Georgia State at Marshall - 2024 Matchup Preview

Georgia State Panthers at Marshall Thundering Herd

Thursday, October 17th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Marshall -9.5 (51.5) (-325) Open: -7.0
Marshall 35 - Georgia State: 20 (Sun Belt)

Panthers (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Dell McGee (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (18 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MRSH is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Marshall -23 (SP+ MRSH -21)
Projected Score: GAST: 16 - MRSH: 39 (55)
MRSH Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
GAST Travel: 342 miles

Thundering Herd (10 - 3) (11 - 1 - 1)
Coach Charles Huff (22 - 17)
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GAST Players
MRSH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Georgia State at Georgia Tech	+20.5	57.0	L 12 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/7	Georgia State vs Chattanooga	-9.5	51.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/14	Georgia State vs Vanderbilt	+8.5	45.5	W 36 - 32	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Georgia State vs Georgia Southern	-3.5	57.5	L 21 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Georgia State vs Old Dominion	-3.0	53.0	L 14 - 21	U	N
Thu 10/17	Georgia State at Marshall	+9.5	51.5	L 20 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/26	Georgia State at App State	+7.5	59.0	L 26 - 33	U	Y
Fri 11/1	Georgia State at UConn	+7.0	48.0	L 27 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Georgia State at James Madison	+14.5	53.5	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/16	Georgia State vs Arkansas State	-2.5	60.0	L 20 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/23	Georgia State at Texas State	+23.0	59.5	W 52 - 44	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Georgia State vs Coastal Carolina	-0.5	52.5	L 27 - 48	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule

Marshall's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Marshall vs Stony Brook	-32.5	56.5	W 45 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Marshall at Virginia Tech	+20.5	52.5	L 14 - 31	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Marshall at Ohio State	+40.0	57.0	L 14 - 49	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Marshall vs Western Michigan	-3.5	53.5	W 27 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Marshall vs App State	-3.0	56.5	W 52 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Marshall at Georgia Southern	+1.0	58.5	L 23 - 24	U	Y
Thu 10/17	Marshall vs Georgia State	-9.5	51.5	W 35 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Marshall vs UL Monroe	-10.5	48.0	W 28 - 23	O	N
Sat 11/9	Marshall at Southern Miss	-13.5	53.5	W 37 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Marshall vs Coastal Carolina	-7.5	57.0	W 31 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Marshall at Old Dominion	+3.0	51.0	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Marshall at James Madison	+2.5	52.5	W 35 - 33	O	Y
Sat 12/7	Marshall at Louisiana	+5.0	58.0	W 31 - 3	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST	#68 (.19)	42% (72)	19.8	40% (105)	2.84 (112)	188	44% (41)	206	3.92 (65)	#94 (.22)	42% (68)	37.8	40% (43)	45% (111)	3.95 (83)	57.5	1.2	1.3
MRSH	#101 (.13)	39% (108)	30.8	38% (121)	2.7 (125)	133	41% (81)	226	2.7 (128)	#31 (.13)	38% (25)	30.3	37% (20)	40% (41)	3.15 (18)	58.9	2.2	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MRSH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Offense	13	19.8	18	41.6%	3.92	1.2	20	394	188	206	4.8	55%	44%	40%	44%	15%	.19
MRSH Defense	13	30.3	24.7	37.9%	3.15	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	37%	40%	18%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Defense	13	37.8	45.3	42.1%	3.95	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	40%	45%	15%	.22
MRSH Offense	13	30.8	31.3	38.7%	2.7	2.2	18	359	133	226	3.8	48%	50%	38%	41%	20%	.13

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia State	13	29:26	19.5	46%	47%	6.4	57.5	1.2	1.3	5.5	2	2	29.1
Marshall	13	29:27	18.2	31%	24%	6.5	58.9	2.2	1.4	6.5	2.5	4	28.1

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Offense	13	55% (29)	40% (105)	39.3	188.1	4.8	25 (37)	.15 (74)	2.84 (112)	78% (30)	11% (89)	1.16 (7)
MRSH Defense	13	48% (39)	37% (20)	-	-	-	-	.11 (43)	2.81 (23)	64% (23)	11% (43)	1.2 (126)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Defense	13	47% (25)	40% (43)	-	-	-	-	.15 (72)	3.05 (56)	63% (19)	10% (63)	1.06 (95)
MRSH Offense	13	48% (86)	38% (121)	34.8	132.7	3.8	21 (54)	.13 (79)	2.7 (125)	74% (62)	13% (126)	1.14 (12)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Offense	13	44% (104)	44% (41)	19.2	28.2	205.5	7.3	10.7	20 (70)	7 (21)	.31 (61)	1.5 (91)	31% (45)	33% (47)	.37 (58)	4% (14)	2.1 (38)
MRSH Defense	13	51% (91)	40% (41)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.2 (28)	1.6 (74)	35% (34)	30% (61)	.27 (46)	7% (26)	2.2 (107)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Defense	13	52% (106)	45% (111)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.37 (113)	1.6 (76)	33% (55)	31% (89)	.42 (114)	4% (122)	2.2 (106)
MRSH Offense	13	50% (58)	41% (81)	20.6	32.7	226.2	6.9	11	12 (113)	18 (128)	.19 (97)	1.4 (126)	34% (98)	26% (105)	.23 (99)	6% (86)	2.1 (51)

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -22.37 #124
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 14.80 #108
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 18.69 #126
2024 Talent Rating: 269.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Georgia State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Georgia State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #123

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 233.69
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -22.37 Marshall: 2.885

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -17.9 Marshall: 3.1

Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: 2.885 #71
Marshall's Offense Rating: 18.46 #82
Marshall's Defense Rating: 8.48 #57
2024 Talent Rating: 256.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #44
Marshall's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Marshall's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #58
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #50
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 233.69
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.3

Georgia State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Marshall 39
Georgia State 16

Projected Total Points: 55

Marshall Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

Marshall's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 1 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	Georgia State	18	Marshall	30	Marshall -9.5	Marshall	59.5	Under
2024	10/17	Marshall	35	Georgia State	20	Marshall -9.5	Marshall	51.5	Over
2023	10/14	Georgia State	41	Marshall	24	Georgia State -2	Georgia State	53.5	Over
2022	11/26	Marshall	28	Georgia State	23	Marshall -6.5	Georgia State	45.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Marshall	3	2	3 Overs
Georgia State	1	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 1	2 - 2	2 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 3	2 - 2	1 - 0	1 - 2

(#124) GAST at (#71) MRSH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GAST	MRSH
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#124	#71
SP+SP+	#123	#58
Perf GradeGrade	#120	#44
OffenseOff	#111	#98
DefenseDef	#120	#21
Spec TeamsST	#52	#21
TalentTal	#86	#92
Blue ChipsBC%	#74	#44

Georgia State Notes(11/25) Huge W vs Tex St, Off 500+ yds, Def 4 TOs
(11/18) Fight w/ Ark St, Rgame awful, QB great, R D awful
(11/3) Run Def mauled by UConn, Off 2 TOs cost bad
(10/17) QB Gibson OK, have some RB's (Brock/Dukes)
(10/17) Run D mauled by Marshall, 295 yds, 8 ypc
(10/13) Run Def mauled by Old D. Rgame ugly, a theme
(9/28) Run Def mauled by Ga South, Rgame 29 yds (1.9)
(9/14) Huge W over Vandy. 22 4th Q pts to steal W
(8/17) McGee hired v late (Feb 23), year 0 spot
(7/30) New HC McGee was RB/AHC at UGA for 8 years
(7/30) Complete roster TO: 32 in/ 36 out in Portal
(7/30) QB battle Gibson (Akron/GT) or Veilleux (Pitt)
Georgia State Injury Report

Marshall Notes(12/14) Opted out bowl, no players/coaches. Shameful
(12/8) Won Sun Belt, did not extend HC Huff?
(12/8) Hired HC Tony Gibson (NC St DC)
(12/1) Great 2OT W @JMU, OG'd by 120 yds, QB bad
(11/25) Off great vs ODU. Need W vs JMU & help for SBC
(11/18) Somehow winning games w/ bad Off, meh Def
(11/3) Off Eff, Def enough in W (ULM). Now 3-1 SBC
(10/17) QB Braxton (very mobile) taken over for Earle
(10/17) QB Braxton pass bad/run good vs Ga St
(10/17) Rgame 295 yds, 8 ypc vs Ga St. Nearly gagged
(10/13) QB's awful, Rgame good. 21pt 4Q total gag (Ga So)
(8/17) Huff needs a good year to show progress
Marshall Injury Report

Georgia State on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	GAST Off	MRSH Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#111	#21
SuccessSuc	#72	#25
ExplosiveExp	#41	#121
PPAPPA	#68	#31
PowerPwr	#108	#57
SP+SP+	#106	#71
Pts POPPO	#65	#18
HavocHav	#59	#27

Georgia State Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	GAST Off	MRSH Def
Run GameRun	#53	#74
Run SuccessRSuc	#105	#20
Run ExplRExp	#7	#126
PPAExp	#74	#43
Run BlockR Blk	#125	-
OL YdsOLY	#112	#23
Stuff RateStuff	#77	#40
TackleTak	-	#20

Georgia State Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	GAST Off	MRSH Def
Pass GamePass	#96	#3
Pass SuccessPSuc	#41	#41
Pass ExplPExl	#91	#74
PPAExp	#61	#28
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#106	#25
F7 HavocF7	#89	#43
DB HavocDB	#14	#26

Marshall on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	MRSH Off	GAST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#98	#120
SuccessSuc	#108	#68
ExplosiveExp	#73	#109
PPAPPA	#101	#94
PowerPwr	#82	#126
SP+SP+	#50	#123
Pts POPPO	#128	#83
HavocHav	#121	#105

Marshall Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	MRSH Off	GAST Def
Run GameRun	#64	#120
Run SuccessRSuc	#121	#43
Run ExplRExp	#12	#95
PPAExp	#79	#72
Run BlockR Blk	#93	-
OL YdsOLY	#125	#56
Stuff RateStuff	#118	#36
TackleTak	-	#34

Marshall Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	MRSH Off	GAST Def
Pass GamePass	#84	#122
Pass SuccessPSuc	#81	#111
Pass ExplPExl	#126	#76
PPAExp	#97	#113
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#44	#90
F7 HavocF7	#126	#63
DB HavocDB	#86	#122

Program Comparison
MRSH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

GAST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'24 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 53°

Rematch from Week 8
Marshall -9.5 (51.5)
Marshall won vs Georgia State this year (35-20)

Previous Matchups
Marshall beat Georgia State last year (30-18)
Marshall beat Georgia State in 2024 (35-20)
Georgia State beat Marshall in 2023 (41-24)

GAST's OC Jim Chaney (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Christian Veilleux (Tr)	166	291	57%	2047	13	11	7.0
Zach Gibson (Tr)	102	151	68%	1004	7	2	6.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Freddie Brock	151	819	8	5.4	57
Michel Dukes	63	365	2	5.8	35
Sy'veon Wilkerson (Tr)	23	97	0	4.2	41
Christian Veilleux (Tr)	28	74	1	2.6	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ted Hurst (Tr)	56	961	9	17.2	76
Dorian Fleming	49	558	6	11.4	58
Michel Dukes	43	354	3	8.2	26
Petey Tucker	30	324	0	10.8	29

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC Kevin Sherrer (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jeremiah Johnson	69	1	0	1	6
Josiah Robinson	62	7	4	2	3
Xavier Robinson (Tr)	60	5	2	1	0
Jyron Gilmore (Tr)	54	2	0	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kevin Swint	48	10	5	1	4
Henry Bryant	30	6	4	2	1
Josiah Robinson	62	7	4	2	3
Xavier Robinson (Tr)	60	5	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Gavin Pringle	34	2	0	8
Jeremiah Johnson	69	1	1	6
Izaiah Guy	30	0	0	5

MRSH's OC Seth Doege (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Braylon Braxton (Tr)	124	206	60%	1624	19	2	7.9
Stone Earle	65	120	54%	673	7	2	5.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
A.J. Turner	104	864	6	8.3	88
Braylon Braxton (Tr)	134	610	4	4.6	35
Jordan Houston (Tr)	111	592	2	5.3	45
Ethan Payne	65	323	7	5.0	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Christian Fitzpatrick (Tr)	34	576	6	16.9	69
Charles Montgomery	32	393	3	12.3	30
Carl Chester (Tr)	20	342	3	17.1	42
Elijah Metcalf (Tr)	20	194	3	9.7	28

View Marshall's Full Roster

MRSH's DC Jason Semore (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaden Yates	114	7	1	6	2
J.J. Roberts	94	5	1	3	12
Michael Green	78	21	17	15	2
Landyn Watson	66	4	0	3	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Green	78	21	17	15	2
D'Vion Harris	53	8	4	2	1
Jabari Ishmael	22	3	2	5	1
Chris Thomas Jr.	44	4	2	4	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
J.J. Roberts	94	5	1	3	12
Jacobie Henderson	50	2	0	0	10
Josh Moten	38	0	0	0	5