116)	44% (95)	4.43 (121)	58.1	1.3	0.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Offense	13	27.1	29.3	41.2%	3.65	1.5	17	326	137	189	4.2	48%	50%	45%	39%	18%	.18
CMU Defense	12	29.7	21.5	45.5%	4.43	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	48%	44%	14%	.32

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Defense	13	21.6	22	41.6%	3.71	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	48%	36%	17%	.15
CMU Offense	12	22.6	29.8	39.5%	4.2	1.3	19	344	160	185	4.2	56%	43%	43%	36%	14%	.16

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Bowling Green	13	30:30	16.8	33%	60%	6.9	60.9	1.5	2.2	4.9	2.5	3	33.8
Central Michigan	12	30:13	18.9	34%	70%	6.7	58.1	1.3	0.7	4.6	1.5	1	29.1

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense	13	48% (82)	45% (46)	33	137.4	4.2	22 (51)	.16 (65)	3.06 (81)	80% (18)	13% (121)	1.09 (24)
CMU Defense	12	51% (86)	48% (116)	-	-	-	-	.25 (118)	3.4 (119)	77% (97)	8% (121)	1.04 (91)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense	13	54% (112)	48% (119)	-	-	-	-	.22 (108)	3.28 (105)	80% (110)	10% (67)	0.95 (41)
CMU Offense	12	56% (27)	43% (72)	38	159.5	4.2	21 (54)	.22 (30)	3.29 (35)	77% (36)	10% (68)	1.09 (23)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense	13	50% (60)	39% (98)	16.5	27.5	188.8	6.9	11.5	17 (85)	14 (107)	.27 (72)	1.7 (35)	36% (127)	31% (67)	.29 (82)	6% (54)	2 (82)
CMU Defense	12	48% (50)	44% (95)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (126)	.41 (122)	1.7 (96)	31% (90)	29% (52)	.35 (87)	5% (98)	2 (52)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense	13	44% (17)	36% (11)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (3)	.21 (35)	1.7 (111)	33% (46)	28% (38)	.32 (71)	7% (21)	2.1 (72)
CMU Offense	12	43% (110)	36% (111)	15.3	27.1	184.7	6.8	12.1	15 (96)	11 (68)	.16 (108)	1.7 (31)	36% (125)	28% (86)	.36 (62)	4% (9)	2.3 (14)

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -2.77 #73
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 20.86 #56
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 7.25 #46
2024 Talent Rating: 478.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Bowling Green's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Bowling Green's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -2.77 Central Michigan: -12.46

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -1.8 Central Michigan: -15.8

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -12.46 #111
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 17.21 #92
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 12.06 #88
2024 Talent Rating: 486.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Central Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Central Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.8 #120
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.3
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Bowling Green's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Bowling Green 30
Central Michigan 20

Projected Total Points: 50

Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.8
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.5

Central Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/05	Central Michigan	13	Bowling Green	23	Bowling Green	Bowling Green -14.5	Central Michigan	47.5	Under
2022	10/22	Central Michigan	18	Bowling Green	34	Bowling Green	Central Michigan -5.5	Bowling Green	51.0	Over
2019	10/19	Bowling Green	20	Central Michigan	38	Central Michigan	Central Michigan -11.5	Central Michigan	54.0	Over
2018	11/10	Central Michigan	13	Bowling Green	24	Bowling Green	Central Michigan -7.5	Bowling Green	49.5	Under
2010	10/30	Central Michigan	14	Bowling Green	17	Bowling Green
2009	10/24	Bowling Green	10	Central Michigan	24	Central Michigan
2006	10/19	Central Michigan	31	Bowling Green	14	Central Michigan
2004	10/09	Central Michigan	14	Bowling Green	38	Bowling Green
2003	10/04	Bowling Green	23	Central Michigan	3	Bowling Green
2002	10/12	Central Michigan	35	Bowling Green	45	Bowling Green

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Central Michigan	3	2	2 Overs
Bowling Green	7	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 8	1 - 3	0 - 2	1 - 1
Road Teams	8 - 2	3 - 1	1 - 1	2 - 0

(#73) Bowling Green Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.77 #73
Offense Rating: 20.86 #56
Defense Rating: 7.25 #46
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75
Talent Rating: 478.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Bowling Green Notes
(11/13) Off better, Rgame good 220+, 7.4 ypc in WMU W
(11/8) Off OK vs CMU, Rgame 181, 5.2 ypc. Def great TW
(10/20) Bazelak torched Kent St, Rgame was really bad
(10/14) QB Bazelak hurt vs N. Illinois (day to day)
(10/14) Backup QB Lucian A. cannot throw the ball
(10/13) Scored open TD and 0 after in 17-7 L (N Ill)
(9/28) Bazelak 300 yds in W over ODU, Rgame really bad
(9/26) Great fight w/ A&M. Off is good, Def is underrated
(9/8) Nearly upset PSU, QB Bazelak/WR Fannin v good
(8/6) 14 starters back w/ momentum. MAC sleeper

Bowling Green Ratings Matchup Central Michigan

Power #73

#111

Off #56

#92

Def #46

#88

Talent #106

#102

SP+ #77

#120

SP+ Off #79

#122

SP+ Def #75

#115

Rematch from Week 11
Bowling Green 14.5 (47.5)
Bowling Green won at Central Michigan this year (23-13)

Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Central Michigan last year (23-13)
Bowling Green beat Central Michigan in 2022 (34-18)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 66° - Wind: 10 mph
Rain: 0.016

Team Information
Injuries: BGSU | CMU
Depth Chart: BGSU | CMU
Rosters: BGSU | CMU

(#111) Central Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -12.46 #111
Offense Rating: 17.21 #92
Defense Rating: 12.06 #88
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.8 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #115
Talent Rating: 486.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.82 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Awful Pass Success 34%
Poor OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.6 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Central Michigan Notes
(11/20) McElwain retiring after final game vs N. Ill
(11/13) New QB Glasser bad vs Toledo, Rgame awful in L
(11/8) Off really bad, QB's unplayable, Rgame plodding
(10/27) 3 str L's, Def cooked, QBs are awful, Dogs last 4
(10/20) 45 runs/12 pass. Ran for 285, but Pass D torched
(10/15) Starting QB Labas out for season (arm)
(10/15) Backup QB Jefferson starting vs EMU
(10/13) QB's bad, Rgame OK, Run def mauled by Ohio
(10/4) Run Off/Def good, Pass Off/Def bad. OL & F7 good
(10/2) Rgame good/dominant vs poor D's. QB Labas JAG

Bowling Green's OC Greg Nosal

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Lucian Anderson III	5	12	42%	32	1	1	2.7
Baron May	1	1	100%	43	1	0	43.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Terion Stewart	166	898	6	5.4	73
Rahkeem Smith	20	128	3	6.4	40
Lucian Anderson III	19	67	2	3.5	19
Justin Pegues (Tr)	13	51	0	3.9	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Malcolm Johnson Jr. (Tr)	49	573	3	11.7	50
Rahkeem Smith	25	349	3	14.0	66
Finn Hogan	17	175	0	10.3	33
Justin Pegues (Tr)	11	44	0	4.0	7

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

Bowling Green's DC Sammy Lawanson

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joseph Sipp Jr.	79	12	7	1	2
CJ Brown (Tr)	73	2	0	1	2
Tracy Revels	40	0	0	2	1
Darius McClendon (Tr)	31	2	2	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joseph Sipp Jr.	79	12	7	1	2
Darius McClendon (Tr)	31	2	2	0	0
Myles Bradley	22	3	2	2	0
Todd Bumphis (Tr)	8	1	1	0	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ja'Corey Benjamin	26	1	0	0	5
Todd Bumphis (Tr)	8	1	1	0	3
Joseph Sipp Jr.	79	12	7	1	2

Central Michigan's OC Jim McElwain

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joey Labas	94	160	59%	1114	7	7	7.0
Jadyn Glasser	41	76	54%	439	2	4	5.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tyler Jefferson	43	233	1	5.4	44
Nahree Biggins	19	136	0	7.2	76
Bert Emanuel Jr.	28	128	3	4.6	20
Solomon Davis (Tr)	3	24	0	8.0	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chris Parker	29	360	3	12.4	44
Solomon Davis (Tr)	19	350	2	18.4	72
Evan Boyd	21	302	2	14.4	47
Gavin Harris	11	173	1	15.7	60

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

Central Michigan's DC Robb Akey

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Kwiatkowski	97	14	0	1	1
Caleb Spann	61	4	2	0	5
Elijah Rikard	56	3	1	0	0
Dakota Cochran	54	11	4	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jonah Pace	34	11	4	6	2
Michael Heldman	29	6	4	8	0
Dakota Cochran	54	11	4	1	0
Jaden Davis	19	4	2	5	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Caleb Spann	61	4	2	5
Jaion Jackson	39	3	0	3
Jaree Turner-Kinsler	15	0	0	2