New Mexico Lobos at Utah State Aggies
Saturday, October 19th 2024 (4:00 PM EDT)
New Mexico -1 (78.5) (-112) Open: -2.5
New Mexico 50 - Utah State: 45 (Mountain West)
Lobos (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 38 (31 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 38 (31 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
USU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Utah State -7.5 (SP+ USU -4)
Projected Score: UNM: 33 - USU: 41 (74)
UNM Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
UNM Travel: 540 miles
Our Line: Utah State -7.5 (SP+ USU -4)
Projected Score: UNM: 33 - USU: 41 (74)
UNM Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
UNM Travel: 540 miles
Aggies (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Nate Dreiling (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (39 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Coach Nate Dreiling (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (39 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
| New Mexico's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/24 | New Mexico vs Montana State | +10.5 | 54.0 | L 31 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 8/31 | New Mexico at Arizona | +28.0 | 60.0 | L 39 - 61 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/14 | New Mexico at Auburn | +25.5 | 58.5 | L 19 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | New Mexico vs Fresno State | +12.0 | 61.0 | L 21 - 38 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | New Mexico at New Mexico State | -9.5 | 54.0 | W 50 - 40 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | New Mexico vs Air Force | -7.0 | 56.0 | W 52 - 37 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | New Mexico at Utah State | -1.0 | 78.5 | W 50 - 45 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | New Mexico at Colorado State | +3.5 | 62.0 | L 6 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | New Mexico vs Wyoming | -7.5 | 60.5 | L 45 - 49 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/8 | New Mexico at San Diego State | +1.5 | 65.5 | W 21 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | New Mexico vs Washington State | +10.5 | 72.5 | W 38 - 35 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/30 | New Mexico at Hawai'i | -6.5 | 61.5 | L 30 - 38 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
| Utah State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Utah State vs Robert Morris | -18.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Utah State at USC | +30.5 | 62.5 | L 0 - 48 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Utah State vs Utah | +20.5 | 43.5 | L 21 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Utah State at Temple | -6.5 | 53.5 | L 29 - 45 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Utah State at Boise State | +28.0 | 66.5 | L 30 - 62 | O | N | |
| Fri 10/11 | Utah State vs UNLV | +19.0 | 67.5 | L 34 - 50 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Utah State vs New Mexico | +1.0 | 78.5 | L 45 - 50 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Utah State at Wyoming | -2.5 | 57.0 | W 27 - 25 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Utah State at Washington State | +20.5 | 69.0 | L 28 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Utah State vs Hawai'i | +2.5 | 62.0 | W 55 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Utah State vs San Diego State | -5.0 | 60.0 | W 41 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Fri 11/29 | Utah State at Colorado State | +5.5 | 56.5 | L 37 - 42 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM | #14 (.31) | 49% (10) | 33.5 | 53% (3) | 3.81 (1) | 254 | 44% (40) | 231 | 3.83 (79) | #132 (.34) | 50% (132) | 38 | 50% (125) | 51% (131) | 4.64 (128) | 81.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| USU | #34 (.24) | 46% (31) | 31.9 | 48% (24) | 3.41 (12) | 199 | 44% (37) | 269 | 4.42 (24) | #119 (.27) | 47% (122) | 37.8 | 48% (112) | 48% (123) | 4.44 (122) | 73.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM | #14 (.31) | 49% (10) | 53% (3) | 3.81 (1) | 254 | 44% (40) | 231 | 3.83 (79) | #132 (.34) | 50% (132) | 50% (125) | 51% (131) | 4.64 (128) | 81.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 | ||
| USU | #34 (.24) | 46% (31) | 48% (24) | 3.41 (12) | 199 | 44% (37) | 269 | 4.42 (24) | #119 (.27) | 47% (122) | 48% (112) | 48% (123) | 4.44 (122) | 73.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM Offense | 12 | 33.5 | 30.7 | 48.9% | 3.83 | 1.6 | 25 | 485 | 254 | 231 | 6.7 | 52% | 48% | 53% | 44% | 12% | .31 |
| USU Defense | 12 | 37.8 | 30.3 | 47.4% | 4.44 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 49% | 48% | 48% | 15% | .27 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM Defense | 12 | 38 | 37.4 | 50.4% | 4.64 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 46% | 50% | 51% | 14% | .34 |
| USU Offense | 12 | 31.9 | 38.7 | 45.6% | 4.42 | 1.8 | 23 | 468 | 199 | 269 | 5.7 | 46% | 54% | 48% | 44% | 16% | .24 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico | 12 | 28:52 | 24.7 | 43% | 68% | 9.3 | 81.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 26.8 |
| Utah State | 12 | 27:19 | 22.5 | 40% | 50% | 7.8 | 73.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 6 | 2.3 | 1 | 28.1 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM Offense | 12 | 52% (55) | 53% (3) | 37.8 | 254 | 6.7 | 37 (6) | .37 (1) | 3.81 (1) | 81% (20) | 5% (1) | 1.1 (21) |
| USU Defense | 12 | 51% (69) | 48% (112) | - | - | - | - | .25 (124) | 3.45 (128) | 76% (85) | 10% (70) | 0.96 (56) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM Defense | 12 | 54% (106) | 50% (125) | - | - | - | - | .2 (110) | 3.26 (103) | 71% (52) | 8% (118) | 0.97 (64) |
| USU Offense | 12 | 46% (102) | 48% (24) | 35.1 | 199.3 | 5.7 | 21 (59) | .26 (13) | 3.41 (12) | 65% (117) | 8% (39) | 1.11 (18) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM Offense | 12 | 48% (77) | 44% (40) | 18.8 | 32.5 | 230.7 | 7.1 | 12.3 | 12 (118) | 12 (85) | .24 (77) | 1.4 (125) | 27% (8) | 37% (11) | .49 (13) | 6% (85) | 1.9 (110) |
| USU Defense | 12 | 49% (64) | 48% (123) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (31) | .32 (106) | 1.5 (30) | 27% (129) | 32% (97) | .32 (75) | 5% (99) | 1.8 (21) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM Defense | 12 | 46% (30) | 51% (131) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (132) | .51 (132) | 1.6 (81) | 26% (132) | 38% (129) | .54 (129) | 6% (79) | 2.2 (118) |
| USU Offense | 12 | 54% (36) | 44% (37) | 24.5 | 38.2 | 269.1 | 7.1 | 11 | 29 (12) | 17 (127) | .25 (69) | 1.5 (118) | 29% (30) | 33% (54) | .4 (38) | 8% (124) | 2.1 (31) |
New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -18.10 #118
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 23.67 #30
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 20.73 #128
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
New Mexico's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
New Mexico's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #116
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #64
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #132
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
New Mexico's Power Rating: -18.10 #118
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 23.67 #30
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 20.73 #128
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
New Mexico's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
New Mexico's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #116
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #64
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #132
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -18.10 Utah State: -8.715
SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -14.8 Utah State: -10.4
New Mexico: -18.10 Utah State: -8.715
SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -14.8 Utah State: -10.4
Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -8.715 #105
Utah State's Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Utah State's Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Utah State's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Utah State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Utah State's Power Rating: -8.715 #105
Utah State's Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Utah State's Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Utah State's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Utah State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.7
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4
New Mexico's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.7
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4
New Mexico's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Utah State 41
New Mexico 33
Total Points: 74
Utah State 41
New Mexico 33
Total Points: 74
Utah State Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3
Utah State's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3
Utah State's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/19 | Utah State | 45 | New Mexico | 50 | New Mexico | New Mexico -1 | New Mexico | 78.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/24 | New Mexico | 41 | Utah State | 44 | Utah State | Utah State -4.5 | New Mexico | 58.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 11/05 | Utah State | 27 | New Mexico | 10 | Utah State | Utah State -14.5 | Utah State | 42.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/26 | New Mexico | 10 | Utah State | 35 | Utah State | Utah State -17 | Utah State | 48.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 11/26 | Utah State | 41 | New Mexico | 27 | Utah State | New Mexico -6 | Utah State | 49.0 | Over |
| 2019 | 11/30 | New Mexico | 25 | Utah State | 38 | Utah State | Utah State -12 | Utah State | 63.0 | Push |
| 2018 | 10/27 | Utah State | 61 | New Mexico | 19 | Utah State | Utah State -20 | Utah State | 64.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 11/04 | New Mexico | 10 | Utah State | 24 | Utah State | New Mexico -3.5 | Utah State | 52.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/12 | Utah State | 21 | New Mexico | 24 | New Mexico | Utah State -2.5 | New Mexico | 57.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/07 | New Mexico | 14 | Utah State | 13 | New Mexico | Utah State -14.5 | New Mexico | 57.5 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/15 | Utah State | 28 | New Mexico | 21 | Utah State | Utah State -16 | New Mexico | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/19 | New Mexico | 10 | Utah State | 45 | Utah State | Utah State -10 | Utah State | 0 | |
| 2003 | 10/04 | New Mexico | 34 | Utah State | 7 | New Mexico | ||||
| 2002 | 10/19 | Utah State | 45 | New Mexico | 44 | Utah State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utah State | 10 | 7 | 4 Overs |
| New Mexico | 4 | 5 | 5 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 7 - 7 | 5 - 7 | 2 - 3 | 3 - 4 |
| Road Teams | 7 - 7 | 7 - 5 | 4 - 3 | 3 - 2 |
(#118) New Mexico Info
Power Rating: -18.10 #118
Offense Rating: 23.67 #30
Defense Rating: 20.73 #128
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #116
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #64
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #132
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 49%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Great Run Success 53%
Good Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.64 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
New Mexico has won 2 straight
New Mexico has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 4 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
New Mexico Notes
(12/14) Hired HC Jason Eck (Idaho, FCS OL/OC)
(12/14) HC Eck rose Idaho (26-13) after P Pentrino meh
(11/18) Big W vs Wazzu, Rgame 360 yds, QB bad
(11/3) Def allow 600+ yds, 49 pts at home vs Wyoming?
(10/22) Def stop rate 36% is #132 into week 9
(10/20) Off 550 yds (Ut St), Dampier 3 Int almost cost em
(10/19) Dampier is NM best QB in a while, Over bet team
(10/12) Rgame great, Def awful in W (AFA). Theme of '24
(10/4) Off good, Def worst in CFB? 100 yds penalties pg
(10/4) Run game stats top 20. OL yds, 5.9 ypc, 200 ypg
New Mexico Highlights
New Mexico has Really Good Running Game (#41)
New Mexico offense is efficent (#108)
New Mexico has a top Offensive Line (#79)
New Mexico does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#24)
New Mexico Deficiencies
New Mexico Commits a Lot of Penalties (#1)
New Mexico Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
New Mexico has a bad defense (#98)
New Mexico has a bad defensive line (#82)
New Mexico has a bad red zone defense (#43)
Power Rating: -18.10 #118
Offense Rating: 23.67 #30
Defense Rating: 20.73 #128
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #116
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #64
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #132
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 49%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Great Run Success 53%
Good Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.64 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
New Mexico has won 2 straight
New Mexico has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 4 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
New Mexico Notes
(12/14) Hired HC Jason Eck (Idaho, FCS OL/OC)
(12/14) HC Eck rose Idaho (26-13) after P Pentrino meh
(11/18) Big W vs Wazzu, Rgame 360 yds, QB bad
(11/3) Def allow 600+ yds, 49 pts at home vs Wyoming?
(10/22) Def stop rate 36% is #132 into week 9
(10/20) Off 550 yds (Ut St), Dampier 3 Int almost cost em
(10/19) Dampier is NM best QB in a while, Over bet team
(10/12) Rgame great, Def awful in W (AFA). Theme of '24
(10/4) Off good, Def worst in CFB? 100 yds penalties pg
(10/4) Run game stats top 20. OL yds, 5.9 ypc, 200 ypg
New Mexico Highlights
New Mexico has Really Good Running Game (#41)
New Mexico offense is efficent (#108)
New Mexico has a top Offensive Line (#79)
New Mexico does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#24)
New Mexico Deficiencies
New Mexico Commits a Lot of Penalties (#1)
New Mexico Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
New Mexico has a bad defense (#98)
New Mexico has a bad defensive line (#82)
New Mexico has a bad red zone defense (#43)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | USU | UNM |
| OverallOver | #83 | #66 |
| OffenseOff | #81 | #16 |
| DefenseDef | #103 | #113 |
| Special TeamsST | #30 | #112 |
| PassingPass | #71 | #25 |
| RushingRush | #16 | #5 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #75 | #24 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #67 | #22 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #86 | #47 |
| TacklingTkl | #92 | #100 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #110 | #102 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #80 | #114 |
| Coverage DefCov | #67 | #94 |
Rematch from Week 8
New Mexico 1.0 (78.5)
New Mexico won at Utah State this year (50-45)
Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat Utah State last year (50-45)
Utah State beat New Mexico in 2023 (44-41)
Utah State beat New Mexico in 2022 (27-10)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Romney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: UNM | USU
Depth Chart: UNM | USU
Rosters: UNM | USU
(#105) Utah State Info
Power Rating: -8.715 #105
Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Good Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.44 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Utah State has lost 5 straight
Utah State has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (4 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Utah State Notes
(11/29) Rgame great vs CSU, 296/6.0. Pass D torched in L
(11/18) 5 INT's vs Hawaii, Rgame great (321, 7.6 ypc)
(11/9) Top WR Jalen Royals out for season (foot)
(10/22) Def stop rate 39% (#130) into week 9
(10/20) Petras 360 yds (NM), forced 4 TOs in near upset
(10/16) Monitor for quit watch. Def/Int Coach/Bad vibes
(10/11) Def is likely worst in CFB. #130+ all metrics
(10/10) Def is awful. Worst 2nd quarter D (nearly 21 ppg!)
(10/10) QB now Petras, hasn't been as awful as expected
(8/4) Portal lost #2 WR Davis (Ole Miss) this late??
Utah State Highlights
Utah State has a top Offensive Line (#112)
Utah State offense is good in red zone (#21)
Utah State Deficiencies
Utah State has a bad TO Margin (#11)
Utah State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#129)
Utah State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Utah State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Utah State has a bad defense (#115)
Utah State has a bad defensive line (#83)
Utah State has a bad red zone defense (#130)
Power Rating: -8.715 #105
Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Good Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.44 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Utah State has lost 5 straight
Utah State has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (4 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Utah State Notes
(11/29) Rgame great vs CSU, 296/6.0. Pass D torched in L
(11/18) 5 INT's vs Hawaii, Rgame great (321, 7.6 ypc)
(11/9) Top WR Jalen Royals out for season (foot)
(10/22) Def stop rate 39% (#130) into week 9
(10/20) Petras 360 yds (NM), forced 4 TOs in near upset
(10/16) Monitor for quit watch. Def/Int Coach/Bad vibes
(10/11) Def is likely worst in CFB. #130+ all metrics
(10/10) Def is awful. Worst 2nd quarter D (nearly 21 ppg!)
(10/10) QB now Petras, hasn't been as awful as expected
(8/4) Portal lost #2 WR Davis (Ole Miss) this late??
Utah State Highlights
Utah State has a top Offensive Line (#112)
Utah State offense is good in red zone (#21)
Utah State Deficiencies
Utah State has a bad TO Margin (#11)
Utah State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#129)
Utah State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Utah State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Utah State has a bad defense (#115)
Utah State has a bad defensive line (#83)
Utah State has a bad red zone defense (#130)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Dampier | 226 | 390 | 58% | 2768 | 12 | 12 | 7.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Dampier | 156 | 1152 | 19 | 7.4 | 85 |
| Eli Sanders (Tr) | 147 | 1064 | 9 | 7.2 | 75 |
| NaQuari Rogers (Tr) | 74 | 382 | 5 | 5.2 | 29 |
| Javen Jacobs (Tr) | 40 | 277 | 3 | 6.9 | 50 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Wysong | 69 | 840 | 1 | 12.2 | 53 |
| Ryan Davis | 54 | 747 | 3 | 13.8 | 55 |
| Caleb Medford | 18 | 336 | 3 | 18.7 | 47 |
| Nic Trujillo | 16 | 305 | 1 | 19.1 | 43 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Ellis | 93 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 4 |
| Noah Avinger (Tr) | 82 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Randolph Kpai (Tr) | 80 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| Dmitri Johnson | 77 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Ellis | 93 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 4 |
| Moso'oipala Tuitele | 35 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Dmitri Johnson | 77 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Jayden Wilson | 32 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson Taylor | 56 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Noa Pola-Gates | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Noah Avinger (Tr) | 82 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Petras (Tr) | 214 | 327 | 65% | 2315 | 17 | 11 | 7.1 |
| Bryson Barnes (Tr) | 77 | 126 | 61% | 856 | 12 | 6 | 6.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rahsul Faison | 198 | 1109 | 8 | 5.6 | 37 |
| Bryson Barnes (Tr) | 68 | 530 | 5 | 7.8 | 63 |
| Herschel Turner | 79 | 405 | 4 | 5.1 | 43 |
| Derrick Jameson | 15 | 140 | 2 | 9.3 | 72 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Royals | 55 | 834 | 6 | 15.2 | 75 |
| Kyrese Rowan | 44 | 526 | 3 | 12.0 | 57 |
| Otto Tia | 44 | 434 | 7 | 9.9 | 51 |
| Jack Hestera (Tr) | 24 | 340 | 4 | 14.2 | 32 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Vincent (Tr) | 117 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Ike Larsen | 80 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Jon Ross Maye | 57 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| John Miller (Tr) | 52 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cian Slone | 49 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| Bronson Olevao | 23 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Lawrence Falatea (Tr) | 28 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| John Miller (Tr) | 52 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ike Larsen | 80 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Avante Dickerson | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| D.J. Graham | 42 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |