Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Utah State Aggies
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (3:00 PM EST)
Hawai'i -2.5 (62.0) (-130) Open: -3.0
Utah State 55 - Hawai'i: 10 (Mountain West)
Rainbow Warriors (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Timmy Chang (8 - 18)
Avg Score : 22 - 26 (16 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Coach Timmy Chang (8 - 18)
Avg Score : 22 - 26 (16 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
HAW is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Hawai'i -0.5 (SP+ USU -1)
Projected Score: HAW: 31 - USU: 30 (61)
HAW Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
HAW Travel: 3010 miles, 4 hrs behind
Our Line: Hawai'i -0.5 (SP+ USU -1)
Projected Score: HAW: 31 - USU: 30 (61)
HAW Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
HAW Travel: 3010 miles, 4 hrs behind
Aggies (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Nate Dreiling (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (39 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Coach Nate Dreiling (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (39 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
| Hawai'i's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/24 | Hawai'i vs Delaware State | -38.5 | 57.5 | W 35 - 14 | U | N | |
| Sat 8/31 | Hawai'i vs UCLA | +13.5 | 55.5 | L 13 - 16 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/14 | Hawai'i at Sam Houston | +3.5 | 48.5 | L 13 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Hawai'i vs Northern Iowa | -10.0 | 46.0 | W 36 - 7 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Hawai'i at San Diego State | +1.5 | 47.5 | L 24 - 27 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Hawai'i vs Boise State | +21.0 | 60.0 | L 7 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Hawai'i at Washington State | +18.5 | 55.5 | L 10 - 42 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Hawai'i vs Nevada | -2.5 | 42.0 | W 34 - 13 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Hawai'i at Fresno State | +12.0 | 45.5 | W 21 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Hawai'i vs UNLV | +12.0 | 51.5 | L 27 - 29 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Hawai'i at Utah State | -2.5 | 62.0 | L 10 - 55 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/30 | Hawai'i vs New Mexico | +6.5 | 61.5 | W 38 - 30 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
| Utah State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Utah State vs Robert Morris | -18.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Utah State at USC | +30.5 | 62.5 | L 0 - 48 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Utah State vs Utah | +20.5 | 43.5 | L 21 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Utah State at Temple | -6.5 | 53.5 | L 29 - 45 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Utah State at Boise State | +28.0 | 66.5 | L 30 - 62 | O | N | |
| Fri 10/11 | Utah State vs UNLV | +19.0 | 67.5 | L 34 - 50 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Utah State vs New Mexico | +1.0 | 78.5 | L 45 - 50 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Utah State at Wyoming | -2.5 | 57.0 | W 27 - 25 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Utah State at Washington State | +20.5 | 69.0 | L 28 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Utah State vs Hawai'i | +2.5 | 62.0 | W 55 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Utah State vs San Diego State | -5.0 | 60.0 | W 41 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Fri 11/29 | Utah State at Colorado State | +5.5 | 56.5 | L 37 - 42 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAW | #82 (.17) | 44% (52) | 22.3 | 46% (45) | 3.29 (26) | 99 | 44% (50) | 268 | 3.81 (81) | #81 (.19) | 42% (71) | 26 | 45% (85) | 40% (58) | 4.15 (103) | 70.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| USU | #34 (.24) | 46% (31) | 31.9 | 48% (24) | 3.41 (12) | 199 | 44% (37) | 269 | 4.42 (24) | #119 (.27) | 47% (122) | 37.8 | 48% (112) | 48% (123) | 4.44 (122) | 73.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAW | #82 (.17) | 44% (52) | 46% (45) | 3.29 (26) | 99 | 44% (50) | 268 | 3.81 (81) | #81 (.19) | 42% (71) | 45% (85) | 40% (58) | 4.15 (103) | 70.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 | ||
| USU | #34 (.24) | 46% (31) | 48% (24) | 3.41 (12) | 199 | 44% (37) | 269 | 4.42 (24) | #119 (.27) | 47% (122) | 48% (112) | 48% (123) | 4.44 (122) | 73.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAW Offense | 12 | 22.3 | 15.6 | 44.2% | 3.81 | 1.6 | 21 | 367 | 99 | 268 | 3.6 | 36% | 64% | 46% | 44% | 19% | .17 |
| USU Defense | 12 | 37.8 | 30.3 | 47.4% | 4.44 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 49% | 48% | 48% | 15% | .27 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAW Defense | 12 | 26 | 35 | 42% | 4.15 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 50% | 45% | 40% | 16% | .19 |
| USU Offense | 12 | 31.9 | 38.7 | 45.6% | 4.42 | 1.8 | 23 | 468 | 199 | 269 | 5.7 | 46% | 54% | 48% | 44% | 16% | .24 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawai'i | 12 | 30:19 | 20.8 | 37% | 55% | 8 | 70.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 1 | 25.6 |
| Utah State | 12 | 27:19 | 22.5 | 40% | 50% | 7.8 | 73.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 6 | 2.3 | 1 | 28.1 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAW Offense | 12 | 36% (134) | 46% (45) | 27.8 | 99 | 3.6 | 7 (131) | .13 (68) | 3.29 (26) | 80% (23) | 11% (88) | 0.83 (124) |
| USU Defense | 12 | 51% (69) | 48% (112) | - | - | - | - | .25 (124) | 3.45 (128) | 76% (85) | 10% (70) | 0.96 (56) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAW Defense | 12 | 50% (57) | 45% (85) | - | - | - | - | .16 (90) | 3.27 (108) | 79% (103) | 10% (74) | 0.97 (62) |
| USU Offense | 12 | 46% (102) | 48% (24) | 35.1 | 199.3 | 5.7 | 21 (59) | .26 (13) | 3.41 (12) | 65% (117) | 8% (39) | 1.11 (18) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAW Offense | 12 | 64% (1) | 44% (50) | 23.8 | 40.1 | 268.2 | 6.7 | 11.3 | 25 (31) | 15 (123) | .21 (92) | 1.4 (130) | 32% (80) | 33% (49) | .31 (81) | 8% (127) | 2 (94) |
| USU Defense | 12 | 49% (64) | 48% (123) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (31) | .32 (106) | 1.5 (30) | 27% (129) | 32% (97) | .32 (75) | 5% (99) | 1.8 (21) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAW Defense | 12 | 50% (79) | 40% (58) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 (109) | .22 (58) | 1.4 (19) | 31% (82) | 30% (63) | .31 (72) | 6% (73) | 1.8 (13) |
| USU Offense | 12 | 54% (36) | 44% (37) | 24.5 | 38.2 | 269.1 | 7.1 | 11 | 29 (12) | 17 (127) | .25 (69) | 1.5 (118) | 29% (30) | 33% (54) | .4 (38) | 8% (124) | 2.1 (31) |
Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -5.14 #84
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 22.60 #45
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 9.27 #68
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Hawai'i's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Hawai'i's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.9 #107
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #108
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #89
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -5.14 #84
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 22.60 #45
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 9.27 #68
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Hawai'i's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Hawai'i's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.9 #107
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #108
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #89
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -5.14 Utah State: -8.715
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -10.9 Utah State: -10.4
Hawai'i: -5.14 Utah State: -8.715
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -10.9 Utah State: -10.4
Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -8.715 #105
Utah State's Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Utah State's Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Utah State's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Utah State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Utah State's Power Rating: -8.715 #105
Utah State's Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Utah State's Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Utah State's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Utah State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.6
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense on Road: 35
Hawai'i's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.6
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense on Road: 35
Hawai'i's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Hawai'i 31
Utah State 30
Total Points: 61
Hawai'i 31
Utah State 30
Total Points: 61
Utah State Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3
Utah State's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3
Utah State's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/16 | Utah State | 55 | Hawai'i | 10 | Utah State | Hawai'i -2.5 | Utah State | 62.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 11/12 | Hawai'i | 34 | Utah State | 41 | Utah State | Utah State -10 | Hawai'i | 55.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/30 | Utah State | 51 | Hawai'i | 31 | Utah State | Utah State -3.5 | Utah State | 66.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/03 | Hawai'i | 17 | Utah State | 56 | Utah State | Utah State -19 | Utah State | 71.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 11/18 | Utah State | 38 | Hawai'i | 0 | Utah State | Utah State -10.5 | Utah State | 56.5 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/01 | Hawai'i | 14 | Utah State | 35 | Utah State | Utah State -3 | Utah State | 41.5 | Over |
| 2013 | 11/02 | Utah State | 47 | Hawai'i | 10 | Utah State | Utah State -21 | Utah State | 0 | |
| 2011 | 11/06 | Hawai'i | 31 | Utah State | 35 | Utah State | ||||
| 2010 | 10/23 | Utah State | 7 | Hawai'i | 45 | Hawai'i | ||||
| 2009 | 11/07 | Hawai'i | 49 | Utah State | 36 | Hawai'i | ||||
| 2008 | 11/01 | Utah State | 30 | Hawai'i | 14 | Utah State | ||||
| 2007 | 10/07 | Hawai'i | 52 | Utah State | 37 | Hawai'i | ||||
| 2006 | 11/04 | Utah State | 10 | Hawai'i | 63 | Hawai'i | ||||
| 2005 | 11/12 | Hawai'i | 50 | Utah State | 23 | Hawai'i |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utah State | 9 | 6 | 5 Overs |
| Hawai'i | 5 | 1 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 8 - 6 | 5 - 2 | 3 - 0 | 2 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 6 - 8 | 2 - 5 | 2 - 2 | 0 - 3 |
(#84) Hawai'i Info
Power Rating: -5.14 #84
Offense Rating: 22.60 #45
Defense Rating: 9.27 #68
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.9 #107
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #108
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #89
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.81 PPO
Avg Run Success 46%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Hawai'i has lost 1 straight
Hawai'i has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (1 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Hawai'i Notes
(11/3) 2 straight W's, big upset of Fresno. Corner turn?
(11/3) QB Schager was OK, Def outstanding in Fresno W
(10/27) Still Pass 64% Rgame good, 246 yds, 6.3 ypc (Nev)
(10/4) Off awful vs FBS so far. Def has been v good
(8/11) Star WR McBride suspended indefinitely
(7/30) Chang has most exp'd team and needs a good year
(7/30) 15 returning starters. QB Schager JAG+ / mobility
(7/30) WR's really good, OL exp'd, RB's meh
(7/30) 2 FCS games, need 7 wins to bowl in '24
(7/30) Def is exp'd and MW avg LY.
Hawai'i Highlights
Hawai'i has a top Offensive Line (#85)
Hawai'i Deficiencies
Hawai'i Can Not Run the Ball (#90)
Hawai'i Commits a Lot of Penalties (#136)
Hawai'i throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Hawai'i offense is not Explosive (#113)
Hawai'i has a bad defensive line (#100)
Hawai'i has a bad red zone defense (#56)
Power Rating: -5.14 #84
Offense Rating: 22.60 #45
Defense Rating: 9.27 #68
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.9 #107
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #108
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #89
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.81 PPO
Avg Run Success 46%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Hawai'i has lost 1 straight
Hawai'i has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (1 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Hawai'i Notes
(11/3) 2 straight W's, big upset of Fresno. Corner turn?
(11/3) QB Schager was OK, Def outstanding in Fresno W
(10/27) Still Pass 64% Rgame good, 246 yds, 6.3 ypc (Nev)
(10/4) Off awful vs FBS so far. Def has been v good
(8/11) Star WR McBride suspended indefinitely
(7/30) Chang has most exp'd team and needs a good year
(7/30) 15 returning starters. QB Schager JAG+ / mobility
(7/30) WR's really good, OL exp'd, RB's meh
(7/30) 2 FCS games, need 7 wins to bowl in '24
(7/30) Def is exp'd and MW avg LY.
Hawai'i Highlights
Hawai'i has a top Offensive Line (#85)
Hawai'i Deficiencies
Hawai'i Can Not Run the Ball (#90)
Hawai'i Commits a Lot of Penalties (#136)
Hawai'i throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Hawai'i offense is not Explosive (#113)
Hawai'i has a bad defensive line (#100)
Hawai'i has a bad red zone defense (#56)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | USU | HAW |
| OverallOver | #83 | #66 |
| OffenseOff | #81 | #85 |
| DefenseDef | #103 | #51 |
| Special TeamsST | #30 | #76 |
| PassingPass | #71 | #38 |
| RushingRush | #16 | #63 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #75 | #45 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #67 | #64 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #86 | #100 |
| TacklingTkl | #92 | #52 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #110 | #55 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #80 | #90 |
| Coverage DefCov | #67 | #24 |
Rematch from Week 12
Hawai'i 2.5 (62.0)
Utah State won vs Hawai'i this year (55-10)
Previous Matchups
Utah State beat Hawai'i last year (55-10)
Utah State beat Hawai'i in 2022 (41-34)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Romney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: HAW | USU
Depth Chart: HAW | USU
Rosters: HAW | USU
(#105) Utah State Info
Power Rating: -8.715 #105
Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Good Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.44 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Utah State has lost 1 straight
Utah State has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (4 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Utah State Notes
(11/29) Rgame great vs CSU, 296/6.0. Pass D torched in L
(11/18) 5 INT's vs Hawaii, Rgame great (321, 7.6 ypc)
(11/9) Top WR Jalen Royals out for season (foot)
(10/22) Def stop rate 39% (#130) into week 9
(10/20) Petras 360 yds (NM), forced 4 TOs in near upset
(10/16) Monitor for quit watch. Def/Int Coach/Bad vibes
(10/11) Def is likely worst in CFB. #130+ all metrics
(10/10) Def is awful. Worst 2nd quarter D (nearly 21 ppg!)
(10/10) QB now Petras, hasn't been as awful as expected
(8/4) Portal lost #2 WR Davis (Ole Miss) this late??
Utah State Highlights
Utah State has a top Offensive Line (#112)
Utah State offense is good in red zone (#21)
Utah State Deficiencies
Utah State has a bad TO Margin (#11)
Utah State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#129)
Utah State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Utah State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Utah State has a bad defense (#115)
Utah State has a bad defensive line (#83)
Utah State has a bad red zone defense (#130)
Power Rating: -8.715 #105
Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Good Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.44 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Utah State has lost 1 straight
Utah State has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (4 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Utah State Notes
(11/29) Rgame great vs CSU, 296/6.0. Pass D torched in L
(11/18) 5 INT's vs Hawaii, Rgame great (321, 7.6 ypc)
(11/9) Top WR Jalen Royals out for season (foot)
(10/22) Def stop rate 39% (#130) into week 9
(10/20) Petras 360 yds (NM), forced 4 TOs in near upset
(10/16) Monitor for quit watch. Def/Int Coach/Bad vibes
(10/11) Def is likely worst in CFB. #130+ all metrics
(10/10) Def is awful. Worst 2nd quarter D (nearly 21 ppg!)
(10/10) QB now Petras, hasn't been as awful as expected
(8/4) Portal lost #2 WR Davis (Ole Miss) this late??
Utah State Highlights
Utah State has a top Offensive Line (#112)
Utah State offense is good in red zone (#21)
Utah State Deficiencies
Utah State has a bad TO Margin (#11)
Utah State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#129)
Utah State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Utah State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Utah State has a bad defense (#115)
Utah State has a bad defensive line (#83)
Utah State has a bad red zone defense (#130)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Schager | 233 | 404 | 58% | 2591 | 19 | 13 | 6.4 |
| Micah Alejado | 49 | 70 | 70% | 585 | 6 | 0 | 8.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Sims | 71 | 351 | 1 | 4.9 | 29 |
| Brayden Schager | 135 | 267 | 6 | 2.0 | 46 |
| Tylan Hines | 39 | 162 | 0 | 4.2 | 15 |
| Cam Barfield (Tr) | 33 | 158 | 0 | 4.8 | 21 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Cenacle | 63 | 721 | 6 | 11.4 | 62 |
| Pofele Ashlock | 61 | 629 | 6 | 10.3 | 30 |
| Dekel Crowdus (Tr) | 16 | 402 | 4 | 25.1 | 74 |
| Jonah Panoke | 33 | 387 | 3 | 11.7 | 49 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamih Otis | 55 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Logan Taylor | 52 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Elijah Robinson | 51 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Peter Manuma | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Johnson III | 20 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| Elijah Robinson | 51 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Malachi Finau | 19 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Jamih Otis | 55 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Stone | 38 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Caleb Brown | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Elijah Palmer | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Petras (Tr) | 214 | 327 | 65% | 2315 | 17 | 11 | 7.1 |
| Bryson Barnes (Tr) | 77 | 126 | 61% | 856 | 12 | 6 | 6.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rahsul Faison | 198 | 1109 | 8 | 5.6 | 37 |
| Bryson Barnes (Tr) | 68 | 530 | 5 | 7.8 | 63 |
| Herschel Turner | 79 | 405 | 4 | 5.1 | 43 |
| Derrick Jameson | 15 | 140 | 2 | 9.3 | 72 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Royals | 55 | 834 | 6 | 15.2 | 75 |
| Kyrese Rowan | 44 | 526 | 3 | 12.0 | 57 |
| Otto Tia | 44 | 434 | 7 | 9.9 | 51 |
| Jack Hestera (Tr) | 24 | 340 | 4 | 14.2 | 32 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Vincent (Tr) | 117 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Ike Larsen | 80 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Jon Ross Maye | 57 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| John Miller (Tr) | 52 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cian Slone | 49 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| Bronson Olevao | 23 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Lawrence Falatea (Tr) | 28 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| John Miller (Tr) | 52 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ike Larsen | 80 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Avante Dickerson | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| D.J. Graham | 42 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |