Northern Iowa at Hawai'i - 2024 Matchup Preview

Northern Iowa Panthers at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Saturday, September 21st 2024 (11:59 PM EDT)
Hawai'i -10 (46.0) (-380) Open: -8.5
Hawai'i 36 - Northern Iowa: 7

Panthers (0 - 2) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 7 - 31 (7 - 31 on Road)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNI 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -5.5 (SP+ HAW -11)
HAW Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%

Rainbow Warriors (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Timmy Chang (8 - 18)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (31 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNI Players
HAW Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Northern Iowa's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14	Northern Iowa at Nebraska	+30.5	49.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/21	Northern Iowa at Hawai'i	+10.0	46.0	L 7 - 36	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Iowa's Schedule

Hawai'i's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/24	Hawai'i vs Delaware State	-38.5	57.5	W 35 - 14	U	N
Sat 8/31	Hawai'i vs UCLA	+13.5	55.5	L 13 - 16	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14	Hawai'i at Sam Houston	+3.5	48.5	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/21	Hawai'i vs Northern Iowa	-10.0	46.0	W 36 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Hawai'i at San Diego State	+1.5	47.5	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/12	Hawai'i vs Boise State	+21.0	60.0	L 7 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Hawai'i at Washington State	+18.5	55.5	L 10 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/26	Hawai'i vs Nevada	-2.5	42.0	W 34 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Hawai'i at Fresno State	+12.0	45.5	W 21 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Hawai'i vs UNLV	+12.0	51.5	L 27 - 29	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Hawai'i at Utah State	-2.5	62.0	L 10 - 55	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30	Hawai'i vs New Mexico	+6.5	61.5	W 38 - 30	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNI		0%	7	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	31	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
HAW	#94 (.14)	41% (82)	29	40% (98)	2.79 (119)	76	42% (64)	276	3.22 (111)	#102 (.24)	43% (84)	24.1	44% (77)	43% (88)	4.14 (101)	56.4	1.8	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNI		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
HAW		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNI Offense	1	7	7	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
HAW Defense	13	24.1	17	43.2%	4.14	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	57%	43%	44%	43%	16%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNI Defense	1	31	31	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
HAW Offense	13	29	31	41%	3.22	1.8	19	352	76	276	3.1	34%	65%	40%	42%	18%	.14

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Northern Iowa	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Hawai'i	13	29:39	19.3	37%	52%	6.2	56.4	1.8	1.1	5.2	1.7	0	29.1

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNI Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
HAW Defense	13	57% (127)	44% (77)	-	-	-	-	.17 (87)	3.16 (83)	75% (82)	10% (66)	1.06 (94)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNI Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
HAW Offense	13	34% (133)	40% (98)	24.9	76.1	3.1	6 (133)	.09 (103)	2.79 (119)	62% (126)	11% (90)	1 (67)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNI Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
HAW Defense	13	43% (7)	43% (88)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.38 (114)	1.7 (110)	31% (89)	31% (80)	.4 (107)	6% (58)	2.1 (84)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNI Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
HAW Offense	13	65% (2)	42% (64)	25.9	41.3	276.4	6.7	10.7	27 (25)	15 (116)	.2 (94)	1.5 (104)	34% (96)	32% (62)	.33 (69)	7% (100)	2 (84)

Northern Iowa's Power Ratings
Northern Iowa's Power Rating: NR
Northern Iowa's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Iowa's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northern Iowa's 2024 Expected Record: -
Northern Iowa's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Northern Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Northern Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average MVFC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Iowa: Hawai'i: -5.52

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Iowa: Hawai'i: -10.9

Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -5.52 #84
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 22.60 #45
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 9.27 #68
2024 Talent Rating: 201.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Hawai'i's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Hawai'i's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.9 #107
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #108
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #89

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 190
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Northern Iowa Scoring
Offense: 7 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 31 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Northern Iowa's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 2
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Hawai'i 31
Northern Iowa 14

Projected Total Points: 45

Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 29 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Hawai'i's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/21	Hawai'i	36	Northern Iowa	7	Hawai'i -10	Hawai'i	46.0	Under
2014	09/14	Hawai'i	27	Northern Iowa	24	Hawai'i -1	Hawai'i	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Hawai'i	2	2	0 Overs
Northern Iowa	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

(#) UNI at (#84) HAW

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNI	HAW
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	#84
SP+SP+	NR	#107
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#92
OffenseOff	NR	#107
DefenseDef	NR	#68
Spec TeamsST	NR	#91
TalentTal	NR	#115
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#102

Northern Iowa Injury Report

Hawai'i Notes(11/18) Killed by Utah St, QB's 5 INTs? Rgame awful
(11/3) 2 straight W's, big upset of Fresno. Corner turn?
(11/3) QB Schager was OK, Def outstanding in Fresno W
(10/27) Still Pass 64% Rgame good, 246 yds, 6.3 ypc (Nev)
(10/4) Off awful vs FBS so far. Def has been v good
(8/11) Star WR McBride suspended indefinitely
(7/30) Chang has most exp'd team and needs a good year
(7/30) 15 returning starters. QB Schager JAG+ / mobility
(7/30) WR's really good, OL exp'd, RB's meh
(7/30) 2 FCS games, need 7 wins to bowl in '24
(7/30) Def is exp'd and MW avg LY.
Hawai'i Injury Report

Northern Iowa on Offense


CategoryCat	UNI Off	HAW Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	#68
SuccessSuc	NR	#84
ExplosiveExp	NR	#97
PPAPPA	NR	#102
PowerPwr	NR	#68
SP+SP+	NR	#89
Pts POPPO	NR	#101
HavocHav	NR	#63

Northern Iowa Run Game


CategoryCat	UNI Off	HAW Def
Run GameRun	NR	#70
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#77
Run ExplRExp	NR	#94
PPAExp	NR	#87
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#83
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#60
TackleTak	-	#59

Northern Iowa Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNI Off	HAW Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#34
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#88
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#110
PPAExp	NR	#114
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#106
F7 HavocF7	NR	#66
DB HavocDB	NR	#58

Hawai'i on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat	HAW Off	UNI Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#107	NR
SuccessSuc	#82	NR
ExplosiveExp	#45	NR
PPAPPA	#94	NR
PowerPwr	#45	NR
SP+SP+	#108	NR
Pts POPPO	#111	NR
HavocHav	#99	NR

Hawai'i Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat	HAW Off	UNI Def
Run GameRun	#87	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#98	NR
Run ExplRExp	#67	NR
PPAExp	#103	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#56	-
OL YdsOLY	#119	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#121	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Hawai'i Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat	HAW Off	UNI Def
Pass GamePass	#47	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#64	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#104	NR
PPAExp	#94	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#72	NR
F7 HavocF7	#90	NR
DB HavocDB	#100	NR

Program Comparison
HAW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UNI 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Hawai'i -10.0 (46.0)
Hawai'i won vs Northern Iowa this year (36-7)

Previous Matchups
Hawai'i beat Northern Iowa in 2024 (36-7)

UNI's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Matthew Schecklman	107	174	62%	1275	7	2	7.3
Aiden Dunne	87	144	60%	955	9	3	6.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tye Edwards	159	1022	6	6.4	75
Amauri Pesek-Hickson	95	456	4	4.8	21
Aiden Dunne	32	113	1	3.5	36
Matthew Schecklman	50	86	0	1.7	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sergio Morancy	38	543	7	14.3	69
Desmond Hutson	38	466	2	12.3	49
Layne Pryor	30	242	2	8.1	24
Tysen Kershaw	12	193	1	16.1	37

View Northern Iowa's Full Roster

UNI's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Tucker Langenberg	15	1	0	0
Jonathan Cabral-Martin	13	0	0	1
Jeremiah Dervil	10	1	0	0
Ben Belken	10	0	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Tucker Langenberg	15	1	0	0
Tyson Cooreman	2	0	0	0
Albert Nunes	1	0	0	1
Bradley Vislisel	1	0	1	0

Pass D	Tack	PD
Naran Buntin	2	1
Jonathan Cabral-Martin	13	1
Albert Nunes	1	1

HAW's OC Timmy Chang (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brayden Schager	233	404	58%	2591	19	13	6.4
Micah Alejado	49	70	70%	585	6	0	8.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Landon Sims	71	351	1	4.9	29
Brayden Schager	135	267	6	2.0	46
Tylan Hines	39	162	0	4.2	15
Cam Barfield (Tr)	33	158	0	4.8	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nicholas Cenacle	63	721	6	11.4	62
Pofele Ashlock	61	629	6	10.3	30
Dekel Crowdus (Tr)	16	402	4	25.1	74
Jonah Panoke	33	387	3	11.7	49

View Hawai'i's Full Roster

HAW's DC Dennis Thurman (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jamih Otis	55	5	2	2	0
Logan Taylor	52	1	0	0	0
Elijah Robinson	51	11	5	1	0
Peter Manuma	43	0	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Jackie Johnson III	20	5	5	5
Elijah Robinson	51	11	5	1
Malachi Finau	19	4	3	1
Jamih Otis	55	5	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Cameron Stone	38	3	8
Caleb Brown	24	2	7
Elijah Palmer	32	5	5