Georgia State at UConn - 2024 Matchup Preview
Georgia State logo Georgia State Panthers at UConn HuskiesUConn logo
Friday, November 1st 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
UConn -7 (48.0) (-270)  Open: -5.5
UConn 34 - Georgia State: 27

 
Panthers (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Dell McGee (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 34 (24 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
GAST 3rd straight Road Game
GAST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UConn -21   (SP+ CONN -19)

Projected Score: GAST: 16 - CONN: 37 (57)
CONN Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
GAST Travel: 848 miles
Huskies (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Jim L. Mora (9 - 16)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (37 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
Georgia State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Georgia State at Georgia Tech+20.557.0L 12 - 35UN
Sat 9/7 Georgia State vs Chattanooga-9.551.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 9/14 Georgia State vs Vanderbilt+8.545.5W 36 - 32OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Georgia State vs Georgia Southern-3.557.5L 21 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Georgia State vs Old Dominion-3.053.0L 14 - 21UN
Thu 10/17 Georgia State at Marshall+9.551.5L 20 - 35ON
Sat 10/26 Georgia State at App State+7.559.0L 26 - 33UY
Fri 11/1 Georgia State at UConn+7.048.0L 27 - 34OY
Sat 11/9 Georgia State at James Madison+14.553.5L 7 - 38UN
Sat 11/16 Georgia State vs Arkansas State-2.560.0L 20 - 27UN
Sat 11/23 Georgia State at Texas State+23.059.5W 52 - 44OY
Sat 11/30 Georgia State vs Coastal Carolina-0.552.5L 27 - 48ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 4, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 1

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule
UConn's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 UConn at Maryland+19.045.5L 7 - 50ON
Sat 9/7 UConn vs Merrimack-14.544.5W 63 - 17OY
Sat 9/14 UConn at Duke+17.546.5L 21 - 26OY
Sat 9/21 UConn vs Florida Atlantic-1.046.0W 48 - 14OY
Sat 9/28 UConn vs Buffalo-6.044.5W 47 - 3OY
Sat 10/5 UConn vs Temple-17.549.0W 29 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 UConn vs Wake Forest+2.555.5L 20 - 23UN
Sat 10/26 UConn vs Rice-6.547.0W 17 - 10UY
Fri 11/1 UConn vs Georgia State-7.048.0W 34 - 27ON
Sat 11/9 UConn at UAB-7.554.0W 31 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 UConn at Syracuse+10.053.0L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/30 UConn at Massachusetts-9.549.5W 47 - 42ON
Sat 12/28 UConn vs North Carolina+2.053.5W 27 - 14UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for UConn's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST#68 (.19)42% (72)23.840% (105)2.84 (112)18844% (41)2063.92 (65)#94 (.22)42% (68)33.840% (43)45% (111)3.95 (83)57.51.21.3
CONN#111 (.11)40% (96)31.943% (68)2.76 (120)13737% (108)1903.29 (106)#99 (.23)47% (124)23.145% (89)49% (133)3.88 (75)53.81.41.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CONN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Offense1323.82441.6%3.921.2203941882064.855%44%40%44%15%.19
CONN Defense1223.116.346.6%3.881.1 - - - - - 51%49%45%49%16%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Defense1333.836.542.1%3.951.3 - - - - - 47%52%40%45%15%.22
CONN Offense1231.936.939.8%3.291.4183271371904.251%48%43%37%16%.11

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia State1329:2619.546%47%6.457.51.21.35.52229.1
UConn1231:1518.135%38%6.153.81.41.15.71.3127.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Offense1355% (29)40% (105)39.3188.14.825 (37).15 (74)2.84 (112)78% (30)11% (89)1.16 (7)
CONN Defense1251% (77)45% (89) - - - - .11 (48)2.9 (34)79% (103)11% (45)0.98 (59)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Defense1347% (25)40% (43) - - - - .15 (72)3.05 (56)63% (19)10% (63)1.06 (95)
CONN Offense1251% (54)43% (68)32.8136.64.215 (100).01 (125)2.76 (120)77% (41)11% (93)0.9 (112)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Offense1344% (104)44% (41)19.228.2205.57.310.720 (70)7 (21).31 (61)1.5 (91)31% (45)33% (47).37 (58)4% (14)2.1 (38)
CONN Defense1249% (61)49% (133) - - - - - - 6 (120).4 (118)1.4 (17)30% (113)33% (112).35 (86)5% (110)1.8 (8)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Defense1352% (106)45% (111) - - - - - - 11 (53).37 (113)1.6 (76)33% (55)31% (89).42 (114)4% (122)2.2 (106)
CONN Offense1248% (79)37% (108)18.331.8190.3610.412 (113)7 (21).25 (78)1.6 (51)35% (112)28% (90).23 (98)5% (33)1.8 (122)

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -22.37 #124
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 14.80 #108
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 18.69 #126
2024 Talent Rating: 546.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Georgia State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Georgia State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #123

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -22.37   UConn: 1.025

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -17.9   UConn: 1.5




UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: 1.025 #80
UConn's Offense Rating: 17.51 #89
UConn's Defense Rating: 6.05 #36
2024 Talent Rating: 468.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
UConn's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
UConn's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.5 #67
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #70
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #60

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 714
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.5

Georgia State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
UConn 37
Georgia State 16


Projected Total Points: 57
UConn Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.9
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.3

UConn's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/01UConn34Georgia State27UConnUConn -7Push48.0Over
202309/09Georgia State35UConn14Georgia StateGeorgia State -3Georgia State54.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UConn101 Overs
Georgia State111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#124) Georgia State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -22.37 #124
Offense Rating: 14.80 #108
Defense Rating: 18.69 #126
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #123
Talent Rating: 546.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Georgia State Notes
(11/18) Fight w/ Ark St, Rgame awful, QB great, R D awful
(11/3) Run Def mauled by UConn, Off 2 TOs cost bad
(10/17) QB Gibson OK, have some RB's (Brock/Dukes)
(10/17) Run D mauled by Marshall, 295 yds, 8 ypc
(10/13) Run Def mauled by Old D. Rgame ugly, a theme
(9/28) Run Def mauled by Ga South, Rgame 29 yds (1.9)
(9/14) Huge W over Vandy. 22 4th Q pts to steal W
(8/17) McGee hired v late (Feb 23), year 0 spot
(7/30) New HC McGee was RB/AHC at UGA for 8 years
(7/30) Complete roster TO: 32 in/ 36 out in Portal
Georgia State     Ratings Matchup     UConn
Power #124
#80
Off #108
#89
Def #126
#36
Talent #86
#107
SP+ #123
#67
SP+ Off #106
#70
SP+ Def #123
#60

Rematch from Week 10
UConn -7.0 (48.0)
UConn won vs Georgia State this year (34-27)

Previous Matchups
UConn beat Georgia State last year (34-27)
Georgia State beat UConn in 2023 (35-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rentschler Field
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 61° - Wind: 11 mph


Team Information
Injuries: GAST | CONN
Depth Chart: GAST | CONN
Rosters: GAST | CONN
(#80) UConn Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.025 #80
Offense Rating: 17.51 #89
Defense Rating: 6.05 #36
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.5 #67
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #70
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #60
Talent Rating: 468.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.09 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.36 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


UConn Notes
(11/3) Rgame 272, 6.5 ypc in W (Ga St). Bowl eligible
(10/28) Sched light, but Def in top 20 in most categories
(10/28) Final 3 games on road, but could win 3/4 for 8 W's
(10/18) QB Fagnano or Evers, doesn't really matter
(10/4) Off lights out, Rgame nearly 250 ypg. Who's QB?
(8/11) Won't leave home weeks 4 - 10
(8/3) Mora grabbed a lot of P5 talent via portal
(7/30) Should improve from 3 W's LY, fringe bowl?
(7/30) QB Fagano back (inj). Add Ewers (bust @ OU/Wisc)
(7/30) Portals really good from bigger schools, good WR


  
Georgia State's OC Jim Chaney
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Christian Veilleux (Tr)16629157%204713117.0
Zach Gibson (Tr)10215168%1004726.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Freddie Brock15181985.457
Michel Dukes6336525.835
Sy'veon Wilkerson (Tr)239704.241
Christian Veilleux (Tr)287412.623
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ted Hurst (Tr)56961917.276
Dorian Fleming49558611.458
Michel Dukes4335438.226
Petey Tucker30324010.829

View Georgia State's Full Roster
Georgia State's DC Kevin Sherrer
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Johnson691016
Josiah Robinson627423
Xavier Robinson (Tr)605210
Jyron Gilmore (Tr)542011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Henry Bryant306421
Josiah Robinson627423
Xavier Robinson (Tr)605210
K.D. McDaniel (Tr)423231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Johnson691016
Izaiah Guy300005
Josiah Robinson627423

UConn's OC Gordon Sammis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nick Evers (Tr)9718054%918555.1
Tucker McDonald3560%20004.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Edwards14683085.771
Durell Robinson (Tr)10773186.868
Jayden Brown9857825.952
Nick Evers (Tr)8024533.123
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Skyler Bell (Tr)50860517.270
TJ Sheffield (Tr)5450539.458
Jasaiah Gathings (Tr)3230739.626
Louis Hansen2423649.855

View UConn's Full Roster
UConn's DC Matt Brock
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden McDonald (Tr)12510483
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Rante Jones562032
D'Mon Brinson484004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Jayden McDonald (Tr)12510483
Pryce Yates217451
Langston Hardy447430
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Cam Chadwick471016
D'Mon Brinson484004