Georgia State at Georgia Tech - 2024 Matchup Preview

Georgia State Panthers at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Saturday, August 31st 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Georgia Tech -20.5 (57.0) (-2100) Open: -20.5 | 57.5
Georgia Tech 35 - Georgia State: 12

Panthers (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Dell McGee (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (18 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Georgia Tech -27 (SP+ GT -20)
Projected Score: GAST: 16 - GT: 43 (59)
GT Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
GAST Travel: 3 miles

Yellow Jackets (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brent Key (11 - 10)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (39 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GAST Players
GT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Georgia State at Georgia Tech	+20.5	57.0	L 12 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/7	Georgia State vs Chattanooga	-9.5	51.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/14	Georgia State vs Vanderbilt	+8.5	45.5	W 36 - 32	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Georgia State vs Georgia Southern	-3.5	57.5	L 21 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Georgia State vs Old Dominion	-3.0	53.0	L 14 - 21	U	N
Thu 10/17	Georgia State at Marshall	+9.5	51.5	L 20 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/26	Georgia State at App State	+7.5	59.0	L 26 - 33	U	Y
Fri 11/1	Georgia State at UConn	+7.0	48.0	L 27 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Georgia State at James Madison	+14.5	53.5	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/16	Georgia State vs Arkansas State	-2.5	60.0	L 20 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/23	Georgia State at Texas State	+23.0	59.5	W 52 - 44	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Georgia State vs Coastal Carolina	-0.5	52.5	L 27 - 48	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule

Georgia Tech's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/24	Georgia Tech vs Florida State	+10.0	54.5	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Sat 8/31	Georgia Tech vs Georgia State	-20.5	57.0	W 35 - 12	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Georgia Tech at Syracuse	-2.5	60.5	L 28 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/14	Georgia Tech vs VMI	-42.5	53.5	W 59 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Georgia Tech at Louisville	+9.5	56.0	L 19 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Georgia Tech vs Duke	-10.0	52.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/12	Georgia Tech at North Carolina	-3.5	60.5	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Georgia Tech vs Notre Dame	+14.0	49.5	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/26	Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech	+11.0	52.0	L 6 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Georgia Tech vs Miami	+9.5	64.5	W 28 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/21	Georgia Tech vs NC State	-7.5	51.5	W 30 - 29	O	N
Fri 11/29	Georgia Tech at Georgia	+17.5	48.5	L 42 - 44	O	Y
Fri 12/27	Georgia Tech vs Vanderbilt	-3.0	49.0	L 27 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST	#68 (.19)	42% (72)	19.8	40% (105)	2.84 (112)	188	44% (41)	206	3.92 (65)	#94 (.22)	42% (68)	37.8	40% (43)	45% (111)	3.95 (83)	57.5	1.2	1.3
GT	#32 (.28)	45% (36)	32.2	49% (19)	3.53 (6)	204	42% (62)	221	4.27 (31)	#100 (.23)	46% (119)	25	48% (120)	44% (100)	3.83 (72)	44.8	1.6	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
GT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Offense	13	19.8	18	41.6%	3.92	1.2	20	394	188	206	4.8	55%	44%	40%	44%	15%	.19
GT Defense	13	25	22.5	45.7%	3.83	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	48%	44%	18%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Defense	13	37.8	45.3	42.1%	3.95	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	40%	45%	15%	.22
GT Offense	13	32.2	38.7	45.1%	4.27	1.6	22	425	204	221	5.4	55%	43%	49%	42%	17%	.28

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia State	13	29:26	19.5	46%	47%	6.4	57.5	1.2	1.3	5.5	2	2	29.1
Georgia Tech	13	28:39	22.2	43%	52%	5.2	44.8	1.6	1.9	4.4	1.7	0	31.2

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Offense	13	55% (29)	40% (105)	39.3	188.1	4.8	25 (37)	.15 (74)	2.84 (112)	78% (30)	11% (89)	1.16 (7)
GT Defense	13	57% (128)	48% (120)	-	-	-	-	.24 (116)	3.49 (128)	87% (129)	10% (81)	0.97 (52)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Defense	13	47% (25)	40% (43)	-	-	-	-	.15 (72)	3.05 (56)	63% (19)	10% (63)	1.06 (95)
GT Offense	13	55% (30)	49% (19)	37.8	203.8	5.4	24 (41)	.27 (12)	3.53 (6)	75% (52)	11% (78)	1.03 (49)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Offense	13	44% (104)	44% (41)	19.2	28.2	205.5	7.3	10.7	20 (70)	7 (21)	.31 (61)	1.5 (91)	31% (45)	33% (47)	.37 (58)	4% (14)	2.1 (38)
GT Defense	13	42% (5)	44% (100)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.29 (86)	1.5 (41)	29% (124)	31% (88)	.32 (73)	8% (8)	2 (65)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Defense	13	52% (106)	45% (111)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.37 (113)	1.6 (76)	33% (55)	31% (89)	.42 (114)	4% (122)	2.2 (106)
GT Offense	13	43% (107)	42% (62)	17.8	29.2	220.8	7.6	12.4	27 (25)	17 (127)	.37 (31)	1.8 (10)	30% (40)	32% (58)	.43 (36)	7% (102)	2.3 (8)

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -22.37 #124
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 14.80 #108
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 18.69 #126
2024 Talent Rating: 269.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Georgia State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Georgia State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #123

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 235.21
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -22.37 Georgia Tech: 6.93

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -17.9 Georgia Tech: 1.9

Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: 6.93 #38
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: 26.04 #14
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: 11.07 #79
2024 Talent Rating: 367.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Georgia Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Georgia Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.9 #66
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #79

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.3

Georgia State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia Tech 43
Georgia State 16

Projected Total Points: 59

Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

Georgia Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	08/31	Georgia Tech	35	Georgia State	12	Georgia Tech -20.5	Georgia Tech	57.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia Tech	1	1	0 Overs
Georgia State	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#124) GAST at (#38) GT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GAST	GT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#124	#38
SP+SP+	#123	#66
Perf GradeGrade	#120	#61
OffenseOff	#111	#48
DefenseDef	#120	#93
Spec TeamsST	#52	#7
TalentTal	#86	#52
Blue ChipsBC%	#74	#65

Georgia State Notes(11/25) Huge W vs Tex St, Off 500+ yds, Def 4 TOs
(11/18) Fight w/ Ark St, Rgame awful, QB great, R D awful
(11/3) Run Def mauled by UConn, Off 2 TOs cost bad
(10/17) QB Gibson OK, have some RB's (Brock/Dukes)
(10/17) Run D mauled by Marshall, 295 yds, 8 ypc
(10/13) Run Def mauled by Old D. Rgame ugly, a theme
(9/28) Run Def mauled by Ga South, Rgame 29 yds (1.9)
(9/14) Huge W over Vandy. 22 4th Q pts to steal W
(8/17) McGee hired v late (Feb 23), year 0 spot
(7/30) New HC McGee was RB/AHC at UGA for 8 years
(7/30) Complete roster TO: 32 in/ 36 out in Portal
(7/30) QB battle Gibson (Akron/GT) or Veilleux (Pitt)
Georgia State Injury Report

Georgia Tech Notes(11/30) 563 yds @ UGA. King was heroic, DB's hurt/bad
(11/25) Survived NC St, Rgame bad, Fr QB Philo good
(11/13) Rgame torched Miami, King ran hard, RDef great
(10/19) No Rgame w/o Haynes, 64 yds, 2.2 ypc vs ND
(10/18) QB King out vs Notre Dame. SO Pyron start
(10/13) Run Def torched by NC. Rgame 371 yds (7.7 ypc)
(9/21) Run Def great vs L'ville. Rgame had awful night
(9/8) Def torched by Cuse, 520 yds, 381 passing
(8/24) DL much better than expected vs FSU
(8/19) Huge gap between Off & Def, new DC TY
(8/19) Over bet watch. Faulkner's Off good, Def bad
(8/19) 4/5 OL return, RB Haynes great, Run game v good
Georgia Tech Injury Report

Georgia State on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	GAST Off	GT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#111	#93
SuccessSuc	#72	#119
ExplosiveExp	#41	#18
PPAPPA	#68	#100
PowerPwr	#108	#79
SP+SP+	#106	#79
Pts POPPO	#65	#72
HavocHav	#59	#34

Georgia State Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	GAST Off	GT Def
Run GameRun	#53	#67
Run SuccessRSuc	#105	#120
Run ExplRExp	#7	#52
PPAExp	#74	#116
Run BlockR Blk	#125	-
OL YdsOLY	#112	#128
Stuff RateStuff	#77	#106
TackleTak	-	#124

Georgia State Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	GAST Off	GT Def
Pass GamePass	#96	#100
Pass SuccessPSuc	#41	#100
Pass ExplPExl	#91	#41
PPAExp	#61	#86
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#106	#115
F7 HavocF7	#89	#81
DB HavocDB	#14	#8

Georgia Tech on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	GT Off	GAST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#48	#120
SuccessSuc	#36	#68
ExplosiveExp	#29	#109
PPAPPA	#32	#94
PowerPwr	#14	#126
SP+SP+	#42	#123
Pts POPPO	#31	#83
HavocHav	#92	#105

Georgia Tech Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	GT Off	GAST Def
Run GameRun	#84	#120
Run SuccessRSuc	#19	#43
Run ExplRExp	#49	#95
PPAExp	#12	#72
Run BlockR Blk	#82	-
OL YdsOLY	#6	#56
Stuff RateStuff	#20	#36
TackleTak	-	#34

Georgia Tech Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	GT Off	GAST Def
Pass GamePass	#15	#122
Pass SuccessPSuc	#62	#111
Pass ExplPExl	#10	#76
PPAExp	#31	#113
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#25	#90
F7 HavocF7	#78	#63
DB HavocDB	#102	#122

Program Comparison
GT 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'24 Profile: Remains Top G5

GAST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'24 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stadium at Historic Grant Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Georgia Tech -20.5 (57.0)
Georgia Tech won vs Georgia State this year (35-12)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Tech beat Georgia State in 2024 (35-12)

GAST's OC Jim Chaney (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Christian Veilleux (Tr)	166	291	57%	2047	13	11	7.0
Zach Gibson (Tr)	102	151	68%	1004	7	2	6.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Freddie Brock	151	819	8	5.4	57
Michel Dukes	63	365	2	5.8	35
Sy'veon Wilkerson (Tr)	23	97	0	4.2	41
Christian Veilleux (Tr)	28	74	1	2.6	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ted Hurst (Tr)	56	961	9	17.2	76
Dorian Fleming	49	558	6	11.4	58
Michel Dukes	43	354	3	8.2	26
Petey Tucker	30	324	0	10.8	29

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC Kevin Sherrer (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jeremiah Johnson	69	1	0	1	6
Josiah Robinson	62	7	4	2	3
Xavier Robinson (Tr)	60	5	2	1	0
Jyron Gilmore (Tr)	54	2	0	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kevin Swint	48	10	5	1	4
Henry Bryant	30	6	4	2	1
Josiah Robinson	62	7	4	2	3
Xavier Robinson (Tr)	60	5	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Gavin Pringle	34	2	0	8
Jeremiah Johnson	69	1	1	6
Izaiah Guy	30	0	0	5

GT's OC Buster Faulkner (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Haynes King	196	269	73%	2114	14	2	7.9
Aaron Philo	38	74	51%	565	1	2	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jamal Haynes	168	944	9	5.6	68
Haynes King	126	577	11	4.6	30
Chad Alexander	58	280	1	4.8	28
Eric Singleton Jr.	21	131	1	6.2	35

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eric Singleton Jr.	56	754	3	13.5	57
Malik Rutherford	62	702	3	11.3	52
Avery Boyd	25	316	2	12.6	33
Chase Lane	24	283	3	11.8	32

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster

GT's DC Tyler Santucci (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Efford	64	6	3	1	1
Ahmari Harvey	62	3	0	0	2
Trenilyas Tatum	55	6	2	0	2
Clayton Powell-Lee	53	2	1	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Efford	64	6	3	1	1
Sylvain Yondjouen	24	6	3	7	5
Romello Height (Tr)	34	7	3	4	0
Trenilyas Tatum	55	6	2	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sylvain Yondjouen	24	6	3	7	5
Warren Burrell (Tr)	27	0	0	0	4
Rodney Shelley	19	5	0	1	4