Bowling Green at Central Michigan - 2024 Matchup Preview

Bowling Green Falcons at Central Michigan Chippewas

Tuesday, November 5th 2024 (7:30 PM EST)
Bowling Green -14.5 (47.5) (-700) Open: -12.5 | 48.5
Bowling Green 23 - Central Michigan: 13 (Mid-American)

Falcons (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (20 - 35)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (24 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BGSU coming off BYE
CMU coming off BYE
Our Line: Bowling Green -10 (SP+ BGSU -14)
Projected Score: BGSU: 29 - CMU: 19 (47)
BGSU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
BGSU Travel: 163 miles

Chippewas (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jim McElwain (29 - 28)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (30 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BGSU Players
CMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Bowling Green's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Bowling Green vs Fordham	-15.5	60.5	W 41 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Bowling Green at Penn State	+35.5	51.5	L 27 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Bowling Green at Texas A&M	+21.0	50.5	L 20 - 26	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Bowling Green vs Old Dominion	-11.0	51.5	L 27 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/5	Bowling Green at Akron	-17.0	48.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/12	Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois	-3.0	46.5	L 7 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/19	Bowling Green vs Kent State	-24.0	54.5	W 27 - 6	U	N
Sat 10/26	Bowling Green at Toledo	+1.5	47.5	W 41 - 26	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5	Bowling Green at Central Michigan	-14.5	47.5	W 23 - 13	U	N
Tue 11/12	Bowling Green vs Western Michigan	-9.5	57.5	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Bowling Green at Ball State	-12.5	54.5	W 38 - 13	U	Y
Fri 11/29	Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)	-3.0	37.5	L 12 - 28	O	N
Thu 12/26	Bowling Green vs Arkansas State	-10.5	54.5	L 31 - 38	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Central Michigan's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Central Michigan vs Central Connecticut	-33.5	54.5	W 66 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Central Michigan vs Florida International	-3.5	51.5	L 16 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/14	Central Michigan at Illinois	+21.5	49.5	L 9 - 30	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Central Michigan vs Ball State	-6.5	51.0	W 37 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/28	Central Michigan vs San Diego State	-2.5	47.5	W 22 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Central Michigan vs Ohio	+3.0	50.5	L 25 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan	+3.5	52.5	L 34 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/26	Central Michigan at Miami (OH)	+10.5	48.5	L 7 - 46	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5	Central Michigan vs Bowling Green	+14.5	47.5	L 13 - 23	U	Y
Tue 11/12	Central Michigan at Toledo	+15.0	52.5	L 10 - 37	U	N
Tue 11/19	Central Michigan vs Western Michigan	+6.0	56.0	W 16 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Central Michigan at Northern Illinois	+16.5	41.5	L 16 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	#74 (.18)	41% (81)	20.5	45% (46)	3.06 (81)	137	39% (98)	189	3.65 (87)	#44 (.15)	42% (63)	24.3	48% (119)	36% (11)	3.71 (62)	60.9	1.5	2.2
CMU	#83 (.16)	40% (101)	22.5	43% (72)	3.29 (35)	160	36% (111)	185	4.2 (39)	#128 (.32)	45% (115)	23.5	48% (116)	44% (95)	4.43 (121)	58.1	1.3	0.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Offense	13	20.5	24	41.2%	3.65	1.5	17	326	137	189	4.2	48%	50%	45%	39%	18%	.18
CMU Defense	12	23.5	15.2	45.5%	4.43	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	48%	44%	14%	.32

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Defense	13	24.3	29	41.6%	3.71	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	48%	36%	17%	.15
CMU Offense	12	22.5	30.4	39.5%	4.2	1.3	19	344	160	185	4.2	56%	43%	43%	36%	14%	.16

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Bowling Green	13	30:30	16.8	33%	60%	6.9	60.9	1.5	2.2	4.9	2.5	3	33.8
Central Michigan	12	30:13	18.9	34%	70%	6.7	58.1	1.3	0.7	4.6	1.5	1	29.1

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense	13	48% (82)	45% (46)	33	137.4	4.2	22 (51)	.16 (65)	3.06 (81)	80% (18)	13% (121)	1.09 (24)
CMU Defense	12	51% (86)	48% (116)	-	-	-	-	.25 (118)	3.4 (119)	77% (97)	8% (121)	1.04 (91)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense	13	54% (112)	48% (119)	-	-	-	-	.22 (108)	3.28 (105)	80% (110)	10% (67)	0.95 (41)
CMU Offense	12	56% (27)	43% (72)	38	159.5	4.2	21 (54)	.22 (30)	3.29 (35)	77% (36)	10% (68)	1.09 (23)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense	13	50% (60)	39% (98)	16.5	27.5	188.8	6.9	11.5	17 (85)	14 (107)	.27 (72)	1.7 (35)	36% (127)	31% (67)	.29 (82)	6% (54)	2 (82)
CMU Defense	12	48% (50)	44% (95)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (126)	.41 (122)	1.7 (96)	31% (90)	29% (52)	.35 (87)	5% (98)	2 (52)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense	13	44% (17)	36% (11)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (3)	.21 (35)	1.7 (111)	33% (46)	28% (38)	.32 (71)	7% (21)	2.1 (72)
CMU Offense	12	43% (110)	36% (111)	15.3	27.1	184.7	6.8	12.1	15 (96)	11 (68)	.16 (108)	1.7 (31)	36% (125)	28% (86)	.36 (62)	4% (9)	2.3 (14)

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -2.77 #73
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 20.86 #56
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 7.25 #46
2024 Talent Rating: 230.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Bowling Green's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Bowling Green's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 247.58
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -2.77 Central Michigan: -12.46

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -1.8 Central Michigan: -15.8

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -12.46 #111
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 17.21 #92
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 12.06 #88
2024 Talent Rating: 233.00 #104
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Central Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Central Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.8 #120
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 247.58
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Bowling Green's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Bowling Green 29
Central Michigan 19

Projected Total Points: 47

Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.4
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.2

Central Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Bowling Green	6	Central Michigan	27	Bowling Green -3	Central Michigan	43.5	Under
2024	11/05	Central Michigan	13	Bowling Green	23	Bowling Green -14.5	Central Michigan	47.5	Under
2022	10/22	Central Michigan	18	Bowling Green	34	Central Michigan -5.5	Bowling Green	51.0	Over
2019	10/19	Bowling Green	20	Central Michigan	38	Central Michigan -11.5	Central Michigan	54.0	Over
2018	11/10	Central Michigan	13	Bowling Green	24	Central Michigan -7.5	Bowling Green	49.5	Under
2010	10/30	Central Michigan	14	Bowling Green	17
2009	10/24	Bowling Green	10	Central Michigan	24
2006	10/19	Central Michigan	31	Bowling Green	14
2004	10/09	Central Michigan	14	Bowling Green	38
2003	10/04	Bowling Green	23	Central Michigan	3
2002	10/12	Central Michigan	35	Bowling Green	45

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Central Michigan	4	3	2 Overs
Bowling Green	7	2	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 9	1 - 4	0 - 3	1 - 1
Road Teams	9 - 2	4 - 1	1 - 1	3 - 0

(#73) BGSU at (#111) CMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BGSU	CMU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#73	#111
SP+SP+	#77	#120
Perf GradeGrade	#35	#108
OffenseOff	#46	#129
DefenseDef	#29	#55
Spec TeamsST	#18	#45
TalentTal	#106	#104
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#102

Bowling Green Notes(11/25) Bullied Ball St. Finale vs M OH for MAC title gm
(11/13) Off better, Rgame good 220+, 7.4 ypc in WMU W
(11/8) Off OK vs CMU, Rgame 181, 5.2 ypc. Def great TW
(10/20) Bazelak torched Kent St, Rgame was really bad
(10/14) QB Bazelak hurt vs N. Illinois (day to day)
(10/14) Backup QB Lucian A. cannot throw the ball
(10/13) Scored open TD and 0 after in 17-7 L (N Ill)
(9/28) Bazelak 300 yds in W over ODU, Rgame really bad
(9/26) Great fight w/ A&M. Off is good, Def is underrated
(9/8) Nearly upset PSU, QB Bazelak/WR Fannin v good
(8/6) 14 starters back w/ momentum. MAC sleeper
(8/6) Will take lumps vs Penn St/Tex A&M early
Bowling Green Injury Report

Central Michigan Notes(12/10) Hired HC Drinkall (Army OL/TE, K Wes HC 14-18)
(11/20) McElwain retiring after final game vs N. Ill
(11/13) New QB Glasser bad vs Toledo, Rgame awful in L
(11/8) Off really bad, QB's unplayable, Rgame plodding
(10/27) 3 str L's, Def cooked, QBs are awful, Dogs last 4
(10/20) 45 runs/12 pass. Ran for 285, but Pass D torched
(10/15) Starting QB Labas out for season (arm)
(10/15) Backup QB Jefferson starting vs EMU
(10/13) QB's bad, Rgame OK, Run def mauled by Ohio
(10/4) Run Off/Def good, Pass Off/Def bad. OL & F7 good
(10/2) Rgame good/dominant vs poor D's. QB Labas JAG
(9/15) OL/DL played even w/ Ill. QB Labas really awful
Central Michigan Injury Report

Bowling Green on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	BGSU Off	CMU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#46	#55
SuccessSuc	#81	#115
ExplosiveExp	#25	#93
PPAPPA	#74	#128
PowerPwr	#56	#88
SP+SP+	#79	#115
Pts POPPO	#87	#121
HavocHav	#103	#119

Bowling Green Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	BGSU Off	CMU Def
Run GameRun	#49	#40
Run SuccessRSuc	#46	#116
Run ExplRExp	#24	#91
PPAExp	#65	#118
Run BlockR Blk	#89	-
OL YdsOLY	#81	#119
Stuff RateStuff	#91	#117
TackleTak	-	#23

Bowling Green Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	BGSU Off	CMU Def
Pass GamePass	#35	#87
Pass SuccessPSuc	#98	#95
Pass ExplPExl	#35	#96
PPAExp	#72	#122
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#70	#28
F7 HavocF7	#121	#121
DB HavocDB	#54	#98

Central Michigan on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	CMU Off	BGSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#129	#29
SuccessSuc	#101	#63
ExplosiveExp	#42	#46
PPAPPA	#83	#44
PowerPwr	#92	#46
SP+SP+	#122	#75
Pts POPPO	#39	#62
HavocHav	#39	#41

Central Michigan Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	CMU Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	#100	#80
Run SuccessRSuc	#72	#119
Run ExplRExp	#23	#41
PPAExp	#30	#108
Run BlockR Blk	#106	-
OL YdsOLY	#35	#105
Stuff RateStuff	#30	#132
TackleTak	-	#37

Central Michigan Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	CMU Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	#129	#17
Pass SuccessPSuc	#111	#11
Pass ExplPExl	#31	#111
PPAExp	#108	#35
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#129	#39
F7 HavocF7	#68	#67
DB HavocDB	#9	#21

Program Comparison
CMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'24 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
Bowling Green 14.5 (47.5)
Bowling Green won at Central Michigan this year (23-13)

Previous Matchups
Central Michigan beat Bowling Green last year (27-6)
Bowling Green beat Central Michigan in 2024 (23-13)

BGSU's OC Greg Nosal (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Connor Bazelak	269	402	67%	3044	18	5	7.6
Lucian Anderson III	5	12	42%	32	1	1	2.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Terion Stewart	166	898	6	5.4	73
Jaison Patterson	99	426	5	4.3	41
Jamal Johnson	26	188	1	7.2	41
Rahkeem Smith	20	128	3	6.4	40

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Harold Fannin	117	1550	10	13.2	65
Malcolm Johnson Jr. (Tr)	49	573	3	11.7	50
Rahkeem Smith	25	349	3	14.0	66
Jamal Johnson	31	229	1	7.4	36

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Sammy Lawanson (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brock Horne	81	6	2	2	1
Joseph Sipp Jr.	79	12	7	1	2
CJ Brown (Tr)	73	2	0	1	2
Charles Rosser	62	8	5	4	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joseph Sipp Jr.	79	12	7	1	2
Charles Rosser	62	8	5	4	0
Anthony Hawkins	46	8	5	2	3
Ali Saad	40	9	4	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jordan Oladokun	35	1	0	7
Ja'Corey Benjamin	26	1	0	5
Todd Bumphis (Tr)	8	1	1	3

CMU's OC Jim McElwain (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joey Labas	94	160	59%	1114	7	7	7.0
Jadyn Glasser	41	76	54%	439	2	4	5.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marion Lukes	161	788	5	4.9	66
BJ Harris	91	418	3	4.6	71
Myles Bailey	51	292	3	5.7	35
Tyler Jefferson	43	233	1	5.4	44

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chris Parker	29	360	3	12.4	44
Solomon Davis (Tr)	19	350	2	18.4	72
Evan Boyd	21	302	2	14.4	47
Jesse Prewitt III	23	186	2	8.1	21

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC Robb Akey (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Kwiatkowski	97	14	0	1	1
Caleb Spann	61	4	2	0	5
Justin Whiteside	58	6	3	4	1
Elijah Rikard	56	3	1	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jason Williams	42	9	6	1	0
Jonah Pace	34	11	4	6	2
Michael Heldman	29	6	4	8	0
Dakota Cochran	54	11	4	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Daraun McKinney	53	2	1	9
Donte Kent	52	1	0	7
Caleb Spann	61	4	2	5