Utah State at Wyoming Game Matchup
Utah State logo Utah State Aggies at Wyoming CowboysWyoming logo
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Utah State -2.5 (57.0) (110)  Open: -2.5 | 57.0
Utah State 27 - Wyoming: 25  (Mountain West)

 
Aggies (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Nate Dreiling (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (25 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
USU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Utah State -2   (SP+ USU -3)

Projected Score: USU: 30 - WYO: 28 (59)
USU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
USU Travel: 324 miles
Cowboys (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jay Sawvel (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 28 (20 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
 
Utah State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Utah State vs Robert Morris-18.5
Sat 9/7 Utah State at USC+30.562.5L 0 - 48UN
Sat 9/14 Utah State vs Utah+20.543.5L 21 - 38OY
Sat 9/21 Utah State at Temple-6.553.5L 29 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Utah State at Boise State+28.066.5L 30 - 62ON
Fri 10/11 Utah State vs UNLV+19.067.5L 34 - 50OY
Sat 10/19 Utah State vs New Mexico+1.078.5L 45 - 50ON
Sat 10/26 Utah State at Wyoming-2.557.0W 27 - 25UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Utah State at Washington State+20.569.0L 28 - 49ON
Sat 11/16 Utah State vs Hawai'i+2.562.0W 55 - 10OY
Sat 11/23 Utah State vs San Diego State-5.060.0W 41 - 20OY
Fri 11/29 Utah State at Colorado State+5.556.5L 37 - 42OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
Wyoming's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Wyoming at Arizona State+6.547.0L 7 - 48ON
Sat 9/7 Wyoming vs Idaho-6.539.5L 13 - 17UN
Sat 9/14 Wyoming vs BYU+9.540.5L 14 - 34ON
Sat 9/21 Wyoming at North Texas+7.055.0L 17 - 44ON
Sat 9/28 Wyoming vs Air Force+4.033.5W 31 - 19OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Wyoming vs San Diego State-1.543.0L 24 - 27ON
Sat 10/19 Wyoming at San José State+13.053.0L 14 - 24UY
Sat 10/26 Wyoming vs Utah State+2.557.0L 25 - 27UY
Sat 11/2 Wyoming at New Mexico+7.560.5W 49 - 45OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15 Wyoming at Colorado State+8.547.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/23 Wyoming vs Boise State+22.054.0L 13 - 17UY
Sat 11/30 Wyoming at Washington State+18.555.5W 15 - 14UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU#50 (.22)42% (67)31.945% (52)3.36 (19)18442% (68)2543.27 (109)#98 (.23)45% (114)37.849% (124)43% (82)4.41 (119)70.81.91.5
WYO#71 (.19)43% (56)19.344% (60)3.25 (41)15843% (59)1693.97 (60)#76 (.19)43% (77)28.342% (58)44% (104)3.44 (40)33.40.81.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WYO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Offense1331.925.242.2%3.271.9224391842544.848%50%45%42%20%.22
WYO Defense1328.323.542.6%3.441.7 - - - - - 48%51%42%44%14%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Defense1337.845.245.4%4.411.5 - - - - - 54%45%49%43%18%.23
WYO Offense1319.32043.1%3.970.8193271581694.456%44%44%43%14%.19

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Utah State1326:5621.736%56%7.570.81.91.55.51.8329.2
Wyoming1330:1518.637%67%3.933.40.81.73.81.5128.9
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Offense1348% (89)45% (52)38.2184.54.818 (77).21 (33)3.36 (19)77% (40)12% (104)1 (68)
WYO Defense1348% (47)42% (58) - - - - .13 (64)3.17 (86)71% (55)7% (130)0.94 (38)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Defense1354% (113)49% (124) - - - - .18 (93)3.1 (68)83% (118)11% (39)0.93 (34)
WYO Offense1356% (28)44% (60)36158.54.419 (69).17 (53)3.25 (41)82% (11)9% (53)1 (66)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Offense1350% (56)42% (68)20.733.5254.27.612.335 (7)19 (131).34 (48)1.8 (19)33% (87)33% (53).42 (40)8% (122)2.2 (30)
WYO Defense1351% (87)44% (104) - - - - - - 11 (53).28 (79)1.5 (25)32% (74)31% (81).33 (77)6% (59)2 (64)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Defense1345% (22)43% (82) - - - - - - 10 (67).31 (95)1.6 (71)30% (108)31% (77).31 (70)7% (23)1.9 (32)
WYO Offense1344% (106)43% (59)14.523.4168.57.211.620 (70)6 (14).23 (86)1.5 (101)29% (23)32% (61).3 (80)5% (20)2 (85)

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -12.03 #105
Utah State's Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Utah State's Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
2024 Talent Rating: 408.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Utah State's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Utah State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -12.03   Wyoming: -13.155

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -10.4   Wyoming: -13.6




Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -13.155 #117
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 11.64 #122
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 11.59 #84
2024 Talent Rating: 462.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Wyoming's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Wyoming's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.6 #115
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #127
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Utah State Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.2

Utah State's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Utah State 30
Wyoming 28


Projected Total Points: 59
Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 20
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.5

Wyoming's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Wyoming25Utah State27Utah StateUtah State -2.5Wyoming57.0Under
202210/22Wyoming28Utah State14WyomingWyoming -5Wyoming44.5Under
202111/20Utah State17Wyoming44WyomingUtah State -6Wyoming52.0Over
201911/16Utah State26Wyoming21Utah StateUtah State -4Utah State51.0Under
201810/20Wyoming16Utah State24Utah StateUtah State -13.5Wyoming49.0Under
201710/14Utah State23Wyoming28WyomingUtah State -1Wyoming49.5Over
201611/05Wyoming52Utah State28WyomingWyoming -4Wyoming55.5Over
201510/30Utah State58Wyoming27Utah StateUtah State -24Utah State48.0Over
201411/07Wyoming3Utah State20Utah StateUtah State -4.5Utah State0
201311/30Utah State35Wyoming7Utah StateUtah State -20Utah State0
201110/08Utah State63Wyoming19Utah State
200709/08Wyoming32Utah State18Wyoming
200609/02Wyoming38Utah State7Wyoming
200310/11Utah State21Wyoming48Wyoming
200109/22Utah State42Wyoming43Wyoming
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wyoming864 Overs
Utah State744 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 77 - 35 - 22 - 1
Road Teams7 - 83 - 71 - 22 - 5

(#105) Utah State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -12.03 #105
Offense Rating: 24.87 #19
Defense Rating: 17.16 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 408.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Good Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.44 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Utah State Notes
(11/29) Rgame great vs CSU, 296/6.0. Pass D torched in L
(11/18) 5 INT's vs Hawaii, Rgame great (321, 7.6 ypc)
(11/9) Top WR Jalen Royals out for season (foot)
(10/22) Def stop rate 39% (#130) into week 9
(10/20) Petras 360 yds (NM), forced 4 TOs in near upset
(10/16) Monitor for quit watch. Def/Int Coach/Bad vibes
(10/11) Def is likely worst in CFB. #130+ all metrics
(10/10) Def is awful. Worst 2nd quarter D (nearly 21 ppg!)
(10/10) QB now Petras, hasn't been as awful as expected
(8/4) Portal lost #2 WR Davis (Ole Miss) this late??
Utah State     Ratings Matchup     Wyoming
Power #105
#117
Off #19
#122
Def #123
#84
Talent #115
#108
SP+ #106
#115
SP+ Off #45
#127
SP+ Def #129
#95

Rematch from Week 9
Utah State 2.5 (57.0)
Utah State won at Wyoming this year (27-25)

Previous Matchups
Utah State beat Wyoming last year (27-25)
Wyoming beat Utah State in 2022 (28-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in War Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 59° - Wind: 8 mph


Team Information
Injuries: USU | WYO
Depth Chart: USU | WYO
Rosters: USU | WYO
(#117) Wyoming Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -13.155 #117
Offense Rating: 11.64 #122
Defense Rating: 11.59 #84
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.6 #115
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #127
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95
Talent Rating: 462.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.07 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Awful Pass Success 34%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Wyoming Notes
(11/18) Off abysmal vs CSU, WR drops all over. Awful TY
(11/15) HC Sawvel is a f'ing idiot, punts down 14 late
(11/3) Off much better, QB Anderson lit up N. Mex in W
(10/20) 310 yds & 3 TOs vs SJSU. Forced 4 TOs in L
(10/17) Running more tempo in '24, Overs are 5-1
(10/13) QB Svoboda awful, Rgame better in L SDSU
(9/20) Off is near worst in CFB. WR awful, QB bad
(9/8) Lost @ home to Idaho? QB awful, penalties
(9/1) Mauled @ ASU, DL 241 yds rushing, run game awful
(8/11) DL may be best in MWC, OL exp'd and rising


  
Utah State's OC Kyle Cefalo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Spencer Petras (Tr)21432765%231517117.1
Bryson Barnes (Tr)7712661%8561266.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rahsul Faison198110985.637
Bryson Barnes (Tr)6853057.863
Herschel Turner7940545.143
Derrick Jameson1514029.372
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Otto Tia4443479.951
Jack Hestera (Tr)24340414.232
Grant Page3328128.535
Josh Sterzer20202410.137

View Utah State's Full Roster
Utah State's DC Nate Dreiling
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Vincent (Tr)1171012
Ike Larsen802009
Jon Ross Maye574031
John Miller (Tr)526242
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cian Slone4910850
Bronson Olevao234430
Lawrence Falatea (Tr)286330
John Miller (Tr)526242
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ike Larsen802009
Avante Dickerson192003
Jordan Vincent (Tr)1171012

Wyoming's OC Jay Johnson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Evan Svoboda11122649%1308585.8
Kaden Anderson7012058%955638.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Scott9243534.743
Harrison Waylee6332315.136
Jamari Ferrell8031814.062
Evan Svoboda10923752.251
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylen Sargent23480220.970
Johnmichael Gyllenborg30425314.263
Chris Durr Jr.31348111.240
Tyler King (Tr)17236013.936

View Wyoming's Full Roster
Wyoming's DC Aaron Bohl
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wrook Brown481006
Tyrecus Davis421008
Tyce Westland416300
Keany Parks411007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyce Westland416300
Sabastian Harsh419310
Braden Siders204200
Ben Florentine264111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyrecus Davis421008
Keany Parks411007
Wrook Brown481006