Ball State Cardinals at Ohio Bobcats
Friday, November 29th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Ohio -17.5 (51.5) (-1000) Open: -14.5 | 52.5
Ohio 42 - Ball State: 21 (Mid-American)
Cardinals (3 - 9) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Collin Johnson (Int) (37 - 56)
Avg Score : 25 - 40 (23 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Coach Collin Johnson (Int) (37 - 56)
Avg Score : 25 - 40 (23 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
OHIO is playing their 4th straight game
BALL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Ohio -21 (SP+ OHIO -22)
Projected Score: BALL: 17 - OHIO: 38 (54)
OHIO Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
BALL Travel: 186 miles
BALL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Ohio -21 (SP+ OHIO -22)
Projected Score: BALL: 17 - OHIO: 38 (54)
OHIO Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
BALL Travel: 186 miles
Bobcats (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (23 - 16)
Avg Score : 29 - 18 (34 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Tim Albin (23 - 16)
Avg Score : 29 - 18 (34 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
| Ball State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/7 | Ball State vs Missouri State | -2.5 | 50.5 | W 42 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Ball State at Miami | +36.5 | 55.5 | L 0 - 62 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Ball State at Central Michigan | +6.5 | 51.0 | L 34 - 37 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Ball State at James Madison | +22.0 | 56.5 | L 7 - 63 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Ball State vs Western Michigan | +10.0 | 57.5 | L 42 - 45 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Ball State at Kent State | -3.0 | 58.0 | W 37 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Ball State at Vanderbilt | +27.5 | 57.5 | L 14 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Ball State vs Northern Illinois | +13.5 | 47.5 | W 25 - 23 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/5 | Ball State vs Miami (OH) | +12.5 | 48.5 | L 21 - 27 | U | Y | |
| Tue 11/12 | Ball State at Buffalo | +3.5 | 55.5 | L 48 - 51 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Ball State vs Bowling Green | +12.5 | 54.5 | L 13 - 38 | U | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Ball State at Ohio | +17.5 | 51.5 | L 21 - 42 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 3, Poor: 4
Predictions for Ball State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 3, Poor: 4
| Ohio's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Ohio at Syracuse | +17.5 | 47.5 | L 22 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Ohio vs South Alabama | +1.5 | 55.5 | W 27 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Ohio vs Morgan State | -24.5 | 45.5 | W 21 - 6 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Ohio at Kentucky | +19.0 | 42.0 | L 6 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Ohio vs Akron | -8.5 | 46.0 | W 30 - 10 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Ohio at Central Michigan | -3.0 | 50.5 | W 27 - 25 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Ohio at Miami (OH) | +3.5 | 43.5 | L 20 - 30 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Ohio vs Buffalo | -4.0 | 46.5 | W 47 - 16 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 11/6 | Ohio at Kent State | -20.5 | 53.5 | W 41 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Wed 11/13 | Ohio vs Eastern Michigan | -10.5 | 51.5 | W 35 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Wed 11/20 | Ohio at Toledo | +1.5 | 47.0 | W 24 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Fri 11/29 | Ohio vs Ball State | -17.5 | 51.5 | W 42 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 12/7 | Ohio vs Miami (OH) | +2.5 | 43.5 | W 38 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Fri 12/20 | Ohio vs Jacksonville State | -6.5 | 57.5 | W 30 - 27 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 8
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 8
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 8
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 8
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BALL | #98 (.14) | 42% (78) | 25.3 | 44% (70) | 3.06 (61) | 103 | 41% (72) | 245 | 3.94 (65) | #128 (.32) | 46% (118) | 40.1 | 46% (103) | 47% (121) | 4.81 (133) | 45.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| OHIO | #40 (.24) | 46% (30) | 29.3 | 47% (35) | 3.1 (52) | 214 | 45% (35) | 193 | 4.15 (47) | #23 (.1) | 37% (10) | 18.1 | 34% (3) | 40% (57) | 3.79 (68) | 44.9 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BALL | #98 (.14) | 42% (78) | 44% (70) | 3.06 (61) | 103 | 41% (72) | 245 | 3.94 (65) | #128 (.32) | 46% (118) | 46% (103) | 47% (121) | 4.81 (133) | 45.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | ||
| OHIO | #40 (.24) | 46% (30) | 47% (35) | 3.1 (52) | 214 | 45% (35) | 193 | 4.15 (47) | #23 (.1) | 37% (10) | 34% (3) | 40% (57) | 3.79 (68) | 44.9 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BALL Offense | 12 | 25.3 | 23 | 42.1% | 3.94 | 1.2 | 20 | 348 | 103 | 245 | 3.4 | 42% | 58% | 44% | 41% | 19% | .14 |
| OHIO Defense | 14 | 18.1 | 13.8 | 36.9% | 3.79 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 45% | 54% | 34% | 40% | 20% | .1 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BALL Defense | 12 | 40.1 | 44.9 | 46.5% | 4.81 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 52% | 46% | 47% | 13% | .32 |
| OHIO Offense | 14 | 29.3 | 33.7 | 45.8% | 4.15 | 1.6 | 22 | 406 | 214 | 193 | 5.2 | 59% | 41% | 47% | 45% | 14% | .24 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State | 12 | 30:58 | 20.3 | 42% | 46% | 4.9 | 45.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 30.3 |
| Ohio | 14 | 32:43 | 21.9 | 48% | 60% | 5.5 | 44.9 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 6.3 | 2.5 | 3 | 27.9 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BALL Offense | 12 | 42% (120) | 44% (70) | 30.8 | 103.4 | 3.4 | 10 (122) | .1 (91) | 3.06 (61) | 80% (23) | 11% (99) | 0.87 (117) |
| OHIO Defense | 14 | 45% (15) | 34% (3) | - | - | - | - | -.03 (6) | 2.49 (8) | 74% (69) | 13% (13) | 1 (72) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BALL Defense | 12 | 47% (34) | 46% (103) | - | - | - | - | .22 (116) | 3.17 (90) | 74% (72) | 9% (103) | 1.08 (110) |
| OHIO Offense | 14 | 59% (13) | 47% (35) | 40.7 | 213.5 | 5.2 | 35 (8) | .24 (18) | 3.1 (52) | 78% (31) | 9% (52) | 1.12 (13) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BALL Offense | 12 | 58% (16) | 41% (72) | 23.3 | 36.6 | 244.7 | 6.7 | 10.5 | 26 (26) | 11 (72) | .19 (98) | 1.6 (73) | 33% (93) | 28% (101) | .29 (88) | 8% (123) | 2.2 (15) |
| OHIO Defense | 14 | 54% (121) | 40% (57) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 (52) | .22 (60) | 1.5 (53) | 35% (22) | 24% (2) | .18 (19) | 7% (40) | 2.2 (107) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BALL Defense | 12 | 52% (100) | 47% (121) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 (93) | .44 (128) | 1.8 (119) | 33% (55) | 40% (133) | .57 (131) | 5% (115) | 2.2 (115) |
| OHIO Offense | 14 | 41% (119) | 45% (35) | 15.5 | 24.7 | 192.5 | 7.8 | 12.4 | 15 (98) | 12 (85) | .23 (80) | 1.4 (128) | 29% (32) | 37% (13) | .45 (23) | 5% (43) | 1.8 (120) |
Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -23.09 #126
Ball State's Offense Rating: 17.16 #93
Ball State's Defense Rating: 22.27 #132
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Ball State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Ball State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Ball State's Power Rating: -23.09 #126
Ball State's Offense Rating: 17.16 #93
Ball State's Defense Rating: 22.27 #132
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Ball State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Ball State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -23.09 Ohio: -0.48
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -19.8 Ohio: 2.3
Ball State: -23.09 Ohio: -0.48
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -19.8 Ohio: 2.3
Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -0.48 #93
Ohio's Offense Rating: 19.85 #68
Ohio's Defense Rating: 8.89 #63
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Ohio's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Ohio's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #63
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #47
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Ohio's Power Rating: -0.48 #93
Ohio's Offense Rating: 19.85 #68
Ohio's Defense Rating: 8.89 #63
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Ohio's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Ohio's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #63
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #47
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Ball State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 40.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 44.9
Ball State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 40.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 44.9
Ball State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio 38
Ball State 17
Total Points: 54
Ohio 38
Ball State 17
Total Points: 54
Ohio Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.7
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.8
Ohio's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.7
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.8
Ohio's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/29 | Ohio | 42 | Ball State | 21 | Ohio | Ohio -17.5 | Ohio | 51.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 11/15 | Ball State | 18 | Ohio | 32 | Ohio | Ohio -3.5 | Ohio | 57.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 10/26 | Ball State | 21 | Ohio | 34 | Ohio | Ball State -1.5 | Ohio | 60.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/25 | Ohio | 52 | Ball State | 14 | Ohio | Ohio -10.5 | Ohio | 66.0 | Push |
| 2015 | 11/17 | Ohio | 48 | Ball State | 31 | Ohio | Ohio -7 | Ohio | 56.0 | Over |
| 2012 | 11/14 | Ball State | 52 | Ohio | 27 | Ball State | ||||
| 2011 | 10/15 | Ohio | 20 | Ball State | 23 | Ball State | ||||
| 2009 | 10/31 | Ball State | 17 | Ohio | 20 | Ohio | ||||
| 2005 | 10/22 | Ohio | 38 | Ball State | 21 | Ohio |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio | 7 | 5 | 2 Overs |
| Ball State | 2 | 0 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 5 - 4 | 3 - 2 | 3 - 1 | 0 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 4 - 5 | 2 - 3 | 1 - 0 | 1 - 3 |
(#126) Ball State Info
Power Rating: -23.09 #126
Offense Rating: 17.16 #93
Defense Rating: 22.27 #132
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.94 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.81 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Ball State has lost 3 straight
Ball State has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 6 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Ball State Notes
(11/29) Fr QB Semonza good vs Ohio, 333 yds, 3/0 TD/Int
(11/16) HC Neu fired, OL Colin Johnson interim
(11/8) Good fight w/ M-O, Rgame abysmal, QB great
(10/22) Def stop rate 37% (#132) into week 9
(10/20) Good fight w/ Vandy, QB 21-29 for 190 yds?
(10/13) Shootout W over Kent St. Pass Def torched
(10/4) Sched brutal, Def CFB #133. Over every game.
(9/12) Over bet team. Off much improved, Def horrific
(9/8) Def gave up 34 to Mizzu St? Off looked good in open
(9/8) Run game strength LY only 2/5 OL and new RBs
Ball State Highlights
Ball State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#120)
Ball State commits very few Penalties (#59)
Ball State Deficiencies
Ball State Can Not Run the Ball (#80)
Ball State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Ball State has a bad defense (#128)
Ball State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#77)
Ball State has a bad red zone defense (#70)
Power Rating: -23.09 #126
Offense Rating: 17.16 #93
Defense Rating: 22.27 #132
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.94 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.81 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Ball State has lost 3 straight
Ball State has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 6 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Ball State Notes
(11/29) Fr QB Semonza good vs Ohio, 333 yds, 3/0 TD/Int
(11/16) HC Neu fired, OL Colin Johnson interim
(11/8) Good fight w/ M-O, Rgame abysmal, QB great
(10/22) Def stop rate 37% (#132) into week 9
(10/20) Good fight w/ Vandy, QB 21-29 for 190 yds?
(10/13) Shootout W over Kent St. Pass Def torched
(10/4) Sched brutal, Def CFB #133. Over every game.
(9/12) Over bet team. Off much improved, Def horrific
(9/8) Def gave up 34 to Mizzu St? Off looked good in open
(9/8) Run game strength LY only 2/5 OL and new RBs
Ball State Highlights
Ball State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#120)
Ball State commits very few Penalties (#59)
Ball State Deficiencies
Ball State Can Not Run the Ball (#80)
Ball State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Ball State has a bad defense (#128)
Ball State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#77)
Ball State has a bad red zone defense (#70)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | OHIO | BALL |
| OverallOver | #45 | #92 |
| OffenseOff | #61 | #75 |
| DefenseDef | #43 | #115 |
| Special TeamsST | #68 | #91 |
| PassingPass | #53 | #70 |
| RushingRush | #46 | #98 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #44 | #69 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #102 | #38 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #48 | #50 |
| TacklingTkl | #107 | #105 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #62 | #108 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #24 | #54 |
| Coverage DefCov | #52 | #110 |
Rematch from Week 14
Ohio -17.5 (51.5)
Ohio won vs Ball State this year (42-21)
Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Ball State last year (42-21)
Ohio beat Ball State in 2022 (32-18)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: BALL | OHIO
Depth Chart: BALL | OHIO
Rosters: BALL | OHIO
(#93) Ohio Info
Power Rating: -0.48 #93
Offense Rating: 19.85 #68
Defense Rating: 8.89 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #47
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Good Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Great Run Def Success 34%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Ohio has won 4 straight
Ohio has won 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 0 (5 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Ohio Notes
(12/8) HC Albin left for Charlotte after MAC title?
(11/29) Killed Ball St, in MAC title. Rgame 270/6.6 ypc
(11/29) Pass Def bad vs Ball St, 333 yds, 3 TD, 0 Int
(11/25) 4 str W's, bullied Toledo. Beat Ball St=MAC title
(11/18) 3 str W's, Killed EMU, Off good enough, Def good
(11/8) Rgame mauled Kent, Run Def/Pass Def great TW
(10/20) 2 Int, no Off for 3 quarters vs M-OH. Rgame bad
(10/13) Rgame 277 yds, 7.5 ypc, Def enough W CMU
(10/4) Off runs a lot/meh success, pass little/good suc?
(9/8) 200 yds rush in W (S Al). QB Navarro JAG
Ohio Highlights
Ohio is Undefeated at Home
Ohio has Really Good Running Game (#71)
Ohio offense is efficent (#122)
Ohio offense is good on 3rd downs
Ohio Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Ohio has a really good defense (#112)
Ohio has a good run defense (#86)
Ohio Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#46)
Ohio Defensive Line is very good (#61)
Ohio Front 7 is disruptive (#105)
Ohio Deficiencies
Ohio has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Ohio Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Power Rating: -0.48 #93
Offense Rating: 19.85 #68
Defense Rating: 8.89 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #47
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Good Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Great Run Def Success 34%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Ohio has won 4 straight
Ohio has won 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 0 (5 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Ohio Notes
(12/8) HC Albin left for Charlotte after MAC title?
(11/29) Killed Ball St, in MAC title. Rgame 270/6.6 ypc
(11/29) Pass Def bad vs Ball St, 333 yds, 3 TD, 0 Int
(11/25) 4 str W's, bullied Toledo. Beat Ball St=MAC title
(11/18) 3 str W's, Killed EMU, Off good enough, Def good
(11/8) Rgame mauled Kent, Run Def/Pass Def great TW
(10/20) 2 Int, no Off for 3 quarters vs M-OH. Rgame bad
(10/13) Rgame 277 yds, 7.5 ypc, Def enough W CMU
(10/4) Off runs a lot/meh success, pass little/good suc?
(9/8) 200 yds rush in W (S Al). QB Navarro JAG
Ohio Highlights
Ohio is Undefeated at Home
Ohio has Really Good Running Game (#71)
Ohio offense is efficent (#122)
Ohio offense is good on 3rd downs
Ohio Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Ohio has a really good defense (#112)
Ohio has a good run defense (#86)
Ohio Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#46)
Ohio Defensive Line is very good (#61)
Ohio Front 7 is disruptive (#105)
Ohio Deficiencies
Ohio has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Ohio Fumbles a Lot (#1)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kadin Semonza | 275 | 427 | 64% | 2900 | 25 | 10 | 6.8 |
| Aidan Leffler | 2 | 6 | 33% | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braedon Sloan (Tr) | 150 | 597 | 4 | 4.0 | 40 |
| Vaughn Pemberton | 61 | 276 | 2 | 4.5 | 41 |
| Cam Pickett | 17 | 170 | 2 | 10.0 | 34 |
| TJ Horton | 23 | 107 | 0 | 4.7 | 17 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Koziol | 94 | 839 | 8 | 8.9 | 33 |
| Cam Pickett | 49 | 528 | 2 | 10.8 | 65 |
| Justin Bowick (Tr) | 20 | 383 | 3 | 19.2 | 57 |
| Braedon Sloan (Tr) | 29 | 329 | 1 | 11.3 | 72 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Udo (Tr) | 78 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Keionte Newson | 73 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Riley Tolsma (Tr) | 59 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 1 |
| Joey Stemler | 56 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Tolsma (Tr) | 59 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 1 |
| Brandon Berger | 38 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| Sam Feeney | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Darin Conley | 16 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Norwood (Tr) | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Keionte Newson | 73 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Brandon Berger | 38 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Navarro | 195 | 295 | 66% | 2423 | 13 | 11 | 8.2 |
| Nick Poulos | 22 | 49 | 45% | 271 | 2 | 1 | 5.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Tyus III (Tr) | 237 | 1215 | 9 | 5.1 | 46 |
| Parker Navarro | 160 | 1047 | 18 | 6.5 | 55 |
| Rickey Hunt | 76 | 393 | 2 | 5.2 | 59 |
| Nick Poulos | 28 | 149 | 1 | 5.3 | 22 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coleman Owen (Tr) | 78 | 1235 | 8 | 15.8 | 75 |
| Chase Hendricks | 40 | 471 | 1 | 11.8 | 56 |
| Rodney Harris II | 23 | 299 | 0 | 13.0 | 52 |
| Mason Williams | 19 | 211 | 2 | 11.1 | 21 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Leake (Tr) | 94 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Dustin Johnson (Tr) | 77 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Shay Taylor | 74 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Marcel Walker (Tr) | 56 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Weaver | 44 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| Marcel Walker (Tr) | 56 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 2 |
| Shay Taylor | 74 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Kadin Schmitz | 32 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Parodie | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| DJ Walker | 53 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Tank Pearson | 50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |