Utah State Aggies at Colorado State Rams
Friday, November 29th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Colorado State -5.5 (56.5) (-210) Open: -5.5 | 60.5
Colorado State 42 - Utah State: 37 (Mountain West)
Aggies (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Nate Dreiling (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (25 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Coach Nate Dreiling (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (25 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
USU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Colorado State -9 (SP+ CSU -5)
Projected Score: USU: 25 - CSU: 34 (60)
CSU Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
USU Travel: 359 miles
Our Line: Colorado State -9 (SP+ CSU -5)
Projected Score: USU: 25 - CSU: 34 (60)
CSU Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
USU Travel: 359 miles
Rams (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (27 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (27 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
| Utah State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Utah State vs Robert Morris | -18.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Utah State at USC | +30.5 | 62.5 | L 0 - 48 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Utah State vs Utah | +20.5 | 43.5 | L 21 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Utah State at Temple | -6.5 | 53.5 | L 29 - 45 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Utah State at Boise State | +28.0 | 66.5 | L 30 - 62 | O | N | |
| Fri 10/11 | Utah State vs UNLV | +19.0 | 67.5 | L 34 - 50 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Utah State vs New Mexico | +1.0 | 78.5 | L 45 - 50 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Utah State at Wyoming | -2.5 | 57.0 | W 27 - 25 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Utah State at Washington State | +20.5 | 69.0 | L 28 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Utah State vs Hawai'i | +2.5 | 62.0 | W 55 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Utah State vs San Diego State | -5.0 | 60.0 | W 41 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Fri 11/29 | Utah State at Colorado State | +5.5 | 56.5 | L 37 - 42 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
| Colorado State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Colorado State at Texas | +35.5 | 59.0 | L 0 - 52 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Colorado State vs Northern Colorado | -31.0 | 52.5 | W 38 - 17 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Colorado State vs Colorado | +7.5 | 58.5 | L 9 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Colorado State vs UTEP | -8.5 | 49.0 | W 27 - 17 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Colorado State at Oregon State | +10.0 | 47.0 | L 31 - 39 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Colorado State vs San José State | -2.5 | 55.5 | W 31 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Colorado State at Air Force | -6.0 | 43.5 | W 21 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Colorado State vs New Mexico | -3.5 | 62.0 | W 17 - 6 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Colorado State at Nevada | -2.0 | 45.5 | W 38 - 21 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/15 | Colorado State vs Wyoming | -8.5 | 47.5 | W 24 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Colorado State at Fresno State | +3.5 | 43.5 | L 22 - 28 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Colorado State vs Utah State | -5.5 | 56.5 | W 42 - 37 | O | N | |
| Sat 12/28 | Colorado State vs Miami (OH) | +1.0 | 42.5 | L 17 - 43 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 7
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 7
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU | #50 (.22) | 42% (67) | 31.9 | 45% (52) | 3.36 (19) | 184 | 42% (68) | 254 | 3.27 (109) | #98 (.23) | 45% (114) | 37.8 | 49% (124) | 43% (82) | 4.41 (119) | 70.8 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| CSU | #81 (.17) | 42% (74) | 24.4 | 39% (118) | 2.7 (124) | 93 | 45% (38) | 307 | 3.66 (86) | #65 (.18) | 43% (80) | 25.8 | 42% (61) | 44% (107) | 3.4 (31) | 69.8 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| CSU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU Offense | 13 | 31.9 | 25.2 | 42.2% | 3.27 | 1.9 | 22 | 439 | 184 | 254 | 4.8 | 48% | 50% | 45% | 42% | 20% | .22 |
| CSU Defense | 12 | 25.8 | 19.9 | 42.9% | 3.4 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 47% | 42% | 44% | 16% | .18 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU Defense | 13 | 37.8 | 45.2 | 45.4% | 4.41 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 45% | 49% | 43% | 18% | .23 |
| CSU Offense | 12 | 24.4 | 26.9 | 41.6% | 3.66 | 2.1 | 21 | 399 | 93 | 307 | 3.4 | 39% | 59% | 39% | 45% | 16% | .17 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah State | 13 | 26:56 | 21.7 | 36% | 56% | 7.5 | 70.8 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 29.2 |
| Colorado State | 12 | 26:34 | 20.6 | 41% | 42% | 7.6 | 69.8 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 7.2 | 2.8 | 2 | 26.1 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU Offense | 13 | 48% (89) | 45% (52) | 38.2 | 184.5 | 4.8 | 18 (77) | .21 (33) | 3.36 (19) | 77% (40) | 12% (104) | 1 (68) |
| CSU Defense | 12 | 52% (102) | 42% (61) | - | - | - | - | .11 (47) | 3.05 (55) | 75% (82) | 12% (24) | 1.04 (90) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU Defense | 13 | 54% (113) | 49% (124) | - | - | - | - | .18 (93) | 3.1 (68) | 83% (118) | 11% (39) | 0.93 (34) |
| CSU Offense | 12 | 39% (126) | 39% (118) | 27.7 | 92.8 | 3.4 | 10 (124) | -.02 (130) | 2.7 (124) | 69% (102) | 7% (15) | 0.72 (133) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU Offense | 13 | 50% (56) | 42% (68) | 20.7 | 33.5 | 254.2 | 7.6 | 12.3 | 35 (7) | 19 (131) | .34 (48) | 1.8 (19) | 33% (87) | 33% (53) | .42 (40) | 8% (122) | 2.2 (30) |
| CSU Defense | 12 | 47% (31) | 44% (107) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (87) | .29 (87) | 1.4 (10) | 32% (69) | 30% (69) | .3 (60) | 4% (126) | 2.1 (79) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU Defense | 13 | 45% (22) | 43% (82) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (67) | .31 (95) | 1.6 (71) | 30% (108) | 31% (77) | .31 (70) | 7% (23) | 1.9 (32) |
| CSU Offense | 12 | 59% (9) | 45% (38) | 25.9 | 41.8 | 306.5 | 7.3 | 11.8 | 24 (41) | 18 (128) | .35 (43) | 1.5 (100) | 33% (86) | 29% (81) | .31 (74) | 8% (124) | 2 (105) |
Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -12.03 #105
Utah State's Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Utah State's Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
2024 Talent Rating: 408.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Utah State's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Utah State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Utah State's Power Rating: -12.03 #105
Utah State's Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Utah State's Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
2024 Talent Rating: 408.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Utah State's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Utah State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -12.03 Colorado State: -2.37
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -10.4 Colorado State: -5.7
Utah State: -12.03 Colorado State: -2.37
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -10.4 Colorado State: -5.7
Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -2.37 #78
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
2024 Talent Rating: 502.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Colorado State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Colorado State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Colorado State's Power Rating: -2.37 #78
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
2024 Talent Rating: 502.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Colorado State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Colorado State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Utah State Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.2
Utah State's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.2
Utah State's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Colorado State 34
Utah State 25
Projected Total Points: 60
Colorado State 34
Utah State 25
Projected Total Points: 60
Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.9
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.9
Colorado State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.9
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.9
Colorado State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/29 | Colorado State | 42 | Utah State | 37 | Colorado State | Colorado State -5.5 | Utah State | 56.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 10/07 | Utah State | 44 | Colorado State | 24 | Utah State | Colorado State -3 | Utah State | 62.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/15 | Colorado State | 13 | Utah State | 17 | Utah State | Utah State -14 | Colorado State | 45.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 10/22 | Utah State | 26 | Colorado State | 24 | Utah State | Colorado State -3 | Utah State | 58.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 09/28 | Utah State | 34 | Colorado State | 24 | Utah State | Utah State -24 | Colorado State | 69.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/17 | Colorado State | 24 | Utah State | 29 | Utah State | Utah State -30.5 | Colorado State | 66.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 10/07 | Utah State | 14 | Colorado State | 27 | Colorado State | Colorado State -9.5 | Colorado State | 65.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/08 | Colorado State | 31 | Utah State | 24 | Colorado State | Utah State -6 | Colorado State | 53.5 | Over |
| 2015 | 10/03 | Utah State | 33 | Colorado State | 18 | Utah State | Utah State -7 | Utah State | 50.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 10/18 | Colorado State | 16 | Utah State | 13 | Colorado State | Colorado State -5.5 | Utah State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/23 | Utah State | 13 | Colorado State | 0 | Utah State | Utah State -6 | Utah State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 09/22 | Colorado State | 19 | Utah State | 31 | Utah State | ||||
| 2011 | 09/24 | Utah State | 34 | Colorado State | 35 | Colorado State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado State | 5 | 5 | 4 Overs |
| Utah State | 8 | 6 | 5 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 8 - 5 | 7 - 4 | 2 - 3 | 5 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 5 - 8 | 4 - 7 | 1 - 5 | 3 - 2 |
(#105) Utah State Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -12.03 #105
Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 408.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Good Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.44 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Utah State Notes
(11/29) Rgame great vs CSU, 296/6.0. Pass D torched in L
(11/18) 5 INT's vs Hawaii, Rgame great (321, 7.6 ypc)
(11/9) Top WR Jalen Royals out for season (foot)
(10/22) Def stop rate 39% (#130) into week 9
(10/20) Petras 360 yds (NM), forced 4 TOs in near upset
(10/16) Monitor for quit watch. Def/Int Coach/Bad vibes
(10/11) Def is likely worst in CFB. #130+ all metrics
(10/10) Def is awful. Worst 2nd quarter D (nearly 21 ppg!)
(10/10) QB now Petras, hasn't been as awful as expected
(8/4) Portal lost #2 WR Davis (Ole Miss) this late??
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -12.03 #105
Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 408.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Good Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.44 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Utah State Notes
(11/29) Rgame great vs CSU, 296/6.0. Pass D torched in L
(11/18) 5 INT's vs Hawaii, Rgame great (321, 7.6 ypc)
(11/9) Top WR Jalen Royals out for season (foot)
(10/22) Def stop rate 39% (#130) into week 9
(10/20) Petras 360 yds (NM), forced 4 TOs in near upset
(10/16) Monitor for quit watch. Def/Int Coach/Bad vibes
(10/11) Def is likely worst in CFB. #130+ all metrics
(10/10) Def is awful. Worst 2nd quarter D (nearly 21 ppg!)
(10/10) QB now Petras, hasn't been as awful as expected
(8/4) Portal lost #2 WR Davis (Ole Miss) this late??
Power #105
#78Off #19
#74Def #123
#69Talent #115
#98SP+ #106
#93SP+ Off #45
#92SP+ Def #129
#85Rematch from Week 14
Colorado State -5.5 (56.5)
Colorado State won vs Utah State this year (42-37)
Previous Matchups
Colorado State beat Utah State last year (42-37)
Utah State beat Colorado State in 2023 (44-24)
Utah State beat Colorado State in 2022 (17-13)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 39° - Wind: 6 mph
Team Information
Injuries: USU | CSU
Depth Chart: USU | CSU
Rosters: USU | CSU
(#78) Colorado State Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.37 #78
Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85
Talent Rating: 502.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.56 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Colorado State Notes
(11/29) Came back from 30-13 deficit with 29 str pts
(11/18) Rgame mauled Wyom, Def great TW. Hot team
(11/3) Won 4 straight, Rgame good over Nevada
(11/2) CSU has covered 5 straight into Nevada gm
(10/20) Def all 350 to Air Force? Rgame good enough
(10/14) Star WR Tory Horton out for season (knee)
(10/13) QB/Rgame better (4.8 ypc) in W over SJSU
(10/10) Rgame showed better vs Oreg St, QB still JAG
(8/11) CSU has not bowled in 7 years, pressure
(7/31) Should bowl, but o/u 6 wins feels dead on
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.37 #78
Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85
Talent Rating: 502.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.56 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Colorado State Notes
(11/29) Came back from 30-13 deficit with 29 str pts
(11/18) Rgame mauled Wyom, Def great TW. Hot team
(11/3) Won 4 straight, Rgame good over Nevada
(11/2) CSU has covered 5 straight into Nevada gm
(10/20) Def all 350 to Air Force? Rgame good enough
(10/14) Star WR Tory Horton out for season (knee)
(10/13) QB/Rgame better (4.8 ypc) in W over SJSU
(10/10) Rgame showed better vs Oreg St, QB still JAG
(8/11) CSU has not bowled in 7 years, pressure
(7/31) Should bowl, but o/u 6 wins feels dead on
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Petras (Tr) | 214 | 327 | 65% | 2315 | 17 | 11 | 7.1 |
| Bryson Barnes (Tr) | 77 | 126 | 61% | 856 | 12 | 6 | 6.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rahsul Faison | 198 | 1109 | 8 | 5.6 | 37 |
| Bryson Barnes (Tr) | 68 | 530 | 5 | 7.8 | 63 |
| Herschel Turner | 79 | 405 | 4 | 5.1 | 43 |
| Derrick Jameson | 15 | 140 | 2 | 9.3 | 72 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otto Tia | 44 | 434 | 7 | 9.9 | 51 |
| Jack Hestera (Tr) | 24 | 340 | 4 | 14.2 | 32 |
| Grant Page | 33 | 281 | 2 | 8.5 | 35 |
| Josh Sterzer | 20 | 202 | 4 | 10.1 | 37 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Vincent (Tr) | 117 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Ike Larsen | 80 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Jon Ross Maye | 57 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| John Miller (Tr) | 52 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cian Slone | 49 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| Bronson Olevao | 23 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Lawrence Falatea (Tr) | 28 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| John Miller (Tr) | 52 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ike Larsen | 80 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Avante Dickerson | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jordan Vincent (Tr) | 117 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi | 227 | 374 | 61% | 2755 | 14 | 8 | 7.4 |
| Jackson Brousseau | 3 | 6 | 50% | 15 | 0 | 1 | 2.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Marshall | 156 | 767 | 4 | 4.9 | 42 |
| Jalen Dupree | 25 | 153 | 1 | 6.1 | 24 |
| Keegan Holles | 15 | 97 | 1 | 6.5 | 18 |
| Caleb Goodie | 5 | 87 | 0 | 17.4 | 46 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Goodie | 21 | 436 | 4 | 20.8 | 85 |
| Jamari Person | 35 | 373 | 1 | 10.7 | 60 |
| Armani Winfield (Tr) | 38 | 341 | 2 | 9.0 | 62 |
| Vince Brown II | 24 | 256 | 3 | 10.7 | 30 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Wilson | 97 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| Buom Jock | 97 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Owen Long | 44 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Gabe Kirschke (Tr) | 41 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Kirschke (Tr) | 41 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 2 |
| Mukendi Wa-Kalonji | 35 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Kennedy McDowell | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Ayden Hector | 40 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias Larry (Tr) | 38 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| Ayden Hector | 40 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| Isaiah Essissima (Tr) | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |