Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Utah State Aggies
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (3:00 PM EST)
Hawai'i -2.5 (62.0) (-130) Open: -3.0
Utah State 55 - Hawai'i: 10 (Mountain West)
Rainbow Warriors (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Timmy Chang (8 - 18)
Avg Score : 22 - 26 (16 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Coach Timmy Chang (8 - 18)
Avg Score : 22 - 26 (16 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
HAW is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Hawai'i -0.5 (SP+ USU -1)
Projected Score: HAW: 31 - USU: 30 (59)
HAW Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
HAW Travel: 3010 miles, 4 hrs behind
Our Line: Hawai'i -0.5 (SP+ USU -1)
Projected Score: HAW: 31 - USU: 30 (59)
HAW Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
HAW Travel: 3010 miles, 4 hrs behind
Aggies (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Nate Dreiling (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (39 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Coach Nate Dreiling (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (39 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
| Hawai'i's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/24 | Hawai'i vs Delaware State | -38.5 | 57.5 | W 35 - 14 | U | N | |
| Sat 8/31 | Hawai'i vs UCLA | +13.5 | 55.5 | L 13 - 16 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/14 | Hawai'i at Sam Houston | +3.5 | 48.5 | L 13 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Hawai'i vs Northern Iowa | -10.0 | 46.0 | W 36 - 7 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Hawai'i at San Diego State | +1.5 | 47.5 | L 24 - 27 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Hawai'i vs Boise State | +21.0 | 60.0 | L 7 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Hawai'i at Washington State | +18.5 | 55.5 | L 10 - 42 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Hawai'i vs Nevada | -2.5 | 42.0 | W 34 - 13 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Hawai'i at Fresno State | +12.0 | 45.5 | W 21 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Hawai'i vs UNLV | +12.0 | 51.5 | L 27 - 29 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Hawai'i at Utah State | -2.5 | 62.0 | L 10 - 55 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/30 | Hawai'i vs New Mexico | +6.5 | 61.5 | W 38 - 30 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
| Utah State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Utah State vs Robert Morris | -18.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Utah State at USC | +30.5 | 62.5 | L 0 - 48 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Utah State vs Utah | +20.5 | 43.5 | L 21 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Utah State at Temple | -6.5 | 53.5 | L 29 - 45 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Utah State at Boise State | +28.0 | 66.5 | L 30 - 62 | O | N | |
| Fri 10/11 | Utah State vs UNLV | +19.0 | 67.5 | L 34 - 50 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Utah State vs New Mexico | +1.0 | 78.5 | L 45 - 50 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Utah State at Wyoming | -2.5 | 57.0 | W 27 - 25 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Utah State at Washington State | +20.5 | 69.0 | L 28 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Utah State vs Hawai'i | +2.5 | 62.0 | W 55 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Utah State vs San Diego State | -5.0 | 60.0 | W 41 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Fri 11/29 | Utah State at Colorado State | +5.5 | 56.5 | L 37 - 42 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAW | #94 (.14) | 41% (82) | 22.3 | 40% (98) | 2.79 (119) | 76 | 42% (64) | 276 | 3.22 (111) | #102 (.24) | 43% (84) | 26 | 44% (77) | 43% (88) | 4.14 (101) | 56.4 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| USU | #50 (.22) | 42% (67) | 31.9 | 45% (52) | 3.36 (19) | 184 | 42% (68) | 254 | 3.27 (109) | #98 (.23) | 45% (114) | 37.8 | 49% (124) | 43% (82) | 4.41 (119) | 70.8 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAW | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| USU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAW Offense | 13 | 22.3 | 15.6 | 41% | 3.22 | 1.8 | 19 | 352 | 76 | 276 | 3.1 | 34% | 65% | 40% | 42% | 18% | .14 |
| USU Defense | 13 | 37.8 | 30.3 | 45.4% | 4.41 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 45% | 49% | 43% | 18% | .23 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAW Defense | 13 | 26 | 35 | 43.2% | 4.14 | 1.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 57% | 43% | 44% | 43% | 16% | .24 |
| USU Offense | 13 | 31.9 | 38.7 | 42.2% | 3.27 | 1.9 | 22 | 439 | 184 | 254 | 4.8 | 48% | 50% | 45% | 42% | 20% | .22 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawai'i | 13 | 29:39 | 19.3 | 37% | 52% | 6.2 | 56.4 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5.2 | 1.7 | 0 | 29.1 |
| Utah State | 13 | 26:56 | 21.7 | 36% | 56% | 7.5 | 70.8 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 29.2 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAW Offense | 13 | 34% (133) | 40% (98) | 24.9 | 76.1 | 3.1 | 6 (133) | .09 (103) | 2.79 (119) | 62% (126) | 11% (90) | 1 (67) |
| USU Defense | 13 | 54% (113) | 49% (124) | - | - | - | - | .18 (93) | 3.1 (68) | 83% (118) | 11% (39) | 0.93 (34) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAW Defense | 13 | 57% (127) | 44% (77) | - | - | - | - | .17 (87) | 3.16 (83) | 75% (82) | 10% (66) | 1.06 (94) |
| USU Offense | 13 | 48% (89) | 45% (52) | 38.2 | 184.5 | 4.8 | 18 (77) | .21 (33) | 3.36 (19) | 77% (40) | 12% (104) | 1 (68) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAW Offense | 13 | 65% (2) | 42% (64) | 25.9 | 41.3 | 276.4 | 6.7 | 10.7 | 27 (25) | 15 (116) | .2 (94) | 1.5 (104) | 34% (96) | 32% (62) | .33 (69) | 7% (100) | 2 (84) |
| USU Defense | 13 | 45% (22) | 43% (82) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (67) | .31 (95) | 1.6 (71) | 30% (108) | 31% (77) | .31 (70) | 7% (23) | 1.9 (32) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAW Defense | 13 | 43% (7) | 43% (88) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (111) | .38 (114) | 1.7 (110) | 31% (89) | 31% (80) | .4 (107) | 6% (58) | 2.1 (84) |
| USU Offense | 13 | 50% (56) | 42% (68) | 20.7 | 33.5 | 254.2 | 7.6 | 12.3 | 35 (7) | 19 (131) | .34 (48) | 1.8 (19) | 33% (87) | 33% (53) | .42 (40) | 8% (122) | 2.2 (30) |
Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -5.14 #84
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 22.60 #45
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 9.27 #68
2024 Talent Rating: 422.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Hawai'i's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Hawai'i's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.9 #107
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #108
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #89
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -5.14 #84
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 22.60 #45
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 9.27 #68
2024 Talent Rating: 422.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Hawai'i's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Hawai'i's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.9 #107
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #108
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #89
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Power Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -5.14 Utah State: -8.715
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -10.9 Utah State: -10.4
Hawai'i: -5.14 Utah State: -8.715
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -10.9 Utah State: -10.4
Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -8.715 #105
Utah State's Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Utah State's Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
2024 Talent Rating: 408.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Utah State's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Utah State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Utah State's Power Rating: -8.715 #105
Utah State's Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Utah State's Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
2024 Talent Rating: 408.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Utah State's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Utah State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.6
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense on Road: 35
Hawai'i's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.6
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense on Road: 35
Hawai'i's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Hawai'i 31
Utah State 30
Projected Total Points: 59
Hawai'i 31
Utah State 30
Projected Total Points: 59
Utah State Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3
Utah State's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3
Utah State's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/16 | Utah State | 55 | Hawai'i | 10 | Utah State | Hawai'i -2.5 | Utah State | 62.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 11/12 | Hawai'i | 34 | Utah State | 41 | Utah State | Utah State -10 | Hawai'i | 55.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/30 | Utah State | 51 | Hawai'i | 31 | Utah State | Utah State -3.5 | Utah State | 66.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/03 | Hawai'i | 17 | Utah State | 56 | Utah State | Utah State -19 | Utah State | 71.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 11/18 | Utah State | 38 | Hawai'i | 0 | Utah State | Utah State -10.5 | Utah State | 56.5 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/01 | Hawai'i | 14 | Utah State | 35 | Utah State | Utah State -3 | Utah State | 41.5 | Over |
| 2013 | 11/02 | Utah State | 47 | Hawai'i | 10 | Utah State | Utah State -21 | Utah State | 0 | |
| 2011 | 11/06 | Hawai'i | 31 | Utah State | 35 | Utah State | ||||
| 2010 | 10/23 | Utah State | 7 | Hawai'i | 45 | Hawai'i | ||||
| 2009 | 11/07 | Hawai'i | 49 | Utah State | 36 | Hawai'i | ||||
| 2008 | 11/01 | Utah State | 30 | Hawai'i | 14 | Utah State | ||||
| 2007 | 10/07 | Hawai'i | 52 | Utah State | 37 | Hawai'i | ||||
| 2006 | 11/04 | Utah State | 10 | Hawai'i | 63 | Hawai'i | ||||
| 2005 | 11/12 | Hawai'i | 50 | Utah State | 23 | Hawai'i |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utah State | 9 | 6 | 5 Overs |
| Hawai'i | 5 | 1 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 8 - 6 | 5 - 2 | 3 - 0 | 2 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 6 - 8 | 2 - 5 | 2 - 2 | 0 - 3 |
(#84) Hawai'i Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.14 #84
Offense Rating: 22.60 #45
Defense Rating: 9.27 #68
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.9 #107
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #108
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #89
Talent Rating: 422.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.81 PPO
Avg Run Success 46%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Hawai'i Notes
(11/3) 2 straight W's, big upset of Fresno. Corner turn?
(11/3) QB Schager was OK, Def outstanding in Fresno W
(10/27) Still Pass 64% Rgame good, 246 yds, 6.3 ypc (Nev)
(10/4) Off awful vs FBS so far. Def has been v good
(8/11) Star WR McBride suspended indefinitely
(7/30) Chang has most exp'd team and needs a good year
(7/30) 15 returning starters. QB Schager JAG+ / mobility
(7/30) WR's really good, OL exp'd, RB's meh
(7/30) 2 FCS games, need 7 wins to bowl in '24
(7/30) Def is exp'd and MW avg LY.
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.14 #84
Offense Rating: 22.60 #45
Defense Rating: 9.27 #68
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.9 #107
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #108
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #89
Talent Rating: 422.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.81 PPO
Avg Run Success 46%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Hawai'i Notes
(11/3) 2 straight W's, big upset of Fresno. Corner turn?
(11/3) QB Schager was OK, Def outstanding in Fresno W
(10/27) Still Pass 64% Rgame good, 246 yds, 6.3 ypc (Nev)
(10/4) Off awful vs FBS so far. Def has been v good
(8/11) Star WR McBride suspended indefinitely
(7/30) Chang has most exp'd team and needs a good year
(7/30) 15 returning starters. QB Schager JAG+ / mobility
(7/30) WR's really good, OL exp'd, RB's meh
(7/30) 2 FCS games, need 7 wins to bowl in '24
(7/30) Def is exp'd and MW avg LY.
Power #84
#105Off #45
#19Def #68
#123Talent #113
#115SP+ #107
#106SP+ Off #108
#45SP+ Def #89
#129Rematch from Week 12
Hawai'i 2.5 (62.0)
Utah State won vs Hawai'i this year (55-10)
Previous Matchups
Utah State beat Hawai'i last year (55-10)
Utah State beat Hawai'i in 2022 (41-34)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Romney Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 37° - Wind: 6 mph
Team Information
Injuries: HAW | USU
Depth Chart: HAW | USU
Rosters: HAW | USU
(#105) Utah State Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.715 #105
Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 408.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Good Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.44 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Utah State Notes
(11/29) Rgame great vs CSU, 296/6.0. Pass D torched in L
(11/18) 5 INT's vs Hawaii, Rgame great (321, 7.6 ypc)
(11/9) Top WR Jalen Royals out for season (foot)
(10/22) Def stop rate 39% (#130) into week 9
(10/20) Petras 360 yds (NM), forced 4 TOs in near upset
(10/16) Monitor for quit watch. Def/Int Coach/Bad vibes
(10/11) Def is likely worst in CFB. #130+ all metrics
(10/10) Def is awful. Worst 2nd quarter D (nearly 21 ppg!)
(10/10) QB now Petras, hasn't been as awful as expected
(8/4) Portal lost #2 WR Davis (Ole Miss) this late??
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.715 #105
Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 408.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Good Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.44 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Utah State Notes
(11/29) Rgame great vs CSU, 296/6.0. Pass D torched in L
(11/18) 5 INT's vs Hawaii, Rgame great (321, 7.6 ypc)
(11/9) Top WR Jalen Royals out for season (foot)
(10/22) Def stop rate 39% (#130) into week 9
(10/20) Petras 360 yds (NM), forced 4 TOs in near upset
(10/16) Monitor for quit watch. Def/Int Coach/Bad vibes
(10/11) Def is likely worst in CFB. #130+ all metrics
(10/10) Def is awful. Worst 2nd quarter D (nearly 21 ppg!)
(10/10) QB now Petras, hasn't been as awful as expected
(8/4) Portal lost #2 WR Davis (Ole Miss) this late??
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Alejado | 49 | 70 | 70% | 585 | 6 | 0 | 8.4 |
| John-Keawe Sagapolutele | 4 | 7 | 57% | 42 | 0 | 2 | 6.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Sims | 71 | 351 | 1 | 4.9 | 29 |
| Tylan Hines | 39 | 162 | 0 | 4.2 | 15 |
| Cam Barfield (Tr) | 33 | 158 | 0 | 4.8 | 21 |
| Christian Vaughn | 17 | 109 | 0 | 6.4 | 30 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Cenacle | 63 | 721 | 6 | 11.4 | 62 |
| Pofele Ashlock | 61 | 629 | 6 | 10.3 | 30 |
| Dekel Crowdus (Tr) | 16 | 402 | 4 | 25.1 | 74 |
| Spencer Curtis | 19 | 244 | 0 | 12.8 | 28 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamih Otis | 55 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Logan Taylor | 52 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Elijah Robinson | 51 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Peter Manuma | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Johnson III | 20 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| Elijah Robinson | 51 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Malachi Finau | 19 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Brown | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Elijah Palmer | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Petras (Tr) | 214 | 327 | 65% | 2315 | 17 | 11 | 7.1 |
| Bryson Barnes (Tr) | 77 | 126 | 61% | 856 | 12 | 6 | 6.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rahsul Faison | 198 | 1109 | 8 | 5.6 | 37 |
| Bryson Barnes (Tr) | 68 | 530 | 5 | 7.8 | 63 |
| Herschel Turner | 79 | 405 | 4 | 5.1 | 43 |
| Derrick Jameson | 15 | 140 | 2 | 9.3 | 72 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otto Tia | 44 | 434 | 7 | 9.9 | 51 |
| Jack Hestera (Tr) | 24 | 340 | 4 | 14.2 | 32 |
| Grant Page | 33 | 281 | 2 | 8.5 | 35 |
| Josh Sterzer | 20 | 202 | 4 | 10.1 | 37 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Vincent (Tr) | 117 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Ike Larsen | 80 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Jon Ross Maye | 57 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| John Miller (Tr) | 52 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cian Slone | 49 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| Bronson Olevao | 23 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Lawrence Falatea (Tr) | 28 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| John Miller (Tr) | 52 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ike Larsen | 80 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Avante Dickerson | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jordan Vincent (Tr) | 117 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |