Utah State Aggies at Wyoming Cowboys
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Utah State -2.5 (57.0) (110) Open: -2.5 | 57.0
Utah State 27 - Wyoming: 25 (Mountain West)
Aggies (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Nate Dreiling (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (25 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Coach Nate Dreiling (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (25 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
USU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Utah State -2 (SP+ USU -3)
Projected Score: USU: 30 - WYO: 28 (58)
USU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
USU Travel: 324 miles
Our Line: Utah State -2 (SP+ USU -3)
Projected Score: USU: 30 - WYO: 28 (58)
USU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
USU Travel: 324 miles
Cowboys (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jay Sawvel (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 28 (20 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Coach Jay Sawvel (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 28 (20 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
| Utah State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Utah State vs Robert Morris | -18.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Utah State at USC | +30.5 | 62.5 | L 0 - 48 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Utah State vs Utah | +20.5 | 43.5 | L 21 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Utah State at Temple | -6.5 | 53.5 | L 29 - 45 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Utah State at Boise State | +28.0 | 66.5 | L 30 - 62 | O | N | |
| Fri 10/11 | Utah State vs UNLV | +19.0 | 67.5 | L 34 - 50 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Utah State vs New Mexico | +1.0 | 78.5 | L 45 - 50 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Utah State at Wyoming | -2.5 | 57.0 | W 27 - 25 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Utah State at Washington State | +20.5 | 69.0 | L 28 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Utah State vs Hawai'i | +2.5 | 62.0 | W 55 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Utah State vs San Diego State | -5.0 | 60.0 | W 41 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Fri 11/29 | Utah State at Colorado State | +5.5 | 56.5 | L 37 - 42 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
| Wyoming's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Wyoming at Arizona State | +6.5 | 47.0 | L 7 - 48 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Wyoming vs Idaho | -6.5 | 39.5 | L 13 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Wyoming vs BYU | +9.5 | 40.5 | L 14 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Wyoming at North Texas | +7.0 | 55.0 | L 17 - 44 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Wyoming vs Air Force | +4.0 | 33.5 | W 31 - 19 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Wyoming vs San Diego State | -1.5 | 43.0 | L 24 - 27 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Wyoming at San José State | +13.0 | 53.0 | L 14 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Wyoming vs Utah State | +2.5 | 57.0 | L 25 - 27 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Wyoming at New Mexico | +7.5 | 60.5 | W 49 - 45 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/15 | Wyoming at Colorado State | +8.5 | 47.5 | L 10 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Wyoming vs Boise State | +22.0 | 54.0 | L 13 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Wyoming at Washington State | +18.5 | 55.5 | W 15 - 14 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU | #34 (.24) | 46% (31) | 31.9 | 48% (24) | 3.41 (12) | 199 | 44% (37) | 269 | 4.42 (24) | #119 (.27) | 47% (122) | 37.8 | 48% (112) | 48% (123) | 4.44 (122) | 73.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| WYO | #127 (.05) | 36% (126) | 19.3 | 39% (111) | 2.64 (122) | 138 | 34% (125) | 189 | 3.07 (126) | #102 (.23) | 44% (96) | 28.3 | 43% (70) | 45% (113) | 3.97 (86) | 49.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU | #34 (.24) | 46% (31) | 48% (24) | 3.41 (12) | 199 | 44% (37) | 269 | 4.42 (24) | #119 (.27) | 47% (122) | 48% (112) | 48% (123) | 4.44 (122) | 73.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | ||
| WYO | #127 (.05) | 36% (126) | 39% (111) | 2.64 (122) | 138 | 34% (125) | 189 | 3.07 (126) | #102 (.23) | 44% (96) | 43% (70) | 45% (113) | 3.97 (86) | 49.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU Offense | 12 | 31.9 | 25.2 | 45.6% | 4.42 | 1.8 | 23 | 468 | 199 | 269 | 5.7 | 46% | 54% | 48% | 44% | 16% | .24 |
| WYO Defense | 12 | 28.3 | 23.5 | 44% | 3.97 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 48% | 43% | 45% | 15% | .23 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU Defense | 12 | 37.8 | 45.2 | 47.4% | 4.44 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 49% | 48% | 48% | 15% | .27 |
| WYO Offense | 12 | 19.3 | 20 | 36.4% | 3.07 | 1.3 | 17 | 327 | 138 | 189 | 3.6 | 54% | 46% | 39% | 34% | 17% | .05 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah State | 12 | 27:19 | 22.5 | 40% | 50% | 7.8 | 73.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 6 | 2.3 | 1 | 28.1 |
| Wyoming | 12 | 30:52 | 17.3 | 36% | 60% | 5.5 | 49.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 1.3 | 2 | 28 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU Offense | 12 | 46% (102) | 48% (24) | 35.1 | 199.3 | 5.7 | 21 (59) | .26 (13) | 3.41 (12) | 65% (117) | 8% (39) | 1.11 (18) |
| WYO Defense | 12 | 52% (82) | 43% (70) | - | - | - | - | .21 (112) | 3.09 (85) | 62% (12) | 9% (87) | 1.19 (128) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU Defense | 12 | 51% (69) | 48% (112) | - | - | - | - | .25 (124) | 3.45 (128) | 76% (85) | 10% (70) | 0.96 (56) |
| WYO Offense | 12 | 54% (40) | 39% (111) | 38.2 | 138.1 | 3.6 | 14 (98) | .02 (117) | 2.64 (122) | 62% (121) | 11% (92) | 0.94 (83) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU Offense | 12 | 54% (36) | 44% (37) | 24.5 | 38.2 | 269.1 | 7.1 | 11 | 29 (12) | 17 (127) | .25 (69) | 1.5 (118) | 29% (30) | 33% (54) | .4 (38) | 8% (124) | 2.1 (31) |
| WYO Defense | 12 | 48% (55) | 45% (113) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 (109) | .25 (78) | 1.4 (10) | 31% (81) | 32% (85) | .32 (73) | 5% (102) | 1.8 (16) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU Defense | 12 | 49% (64) | 48% (123) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (31) | .32 (106) | 1.5 (30) | 27% (129) | 32% (97) | .32 (75) | 5% (99) | 1.8 (21) |
| WYO Offense | 12 | 46% (93) | 34% (125) | 15.1 | 28.9 | 188.6 | 6.5 | 12.5 | 11 (122) | 11 (72) | .08 (126) | 1.8 (19) | 34% (110) | 25% (118) | .15 (126) | 6% (72) | 2.1 (62) |
Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -12.03 #105
Utah State's Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Utah State's Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Utah State's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Utah State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Utah State's Power Rating: -12.03 #105
Utah State's Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Utah State's Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Utah State's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Utah State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -12.03 Wyoming: -13.155
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -10.4 Wyoming: -13.6
Utah State: -12.03 Wyoming: -13.155
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -10.4 Wyoming: -13.6
Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -13.155 #117
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 11.64 #122
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 11.59 #84
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Wyoming's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Wyoming's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.6 #115
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #127
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Wyoming's Power Rating: -13.155 #117
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 11.64 #122
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 11.59 #84
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Wyoming's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Wyoming's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.6 #115
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #127
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Utah State Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.2
Utah State's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.2
Utah State's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Utah State 30
Wyoming 28
Total Points: 58
Utah State 30
Wyoming 28
Total Points: 58
Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 20
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.5
Wyoming's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 20
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.5
Wyoming's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/26 | Wyoming | 25 | Utah State | 27 | Utah State | Utah State -2.5 | Wyoming | 57.0 | Under |
| 2022 | 10/22 | Wyoming | 28 | Utah State | 14 | Wyoming | Wyoming -5 | Wyoming | 44.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/20 | Utah State | 17 | Wyoming | 44 | Wyoming | Utah State -6 | Wyoming | 52.0 | Over |
| 2019 | 11/16 | Utah State | 26 | Wyoming | 21 | Utah State | Utah State -4 | Utah State | 51.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/20 | Wyoming | 16 | Utah State | 24 | Utah State | Utah State -13.5 | Wyoming | 49.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 10/14 | Utah State | 23 | Wyoming | 28 | Wyoming | Utah State -1 | Wyoming | 49.5 | Over |
| 2016 | 11/05 | Wyoming | 52 | Utah State | 28 | Wyoming | Wyoming -4 | Wyoming | 55.5 | Over |
| 2015 | 10/30 | Utah State | 58 | Wyoming | 27 | Utah State | Utah State -24 | Utah State | 48.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/07 | Wyoming | 3 | Utah State | 20 | Utah State | Utah State -4.5 | Utah State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/30 | Utah State | 35 | Wyoming | 7 | Utah State | Utah State -20 | Utah State | 0 | |
| 2011 | 10/08 | Utah State | 63 | Wyoming | 19 | Utah State | ||||
| 2007 | 09/08 | Wyoming | 32 | Utah State | 18 | Wyoming | ||||
| 2006 | 09/02 | Wyoming | 38 | Utah State | 7 | Wyoming | ||||
| 2003 | 10/11 | Utah State | 21 | Wyoming | 48 | Wyoming | ||||
| 2001 | 09/22 | Utah State | 42 | Wyoming | 43 | Wyoming |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wyoming | 8 | 6 | 4 Overs |
| Utah State | 7 | 4 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 8 - 7 | 7 - 3 | 5 - 2 | 2 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 7 - 8 | 3 - 7 | 1 - 2 | 2 - 5 |
(#105) Utah State Info
Power Rating: -12.03 #105
Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Good Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.44 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Utah State has lost 6 straight
Utah State has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread )
Utah State Notes
(11/29) Rgame great vs CSU, 296/6.0. Pass D torched in L
(11/18) 5 INT's vs Hawaii, Rgame great (321, 7.6 ypc)
(11/9) Top WR Jalen Royals out for season (foot)
(10/22) Def stop rate 39% (#130) into week 9
(10/20) Petras 360 yds (NM), forced 4 TOs in near upset
(10/16) Monitor for quit watch. Def/Int Coach/Bad vibes
(10/11) Def is likely worst in CFB. #130+ all metrics
(10/10) Def is awful. Worst 2nd quarter D (nearly 21 ppg!)
(10/10) QB now Petras, hasn't been as awful as expected
(8/4) Portal lost #2 WR Davis (Ole Miss) this late??
Utah State Highlights
Utah State has a top Offensive Line (#112)
Utah State offense is good in red zone (#21)
Utah State Deficiencies
Utah State has a bad TO Margin (#11)
Utah State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#129)
Utah State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Utah State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Utah State has a bad defense (#115)
Utah State has a bad defensive line (#83)
Utah State has a bad red zone defense (#130)
Power Rating: -12.03 #105
Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Good Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.44 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Utah State has lost 6 straight
Utah State has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread )
Utah State Notes
(11/29) Rgame great vs CSU, 296/6.0. Pass D torched in L
(11/18) 5 INT's vs Hawaii, Rgame great (321, 7.6 ypc)
(11/9) Top WR Jalen Royals out for season (foot)
(10/22) Def stop rate 39% (#130) into week 9
(10/20) Petras 360 yds (NM), forced 4 TOs in near upset
(10/16) Monitor for quit watch. Def/Int Coach/Bad vibes
(10/11) Def is likely worst in CFB. #130+ all metrics
(10/10) Def is awful. Worst 2nd quarter D (nearly 21 ppg!)
(10/10) QB now Petras, hasn't been as awful as expected
(8/4) Portal lost #2 WR Davis (Ole Miss) this late??
Utah State Highlights
Utah State has a top Offensive Line (#112)
Utah State offense is good in red zone (#21)
Utah State Deficiencies
Utah State has a bad TO Margin (#11)
Utah State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#129)
Utah State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Utah State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Utah State has a bad defense (#115)
Utah State has a bad defensive line (#83)
Utah State has a bad red zone defense (#130)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | WYO | USU |
| OverallOver | #75 | #83 |
| OffenseOff | #95 | #81 |
| DefenseDef | #52 | #103 |
| Special TeamsST | #79 | #30 |
| PassingPass | #99 | #71 |
| RushingRush | #93 | #16 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #48 | #75 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #96 | #67 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #90 | #86 |
| TacklingTkl | #83 | #92 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #37 | #110 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #66 | #80 |
| Coverage DefCov | #69 | #67 |
Rematch from Week 9
Utah State 2.5 (57.0)
Utah State won at Wyoming this year (27-25)
Previous Matchups
Utah State beat Wyoming last year (27-25)
Wyoming beat Utah State in 2022 (28-14)
Weather Forecast
Playing in War Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: USU | WYO
Depth Chart: USU | WYO
Rosters: USU | WYO
(#117) Wyoming Info
Power Rating: -13.155 #117
Offense Rating: 11.64 #122
Defense Rating: 11.59 #84
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.6 #115
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #127
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.07 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Awful Pass Success 34%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Wyoming has lost 2 straight
Wyoming has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 5 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Wyoming Notes
(11/18) Off abysmal vs CSU, WR drops all over. Awful TY
(11/15) HC Sawvel is a f'ing idiot, punts down 14 late
(11/3) Off much better, QB Anderson lit up N. Mex in W
(10/20) 310 yds & 3 TOs vs SJSU. Forced 4 TOs in L
(10/17) Running more tempo in '24, Overs are 5-1
(10/13) QB Svoboda awful, Rgame better in L SDSU
(9/20) Off is near worst in CFB. WR awful, QB bad
(9/8) Lost @ home to Idaho? QB awful, penalties
(9/1) Mauled @ ASU, DL 241 yds rushing, run game awful
(8/11) DL may be best in MWC, OL exp'd and rising
Wyoming Highlights
Wyoming Deficiencies
Wyoming has a really bad Offense
Wyoming has a really bad Offense at Home
Wyoming offense is really bad (#60)
Wyoming Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#104)
Wyoming offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#119)
Wyoming run game is really bad (#49)
Wyoming pass game is really bad (#82)
Wyoming does not Sack the QB (#64)
Power Rating: -13.155 #117
Offense Rating: 11.64 #122
Defense Rating: 11.59 #84
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.6 #115
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #127
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.07 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Awful Pass Success 34%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Wyoming has lost 2 straight
Wyoming has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 5 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Wyoming Notes
(11/18) Off abysmal vs CSU, WR drops all over. Awful TY
(11/15) HC Sawvel is a f'ing idiot, punts down 14 late
(11/3) Off much better, QB Anderson lit up N. Mex in W
(10/20) 310 yds & 3 TOs vs SJSU. Forced 4 TOs in L
(10/17) Running more tempo in '24, Overs are 5-1
(10/13) QB Svoboda awful, Rgame better in L SDSU
(9/20) Off is near worst in CFB. WR awful, QB bad
(9/8) Lost @ home to Idaho? QB awful, penalties
(9/1) Mauled @ ASU, DL 241 yds rushing, run game awful
(8/11) DL may be best in MWC, OL exp'd and rising
Wyoming Highlights
Wyoming Deficiencies
Wyoming has a really bad Offense
Wyoming has a really bad Offense at Home
Wyoming offense is really bad (#60)
Wyoming Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#104)
Wyoming offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#119)
Wyoming run game is really bad (#49)
Wyoming pass game is really bad (#82)
Wyoming does not Sack the QB (#64)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Petras (Tr) | 214 | 327 | 65% | 2315 | 17 | 11 | 7.1 |
| Bryson Barnes (Tr) | 77 | 126 | 61% | 856 | 12 | 6 | 6.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rahsul Faison | 198 | 1109 | 8 | 5.6 | 37 |
| Bryson Barnes (Tr) | 68 | 530 | 5 | 7.8 | 63 |
| Herschel Turner | 79 | 405 | 4 | 5.1 | 43 |
| Derrick Jameson | 15 | 140 | 2 | 9.3 | 72 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Royals | 55 | 834 | 6 | 15.2 | 75 |
| Kyrese Rowan | 44 | 526 | 3 | 12.0 | 57 |
| Otto Tia | 44 | 434 | 7 | 9.9 | 51 |
| Jack Hestera (Tr) | 24 | 340 | 4 | 14.2 | 32 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Vincent (Tr) | 117 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Ike Larsen | 80 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Jon Ross Maye | 57 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| John Miller (Tr) | 52 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cian Slone | 49 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| Bronson Olevao | 23 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Lawrence Falatea (Tr) | 28 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| John Miller (Tr) | 52 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ike Larsen | 80 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Avante Dickerson | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| D.J. Graham | 42 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Svoboda | 111 | 226 | 49% | 1308 | 5 | 8 | 5.8 |
| Kaden Anderson | 70 | 120 | 58% | 955 | 6 | 3 | 8.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Scott | 92 | 435 | 3 | 4.7 | 43 |
| Harrison Waylee | 63 | 323 | 1 | 5.1 | 36 |
| Jamari Ferrell | 80 | 318 | 1 | 4.0 | 62 |
| Evan Svoboda | 109 | 237 | 5 | 2.2 | 51 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Sargent | 23 | 480 | 2 | 20.9 | 70 |
| Johnmichael Gyllenborg | 30 | 425 | 3 | 14.2 | 63 |
| Chris Durr Jr. | 31 | 348 | 1 | 11.2 | 40 |
| Tyler King (Tr) | 17 | 236 | 0 | 13.9 | 36 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shae Suiaunoa | 87 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Connor Shay | 76 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Isaac White | 57 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Wrook Brown | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyce Westland | 41 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Sabastian Harsh | 41 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Braden Siders | 20 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| DeVonne Harris | 21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrecus Davis | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Keany Parks | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Wrook Brown | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |