Utah State at Temple - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 21st 2024 (2:00 PM EDT)
Utah State -6.5 (53.5) (-238) Open: 0.0
Temple 45 - Utah State: 29

Aggies (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Blake Anderson (23 - 17)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (25 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TEM 2nd straight Home Game
TEM is playing their 4th straight game
USU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Utah State -8.5 (SP+ USU -10)
Projected Score: USU: 33 - TEM: 24 (57)
USU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
USU Travel: 1906 miles, 2 hrs behind

Owls (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Stan Drayton (6 - 18)
Avg Score : 20 - 35 (22 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USU Players
TEM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Utah State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Utah State vs Robert Morris	-18.5
Sat 9/7	Utah State at USC	+30.5	62.5	L 0 - 48	U	N
Sat 9/14	Utah State vs Utah	+20.5	43.5	L 21 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Utah State at Temple	-6.5	53.5	L 29 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Utah State at Boise State	+28.0	66.5	L 30 - 62	O	N
Fri 10/11	Utah State vs UNLV	+19.0	67.5	L 34 - 50	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Utah State vs New Mexico	+1.0	78.5	L 45 - 50	O	N
Sat 10/26	Utah State at Wyoming	-2.5	57.0	W 27 - 25	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Utah State at Washington State	+20.5	69.0	L 28 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/16	Utah State vs Hawai'i	+2.5	62.0	W 55 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Utah State vs San Diego State	-5.0	60.0	W 41 - 20	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Utah State at Colorado State	+5.5	56.5	L 37 - 42	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule

Temple's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Temple at Oklahoma	+42.5	59.5	L 3 - 51	U	N
Sat 9/7	Temple at Navy	+11.5	43.5	L 11 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/14	Temple vs Coastal Carolina	+17.5	51.5	L 20 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Temple vs Utah State	+6.5	53.5	W 45 - 29	O	Y
Thu 9/26	Temple vs Army	+11.0	46.5	L 14 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/5	Temple at UConn	+17.5	49.0	L 20 - 29	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Temple vs Tulsa	-3.5	51.5	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Temple at East Carolina	+8.5	48.5	L 34 - 56	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Temple at Tulane	+25.5	50.5	L 6 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/16	Temple vs Florida Atlantic	-2.0	50.0	W 18 - 15	U	Y
Fri 11/22	Temple at UTSA	+16.5	56.0	L 27 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/30	Temple vs North Texas	+10.5	63.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU	#34 (.24)	46% (31)	31.9	48% (24)	3.41 (12)	199	44% (37)	269	4.42 (24)	#119 (.27)	47% (122)	37.8	48% (112)	48% (123)	4.44 (122)	73.8	1.8	1.3
TEM	#128 (.04)	32% (132)	19.6	32% (133)	2.58 (127)	93	33% (127)	216	3.57 (97)	#100 (.23)	41% (63)	35.4	43% (67)	40% (63)	4.18 (106)	45.1	2	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU	#34 (.24)	46% (31)		48% (24)	3.41 (12)	199	44% (37)	269	4.42 (24)	#119 (.27)	47% (122)		48% (112)	48% (123)	4.44 (122)	73.8	1.8	1.3
TEM	#128 (.04)	32% (132)		32% (133)	2.58 (127)	93	33% (127)	216	3.57 (97)	#100 (.23)	41% (63)		43% (67)	40% (63)	4.18 (106)	45.1	2	1.3

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Offense	12	31.9	25.2	45.6%	4.42	1.8	23	468	199	269	5.7	46%	54%	48%	44%	16%	.24
TEM Defense	12	35.4	24.7	41.2%	4.18	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	43%	40%	12%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Defense	12	37.8	45.2	47.4%	4.44	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	48%	48%	15%	.27
TEM Offense	12	19.6	22.3	32.4%	3.57	2	16	309	93	216	2.9	45%	55%	32%	33%	20%	.04

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Utah State	12	27:19	22.5	40%	50%	7.8	73.8	1.8	1.3	6	2.3	1	28.1
Temple	12	30:12	15.6	32%	42%	5.6	45.1	2	1.3	3.8	1.2	1	28.2

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Offense	12	46% (102)	48% (24)	35.1	199.3	5.7	21 (59)	.26 (13)	3.41 (12)	65% (117)	8% (39)	1.11 (18)
TEM Defense	12	57% (128)	43% (67)	-	-	-	-	.23 (119)	3.18 (94)	78% (100)	7% (126)	1.17 (126)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Defense	12	51% (69)	48% (112)	-	-	-	-	.25 (124)	3.45 (128)	76% (85)	10% (70)	0.96 (56)
TEM Offense	12	45% (107)	32% (133)	32.1	93.3	2.9	10 (122)	-.04 (128)	2.58 (127)	71% (86)	13% (123)	0.94 (81)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Offense	12	54% (36)	44% (37)	24.5	38.2	269.1	7.1	11	29 (12)	17 (127)	.25 (69)	1.5 (118)	29% (30)	33% (54)	.4 (38)	8% (124)	2.1 (31)
TEM Defense	12	42% (8)	40% (63)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.27 (84)	1.6 (79)	30% (100)	29% (48)	.29 (62)	5% (105)	1.9 (41)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Defense	12	49% (64)	48% (123)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (31)	.32 (106)	1.5 (30)	27% (129)	32% (97)	.32 (75)	5% (99)	1.8 (21)
TEM Offense	12	55% (30)	33% (127)	20.2	34.3	216	6.3	10.7	16 (87)	14 (115)	.13 (116)	1.7 (38)	39% (132)	23% (129)	.18 (112)	7% (105)	2.1 (48)

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -12.03 #105
Utah State's Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Utah State's Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Utah State's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Utah State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -12.03 Temple: -19.615

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -10.4 Temple: -20.3

Temple's Power Ratings
Temple's Power Rating: -19.615 #128
Temple's Offense Rating: 8.70 #131
Temple's Defense Rating: 15.86 #114
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Temple's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Temple's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.3 #127
Temple's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.3 #125
Temple's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #125

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.2

Utah State's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Utah State 33
Temple 24

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Utah State 31
Temple 29

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Temple 31
Utah State 30

Total Points: 61

Temple Scoring
Offense: 19.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.3
Defense: 35.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

Temple's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/21	Temple	45	Utah State	29	Utah State -6.5	Temple	53.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Temple	1	1	1 Overs
Utah State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0

(#105) USU at (#128) TEM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USU	TEM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#105	#128
SP+SP+	#106	#127
Perf GradeGrade	#116	#113
OffenseOff	#102	#123
DefenseDef	#124	#83
Spec TeamsST	#34	#77
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#53	#102

Utah State Notes(12/6) Hired HC Mendenhall, last at NM for 1 yr
(11/29) Rgame great vs CSU, 296/6.0. Pass D torched in L
(11/18) 5 INT's vs Hawaii, Rgame great (321, 7.6 ypc)
(11/9) Top WR Jalen Royals out for season (foot)
(10/22) Def stop rate 39% (#130) into week 9
(10/20) Petras 360 yds (NM), forced 4 TOs in near upset
(10/16) Monitor for quit watch. Def/Int Coach/Bad vibes
(10/11) Def is likely worst in CFB. #130+ all metrics
(10/10) Def is awful. Worst 2nd quarter D (nearly 21 ppg!)
(10/10) QB now Petras, hasn't been as awful as expected
(8/4) Portal lost #2 WR Davis (Ole Miss) this late??
(7/31) HC fired, Def awful, where does this go?
Utah State Injury Report

Temple Notes(12/1) Hired HC Keeler (SHSU), was 97-39 in 12 years
(11/18) Off awful, Def OK in FAU W. HC Drayton fired.
(11/17) HC Drayton fired, DC Withers interim
(10/28) -8.5 ppg via TOs, last in CFB thru 8 games
(10/27) Run D all. 231 (6.4 ypc), Off 3 TOs in ECU L
(10/20) QB Simon torched Tulsa in upset W, Run D great
(9/26) Run D gave up 700+ yds to Army/Navy. Awful team
(9/23) QB Simon a huge upgrade over Brock. Good find
(9/8) Torched by Navy? Rgame worst, Run D torched
(8/25) QB battle - Simon over Brock. JAG on paper
(8/13) Could be worst Def in CFB & new QB. Bad times
(8/13) Best bet for team to go winless in '24
Temple Injury Report

Utah State on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	USU Off	TEM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#102	#83
SuccessSuc	#31	#63
ExplosiveExp	#59	#108
PPAPPA	#34	#100
PowerPwr	#19	#114
SP+SP+	#45	#125
Pts POPPO	#24	#106
HavocHav	#81	#126

Utah State Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	USU Off	TEM Def
Run GameRun	#22	#110
Run SuccessRSuc	#24	#67
Run ExplRExp	#18	#126
PPAExp	#13	#119
Run BlockR Blk	#97	-
OL YdsOLY	#12	#94
Stuff RateStuff	#46	#109
TackleTak	-	#46

Utah State Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	USU Off	TEM Def
Pass GamePass	#90	#60
Pass SuccessPSuc	#37	#63
Pass ExplPExl	#118	#79
PPAExp	#69	#84
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#76	#60
F7 HavocF7	#39	#126
DB HavocDB	#124	#105

Temple on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	TEM Off	USU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#123	#124
SuccessSuc	#132	#122
ExplosiveExp	#29	#42
PPAPPA	#128	#119
PowerPwr	#131	#123
SP+SP+	#125	#129
Pts POPPO	#97	#122
HavocHav	#125	#81

Temple Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	TEM Off	USU Def
Run GameRun	#136	#135
Run SuccessRSuc	#133	#112
Run ExplRExp	#81	#56
PPAExp	#128	#124
Run BlockR Blk	#128	-
OL YdsOLY	#127	#128
Stuff RateStuff	#111	#95
TackleTak	-	#107

Temple Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	TEM Off	USU Def
Pass GamePass	#50	#83
Pass SuccessPSuc	#127	#123
Pass ExplPExl	#38	#30
PPAExp	#116	#106
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#122	#94
F7 HavocF7	#123	#70
DB HavocDB	#105	#99

Program Comparison
TEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

USU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lincoln Financial Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 80° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 4
Utah State 6.5 (53.5)
Temple won vs Utah State this year (45-29)

Previous Matchups
Temple beat Utah State last year (45-29)

USU's OC Kyle Cefalo (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Spencer Petras (Tr)	214	327	65%	2315	17	11	7.1
Bryson Barnes (Tr)	77	126	61%	856	12	6	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rahsul Faison	198	1109	8	5.6	37
Bryson Barnes (Tr)	68	530	5	7.8	63
Herschel Turner	79	405	4	5.1	43
Derrick Jameson	15	140	2	9.3	72

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Royals	55	834	6	15.2	75
Kyrese Rowan	44	526	3	12.0	57
Otto Tia	44	434	7	9.9	51
Jack Hestera (Tr)	24	340	4	14.2	32

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC Nate Dreiling (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Vincent (Tr)	117	1	0	1	2
Ike Larsen	80	2	0	0	9
Jon Ross Maye	57	4	0	3	1
John Miller (Tr)	52	6	2	4	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cian Slone	49	10	8	5	0
Bronson Olevao	23	4	4	3	0
Lawrence Falatea (Tr)	28	6	3	3	0
John Miller (Tr)	52	6	2	4	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Ike Larsen	80	2	9
Avante Dickerson	19	2	3
D.J. Graham	42	3	2

TEM's OC Danny Langsdorf (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Evan Simon (Tr)	181	308	59%	2032	15	9	6.6
Forrest Brock	60	103	58%	541	1	5	5.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Terrez Worthy	79	425	4	5.4	75
Antwain Littleton II (Tr)	93	305	1	3.3	37
Jocquez Smith	36	132	1	3.7	22
EJ Wilson Jr.	16	59	0	3.7	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dante Wright	61	792	6	13.0	91
Ashton Allen	24	324	2	13.5	60
Landon Morris	16	251	1	15.7	58
John Adams	16	194	1	12.1	35

View Temple's Full Roster

TEM's DC Everett Withers (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyquan King (Tr)	111	6	3	6	0
D.J. Woodbury	93	5	2	1	0
Andreas Keaton (Tr)	67	0	0	0	3
Javier Morton (Tr)	48	0	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Diwun Black	23	6	3	8	3
Tyquan King (Tr)	111	6	3	6	0
Tra Thomas	28	5	2	1	0
D.J. Woodbury	93	5	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jamel Johnson (Tr)	47	3	9
Jaylen Lewis (Tr)	43	2	5
Ben Osueke	26	0	4