Akron at Ohio - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 28th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Ohio -8.5 (46.0) (-325) Open: -14.5
Ohio 30 - Akron: 10 (Mid-American)

Zips (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Joe Moorhead (4 - 20)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (17 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Rain Predicted
AKR 2nd straight Road Game
OHIO is playing their 5th straight game
AKR is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Ohio -18 (SP+ OHIO -20)
Projected Score: AKR: 15 - OHIO: 33 (48)
OHIO Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
AKR Travel: 125 miles

Bobcats (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (23 - 16)
Avg Score : 29 - 18 (34 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
AKR Players
OHIO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Akron's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Akron at Ohio State	+50.5	58.5	L 6 - 52	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Akron at Rutgers	+24.5	41.5	L 17 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/14	Akron vs Colgate	-13.5	48.5	W 31 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/21	Akron at South Carolina	+25.0	42.0	L 7 - 50	O	N
Sat 9/28	Akron at Ohio	+8.5	46.0	L 10 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/5	Akron vs Bowling Green	+17.0	48.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Akron at Western Michigan	+9.5	48.5	L 24 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Akron vs Eastern Michigan	+2.5	50.5	W 25 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Akron vs Buffalo	-1.0	49.0	L 30 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/13	Akron at Northern Illinois	+14.0	43.5	L 16 - 29	O	Y
Tue 11/19	Akron at Kent State	-10.5	49.0	W 38 - 17	O	Y
Tue 11/26	Akron vs Toledo	+9.5	50.5	W 21 - 14	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Akron's Schedule

Ohio's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Ohio at Syracuse	+17.5	47.5	L 22 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Ohio vs South Alabama	+1.5	55.5	W 27 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Ohio vs Morgan State	-24.5	45.5	W 21 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/21	Ohio at Kentucky	+19.0	42.0	L 6 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/28	Ohio vs Akron	-8.5	46.0	W 30 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Ohio at Central Michigan	-3.0	50.5	W 27 - 25	O	N
Sat 10/19	Ohio at Miami (OH)	+3.5	43.5	L 20 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/26	Ohio vs Buffalo	-4.0	46.5	W 47 - 16	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6	Ohio at Kent State	-20.5	53.5	W 41 - 0	U	Y
Wed 11/13	Ohio vs Eastern Michigan	-10.5	51.5	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Wed 11/20	Ohio at Toledo	+1.5	47.0	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Fri 11/29	Ohio vs Ball State	-17.5	51.5	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 12/7	Ohio vs Miami (OH)	+2.5	43.5	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Fri 12/20	Ohio vs Jacksonville State	-6.5	57.5	W 30 - 27	U	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AKR	#122 (.07)	39% (114)	20.4	44% (64)	2.82 (103)	101	36% (118)	233	3.26 (120)	#91 (.21)	45% (101)	32	41% (55)	49% (126)	4.19 (108)	48.7	1.7	0.8
OHIO	#40 (.24)	46% (30)	29.3	47% (35)	3.1 (52)	214	45% (35)	193	4.15 (47)	#23 (.1)	37% (10)	18.1	34% (3)	40% (57)	3.79 (68)	44.9	1.6	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AKR	#122 (.07)	39% (114)		44% (64)	2.82 (103)	101	36% (118)	233	3.26 (120)	#91 (.21)	45% (101)		41% (55)	49% (126)	4.19 (108)	48.7	1.7	0.8
OHIO	#40 (.24)	46% (30)		47% (35)	3.1 (52)	214	45% (35)	193	4.15 (47)	#23 (.1)	37% (10)		34% (3)	40% (57)	3.79 (68)	44.9	1.6	1.5

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AKR Offense	12	20.4	16.9	38.8%	3.26	1.7	18	333	101	233	3.5	40%	59%	44%	36%	17%	.07
OHIO Defense	14	18.1	13.8	36.9%	3.79	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	34%	40%	20%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AKR Defense	12	32	37.3	44.6%	4.19	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	41%	49%	14%	.21
OHIO Offense	14	29.3	33.7	45.8%	4.15	1.6	22	406	214	193	5.2	59%	41%	47%	45%	14%	.24

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Akron	12	28:33	17.9	36%	31%	6.3	48.7	1.7	0.8	5	1.5	2	26.4
Ohio	14	32:43	21.9	48%	60%	5.5	44.9	1.6	1.5	6.3	2.5	3	27.9

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AKR Offense	12	40% (124)	44% (64)	28.5	100.5	3.5	11 (116)	.03 (114)	2.82 (103)	78% (34)	10% (77)	0.91 (93)
OHIO Defense	14	45% (15)	34% (3)	-	-	-	-	-.03 (6)	2.49 (8)	74% (69)	13% (13)	1 (72)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AKR Defense	12	54% (111)	41% (55)	-	-	-	-	.1 (57)	2.95 (58)	65% (24)	9% (95)	0.98 (66)
OHIO Offense	14	59% (13)	47% (35)	40.7	213.5	5.2	35 (8)	.24 (18)	3.1 (52)	78% (31)	9% (52)	1.12 (13)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AKR Offense	12	59% (13)	36% (118)	19.5	35	232.5	6.6	11.9	16 (87)	10 (63)	.12 (118)	1.6 (54)	35% (121)	25% (120)	.07 (133)	7% (91)	2.1 (36)
OHIO Defense	14	54% (121)	40% (57)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.22 (60)	1.5 (53)	35% (22)	24% (2)	.18 (19)	7% (40)	2.2 (107)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AKR Defense	12	45% (23)	49% (126)	-	-	-	-	-	-	3 (132)	.37 (122)	1.5 (45)	28% (120)	36% (121)	.45 (114)	5% (90)	2.1 (71)
OHIO Offense	14	41% (119)	45% (35)	15.5	24.7	192.5	7.8	12.4	15 (98)	12 (85)	.23 (80)	1.4 (128)	29% (32)	37% (13)	.45 (23)	5% (43)	1.8 (120)

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -19.03 #121
Akron's Offense Rating: 12.44 #118
Akron's Defense Rating: 12.15 #90
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #62
Akron's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Akron's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.7 #129
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #117

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Akron: -19.03 Ohio: -0.48

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Akron: -17.9 Ohio: 2.3

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -0.48 #93
Ohio's Offense Rating: 19.85 #68
Ohio's Defense Rating: 8.89 #63
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Ohio's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Ohio's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #63
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #47

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Akron Scoring
Offense: 20.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.9
Defense: 32 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.3

Akron's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio 33
Akron 15

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Ohio 35
Akron 15

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Ohio 33
Akron 17

Total Points: 50

Ohio Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.7
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.8

Ohio's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/28	Ohio	30	Akron	10	Ohio -8.5	Ohio	46.0	Under
2023	11/24	Akron	14	Ohio	25	Ohio -13.5	Akron	41.5	Under
2022	10/08	Ohio	55	Akron	34	Ohio -10	Ohio	58.5	Over
2021	10/02	Akron	17	Ohio	34	Ohio -10	Ohio	55.0	Under
2020	11/10	Ohio	24	Akron	10	Ohio -27	Akron	58.0	Under
2019	11/26	Akron	3	Ohio	52	Ohio -28.0	Ohio	53.0	Over
2018	11/23	Ohio	49	Akron	28	Ohio -24	Akron	56.5	Over
2017	11/14	Akron	37	Ohio	34	Ohio -14.5	Akron	51.5	Over
2016	11/22	Ohio	9	Akron	3	Ohio -7.5	Akron	53.0	Under
2015	10/03	Akron	12	Ohio	14	Ohio -4	Akron	44.5	Under
2014	10/18	Ohio	23	Akron	20	Akron -4	Ohio	0
2013	10/05	Akron	3	Ohio	43	Ohio -6.5	Ohio	0
2012	10/13	Ohio	34	Akron	28
2011	10/22	Akron	20	Ohio	37
2010	10/16	Ohio	38	Akron	10
2009	10/10	Akron	7	Ohio	19
2008	11/22	Ohio	49	Akron	42
2007	11/07	Akron	48	Ohio	37
2006	11/16	Ohio	17	Akron	7
2005	11/15	Akron	27	Ohio	3
2004	11/13	Ohio	19	Akron	31
2003	11/15	Akron	35	Ohio	28
2002	11/09	Ohio	27	Akron	10
2001	08/30	Akron	31	Ohio	29
2000	09/22	Ohio	20	Akron	23

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ohio	18	6	4 Overs
Akron	7	6	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	16 - 9	6 - 6	2 - 3	4 - 3
Road Teams	9 - 16	6 - 6	3 - 4	3 - 2

(#121) AKR at (#93) OHIO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	AKR	OHIO
Power RatePwr	#121	#93
SP+SP+	#123	#63
Perf GradeGrade	#135	#64
OffenseOff	#132	#76
DefenseDef	#127	#59
Spec TeamsST	#124	#81
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#62	#102

Akron Notes(11/27) Upset Toledo in finale. Outgained by 100+
(11/27) Won 3 of last 5, competitive team most of season
(11/18) Run game awful vs N Ill, 50 rush, 19/52 pass
(10/27) Run game great vs EMU in W, 220 yds, 7.1 ypc
(10/13) Finley great, Rgame awful, 4 TO's in L WMU
(10/4) Pass heavy Off is awful but Run game is worse
(10/4) Sched been brutal but Zips may be CFB #2 worst
(8/16) Ohio St, Rutgers and SC? Why?
(8/16) Off was dead last LY. Not much TY
(7/30) Def has some pieces, DB's need rebuild
(7/30) HC Moorhead has 4 wins in 2 yrs. Hot Seat?
(7/30) New QB Finley (Cal) has no proven weapons into '24
Akron Injury Report

Ohio Notes(12/18) Promoted OC Brian Smith to HC
(12/8) HC Albin left for Charlotte after MAC title?
(11/29) Killed Ball St, in MAC title. Rgame 270/6.6 ypc
(11/29) Pass Def bad vs Ball St, 333 yds, 3 TD, 0 Int
(11/25) 4 str W's, bullied Toledo. Beat Ball St=MAC title
(11/18) 3 str W's, Killed EMU, Off good enough, Def good
(11/8) Rgame mauled Kent, Run Def/Pass Def great TW
(10/20) 2 Int, no Off for 3 quarters vs M-OH. Rgame bad
(10/13) Rgame 277 yds, 7.5 ypc, Def enough W CMU
(10/4) Off runs a lot/meh success, pass little/good suc?
(9/8) 200 yds rush in W (S Al). QB Navarro JAG
(9/1) Game vs Cuse, 255 yds rush (6.5 ypc), QB can't pass
Ohio Injury Report

Akron on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	AKR Off	OHIO Def
Perf GradePerf	#132	#59
SuccessSuc	#114	#10
ExplosiveExp	#66	#92
PPAPPA	#122	#23
PowerPwr	#118	#63
SP+SP+	#129	#47
Pts POPPO	#120	#68
HavocHav	#85	#14

Akron Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	AKR Off	OHIO Def
Run GameRun	#112	#79
Run SuccessRSuc	#64	#3
Run ExplRExp	#93	#72
PPAExp	#114	#6
Run BlockR Blk	#132	-
OL YdsOLY	#103	#8
Stuff RateStuff	#100	#13
TackleTak	-	#123

Akron Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	AKR Off	OHIO Def
Pass GamePass	#105	#64
Pass SuccessPSuc	#118	#57
Pass ExplPExl	#54	#53
PPAExp	#118	#60
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#128	#26
F7 HavocF7	#77	#13
DB HavocDB	#91	#40

Ohio on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	OHIO Off	AKR Def
Perf GradePerf	#76	#127
SuccessSuc	#30	#101
ExplosiveExp	#92	#54
PPAPPA	#40	#91
PowerPwr	#68	#90
SP+SP+	#67	#117
Pts POPPO	#47	#108
HavocHav	#42	#96

Ohio Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	OHIO Off	AKR Def
Run GameRun	#65	#115
Run SuccessRSuc	#35	#55
Run ExplRExp	#13	#66
PPAExp	#18	#57
Run BlockR Blk	#55	-
OL YdsOLY	#52	#58
Stuff RateStuff	#61	#37
TackleTak	-	#136

Ohio Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	OHIO Off	AKR Def
Pass GamePass	#68	#130
Pass SuccessPSuc	#35	#126
Pass ExplPExl	#128	#45
PPAExp	#80	#122
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#118	#124
F7 HavocF7	#52	#95
DB HavocDB	#43	#90

Program Comparison
OHIO 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

AKR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 75°Rain: 0.016

Rematch from Week 5
Ohio -8.5 (46.0)
Ohio won vs Akron this year (30-10)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Akron last year (30-10)
Ohio beat Akron in 2023 (25-14)
Ohio beat Akron in 2022 (55-34)

AKR's OC Taylor Housewright (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ben Finley (Tr)	211	387	55%	2581	16	9	6.7
Tahj Bullock	22	30	73%	200	0	0	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Simmons	110	664	2	6.0	73
Charles Kellom	85	358	1	4.2	43
Tahj Bullock	53	138	8	2.6	15
Ben Finley (Tr)	80	51	0	0.6	33

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Adrian Norton	43	832	7	19.3	60
Bobby Golden	31	446	1	14.4	56
Ahmarian Granger	17	308	2	18.1	72
Jacob Newell	35	254	2	7.3	29

View Akron's Full Roster

AKR's DC Tim Tibesar (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryan McCoy	120	3	0	3	2
Paul Lewis III (Tr)	76	6	0	1	6
Darrian Lewis	72	3	0	0	6
Antavious Fish	67	2	1	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
C.J. Nunnally	55	12	6	4	0
Bennett Adler	34	7	3	5	1
Kabbash Richards	9	6	2	0	0
Dimitri Madden (Tr)	4	2	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Devonte Nelson	33	1	0	7
Darrian Lewis	72	3	0	6
Paul Lewis III (Tr)	76	6	1	6

OHIO's OC Brian Smith (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Parker Navarro	195	295	66%	2423	13	11	8.2
Nick Poulos	22	49	45%	271	2	1	5.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Tyus III (Tr)	237	1215	9	5.1	46
Parker Navarro	160	1047	18	6.5	55
Rickey Hunt	76	393	2	5.2	59
Nick Poulos	28	149	1	5.3	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Coleman Owen (Tr)	78	1235	8	15.8	75
Chase Hendricks	40	471	1	11.8	56
Rodney Harris II	23	299	0	13.0	52
Mason Williams	19	211	2	11.1	21

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC John Hauser (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Blake Leake (Tr)	94	5	1	1	3
Dustin Johnson (Tr)	77	2	0	0	4
Shay Taylor	74	11	4	3	4
Marcel Walker (Tr)	56	8	6	7	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bradley Weaver	44	16	9	10	0
Marcel Walker (Tr)	56	8	6	7	2
Shay Taylor	74	11	4	3	4
Kadin Schmitz	32	4	4	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Roman Parodie	51	0	10
DJ Walker	53	7	7
Tank Pearson	50	2	6