Ohio at Syracuse - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, August 31st 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Syracuse -17.5 (47.5) (-850) Open: -17.0 | 47.5
Syracuse 38 - Ohio: 22

Bobcats (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (23 - 16)
Avg Score : 29 - 18 (23 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Heavy Rain Shower Predicted
Our Line: Syracuse -12.5 (SP+ SYR -3)
Projected Score: OHIO: 19 - SYR: 32 (55)
SYR Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
OHIO Travel: 403 miles

Orange (10 - 3) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Fran Brown (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 29 (35 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OHIO Players
SYR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ohio's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Ohio at Syracuse	+17.5	47.5	L 22 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Ohio vs South Alabama	+1.5	55.5	W 27 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Ohio vs Morgan State	-24.5	45.5	W 21 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/21	Ohio at Kentucky	+19.0	42.0	L 6 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/28	Ohio vs Akron	-8.5	46.0	W 30 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Ohio at Central Michigan	-3.0	50.5	W 27 - 25	O	N
Sat 10/19	Ohio at Miami (OH)	+3.5	43.5	L 20 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/26	Ohio vs Buffalo	-4.0	46.5	W 47 - 16	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6	Ohio at Kent State	-20.5	53.5	W 41 - 0	U	Y
Wed 11/13	Ohio vs Eastern Michigan	-10.5	51.5	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Wed 11/20	Ohio at Toledo	+1.5	47.0	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Fri 11/29	Ohio vs Ball State	-17.5	51.5	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 12/7	Ohio vs Miami (OH)	+2.5	43.5	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Fri 12/20	Ohio vs Jacksonville State	-6.5	57.5	W 30 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule

Syracuse's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Syracuse vs Ohio	-17.5	47.5	W 38 - 22	O	N
Sat 9/7	Syracuse vs Georgia Tech	+2.5	60.5	W 31 - 28	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 9/20	Syracuse vs Stanford	-9.5	56.5	L 24 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/28	Syracuse vs Holy Cross	-31.5	59.5	W 42 - 14	U	N
Fri 10/4	Syracuse at UNLV	+5.5	55.5	W 44 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Syracuse at NC State	-1.0	51.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/24	Syracuse at Pittsburgh	+5.0	62.5	L 13 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/2	Syracuse vs Virginia Tech	+3.5	54.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Syracuse at Boston College	+5.5	51.5	L 31 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/16	Syracuse at California	+10.5	58.0	W 33 - 25	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Syracuse vs UConn	-10.0	53.0	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/30	Syracuse vs Miami	+12.5	65.5	W 42 - 38	O	Y
Fri 12/27	Syracuse vs Washington State	-19.0	58.5	W 52 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OHIO	#76 (.18)	45% (33)	29.3	44% (61)	2.99 (90)	144	48% (17)	204	3.61 (92)	#3 (.02)	35% (8)	18.1	35% (9)	36% (12)	2.45 (2)	51.8	1	1.8
SYR	#100 (.13)	40% (98)	34.1	41% (94)	2.98 (93)	172	39% (95)	172	3.38 (103)	#67 (.18)	44% (93)	29.2	47% (113)	41% (55)	3.33 (22)	61.6	1.8	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OHIO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SYR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OHIO Offense	13	29.3	23.3	45.2%	3.61	1	21	348	144	204	3.9	52%	47%	44%	48%	15%	.18
SYR Defense	13	29.2	26.1	43.8%	3.33	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	47%	41%	18%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OHIO Defense	13	18.1	23.5	35%	2.45	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	54%	35%	36%	21%	.02
SYR Offense	13	34.1	35.1	39.6%	3.38	1.8	18	344	172	172	4.2	61%	38%	41%	39%	18%	.13

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ohio	13	33:23	20.8	46%	50%	5.6	51.8	1	1.8	7.4	2.8	1	31.2
Syracuse	13	28:16	17.8	39%	50%	7.3	61.6	1.8	1.7	6	2.2	3	29.6

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OHIO Offense	13	52% (46)	44% (61)	37.3	144.4	3.9	18 (77)	.1 (95)	2.99 (90)	73% (75)	9% (39)	0.81 (131)
SYR Defense	13	50% (63)	47% (113)	-	-	-	-	.13 (60)	3.13 (75)	79% (105)	12% (16)	0.8 (6)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OHIO Defense	13	44% (10)	35% (9)	-	-	-	-	-.06 (3)	2.54 (8)	70% (47)	15% (3)	1.07 (101)
SYR Offense	13	61% (10)	41% (94)	40.8	171.5	4.2	20 (61)	.12 (87)	2.98 (93)	71% (94)	12% (116)	1.04 (47)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OHIO Offense	13	47% (91)	48% (17)	18.4	29.5	203.6	6.9	11.1	16 (92)	9 (40)	.31 (57)	1.4 (123)	30% (31)	35% (30)	.32 (72)	6% (84)	1.7 (131)
SYR Defense	13	50% (76)	41% (55)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.25 (55)	1.6 (68)	31% (85)	30% (64)	.25 (37)	6% (78)	1.8 (6)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OHIO Defense	13	54% (123)	36% (12)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.14 (14)	1.5 (30)	36% (15)	23% (5)	.19 (15)	5% (94)	1.9 (27)
SYR Offense	13	38% (124)	39% (95)	14.7	24.2	172.1	7.1	11.7	17 (85)	15 (116)	.22 (88)	1.5 (93)	31% (48)	27% (102)	.23 (101)	6% (83)	2.1 (64)

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -8.26 #93
Ohio's Offense Rating: 19.85 #68
Ohio's Defense Rating: 8.89 #63
2024 Talent Rating: 376.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Ohio's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Ohio's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #63
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #47

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -8.26 Syracuse: 9.58

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: 2.3 Syracuse: 5.5

Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: 9.58 #35
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 26.38 #12
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 11.10 #80
2024 Talent Rating: 628.00 #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #44
Syracuse's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Syracuse's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #14
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #83

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Ohio Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.3
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.5

Ohio's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Syracuse 32
Ohio 19

Projected Total Points: 55

Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.1
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.1

Syracuse's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	08/31	Syracuse	38	Ohio	22	Syracuse	Syracuse -17.5	Ohio	47.5	Over
2021	09/04	Ohio	9	Syracuse	29	Syracuse	Ohio -2	Syracuse	55.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Syracuse	2	1	1 Overs
Ohio	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#93) Ohio Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.26 #93
Offense Rating: 19.85 #68
Defense Rating: 8.89 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #47
Talent Rating: 376.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Good Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Great Run Def Success 34%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Ohio Notes
(12/8) HC Albin left for Charlotte after MAC title?
(11/29) Killed Ball St, in MAC title. Rgame 270/6.6 ypc
(11/29) Pass Def bad vs Ball St, 333 yds, 3 TD, 0 Int
(11/25) 4 str W's, bullied Toledo. Beat Ball St=MAC title
(11/18) 3 str W's, Killed EMU, Off good enough, Def good
(11/8) Rgame mauled Kent, Run Def/Pass Def great TW
(10/20) 2 Int, no Off for 3 quarters vs M-OH. Rgame bad
(10/13) Rgame 277 yds, 7.5 ypc, Def enough W CMU
(10/4) Off runs a lot/meh success, pass little/good suc?
(9/8) 200 yds rush in W (S Al). QB Navarro JAG

Ohio Ratings Matchup Syracuse

Power #93

#35

Off #68

#12

Def #63

#80

Talent #122

#68

SP+ #63

#45

SP+ Off #67

#14

SP+ Def #47

#83

Rematch from Week 1
Syracuse -17.5 (47.5)
Syracuse won vs Ohio this year (38-22)

Previous Matchups
Syracuse beat Ohio last year (38-22)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carrier Dome
Conditions: Heavy Rain Shower
Temp: 74° - Wind: 10 mph

Team Information
Injuries: OHIO | SYR
Depth Chart: OHIO | SYR
Rosters: OHIO | SYR

(#35) Syracuse Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.58 #35
Offense Rating: 26.38 #12
Defense Rating: 11.10 #80
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #83
Talent Rating: 628.00 #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #44
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Great Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.29 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Syracuse Notes
(12/1) Great season, sched bad but 9 W is great stuff
(11/25) Rgame awful, McCord torched UConn, Def v bad
(11/18) Rgame better, McCod good, Def meh in Cal W
(11/13) Bad BC L, Zero Rgame Off, Def horrific (300+ yds)
(11/2) Huge W vs VT. Still 11 flags, 2 TOs but came back
(10/24) McCord 5 Ints in brutal outing, killed by Pitt
(10/13) McCord torched NC St, Rgame bad, Run D better
(10/2) WR & TE are real weapons. Meeks/Pena v good
(9/20) Rgame simply awful, Run D bad. Off/McCord good
(9/8) McCord torched GT in big W, Run D played great

Ohio's OC Brian Smith

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Parker Navarro	195	295	66%	2423	13	11	8.2
Nick Poulos	22	49	45%	271	2	1	5.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Tyus III (Tr)	237	1215	9	5.1	46
Parker Navarro	160	1047	18	6.5	55
Rickey Hunt	76	393	2	5.2	59
Nick Poulos	28	149	1	5.3	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Coleman Owen (Tr)	78	1235	8	15.8	75
Chase Hendricks	40	471	1	11.8	56
Rodney Harris II	23	299	0	13.0	52
Mason Williams	19	211	2	11.1	21

View Ohio's Full Roster

Ohio's DC John Hauser

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Blake Leake (Tr)	94	5	1	1	3
Dustin Johnson (Tr)	77	2	0	0	4
Shay Taylor	74	11	4	3	4
Marcel Walker (Tr)	56	8	6	7	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bradley Weaver	44	16	9	10	0
Marcel Walker (Tr)	56	8	6	7	2
Shay Taylor	74	11	4	3	4
Kadin Schmitz	32	4	4	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
DJ Walker	53	7	0	0	7
Tank Pearson	50	2	0	0	6
Shay Taylor	74	11	4	3	4

Syracuse's OC Jeff Nixon

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kyle McCord (Tr)	391	592	66%	4779	34	12	8.1
Michael Johnson Jr. (Tr)	2	3	67%	31	0	0	10.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Yasin Willis	36	130	1	3.6	26
Will Nixon (Tr)	19	76	0	4.0	12
Trebor Pena	12	72	1	6.0	17
Dan Villari	12	29	1	2.4	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jackson Meeks (Tr)	78	1021	7	13.1	41
Trebor Pena	84	941	9	11.2	50
Darrell Gill Jr.	31	562	2	18.1	53
Umari Hatcher	17	273	3	16.1	67

View Syracuse's Full Roster

Syracuse's DC Elijah Robinson

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darian Chestnut	60	4	1	1	5
Devin Grant (Tr)	51	8	2	2	3
Derek Mcdonald	50	1	0	2	0
Fadil Diggs (Tr)	42	13	7	3	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Fadil Diggs (Tr)	42	13	7	3	1
KingJoseph Edwards	7	3	3	1	0
Denis Jaquez Jr.	22	3	3	1	0
Devin Grant (Tr)	51	8	2	2	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Clarence Lewis (Tr)	36	1	0	0	12
Jayden Bellamy	34	1	0	0	6
Darian Chestnut	60	4	1	1	5