Florida International at Jacksonville State - 2024 Matchup Preview

Florida International Golden Panthers at Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Saturday, November 16th 2024 (2:00 PM EST)
Jacksonville State -12.5 (58.5) (-455) Open: -13.5
Jacksonville State 34 - Florida International: 31 (Conference USA)

Golden Panthers (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike MacIntyre (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (22 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FIU coming off BYE
JVST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Jacksonville State -10.5 (SP+ JVST -11)
Projected Score: FIU: 23 - JVST: 34 (57)
JVST Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
FIU Travel: 644 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Gamecocks (9 - 5) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (18 - 6)
Avg Score : 28 - 25 (34 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)

Matchup
Schedules
FIU Players
JVST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida International's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Florida International at Indiana	+20.5	50.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/7	Florida International vs Central Michigan	+3.5	51.5	W 52 - 16	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Florida International at Florida Atlantic	+3.5	44.5	L 20 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/21	Florida International vs Monmouth	-12.5	59.5	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/28	Florida International vs Louisiana Tech	+2.0	49.0	W 17 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/8	Florida International at Liberty	+15.5	56.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Wed 10/16	Florida International at UTEP	-7.0	47.0	L 21 - 30	O	N
Tue 10/22	Florida International vs Sam Houston	+5.0	47.0	L 7 - 10	U	Y
Tue 10/29	Florida International vs New Mexico State	-7.0	43.5	W 34 - 13	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Florida International at Jacksonville State	+12.5	58.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Florida International at Kennesaw State	-9.0	42.5	L 26 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/30	Florida International vs Middle Tennessee	-9.5	50.5	W 35 - 24	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule

Jacksonville State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Jacksonville State vs Coastal Carolina	-3.5	54.5	L 27 - 55	O	N
Sat 9/7	Jacksonville State at Louisville	+27.5	56.5	L 14 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/14	Jacksonville State at Eastern Michigan	-2.5	53.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/21	Jacksonville State vs Southern Miss	-6.0	59.5	W 44 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/4	Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State	-17.5	49.5	W 63 - 24	O	Y
Wed 10/9	Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State	-21.0	58.5	W 54 - 13	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/23	Jacksonville State vs Middle Tennessee	-20.5	64.5	W 42 - 20	U	Y
Wed 10/30	Jacksonville State at Liberty	+2.5	64.0	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Jacksonville State at Louisiana Tech	-10.0	55.5	W 44 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/16	Jacksonville State vs Florida International	-12.5	58.5	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/23	Jacksonville State vs Sam Houston	-5.5	57.5	W 21 - 11	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky	-0.5	62.5	L 17 - 19	U	N
Fri 12/6	Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky	-4.5	58.5	W 52 - 12	O	Y
Fri 12/20	Jacksonville State vs Ohio	+6.5	57.5	L 27 - 30	U	Y

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Jacksonville State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FIU	#117 (.09)	37% (120)	28.5	40% (104)	2.67 (126)	90	35% (119)	230	3.21 (113)	#84 (.2)	40% (46)	30	40% (39)	42% (73)	3.34 (26)	50.6	1.8	1
JVST	#103 (.13)	42% (65)	28.1	46% (41)	3.08 (73)	237	38% (101)	171	3.77 (79)	#10 (.07)	36% (15)	25.2	33% (6)	39% (39)	3.33 (24)	43.4	1.6	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FIU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
JVST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FIU Offense	12	28.5	22.4	36.8%	3.21	1.8	15	320	90	230	2.9	44%	55%	40%	35%	20%	.09
JVST Defense	13	25.2	23	35.9%	3.33	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	33%	39%	18%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FIU Defense	12	30	29.8	40.4%	3.34	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	40%	42%	12%	.2
JVST Offense	13	28.1	34	42.3%	3.77	1.6	22	408	237	171	4.8	61%	38%	46%	38%	16%	.13

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida International	12	27:16	15.3	28%	48%	5.8	50.6	1.8	1	5.1	1	1	25.8
Jacksonville State	13	26:43	22.2	38%	52%	4.8	43.4	1.6	1.9	7	2.9	1	30.6

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FIU Offense	12	44% (106)	40% (104)	31.7	90.3	2.9	17 (81)	.05 (119)	2.67 (126)	69% (99)	13% (125)	1.05 (40)
JVST Defense	13	50% (66)	33% (6)	-	-	-	-	-.06 (2)	2.45 (4)	71% (57)	12% (28)	0.85 (12)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FIU Defense	12	51% (90)	40% (39)	-	-	-	-	.1 (39)	3.08 (64)	90% (131)	9% (91)	1.03 (89)
JVST Offense	13	61% (8)	46% (41)	49.8	236.7	4.8	35 (5)	.18 (51)	3.08 (73)	72% (82)	9% (54)	0.99 (73)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FIU Offense	12	55% (28)	35% (119)	18.3	31.9	230	7.2	12.6	12 (113)	12 (85)	.17 (102)	1.6 (69)	35% (115)	24% (121)	.24 (95)	6% (78)	2 (86)
JVST Defense	13	48% (53)	39% (39)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (9)	.27 (69)	1.7 (106)	35% (30)	25% (12)	.18 (10)	6% (68)	2 (63)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FIU Defense	12	48% (45)	42% (73)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (120)	.36 (110)	1.8 (119)	35% (31)	29% (47)	.29 (56)	3% (133)	2.2 (119)
JVST Offense	13	38% (128)	38% (101)	14	26.9	171	6.4	12.2	12 (113)	12 (85)	.12 (119)	1.6 (75)	31% (47)	30% (71)	.15 (119)	6% (90)	2 (90)

Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -10.65 #104
Florida International's Offense Rating: 19.00 #77
Florida International's Defense Rating: 9.00 #65
2024 Talent Rating: 224.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Florida International's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Florida International's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1 #112
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #99

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 177.5
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -10.65 Jacksonville State: -0.895

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -12.1 Jacksonville State: -1.0

Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: -0.895 #85
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 24.74 #21
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 10.35 #76
2024 Talent Rating: 149.00 #127
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Jacksonville State's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Jacksonville State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #57
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 177.5
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Florida International Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Florida International's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Jacksonville State 34
Florida International 23

Projected Total Points: 57

Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 23

Jacksonville State's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	Florida International	27	Jacksonville State	21	Florida International -2.5	Florida International	55.5	Under
2024	11/16	Jacksonville State	34	Florida International	31	Jacksonville State -12.5	Florida International	58.5	Over
2023	10/25	Florida International	16	Jacksonville State	41	Jacksonville State -9	Jacksonville State	48.0	Over
2020	10/23	Florida International	10	Jacksonville State	19	Florida International -10.5	Jacksonville State	55.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Jacksonville State	3	2	2 Overs
Florida International	1	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	1 - 3	1 - 2	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 2	3 - 1	1 - 0	2 - 1

(#104) FIU at (#85) JVST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FIU	JVST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#104	#85
SP+SP+	#112	#73
Perf GradeGrade	#61	#68
OffenseOff	#85	#33
DefenseDef	#31	#84
Spec TeamsST	#102	#132
TalentTal	#109	#127
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#53

Florida International Notes(12/10) Hired HC Simmons (Duke, RB-FAMU, 45-13)
(12/1) HC MacIntyre fired after 12-24 in 3 years
(11/18) Nearly upset Jax St, Jenkins/Rgame good, D bad
(10/29) Killed NMSU, 400+ yds, Rgame still awful
(10/23) Rgame a bit better. Put 4th QB Peery in, tough L
(10/21) Starting QB Jenkins to start vs Sam Houston
(10/17) Can't run, WR good in space, Def bad vs UTEP
(10/17) Top 2 QB's knocked out of UTEP game
(10/8) Great fight @ Lib. QB Jenkins was good, R-D not
(10/4) Bottom 10 Rgame, Off awful, TO issues, Def trying
(9/25) Bad, crazy L to Mon. Def awful TW, 361/197, 42 pts?
(9/8) Big W over CMU, forced 6 TOs. 185 yds rush
Florida International Injury Report

Jacksonville State Notes(12/21) Hired HC C Kelly (Aub Co-DC, 1st time HC)
(12/2) Rgame good, Pass bad, 2-13 on 3rd, QB Huff hurt
(12/2) L to WKU, held to 13 1st downs (season low)
(12/1) QB Huff inj (ankle) in finale. ? in CUSA title gm
(11/25) Rgame mauled Sam H, clinched CUSA title game
(11/18) Fight w/ FIU? Def awful esp Run, Rgame great
(11/1) 4-0, avg 28 ppg margin in Oct, although lowering
(10/30) RB Steward 232 yds, 8.6, 4 TD in Liberty upset
(10/30) Won five straight after bad 0-3 start to '24
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 15 Def TO's, 3rd in CFB
(10/4) Killed S Miss. Off improving, QB Huff dual threat
(9/23) Rough start, Def awful. QB Huff is good though
Jacksonville State Injury Report

Florida International on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	FIU Off	JVST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#85	#84
SuccessSuc	#120	#15
ExplosiveExp	#46	#80
PPAPPA	#117	#10
PowerPwr	#77	#76
SP+SP+	#110	#81
Pts POPPO	#113	#24
HavocHav	#118	#37

Florida International Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	FIU Off	JVST Def
Run GameRun	#114	#60
Run SuccessRSuc	#104	#6
Run ExplRExp	#40	#12
PPAExp	#119	#2
Run BlockR Blk	#75	-
OL YdsOLY	#126	#4
Stuff RateStuff	#128	#13
TackleTak	-	#24

Florida International Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	FIU Off	JVST Def
Pass GamePass	#79	#70
Pass SuccessPSuc	#119	#39
Pass ExplPExl	#69	#106
PPAExp	#102	#69
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#124	#121
F7 HavocF7	#125	#28
DB HavocDB	#78	#68

Jacksonville State on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 36%
CategoryCat	JVST Off	FIU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#33	#31
SuccessSuc	#65	#46
ExplosiveExp	#117	#114
PPAPPA	#103	#84
PowerPwr	#21	#65
SP+SP+	#57	#99
Pts POPPO	#79	#26
HavocHav	#66	#129

Jacksonville State Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 36%
CategoryCat	JVST Off	FIU Def
Run GameRun	#11	#83
Run SuccessRSuc	#41	#39
Run ExplRExp	#73	#89
PPAExp	#51	#39
Run BlockR Blk	#22	-
OL YdsOLY	#73	#64
Stuff RateStuff	#75	#57
TackleTak	-	#27

Jacksonville State Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 36%
CategoryCat	JVST Off	FIU Def
Pass GamePass	#53	#9
Pass SuccessPSuc	#101	#73
Pass ExplPExl	#75	#119
PPAExp	#119	#110
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#93	#48
F7 HavocF7	#54	#91
DB HavocDB	#90	#133

Program Comparison
JVST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'24 Profile: Down to Top G5

FIU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in JSU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 12
Jacksonville State -12.5 (58.5)
Jacksonville State won vs Florida International this year (34-31)

Previous Matchups
Florida International beat Jacksonville State last year (27-21)
Jacksonville State beat Florida International in 2024 (34-31)
Jacksonville State beat Florida International in 2023 (41-16)

FIU's OC David Yost (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Keyone Jenkins	188	304	62%	2557	22	8	8.4
Chayden Peery	7	12	58%	58	1	0	4.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kejon Owens	92	392	5	4.3	26
Lexington Joseph	82	308	3	3.8	35
Devonte Lyons	43	288	2	6.7	21
Shomari Lawrence	47	177	1	3.8	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eric Rivers	62	1172	12	18.9	62
Dean Patterson	50	685	7	13.7	52
Nazeviah Burris (Tr)	22	209	1	9.5	22
Josiah Miamen	10	120	0	12.0	23

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC Jovan Dewitt (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Travion Barnes	129	11	3	4	0
Elijah Anderson-Taylor	94	2	1	2	1
JoJo Evans	93	3	0	1	7
Jamal Potts	81	4	1	2	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eddie Walls III (Tr)	30	6	5	3	1
Keegan Davis	30	4	4	0	0
Travion Barnes	129	11	3	4	0
Jeramy Passmore	35	4	2	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
JoJo Evans	93	3	0	1	7
Jamal Potts	81	4	1	2	6
Brian Blades	29	1	0	0	6

JVST's OC Rod Smith (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tyler Huff (Tr)	178	293	61%	2543	14	7	8.7
Logan Smothers	11	19	58%	123	0	0	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre Stewart	279	1636	25	5.9	75
Tyler Huff (Tr)	227	1344	15	5.9	51
Logan Smothers	22	175	3	8.0	72
Andrew Paul (Tr)	38	166	4	4.4	28

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Vaughn	49	804	5	16.4	75
Michael Pettway	25	454	3	18.2	92
Brock Rechsteiner	16	241	2	15.1	85
Tre Stewart	17	233	1	13.7	50

View Jacksonville State's Full Roster

JVST's DC Luke Olson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Fred Perry	109	10	3	2	2
Antonio Carter II (Tr)	103	3	0	1	3
Reginald Hughes (Tr)	83	10	4	6	0
Laletia Hale	80	8	4	2	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Reginald Hughes (Tr)	83	10	4	6	0
Laletia Hale	80	8	4	2	3
Jaylen Swain	44	11	4	2	0
Fred Perry	109	10	3	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jabari Mack	32	2	11
Zechariah Poyser	77	3	8
Geimere Latimer	46	0	5