Akron at Ohio - 2024 Matchup Preview
Akron logo Akron Zips at Ohio BobcatsOhio logo
Saturday, September 28th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Ohio -8.5 (46.0) (-325)  Open: -14.5
Ohio 30 - Akron: 10  (Mid-American)

 
Zips (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Joe Moorhead (4 - 20)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (17 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
AKR 2nd straight Road Game
OHIO is playing their 5th straight game
AKR is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Ohio -18   (SP+ OHIO -20)

Projected Score: AKR: 15 - OHIO: 33 (48)
OHIO Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
AKR Travel: 125 miles
Bobcats (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (23 - 16)
Avg Score : 29 - 18 (34 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Akron's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Akron at Ohio State+50.558.5L 6 - 52UY
Sat 9/7 Akron at Rutgers+24.541.5L 17 - 49ON
Sat 9/14 Akron vs Colgate-13.548.5W 31 - 20ON
Sat 9/21 Akron at South Carolina+25.042.0L 7 - 50ON
Sat 9/28 Akron at Ohio+8.546.0L 10 - 30UN
Sat 10/5 Akron vs Bowling Green+17.048.5L 20 - 27UY
Sat 10/12 Akron at Western Michigan+9.548.5L 24 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Akron vs Eastern Michigan+2.550.5W 25 - 21UY
Sat 11/2 Akron vs Buffalo-1.049.0L 30 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/13 Akron at Northern Illinois+14.043.5L 16 - 29OY
Tue 11/19 Akron at Kent State-10.549.0W 38 - 17OY
Tue 11/26 Akron vs Toledo+9.550.5W 21 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Akron's Schedule
Ohio's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Ohio at Syracuse+17.547.5L 22 - 38OY
Sat 9/7 Ohio vs South Alabama+1.555.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 9/14 Ohio vs Morgan State-24.545.5W 21 - 6UN
Sat 9/21 Ohio at Kentucky+19.042.0L 6 - 41ON
Sat 9/28 Ohio vs Akron-8.546.0W 30 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Ohio at Central Michigan-3.050.5W 27 - 25ON
Sat 10/19 Ohio at Miami (OH)+3.543.5L 20 - 30ON
Sat 10/26 Ohio vs Buffalo-4.046.5W 47 - 16OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6 Ohio at Kent State-20.553.5W 41 - 0UY
Wed 11/13 Ohio vs Eastern Michigan-10.551.5W 35 - 10UY
Wed 11/20 Ohio at Toledo+1.547.0W 24 - 7UY
Fri 11/29 Ohio vs Ball State-17.551.5W 42 - 21OY
Sat 12/7 Ohio vs Miami (OH)+2.543.5W 38 - 3UY
Fri 12/20 Ohio vs Jacksonville State-6.557.5W 30 - 27UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AKR#122 (.07)39% (114)20.444% (64)2.82 (103)10136% (118)2333.26 (120)#91 (.21)45% (101)3241% (55)49% (126)4.19 (108)48.71.70.8
OHIO#40 (.24)46% (30)29.347% (35)3.1 (52)21445% (35)1934.15 (47)#23 (.1)37% (10)18.134% (3)40% (57)3.79 (68)44.91.61.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AKR#122 (.07)39% (114)44% (64)2.82 (103)10136% (118)2333.26 (120)#91 (.21)45% (101)41% (55)49% (126)4.19 (108)48.71.70.8
OHIO#40 (.24)46% (30)47% (35)3.1 (52)21445% (35)1934.15 (47)#23 (.1)37% (10)34% (3)40% (57)3.79 (68)44.91.61.5



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AKR Offense1220.416.938.8%3.261.7183331012333.540%59%44%36%17%.07
OHIO Defense1418.113.836.9%3.791.5 - - - - - 45%54%34%40%20%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AKR Defense123237.344.6%4.190.8 - - - - - 54%45%41%49%14%.21
OHIO Offense1429.333.745.8%4.151.6224062141935.259%41%47%45%14%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Akron1228:3317.936%31%6.348.71.70.851.5226.4
Ohio1432:4321.948%60%5.544.91.61.56.32.5327.9
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AKR Offense1240% (124)44% (64)28.5100.53.511 (116).03 (114)2.82 (103)78% (34)10% (77)0.91 (93)
OHIO Defense1445% (15)34% (3) - - - - -.03 (6)2.49 (8)74% (69)13% (13)1 (72)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AKR Defense1254% (111)41% (55) - - - - .1 (57)2.95 (58)65% (24)9% (95)0.98 (66)
OHIO Offense1459% (13)47% (35)40.7213.55.235 (8).24 (18)3.1 (52)78% (31)9% (52)1.12 (13)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AKR Offense1259% (13)36% (118)19.535232.56.611.916 (87)10 (63).12 (118)1.6 (54)35% (121)25% (120).07 (133)7% (91)2.1 (36)
OHIO Defense1454% (121)40% (57) - - - - - - 11 (52).22 (60)1.5 (53)35% (22)24% (2).18 (19)7% (40)2.2 (107)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AKR Defense1245% (23)49% (126) - - - - - - 3 (132).37 (122)1.5 (45)28% (120)36% (121).45 (114)5% (90)2.1 (71)
OHIO Offense1441% (119)45% (35)15.524.7192.57.812.415 (98)12 (85).23 (80)1.4 (128)29% (32)37% (13).45 (23)5% (43)1.8 (120)

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -19.03 #121
Akron's Offense Rating: 12.44 #118
Akron's Defense Rating: 12.15 #90
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #62
Akron's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Akron's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.7 #129
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #117

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Akron: -19.03   Ohio: -0.48

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Akron: -17.9   Ohio: 2.3




Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -0.48 #93
Ohio's Offense Rating: 19.85 #68
Ohio's Defense Rating: 8.89 #63
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Ohio's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Ohio's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #63
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #47

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Akron Scoring
Offense: 20.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.9
Defense: 32 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.3

Akron's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio 33
Akron 15


Total Points: 48

Ohio Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.7
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.8

Ohio's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Ohio30Akron10OhioOhio -8.5Ohio46.0Under
202311/24Akron14Ohio25OhioOhio -13.5Akron41.5Under
202210/08Ohio55Akron34OhioOhio -10Ohio58.5Over
202110/02Akron17Ohio34OhioOhio -10Ohio55.0Under
202011/10Ohio24Akron10OhioOhio -27Akron58.0Under
201911/26Akron3Ohio52OhioOhio -28.0Ohio53.0Over
201811/23Ohio49Akron28OhioOhio -24Akron56.5Over
201711/14Akron37Ohio34AkronOhio -14.5Akron51.5Over
201611/22Ohio9Akron3OhioOhio -7.5Akron53.0Under
201510/03Akron12Ohio14OhioOhio -4Akron44.5Under
201410/18Ohio23Akron20OhioAkron -4Ohio0
201310/05Akron3Ohio43OhioOhio -6.5Ohio0
201210/13Ohio34Akron28Ohio
201110/22Akron20Ohio37Ohio
201010/16Ohio38Akron10Ohio
200910/10Akron7Ohio19Ohio
200811/22Ohio49Akron42Ohio
200711/07Akron48Ohio37Akron
200611/16Ohio17Akron7Ohio
200511/15Akron27Ohio3Akron
200411/13Ohio19Akron31Akron
200311/15Akron35Ohio28Akron
200211/09Ohio27Akron10Ohio
200108/30Akron31Ohio29Akron
200009/22Ohio20Akron23Akron
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio1864 Overs
Akron766 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 96 - 62 - 34 - 3
Road Teams9 - 166 - 63 - 43 - 2

(#121) Akron Info
Power Rating: -19.03 #121
Offense Rating: 12.44 #118
Defense Rating: 12.15 #90
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.7 #129
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #117
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #62
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.26 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Awful Pass Success 36%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.19 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Akron has lost 1 straight
Akron has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 6 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

Akron Notes
(11/27) Won 3 of last 5, competitive team most of season
(11/18) Run game awful vs N Ill, 50 rush, 19/52 pass
(10/27) Run game great vs EMU in W, 220 yds, 7.1 ypc
(10/13) Finley great, Rgame awful, 4 TO's in L WMU
(10/4) Pass heavy Off is awful but Run game is worse
(10/4) Sched been brutal but Zips may be CFB #2 worst
(8/16) Ohio St, Rutgers and SC? Why?
(8/16) Off was dead last LY. Not much TY
(7/30) Def has some pieces, DB's need rebuild
(7/30) HC Moorhead has 4 wins in 2 yrs. Hot Seat?

Akron Highlights

Akron Deficiencies
Akron has a really bad Offense
Akron Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Akron Can Not Run the Ball (#105)
Akron offense is really bad (#135)
Akron Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#111)
Akron offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#136)
Akron pass game is really bad (#136)
Akron Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Akron does not Sack the QB (#122)
Akron has a bad defense (#88)
Akron has a bad red zone defense (#37)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatOHIOAKR
OverallOver#45#100
OffenseOff#61#108
DefenseDef#43#106
Special TeamsST#68#101
PassingPass#53#83
RushingRush#46#81
Run BlockRBLK#44#104
Pass BlockPBLK#102#111
Route RunningWR Rt#48#98
TacklingTkl#107#120
Run DefenseR Def#62#92
Pass Rush DefPRush#24#104
Coverage DefCov#52#107

Rematch from Week 5
Ohio -8.5 (46.0)
Ohio won vs Akron this year (30-10)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Akron last year (30-10)
Ohio beat Akron in 2023 (25-14)
Ohio beat Akron in 2022 (55-34)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: AKR | OHIO
Depth Chart: AKR | OHIO
Rosters: AKR | OHIO
(#93) Ohio Info
Power Rating: -0.48 #93
Offense Rating: 19.85 #68
Defense Rating: 8.89 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #47
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Good Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Great Run Def Success 34%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Ohio has lost 1 straight
Ohio has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 0 (5 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Ohio Notes
(12/8) HC Albin left for Charlotte after MAC title?
(11/29) Killed Ball St, in MAC title. Rgame 270/6.6 ypc
(11/29) Pass Def bad vs Ball St, 333 yds, 3 TD, 0 Int
(11/25) 4 str W's, bullied Toledo. Beat Ball St=MAC title
(11/18) 3 str W's, Killed EMU, Off good enough, Def good
(11/8) Rgame mauled Kent, Run Def/Pass Def great TW
(10/20) 2 Int, no Off for 3 quarters vs M-OH. Rgame bad
(10/13) Rgame 277 yds, 7.5 ypc, Def enough W CMU
(10/4) Off runs a lot/meh success, pass little/good suc?
(9/8) 200 yds rush in W (S Al). QB Navarro JAG

Ohio Highlights
Ohio is Undefeated at Home

Ohio has Really Good Running Game (#71)
Ohio offense is efficent (#122)
Ohio offense is good on 3rd downs
Ohio Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Ohio has a really good defense (#112)
Ohio has a good run defense (#86)
Ohio Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#46)
Ohio Defensive Line is very good (#61)
Ohio Front 7 is disruptive (#105)

Ohio Deficiencies
Ohio has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Ohio Fumbles a Lot (#1)


  
Akron's OC Taylor Housewright
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Finley (Tr)21138755%25811696.7
Tahj Bullock223073%200006.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Simmons11066426.073
Charles Kellom8535814.243
Tahj Bullock5313882.615
Ben Finley (Tr)805100.633
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Adrian Norton43832719.360
Bobby Golden31446114.456
Ahmarian Granger17308218.172
Jacob Newell3525427.329

View Akron's Full Roster
Akron's DC Tim Tibesar
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan McCoy1203032
Paul Lewis III (Tr)766016
Darrian Lewis723006
Antavious Fish672111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Nunnally5512640
Bennett Adler347351
Kabbash Richards96200
Dimitri Madden (Tr)42100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devonte Nelson331007
Darrian Lewis723006
Paul Lewis III (Tr)766016

Ohio's OC Brian Smith
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Navarro19529566%242313118.2
Nick Poulos224945%271215.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Tyus III (Tr)237121595.146
Parker Navarro1601047186.555
Rickey Hunt7639325.259
Nick Poulos2814915.322
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Coleman Owen (Tr)781235815.875
Chase Hendricks40471111.856
Rodney Harris II23299013.052
Mason Williams19211211.121

View Ohio's Full Roster
Ohio's DC John Hauser
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blake Leake (Tr)945113
Dustin Johnson (Tr)772004
Shay Taylor7411434
Marcel Walker (Tr)568672
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bradley Weaver44169100
Marcel Walker (Tr)568672
Shay Taylor7411434
Kadin Schmitz324400
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Roman Parodie5100010
DJ Walker537007
Tank Pearson502006