Georgia State at James Madison - 2024 Matchup Preview
Georgia State logo Georgia State Panthers at James Madison DukesJames Madison logo
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
James Madison -14.5 (53.5) (-850)  Open: -16.5 | 54.0
James Madison 38 - Georgia State: 7  (Sun Belt)

 
Panthers (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Dell McGee (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 34 (24 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
JMU coming off BYE
GAST is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: James Madison -24   (SP+ JMU -25)

Projected Score: GAST: 15 - JMU: 39 (54)
JMU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
GAST Travel: 447 miles
Dukes (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Bob Chesney (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 21 (36 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
 
Georgia State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Georgia State at Georgia Tech+20.557.0L 12 - 35UN
Sat 9/7 Georgia State vs Chattanooga-9.551.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 9/14 Georgia State vs Vanderbilt+8.545.5W 36 - 32OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Georgia State vs Georgia Southern-3.557.5L 21 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Georgia State vs Old Dominion-3.053.0L 14 - 21UN
Thu 10/17 Georgia State at Marshall+9.551.5L 20 - 35ON
Sat 10/26 Georgia State at App State+7.559.0L 26 - 33UY
Fri 11/1 Georgia State at UConn+7.048.0L 27 - 34OY
Sat 11/9 Georgia State at James Madison+14.553.5L 7 - 38UN
Sat 11/16 Georgia State vs Arkansas State-2.560.0L 20 - 27UN
Sat 11/23 Georgia State at Texas State+23.059.5W 52 - 44OY
Sat 11/30 Georgia State vs Coastal Carolina-0.552.5L 27 - 48ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 2

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule
James Madison's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 James Madison at Charlotte-6.547.5W 30 - 7UY
Sat 9/7 James Madison vs Gardner-Webb-35.550.5W 13 - 6UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 James Madison at North Carolina+10.048.0W 70 - 50OY
Sat 9/28 James Madison vs Ball State-22.056.5W 63 - 7OY
Sat 10/5 James Madison at UL Monroe-16.548.5L 19 - 21UN
Thu 10/10 James Madison vs Coastal Carolina-7.059.0W 39 - 7UY
Sat 10/19 James Madison at Georgia Southern-9.558.5L 14 - 28UN
Sat 10/26 James Madison vs Southern Miss-24.054.0W 32 - 15UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 James Madison vs Georgia State-14.553.5W 38 - 7UY
Sat 11/16 James Madison at Old Dominion-1.551.0W 35 - 32OY
Sat 11/23 James Madison at App State-7.557.5L 20 - 34UN
Sat 11/30 James Madison vs Marshall-2.552.5L 33 - 35ON
Wed 12/18 James Madison vs Western Kentucky-7.550.5W 27 - 17UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for James Madison's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST#92 (.15)41% (90)23.842% (92)2.94 (86)13441% (79)2563.85 (76)#121 (.28)48% (123)33.849% (119)46% (118)4.42 (120)49.11.61.4
JMU#88 (.16)44% (61)33.347% (29)3.28 (30)19440% (87)2163.93 (66)#4 (.03)34% (1)20.534% (5)34% (3)3.64 (53)54.80.72.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST#92 (.15)41% (90)42% (92)2.94 (86)13441% (79)2563.85 (76)#121 (.28)48% (123)49% (119)46% (118)4.42 (120)49.11.61.4
JMU#88 (.16)44% (61)47% (29)3.28 (30)19440% (87)2163.93 (66)#4 (.03)34% (1)34% (5)34% (3)3.64 (53)54.80.72.5



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Offense1223.82441.2%3.851.6213901342564.542%58%42%41%18%.15
JMU Defense1320.512.833.9%3.642.5 - - - - - 46%54%34%34%20%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Defense1233.836.547.6%4.421.4 - - - - - 58%42%49%46%14%.28
JMU Offense1333.336.343.6%3.930.7214101942164.952%48%47%40%14%.16

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia State1229:5820.736%37%5.149.11.61.441.5030.6
James Madison1331:4520.841%40%754.80.72.57.13.2632.9
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Offense1242% (118)42% (92)301344.513 (105).06 (105)2.94 (86)67% (108)10% (83)0.95 (74)
JMU Defense1346% (19)34% (5) - - - - (14)2.46 (5)65% (26)13% (15)1.07 (106)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Defense1258% (130)49% (119) - - - - .22 (115)3.36 (117)79% (104)8% (124)0.95 (51)
JMU Offense1352% (54)47% (29)39.8193.74.920 (67).17 (45)3.28 (30)72% (82)10% (61)0.98 (58)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Offense1258% (15)41% (79)22.637.4255.86.811.321 (51)13 (103).24 (78)1.6 (66)33% (98)32% (59).37 (54)7% (114)2.1 (53)
JMU Defense1354% (116)34% (3) - - - - - - 17 (5).07 (10)1.8 (118)40% (1)26% (18).16 (11)7% (24)2.3 (125)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Defense1242% (5)46% (118) - - - - - - 9 (76).38 (124)1.6 (80)29% (108)38% (125).46 (123)6% (60)1.8 (11)
JMU Offense1348% (79)40% (87)17.829.3215.97.412.228 (15)4 (1).18 (99)1.5 (103)31% (61)29% (95).26 (95)4% (18)2.1 (38)

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -22.37 #124
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 14.80 #108
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 18.69 #126
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Georgia State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Georgia State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #123

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -22.37   James Madison: 3.885

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -17.9   James Madison: 7.5




James Madison's Power Ratings
James Madison's Power Rating: 3.885 #82
James Madison's Offense Rating: 15.14 #106
James Madison's Defense Rating: 4.30 #23
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
James Madison's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
James Madison's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #41
James Madison's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #49
James Madison's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.5

Georgia State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
James Madison 39
Georgia State 15


Total Points: 54

James Madison Scoring
Offense: 33.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.3
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.8

James Madison's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09James Madison38Georgia State7James MadisonJames Madison -14.5James Madison53.5Under
202311/04Georgia State14James Madison42James MadisonJames Madison -6.0James Madison53.0Over
202211/19James Madison42Georgia State40James MadisonJames Madison -10Georgia State51.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
James Madison322 Overs
Georgia State011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 11 - 21 - 10 - 1
Road Teams1 - 22 - 11 - 01 - 1

(#124) Georgia State Info
Power Rating: -22.37 #124
Offense Rating: 14.80 #108
Defense Rating: 18.69 #126
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #123
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Georgia State has lost 5 straight
Georgia State has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (2 - 3 - 1 vs Spread )

Georgia State Notes
(11/18) Fight w/ Ark St, Rgame awful, QB great, R D awful
(11/3) Run Def mauled by UConn, Off 2 TOs cost bad
(10/17) QB Gibson OK, have some RB's (Brock/Dukes)
(10/17) Run D mauled by Marshall, 295 yds, 8 ypc
(10/13) Run Def mauled by Old D. Rgame ugly, a theme
(9/28) Run Def mauled by Ga South, Rgame 29 yds (1.9)
(9/14) Huge W over Vandy. 22 4th Q pts to steal W
(8/17) McGee hired v late (Feb 23), year 0 spot
(7/30) New HC McGee was RB/AHC at UGA for 8 years
(7/30) Complete roster TO: 32 in/ 36 out in Portal

Georgia State Highlights
Georgia State commits very few Penalties (#133)

Georgia State Deficiencies
Georgia State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Georgia State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Georgia State does not Sack the QB (#80)
Georgia State has a bad defense (#133)
Georgia State Does Not Stuff Runs (#127)
Georgia State has a bad defensive line (#127)
Georgia State has a bad red zone defense (#117)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatJMUGAST
OverallOver#19#87
OffenseOff#53#88
DefenseDef#13#99
Special TeamsST#40#44
PassingPass#73#76
RushingRush#24#37
Run BlockRBLK#18#97
Pass BlockPBLK#41#90
Route RunningWR Rt#88#73
TacklingTkl#55#31
Run DefenseR Def#16#95
Pass Rush DefPRush#22#77
Coverage DefCov#17#99

Rematch from Week 11
James Madison -14.5 (53.5)
James Madison won vs Georgia State this year (38-7)

Previous Matchups
James Madison beat Georgia State last year (38-7)
James Madison beat Georgia State in 2023 (42-14)
James Madison beat Georgia State in 2022 (42-40)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bridgeforth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: GAST | JMU
Depth Chart: GAST | JMU
Rosters: GAST | JMU
(#82) James Madison Info
Power Rating: 3.885 #82
Offense Rating: 15.14 #106
Defense Rating: 4.30 #23
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #49
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 34%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Great Run Def Success 34%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

James Madison has won 1 straight
James Madison has won 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

James Madison Notes
(12/18) Great job by staff. Lost HC/OC/DC/portals, 9-4
(12/1) 2 str WTF L's to finish, 2 OT L to Marshall
(12/1) Rgame good, 244/4.6 ypc, QB Barnett eff. Bad L
(11/25) WTF L @ App, box score W but 2 TOs, 9 flags
(11/25) 3 L's as big favorites under 1st yr Chesney, why?
(11/18) Rgame good, QB meh in close W @ ODU
(10/22) Def stop rate 77% (#7) even after shocking GaSo L
(10/20) Barnett awful in bad L (Ga So), Rgame abysmal
(10/16) Into week 8 lead nation with 17 Def TO's
(10/10) QB Barnett has 3 games with 3 TDs in 1st half

James Madison Highlights
James Madison has Really Good Running Game (#76)
James Madison has a top Offensive Line (#36)
James Madison Defense Sacks the QB a lot

James Madison has a really good defense (#2)
James Madison has a good run defense (#5)
James Madison has a good pass defense (#5)
James Madison Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#2)
James Madison Defensive Line is very good (#3)
James Madison Front 7 is disruptive (#35)
James Madison Secondary is very good (#2)
James Madison has a great TO Margin (#82)
James Madison defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

James Madison Deficiencies
James Madison Commits a Lot of Penalties (#75)
James Madison offense is not Explosive (#105)
James Madison gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#119)


  
Georgia State's OC Jim Chaney
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Christian Veilleux (Tr)16629157%204713117.0
Zach Gibson (Tr)10215168%1004726.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Freddie Brock15181985.457
Michel Dukes6336525.835
Sy'veon Wilkerson (Tr)239704.241
Christian Veilleux (Tr)287412.623
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ted Hurst (Tr)56961917.276
Dorian Fleming49558611.458
Michel Dukes4335438.226
Petey Tucker30324010.829

View Georgia State's Full Roster
Georgia State's DC Kevin Sherrer
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Johnson691016
Josiah Robinson627423
Xavier Robinson (Tr)605210
Jyron Gilmore (Tr)542011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kevin Swint4810514
Henry Bryant306421
Josiah Robinson627423
Xavier Robinson (Tr)605210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gavin Pringle342008
Jeremiah Johnson691016
Izaiah Guy300005

James Madison's OC Dean Kennedy
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Alonza Barnett21235460%25962647.3
Billy Atkins162467%181107.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
George Pettaway (Tr)16397656.031
Alonza Barnett13545073.350
Wayne Knight7744925.859
Jobi Malary (Tr)4526926.032
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omarion Dollison37633617.173
Yamir Knight52605411.668
Taylor Thompson33448613.636
Cameron Ross37443312.043

View James Madison's Full Roster
James Madison's DC Lyle Hemphill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Thomas738113
Khairi Manns (Tr)7014982
Jacob Dobbs (Tr)694320
Chris Shearin (Tr)582024
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eric O'Neill (Tr)531813163
Khairi Manns (Tr)7014982
Jacob Dobbs (Tr)694320
Trent Hendrick549331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Terrence Spence (Tr)381007
Jordan Taylor (Tr)240005
Chris Shearin (Tr)582024