Georgia Southern at Georgia State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Georgia Southern logo Georgia Southern Eagles at Georgia State PanthersGeorgia State logo
Saturday, September 28th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Georgia State -3.5 (57.5) (-155)  Open: -1.0
Georgia Southern 38 - Georgia State: 21  (Sun Belt)

 
Eagles (8 - 5) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Clay Helton (12 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (25 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
GASO 2nd straight Road Game
GAST coming off BYE
GASO is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Georgia Southern -12.5  (SP+ GASO -16)

Projected Score: GASO: 34 - GAST: 22 (56)
GAST Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
GASO Travel: 176 miles
Panthers (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Dell McGee (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 34 (24 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Georgia Southern's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Georgia Southern vs Boise State+13.057.5L 45 - 56OY
Sat 9/7 Georgia Southern at Nevada+1.556.5W 20 - 17UY
Sat 9/14 Georgia Southern vs South Carolina State-27.552.5W 42 - 14OY
Sat 9/21 Georgia Southern at Ole Miss+35.068.5L 13 - 52UN
Sat 9/28 Georgia Southern at Georgia State+3.557.5W 38 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Georgia Southern vs Marshall-1.058.5W 24 - 23UN
Sat 10/19 Georgia Southern vs James Madison+9.558.5W 28 - 14UY
Thu 10/24 Georgia Southern at Old Dominion-1.052.0L 19 - 47ON
Sat 11/2 Georgia Southern at South Alabama+5.560.0W 34 - 30OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Georgia Southern vs Troy-7.054.0L 20 - 28UN
Sat 11/23 Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina+2.059.5W 26 - 6UY
Sat 11/30 Georgia Southern vs App State-2.560.5W 29 - 20UY
Thu 12/19 Georgia Southern vs Sam Houston-3.548.0L 26 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Southern's Schedule
Georgia State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Georgia State at Georgia Tech+20.557.0L 12 - 35UN
Sat 9/7 Georgia State vs Chattanooga-9.551.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 9/14 Georgia State vs Vanderbilt+8.545.5W 36 - 32OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Georgia State vs Georgia Southern-3.557.5L 21 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Georgia State vs Old Dominion-3.053.0L 14 - 21UN
Thu 10/17 Georgia State at Marshall+9.551.5L 20 - 35ON
Sat 10/26 Georgia State at App State+7.559.0L 26 - 33UY
Fri 11/1 Georgia State at UConn+7.048.0L 27 - 34OY
Sat 11/9 Georgia State at James Madison+14.553.5L 7 - 38UN
Sat 11/16 Georgia State vs Arkansas State-2.560.0L 20 - 27UN
Sat 11/23 Georgia State at Texas State+23.059.5W 52 - 44OY
Sat 11/30 Georgia State vs Coastal Carolina-0.552.5L 27 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GASO#68 (.19)43% (65)2846% (44)2.84 (101)12840% (85)2384.57 (17)#105 (.23)45% (108)27.647% (109)44% (102)3.81 (71)48.31.71.5
GAST#92 (.15)41% (90)23.842% (92)2.94 (86)13441% (79)2563.85 (76)#121 (.28)48% (123)33.849% (119)46% (118)4.42 (120)49.11.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GASO#68 (.19)43% (65)46% (44)2.84 (101)12840% (85)2384.57 (17)#105 (.23)45% (108)47% (109)44% (102)3.81 (71)48.31.71.5
GAST#92 (.15)41% (90)42% (92)2.94 (86)13441% (79)2563.85 (76)#121 (.28)48% (123)49% (119)46% (118)4.42 (120)49.11.61.4



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GASO Offense13282542.9%4.571.7223661282383.846%53%46%40%17%.19
GAST Defense1233.831.247.6%4.421.4 - - - - - 58%42%49%46%14%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GASO Defense1327.628.845.5%3.811.5 - - - - - 47%53%47%44%14%.23
GAST Offense1223.823.741.2%3.851.6213901342564.542%58%42%41%18%.15

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia Southern1330:0921.845%75%5.648.31.71.54.61.6127.7
Georgia State1229:5820.736%37%5.149.11.61.441.5030.6
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GASO Offense1346% (95)46% (44)33.8128.23.824 (45).15 (57)2.84 (101)78% (36)11% (94)0.99 (57)
GAST Defense1258% (130)49% (119) - - - - .22 (115)3.36 (117)79% (104)8% (124)0.95 (51)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GASO Defense1347% (27)47% (109) - - - - .18 (99)3.1 (87)72% (60)8% (106)1 (79)
GAST Offense1242% (118)42% (92)301344.513 (105).06 (105)2.94 (86)67% (108)10% (83)0.95 (74)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GASO Offense1353% (39)40% (85)22.234.2237.8710.721 (51)11 (72).23 (86)1.5 (84)31% (60)33% (48).39 (43)6% (65)2 (90)
GAST Defense1242% (5)46% (118) - - - - - - 9 (76).38 (124)1.6 (80)29% (108)38% (125).46 (123)6% (60)1.8 (11)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GASO Defense1353% (108)44% (102) - - - - - - 13 (31).28 (97)1.5 (52)31% (89)32% (94).35 (89)5% (100)2 (54)
GAST Offense1258% (15)41% (79)22.637.4255.86.811.321 (51)13 (103).24 (78)1.6 (66)33% (98)32% (59).37 (54)7% (114)2.1 (53)

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -8.83  #96
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 20.12  #66
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 14.04  #102
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2%  #82
Georgia Southern's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Georgia Southern's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.7  #76
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5  #72
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1  #90

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -8.83   Georgia State: -17.635

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -1.7   Georgia State: -17.9




Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -17.635  #124
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 14.80  #108
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 18.69  #126
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #74
Georgia State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Georgia State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9  #123
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0  #106
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4  #123

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Georgia Southern's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia Southern 34
Georgia State 22


Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia State 29
Georgia Southern 24

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Georgia Southern 30
Georgia State 26

Total Points: 56
Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.7
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.2

Georgia State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Georgia Southern41Georgia State24Georgia Southern -6.5Georgia Southern58.5Over
202409/28Georgia State21Georgia Southern38Georgia State -3.5Georgia Southern57.5Over
202310/26Georgia Southern44Georgia State27Georgia State -1.0Georgia Southern63.0Over
202210/08Georgia State41Georgia Southern33Georgia State -2.5Georgia State67.5Over
202110/30Georgia Southern14Georgia State21Georgia State -6Georgia State55.0Under
202011/28Georgia State30Georgia Southern24Georgia State -2.5Georgia State51.5Over
201911/30Georgia Southern38Georgia State10Georgia Southern -6.5Georgia Southern56.0Under
201811/24Georgia State14Georgia Southern35Georgia Southern -10Georgia Southern60.0Under
201711/04Georgia Southern17Georgia State21Georgia State -5.5Georgia Southern50.5Under
201611/19Georgia State30Georgia Southern24Georgia Southern -3.5Georgia State47.5Over
201512/05Georgia Southern7Georgia State34Georgia Southern -22Georgia State57.0Under
201410/25Georgia State31Georgia Southern69Georgia Southern -15Georgia Southern0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia State656 Overs
Georgia Southern675 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 67 - 54 - 23 - 3
Road Teams6 - 65 - 73 - 32 - 4

(#96) GASO at (#124) GAST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatGASOGAST
Power RatePwr #96 #124
SP+SP+ #76 #123
Perf GradeGrade #95 #120
OffenseOff #96 #111
DefenseDef #90 #120
Spec TeamsST #74 #52
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #82 #74
Georgia Southern Notes
(11/25) Big W @ Coastal. Beat App & help=SBC title
(11/25) French torced CC, Rgame awful, Def 3 INTs in W
(11/18) Bad L vs Troy, Rgame awful, Pass D awful
(11/3) Big W (S. Al), Outgained (100+) but forced 2 TOs
(10/24) Killed by ODU, gave up 500+ yds, 250+ rushing
(10/20) Rgame 190 (4.8 ypc), Def great in JMU upset
(10/18) QB French (concussion) cleared for JMU game
(10/13) Rgame bad vs Marshall, 21 pt 4Q comeback W
(9/28) Rgame 261 (5.4), French good vs Ga St.
(9/1) Good fight vs Boise, QB French good. Def awful
(8/17) Big year for Helton, need progress
(7/30) QB battle, Williams (IU) vs French, WR look good
Georgia Southern Injury Report
Georgia State Notes
(11/25) Huge W vs Tex St, Off 500+ yds, Def 4 TOs
(11/18) Fight w/ Ark St, Rgame awful, QB great, R D awful
(11/3) Run Def mauled by UConn, Off 2 TOs cost bad
(10/17) QB Gibson OK, have some RB's (Brock/Dukes)
(10/17) Run D mauled by Marshall, 295 yds, 8 ypc
(10/13) Run Def mauled by Old D. Rgame ugly, a theme
(9/28) Run Def mauled by Ga South, Rgame 29 yds (1.9)
(9/14) Huge W over Vandy. 22 4th Q pts to steal W
(8/17) McGee hired v late (Feb 23), year 0 spot
(7/30) New HC McGee was RB/AHC at UGA for 8 years
(7/30) Complete roster TO: 32 in/ 36 out in Portal
(7/30) QB battle Gibson (Akron/GT) or Veilleux (Pitt)
Georgia State Injury Report
Georgia Southern on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
GASO OffGAST Def
Perf GradePerf #96 #120
SuccessSuc #65 #123
ExplosiveExp #77 #46
PPAPPA #68 #121
PowerPwr #66 #126
SP+SP+ #72 #123
Pts POPPO #17 #120
HavocHav #87 #109
Georgia Southern Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
GASO OffGAST Def
Run GameRun #80 #120
Run SuccessRSuc #44 #119
Run ExplRExp #57 #51
PPAExp #57 #115
Run BlockR Blk #114 -
OL YdsOLY #101 #117
Stuff RateStuff #98 #111
TackleTak -  #34
Georgia Southern Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
GASO OffGAST Def
Pass GamePass #87 #122
Pass SuccessPSuc #85 #118
Pass ExplPExl #84 #80
PPAExp #86 #124
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #23 #90
F7 HavocF7 #94 #124
DB HavocDB #65 #60
Georgia State on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCatGAST OffGASO Def
Perf GradePerf #111 #90
SuccessSuc #90 #108
ExplosiveExp #46 #70
PPAPPA #92 #105
PowerPwr #108 #102
SP+SP+ #106 #90
Pts POPPO #76 #71
HavocHav #108 #110
Georgia State Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
GAST OffGASO Def
Run GameRun #53 #84
Run SuccessRSuc #92 #109
Run ExplRExp #74 #79
PPAExp #105 #99
Run BlockR Blk #125 -
OL YdsOLY #86 #87
Stuff RateStuff #94 #52
TackleTak -  #64
Georgia State Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCatGAST OffGASO Def
Pass GamePass #96 #77
Pass SuccessPSuc #79 #102
Pass ExplPExl #66 #52
PPAExp #78 #97
Pass Block/RushP Blk #106 #89
F7 HavocF7 #83 #106
DB HavocDB #114 #100
Program Comparison
GAST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

GASO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia State Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 76° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 5
Georgia State -3.5 (57.5)
Georgia Southern won at Georgia State this year (38-21)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Southern beat Georgia State last year (38-21)
Georgia Southern beat Georgia State in 2023 (44-27)
Georgia State beat Georgia Southern in 2022 (41-33)

  
GASO's OC Ryan Aplin (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
JC French26941066%283117116.9
Dexter Williams II (Tr)193063%248308.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen White164745144.549
OJ Arnold6231535.132
JC French11823822.019
David Mbadinga5822933.929
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Derwin Burgess Jr.59659311.248
Josh Dallas46614613.359
Dalen Cobb52599411.555
LV Bunkley-Shelton (Tr)30322010.734

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

GASO's DC Brandon Bailey (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marques Watson-Trent1188221
Davon Gilmore625341
Jusfin Meyers613111
Chance Gamble (Tr)482007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davon Gilmore625341
Davion Rhodes226310
Elhadj Fall205311
Marc Stampley II422207
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chance Gamble (Tr)482007
Marc Stampley II422207
Isaac Walker234233

GAST's OC Jim Chaney (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Christian Veilleux (Tr)16629157%204713117.0
Zach Gibson (Tr)10215168%1004726.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Freddie Brock15181985.457
Michel Dukes6336525.835
Sy'veon Wilkerson (Tr)239704.241
Christian Veilleux (Tr)287412.623
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ted Hurst (Tr)56961917.276
Dorian Fleming49558611.458
Michel Dukes4335438.226
Petey Tucker30324010.829

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC Kevin Sherrer (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Johnson691016
Josiah Robinson627423
Xavier Robinson (Tr)605210
Jyron Gilmore (Tr)542011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kevin Swint4810514
Henry Bryant306421
Josiah Robinson627423
Xavier Robinson (Tr)605210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gavin Pringle342008
Jeremiah Johnson691016
Izaiah Guy300005