South Alabama at Ohio Game Matchup
South Alabama logo South Alabama Jaguars at Ohio BobcatsOhio logo
Saturday, September 7th 2024 (6:00 PM EDT)
South Alabama -1.5 (55.5) (-120)  Open: -1.5 | 56.5
Ohio 27 - South Alabama: 20

 
Jaguars (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Major Applewhite (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (26 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: South Alabama -0   (SP+ USA -0.5)
Projected Score: USA: 27 - OHIO: 27 (53)
USA Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
USA Travel: 684 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bobcats (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (23 - 16)
Avg Score : 29 - 18 (34 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Alabama's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 South Alabama vs North Texas-6.061.5L 38 - 52ON
Sat 9/7 South Alabama at Ohio-1.555.5L 20 - 27UN
Thu 9/12 South Alabama vs Northwestern State-36.560.5W 87 - 10OY
Thu 9/19 South Alabama at App State+8.062.5W 48 - 14UY
Sat 9/28 South Alabama at LSU+21.064.5L 10 - 42UN
Sat 10/5 South Alabama at Arkansas State-2.562.5L 16 - 18UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/15 South Alabama vs Troy-10.053.0W 25 - 9UY
Sat 10/26 South Alabama vs UL Monroe-7.045.0W 46 - 17OY
Sat 11/2 South Alabama vs Georgia Southern-5.560.0L 30 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 South Alabama at Louisiana+6.560.0W 24 - 22UY
Sat 11/23 South Alabama at Southern Miss-24.054.0W 35 - 14UN
Fri 11/29 South Alabama vs Texas State+2.560.5L 38 - 45ON
Sat 12/14 South Alabama vs Western Michigan-6.053.5W 30 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule
Ohio's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Ohio at Syracuse+17.547.5L 22 - 38OY
Sat 9/7 Ohio vs South Alabama+1.555.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 9/14 Ohio vs Morgan State-24.545.5W 21 - 6UN
Sat 9/21 Ohio at Kentucky+19.042.0L 6 - 41ON
Sat 9/28 Ohio vs Akron-8.546.0W 30 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Ohio at Central Michigan-3.050.5W 27 - 25ON
Sat 10/19 Ohio at Miami (OH)+3.543.5L 20 - 30ON
Sat 10/26 Ohio vs Buffalo-4.046.5W 47 - 16OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6 Ohio at Kent State-20.553.5W 41 - 0UY
Wed 11/13 Ohio vs Eastern Michigan-10.551.5W 35 - 10UY
Wed 11/20 Ohio at Toledo+1.547.0W 24 - 7UY
Fri 11/29 Ohio vs Ball State-17.551.5W 42 - 21OY
Sat 12/7 Ohio vs Miami (OH)+2.543.5W 38 - 3UY
Fri 12/20 Ohio vs Jacksonville State-6.557.5W 30 - 27UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USA#31 (.28)43% (57)34.442% (80)3.24 (44)17245% (35)2684.67 (15)#34 (.14)37% (17)25.235% (8)40% (44)3.32 (21)57.71.51.7
OHIO#76 (.18)45% (33)29.344% (61)2.99 (90)14448% (17)2043.61 (92)#3 (.02)35% (8)18.135% (9)36% (12)2.45 (2)51.811.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OHIO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USA Offense1334.425.543%4.671.5234401722684.848%51%42%45%15%.28
OHIO Defense1318.113.835%2.451.8 - - - - - 44%54%35%36%21%.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USA Defense1325.222.836.6%3.321.7 - - - - - 54%45%35%40%16%.14
OHIO Offense1329.333.745.2%3.611213481442043.952%47%44%48%15%.18

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Alabama1330:3022.643%63%6.757.71.51.75.82031.4
Ohio1333:2320.846%50%5.651.811.87.42.8131.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USA Offense1348% (81)42% (80)36171.94.828 (25).18 (49)3.24 (44)74% (71)10% (76)1.18 (6)
OHIO Defense1344% (10)35% (9) - - - - -.06 (3)2.54 (8)70% (47)15% (3)1.07 (101)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USA Defense1354% (116)35% (8) - - - - -.01 (12)2.69 (14)74% (74)11% (33)0.9 (27)
OHIO Offense1352% (46)44% (61)37.3144.43.918 (77).1 (95)2.99 (90)73% (75)9% (39)0.81 (131)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USA Offense1351% (55)45% (35)22.432.9268.28.11228 (23)11 (68).41 (26)1.7 (34)34% (104)39% (8).59 (7)5% (27)2.2 (34)
OHIO Defense1354% (123)36% (12) - - - - - - 15 (15).14 (14)1.5 (30)36% (15)23% (5).19 (15)5% (94)1.9 (27)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USA Defense1345% (19)40% (44) - - - - - - 13 (26).36 (109)1.8 (124)36% (12)27% (29).28 (47)5% (106)2.2 (104)
OHIO Offense1347% (91)48% (17)18.429.5203.66.911.116 (92)9 (40).31 (57)1.4 (123)30% (31)35% (30).32 (72)6% (84)1.7 (131)

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -3.64 #76
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 25.69 #16
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 10.70 #78
2024 Talent Rating: 512.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
South Alabama's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
South Alabama's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: -3.64   Ohio: -0.48

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: 2.8   Ohio: 2.3




Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -0.48 #93
Ohio's Offense Rating: 19.85 #68
Ohio's Defense Rating: 8.89 #63
2024 Talent Rating: 376.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Ohio's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Ohio's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #63
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #47

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.5
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.8

South Alabama's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
South Alabama 27
Ohio 27


Projected Total Points: 53
Ohio Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.7
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.8

Ohio's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Ohio27South Alabama20OhioSouth Alabama -1.5Ohio55.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio110 Overs
South Alabama001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#76) South Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.64 #76
Offense Rating: 25.69 #16
Defense Rating: 10.70 #78
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71
Talent Rating: 512.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Great Run Success 53%
Great Pass Success 47%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.66 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


South Alabama Notes
(12/15) Great QB depth, backup Davenport can run/throw
(11/29) Def torched, gave up 3 TOs, OG'd by 160 by T St
(11/25) Rgame good, Lopez 3 TD over awful So Miss
(11/18) Huge W @ ULL, QB good, Def barely held on
(11/3) 450+ yds but 2 TOs cost badly in GaSo loss
(10/27) Rgame great (ULM), 358 yds, 7.8 ypc. Run D bad
(10/16) Avg 17 ppg last 3 games, stopped Troy, NBD
(10/4) Off great, Def v bad. High totals keep going under
(9/19) QB Lopez dynamic, FR RB Bothwell is a weapon
(9/8) QB Lopez (toe) DNP in L at Ohio
South Alabama     Ratings Matchup     Ohio
Power #76
#93
Off #16
#68
Def #78
#63
Talent #93
#122
SP+ #61
#63
SP+ Off #47
#67
SP+ Def #71
#47

Rematch from Week 2
South Alabama 1.5 (55.5)
Ohio won vs South Alabama this year (27-20)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat South Alabama last year (27-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 68° - Wind: 6 mph


Team Information
Injuries: USA | OHIO
Depth Chart: USA | OHIO
Rosters: USA | OHIO
(#93) Ohio Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.48 #93
Offense Rating: 19.85 #68
Defense Rating: 8.89 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #47
Talent Rating: 376.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Good Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Great Run Def Success 34%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Ohio Notes
(12/8) HC Albin left for Charlotte after MAC title?
(11/29) Killed Ball St, in MAC title. Rgame 270/6.6 ypc
(11/29) Pass Def bad vs Ball St, 333 yds, 3 TD, 0 Int
(11/25) 4 str W's, bullied Toledo. Beat Ball St=MAC title
(11/18) 3 str W's, Killed EMU, Off good enough, Def good
(11/8) Rgame mauled Kent, Run Def/Pass Def great TW
(10/20) 2 Int, no Off for 3 quarters vs M-OH. Rgame bad
(10/13) Rgame 277 yds, 7.5 ypc, Def enough W CMU
(10/4) Off runs a lot/meh success, pass little/good suc?
(9/8) 200 yds rush in W (S Al). QB Navarro JAG


  
South Alabama's OC Rob Ezell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Giovanni Lopez20531166%25571858.2
Bishop Davenport487961%604317.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Fluff Bothwell112834137.459
Kentrel Bullock15283275.559
Giovanni Lopez8246575.750
Bishop Davenport3716114.450
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Voisin34407012.028
Kentrel Bullock15153110.228
Anthony Eager10133213.338
Fluff Bothwell129007.528

View South Alabama's Full Roster
South Alabama's DC Will Windham
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blayne Myrick1018232
Darius McKenzie (Tr)724104
Jordan Scruggs705002
Wesley Miller592004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Courtney McBride3911530
Parker Shattuck113301
Tyler Thomas194300
Jordan Norman254322
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Amarion Fortenberry432006
Wesley Miller592004
Darius McKenzie (Tr)724104

Ohio's OC Brian Smith
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Navarro19529566%242313118.2
Nick Poulos224945%271215.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Tyus III (Tr)237121595.146
Parker Navarro1601047186.555
Rickey Hunt7639325.259
Nick Poulos2814915.322
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Coleman Owen (Tr)781235815.875
Chase Hendricks40471111.856
Rodney Harris II23299013.052
Mason Williams19211211.121

View Ohio's Full Roster
Ohio's DC John Hauser
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blake Leake (Tr)945113
Dustin Johnson (Tr)772004
Shay Taylor7411434
Marcel Walker (Tr)568672
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bradley Weaver44169100
Marcel Walker (Tr)568672
Shay Taylor7411434
Kadin Schmitz324400
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DJ Walker537007
Tank Pearson502006
Shay Taylor7411434