Old Dominion at Bowling Green - 2024 Matchup Preview
Old Dominion logo Old Dominion Monarchs at Bowling Green FalconsBowling Green logo
Saturday, September 28th 2024 (5:00 PM EDT)
Bowling Green -11 (51.5) (-395)  Open: -8.0
Old Dominion 30 - Bowling Green: 27

 
Monarchs (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (15 - 23)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (28 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ODU coming off BYE
Our Line: Bowling Green -5   (SP+ BGSU -4)

Projected Score: ODU: 23 - BGSU: 28 (51)
BGSU Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
ODU Travel: 500 miles
Falcons (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (20 - 35)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (24 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Old Dominion's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Old Dominion at South Carolina+20.549.5L 19 - 23UY
Sat 9/7 Old Dominion vs East Carolina-1.553.5L 14 - 20UN
Sat 9/14 Old Dominion vs Virginia Tech+15.547.5L 17 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Old Dominion at Bowling Green+11.051.5W 30 - 27OY
Sat 10/5 Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina+4.051.5L 37 - 45ON
Sat 10/12 Old Dominion at Georgia State+3.053.0W 21 - 14UY
Sat 10/19 Old Dominion vs Texas State+10.560.0W 24 - 14UY
Thu 10/24 Old Dominion vs Georgia Southern+1.052.0W 47 - 19OY
Sat 11/2 Old Dominion at App State-2.558.0L 20 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Old Dominion vs James Madison+1.551.0L 32 - 35ON
Sat 11/23 Old Dominion vs Marshall-3.051.0L 35 - 42ON
Sat 11/30 Old Dominion at Arkansas State-5.558.5W 40 - 32OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Old Dominion's Schedule
Bowling Green's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Bowling Green vs Fordham-15.560.5W 41 - 17UY
Sat 9/7 Bowling Green at Penn State+35.551.5L 27 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Bowling Green at Texas A&M+21.050.5L 20 - 26UY
Sat 9/28 Bowling Green vs Old Dominion-11.051.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 10/5 Bowling Green at Akron-17.048.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 10/12 Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois-3.046.5L 7 - 17UN
Sat 10/19 Bowling Green vs Kent State-24.054.5W 27 - 6UN
Sat 10/26 Bowling Green at Toledo+1.547.5W 41 - 26OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5 Bowling Green at Central Michigan-14.547.5W 23 - 13UN
Tue 11/12 Bowling Green vs Western Michigan-9.557.5W 31 - 13UY
Sat 11/23 Bowling Green at Ball State-12.554.5W 38 - 13UY
Fri 11/29 Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)-3.037.5L 12 - 28ON
Thu 12/26 Bowling Green vs Arkansas State-10.554.5L 31 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ODU#47 (.22)42% (71)2845% (55)3.24 (34)21140% (89)1934.75 (6)#71 (.17)39% (33)2838% (22)40% (64)3.64 (50)54.21.71.4
BGSU#53 (.21)43% (68)27.141% (99)3.01 (74)13444% (38)2073.84 (77)#43 (.13)38% (15)21.639% (29)37% (20)3.47 (32)41.10.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ODU#47 (.22)42% (71)45% (55)3.24 (34)21140% (89)1934.75 (6)#71 (.17)39% (33)38% (22)40% (64)3.64 (50)54.21.71.4
BGSU#53 (.21)43% (68)41% (99)3.01 (74)13444% (38)2073.84 (77)#43 (.13)38% (15)39% (29)37% (20)3.47 (32)41.10.81



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ODU Offense122827.842.4%4.751.7204042111935.455%44%45%40%16%.22
BGSU Defense1321.618.537.6%3.471 - - - - - 50%49%39%37%16%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ODU Defense122828.238.8%3.641.4 - - - - - 53%46%38%40%16%.17
BGSU Offense1327.124.242.6%3.840.8183411342074.447%53%41%44%18%.21

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Old Dominion1227:5919.743%64%6.254.21.71.46.21.9027.3
Bowling Green1329:2118.237%59%4.841.10.814.92.2229.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ODU Offense1255% (34)45% (55)39.5211.35.427 (30).21 (30)3.24 (34)67% (108)11% (105)1.16 (8)
BGSU Defense1350% (66)39% (29) - - - - .17 (94)3.28 (109)80% (113)10% (75)1.1 (116)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ODU Defense1253% (101)38% (22) - - - - .1 (61)3.01 (71)77% (94)11% (49)1.03 (91)
BGSU Offense1347% (92)41% (99)30.6133.54.420 (67).14 (64)3.01 (74)78% (34)12% (118)1.08 (30)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ODU Offense1244% (104)40% (89)16.327.8192.66.911.917 (79)9 (48).27 (61)1.6 (41)33% (107)30% (86).36 (56)5% (30)2.2 (17)
BGSU Defense1349% (66)37% (20) - - - - - - 11 (52).11 (19)1.6 (65)34% (31)24% (3).15 (9)6% (69)2 (46)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ODU Defense1246% (32)40% (64) - - - - - - 12 (39).28 (95)1.8 (126)35% (24)31% (78).4 (104)5% (98)2.3 (129)
BGSU Offense1353% (42)44% (38)18.728.4207.37.311.116 (87)6 (10).28 (53)1.4 (127)32% (86)32% (67).29 (85)5% (53)1.8 (128)

Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: -3.84 #77
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: 23.31 #34
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: 9.12 #66
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Old Dominion's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Old Dominion's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.0 #95
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #78
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #99

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: -3.84   Bowling Green: 0.215

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: -6.0   Bowling Green: -1.8




Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: 0.215 #73
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 20.86 #56
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 7.25 #46
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Bowling Green's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Bowling Green's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.2

Old Dominion's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Bowling Green 28
Old Dominion 23


Total Points: 51

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.2
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

Bowling Green's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Bowling Green27Old Dominion30Old DominionBowling Green -11Old Dominion51.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Bowling Green001 Overs
Old Dominion110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#77) Old Dominion Info
Power Rating: -3.84 #77
Offense Rating: 23.31 #34
Defense Rating: 9.12 #66
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.0 #95
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #99
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.75 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Poor OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Old Dominion has lost 3 straight
Old Dominion has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 3 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Old Dominion Notes
(11/18) Fight w/ JMU, QB awful, Rgame good, R D awful
(11/3) 4 TOs broke W streak, QB Joseph good, Def bad
(10/24) Rgame good, Run D good in big W (GaSo)
(10/20) Rgame good, Run D better in big upset (Tex St)
(10/13) Rgame good, Run Def great vs Ga St. QB meh
(10/10) Rgame 200 yds(5.4 pc) L to C.Car., Def torched
(10/10) QB Joseph a huge upgrade, JAG w/ mobility
(9/28) Rgame better (189/5.3), QBs abysmal in L to BGU
(8/26) OL gave up most sacks in CFB LY
(7/30) Year 5, won last 2 LY to go bowling.

Old Dominion Highlights
Old Dominion has Really Good Running Game (#7)
Old Dominion offense is explosive (#13)
Old Dominion offense is good in red zone (#1)
Old Dominion has a good run defense (#132)

Old Dominion Deficiencies
Old Dominion Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Old Dominion gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#4)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatBGSUODU
OverallOver#26#84
OffenseOff#40#102
DefenseDef#22#63
Special TeamsST#16#93
PassingPass#29#109
RushingRush#34#10
Run BlockRBLK#70#96
Pass BlockPBLK#62#117
Route RunningWR Rt#17#89
TacklingTkl#33#104
Run DefenseR Def#63#27
Pass Rush DefPRush#34#107
Coverage DefCov#14#80

Rematch from Week 5
Bowling Green -11.0 (51.5)
Old Dominion won at Bowling Green this year (30-27)

Previous Matchups
Old Dominion beat Bowling Green last year (30-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ODU | BGSU
Depth Chart: ODU | BGSU
Rosters: ODU | BGSU
(#73) Bowling Green Info
Power Rating: 0.215 #73
Offense Rating: 20.86 #56
Defense Rating: 7.25 #46
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Bowling Green has lost 2 straight
Bowling Green has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Bowling Green Notes
(11/13) Off better, Rgame good 220+, 7.4 ypc in WMU W
(11/8) Off OK vs CMU, Rgame 181, 5.2 ypc. Def great TW
(10/20) Bazelak torched Kent St, Rgame was really bad
(10/14) QB Bazelak hurt vs N. Illinois (day to day)
(10/14) Backup QB Lucian A. cannot throw the ball
(10/13) Scored open TD and 0 after in 17-7 L (N Ill)
(9/28) Bazelak 300 yds in W over ODU, Rgame really bad
(9/26) Great fight w/ A&M. Off is good, Def is underrated
(9/8) Nearly upset PSU, QB Bazelak/WR Fannin v good
(8/6) 14 starters back w/ momentum. MAC sleeper

Bowling Green Highlights
Bowling Green has a really good defense (#29)
Bowling Green has a good run defense (#11)
Bowling Green has a good pass defense (#58)
Bowling Green has a great TO Margin (#1)
Bowling Green commits very few Penalties (#95)

Bowling Green Deficiencies
Bowling Green Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#56)
Bowling Green Does Not Stuff Runs (#30)
Bowling Green has a bad defensive line (#31)


  
Old Dominion's OC Kevin Decker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Colton Joseph13322260%16231157.3
Grant Wilson488656%507435.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Aaron Young (Tr)14976865.251
Colton Joseph114647115.739
Bryce Duke (Tr)4628506.248
Quinn Henicle3427838.292
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Isiah Paige61814313.372
Pat Conroy (Tr)37523514.175
Diante Vines (Tr)36393210.940
Myles Alston23246010.730

View Old Dominion's Full Roster
Old Dominion's DC Blake Seiler
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Koa Naotala875451
Jahron Manning856103
Mario Thompson6610551
Jahleel Culbreath628020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mario Thompson6610551
Koa Naotala875451
Kris Trinidad4410453
Jeremy Mack Jr.224320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheed Reason502004
Dywan Griffin40003
Jahron Manning856103

Bowling Green's OC Greg Nosal
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Connor Bazelak26940267%30441857.6
Lucian Anderson III51242%32112.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Terion Stewart16689865.473
Jaison Patterson9942654.341
Jamal Johnson2618817.241
Rahkeem Smith2012836.440
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Harold Fannin11715501013.265
Malcolm Johnson Jr. (Tr)49573311.750
Rahkeem Smith25349314.066
Jamal Johnson3122917.436

View Bowling Green's Full Roster
Bowling Green's DC Sammy Lawanson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brock Horne816221
Joseph Sipp Jr.7912712
CJ Brown (Tr)732012
Charles Rosser628540
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Sipp Jr.7912712
Charles Rosser628540
Anthony Hawkins468523
Ali Saad409430
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Oladokun351007
Ja'Corey Benjamin261005
Todd Bumphis (Tr)81103