Northern Iowa at Hawai'i - 2024 Matchup Preview
Northern Iowa logo Northern Iowa Panthers at Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsHawai
Saturday, September 21st 2024 (11:59 PM EDT)
Hawai'i -10 (46.0) (-380)  Open: -8.5
Hawai'i 36 - Northern Iowa: 7

 
Panthers (0 - 2) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 5 - 35 (5 - 35 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 21.5 MPH
UNI 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -5.5  (SP+ HAW -11)

HAW Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
Rainbow Warriors (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Timmy Chang (8 - 18)
Avg Score : 22 - 26 (27 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Northern Iowa's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Northern Iowa at Nebraska+30.549.5L 3 - 34UN
Sat 9/21 Northern Iowa at Hawai'i+10.046.0L 7 - 36UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Iowa's Schedule
Hawai'i's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/24 Hawai'i vs Delaware State-38.557.5W 35 - 14UN
Sat 8/31 Hawai'i vs UCLA+13.555.5L 13 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Hawai'i at Sam Houston+3.548.5L 13 - 31UN
Sat 9/21 Hawai'i vs Northern Iowa-10.046.0W 36 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Hawai'i at San Diego State+1.547.5L 24 - 27ON
Sat 10/12 Hawai'i vs Boise State+21.060.0L 7 - 28UY
Sat 10/19 Hawai'i at Washington State+18.555.5L 10 - 42UN
Sat 10/26 Hawai'i vs Nevada-2.542.0W 34 - 13OY
Sat 11/2 Hawai'i at Fresno State+12.045.5W 21 - 20UY
Sat 11/9 Hawai'i vs UNLV+12.051.5L 27 - 29OY
Sat 11/16 Hawai'i at Utah State-2.562.0L 10 - 55ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30 Hawai'i vs New Mexico+6.561.5W 38 - 30OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNI0%50%000%000%350%0%0000
HAW#82 (.17)44% (52)22.346% (45)3.29 (26)9944% (50)2683.81 (81)#81 (.19)42% (71)2645% (85)40% (58)4.15 (103)70.31.60.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNI0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
HAW#82 (.17)44% (52)46% (45)3.29 (26)9944% (50)2683.81 (81)#81 (.19)42% (71)45% (85)40% (58)4.15 (103)70.31.60.9



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNI Offense2550%00000000%0%0%0%0%
HAW Defense122619.642%4.150.9 - - - - - 50%50%45%40%16%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNI Defense235350%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
HAW Offense1222.327.144.2%3.811.621367992683.636%64%46%44%19%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northern Iowa20:000NAN%0%0000000100
Hawai'i1230:1920.837%55%870.31.60.95.72.3125.6
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNI Offense20%0%000000%0%0
HAW Defense1250% (57)45% (85) - - - - .16 (90)3.27 (108)79% (103)10% (74)0.97 (62)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNI Defense20%0% - - - - 00%0%0
HAW Offense1236% (134)46% (45)27.8993.67 (131).13 (68)3.29 (26)80% (23)11% (88)0.83 (124)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNI Offense20%0%000000000%0%0%0
HAW Defense1250% (79)40% (58) - - - - - - 6 (109).22 (58)1.4 (19)31% (82)30% (63).31 (72)6% (73)1.8 (13)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNI Defense20%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
HAW Offense1264% (1)44% (50)23.840.1268.26.711.325 (31)15 (123).21 (92)1.4 (130)32% (80)33% (49).31 (81)8% (127)2 (94)

Northern Iowa's Power Ratings
Northern Iowa's Power Rating: NR
Northern Iowa's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Iowa's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northern Iowa's 2024 Expected Record: -
Northern Iowa's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Northern Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Northern Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average MVFC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Iowa:    Hawai'i: -5.52

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Iowa:    Hawai'i: -10.9




Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -5.52  #84
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 22.60  #45
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 9.27  #68
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #102
Hawai'i's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Hawai'i's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.9  #107
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9  #108
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #89

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Northern Iowa Scoring
Offense: 5 PPG
Offense on Road: 5
Defense: 35 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

Northern Iowa's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 2
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Hawai'i 29
Northern Iowa 14


Total Points: 43

Based on Last 4 Games
Hawai'i 28
Northern Iowa 15

Total Points: 42

Based on Entire Season
Hawai'i 30
Northern Iowa 14

Total Points: 44
Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.1
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Hawai'i's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21Hawai'i36Northern Iowa7Hawai'i -10Hawai'i46.0Under
201409/14Hawai'i27Northern Iowa24Hawai'i -1Hawai'i0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Hawai'i220 Overs
Northern Iowa001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#NR) UNI at (#84) HAW
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNIHAW
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #84
SP+SP+NR #107
Perf GradeGradeNR #92
OffenseOffNR #107
DefenseDefNR #68
Spec TeamsSTNR #91
TalentTalNR #1
Blue ChipsBC%NR #102
Hawai'i Notes
(11/18) Killed by Utah St, QB's 5 INTs? Rgame awful
(11/3) 2 straight W's, big upset of Fresno. Corner turn?
(11/3) QB Schager was OK, Def outstanding in Fresno W
(10/27) Still Pass 64% Rgame good, 246 yds, 6.3 ypc (Nev)
(10/4) Off awful vs FBS so far. Def has been v good
(8/11) Star WR McBride suspended indefinitely
(7/30) Chang has most exp'd team and needs a good year
(7/30) 15 returning starters. QB Schager JAG+ / mobility
(7/30) WR's really good, OL exp'd, RB's meh
(7/30) 2 FCS games, need 7 wins to bowl in '24
(7/30) Def is exp'd and MW avg LY.
Hawai'i Injury Report
Northern Iowa on Offense
CategoryCat
UNI OffHAW Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #68
SuccessSucNR #71
ExplosiveExpNR #35
PPAPPANR #81
PowerPwrNR #68
SP+SP+NR #89
Pts POPPONR #103
HavocHavNR #74
Northern Iowa Run Game
CategoryCat
UNI OffHAW Def
Run GameRunNR #70
Run SuccessRSucNR #85
Run ExplRExpNR #62
PPAExpNR #90
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #108
Stuff RateStuffNR #96
TackleTak -  #59
Northern Iowa Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNI OffHAW Def
Pass GamePassNR #34
Pass SuccessPSucNR #58
Pass ExplPExlNR #19
PPAExpNR #58
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #106
F7 HavocF7NR #74
DB HavocDBNR #73
Hawai'i on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
CategoryCatHAW OffUNI Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #107NR
SuccessSuc #52NR
ExplosiveExp #120NR
PPAPPA #82NR
PowerPwr #45NR
SP+SP+ #108NR
Pts POPPO #81NR
HavocHav #117NR
Hawai'i Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat
HAW OffUNI Def
Run GameRun #87NR
Run SuccessRSuc #45NR
Run ExplRExp #124NR
PPAExp #68NR
Run BlockR Blk #56 -
OL YdsOLY #26NR
Stuff RateStuff #59NR
TackleTak - NR
Hawai'i Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
CategoryCatHAW OffUNI Def
Pass GamePass #47NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #50NR
Pass ExplPExl #130NR
PPAExp #92NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #72NR
F7 HavocF7 #88NR
DB HavocDB #127NR
Program Comparison
HAW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UNI 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 77° - Wind: 22 mph
Rematch from Week 4
Hawai'i -10.0 (46.0)
Hawai'i won vs Northern Iowa this year (36-7)

Previous Matchups
Hawai'i beat Northern Iowa last year (36-7)

  
UNI's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Matthew Schecklman10717462%1275727.3
Aiden Dunne8714460%955936.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tye Edwards159102266.475
Amauri Pesek-Hickson9545644.821
Aiden Dunne3211313.536
Matthew Schecklman508601.736
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sergio Morancy38543714.369
Desmond Hutson38466212.349
Layne Pryor3024228.124
Tysen Kershaw12193116.137

View Northern Iowa's Full Roster

UNI's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tucker Langenberg151000
Jonathan Cabral-Martin130001
Jeremiah Dervil101000
Ben Belken100010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tucker Langenberg151000
Tyson Cooreman20000
Albert Nunes10001
Bradley Vislisel10010
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Naran Buntin20001
Jonathan Cabral-Martin130001
Albert Nunes10001

HAW's OC Timmy Chang (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brayden Schager23340458%259119136.4
Micah Alejado497070%585608.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Landon Sims7135114.929
Brayden Schager13526762.046
Tylan Hines3916204.215
Cam Barfield (Tr)3315804.821
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nicholas Cenacle63721611.462
Pofele Ashlock61629610.330
Dekel Crowdus (Tr)16402425.174
Jonah Panoke33387311.749

View Hawai'i's Full Roster

HAW's DC Dennis Thurman (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamih Otis555220
Logan Taylor521000
Elijah Robinson5111510
Peter Manuma430003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackie Johnson III205550
Elijah Robinson5111510
Malachi Finau194310
Jamih Otis555220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Stone383008
Caleb Brown242007
Elijah Palmer325005