Georgia State at Georgia Tech - 2024 Matchup Preview

Georgia State Panthers at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Saturday, August 31st 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Georgia Tech -20.5 (57.0) (-2100) Open: -20.5 | 57.5
Georgia Tech 35 - Georgia State: 12

Panthers (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Dell McGee (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 34 (24 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Georgia Tech -27 (SP+ GT -20)
Projected Score: GAST: 15 - GT: 42 (56)
GT Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
GAST Travel: 3 miles

Yellow Jackets (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brent Key (11 - 10)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (35 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GAST Players
GT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Georgia State at Georgia Tech	+20.5	57.0	L 12 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/7	Georgia State vs Chattanooga	-9.5	51.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/14	Georgia State vs Vanderbilt	+8.5	45.5	W 36 - 32	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Georgia State vs Georgia Southern	-3.5	57.5	L 21 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Georgia State vs Old Dominion	-3.0	53.0	L 14 - 21	U	N
Thu 10/17	Georgia State at Marshall	+9.5	51.5	L 20 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/26	Georgia State at App State	+7.5	59.0	L 26 - 33	U	Y
Fri 11/1	Georgia State at UConn	+7.0	48.0	L 27 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Georgia State at James Madison	+14.5	53.5	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/16	Georgia State vs Arkansas State	-2.5	60.0	L 20 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/23	Georgia State at Texas State	+23.0	59.5	W 52 - 44	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Georgia State vs Coastal Carolina	-0.5	52.5	L 27 - 48	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule

Georgia Tech's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/24	Georgia Tech vs Florida State	+10.0	54.5	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Sat 8/31	Georgia Tech vs Georgia State	-20.5	57.0	W 35 - 12	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Georgia Tech at Syracuse	-2.5	60.5	L 28 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/14	Georgia Tech vs VMI	-42.5	53.5	W 59 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Georgia Tech at Louisville	+9.5	56.0	L 19 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Georgia Tech vs Duke	-10.0	52.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/12	Georgia Tech at North Carolina	-3.5	60.5	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Georgia Tech vs Notre Dame	+14.0	49.5	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/26	Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech	+11.0	52.0	L 6 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Georgia Tech vs Miami	+9.5	64.5	W 28 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/21	Georgia Tech vs NC State	-7.5	51.5	W 30 - 29	O	N
Fri 11/29	Georgia Tech at Georgia	+17.5	48.5	L 42 - 44	O	Y
Fri 12/27	Georgia Tech vs Vanderbilt	-3.0	49.0	L 27 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST	#68 (.19)	42% (72)	23.8	40% (105)	2.84 (112)	188	44% (41)	206	3.92 (65)	#94 (.22)	42% (68)	33.8	40% (43)	45% (111)	3.95 (83)	57.5	1.2	1.3
GT	#32 (.28)	45% (36)	28.9	49% (19)	3.53 (6)	204	42% (62)	221	4.27 (31)	#100 (.23)	46% (119)	25.6	48% (120)	44% (100)	3.83 (72)	44.8	1.6	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
GT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Offense	13	23.8	24	41.6%	3.92	1.2	20	394	188	206	4.8	55%	44%	40%	44%	15%	.19
GT Defense	13	25.6	17	45.7%	3.83	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	48%	44%	18%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Defense	13	33.8	36.5	42.1%	3.95	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	40%	45%	15%	.22
GT Offense	13	28.9	35.2	45.1%	4.27	1.6	22	425	204	221	5.4	55%	43%	49%	42%	17%	.28

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia State	13	29:26	19.5	46%	47%	6.4	57.5	1.2	1.3	5.5	2	2	29.1
Georgia Tech	13	28:39	22.2	43%	52%	5.2	44.8	1.6	1.9	4.4	1.7	0	31.2

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Offense	13	55% (29)	40% (105)	39.3	188.1	4.8	25 (37)	.15 (74)	2.84 (112)	78% (30)	11% (89)	1.16 (7)
GT Defense	13	57% (128)	48% (120)	-	-	-	-	.24 (116)	3.49 (128)	87% (129)	10% (81)	0.97 (52)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Defense	13	47% (25)	40% (43)	-	-	-	-	.15 (72)	3.05 (56)	63% (19)	10% (63)	1.06 (95)
GT Offense	13	55% (30)	49% (19)	37.8	203.8	5.4	24 (41)	.27 (12)	3.53 (6)	75% (52)	11% (78)	1.03 (49)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Offense	13	44% (104)	44% (41)	19.2	28.2	205.5	7.3	10.7	20 (70)	7 (21)	.31 (61)	1.5 (91)	31% (45)	33% (47)	.37 (58)	4% (14)	2.1 (38)
GT Defense	13	42% (5)	44% (100)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.29 (86)	1.5 (41)	29% (124)	31% (88)	.32 (73)	8% (8)	2 (65)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Defense	13	52% (106)	45% (111)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.37 (113)	1.6 (76)	33% (55)	31% (89)	.42 (114)	4% (122)	2.2 (106)
GT Offense	13	43% (107)	42% (62)	17.8	29.2	220.8	7.6	12.4	27 (25)	17 (127)	.37 (31)	1.8 (10)	30% (40)	32% (58)	.43 (36)	7% (102)	2.3 (8)

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -22.37 #124
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 14.80 #108
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 18.69 #126
2024 Talent Rating: 546.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Georgia State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Georgia State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #123

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -22.37 Georgia Tech: 6.93

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -17.9 Georgia Tech: 1.9

Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: 6.93 #38
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: 26.04 #14
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: 11.07 #79
2024 Talent Rating: 728.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Georgia Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Georgia Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.9 #66
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #79

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.5

Georgia State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia Tech 42
Georgia State 15

Projected Total Points: 56

Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.2
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Georgia Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	08/31	Georgia Tech	35	Georgia State	12	Georgia Tech	Georgia Tech -20.5	Georgia Tech	57.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia Tech	1	1	0 Overs
Georgia State	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#124) Georgia State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -22.37 #124
Offense Rating: 14.80 #108
Defense Rating: 18.69 #126
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4 #123
Talent Rating: 546.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Georgia State Notes
(11/18) Fight w/ Ark St, Rgame awful, QB great, R D awful
(11/3) Run Def mauled by UConn, Off 2 TOs cost bad
(10/17) QB Gibson OK, have some RB's (Brock/Dukes)
(10/17) Run D mauled by Marshall, 295 yds, 8 ypc
(10/13) Run Def mauled by Old D. Rgame ugly, a theme
(9/28) Run Def mauled by Ga South, Rgame 29 yds (1.9)
(9/14) Huge W over Vandy. 22 4th Q pts to steal W
(8/17) McGee hired v late (Feb 23), year 0 spot
(7/30) New HC McGee was RB/AHC at UGA for 8 years
(7/30) Complete roster TO: 32 in/ 36 out in Portal

Georgia State Ratings Matchup Georgia Tech

Power #124

#38

Off #108

#14

Def #126

#79

Talent #86

#52

SP+ #123

#66

SP+ Off #106

#42

SP+ Def #123

#79

Rematch from Week 1
Georgia Tech -20.5 (57.0)
Georgia Tech won vs Georgia State this year (35-12)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Tech beat Georgia State last year (35-12)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stadium at Historic Grant Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 77°

Team Information
Injuries: GAST | GT
Depth Chart: GAST | GT
Rosters: GAST | GT

(#38) Georgia Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.93 #38
Offense Rating: 26.04 #14
Defense Rating: 11.07 #79
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.9 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #79
Talent Rating: 728.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.25 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Georgia Tech Notes
(11/25) Survived NC St, Rgame bad, Fr QB Philo good
(11/13) Rgame torched Miami, King ran hard, RDef great
(10/19) No Rgame w/o Haynes, 64 yds, 2.2 ypc vs ND
(10/18) QB King out vs Notre Dame. SO Pyron start
(10/13) Run Def torched by NC. Rgame 371 yds (7.7 ypc)
(9/21) Run Def great vs L'ville. Rgame had awful night
(9/8) Def torched by Cuse, 520 yds, 381 passing
(8/24) DL much better than expected vs FSU
(8/19) Huge gap between Off & Def, new DC TY
(8/19) Over bet watch. Faulkner's Off good, Def bad

Georgia State's OC Jim Chaney

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Christian Veilleux (Tr)	166	291	57%	2047	13	11	7.0
Zach Gibson (Tr)	102	151	68%	1004	7	2	6.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Freddie Brock	151	819	8	5.4	57
Michel Dukes	63	365	2	5.8	35
Sy'veon Wilkerson (Tr)	23	97	0	4.2	41
Christian Veilleux (Tr)	28	74	1	2.6	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ted Hurst (Tr)	56	961	9	17.2	76
Dorian Fleming	49	558	6	11.4	58
Michel Dukes	43	354	3	8.2	26
Petey Tucker	30	324	0	10.8	29

View Georgia State's Full Roster

Georgia State's DC Kevin Sherrer

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jeremiah Johnson	69	1	0	1	6
Josiah Robinson	62	7	4	2	3
Xavier Robinson (Tr)	60	5	2	1	0
Jyron Gilmore (Tr)	54	2	0	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Henry Bryant	30	6	4	2	1
Josiah Robinson	62	7	4	2	3
Xavier Robinson (Tr)	60	5	2	1	0
K.D. McDaniel (Tr)	42	3	2	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jeremiah Johnson	69	1	0	1	6
Izaiah Guy	30	0	0	0	5
Josiah Robinson	62	7	4	2	3

Georgia Tech's OC Buster Faulkner

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Haynes King	196	269	73%	2114	14	2	7.9
Aaron Philo	38	74	51%	565	1	2	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jamal Haynes	168	944	9	5.6	68
Haynes King	126	577	11	4.6	30
Chad Alexander	58	280	1	4.8	28
Eric Singleton Jr.	21	131	1	6.2	35

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eric Singleton Jr.	56	754	3	13.5	57
Malik Rutherford	62	702	3	11.3	52
Bailey Stockton	17	206	1	12.1	27
Jackson Hawes (Tr)	16	195	0	12.2	33

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster

Georgia Tech's DC Tyler Santucci

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Efford	64	6	3	1	1
Ahmari Harvey	62	3	0	0	2
Clayton Powell-Lee	53	2	1	1	3
Omar Daniels	51	3	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Efford	64	6	3	1	1
Romello Height (Tr)	34	7	3	4	0
Syeed Gibbs (Tr)	22	4	1	0	1
Jordan van den Berg (Tr)	23	5	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Warren Burrell (Tr)	27	0	0	0	4
Rodney Shelley	19	5	0	1	4
Clayton Powell-Lee	53	2	1	1	3