Georgia State Panthers at App State Mountaineers
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (1:00 PM EDT)
App State -7.5 (59.0) (-310) Open: -8.0 | 63.0
App State 33 - Georgia State: 26 (Sun Belt)
Panthers (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Dell McGee (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 34 (24 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Coach Dell McGee (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 34 (24 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
GAST 2nd straight Road Game
APP coming off BYE
Our Line: App State -14 (SP+ APP -10)
Projected Score: GAST: 22 - APP: 36 (59)
APP Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
GAST Travel: 230 miles
APP coming off BYE
Our Line: App State -14 (SP+ APP -10)
Projected Score: GAST: 22 - APP: 36 (59)
APP Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
GAST Travel: 230 miles
Mountaineers (5 - 6) (3 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (35 - 18)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (29 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 6 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
Coach Shawn Clark (35 - 18)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (29 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 6 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
| Georgia State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Georgia State at Georgia Tech | +20.5 | 57.0 | L 12 - 35 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Georgia State vs Chattanooga | -9.5 | 51.5 | W 24 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Georgia State vs Vanderbilt | +8.5 | 45.5 | W 36 - 32 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/28 | Georgia State vs Georgia Southern | -3.5 | 57.5 | L 21 - 38 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Georgia State vs Old Dominion | -3.0 | 53.0 | L 14 - 21 | U | N | |
| Thu 10/17 | Georgia State at Marshall | +9.5 | 51.5 | L 20 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Georgia State at App State | +7.5 | 59.0 | L 26 - 33 | U | Y | |
| Fri 11/1 | Georgia State at UConn | +7.0 | 48.0 | L 27 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Georgia State at James Madison | +14.5 | 53.5 | L 7 - 38 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Georgia State vs Arkansas State | -2.5 | 60.0 | L 20 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Georgia State at Texas State | +23.0 | 59.5 | W 52 - 44 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Georgia State vs Coastal Carolina | -0.5 | 52.5 | L 27 - 48 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 0
Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 0
| App State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | App State vs East Tennessee State | -35.5 | 58.5 | W 38 - 10 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | App State at Clemson | +13.5 | 53.5 | L 20 - 66 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | App State at East Carolina | +0.5 | 56.5 | W 21 - 19 | U | Y | |
| Thu 9/19 | App State vs South Alabama | -8.0 | 62.5 | L 14 - 48 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | App State at Marshall | +3.0 | 56.5 | L 37 - 52 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | App State at Louisiana | +10.0 | 64.0 | L 24 - 34 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/26 | App State vs Georgia State | -7.5 | 59.0 | W 33 - 26 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | App State vs Old Dominion | +2.5 | 58.0 | W 28 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Thu 11/7 | App State at Coastal Carolina | -1.5 | 62.5 | L 24 - 38 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | App State vs James Madison | +7.5 | 57.5 | W 34 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | App State at Georgia Southern | +2.5 | 60.5 | L 20 - 29 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 6, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Predictions for App State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAST | #92 (.15) | 41% (90) | 23.8 | 42% (92) | 2.94 (86) | 134 | 41% (79) | 256 | 3.85 (76) | #121 (.28) | 48% (123) | 33.8 | 49% (119) | 46% (118) | 4.42 (120) | 49.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| APP | #57 (.21) | 44% (60) | 26.6 | 45% (58) | 3.01 (75) | 157 | 43% (62) | 273 | 3.89 (71) | #123 (.3) | 49% (127) | 32.9 | 51% (130) | 47% (119) | 4.78 (132) | 57 | 2 | 1.2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAST | #92 (.15) | 41% (90) | 42% (92) | 2.94 (86) | 134 | 41% (79) | 256 | 3.85 (76) | #121 (.28) | 48% (123) | 49% (119) | 46% (118) | 4.42 (120) | 49.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 | ||
| APP | #57 (.21) | 44% (60) | 45% (58) | 3.01 (75) | 157 | 43% (62) | 273 | 3.89 (71) | #123 (.3) | 49% (127) | 51% (130) | 47% (119) | 4.78 (132) | 57 | 2 | 1.2 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAST Offense | 12 | 23.8 | 24 | 41.2% | 3.85 | 1.6 | 21 | 390 | 134 | 256 | 4.5 | 42% | 58% | 42% | 41% | 18% | .15 |
| APP Defense | 11 | 32.9 | 24.8 | 49% | 4.78 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 56% | 44% | 51% | 47% | 12% | .3 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAST Defense | 12 | 33.8 | 36.5 | 47.6% | 4.42 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 58% | 42% | 49% | 46% | 14% | .28 |
| APP Offense | 11 | 26.6 | 29.4 | 43.6% | 3.89 | 2 | 24 | 430 | 157 | 273 | 4.5 | 48% | 51% | 45% | 43% | 16% | .21 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia State | 12 | 29:58 | 20.7 | 36% | 37% | 5.1 | 49.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 1.5 | 0 | 30.6 |
| App State | 11 | 30:06 | 23.9 | 43% | 59% | 6 | 57 | 2 | 1.2 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 1 | 27.6 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAST Offense | 12 | 42% (118) | 42% (92) | 30 | 134 | 4.5 | 13 (105) | .06 (105) | 2.94 (86) | 67% (108) | 10% (83) | 0.95 (74) |
| APP Defense | 11 | 56% (124) | 51% (130) | - | - | - | - | .26 (128) | 3.41 (125) | 77% (94) | 9% (89) | 1.04 (94) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAST Defense | 12 | 58% (130) | 49% (119) | - | - | - | - | .22 (115) | 3.36 (117) | 79% (104) | 8% (124) | 0.95 (51) |
| APP Offense | 11 | 48% (81) | 45% (58) | 34.9 | 157.4 | 4.5 | 13 (105) | .1 (89) | 3.01 (75) | 80% (21) | 7% (15) | 0.89 (104) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAST Offense | 12 | 58% (15) | 41% (79) | 22.6 | 37.4 | 255.8 | 6.8 | 11.3 | 21 (51) | 13 (103) | .24 (78) | 1.6 (66) | 33% (98) | 32% (59) | .37 (54) | 7% (114) | 2.1 (53) |
| APP Defense | 11 | 44% (10) | 47% (119) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (125) | .37 (119) | 1.5 (46) | 26% (133) | 35% (115) | .38 (100) | 2% (134) | 2 (62) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAST Defense | 12 | 42% (5) | 46% (118) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (76) | .38 (124) | 1.6 (80) | 29% (108) | 38% (125) | .46 (123) | 6% (60) | 1.8 (11) |
| APP Offense | 11 | 51% (53) | 43% (62) | 19.8 | 35.6 | 272.9 | 7.7 | 13.8 | 23 (41) | 16 (124) | .32 (41) | 1.8 (13) | 35% (122) | 37% (15) | .46 (19) | 9% (130) | 2.2 (18) |
Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -22.37 #124
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 14.80 #108
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 18.69 #126
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Georgia State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Georgia State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #123
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Georgia State's Power Rating: -22.37 #124
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 14.80 #108
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 18.69 #126
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Georgia State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Georgia State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #123
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -22.37 App State: -6.03
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -17.9 App State: -8.1
Georgia State: -22.37 App State: -6.03
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -17.9 App State: -8.1
App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -6.03 #97
App State's Offense Rating: 21.99 #50
App State's Defense Rating: 17.06 #121
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
App State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 6.0
App State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #100
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
App State's Power Rating: -6.03 #97
App State's Offense Rating: 21.99 #50
App State's Defense Rating: 17.06 #121
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
App State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 6.0
App State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #100
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.5
Georgia State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.5
Georgia State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
App State 36
Georgia State 22
Total Points: 59
App State 36
Georgia State 22
Total Points: 59
App State Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.4
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.8
App State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 6
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.4
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.8
App State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 6
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/26 | App State | 33 | Georgia State | 26 | App State | App State -7.5 | Georgia State | 59.0 | Push |
| 2023 | 11/11 | Georgia State | 14 | App State | 42 | App State | Georgia State -2.5 | App State | 62.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 10/19 | App State | 42 | Georgia State | 17 | App State | Appalachian State -9.5 | App State | 60.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 10/02 | Georgia State | 16 | App State | 45 | App State | Appalachian State -10.5 | App State | 54.5 | Over |
| 2020 | 11/14 | App State | 17 | Georgia State | 13 | App State | Appalachian State -18 | Georgia State | 63.0 | Under |
| 2019 | 11/16 | Georgia State | 27 | App State | 56 | App State | Appalachian State -15 | App State | 61.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/17 | App State | 45 | Georgia State | 17 | App State | Appalachian State -27.5 | App State | 54.5 | Over |
| 2017 | 11/25 | Georgia State | 10 | App State | 31 | App State | Appalachian State -6 | App State | 50.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/01 | App State | 17 | Georgia State | 3 | App State | Appalachian State -21 | Georgia State | 52.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 10/10 | Georgia State | 3 | App State | 37 | App State | Appalachian State -18 | App State | 61.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/01 | App State | 44 | Georgia State | 0 | App State | Appalachian State -5.5 | App State | 0 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| App State | 11 | 8 | 3 Overs |
| Georgia State | 0 | 3 | 6 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 6 - 5 | 3 - 8 | 3 - 4 | 0 - 4 |
| Road Teams | 5 - 6 | 8 - 3 | 4 - 0 | 4 - 3 |
(#124) Georgia State Info
Power Rating: -22.37 #124
Offense Rating: 14.80 #108
Defense Rating: 18.69 #126
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #123
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Georgia State has lost 3 straight
Georgia State has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (2 - 3 - 1 vs Spread )
Georgia State Notes
(11/18) Fight w/ Ark St, Rgame awful, QB great, R D awful
(11/3) Run Def mauled by UConn, Off 2 TOs cost bad
(10/17) QB Gibson OK, have some RB's (Brock/Dukes)
(10/17) Run D mauled by Marshall, 295 yds, 8 ypc
(10/13) Run Def mauled by Old D. Rgame ugly, a theme
(9/28) Run Def mauled by Ga South, Rgame 29 yds (1.9)
(9/14) Huge W over Vandy. 22 4th Q pts to steal W
(8/17) McGee hired v late (Feb 23), year 0 spot
(7/30) New HC McGee was RB/AHC at UGA for 8 years
(7/30) Complete roster TO: 32 in/ 36 out in Portal
Georgia State Highlights
Georgia State commits very few Penalties (#133)
Georgia State Deficiencies
Georgia State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Georgia State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Georgia State does not Sack the QB (#80)
Georgia State has a bad defense (#133)
Georgia State Does Not Stuff Runs (#127)
Georgia State has a bad defensive line (#127)
Georgia State has a bad red zone defense (#117)
Power Rating: -22.37 #124
Offense Rating: 14.80 #108
Defense Rating: 18.69 #126
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #123
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Georgia State has lost 3 straight
Georgia State has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (2 - 3 - 1 vs Spread )
Georgia State Notes
(11/18) Fight w/ Ark St, Rgame awful, QB great, R D awful
(11/3) Run Def mauled by UConn, Off 2 TOs cost bad
(10/17) QB Gibson OK, have some RB's (Brock/Dukes)
(10/17) Run D mauled by Marshall, 295 yds, 8 ypc
(10/13) Run Def mauled by Old D. Rgame ugly, a theme
(9/28) Run Def mauled by Ga South, Rgame 29 yds (1.9)
(9/14) Huge W over Vandy. 22 4th Q pts to steal W
(8/17) McGee hired v late (Feb 23), year 0 spot
(7/30) New HC McGee was RB/AHC at UGA for 8 years
(7/30) Complete roster TO: 32 in/ 36 out in Portal
Georgia State Highlights
Georgia State commits very few Penalties (#133)
Georgia State Deficiencies
Georgia State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Georgia State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Georgia State does not Sack the QB (#80)
Georgia State has a bad defense (#133)
Georgia State Does Not Stuff Runs (#127)
Georgia State has a bad defensive line (#127)
Georgia State has a bad red zone defense (#117)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | APP | GAST |
| OverallOver | #59 | #87 |
| OffenseOff | #57 | #88 |
| DefenseDef | #72 | #99 |
| Special TeamsST | #57 | #44 |
| PassingPass | #75 | #76 |
| RushingRush | #33 | #37 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #43 | #97 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #81 | #90 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #39 | #73 |
| TacklingTkl | #74 | #31 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #71 | #95 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #31 | #77 |
| Coverage DefCov | #88 | #99 |
Rematch from Week 9
App State -7.5 (59.0)
App State won vs Georgia State this year (33-26)
Previous Matchups
App State beat Georgia State last year (33-26)
App State beat Georgia State in 2023 (42-14)
App State beat Georgia State in 2022 (42-17)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: GAST | APP
Depth Chart: GAST | APP
Rosters: GAST | APP
(#97) App State Info
Power Rating: -6.03 #97
Offense Rating: 21.99 #50
Defense Rating: 17.06 #121
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.78 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
App State has lost 3 straight
App State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 1 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
App State Notes
(12/2) HC Clark fired after 40-24 in 5 yrs, Huff rumors?
(11/25) Huge upset vs JMU, box score L but 2 Def TOs
(11/8) Run D bad vs C.Car, 3 TO's hurt. QB Aguilar 2 INT
(11/3) Pass D torched by ODU, Aguilar good, forced 4 TOs
(10/22) Def stop rate 42% (#127) into week 9
(10/12) OG'd ULL but 5 TO's, QB/Rgame OK, Def meh
(9/23) Clark & staff better improve, feels stale/bad
(9/23) Missed 26 tackles! vs S Al
(9/19) This Off looks broken. Rgame awful, Aguilar erratic
(9/12) D not P5 ready, 712 yds to Clem. QB Aguilar ?
App State Highlights
App State offense is explosive (#127)
App State Deficiencies
App State has a bad TO Margin (#131)
App State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
App State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
App State has a bad defense (#69)
App State Does Not Stuff Runs (#49)
App State has a bad defensive line (#32)
App State has a bad red zone defense (#96)
Power Rating: -6.03 #97
Offense Rating: 21.99 #50
Defense Rating: 17.06 #121
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.78 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
App State has lost 3 straight
App State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 1 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
App State Notes
(12/2) HC Clark fired after 40-24 in 5 yrs, Huff rumors?
(11/25) Huge upset vs JMU, box score L but 2 Def TOs
(11/8) Run D bad vs C.Car, 3 TO's hurt. QB Aguilar 2 INT
(11/3) Pass D torched by ODU, Aguilar good, forced 4 TOs
(10/22) Def stop rate 42% (#127) into week 9
(10/12) OG'd ULL but 5 TO's, QB/Rgame OK, Def meh
(9/23) Clark & staff better improve, feels stale/bad
(9/23) Missed 26 tackles! vs S Al
(9/19) This Off looks broken. Rgame awful, Aguilar erratic
(9/12) D not P5 ready, 712 yds to Clem. QB Aguilar ?
App State Highlights
App State offense is explosive (#127)
App State Deficiencies
App State has a bad TO Margin (#131)
App State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
App State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
App State has a bad defense (#69)
App State Does Not Stuff Runs (#49)
App State has a bad defensive line (#32)
App State has a bad red zone defense (#96)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Veilleux (Tr) | 166 | 291 | 57% | 2047 | 13 | 11 | 7.0 |
| Zach Gibson (Tr) | 102 | 151 | 68% | 1004 | 7 | 2 | 6.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddie Brock | 151 | 819 | 8 | 5.4 | 57 |
| Michel Dukes | 63 | 365 | 2 | 5.8 | 35 |
| Sy'veon Wilkerson (Tr) | 23 | 97 | 0 | 4.2 | 41 |
| Christian Veilleux (Tr) | 28 | 74 | 1 | 2.6 | 23 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Hurst (Tr) | 56 | 961 | 9 | 17.2 | 76 |
| Dorian Fleming | 49 | 558 | 6 | 11.4 | 58 |
| Michel Dukes | 43 | 354 | 3 | 8.2 | 26 |
| Petey Tucker | 30 | 324 | 0 | 10.8 | 29 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Johnson | 69 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Josiah Robinson | 62 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Xavier Robinson (Tr) | 60 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Jyron Gilmore (Tr) | 54 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Swint | 48 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| Henry Bryant | 30 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Josiah Robinson | 62 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Xavier Robinson (Tr) | 60 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Pringle | 34 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Jeremiah Johnson | 69 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Izaiah Guy | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Aguilar | 218 | 390 | 56% | 3002 | 23 | 14 | 7.7 |
| Kaedin Robinson | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmani Marshall | 149 | 713 | 7 | 4.8 | 29 |
| Kanye Roberts | 82 | 332 | 1 | 4.0 | 18 |
| Anderson Castle | 50 | 246 | 1 | 4.9 | 21 |
| Joey Aguilar | 58 | 217 | 2 | 3.7 | 49 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaedin Robinson | 53 | 840 | 2 | 15.8 | 50 |
| Makai Jackson | 46 | 745 | 5 | 16.2 | 64 |
| Christan Horn | 19 | 367 | 1 | 19.3 | 83 |
| Dalton Stroman | 20 | 307 | 5 | 15.4 | 47 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Harrington | 55 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Kyle Arnholt | 54 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| DJ Burks | 52 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jason Chambers (Tr) | 37 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Davis | 35 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Santana Hopper | 30 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Fletcher | 16 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| Joshua Donald (Tr) | 31 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Favors | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Ethan Johnson | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Brendan Harrington | 55 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |