Ohio at Syracuse - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, August 31st 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Syracuse -17.5 (47.5) (-850) Open: -17.0 | 47.5
Syracuse 38 - Ohio: 22

Bobcats (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (23 - 16)
Avg Score : 29 - 18 (23 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Game in Dome
Our Line: Syracuse -12.5 (SP+ SYR -3)
Projected Score: OHIO: 18 - SYR: 30 (48)
SYR Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
OHIO Travel: 403 miles

Orange (10 - 3) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Fran Brown (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 29 (35 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OHIO Players
SYR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ohio's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Ohio at Syracuse	+17.5	47.5	L 22 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Ohio vs South Alabama	+1.5	55.5	W 27 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Ohio vs Morgan State	-24.5	45.5	W 21 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/21	Ohio at Kentucky	+19.0	42.0	L 6 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/28	Ohio vs Akron	-8.5	46.0	W 30 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Ohio at Central Michigan	-3.0	50.5	W 27 - 25	O	N
Sat 10/19	Ohio at Miami (OH)	+3.5	43.5	L 20 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/26	Ohio vs Buffalo	-4.0	46.5	W 47 - 16	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6	Ohio at Kent State	-20.5	53.5	W 41 - 0	U	Y
Wed 11/13	Ohio vs Eastern Michigan	-10.5	51.5	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Wed 11/20	Ohio at Toledo	+1.5	47.0	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Fri 11/29	Ohio vs Ball State	-17.5	51.5	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 12/7	Ohio vs Miami (OH)	+2.5	43.5	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Fri 12/20	Ohio vs Jacksonville State	-6.5	57.5	W 30 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule

Syracuse's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Syracuse vs Ohio	-17.5	47.5	W 38 - 22	O	N
Sat 9/7	Syracuse vs Georgia Tech	+2.5	60.5	W 31 - 28	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 9/20	Syracuse vs Stanford	-9.5	56.5	L 24 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/28	Syracuse vs Holy Cross	-31.5	59.5	W 42 - 14	U	N
Fri 10/4	Syracuse at UNLV	+5.5	55.5	W 44 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Syracuse at NC State	-1.0	51.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/24	Syracuse at Pittsburgh	+5.0	62.5	L 13 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/2	Syracuse vs Virginia Tech	+3.5	54.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Syracuse at Boston College	+5.5	51.5	L 31 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/16	Syracuse at California	+10.5	58.0	W 33 - 25	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Syracuse vs UConn	-10.0	53.0	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/30	Syracuse vs Miami	+12.5	65.5	W 42 - 38	O	Y
Fri 12/27	Syracuse vs Washington State	-19.0	58.5	W 52 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OHIO	#40 (.24)	46% (30)	29.3	47% (35)	3.1 (52)	214	45% (35)	193	4.15 (47)	#23 (.1)	37% (10)	18.1	34% (3)	40% (57)	3.79 (68)	44.9	1.6	1.5
SYR	#28 (.25)	48% (14)	34.1	45% (57)	2.88 (98)	87	50% (5)	335	4.23 (38)	#107 (.23)	43% (91)	29.2	42% (58)	45% (114)	4.29 (112)	55.3	1.2	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OHIO	#40 (.24)	46% (30)		47% (35)	3.1 (52)	214	45% (35)	193	4.15 (47)	#23 (.1)	37% (10)		34% (3)	40% (57)	3.79 (68)	44.9	1.6	1.5
SYR	#28 (.25)	48% (14)		45% (57)	2.88 (98)	87	50% (5)	335	4.23 (38)	#107 (.23)	43% (91)		42% (58)	45% (114)	4.29 (112)	55.3	1.2	1.1

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OHIO Offense	14	29.3	23.3	45.8%	4.15	1.6	22	406	214	193	5.2	59%	41%	47%	45%	14%	.24
SYR Defense	13	29.2	26.1	43.5%	4.29	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	42%	45%	17%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OHIO Defense	14	18.1	23.5	36.9%	3.79	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	34%	40%	20%	.1
SYR Offense	13	34.1	35.1	48.1%	4.23	1.2	24	422	87	335	3.1	37%	62%	45%	50%	16%	.25

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ohio	14	32:43	21.9	48%	60%	5.5	44.9	1.6	1.5	6.3	2.5	3	27.9
Syracuse	13	31:06	23.8	50%	67%	6.5	55.3	1.2	1.1	5	2	1	29

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OHIO Offense	14	59% (13)	47% (35)	40.7	213.5	5.2	35 (8)	.24 (18)	3.1 (52)	78% (31)	9% (52)	1.12 (13)
SYR Defense	13	46% (23)	42% (58)	-	-	-	-	.12 (71)	3.05 (77)	82% (119)	10% (54)	1.1 (115)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OHIO Defense	14	45% (15)	34% (3)	-	-	-	-	-.03 (6)	2.49 (8)	74% (69)	13% (13)	1 (72)
SYR Offense	13	37% (130)	45% (57)	28.3	87.1	3.1	20 (67)	.07 (98)	2.88 (98)	78% (30)	8% (30)	0.81 (128)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OHIO Offense	14	41% (119)	45% (35)	15.5	24.7	192.5	7.8	12.4	15 (98)	12 (85)	.23 (80)	1.4 (128)	29% (32)	37% (13)	.45 (23)	5% (43)	1.8 (120)
SYR Defense	13	53% (111)	45% (114)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.35 (113)	1.5 (26)	31% (87)	33% (101)	.43 (113)	7% (44)	2.1 (76)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OHIO Defense	14	54% (121)	40% (57)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.22 (60)	1.5 (53)	35% (22)	24% (2)	.18 (19)	7% (40)	2.2 (107)
SYR Offense	13	62% (5)	50% (5)	28.4	43.4	335.2	7.7	11.8	29 (12)	12 (85)	.37 (18)	1.5 (89)	31% (58)	38% (4)	.34 (70)	8% (117)	2 (83)

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -8.26 #93
Ohio's Offense Rating: 19.85 #68
Ohio's Defense Rating: 8.89 #63
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Ohio's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Ohio's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #63
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #47

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -8.26 Syracuse: 9.58

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: 2.3 Syracuse: 5.5

Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: 9.58 #35
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 26.38 #12
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 11.10 #80
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #44
Syracuse's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Syracuse's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #14
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #83

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Ohio Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.3
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.5

Ohio's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Syracuse 30
Ohio 18

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Ohio 23
Syracuse 19

Total Points: 43

Based on Entire Season
Syracuse 28
Ohio 27

Total Points: 55

Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.1
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.1

Syracuse's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	08/31	Syracuse	38	Ohio	22	Syracuse -17.5	Ohio	47.5	Over
2021	09/04	Ohio	9	Syracuse	29	Ohio -2	Syracuse	55.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Syracuse	2	1	1 Overs
Ohio	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#93) OHIO at (#35) SYR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	OHIO	SYR
Power RatePwr	#93	#35
SP+SP+	#63	#45
Perf GradeGrade	#64	#46
OffenseOff	#76	#13
DefenseDef	#59	#102
Spec TeamsST	#81	#113
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#44

Ohio Notes(12/18) Promoted OC Brian Smith to HC
(12/8) HC Albin left for Charlotte after MAC title?
(11/29) Killed Ball St, in MAC title. Rgame 270/6.6 ypc
(11/29) Pass Def bad vs Ball St, 333 yds, 3 TD, 0 Int
(11/25) 4 str W's, bullied Toledo. Beat Ball St=MAC title
(11/18) 3 str W's, Killed EMU, Off good enough, Def good
(11/8) Rgame mauled Kent, Run Def/Pass Def great TW
(10/20) 2 Int, no Off for 3 quarters vs M-OH. Rgame bad
(10/13) Rgame 277 yds, 7.5 ypc, Def enough W CMU
(10/4) Off runs a lot/meh success, pass little/good suc?
(9/8) 200 yds rush in W (S Al). QB Navarro JAG
(9/1) Game vs Cuse, 255 yds rush (6.5 ypc), QB can't pass
Ohio Injury Report

Syracuse Notes(12/1) McCord torched Miami. Def torched but 28-17 4th Q
(12/1) Great season, sched bad but 9 W is great stuff
(11/25) Rgame awful, McCord torched UConn, Def v bad
(11/18) Rgame better, McCod good, Def meh in Cal W
(11/13) Bad BC L, Zero Rgame Off, Def horrific (300+ yds)
(11/2) Huge W vs VT. Still 11 flags, 2 TOs but came back
(10/24) McCord 5 Ints in brutal outing, killed by Pitt
(10/13) McCord torched NC St, Rgame bad, Run D better
(10/2) WR & TE are real weapons. Meeks/Pena v good
(9/20) Rgame simply awful, Run D bad. Off/McCord good
(9/8) McCord torched GT in big W, Run D played great
(9/1) OL meh, DL awful vs Ohio (255 yds rush, 6.5 ypc)
Syracuse Injury Report

Ohio on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	OHIO Off	SYR Def
Perf GradePerf	#76	#102
SuccessSuc	#30	#91
ExplosiveExp	#92	#90
PPAPPA	#40	#107
PowerPwr	#68	#80
SP+SP+	#67	#83
Pts POPPO	#47	#112
HavocHav	#42	#52

Ohio Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	OHIO Off	SYR Def
Run GameRun	#65	#93
Run SuccessRSuc	#35	#58
Run ExplRExp	#13	#115
PPAExp	#18	#71
Run BlockR Blk	#55	-
OL YdsOLY	#52	#77
Stuff RateStuff	#61	#74
TackleTak	-	#108

Ohio Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	OHIO Off	SYR Def
Pass GamePass	#68	#101
Pass SuccessPSuc	#35	#114
Pass ExplPExl	#128	#26
PPAExp	#80	#113
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#118	#68
F7 HavocF7	#52	#54
DB HavocDB	#43	#44

Syracuse on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	SYR Off	OHIO Def
Perf GradePerf	#13	#59
SuccessSuc	#14	#10
ExplosiveExp	#68	#92
PPAPPA	#28	#23
PowerPwr	#12	#63
SP+SP+	#14	#47
Pts POPPO	#38	#68
HavocHav	#61	#14

Syracuse Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	SYR Off	OHIO Def
Run GameRun	#96	#79
Run SuccessRSuc	#57	#3
Run ExplRExp	#128	#72
PPAExp	#98	#6
Run BlockR Blk	#64	-
OL YdsOLY	#98	#8
Stuff RateStuff	#68	#13
TackleTak	-	#123

Syracuse Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	SYR Off	OHIO Def
Pass GamePass	#8	#64
Pass SuccessPSuc	#5	#57
Pass ExplPExl	#89	#53
PPAExp	#18	#60
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#43	#26
F7 HavocF7	#30	#13
DB HavocDB	#117	#40

Program Comparison
SYR 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

OHIO 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carrier Dome
Conditions: Heavy Rain Shower
Temp: 74° - Wind: 10 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Syracuse -17.5 (47.5)
Syracuse won vs Ohio this year (38-22)

Previous Matchups
Syracuse beat Ohio last year (38-22)

OHIO's OC Brian Smith (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Parker Navarro	195	295	66%	2423	13	11	8.2
Nick Poulos	22	49	45%	271	2	1	5.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Tyus III (Tr)	237	1215	9	5.1	46
Parker Navarro	160	1047	18	6.5	55
Rickey Hunt	76	393	2	5.2	59
Nick Poulos	28	149	1	5.3	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Coleman Owen (Tr)	78	1235	8	15.8	75
Chase Hendricks	40	471	1	11.8	56
Rodney Harris II	23	299	0	13.0	52
Mason Williams	19	211	2	11.1	21

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC John Hauser (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Blake Leake (Tr)	94	5	1	1	3
Dustin Johnson (Tr)	77	2	0	0	4
Shay Taylor	74	11	4	3	4
Marcel Walker (Tr)	56	8	6	7	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bradley Weaver	44	16	9	10	0
Marcel Walker (Tr)	56	8	6	7	2
Shay Taylor	74	11	4	3	4
Kadin Schmitz	32	4	4	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Roman Parodie	51	0	10
DJ Walker	53	7	7
Tank Pearson	50	2	6

SYR's OC Jeff Nixon (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kyle McCord (Tr)	391	592	66%	4779	34	12	8.1
Michael Johnson Jr. (Tr)	2	3	67%	31	0	0	10.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lequint Allen	228	1021	16	4.5	30
Yasin Willis	36	130	1	3.6	26
Will Nixon (Tr)	19	76	0	4.0	12
Trebor Pena	12	72	1	6.0	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jackson Meeks (Tr)	78	1021	7	13.1	41
Trebor Pena	84	941	9	11.2	50
Oronde Gadsden II	72	922	7	12.8	39
Darrell Gill Jr.	31	562	2	18.1	53

View Syracuse's Full Roster

SYR's DC Elijah Robinson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Justin Barron	85	10	2	4	3
Darian Chestnut	60	4	1	1	5
Alijah Clark	59	4	0	1	4
Devin Grant (Tr)	51	8	2	2	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Fadil Diggs (Tr)	42	13	7	3	1
Marlowe Wax	42	7	5	1	0
KingJoseph Edwards	7	3	3	1	0
Denis Jaquez Jr.	22	3	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Clarence Lewis (Tr)	36	1	0	0	12
Jayden Bellamy	34	1	0	0	6
Darian Chestnut	60	4	1	1	5