Ohio at Kent State Game Matchup
Ohio logo Ohio Bobcats at Kent State Golden FlashesKent State logo
Wednesday, November 6th 2024 (7:00 PM EST)
Ohio -20.5 (53.5) (-1400)  Open: -18.5 | 52.5
Ohio 41 - Kent State: 0  (Mid-American)

 
Bobcats (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (23 - 16)
Avg Score : 29 - 18 (23 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
OHIO coming off BYE
KENT coming off BYE
Our Line: Ohio -27.5   (SP+ OHIO -35.5)
Projected Score: OHIO: 40 - KENT: 13 (53)
OHIO Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
OHIO Travel: 132 miles
Golden Flashes (0 - 12) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Kenni Burns (1 - 11)
Avg Score : 14 - 44 (20 - 38 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 0 - 12 (#134)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
 
Ohio's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Ohio at Syracuse+17.547.5L 22 - 38OY
Sat 9/7 Ohio vs South Alabama+1.555.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 9/14 Ohio vs Morgan State-24.545.5W 21 - 6UN
Sat 9/21 Ohio at Kentucky+19.042.0L 6 - 41ON
Sat 9/28 Ohio vs Akron-8.546.0W 30 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Ohio at Central Michigan-3.050.5W 27 - 25ON
Sat 10/19 Ohio at Miami (OH)+3.543.5L 20 - 30ON
Sat 10/26 Ohio vs Buffalo-4.046.5W 47 - 16OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6 Ohio at Kent State-20.553.5W 41 - 0UY
Wed 11/13 Ohio vs Eastern Michigan-10.551.5W 35 - 10UY
Wed 11/20 Ohio at Toledo+1.547.0W 24 - 7UY
Fri 11/29 Ohio vs Ball State-17.551.5W 42 - 21OY
Sat 12/7 Ohio vs Miami (OH)+2.543.5W 38 - 3UY
Fri 12/20 Ohio vs Jacksonville State-6.557.5W 30 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Kent State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Kent State at Pittsburgh+23.555.5L 24 - 55ON
Sat 9/7 Kent State vs St. Francis (PA)-17.549.5L 17 - 23UN
Sat 9/14 Kent State at Tennessee+49.561.5L 0 - 71ON
Sat 9/21 Kent State at Penn State+49.058.0L 0 - 56UN
Sat 9/28 Kent State vs Eastern Michigan+14.046.0L 33 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Kent State vs Ball State+3.058.0L 35 - 37OY
Sat 10/19 Kent State at Bowling Green+24.054.5L 6 - 27UY
Sat 10/26 Kent State at Western Michigan+19.061.0L 21 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6 Kent State vs Ohio+20.553.5L 0 - 41UN
Wed 11/13 Kent State at Miami (OH)+31.047.5L 7 - 34UY
Tue 11/19 Kent State vs Akron+10.549.0L 17 - 38ON
Tue 11/26 Kent State at Buffalo+23.550.5L 7 - 43UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 4

Predictions for Kent State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO#76 (.18)45% (33)29.344% (61)2.99 (90)14448% (17)2043.61 (92)#3 (.02)35% (8)18.135% (9)36% (12)2.45 (2)51.811.8
KENT#125 (.05)35% (130)13.932% (133)2.84 (113)10640% (89)1653.27 (110)#125 (.32)45% (111)44.147% (108)44% (97)4.88 (132)46.210.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
KENT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Offense1329.323.345.2%3.611213481442043.952%47%44%48%15%.18
KENT Defense1244.138.245%4.880.8 - - - - - 56%43%47%44%13%.32
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Defense1318.123.535%2.451.8 - - - - - 44%54%35%36%21%.02
KENT Offense1213.920.435.2%3.271152701061652.953%47%32%40%19%.05

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio1333:2320.846%50%5.651.811.87.42.8131.2
Kent State1228:491530%46%5.446.210.84.10.9028.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Offense1352% (46)44% (61)37.3144.43.918 (77).1 (95)2.99 (90)73% (75)9% (39)0.81 (131)
KENT Defense1256% (124)47% (108) - - - - .24 (117)3.23 (98)79% (107)7% (131)1.08 (106)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Defense1344% (10)35% (9) - - - - -.06 (3)2.54 (8)70% (47)15% (3)1.07 (101)
KENT Offense1253% (44)32% (133)36.8105.92.98 (130)-.03 (132)2.84 (113)67% (109)12% (117)0.91 (105)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Offense1347% (91)48% (17)18.429.5203.66.911.116 (92)9 (40).31 (57)1.4 (123)30% (31)35% (30).32 (72)6% (84)1.7 (131)
KENT Defense1243% (14)44% (97) - - - - - - 6 (120).44 (127)1.8 (117)32% (73)31% (76).33 (79)6% (91)2 (55)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Defense1354% (123)36% (12) - - - - - - 15 (15).14 (14)1.5 (30)36% (15)23% (5).19 (15)5% (94)1.9 (27)
KENT Offense1247% (90)40% (89)13.325.5164.56.512.311 (117)6 (14).16 (110)1.6 (72)36% (122)25% (112).18 (108)7% (99)2 (76)

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -8.26 #93
Ohio's Offense Rating: 19.85 #68
Ohio's Defense Rating: 8.89 #63
2024 Talent Rating: 376.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Ohio's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Ohio's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #63
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #47

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -8.26   Kent State: -30.295

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: 2.3   Kent State: -33.0




Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -30.295 #134
Kent State's Offense Rating: 8.84 #130
Kent State's Defense Rating: 22.62 #133
2024 Talent Rating: 488.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Kent State's 2024 Expected Record: 0.0 - 12.0
Kent State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -33.0 #134
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #133
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.8 #134

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Ohio Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.3
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.5

Ohio's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio 40
Kent State 13

Projected Total Points: 53
Kent State Scoring
Offense: 13.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.4
Defense: 44.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 38.2

Kent State's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 12
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/06Kent State0Ohio41OhioOhio -20.5Ohio53.5Under
202310/07Ohio42Kent State17OhioOhio -24.5Ohio45.5Over
202210/01Kent State31Ohio24Kent StateKent State -13Ohio65.5Under
202110/23Ohio27Kent State34Kent StateKent State -5Kent State68.5Under
201910/19Ohio45Kent State38OhioOhio -9Kent State64.5Over
201810/06Kent State26Ohio27OhioOhio -11Kent State69.5Under
201710/21Ohio48Kent State3OhioOhio -17.5Ohio47.0Over
201610/22Kent State10Ohio14OhioOhio -4NA43.5Under
201511/10Ohio27Kent State0OhioOhio -7Ohio44.0Under
201408/30Kent State14Ohio17OhioKent State -1.5Ohio0
201311/19Ohio13Kent State44Kent StateOhio -5.5Kent State0
201211/23Kent State28Ohio6Kent State
201110/01Ohio17Kent State10Ohio
201011/26Kent State28Ohio6Kent State
200910/24Ohio11Kent State20Kent State
200810/11Kent State19Ohio26Ohio
200709/29Ohio25Kent State33Kent State
200610/28Kent State7Ohio17Ohio
200509/24Ohio35Kent State32Ohio
200410/30Kent State42Ohio16Kent State
200311/08Ohio33Kent State37Kent State
200210/19Kent State0Ohio50Ohio
200110/27Ohio14Kent State24Kent State
200010/13Kent State7Ohio44Ohio
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kent State1043 Overs
Ohio1466 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 144 - 63 - 41 - 2
Road Teams14 - 106 - 42 - 14 - 3

(#93) Ohio Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.26 #93
Offense Rating: 19.85 #68
Defense Rating: 8.89 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #47
Talent Rating: 376.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Good Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Great Run Def Success 34%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Ohio Notes
(12/8) HC Albin left for Charlotte after MAC title?
(11/29) Killed Ball St, in MAC title. Rgame 270/6.6 ypc
(11/29) Pass Def bad vs Ball St, 333 yds, 3 TD, 0 Int
(11/25) 4 str W's, bullied Toledo. Beat Ball St=MAC title
(11/18) 3 str W's, Killed EMU, Off good enough, Def good
(11/8) Rgame mauled Kent, Run Def/Pass Def great TW
(10/20) 2 Int, no Off for 3 quarters vs M-OH. Rgame bad
(10/13) Rgame 277 yds, 7.5 ypc, Def enough W CMU
(10/4) Off runs a lot/meh success, pass little/good suc?
(9/8) 200 yds rush in W (S Al). QB Navarro JAG
Ohio     Ratings Matchup     Kent State
Power #93
#134
Off #68
#130
Def #63
#133
Talent #122
#101
SP+ #63
#134
SP+ Off #67
#133
SP+ Def #47
#134

Rematch from Week 11
Ohio 20.5 (53.5)
Ohio won at Kent State this year (41-0)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Kent State last year (41-0)
Ohio beat Kent State in 2023 (42-17)
Kent State beat Ohio in 2022 (31-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dix Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 54°

Team Information
Injuries: OHIO | KENT
Depth Chart: OHIO | KENT
Rosters: OHIO | KENT
(#134) Kent State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -30.295 #134
Offense Rating: 8.84 #130
Defense Rating: 22.62 #133
Overall SP+ Rating: -33.0 #134
Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #133
Defense SP+ Rating: 43.8 #134
Talent Rating: 488.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 0.0 - 12.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 30%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.89 PPO
Awful Run Success 33%
Awful Pass Success 29%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.34 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Kent State Notes
(11/27) Avg score 14 -44. Total outscored 529-167
(11/18) Took 1st lead vs M OH, all 34 straight, may not W
(11/7) CFB worst. New Fr QB new suck. Rgame sucks
(11/7) Have never had a lead in any game at 0-9
(10/22) Def stop rate last in CFB (36%) into week 9
(10/13) Pass game expl in shootout L (Ball St). Def bad
(10/4) Sched brutal but bottom 5 in Every Off/Def stat
(9/29) Outscored 234-57 by four P4 opps this year
(9/26) Top 2 QBs out for season, 3rd QB looks hurt
(9/26) Worst team in CFB, top QBs hurt. Burns sucks?


  
Ohio's OC Brian Smith
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Navarro19529566%242313118.2
Nick Poulos224945%271215.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Tyus III (Tr)237121595.146
Parker Navarro1601047186.555
Rickey Hunt7639325.259
Nick Poulos2814915.322
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Coleman Owen (Tr)781235815.875
Chase Hendricks40471111.856
Rodney Harris II23299013.052
Mason Williams19211211.121

View Ohio's Full Roster
Ohio's DC John Hauser
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blake Leake (Tr)945113
Dustin Johnson (Tr)772004
Shay Taylor7411434
Marcel Walker (Tr)568672
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bradley Weaver44169100
Marcel Walker (Tr)568672
Shay Taylor7411434
Kadin Schmitz324400
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DJ Walker537007
Tank Pearson502006
Shay Taylor7411434

Kent State's OC Mark Carney
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Devin Kargman458255%432325.3
Ruel Tomlinson112839%73022.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ky Thomas13555014.138
Curtis Douglas4814503.019
Jahzae Kimbrough2711404.218
Ayden Harris2911013.813
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chrishon Mccray40705917.668
Jay Jay Etheridge1413719.837
Dashawn Martin8108013.527
Ky Thomas105305.310

View Kent State's Full Roster
Kent State's DC Kody Morgan
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Baka903005
Mason Woods (Tr)684001
Tevin Tucker652002
Rocco Nicholl611032
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kameron Olds (Tr)427621
Stephen Daley519463
Kaden Beatty193101
Lavell Gibson101140
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Baka903005
Stephen Daley519463
Dallas Branch (Tr)230003