Ohio at Central Michigan - 2024 Matchup Preview

Ohio Bobcats at Central Michigan Chippewas

Saturday, October 12th 2024 (4:00 PM EDT)
Ohio -3 (50.5) (-142) Open: -3.0
Ohio 27 - Central Michigan: 25 (Mid-American)

Bobcats (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (23 - 16)
Avg Score : 29 - 18 (23 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

OHIO coming off BYE
CMU coming off BYE
Our Line: Ohio -9.5 (SP+ OHIO -18)
Projected Score: OHIO: 30 - CMU: 20 (50)
OHIO Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
OHIO Travel: 325 miles

Chippewas (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jim McElwain (29 - 28)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (30 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OHIO Players
CMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ohio's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Ohio at Syracuse	+17.5	47.5	L 22 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Ohio vs South Alabama	+1.5	55.5	W 27 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Ohio vs Morgan State	-24.5	45.5	W 21 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/21	Ohio at Kentucky	+19.0	42.0	L 6 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/28	Ohio vs Akron	-8.5	46.0	W 30 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Ohio at Central Michigan	-3.0	50.5	W 27 - 25	O	N
Sat 10/19	Ohio at Miami (OH)	+3.5	43.5	L 20 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/26	Ohio vs Buffalo	-4.0	46.5	W 47 - 16	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6	Ohio at Kent State	-20.5	53.5	W 41 - 0	U	Y
Wed 11/13	Ohio vs Eastern Michigan	-10.5	51.5	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Wed 11/20	Ohio at Toledo	+1.5	47.0	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Fri 11/29	Ohio vs Ball State	-17.5	51.5	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 12/7	Ohio vs Miami (OH)	+2.5	43.5	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Fri 12/20	Ohio vs Jacksonville State	-6.5	57.5	W 30 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule

Central Michigan's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Central Michigan vs Central Connecticut	-33.5	54.5	W 66 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Central Michigan vs Florida International	-3.5	51.5	L 16 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/14	Central Michigan at Illinois	+21.5	49.5	L 9 - 30	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Central Michigan vs Ball State	-6.5	51.0	W 37 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/28	Central Michigan vs San Diego State	-2.5	47.5	W 22 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Central Michigan vs Ohio	+3.0	50.5	L 25 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan	+3.5	52.5	L 34 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/26	Central Michigan at Miami (OH)	+10.5	48.5	L 7 - 46	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5	Central Michigan vs Bowling Green	+14.5	47.5	L 13 - 23	U	Y
Tue 11/12	Central Michigan at Toledo	+15.0	52.5	L 10 - 37	U	N
Tue 11/19	Central Michigan vs Western Michigan	+6.0	56.0	W 16 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Central Michigan at Northern Illinois	+16.5	41.5	L 16 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OHIO	#40 (.24)	46% (30)	29.3	47% (35)	3.1 (52)	214	45% (35)	193	4.15 (47)	#23 (.1)	37% (10)	18.1	34% (3)	40% (57)	3.79 (68)	44.9	1.6	1.5
CMU	#96 (.15)	39% (115)	22.6	42% (88)	3.2 (41)	169	34% (124)	163	3.82 (80)	#96 (.21)	40% (44)	29.7	41% (48)	39% (50)	3.6 (45)	60.9	2	0.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OHIO	#40 (.24)	46% (30)		47% (35)	3.1 (52)	214	45% (35)	193	4.15 (47)	#23 (.1)	37% (10)		34% (3)	40% (57)	3.79 (68)	44.9	1.6	1.5
CMU	#96 (.15)	39% (115)		42% (88)	3.2 (41)	169	34% (124)	163	3.82 (80)	#96 (.21)	40% (44)		41% (48)	39% (50)	3.6 (45)	60.9	2	0.4

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OHIO Offense	14	29.3	23.3	45.8%	4.15	1.6	22	406	214	193	5.2	59%	41%	47%	45%	14%	.24
CMU Defense	12	29.7	21.5	39.9%	3.6	0.4	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	41%	39%	18%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OHIO Defense	14	18.1	23.5	36.9%	3.79	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	34%	40%	20%	.1
CMU Offense	12	22.6	29.8	38.7%	3.82	2	18	332	169	163	4.5	57%	43%	42%	34%	20%	.15

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ohio	14	32:43	21.9	48%	60%	5.5	44.9	1.6	1.5	6.3	2.5	3	27.9
Central Michigan	12	29:26	17.9	35%	58%	6.8	60.9	2	0.4	7.7	2.6	3	27.1

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OHIO Offense	14	59% (13)	47% (35)	40.7	213.5	5.2	35 (8)	.24 (18)	3.1 (52)	78% (31)	9% (52)	1.12 (13)
CMU Defense	12	52% (80)	41% (48)	-	-	-	-	.15 (82)	3 (66)	82% (117)	13% (14)	1.18 (127)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OHIO Defense	14	45% (15)	34% (3)	-	-	-	-	-.03 (6)	2.49 (8)	74% (69)	13% (13)	1 (72)
CMU Offense	12	57% (24)	42% (88)	37.3	168.9	4.5	17 (84)	.22 (24)	3.2 (41)	80% (23)	12% (108)	1.09 (27)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OHIO Offense	14	41% (119)	45% (35)	15.5	24.7	192.5	7.8	12.4	15 (98)	12 (85)	.23 (80)	1.4 (128)	29% (32)	37% (13)	.45 (23)	5% (43)	1.8 (120)
CMU Defense	12	48% (54)	39% (50)	-	-	-	-	-	-	2 (134)	.28 (93)	1.7 (102)	36% (18)	30% (60)	.37 (95)	5% (117)	2.2 (103)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OHIO Defense	14	54% (121)	40% (57)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.22 (60)	1.5 (53)	35% (22)	24% (2)	.18 (19)	7% (40)	2.2 (107)
CMU Offense	12	43% (110)	34% (124)	13.9	25.2	163.4	6.5	11.7	11 (122)	12 (85)	.04 (129)	1.5 (85)	34% (112)	22% (132)	.18 (116)	8% (119)	2 (86)

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -8.26 #93
Ohio's Offense Rating: 19.85 #68
Ohio's Defense Rating: 8.89 #63
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Ohio's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Ohio's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #63
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #47

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -8.26 Central Michigan: -12.46

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: 2.3 Central Michigan: -15.8

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -12.46 #111
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 17.21 #92
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 12.06 #88
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Central Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Central Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.8 #120
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Ohio Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.3
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.5

Ohio's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio 30
Central Michigan 20

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Central Michigan 28
Ohio 22

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Ohio 26
Central Michigan 23

Total Points: 49

Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.8
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.5

Central Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	Central Michigan	25	Ohio	27	Ohio -3	Central Michigan	50.5	Over
2023	11/15	Ohio	34	Central Michigan	20	Ohio -11.5	Ohio	48.5	Over
2021	10/09	Ohio	27	Central Michigan	30	Central Michigan -5	Ohio	58.0	Under
2020	11/04	Central Michigan	30	Ohio	27	Ohio -3	Central Michigan	54.5	Over
2017	10/07	Ohio	23	Central Michigan	26	Ohio -11	Central Michigan	54.5	Under
2016	11/15	Central Michigan	27	Ohio	20	Central Michigan -1	Central Michigan	51.0	Under
2014	10/04	Central Michigan	28	Ohio	10	Central Michigan -5	Central Michigan	0
2013	10/12	Ohio	23	Central Michigan	26	Ohio -14.5	Central Michigan	0
2011	11/10	Central Michigan	28	Ohio	43
2009	12/04	Central Michigan	20	Ohio	10
2008	09/13	Ohio	28	Central Michigan	31
2006	11/30	Ohio	10	Central Michigan	31
2005	10/15	Central Michigan	37	Ohio	10
2001	10/13	Central Michigan	3	Ohio	34
2000	10/20	Ohio	52	Central Michigan	3

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Central Michigan	10	6	3 Overs
Ohio	5	2	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 8	6 - 2	3 - 2	3 - 0
Road Teams	8 - 7	2 - 6	0 - 3	2 - 3

(#93) OHIO at (#111) CMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	OHIO	CMU
Power RatePwr	#93	#111
SP+SP+	#63	#120
Perf GradeGrade	#64	#108
OffenseOff	#76	#129
DefenseDef	#59	#55
Spec TeamsST	#81	#45
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#102

Ohio Notes(12/18) Promoted OC Brian Smith to HC
(12/8) HC Albin left for Charlotte after MAC title?
(11/29) Killed Ball St, in MAC title. Rgame 270/6.6 ypc
(11/29) Pass Def bad vs Ball St, 333 yds, 3 TD, 0 Int
(11/25) 4 str W's, bullied Toledo. Beat Ball St=MAC title
(11/18) 3 str W's, Killed EMU, Off good enough, Def good
(11/8) Rgame mauled Kent, Run Def/Pass Def great TW
(10/20) 2 Int, no Off for 3 quarters vs M-OH. Rgame bad
(10/13) Rgame 277 yds, 7.5 ypc, Def enough W CMU
(10/4) Off runs a lot/meh success, pass little/good suc?
(9/8) 200 yds rush in W (S Al). QB Navarro JAG
(9/1) Game vs Cuse, 255 yds rush (6.5 ypc), QB can't pass
Ohio Injury Report

Central Michigan Notes(12/10) Hired HC Drinkall (Army OL/TE, K Wes HC 14-18)
(11/20) McElwain retiring after final game vs N. Ill
(11/13) New QB Glasser bad vs Toledo, Rgame awful in L
(11/8) Off really bad, QB's unplayable, Rgame plodding
(10/27) 3 str L's, Def cooked, QBs are awful, Dogs last 4
(10/20) 45 runs/12 pass. Ran for 285, but Pass D torched
(10/15) Starting QB Labas out for season (arm)
(10/15) Backup QB Jefferson starting vs EMU
(10/13) QB's bad, Rgame OK, Run def mauled by Ohio
(10/4) Run Off/Def good, Pass Off/Def bad. OL & F7 good
(10/2) Rgame good/dominant vs poor D's. QB Labas JAG
(9/15) OL/DL played even w/ Ill. QB Labas really awful
Central Michigan Injury Report

Ohio on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	OHIO Off	CMU Def
Perf GradePerf	#76	#55
SuccessSuc	#30	#44
ExplosiveExp	#92	#121
PPAPPA	#40	#96
PowerPwr	#68	#88
SP+SP+	#67	#115
Pts POPPO	#47	#45
HavocHav	#42	#45

Ohio Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	OHIO Off	CMU Def
Run GameRun	#65	#40
Run SuccessRSuc	#35	#48
Run ExplRExp	#13	#127
PPAExp	#18	#82
Run BlockR Blk	#55	-
OL YdsOLY	#52	#66
Stuff RateStuff	#61	#72
TackleTak	-	#23

Ohio Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	OHIO Off	CMU Def
Pass GamePass	#68	#87
Pass SuccessPSuc	#35	#50
Pass ExplPExl	#128	#102
PPAExp	#80	#93
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#118	#28
F7 HavocF7	#52	#14
DB HavocDB	#43	#117

Central Michigan on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	CMU Off	OHIO Def
Perf GradePerf	#129	#59
SuccessSuc	#115	#10
ExplosiveExp	#82	#92
PPAPPA	#96	#23
PowerPwr	#92	#63
SP+SP+	#122	#47
Pts POPPO	#80	#68
HavocHav	#124	#14

Central Michigan Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	CMU Off	OHIO Def
Run GameRun	#100	#79
Run SuccessRSuc	#88	#3
Run ExplRExp	#27	#72
PPAExp	#24	#6
Run BlockR Blk	#106	-
OL YdsOLY	#41	#8
Stuff RateStuff	#12	#13
TackleTak	-	#123

Central Michigan Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	CMU Off	OHIO Def
Pass GamePass	#129	#64
Pass SuccessPSuc	#124	#57
Pass ExplPExl	#85	#53
PPAExp	#129	#60
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#129	#26
F7 HavocF7	#108	#13
DB HavocDB	#119	#40

Program Comparison
CMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

OHIO 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 61° - Wind: 11 mph

Rematch from Week 7
Ohio 3.0 (50.5)
Ohio won at Central Michigan this year (27-25)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Central Michigan last year (27-25)
Ohio beat Central Michigan in 2023 (34-20)

OHIO's OC Brian Smith (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Parker Navarro	195	295	66%	2423	13	11	8.2
Nick Poulos	22	49	45%	271	2	1	5.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Tyus III (Tr)	237	1215	9	5.1	46
Parker Navarro	160	1047	18	6.5	55
Rickey Hunt	76	393	2	5.2	59
Nick Poulos	28	149	1	5.3	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Coleman Owen (Tr)	78	1235	8	15.8	75
Chase Hendricks	40	471	1	11.8	56
Rodney Harris II	23	299	0	13.0	52
Mason Williams	19	211	2	11.1	21

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC John Hauser (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Blake Leake (Tr)	94	5	1	1	3
Dustin Johnson (Tr)	77	2	0	0	4
Shay Taylor	74	11	4	3	4
Marcel Walker (Tr)	56	8	6	7	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bradley Weaver	44	16	9	10	0
Marcel Walker (Tr)	56	8	6	7	2
Shay Taylor	74	11	4	3	4
Kadin Schmitz	32	4	4	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Roman Parodie	51	0	10
DJ Walker	53	7	7
Tank Pearson	50	2	6

CMU's OC Jim McElwain (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joey Labas	94	160	59%	1114	7	7	7.0
Jadyn Glasser	41	76	54%	439	2	4	5.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marion Lukes	161	788	5	4.9	66
BJ Harris	91	418	3	4.6	71
Myles Bailey	51	292	3	5.7	35
Tyler Jefferson	43	233	1	5.4	44

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chris Parker	29	360	3	12.4	44
Solomon Davis (Tr)	19	350	2	18.4	72
Evan Boyd	21	302	2	14.4	47
Jesse Prewitt III	23	186	2	8.1	21

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC Robb Akey (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Kwiatkowski	97	14	0	1	1
Caleb Spann	61	4	2	0	5
Justin Whiteside	58	6	3	4	1
Elijah Rikard	56	3	1	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jason Williams	42	9	6	1	0
Jonah Pace	34	11	4	6	2
Michael Heldman	29	6	4	8	0
Dakota Cochran	54	11	4	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Daraun McKinney	53	2	1	9
Donte Kent	52	1	0	7
Caleb Spann	61	4	2	5