Western Michigan Broncos at Ball State Cardinals
Saturday, October 5th 2024 (2:00 PM EDT)
Western Michigan -10 (57.5) (-360) Open: -7.5
Western Michigan 45 - Ball State: 42 (Mid-American)
Broncos (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 29 - 31 (22 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
Coach Lance Taylor (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 29 - 31 (22 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
WMU 2nd straight Road Game
BALL is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Western Michigan -8.5 (SP+ WMU -9.5)
Projected Score: WMU: 34 - BALL: 25 (63)
WMU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
WMU Travel: 143 miles
BALL is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Western Michigan -8.5 (SP+ WMU -9.5)
Projected Score: WMU: 34 - BALL: 25 (63)
WMU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
WMU Travel: 143 miles
Cardinals (3 - 9) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Collin Johnson (Int) (37 - 56)
Avg Score : 25 - 40 (29 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
Coach Collin Johnson (Int) (37 - 56)
Avg Score : 25 - 40 (29 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
| Western Michigan's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/30 | Western Michigan at Wisconsin | +24.0 | 57.0 | L 14 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Western Michigan at Ohio State | +37.5 | 54.5 | L 0 - 56 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Western Michigan vs Bethune-Cookman | -33.5 | 54.5 | W 59 - 31 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/28 | Western Michigan at Marshall | +3.5 | 53.5 | L 20 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Western Michigan at Ball State | -10.0 | 57.5 | W 45 - 42 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Western Michigan vs Akron | -9.5 | 48.5 | W 34 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Western Michigan at Buffalo | -1.0 | 49.5 | W 48 - 41 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Western Michigan vs Kent State | -19.0 | 61.0 | W 52 - 21 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 11/6 | Western Michigan vs Northern Illinois | +2.5 | 51.5 | L 28 - 42 | O | N | |
| Tue 11/12 | Western Michigan at Bowling Green | +9.5 | 57.5 | L 13 - 31 | U | N | |
| Tue 11/19 | Western Michigan at Central Michigan | -6.0 | 56.0 | L 14 - 16 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Western Michigan vs Eastern Michigan | -6.5 | 56.5 | W 26 - 18 | U | Y | |
| Sat 12/14 | Western Michigan vs South Alabama | +6.0 | 53.5 | L 23 - 30 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Ball State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/7 | Ball State vs Missouri State | -2.5 | 50.5 | W 42 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Ball State at Miami | +36.5 | 55.5 | L 0 - 62 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Ball State at Central Michigan | +6.5 | 51.0 | L 34 - 37 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Ball State at James Madison | +22.0 | 56.5 | L 7 - 63 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Ball State vs Western Michigan | +10.0 | 57.5 | L 42 - 45 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Ball State at Kent State | -3.0 | 58.0 | W 37 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Ball State at Vanderbilt | +27.5 | 57.5 | L 14 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Ball State vs Northern Illinois | +13.5 | 47.5 | W 25 - 23 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/5 | Ball State vs Miami (OH) | +12.5 | 48.5 | L 21 - 27 | U | Y | |
| Tue 11/12 | Ball State at Buffalo | +3.5 | 55.5 | L 48 - 51 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Ball State vs Bowling Green | +12.5 | 54.5 | L 13 - 38 | U | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Ball State at Ohio | +17.5 | 51.5 | L 21 - 42 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Predictions for Ball State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMU | #85 (.16) | 40% (90) | 28.9 | 41% (87) | 3.09 (71) | 153 | 40% (87) | 211 | 3.89 (72) | #92 (.22) | 44% (101) | 31.3 | 46% (99) | 44% (99) | 4.15 (105) | 62.3 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| BALL | #97 (.14) | 40% (95) | 25.3 | 45% (50) | 3.35 (22) | 171 | 33% (127) | 137 | 3.31 (105) | #70 (.18) | 42% (66) | 40.1 | 43% (65) | 42% (70) | 3.81 (70) | 45.2 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| BALL | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMU Offense | 12 | 28.9 | 22 | 40.3% | 3.89 | 1.1 | 20 | 365 | 153 | 211 | 3.8 | 54% | 45% | 41% | 40% | 16% | .16 |
| BALL Defense | 12 | 40.1 | 33.4 | 41.8% | 3.81 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 48% | 51% | 43% | 42% | 17% | .18 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMU Defense | 12 | 31.3 | 34.4 | 44.3% | 4.15 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 48% | 46% | 44% | 19% | .22 |
| BALL Offense | 12 | 25.3 | 28.6 | 39.8% | 3.31 | 1.3 | 18 | 308 | 171 | 137 | 4.4 | 58% | 41% | 45% | 33% | 17% | .14 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Michigan | 12 | 29:55 | 19.6 | 36% | 49% | 7.1 | 62.3 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5.2 | 2 | 0 | 28.3 |
| Ball State | 12 | 32:44 | 18.1 | 38% | 56% | 5.2 | 45.2 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 0 | 28.8 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMU Offense | 12 | 54% (38) | 41% (87) | 39.9 | 153.3 | 3.8 | 21 (54) | .15 (73) | 3.09 (71) | 75% (58) | 10% (66) | 1 (65) |
| BALL Defense | 12 | 48% (44) | 43% (65) | - | - | - | - | .11 (45) | 3.08 (62) | 79% (102) | 11% (35) | 0.89 (23) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMU Defense | 12 | 50% (74) | 46% (99) | - | - | - | - | .17 (91) | 3.48 (127) | 81% (112) | 11% (44) | 0.95 (40) |
| BALL Offense | 12 | 58% (14) | 45% (50) | 39.3 | 171.4 | 4.4 | 15 (100) | .21 (38) | 3.35 (22) | 83% (8) | 12% (112) | 0.99 (70) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMU Offense | 12 | 45% (98) | 40% (87) | 20.6 | 32.8 | 211.2 | 6.5 | 10.3 | 13 (111) | 9 (40) | .2 (96) | 1.5 (105) | 30% (29) | 25% (113) | .25 (93) | 6% (88) | 2 (96) |
| BALL Defense | 12 | 51% (93) | 42% (70) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 (126) | .27 (70) | 1.5 (29) | 32% (61) | 28% (30) | .21 (20) | 5% (97) | 2 (39) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMU Defense | 12 | 48% (47) | 44% (99) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (87) | .33 (104) | 1.6 (78) | 31% (94) | 30% (71) | .23 (29) | 9% (7) | 1.9 (31) |
| BALL Offense | 12 | 41% (119) | 33% (127) | 15.1 | 25.3 | 136.7 | 5.4 | 9.1 | 9 (126) | 8 (30) | .05 (128) | 1.4 (130) | 33% (92) | 24% (123) | .18 (110) | 5% (25) | 2 (104) |
Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -10.37 #103
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 22.99 #41
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 15.82 #113
2024 Talent Rating: 588.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Western Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Western Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #105
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #86
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #120
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -10.37 #103
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 22.99 #41
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 15.82 #113
2024 Talent Rating: 588.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Western Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Western Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #105
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #86
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #120
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -10.37 Ball State: -18.945
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -10.2 Ball State: -19.8
Western Michigan: -10.37 Ball State: -18.945
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -10.2 Ball State: -19.8
Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -18.945 #126
Ball State's Offense Rating: 17.16 #93
Ball State's Defense Rating: 22.27 #132
2024 Talent Rating: 514.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Ball State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Ball State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Ball State's Power Rating: -18.945 #126
Ball State's Offense Rating: 17.16 #93
Ball State's Defense Rating: 22.27 #132
2024 Talent Rating: 514.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Ball State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Ball State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4
Western Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4
Western Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Western Michigan 34
Ball State 25
Projected Total Points: 63
Western Michigan 34
Ball State 25
Projected Total Points: 63
Ball State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.6
Defense: 40.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4
Ball State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.6
Defense: 40.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4
Ball State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/05 | Ball State | 42 | Western Michigan | 45 | Western Michigan | Western Michigan -10 | Ball State | 57.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 09/30 | Western Michigan | 42 | Ball State | 24 | Western Michigan | Western Michigan -1.5 | Western Michigan | 50.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 09/10 | Ball State | 30 | Western Michigan | 37 | Western Michigan | Western Michigan -6.5 | Western Michigan | 51.5 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/09 | Western Michigan | 20 | Ball State | 45 | Ball State | Western Michigan -13 | Ball State | 57.5 | Over |
| 2020 | 12/12 | Ball State | 30 | Western Michigan | 27 | Ball State | Western Michigan -2 | Ball State | 66.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 11/05 | Western Michigan | 35 | Ball State | 31 | Western Michigan | Western Michigan -6.5 | Ball State | 64.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/13 | Ball State | 42 | Western Michigan | 41 | Ball State | Western Michigan -10 | Ball State | 58.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 09/30 | Western Michigan | 55 | Ball State | 3 | Western Michigan | Western Michigan -13 | Western Michigan | 53.5 | Over |
| 2016 | 11/01 | Ball State | 20 | Western Michigan | 52 | Western Michigan | Western Michigan -16 | Western Michigan | 64.5 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/05 | Western Michigan | 54 | Ball State | 7 | Western Michigan | Western Michigan -13.5 | Western Michigan | 62.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 10/11 | Ball State | 38 | Western Michigan | 42 | Western Michigan | Ball State -6 | Western Michigan | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/19 | Western Michigan | 17 | Ball State | 38 | Ball State | Ball State -21 | NA | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/13 | Ball State | 30 | Western Michigan | 24 | Ball State | ||||
| 2011 | 10/29 | Western Michigan | 45 | Ball State | 35 | Western Michigan | ||||
| 2010 | 10/09 | Ball State | 16 | Western Michigan | 45 | Western Michigan | ||||
| 2009 | 11/24 | Western Michigan | 17 | Ball State | 22 | Ball State | ||||
| 2008 | 11/25 | Ball State | 45 | Western Michigan | 22 | Ball State | ||||
| 2007 | 10/20 | Western Michigan | 23 | Ball State | 27 | Ball State | ||||
| 2006 | 10/21 | Ball State | 27 | Western Michigan | 41 | Western Michigan | ||||
| 2005 | 10/08 | Western Michigan | 57 | Ball State | 60 | Ball State | ||||
| 2004 | 09/25 | Ball State | 41 | Western Michigan | 14 | Ball State | ||||
| 2003 | 11/08 | Western Michigan | 28 | Ball State | 20 | Western Michigan | ||||
| 2002 | 11/02 | Ball State | 17 | Western Michigan | 7 | Ball State | ||||
| 2001 | 11/24 | Western Michigan | 31 | Ball State | 35 | Ball State | ||||
| 2000 | 11/03 | Ball State | 3 | Western Michigan | 42 | Western Michigan |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State | 12 | 5 | 8 Overs |
| Western Michigan | 13 | 6 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 12 - 13 | 6 - 5 | 3 - 3 | 3 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 13 - 12 | 5 - 6 | 2 - 3 | 3 - 3 |
(#103) Western Michigan Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.37 #103
Offense Rating: 22.99 #41
Defense Rating: 15.82 #113
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #105
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #86
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #120
Talent Rating: 588.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 46%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Western Michigan Notes
(11/25) 3 str L's, zero Rgame, QB sucked, Vs EMU 4 bowl
(11/13) QBs/Rgame awful vs BG, Run Def torched in L
(11/7) TO's, stupidity cost vs N Ill. QB Wolff a fraud
(10/22) Def stop rate 47% (#125) into week 9
(10/20) Off torched Buffalo, Def awful vs both Pass & Run
(10/18) Better than record, sched rough, close losses
(10/13) Rgame good, Pass D torched by Akron. Def 4 TOs
(10/4) Run a lot w/ good success. Def awful so far
(10/4) Let's see how they play now sched lightens up
(8/15) DBs supposed to be near the best in the MAC
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.37 #103
Offense Rating: 22.99 #41
Defense Rating: 15.82 #113
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #105
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #86
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #120
Talent Rating: 588.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 46%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Western Michigan Notes
(11/25) 3 str L's, zero Rgame, QB sucked, Vs EMU 4 bowl
(11/13) QBs/Rgame awful vs BG, Run Def torched in L
(11/7) TO's, stupidity cost vs N Ill. QB Wolff a fraud
(10/22) Def stop rate 47% (#125) into week 9
(10/20) Off torched Buffalo, Def awful vs both Pass & Run
(10/18) Better than record, sched rough, close losses
(10/13) Rgame good, Pass D torched by Akron. Def 4 TOs
(10/4) Run a lot w/ good success. Def awful so far
(10/4) Let's see how they play now sched lightens up
(8/15) DBs supposed to be near the best in the MAC
Power #103
#126Off #41
#93Def #113
#132Talent #79
#92SP+ #105
#126SP+ Off #86
#103SP+ Def #120
#133Rematch from Week 6
Western Michigan 10.0 (57.5)
Western Michigan won at Ball State this year (45-42)
Previous Matchups
Western Michigan beat Ball State last year (45-42)
Western Michigan beat Ball State in 2023 (42-24)
Western Michigan beat Ball State in 2022 (37-30)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Scheumann Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 80° - Wind: 6 mph
Team Information
Injuries: WMU | BALL
Depth Chart: WMU | BALL
Rosters: WMU | BALL
(#126) Ball State Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -18.945 #126
Offense Rating: 17.16 #93
Defense Rating: 22.27 #132
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133
Talent Rating: 514.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.94 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.81 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Ball State Notes
(11/29) Fr QB Semonza good vs Ohio, 333 yds, 3/0 TD/Int
(11/16) HC Neu fired, OL Colin Johnson interim
(11/8) Good fight w/ M-O, Rgame abysmal, QB great
(10/22) Def stop rate 37% (#132) into week 9
(10/20) Good fight w/ Vandy, QB 21-29 for 190 yds?
(10/13) Shootout W over Kent St. Pass Def torched
(10/4) Sched brutal, Def CFB #133. Over every game.
(9/12) Over bet team. Off much improved, Def horrific
(9/8) Def gave up 34 to Mizzu St? Off looked good in open
(9/8) Run game strength LY only 2/5 OL and new RBs
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -18.945 #126
Offense Rating: 17.16 #93
Defense Rating: 22.27 #132
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133
Talent Rating: 514.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.94 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.81 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Ball State Notes
(11/29) Fr QB Semonza good vs Ohio, 333 yds, 3/0 TD/Int
(11/16) HC Neu fired, OL Colin Johnson interim
(11/8) Good fight w/ M-O, Rgame abysmal, QB great
(10/22) Def stop rate 37% (#132) into week 9
(10/20) Good fight w/ Vandy, QB 21-29 for 190 yds?
(10/13) Shootout W over Kent St. Pass Def torched
(10/4) Sched brutal, Def CFB #133. Over every game.
(9/12) Over bet team. Off much improved, Def horrific
(9/8) Def gave up 34 to Mizzu St? Off looked good in open
(9/8) Run game strength LY only 2/5 OL and new RBs
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broc Lowry (Tr) | 4 | 8 | 50% | 21 | 0 | 0 | 2.6 |
| Ryan Millmore | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Nixon | 132 | 874 | 12 | 6.6 | 92 |
| Jalen Buckley | 120 | 657 | 8 | 5.5 | 61 |
| Broc Lowry (Tr) | 22 | 123 | 3 | 5.6 | 40 |
| Jamal Hailey | 6 | 60 | 1 | 10.0 | 48 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malique Dieudonne | 12 | 209 | 2 | 17.4 | 43 |
| Jordin Parker (Tr) | 12 | 140 | 0 | 11.7 | 38 |
| Jalen Buckley | 12 | 98 | 0 | 8.2 | 24 |
| Christopher Toudle | 8 | 91 | 1 | 11.4 | 23 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tate Hallock | 84 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Aaron Wofford | 64 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Corey Walker | 38 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 5 |
| Anterio Thompson (Tr) | 34 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Walker | 38 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 5 |
| Mason Nelson | 31 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Isaiah Green | 28 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Popeye Williams (Tr) | 19 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tate Hallock | 84 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Corey Walker | 38 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 5 |
| Nyquan Washington | 31 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kadin Semonza | 275 | 427 | 64% | 2900 | 25 | 10 | 6.8 |
| Aidan Leffler | 2 | 6 | 33% | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braedon Sloan (Tr) | 150 | 597 | 4 | 4.0 | 40 |
| Vaughn Pemberton | 61 | 276 | 2 | 4.5 | 41 |
| Cam Pickett | 17 | 170 | 2 | 10.0 | 34 |
| TJ Horton | 23 | 107 | 0 | 4.7 | 17 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Koziol | 94 | 839 | 8 | 8.9 | 33 |
| Cam Pickett | 49 | 528 | 2 | 10.8 | 65 |
| Justin Bowick (Tr) | 20 | 383 | 3 | 19.2 | 57 |
| Braedon Sloan (Tr) | 29 | 329 | 1 | 11.3 | 72 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Udo (Tr) | 78 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Riley Tolsma (Tr) | 59 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 1 |
| Joey Stemler | 56 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| D.D. Snyder | 55 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Tolsma (Tr) | 59 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 1 |
| Sam Feeney | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Darin Conley | 16 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Joey Stemler | 56 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Norwood (Tr) | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Thailand Baldwin | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Scott Hudson | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |