Georgia State at App State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Georgia State logo Georgia State Panthers at App State MountaineersApp State logo
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (1:00 PM EDT)
App State -7.5 (59.0) (-310)  Open: -8.0 | 63.0
App State 33 - Georgia State: 26  (Sun Belt)

 
Panthers (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Dell McGee (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 34 (24 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Rain Shower Predicted
GAST 2nd straight Road Game
APP coming off BYE
Our Line: App State -14   (SP+ APP -10)

Projected Score: GAST: 22 - APP: 36 (58)
APP Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
GAST Travel: 230 miles
Mountaineers (5 - 6) (3 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (35 - 18)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (29 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 6 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
 
Georgia State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Georgia State at Georgia Tech+20.557.0L 12 - 35UN
Sat 9/7 Georgia State vs Chattanooga-9.551.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 9/14 Georgia State vs Vanderbilt+8.545.5W 36 - 32OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Georgia State vs Georgia Southern-3.557.5L 21 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Georgia State vs Old Dominion-3.053.0L 14 - 21UN
Thu 10/17 Georgia State at Marshall+9.551.5L 20 - 35ON
Sat 10/26 Georgia State at App State+7.559.0L 26 - 33UY
Fri 11/1 Georgia State at UConn+7.048.0L 27 - 34OY
Sat 11/9 Georgia State at James Madison+14.553.5L 7 - 38UN
Sat 11/16 Georgia State vs Arkansas State-2.560.0L 20 - 27UN
Sat 11/23 Georgia State at Texas State+23.059.5W 52 - 44OY
Sat 11/30 Georgia State vs Coastal Carolina-0.552.5L 27 - 48ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule
App State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 App State vs East Tennessee State-35.558.5W 38 - 10UN
Sat 9/7 App State at Clemson+13.553.5L 20 - 66ON
Sat 9/14 App State at East Carolina+0.556.5W 21 - 19UY
Thu 9/19 App State vs South Alabama-8.062.5L 14 - 48UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 App State at Marshall+3.056.5L 37 - 52ON
Sat 10/12 App State at Louisiana+10.064.0L 24 - 34UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 App State vs Georgia State-7.559.0W 33 - 26UN
Sat 11/2 App State vs Old Dominion+2.558.0W 28 - 20UY
Thu 11/7 App State at Coastal Carolina-1.562.5L 24 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 App State vs James Madison+7.557.5W 34 - 20UY
Sat 11/30 App State at Georgia Southern+2.560.5L 20 - 29UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 6, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for App State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST#68 (.19)42% (72)23.840% (105)2.84 (112)18844% (41)2063.92 (65)#94 (.22)42% (68)33.840% (43)45% (111)3.95 (83)57.51.21.3
APP#41 (.24)46% (28)26.643% (75)3.18 (55)17250% (11)2733.8 (77)#79 (.2)43% (76)32.945% (93)41% (58)3.15 (17)40.51.61.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
APP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Offense1323.82441.6%3.921.2203941882064.855%44%40%44%15%.19
APP Defense1432.924.842.6%3.151.8 - - - - - 50%49%45%41%18%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Defense1333.836.542.1%3.951.3 - - - - - 47%52%40%45%15%.22
APP Offense1426.629.445.6%3.81.6244451722734.551%48%43%50%16%.24

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia State1329:2619.546%47%6.457.51.21.35.52229.1
App State1431:1523.742%64%4.440.51.61.862.5229.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Offense1355% (29)40% (105)39.3188.14.825 (37).15 (74)2.84 (112)78% (30)11% (89)1.16 (7)
APP Defense1450% (59)45% (93) - - - - .23 (112)3.41 (120)79% (108)11% (40)1.1 (113)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Defense1347% (25)40% (43) - - - - .15 (72)3.05 (56)63% (19)10% (63)1.06 (95)
APP Offense1451% (58)43% (75)38.1171.64.523 (46).09 (99)3.18 (55)71% (92)9% (49)0.97 (83)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Offense1344% (104)44% (41)19.228.2205.57.310.720 (70)7 (21).31 (61)1.5 (91)31% (45)33% (47).37 (58)4% (14)2.1 (38)
APP Defense1449% (72)41% (58) - - - - - - 15 (15).2 (30)1.5 (36)31% (81)33% (110).43 (117)7% (29)2.1 (89)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Defense1352% (106)45% (111) - - - - - - 11 (53).37 (113)1.6 (76)33% (55)31% (89).42 (114)4% (122)2.2 (106)
APP Offense1448% (75)50% (11)21.433.6273.48.112.834 (9)10 (56).44 (19)1.6 (65)29% (28)37% (16).5 (19)7% (108)2.1 (45)

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -22.37 #124
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 14.80 #108
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 18.69 #126
2024 Talent Rating: 546.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Georgia State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Georgia State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #123

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -22.37   App State: -6.03

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -17.9   App State: -8.1




App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -6.03 #97
App State's Offense Rating: 21.99 #50
App State's Defense Rating: 17.06 #121
2024 Talent Rating: 622.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
App State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 6.0
App State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #100
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.5

Georgia State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
App State 36
Georgia State 22


Projected Total Points: 58
App State Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.4
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.8

App State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 6
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26App State33Georgia State26App StateApp State -7.5Georgia State59.0Push
202311/11Georgia State14App State42App StateGeorgia State -2.5App State62.5Under
202210/19App State42Georgia State17App StateAppalachian State -9.5App State60.5Under
202110/02Georgia State16App State45App StateAppalachian State -10.5App State54.5Over
202011/14App State17Georgia State13App StateAppalachian State -18Georgia State63.0Under
201911/16Georgia State27App State56App StateAppalachian State -15App State61.0Over
201811/17App State45Georgia State17App StateAppalachian State -27.5App State54.5Over
201711/25Georgia State10App State31App StateAppalachian State -6App State50.5Under
201610/01App State17Georgia State3App StateAppalachian State -21Georgia State52.0Under
201510/10Georgia State3App State37App StateAppalachian State -18App State61.0Under
201411/01App State44Georgia State0App StateAppalachian State -5.5App State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
App State1183 Overs
Georgia State036 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 53 - 83 - 40 - 4
Road Teams5 - 68 - 34 - 04 - 3

(#124) Georgia State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -22.37 #124
Offense Rating: 14.80 #108
Defense Rating: 18.69 #126
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #123
Talent Rating: 546.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Georgia State Notes
(11/18) Fight w/ Ark St, Rgame awful, QB great, R D awful
(11/3) Run Def mauled by UConn, Off 2 TOs cost bad
(10/17) QB Gibson OK, have some RB's (Brock/Dukes)
(10/17) Run D mauled by Marshall, 295 yds, 8 ypc
(10/13) Run Def mauled by Old D. Rgame ugly, a theme
(9/28) Run Def mauled by Ga South, Rgame 29 yds (1.9)
(9/14) Huge W over Vandy. 22 4th Q pts to steal W
(8/17) McGee hired v late (Feb 23), year 0 spot
(7/30) New HC McGee was RB/AHC at UGA for 8 years
(7/30) Complete roster TO: 32 in/ 36 out in Portal
Georgia State     Ratings Matchup     App State
Power #124
#97
Off #108
#50
Def #126
#121
Talent #86
#72
SP+ #123
#100
SP+ Off #106
#67
SP+ Def #123
#110

Rematch from Week 9
App State -7.5 (59.0)
App State won vs Georgia State this year (33-26)

Previous Matchups
App State beat Georgia State last year (33-26)
App State beat Georgia State in 2023 (42-14)
App State beat Georgia State in 2022 (42-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions: Rain Shower
Temp: 64° - Wind: 6 mph
Rain: 0.012


Team Information
Injuries: GAST | APP
Depth Chart: GAST | APP
Rosters: GAST | APP
(#97) App State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.03 #97
Offense Rating: 21.99 #50
Defense Rating: 17.06 #121
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110
Talent Rating: 622.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.78 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


App State Notes
(12/2) HC Clark fired after 40-24 in 5 yrs, Huff rumors?
(11/25) Huge upset vs JMU, box score L but 2 Def TOs
(11/8) Run D bad vs C.Car, 3 TO's hurt. QB Aguilar 2 INT
(11/3) Pass D torched by ODU, Aguilar good, forced 4 TOs
(10/22) Def stop rate 42% (#127) into week 9
(10/12) OG'd ULL but 5 TO's, QB/Rgame OK, Def meh
(9/23) Clark & staff better improve, feels stale/bad
(9/23) Missed 26 tackles! vs S Al
(9/19) This Off looks broken. Rgame awful, Aguilar erratic
(9/12) D not P5 ready, 712 yds to Clem. QB Aguilar ?


  
Georgia State's OC Jim Chaney
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Christian Veilleux (Tr)16629157%204713117.0
Zach Gibson (Tr)10215168%1004726.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Freddie Brock15181985.457
Michel Dukes6336525.835
Sy'veon Wilkerson (Tr)239704.241
Christian Veilleux (Tr)287412.623
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ted Hurst (Tr)56961917.276
Dorian Fleming49558611.458
Michel Dukes4335438.226
Petey Tucker30324010.829

View Georgia State's Full Roster
Georgia State's DC Kevin Sherrer
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Johnson691016
Josiah Robinson627423
Xavier Robinson (Tr)605210
Jyron Gilmore (Tr)542011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Henry Bryant306421
Josiah Robinson627423
Xavier Robinson (Tr)605210
K.D. McDaniel (Tr)423231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Johnson691016
Izaiah Guy300005
Josiah Robinson627423

App State's OC Frank Ponce
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Aguilar21839056%300223147.7
Billy Wiles010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kanye Roberts8233214.018
Anderson Castle5024614.921
Joey Aguilar5821723.749
Makai Jackson590118.047
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaedin Robinson53840215.850
Makai Jackson46745516.264
Dalton Stroman20307515.447
Anderson Castle138806.820

View App State's Full Roster
App State's DC Scott Sloan
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brendan Harrington551011
Kyle Arnholt542020
DJ Burks523000
Jason Chambers (Tr)371000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thomas Davis356410
Santana Hopper308400
Joshua Donald (Tr)316310
Nate Johnson293311
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Favors331004
Ethan Johnson220012
Brendan Harrington551011