Georgia State at Marshall - 2024 Matchup Preview
Georgia State logo Georgia State Panthers at Marshall Thundering HerdMarshall logo
Thursday, October 17th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Marshall -9.5 (51.5) (-325)  Open: -7.0
Marshall 35 - Georgia State: 20  (Sun Belt)

 
Panthers (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Dell McGee (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 34 (24 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
MRSH is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Marshall -23   (SP+ MRSH -21)

Projected Score: GAST: 16 - MRSH: 39 (55)
MRSH Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
GAST Travel: 342 miles
Thundering Herd (10 - 3) (11 - 1 - 1)
Coach Charles Huff (22 - 17)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
 
Georgia State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Georgia State at Georgia Tech+20.557.0L 12 - 35UN
Sat 9/7 Georgia State vs Chattanooga-9.551.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 9/14 Georgia State vs Vanderbilt+8.545.5W 36 - 32OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Georgia State vs Georgia Southern-3.557.5L 21 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Georgia State vs Old Dominion-3.053.0L 14 - 21UN
Thu 10/17 Georgia State at Marshall+9.551.5L 20 - 35ON
Sat 10/26 Georgia State at App State+7.559.0L 26 - 33UY
Fri 11/1 Georgia State at UConn+7.048.0L 27 - 34OY
Sat 11/9 Georgia State at James Madison+14.553.5L 7 - 38UN
Sat 11/16 Georgia State vs Arkansas State-2.560.0L 20 - 27UN
Sat 11/23 Georgia State at Texas State+23.059.5W 52 - 44OY
Sat 11/30 Georgia State vs Coastal Carolina-0.552.5L 27 - 48ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule
Marshall's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Marshall vs Stony Brook-32.556.5W 45 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 Marshall at Virginia Tech+20.552.5L 14 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Marshall at Ohio State+40.057.0L 14 - 49OY
Sat 9/28 Marshall vs Western Michigan-3.553.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 10/5 Marshall vs App State-3.056.5W 52 - 37OY
Sat 10/12 Marshall at Georgia Southern+1.058.5L 23 - 24UY
Thu 10/17 Marshall vs Georgia State-9.551.5W 35 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Marshall vs UL Monroe-10.548.0W 28 - 23ON
Sat 11/9 Marshall at Southern Miss-13.553.5W 37 - 3UY
Sat 11/16 Marshall vs Coastal Carolina-7.557.0W 31 - 19UY
Sat 11/23 Marshall at Old Dominion+3.051.0W 42 - 35OY
Sat 11/30 Marshall at James Madison+2.552.5W 35 - 33OY
Sat 12/7 Marshall at Louisiana+5.058.0W 31 - 3UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST#92 (.15)41% (90)23.842% (92)2.94 (86)13441% (79)2563.85 (76)#121 (.28)48% (123)33.849% (119)46% (118)4.42 (120)49.11.61.4
MRSH#60 (.21)43% (66)31.845% (47)3.35 (18)20340% (88)1813.93 (66)#47 (.13)40% (46)23.143% (75)37% (21)3.87 (79)42.50.71.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST#92 (.15)41% (90)42% (92)2.94 (86)13441% (79)2563.85 (76)#121 (.28)48% (123)49% (119)46% (118)4.42 (120)49.11.61.4
MRSH#60 (.21)43% (66)45% (47)3.35 (18)20340% (88)1813.93 (66)#47 (.13)40% (46)43% (75)37% (21)3.87 (79)42.50.71.5



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Offense1223.82441.2%3.851.6213901342564.542%58%42%41%18%.15
MRSH Defense1323.120.340%3.871.5 - - - - - 53%46%43%37%19%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Defense1233.836.547.6%4.421.4 - - - - - 58%42%49%46%14%.28
MRSH Offense1331.836.342.9%3.930.7203842031815.259%41%45%40%13%.21

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia State1229:5820.736%37%5.149.11.61.441.5030.6
Marshall1328:3919.840%59%5.442.50.71.56.62.6231.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Offense1242% (118)42% (92)301344.513 (105).06 (105)2.94 (86)67% (108)10% (83)0.95 (74)
MRSH Defense1353% (99)43% (75) - - - - .17 (93)2.95 (57)70% (50)12% (30)1.11 (118)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Defense1258% (130)49% (119) - - - - .22 (115)3.36 (117)79% (104)8% (124)0.95 (51)
MRSH Offense1359% (12)45% (47)38.8202.55.221 (59).22 (27)3.35 (18)76% (49)8% (32)1.06 (39)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Offense1258% (15)41% (79)22.637.4255.86.811.321 (51)13 (103).24 (78)1.6 (66)33% (98)32% (59).37 (54)7% (114)2.1 (53)
MRSH Defense1346% (37)37% (21) - - - - - - 13 (31).13 (23)1.6 (58)34% (37)26% (14).24 (40)7% (25)2.2 (102)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Defense1242% (5)46% (118) - - - - - - 9 (76).38 (124)1.6 (80)29% (108)38% (125).46 (123)6% (60)1.8 (11)
MRSH Offense1341% (123)40% (88)14.925.6181.17.112.127 (20)4 (1).23 (82)1.7 (36)30% (36)30% (84).25 (98)5% (52)2 (76)

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -22.37 #124
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 14.80 #108
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 18.69 #126
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Georgia State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Georgia State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #123

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -22.37   Marshall: 2.885

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -17.9   Marshall: 3.1




Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: 2.885 #71
Marshall's Offense Rating: 18.46 #82
Marshall's Defense Rating: 8.48 #57
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #44
Marshall's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Marshall's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #58
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #50
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.5

Georgia State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Marshall 39
Georgia State 16


Total Points: 55

Marshall Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.3
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.3

Marshall's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 1 - 1
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/17Marshall35Georgia State20MarshallMarshall -9.5Marshall51.5Over
202310/14Georgia State41Marshall24Georgia StateGeorgia State -2Georgia State53.5Over
202211/26Marshall28Georgia State23MarshallMarshall -6.5Georgia State45.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Marshall213 Overs
Georgia State120 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 02 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 31 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#124) Georgia State Info
Power Rating: -22.37 #124
Offense Rating: 14.80 #108
Defense Rating: 18.69 #126
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #123
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Georgia State has lost 2 straight
Georgia State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (2 - 3 - 1 vs Spread )

Georgia State Notes
(11/18) Fight w/ Ark St, Rgame awful, QB great, R D awful
(11/3) Run Def mauled by UConn, Off 2 TOs cost bad
(10/17) QB Gibson OK, have some RB's (Brock/Dukes)
(10/17) Run D mauled by Marshall, 295 yds, 8 ypc
(10/13) Run Def mauled by Old D. Rgame ugly, a theme
(9/28) Run Def mauled by Ga South, Rgame 29 yds (1.9)
(9/14) Huge W over Vandy. 22 4th Q pts to steal W
(8/17) McGee hired v late (Feb 23), year 0 spot
(7/30) New HC McGee was RB/AHC at UGA for 8 years
(7/30) Complete roster TO: 32 in/ 36 out in Portal

Georgia State Highlights
Georgia State commits very few Penalties (#133)

Georgia State Deficiencies
Georgia State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Georgia State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Georgia State does not Sack the QB (#80)
Georgia State has a bad defense (#133)
Georgia State Does Not Stuff Runs (#127)
Georgia State has a bad defensive line (#127)
Georgia State has a bad red zone defense (#117)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMRSHGAST
OverallOver#33#87
OffenseOff#78#88
DefenseDef#16#99
Special TeamsST#19#44
PassingPass#66#76
RushingRush#45#37
Run BlockRBLK#71#97
Pass BlockPBLK#44#90
Route RunningWR Rt#92#73
TacklingTkl#18#31
Run DefenseR Def#59#95
Pass Rush DefPRush#23#77
Coverage DefCov#3#99

Rematch from Week 8
Marshall -9.5 (51.5)
Marshall won vs Georgia State this year (35-20)

Previous Matchups
Marshall beat Georgia State last year (35-20)
Georgia State beat Marshall in 2023 (41-24)
Marshall beat Georgia State in 2022 (28-23)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: GAST | MRSH
Depth Chart: GAST | MRSH
Rosters: GAST | MRSH
(#71) Marshall Info
Power Rating: 2.885 #71
Offense Rating: 18.46 #82
Defense Rating: 8.48 #57
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #44
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Marshall has lost 1 straight
Marshall has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 0 (5 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Marshall Notes
(12/8) Won Sun Belt, did not extend HC Huff?
(12/8) Hired HC Tony Gibson (NC St DC)
(12/1) Great 2OT W @JMU, OG'd by 120 yds, QB bad
(11/25) Off great vs ODU. Need W vs JMU & help for SBC
(11/18) Somehow winning games w/ bad Off, meh Def
(11/3) Off Eff, Def enough in W (ULM). Now 3-1 SBC
(10/17) QB Braxton (very mobile) taken over for Earle
(10/17) QB Braxton pass bad/run good vs Ga St
(10/17) Rgame 295 yds, 8 ypc vs Ga St. Nearly gagged
(10/13) QB's awful, Rgame good. 21pt 4Q total gag (Ga So)

Marshall Highlights
Marshall is Undefeated at Home

Marshall has Really Good Running Game (#56)
Marshall has a top Offensive Line (#120)
Marshall Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Marshall has a good pass defense (#109)
Marshall Front 7 is disruptive (#56)
Marshall Secondary is very good (#88)
Marshall has a great TO Margin (#28)

Marshall Deficiencies


  
Georgia State's OC Jim Chaney
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Christian Veilleux (Tr)16629157%204713117.0
Zach Gibson (Tr)10215168%1004726.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Freddie Brock15181985.457
Michel Dukes6336525.835
Sy'veon Wilkerson (Tr)239704.241
Christian Veilleux (Tr)287412.623
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ted Hurst (Tr)56961917.276
Dorian Fleming49558611.458
Michel Dukes4335438.226
Petey Tucker30324010.829

View Georgia State's Full Roster
Georgia State's DC Kevin Sherrer
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Johnson691016
Josiah Robinson627423
Xavier Robinson (Tr)605210
Jyron Gilmore (Tr)542011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kevin Swint4810514
Henry Bryant306421
Josiah Robinson627423
Xavier Robinson (Tr)605210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gavin Pringle342008
Jeremiah Johnson691016
Izaiah Guy300005

Marshall's OC Seth Doege
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Braylon Braxton (Tr)12420660%16241927.9
Stone Earle6512054%673725.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
A.J. Turner10486468.388
Braylon Braxton (Tr)13461044.635
Jordan Houston (Tr)11159225.345
Ethan Payne6532375.036
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Christian Fitzpatrick (Tr)34576616.969
Charles Montgomery32393312.330
Carl Chester (Tr)20342317.142
Elijah Metcalf (Tr)2019439.728

View Marshall's Full Roster
Marshall's DC Jason Semore
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Yates1147162
J.J. Roberts9451312
Michael Green782117152
Landyn Watson664030
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Green782117152
D'Vion Harris538421
Jabari Ishmael223251
Chris Thomas Jr.444242
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J.J. Roberts9451312
Jacobie Henderson5020010
Josh Moten380005