Colorado State Rams at Nevada Wolf Pack
Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Colorado State -2 (45.5) (-130) Open: -1.0
Colorado State 38 - Nevada: 21 (Mountain West)
Rams (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (22 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Coach Jay Norvell (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (22 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
NEV is playing their 5th straight game
CSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Colorado State -7 (SP+ CSU -9.5)
Projected Score: CSU: 28 - NEV: 21 (49)
CSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
CSU Travel: 781 miles, 1 hrs ahead
CSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Colorado State -7 (SP+ CSU -9.5)
Projected Score: CSU: 28 - NEV: 21 (49)
CSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
CSU Travel: 781 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Wolf Pack (3 - 10) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Jeff Choate (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (28 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 10 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Coach Jeff Choate (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (28 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 10 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
| Colorado State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Colorado State at Texas | +35.5 | 59.0 | L 0 - 52 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Colorado State vs Northern Colorado | -31.0 | 52.5 | W 38 - 17 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Colorado State vs Colorado | +7.5 | 58.5 | L 9 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Colorado State vs UTEP | -8.5 | 49.0 | W 27 - 17 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Colorado State at Oregon State | +10.0 | 47.0 | L 31 - 39 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Colorado State vs San José State | -2.5 | 55.5 | W 31 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Colorado State at Air Force | -6.0 | 43.5 | W 21 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Colorado State vs New Mexico | -3.5 | 62.0 | W 17 - 6 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Colorado State at Nevada | -2.0 | 45.5 | W 38 - 21 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/15 | Colorado State vs Wyoming | -8.5 | 47.5 | W 24 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Colorado State at Fresno State | +3.5 | 43.5 | L 22 - 28 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Colorado State vs Utah State | -5.5 | 56.5 | W 42 - 37 | O | N | |
| Sat 12/28 | Colorado State vs Miami (OH) | +1.0 | 42.5 | L 17 - 43 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
| Nevada's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/24 | Nevada vs SMU | +28.0 | 55.5 | L 24 - 29 | U | Y | |
| Sat 8/31 | Nevada at Troy | +7.5 | 44.5 | W 28 - 26 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Nevada vs Georgia Southern | -1.5 | 56.5 | L 17 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Nevada at Minnesota | +17.5 | 44.5 | L 0 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Nevada vs Eastern Washington | -13.5 | 54.5 | W 49 - 16 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Nevada at San José State | +7.0 | 51.5 | L 31 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Nevada vs Oregon State | +3.0 | 47.0 | W 42 - 37 | O | Y | |
| Fri 10/18 | Nevada vs Fresno State | +3.0 | 50.0 | L 21 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Nevada at Hawai'i | +2.5 | 42.0 | L 13 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Nevada vs Colorado State | +2.0 | 45.5 | L 21 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Nevada at Boise State | +23.5 | 60.5 | L 21 - 28 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Nevada vs Air Force | -3.0 | 44.5 | L 19 - 22 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Nevada at UNLV | +17.5 | 54.5 | L 14 - 38 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 3, Poor: 0
Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 3, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSU | #90 (.16) | 42% (76) | 24.4 | 43% (80) | 2.88 (96) | 162 | 41% (81) | 192 | 3.56 (98) | #61 (.16) | 42% (78) | 25.8 | 42% (59) | 43% (94) | 4 (88) | 47.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| NEV | #55 (.21) | 45% (46) | 23.1 | 47% (33) | 3.06 (59) | 164 | 42% (65) | 213 | 3.88 (73) | #110 (.24) | 46% (117) | 28.8 | 49% (121) | 43% (92) | 4.33 (114) | 73.1 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSU | #90 (.16) | 42% (76) | 43% (80) | 2.88 (96) | 162 | 41% (81) | 192 | 3.56 (98) | #61 (.16) | 42% (78) | 42% (59) | 43% (94) | 4 (88) | 47.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 | ||
| NEV | #55 (.21) | 45% (46) | 47% (33) | 3.06 (59) | 164 | 42% (65) | 213 | 3.88 (73) | #110 (.24) | 46% (117) | 49% (121) | 43% (92) | 4.33 (114) | 73.1 | 1.2 | 1 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSU Offense | 13 | 24.4 | 22.4 | 42.2% | 3.56 | 1.2 | 16 | 354 | 162 | 192 | 4.9 | 55% | 45% | 43% | 41% | 15% | .16 |
| NEV Defense | 13 | 28.8 | 26.6 | 46.4% | 4.33 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 56% | 44% | 49% | 43% | 14% | .24 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSU Defense | 13 | 25.8 | 30.6 | 42.4% | 4 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 51% | 42% | 43% | 17% | .16 |
| NEV Offense | 13 | 23.1 | 27.6 | 44.5% | 3.88 | 1.2 | 19 | 377 | 164 | 213 | 4.6 | 53% | 47% | 47% | 42% | 16% | .21 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado State | 13 | 28:44 | 16.5 | 35% | 64% | 5.8 | 47.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 2 | 27.8 |
| Nevada | 13 | 31:02 | 19.5 | 45% | 52% | 7.6 | 73.1 | 1.2 | 1 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 1 | 26.4 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSU Offense | 13 | 55% (30) | 43% (80) | 33.4 | 161.8 | 4.9 | 19 (73) | .03 (115) | 2.88 (96) | 55% (133) | 9% (46) | 0.92 (87) |
| NEV Defense | 13 | 56% (126) | 49% (121) | - | - | - | - | .27 (130) | 3.17 (91) | 80% (109) | 8% (119) | 1.08 (107) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSU Defense | 13 | 49% (51) | 42% (59) | - | - | - | - | .1 (55) | 3.01 (70) | 69% (45) | 9% (91) | 1.02 (88) |
| NEV Offense | 13 | 53% (47) | 47% (33) | 35.4 | 164.2 | 4.6 | 21 (59) | .16 (51) | 3.06 (59) | 69% (93) | 10% (81) | 0.97 (64) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSU Offense | 13 | 45% (102) | 41% (81) | 16.2 | 26.4 | 191.8 | 7.3 | 11.8 | 15 (98) | 8 (40) | .31 (43) | 1.7 (25) | 32% (75) | 34% (37) | .42 (33) | 7% (98) | 2 (92) |
| NEV Defense | 13 | 44% (11) | 43% (92) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 (52) | .2 (50) | 1.5 (49) | 30% (103) | 39% (130) | .46 (119) | 7% (47) | 1.9 (42) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSU Defense | 13 | 51% (85) | 43% (94) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (66) | .22 (59) | 1.4 (16) | 30% (105) | 30% (64) | .27 (49) | 8% (22) | 1.9 (35) |
| NEV Offense | 13 | 47% (87) | 42% (65) | 19 | 28.2 | 212.6 | 7.6 | 11.2 | 19 (65) | 8 (40) | .27 (57) | 1.6 (71) | 32% (69) | 32% (60) | .42 (29) | 6% (74) | 2.1 (59) |
Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -4.04 #78
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Colorado State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Colorado State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Colorado State's Power Rating: -4.04 #78
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Colorado State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Colorado State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -4.04 Nevada: -11.785
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -5.7 Nevada: -15.2
Colorado State: -4.04 Nevada: -11.785
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -5.7 Nevada: -15.2
Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -11.785 #109
Nevada's Offense Rating: 22.53 #46
Nevada's Defense Rating: 14.97 #108
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Nevada's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 10.0
Nevada's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #117
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #113
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Nevada's Power Rating: -11.785 #109
Nevada's Offense Rating: 22.53 #46
Nevada's Defense Rating: 14.97 #108
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Nevada's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 10.0
Nevada's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #117
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #113
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.6
Colorado State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.6
Colorado State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Colorado State 28
Nevada 21
Total Points: 49
Colorado State 28
Nevada 21
Total Points: 49
Nevada Scoring
Offense: 23.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.6
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.6
Nevada's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 1
Offense: 23.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.6
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.6
Nevada's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 1
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/02 | Nevada | 21 | Colorado State | 38 | Colorado State | Colorado State -2 | Colorado State | 45.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/18 | Colorado State | 30 | Nevada | 20 | Colorado State | Colorado State -12.5 | Nevada | 45.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/07 | Nevada | 14 | Colorado State | 17 | Colorado State | Nevada -3.5 | Colorado State | 44.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/27 | Colorado State | 10 | Nevada | 52 | Nevada | Nevada -3 | Nevada | 57.5 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/10 | Nevada | 49 | Colorado State | 10 | Nevada | Nevada -14 | Nevada | 61.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 10/14 | Colorado State | 44 | Nevada | 42 | Colorado State | Colorado State -24.5 | Nevada | 65.5 | Over |
| 2015 | 12/29 | Colorado State | 23 | Nevada | 28 | Nevada | Colorado State -3.5 | Nevada | 0 | |
| 2014 | 10/11 | Nevada | 24 | Colorado State | 31 | Colorado State | Colorado State -2.5 | Colorado State | 65.5 | Under |
| 2013 | 11/09 | Colorado State | 38 | Nevada | 17 | Colorado State | Colorado State -8 | Colorado State | 0 | |
| 2010 | 09/11 | Nevada | 51 | Colorado State | 6 | Nevada | ||||
| 2009 | 09/19 | Colorado State | 35 | Nevada | 20 | Colorado State | ||||
| 2006 | 09/16 | Nevada | 28 | Colorado State | 10 | Nevada | ||||
| 2005 | 09/24 | Colorado State | 42 | Nevada | 21 | Colorado State | ||||
| 2002 | 09/28 | Nevada | 28 | Colorado State | 32 | Colorado State | ||||
| 2001 | 09/08 | Colorado State | 35 | Nevada | 18 | Colorado State | ||||
| 2000 | 09/29 | Nevada | 14 | Colorado State | 45 | Colorado State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada | 5 | 5 | 4 Overs |
| Colorado State | 11 | 4 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 9 - 7 | 2 - 7 | 2 - 4 | 0 - 3 |
| Road Teams | 7 - 9 | 7 - 2 | 3 - 0 | 4 - 2 |
(#78) Colorado State Info
Power Rating: -4.04 #78
Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.56 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Colorado State has won 3 straight
Colorado State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 3 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Colorado State Notes
(11/29) Came back from 30-13 deficit with 29 str pts
(11/18) Rgame mauled Wyom, Def great TW. Hot team
(11/3) Won 4 straight, Rgame good over Nevada
(11/2) CSU has covered 5 straight into Nevada gm
(10/20) Def all 350 to Air Force? Rgame good enough
(10/14) Star WR Tory Horton out for season (knee)
(10/13) QB/Rgame better (4.8 ypc) in W over SJSU
(10/10) Rgame showed better vs Oreg St, QB still JAG
(8/11) CSU has not bowled in 7 years, pressure
(7/31) Should bowl, but o/u 6 wins feels dead on
Colorado State Highlights
Colorado State Secondary is very good (#53)
Colorado State Deficiencies
Colorado State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#28)
Colorado State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Colorado State does not Sack the QB (#112)
Power Rating: -4.04 #78
Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.56 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Colorado State has won 3 straight
Colorado State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 3 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Colorado State Notes
(11/29) Came back from 30-13 deficit with 29 str pts
(11/18) Rgame mauled Wyom, Def great TW. Hot team
(11/3) Won 4 straight, Rgame good over Nevada
(11/2) CSU has covered 5 straight into Nevada gm
(10/20) Def all 350 to Air Force? Rgame good enough
(10/14) Star WR Tory Horton out for season (knee)
(10/13) QB/Rgame better (4.8 ypc) in W over SJSU
(10/10) Rgame showed better vs Oreg St, QB still JAG
(8/11) CSU has not bowled in 7 years, pressure
(7/31) Should bowl, but o/u 6 wins feels dead on
Colorado State Highlights
Colorado State Secondary is very good (#53)
Colorado State Deficiencies
Colorado State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#28)
Colorado State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Colorado State does not Sack the QB (#112)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NEV | CSU |
| OverallOver | #67 | #34 |
| OffenseOff | #35 | #36 |
| DefenseDef | #98 | #34 |
| Special TeamsST | #110 | #69 |
| PassingPass | #20 | #49 |
| RushingRush | #50 | #66 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #40 | #14 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #70 | #13 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #30 | #59 |
| TacklingTkl | #115 | #61 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #107 | #28 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #52 | #81 |
| Coverage DefCov | #61 | #42 |
Rematch from Week 10
Colorado State 2.0 (45.5)
Colorado State won at Nevada this year (38-21)
Previous Matchups
Colorado State beat Nevada last year (38-21)
Colorado State beat Nevada in 2023 (30-20)
Colorado State beat Nevada in 2022 (17-14)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: CSU | NEV
Depth Chart: CSU | NEV
Rosters: CSU | NEV
(#109) Nevada Info
Power Rating: -11.785 #109
Offense Rating: 22.53 #46
Defense Rating: 14.97 #108
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #113
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Expected Record: 3.0 - 10.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Avg Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.33 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Nevada has lost 2 straight
Nevada has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 5 (3 - 3 - 1 vs Spread)
Nevada Notes
(10/19) 2nd H vs Fresno, 4 Punts, 2 loss of downs
(10/19) Rgame abysmal, 84 yds (2.2 ypc) vs Fresno in L
(10/19) QB Lewis benched for Purdy in Fresno game
(10/12) QB Lewis/RB Red almost 300 rush yds over Oreg St
(9/23) Choate a huge upgrade over prev staff
(9/1) QB Lewis v mobile, better passer than anticipated
(9/1) Played w/ SMU, W @ Troy. Nev vastly improved TY
(7/30) Worst team in CFB in '23, fired everyone
(7/30) Off near worst in '23, QB Purdy (Neb)?, WR ?
(7/30) OL has 3 back, RB actually decent. Lost AA Kicker
Nevada Highlights
Nevada Deficiencies
Nevada Commits a Lot of Penalties (#38)
Nevada does not Sack the QB (#31)
Nevada has a bad defense (#124)
Nevada has a bad red zone defense (#101)
Power Rating: -11.785 #109
Offense Rating: 22.53 #46
Defense Rating: 14.97 #108
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #113
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Expected Record: 3.0 - 10.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Avg Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.33 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
Nevada has lost 2 straight
Nevada has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 5 (3 - 3 - 1 vs Spread)
Nevada Notes
(10/19) 2nd H vs Fresno, 4 Punts, 2 loss of downs
(10/19) Rgame abysmal, 84 yds (2.2 ypc) vs Fresno in L
(10/19) QB Lewis benched for Purdy in Fresno game
(10/12) QB Lewis/RB Red almost 300 rush yds over Oreg St
(9/23) Choate a huge upgrade over prev staff
(9/1) QB Lewis v mobile, better passer than anticipated
(9/1) Played w/ SMU, W @ Troy. Nev vastly improved TY
(7/30) Worst team in CFB in '23, fired everyone
(7/30) Off near worst in '23, QB Purdy (Neb)?, WR ?
(7/30) OL has 3 back, RB actually decent. Lost AA Kicker
Nevada Highlights
Nevada Deficiencies
Nevada Commits a Lot of Penalties (#38)
Nevada does not Sack the QB (#31)
Nevada has a bad defense (#124)
Nevada has a bad red zone defense (#101)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi | 227 | 374 | 61% | 2755 | 14 | 8 | 7.4 |
| Jackson Brousseau | 3 | 6 | 50% | 15 | 0 | 1 | 2.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Morrow | 184 | 1006 | 9 | 5.5 | 73 |
| Justin Marshall | 156 | 767 | 4 | 4.9 | 42 |
| Jalen Dupree | 25 | 153 | 1 | 6.1 | 24 |
| Keegan Holles | 15 | 97 | 1 | 6.5 | 18 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Goodie | 21 | 436 | 4 | 20.8 | 85 |
| Jamari Person | 35 | 373 | 1 | 10.7 | 60 |
| Armani Winfield (Tr) | 38 | 341 | 2 | 9.0 | 62 |
| Tory Horton | 25 | 331 | 1 | 13.2 | 52 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buom Jock | 97 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Chase Wilson | 97 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| Jack Howell | 86 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Henry Blackburn | 79 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Kirschke (Tr) | 41 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 2 |
| Mukendi Wa-Kalonji | 35 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| James Mitchell | 38 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Ayden Hector | 40 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias Larry (Tr) | 38 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| Dom Jones | 60 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Dominic Morris | 54 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendon Lewis | 211 | 312 | 68% | 2290 | 16 | 7 | 7.3 |
| Chubba Purdy (Tr) | 18 | 25 | 72% | 239 | 1 | 1 | 9.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendon Lewis | 157 | 775 | 8 | 4.9 | 67 |
| Savion Red (Tr) | 119 | 687 | 8 | 5.8 | 69 |
| Pat Garwo III | 55 | 246 | 5 | 4.5 | 25 |
| Sean Dollars | 47 | 165 | 0 | 3.5 | 26 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Smith | 62 | 849 | 7 | 13.7 | 62 |
| Cortez Braham | 56 | 724 | 4 | 12.9 | 57 |
| Marcus Bellon | 39 | 522 | 4 | 13.4 | 63 |
| Caleb Ramseur | 8 | 106 | 1 | 13.3 | 44 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kitan Crawford (Tr) | 76 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Drue Watts | 65 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Tongiaki Mateialona | 61 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Stone Combs | 58 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Ikahihifo | 43 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Kristopher Ross | 29 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Tongiaki Mateialona | 61 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Jonathan Maldonado | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Coats Jr. | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Kitan Crawford (Tr) | 76 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Chad Brown | 47 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 |