Old Dominion at Bowling Green Game Matchup

Old Dominion Monarchs at Bowling Green Falcons

Saturday, September 28th 2024 (5:00 PM EDT)
Bowling Green -11 (51.5) (-395) Open: -8.0
Old Dominion 30 - Bowling Green: 27

Monarchs (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (15 - 23)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (28 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 13.9 MPH
ODU coming off BYE
Our Line: Bowling Green -5 (SP+ BGSU -4)
Projected Score: ODU: 23 - BGSU: 28 (53)
BGSU Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
ODU Travel: 500 miles

Falcons (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (20 - 35)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (24 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ODU Players
BGSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Old Dominion's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Old Dominion at South Carolina	+20.5	49.5	L 19 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Old Dominion vs East Carolina	-1.5	53.5	L 14 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/14	Old Dominion vs Virginia Tech	+15.5	47.5	L 17 - 37	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Old Dominion at Bowling Green	+11.0	51.5	W 30 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina	+4.0	51.5	L 37 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/12	Old Dominion at Georgia State	+3.0	53.0	W 21 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Old Dominion vs Texas State	+10.5	60.0	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Thu 10/24	Old Dominion vs Georgia Southern	+1.0	52.0	W 47 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Old Dominion at App State	-2.5	58.0	L 20 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Old Dominion vs James Madison	+1.5	51.0	L 32 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/23	Old Dominion vs Marshall	-3.0	51.0	L 35 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/30	Old Dominion at Arkansas State	-5.5	58.5	W 40 - 32	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Old Dominion's Schedule

Bowling Green's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Bowling Green vs Fordham	-15.5	60.5	W 41 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Bowling Green at Penn State	+35.5	51.5	L 27 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Bowling Green at Texas A&M	+21.0	50.5	L 20 - 26	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Bowling Green vs Old Dominion	-11.0	51.5	L 27 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/5	Bowling Green at Akron	-17.0	48.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/12	Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois	-3.0	46.5	L 7 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/19	Bowling Green vs Kent State	-24.0	54.5	W 27 - 6	U	N
Sat 10/26	Bowling Green at Toledo	+1.5	47.5	W 41 - 26	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5	Bowling Green at Central Michigan	-14.5	47.5	W 23 - 13	U	N
Tue 11/12	Bowling Green vs Western Michigan	-9.5	57.5	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Bowling Green at Ball State	-12.5	54.5	W 38 - 13	U	Y
Fri 11/29	Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)	-3.0	37.5	L 12 - 28	O	N
Thu 12/26	Bowling Green vs Arkansas State	-10.5	54.5	L 31 - 38	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ODU	#102 (.13)	38% (109)	28	41% (92)	3.08 (76)	154	37% (107)	195	3.14 (117)	#30 (.13)	44% (100)	28	42% (60)	47% (124)	3.49 (46)	60.6	1.4	1.6
BGSU	#74 (.18)	41% (81)	27.1	45% (46)	3.06 (81)	137	39% (98)	189	3.65 (87)	#44 (.15)	42% (63)	21.6	48% (119)	36% (11)	3.71 (62)	60.9	1.5	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ODU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ODU Offense	13	28	27.8	38.5%	3.14	1.4	17	348	154	195	4.2	50%	49%	41%	37%	20%	.13
BGSU Defense	13	21.6	18.5	41.6%	3.71	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	48%	36%	17%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ODU Defense	13	28	28.2	44.1%	3.49	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	42%	47%	17%	.13
BGSU Offense	13	27.1	24.2	41.2%	3.65	1.5	17	326	137	189	4.2	48%	50%	45%	39%	18%	.18

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Old Dominion	13	24:49	16.5	37%	27%	6.5	60.6	1.4	1.6	6.1	1.5	2	29.1
Bowling Green	13	30:30	16.8	33%	60%	6.9	60.9	1.5	2.2	4.9	2.5	3	33.8

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ODU Offense	13	50% (70)	41% (92)	36.5	153.5	4.2	15 (100)	.17 (58)	3.08 (76)	62% (127)	15% (131)	1.18 (4)
BGSU Defense	13	54% (112)	48% (119)	-	-	-	-	.22 (108)	3.28 (105)	80% (110)	10% (67)	0.95 (41)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ODU Defense	13	52% (98)	42% (60)	-	-	-	-	-.01 (11)	2.81 (22)	70% (50)	11% (56)	0.73 (2)
BGSU Offense	13	48% (82)	45% (46)	33	137.4	4.2	22 (51)	.16 (65)	3.06 (81)	80% (18)	13% (121)	1.09 (24)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ODU Offense	13	49% (68)	37% (107)	15.7	27.8	194.8	7	12.4	20 (70)	11 (68)	.15 (112)	1.7 (39)	35% (119)	31% (70)	.3 (79)	5% (37)	2.2 (33)
BGSU Defense	13	44% (17)	36% (11)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (3)	.21 (35)	1.7 (111)	33% (46)	28% (38)	.32 (71)	7% (21)	2.1 (72)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ODU Defense	13	47% (38)	47% (124)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.31 (93)	1.5 (39)	28% (126)	30% (71)	.24 (36)	6% (70)	2.1 (76)
BGSU Offense	13	50% (60)	39% (98)	16.5	27.5	188.8	6.9	11.5	17 (85)	14 (107)	.27 (72)	1.7 (35)	36% (127)	31% (67)	.29 (82)	6% (54)	2 (82)

Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: -3.84 #77
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: 23.31 #34
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: 9.12 #66
2024 Talent Rating: 316.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Old Dominion's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Old Dominion's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.0 #95
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #78
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #99

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: -3.84 Bowling Green: 0.215

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: -6.0 Bowling Green: -1.8

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: 0.215 #73
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 20.86 #56
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 7.25 #46
2024 Talent Rating: 478.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Bowling Green's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Bowling Green's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.2

Old Dominion's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Bowling Green 28
Old Dominion 23

Projected Total Points: 53

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.2
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

Bowling Green's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/28	Bowling Green	27	Old Dominion	30	Old Dominion	Bowling Green -11	Old Dominion	51.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Bowling Green	0	0	1 Overs
Old Dominion	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#77) Old Dominion Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.84 #77
Offense Rating: 23.31 #34
Defense Rating: 9.12 #66
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.0 #95
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #99
Talent Rating: 316.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.75 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Poor OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Old Dominion Notes
(11/18) Fight w/ JMU, QB awful, Rgame good, R D awful
(11/3) 4 TOs broke W streak, QB Joseph good, Def bad
(10/24) Rgame good, Run D good in big W (GaSo)
(10/20) Rgame good, Run D better in big upset (Tex St)
(10/13) Rgame good, Run Def great vs Ga St. QB meh
(10/10) Rgame 200 yds(5.4 pc) L to C.Car., Def torched
(10/10) QB Joseph a huge upgrade, JAG w/ mobility
(9/28) Rgame better (189/5.3), QBs abysmal in L to BGU
(8/26) OL gave up most sacks in CFB LY
(7/30) Year 5, won last 2 LY to go bowling.

Old Dominion Ratings Matchup Bowling Green

Power #77

#73

Off #34

#56

Def #66

#46

Talent #126

#106

SP+ #95

#77

SP+ Off #78

#79

SP+ Def #99

#75

Rematch from Week 5
Bowling Green -11.0 (51.5)
Old Dominion won at Bowling Green this year (30-27)

Previous Matchups
Old Dominion beat Bowling Green last year (30-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 74° - Wind: 14 mph

Team Information
Injuries: ODU | BGSU
Depth Chart: ODU | BGSU
Rosters: ODU | BGSU

(#73) Bowling Green Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.215 #73
Offense Rating: 20.86 #56
Defense Rating: 7.25 #46
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75
Talent Rating: 478.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Bowling Green Notes
(11/13) Off better, Rgame good 220+, 7.4 ypc in WMU W
(11/8) Off OK vs CMU, Rgame 181, 5.2 ypc. Def great TW
(10/20) Bazelak torched Kent St, Rgame was really bad
(10/14) QB Bazelak hurt vs N. Illinois (day to day)
(10/14) Backup QB Lucian A. cannot throw the ball
(10/13) Scored open TD and 0 after in 17-7 L (N Ill)
(9/28) Bazelak 300 yds in W over ODU, Rgame really bad
(9/26) Great fight w/ A&M. Off is good, Def is underrated
(9/8) Nearly upset PSU, QB Bazelak/WR Fannin v good
(8/6) 14 starters back w/ momentum. MAC sleeper

Old Dominion's OC Kevin Decker

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Colton Joseph	133	222	60%	1623	11	5	7.3
Grant Wilson	48	86	56%	507	4	3	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Aaron Young (Tr)	149	768	6	5.2	51
Colton Joseph	114	647	11	5.7	39
Bryce Duke (Tr)	46	285	0	6.2	48
Quinn Henicle	34	278	3	8.2	92

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Pat Conroy (Tr)	37	523	5	14.1	75
Diante Vines (Tr)	36	393	2	10.9	40
Demariyon Houston	9	83	3	9.2	30
Bryce Duke (Tr)	9	58	1	6.4	26

View Old Dominion's Full Roster

Old Dominion's DC Blake Seiler

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Koa Naotala	87	5	4	5	1
Jahron Manning	85	6	1	0	3
Mario Thompson	66	10	5	5	1
Jahleel Culbreath	62	8	0	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mario Thompson	66	10	5	5	1
Koa Naotala	87	5	4	5	1
Kris Trinidad	44	10	4	5	3
Jeremy Mack Jr.	22	4	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Rasheed Reason	50	2	0	4
Will Jones II (Tr)	44	4	1	3
Jahron Manning	85	6	1	3

Bowling Green's OC Greg Nosal

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Lucian Anderson III	5	12	42%	32	1	1	2.7
Baron May	1	1	100%	43	1	0	43.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Terion Stewart	166	898	6	5.4	73
Rahkeem Smith	20	128	3	6.4	40
Lucian Anderson III	19	67	2	3.5	19
Justin Pegues (Tr)	13	51	0	3.9	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Malcolm Johnson Jr. (Tr)	49	573	3	11.7	50
Rahkeem Smith	25	349	3	14.0	66
Finn Hogan	17	175	0	10.3	33
Justin Pegues (Tr)	11	44	0	4.0	7

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

Bowling Green's DC Sammy Lawanson

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joseph Sipp Jr.	79	12	7	1	2
CJ Brown (Tr)	73	2	0	1	2
Tracy Revels	40	0	0	2	1
Darius McClendon (Tr)	31	2	2	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joseph Sipp Jr.	79	12	7	1	2
Darius McClendon (Tr)	31	2	2	0	0
Myles Bradley	22	3	2	2	0
Todd Bumphis (Tr)	8	1	1	0	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ja'Corey Benjamin	26	1	0	0	5
Todd Bumphis (Tr)	8	1	1	0	3
Joseph Sipp Jr.	79	12	7	1	2