Chattanooga at Georgia State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Chattanooga logo   Chattanooga Mocs at Georgia State Panthers  Georgia State logo
Saturday, September 7th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Georgia State -9.5 (51.5) (-360)  Open: -10.0 | 54.5
Georgia State 24 - Chattanooga: 21

 
Mocs (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 10 - 45 (10 - 45 on Road)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CHAT 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -17.5  (SP+ GAST -18)
GAST Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
Panthers (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Dell McGee (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (22 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Chattanooga's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Chattanooga at Tennessee+38.556.5L 3 - 69ON
Sat 9/7 Chattanooga at Georgia State+9.551.5L 21 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Chattanooga's Schedule
Georgia State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Georgia State at Georgia Tech+20.557.0L 12 - 35UN
Sat 9/7 Georgia State vs Chattanooga-9.551.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 9/14 Georgia State vs Vanderbilt+8.545.5W 36 - 32OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Georgia State vs Georgia Southern-3.557.5L 21 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Georgia State vs Old Dominion-3.053.0L 14 - 21UN
Thu 10/17 Georgia State at Marshall+9.551.5L 20 - 35ON
Sat 10/26 Georgia State at App State+7.559.0L 26 - 33UY
Fri 11/1 Georgia State at UConn+7.048.0L 27 - 34OY
Sat 11/9 Georgia State at James Madison+14.553.5L 7 - 38UN
Sat 11/16 Georgia State vs Arkansas State-2.560.0L 20 - 27UN
Sat 11/23 Georgia State at Texas State+23.059.5W 52 - 44OY
Sat 11/30 Georgia State vs Coastal Carolina-0.552.5L 27 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CHAT0%100%000%000%450%0%0000
GAST#68 (.19)42% (72)19.840% (105)2.84 (112)18844% (41)2063.92 (65)#94 (.22)42% (68)37.840% (43)45% (111)3.95 (83)57.51.21.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CHAT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
GAST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CHAT Offense110100%00000000%0%0%0%0%
GAST Defense1337.830.342.1%3.951.3 - - - - - 47%52%40%45%15%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CHAT Defense145450%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
GAST Offense1319.821.541.6%3.921.2203941882064.855%44%40%44%15%.19

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Chattanooga10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Georgia State1329:2619.546%47%6.457.51.21.35.52229.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CHAT Offense10%0%000000%0%0
GAST Defense1347% (25)40% (43) - - - - .15 (72)3.05 (56)63% (19)10% (63)1.06 (95)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CHAT Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
GAST Offense1355% (29)40% (105)39.3188.14.825 (37).15 (74)2.84 (112)78% (30)11% (89)1.16 (7)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CHAT Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
GAST Defense1352% (106)45% (111) - - - - - - 11 (53).37 (113)1.6 (76)33% (55)31% (89).42 (114)4% (122)2.2 (106)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CHAT Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
GAST Offense1344% (104)44% (41)19.228.2205.57.310.720 (70)7 (21).31 (61)1.5 (91)31% (45)33% (47).37 (58)4% (14)2.1 (38)

Chattanooga's Power Ratings
Chattanooga's Power Rating: NR
Chattanooga's Offense Rating: NR
Chattanooga's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Chattanooga's 2024 Expected Record: -
Chattanooga's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Chattanooga's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Chattanooga's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southern Talent Rating is 85.99
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Chattanooga:    Georgia State: -17.635

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Chattanooga:    Georgia State: -17.9




Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -17.635  #124
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 14.80  #108
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 18.69  #126
2024 Talent Rating: 269.00  #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #74
Georgia State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Georgia State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9  #123
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0  #106
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4  #123

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 235.21
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


Chattanooga Scoring
Offense: 10 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 45 PPG
Defense on Road: 45

Chattanooga's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia State 33
Chattanooga 22

Projected Total Points: 55
Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.5
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Georgia State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Georgia State24Chattanooga21Georgia State -9.5Chattanooga51.5Under
201309/07Georgia State14Chattanooga42Chattanooga -10Chattanooga0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia State100 Overs
Chattanooga121 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams1 - 12 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#) CHAT at (#124) GAST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCHATGAST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #124
SP+SP+NR #123
Perf GradeGradeNR #120
OffenseOffNR #111
DefenseDefNR #120
Spec TeamsSTNR #52
TalentTalNR #86
Blue ChipsBC%NR #74
Georgia State Notes
(11/25) Huge W vs Tex St, Off 500+ yds, Def 4 TOs
(11/18) Fight w/ Ark St, Rgame awful, QB great, R D awful
(11/3) Run Def mauled by UConn, Off 2 TOs cost bad
(10/17) QB Gibson OK, have some RB's (Brock/Dukes)
(10/17) Run D mauled by Marshall, 295 yds, 8 ypc
(10/13) Run Def mauled by Old D. Rgame ugly, a theme
(9/28) Run Def mauled by Ga South, Rgame 29 yds (1.9)
(9/14) Huge W over Vandy. 22 4th Q pts to steal W
(8/17) McGee hired v late (Feb 23), year 0 spot
(7/30) New HC McGee was RB/AHC at UGA for 8 years
(7/30) Complete roster TO: 32 in/ 36 out in Portal
(7/30) QB battle Gibson (Akron/GT) or Veilleux (Pitt)
Georgia State Injury Report
Chattanooga on Offense
CategoryCat
CHAT OffGAST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #120
SuccessSucNR #68
ExplosiveExpNR #109
PPAPPANR #94
PowerPwrNR #126
SP+SP+NR #123
Pts POPPONR #83
HavocHavNR #105
Chattanooga Run Game
CategoryCat
CHAT OffGAST Def
Run GameRunNR #120
Run SuccessRSucNR #43
Run ExplRExpNR #95
PPAExpNR #72
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #56
Stuff RateStuffNR #36
TackleTak -  #34
Chattanooga Pass Game
CategoryCat
CHAT OffGAST Def
Pass GamePassNR #122
Pass SuccessPSucNR #111
Pass ExplPExlNR #76
PPAExpNR #113
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #90
F7 HavocF7NR #63
DB HavocDBNR #122
Georgia State on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCatGAST OffCHAT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #111NR
SuccessSuc #72NR
ExplosiveExp #41NR
PPAPPA #68NR
PowerPwr #108NR
SP+SP+ #106NR
Pts POPPO #65NR
HavocHav #59NR
Georgia State Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
GAST OffCHAT Def
Run GameRun #53NR
Run SuccessRSuc #105NR
Run ExplRExp #7NR
PPAExp #74NR
Run BlockR Blk #125 -
OL YdsOLY #112NR
Stuff RateStuff #77NR
TackleTak - NR
Georgia State Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCatGAST OffCHAT Def
Pass GamePass #96NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #41NR
Pass ExplPExl #91NR
PPAExp #61NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #106NR
F7 HavocF7 #89NR
DB HavocDB #14NR
Program Comparison
GAST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'24 Profile: Up to Poor G5

CHAT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia State Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Georgia State -9.5 (51.5)
Georgia State won vs Chattanooga this year (24-21)

Previous Matchups
Georgia State beat Chattanooga in 2024 (24-21)

  
CHAT's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Chattanooga's Full Roster

CHAT's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alex Mitchell170000
Jordan Walker150002
Josh Battle140002
Reuben Lowery III111000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
E.J. Thomas41100
Joseph Bakhole (Tr)52100
Ky Tayo11100
Jaden Gaines31100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Walker150002
Josh Battle140002
Jamarr Jones20002

GAST's OC Jim Chaney (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Christian Veilleux (Tr)16629157%204713117.0
Zach Gibson (Tr)10215168%1004726.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Freddie Brock15181985.457
Michel Dukes6336525.835
Sy'veon Wilkerson (Tr)239704.241
Christian Veilleux (Tr)287412.623
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ted Hurst (Tr)56961917.276
Dorian Fleming49558611.458
Michel Dukes4335438.226
Petey Tucker30324010.829

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC Kevin Sherrer (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Johnson691016
Josiah Robinson627423
Xavier Robinson (Tr)605210
Jyron Gilmore (Tr)542011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kevin Swint4810514
Henry Bryant306421
Josiah Robinson627423
Xavier Robinson (Tr)605210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gavin Pringle342008
Jeremiah Johnson691016
Izaiah Guy300005