Utah State at Washington State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Utah State logo Utah State Aggies at Washington State CougarsWashington State logo
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (10:30 PM EST)
Washington State -20.5 (69.0) (-1500)  Open: -20.5 | 69.5
Washington State 49 - Utah State: 28

 
Aggies (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Nate Dreiling (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (25 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
USU coming off BYE
WSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Washington State -13   (SP+ WSU -12)

Projected Score: USU: 28 - WSU: 41 (69)
WSU Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
USU Travel: 434 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Cougars (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (15 - 16)
Avg Score : 37 - 30 (44 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
 
Utah State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Utah State vs Robert Morris-18.5
Sat 9/7 Utah State at USC+30.562.5L 0 - 48UN
Sat 9/14 Utah State vs Utah+20.543.5L 21 - 38OY
Sat 9/21 Utah State at Temple-6.553.5L 29 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Utah State at Boise State+28.066.5L 30 - 62ON
Fri 10/11 Utah State vs UNLV+19.067.5L 34 - 50OY
Sat 10/19 Utah State vs New Mexico+1.078.5L 45 - 50ON
Sat 10/26 Utah State at Wyoming-2.557.0W 27 - 25UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Utah State at Washington State+20.569.0L 28 - 49ON
Sat 11/16 Utah State vs Hawai'i+2.562.0W 55 - 10OY
Sat 11/23 Utah State vs San Diego State-5.060.0W 41 - 20OY
Fri 11/29 Utah State at Colorado State+5.556.5L 37 - 42OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 2

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
Washington State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Washington State vs Portland State-26.557.5W 70 - 30OY
Sat 9/7 Washington State vs Texas Tech+2.564.5W 37 - 16UY
Sat 9/14 Washington State vs Washington+4.056.0W 24 - 19UY
Fri 9/20 Washington State vs San José State-13.055.5W 54 - 52ON
Sat 9/28 Washington State at Boise State+6.566.0L 24 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Washington State at Fresno State-3.560.5W 25 - 17UY
Sat 10/19 Washington State vs Hawai'i-18.555.5W 42 - 10UY
Sat 10/26 Washington State at San Diego State-17.056.5W 29 - 26UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Washington State vs Utah State-20.569.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 11/16 Washington State at New Mexico-10.572.5L 35 - 38ON
Sat 11/23 Washington State at Oregon State-11.057.0L 38 - 41ON
Sat 11/30 Washington State vs Wyoming-18.555.5L 14 - 15UN
Fri 12/27 Washington State vs Syracuse+19.058.5L 35 - 52OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 3, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU#34 (.24)46% (31)31.948% (24)3.41 (12)19944% (37)2694.42 (24)#119 (.27)47% (122)37.848% (112)48% (123)4.44 (122)73.81.81.3
WSU#19 (.29)48% (15)36.647% (27)3.1 (54)15949% (8)2484.43 (23)#99 (.22)46% (112)29.951% (129)43% (91)4.18 (107)54.80.81.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU#34 (.24)46% (31)48% (24)3.41 (12)19944% (37)2694.42 (24)#119 (.27)47% (122)48% (112)48% (123)4.44 (122)73.81.81.3
WSU#19 (.29)48% (15)47% (27)3.1 (54)15949% (8)2484.43 (23)#99 (.22)46% (112)51% (129)43% (91)4.18 (107)54.80.81.7



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Offense1231.925.245.6%4.421.8234681992695.746%54%48%44%16%.24
WSU Defense1329.925.246%4.181.7 - - - - - 44%55%51%43%15%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Defense1237.845.247.4%4.441.3 - - - - - 51%49%48%48%15%.27
WSU Offense1336.644.348.1%4.430.8214071592484.751%49%47%49%14%.29

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Utah State1227:1922.540%50%7.873.81.81.362.3128.1
Washington State1326:1921.141%54%5.954.80.81.74.61.5330.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Offense1246% (102)48% (24)35.1199.35.721 (59).26 (13)3.41 (12)65% (117)8% (39)1.11 (18)
WSU Defense1344% (7)51% (129) - - - - .25 (123)3.28 (110)69% (45)9% (102)1.03 (89)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Defense1251% (69)48% (112) - - - - .25 (124)3.45 (128)76% (85)10% (70)0.96 (56)
WSU Offense1351% (66)47% (27)33.6158.84.727 (30).23 (22)3.1 (54)67% (108)10% (72)1.12 (14)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Offense1254% (36)44% (37)24.538.2269.17.11129 (12)17 (127).25 (69)1.5 (118)29% (30)33% (54).4 (38)8% (124)2.1 (31)
WSU Defense1355% (126)43% (91) - - - - - - 14 (23).24 (74)1.5 (54)30% (98)32% (93).35 (87)6% (64)2.2 (114)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Defense1249% (64)48% (123) - - - - - - 13 (31).32 (106)1.5 (30)27% (129)32% (97).32 (75)5% (99)1.8 (21)
WSU Offense1349% (69)49% (8)17.827.4248.29.113.930 (9)7 (26).37 (20)1.6 (68)27% (13)37% (14).43 (27)4% (19)2.1 (44)

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -12.03 #105
Utah State's Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Utah State's Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Utah State's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Utah State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -12.03   Washington State: 1.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -10.4   Washington State: 1.3




Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: 1.95 #72
Washington State's Offense Rating: 24.60 #22
Washington State's Defense Rating: 14.60 #107
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Washington State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Washington State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #21
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #97

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Utah State Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.2

Utah State's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Washington State 41
Utah State 28


Total Points: 69

Washington State Scoring
Offense: 36.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.3
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.2

Washington State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Washington State49Utah State28Washington StateWashington State -20.5Washington State69.0Over
202109/04Washington State23Utah State26Utah StateWashington State -17.5Utah State66.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Washington State111 Overs
Utah State111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#105) Utah State Info
Power Rating: -12.03 #105
Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Good Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.44 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Utah State has won 1 straight
Utah State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread )

Utah State Notes
(11/29) Rgame great vs CSU, 296/6.0. Pass D torched in L
(11/18) 5 INT's vs Hawaii, Rgame great (321, 7.6 ypc)
(11/9) Top WR Jalen Royals out for season (foot)
(10/22) Def stop rate 39% (#130) into week 9
(10/20) Petras 360 yds (NM), forced 4 TOs in near upset
(10/16) Monitor for quit watch. Def/Int Coach/Bad vibes
(10/11) Def is likely worst in CFB. #130+ all metrics
(10/10) Def is awful. Worst 2nd quarter D (nearly 21 ppg!)
(10/10) QB now Petras, hasn't been as awful as expected
(8/4) Portal lost #2 WR Davis (Ole Miss) this late??

Utah State Highlights
Utah State has a top Offensive Line (#112)
Utah State offense is good in red zone (#21)

Utah State Deficiencies
Utah State has a bad TO Margin (#11)
Utah State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#129)
Utah State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Utah State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Utah State has a bad defense (#115)
Utah State has a bad defensive line (#83)
Utah State has a bad red zone defense (#130)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatWSUUSU
OverallOver#35#83
OffenseOff#39#81
DefenseDef#33#103
Special TeamsST#84#30
PassingPass#41#71
RushingRush#18#16
Run BlockRBLK#87#75
Pass BlockPBLK#3#67
Route RunningWR Rt#29#86
TacklingTkl#116#92
Run DefenseR Def#54#110
Pass Rush DefPRush#38#80
Coverage DefCov#32#67

Rematch from Week 11
Washington State -20.5 (69.0)
Washington State won vs Utah State this year (49-28)

Previous Matchups
Washington State beat Utah State last year (49-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Martin Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: USU | WSU
Depth Chart: USU | WSU
Rosters: USU | WSU
(#72) Washington State Info
Power Rating: 1.95 #72
Offense Rating: 24.60 #22
Defense Rating: 14.60 #107
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #21
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #97
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Great Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.18 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Washington State has won 3 straight
Washington State has won 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Washington State Notes
(12/29) Hired HC Jimmy Rogers (SDSU, 27-3)
(12/18) HC Dickert left for Wake Forest
(11/18) Shocking L to NM, Mateer great, Def torched
(9/20) QB Mateer can sling it & has 3 good WR options
(9/8) Rushed for 301 yds vs T Tech. Outgained but 4 D TOs
(9/1) QB Mateer. 70 on Port St, gave up 30 (215 ground)
(7/30) Roster going down. 27 Transfers out/12 in (not P5)
(7/30) OC & DC in 2nd year. G5 sched will mask issues
(7/30) Most skill players new and JAG's. D looks meh

Washington State Highlights
Washington State offense is efficent (#107)
Washington State offense is explosive (#121)
Washington State offense is good in red zone (#65)
Washington State has a great TO Margin (#116)
Washington State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Washington State Deficiencies
Washington State has a bad defense (#99)
Washington State has a bad defensive line (#99)
Washington State has a bad red zone defense (#117)


  
Utah State's OC Kyle Cefalo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Spencer Petras (Tr)21432765%231517117.1
Bryson Barnes (Tr)7712661%8561266.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rahsul Faison198110985.637
Bryson Barnes (Tr)6853057.863
Herschel Turner7940545.143
Derrick Jameson1514029.372
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Royals55834615.275
Kyrese Rowan44526312.057
Otto Tia4443479.951
Jack Hestera (Tr)24340414.232

View Utah State's Full Roster
Utah State's DC Nate Dreiling
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Vincent (Tr)1171012
Ike Larsen802009
Jon Ross Maye574031
John Miller (Tr)526242
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cian Slone4910850
Bronson Olevao234430
Lawrence Falatea (Tr)286330
John Miller (Tr)526242
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ike Larsen802009
Avante Dickerson192003
D.J. Graham423002

Washington State's OC Ben Arbuckle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
John Mateer22434765%31392979.0
Zevi Eckhaus (Tr)375074%424428.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
John Mateer178826154.668
Wayshawn Parker13773545.475
Leo Pulalasi6530224.622
Djouvensky Schlenbaker4314933.514
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kyle Williams7011931417.066
Kris Hutson (Tr)55691212.659
Josh Meredith39477212.239
Carlos Hernandez31397512.842

View Washington State's Full Roster
Washington State's DC Jeff Schmedding
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taariq Al-Uqdah695052
Kyle Thornton667141
Kapena Gushiken483006
Tanner Moku480001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ansel Din-Mbuh247620
Khalil Laufau154301
Andrew Edson387342
Quinn Roff184320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan O'Connor301018
Kapena Gushiken483006
Tyson Durant (Tr)452026