Jacksonville State at Louisiana Tech - 2024 Matchup Preview
Jacksonville State logo Jacksonville State Gamecocks at Louisiana Tech BulldogsLouisiana Tech logo
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (4:30 PM EST)
Jacksonville State -10.0 (55.5) (-410)  Open: -10.0 | 56.0
Jacksonville State 44 - Louisiana Tech: 37  (Conference USA)

 
Gamecocks (9 - 5) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (18 - 6)
Avg Score : 36 - 26 (34 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
JVST 2nd straight Road Game
LT is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Jacksonville State -9   (SP+ JVST -10.5)

Projected Score: JVST: 32 - LT: 23 (55)
JVST Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
JVST Travel: 408 miles
Bulldogs (5 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (6 - 18)
Avg Score : 21 - 21 (30 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 8 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
 
Jacksonville State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Jacksonville State vs Coastal Carolina-3.554.5L 27 - 55ON
Sat 9/7 Jacksonville State at Louisville+27.556.5L 14 - 49ON
Sat 9/14 Jacksonville State at Eastern Michigan-2.553.5L 34 - 37ON
Sat 9/21 Jacksonville State vs Southern Miss-6.059.5W 44 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/4 Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State-17.549.5W 63 - 24OY
Wed 10/9 Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State-21.058.5W 54 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/23 Jacksonville State vs Middle Tennessee-20.564.5W 42 - 20UY
Wed 10/30 Jacksonville State at Liberty+2.564.0W 31 - 21UY
Sat 11/9 Jacksonville State at Louisiana Tech-10.055.5W 44 - 37ON
Sat 11/16 Jacksonville State vs Florida International-12.558.5W 34 - 31ON
Sat 11/23 Jacksonville State vs Sam Houston-5.557.5W 21 - 11UY
Sat 11/30 Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky-0.562.5L 17 - 19UN
Fri 12/6 Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky-4.558.5W 52 - 12OY
Fri 12/20 Jacksonville State vs Ohio+6.557.5L 27 - 30UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2

Predictions for Jacksonville State's Schedule
Louisiana Tech's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Louisiana Tech vs Nicholls-17.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Louisiana Tech at NC State+20.547.5L 20 - 30OY
Sat 9/21 Louisiana Tech vs Tulsa-3.056.5L 20 - 23UN
Sat 9/28 Louisiana Tech vs Florida International-2.049.0L 10 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/10 Louisiana Tech vs Middle Tennessee-5.048.0W 48 - 21OY
Tue 10/15 Louisiana Tech at New Mexico State-12.549.0L 30 - 33ON
Tue 10/22 Louisiana Tech vs UTEP-6.549.0W 14 - 10UN
Tue 10/29 Louisiana Tech at Sam Houston+10.545.5L 3 - 9UY
Sat 11/9 Louisiana Tech vs Jacksonville State+10.055.5L 37 - 44OY
Sat 11/16 Louisiana Tech at Western Kentucky+11.552.5W 12 - 7UY
Sat 11/23 Louisiana Tech at Arkansas+23.548.5L 14 - 35OY
Sat 11/30 Louisiana Tech vs Kennesaw State-13.541.5W 33 - 0UY
Sat 12/28 Louisiana Tech vs Army+15.044.5L 6 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 3

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JVST#22 (.27)45% (35)3649% (18)3.36 (17)25440% (95)1894.85 (3)#55 (.14)43% (84)26.144% (79)43% (85)3.81 (70)58.41.11.6
LT#130 (.02)37% (119)20.937% (122)2.62 (125)10938% (111)2113.09 (124)#26 (.1)37% (13)2139% (36)35% (11)3.72 (61)46.71.51.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JVST#22 (.27)45% (35)49% (18)3.36 (17)25440% (95)1894.85 (3)#55 (.14)43% (84)44% (79)43% (85)3.81 (70)58.41.11.6
LT#130 (.02)37% (119)37% (122)2.62 (125)10938% (111)2113.09 (124)#26 (.1)37% (13)39% (36)35% (11)3.72 (61)46.71.51.2



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JVST Offense143633.845.2%4.851.1234432541895.564%36%49%40%11%.27
LT Defense132119.237.2%3.721.2 - - - - - 56%43%39%35%15%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JVST Defense1426.131.243.2%3.811.6 - - - - - 54%46%44%43%16%.14
LT Offense1320.929.537.5%3.091.5173191092113.149%51%37%38%17%.02

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Jacksonville State1426:5722.641%54%658.41.11.65.61.7128.5
Louisiana Tech1329:3417.240%35%4.946.71.51.25.21.6033.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JVST Offense1464% (4)49% (18)45.9253.65.551 (1).25 (15)3.36 (17)67% (107)8% (23)1.07 (32)
LT Defense1356% (121)39% (36) - - - - .09 (54)2.9 (50)70% (48)11% (52)1.01 (82)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JVST Defense1454% (108)44% (79) - - - - .09 (52)3.01 (72)63% (20)10% (59)0.88 (22)
LT Offense1349% (78)37% (122)35.2108.53.114 (98)-.09 (134)2.62 (125)66% (114)12% (116)0.69 (134)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JVST Offense1436% (131)40% (95)13.422.3189.48.514.114 (108)7 (26).33 (35)1.9 (5)27% (10)32% (65).33 (72)3% (8)2.1 (51)
LT Defense1343% (9)35% (11) - - - - - - 5 (117).15 (26)1.6 (72)35% (20)29% (46).28 (56)5% (112)1.9 (30)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JVST Defense1446% (27)43% (85) - - - - - - 12 (39).21 (55)1.5 (56)30% (102)33% (105).36 (92)6% (63)2 (45)
LT Offense1351% (56)38% (111)18.829.8210.97.111.218 (68)7 (26).13 (115)1.7 (35)33% (103)26% (117).15 (127)5% (22)2.1 (27)

Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: -5.79 #85
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 24.74 #21
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 10.35 #76
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Jacksonville State's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Jacksonville State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #57
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -5.79   Louisiana Tech: -12.38

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -1.0   Louisiana Tech: -11.6




Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -12.38 #119
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 7.48 #133
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 7.55 #49
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Louisiana Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 8.0
Louisiana Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.6 #110
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.9 #128
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.8
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.2

Jacksonville State's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Jacksonville State 32
Louisiana Tech 23


Total Points: 55

Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.5
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

Louisiana Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Louisiana Tech37Jacksonville State44Jacksonville StateJacksonville State -10.0Louisiana Tech55.5Over
202311/18Jacksonville State56Louisiana Tech17Jacksonville StateJacksonville State -8.5Jacksonville State53.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisiana Tech012 Overs
Jacksonville State210 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 12 - 01 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 10 - 20 - 10 - 1

(#85) Jacksonville State Info
Power Rating: -5.79 #85
Offense Rating: 24.74 #21
Defense Rating: 10.35 #76
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 36%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.85 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.81 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Jacksonville State has won 5 straight
Jacksonville State has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 3 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

Jacksonville State Notes
(12/2) Rgame good, Pass bad, 2-13 on 3rd, QB Huff hurt
(12/2) L to WKU, held to 13 1st downs (season low)
(12/1) QB Huff inj (ankle) in finale. ? in CUSA title gm
(11/25) Rgame mauled Sam H, clinched CUSA title game
(11/18) Fight w/ FIU? Def awful esp Run, Rgame great
(11/1) 4-0, avg 28 ppg margin in Oct, although lowering
(10/30) RB Steward 232 yds, 8.6, 4 TD in Liberty upset
(10/30) Won five straight after bad 0-3 start to '24
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 15 Def TO's, 3rd in CFB
(10/4) Killed S Miss. Off improving, QB Huff dual threat

Jacksonville State Highlights
Jacksonville State has Really Good Running Game (#12)
Jacksonville State offense is explosive (#46)
Jacksonville State has a top Offensive Line (#46)
Jacksonville State offense is good in red zone (#67)
Jacksonville State defense does not give up big plays (#134)

Jacksonville State Deficiencies
Jacksonville State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#16)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatLTJVST
OverallOver#81#46
OffenseOff#90#29
DefenseDef#74#65
Special TeamsST#78#109
PassingPass#72#42
RushingRush#77#11
Run BlockRBLK#101#19
Pass BlockPBLK#50#79
Route RunningWR Rt#75#83
TacklingTkl#83#22
Run DefenseR Def#45#48
Pass Rush DefPRush#100#102
Coverage DefCov#78#57

Rematch from Week 11
Jacksonville State 10.0 (55.5)
Jacksonville State won at Louisiana Tech this year (44-37)

Previous Matchups
Jacksonville State beat Louisiana Tech last year (44-37)
Jacksonville State beat Louisiana Tech in 2023 (56-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joe Aillet Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: JVST | LT
Depth Chart: JVST | LT
Rosters: JVST | LT
(#119) Louisiana Tech Info
Power Rating: -12.38 #119
Offense Rating: 7.48 #133
Defense Rating: 7.55 #49
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.6 #110
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.9 #128
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 5.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.09 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Awful Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Louisiana Tech has lost 1 straight
Louisiana Tech has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Louisiana Tech Notes
(10/23) Lucky W (UTEP), Rgame abysmal, QB Bullock OK
(10/16) Horrible loss @ NMSU. Rgame awful, QB bad TW
(10/10) Cumbie taking over playcalling duties (10/10)
(10/10) QB Bullock/Run game better-Cumbie playcalling
(10/4) Bottom 10 Off both Pass/Run. Def shockingly good
(10/4) Avg nearly 3 TO's per game, & can't move the ball
(9/25) Even w/ Tulsa, but 3 TOs cost them in OT loss
(9/15) Played w/ NC St. Off succ #130, near worst
(9/1) Dog fight W over Nicholls? Rgame awful, QBs meh
(8/17) Cumbie-reporter incident LY says all about him

Louisiana Tech Highlights
Louisiana Tech is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

Louisiana Tech has a really good defense (#67)
Louisiana Tech has a good pass defense (#93)

Louisiana Tech Deficiencies
Louisiana Tech has a really bad Offense
Louisiana Tech Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Louisiana Tech Can Not Run the Ball (#48)
Louisiana Tech offense is really bad (#109)
Louisiana Tech offense is not Explosive (#133)
Louisiana Tech Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#54)
Louisiana Tech offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#99)
Louisiana Tech run game is really bad (#66)
Louisiana Tech pass game is really bad (#128)


  
Jacksonville State's OC Rod Smith
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tyler Huff (Tr)17829361%25431478.7
Logan Smothers111958%123006.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Stewart2791636255.975
Tyler Huff (Tr)2271344155.951
Logan Smothers2217538.072
Andrew Paul (Tr)3816644.428
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Vaughn49804516.475
Michael Pettway25454318.292
Brock Rechsteiner16241215.185
Tre Stewart17233113.750

View Jacksonville State's Full Roster
Jacksonville State's DC Luke Olson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fred Perry10910322
Antonio Carter II (Tr)1033013
Reginald Hughes (Tr)8310460
Laletia Hale808423
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reginald Hughes (Tr)8310460
Laletia Hale808423
Jaylen Swain4411420
Fred Perry10910322
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jabari Mack3220011
Zechariah Poyser773008
Geimere Latimer460005

Louisiana Tech's OC Scott Parr
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Evan Bullock19930266%21071437.0
Jack Turner407653%471226.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Omiri Wiggins11152744.735
Amani Givens7531924.320
Marquis Crosby5722413.931
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)4818243.829
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tru Edwards85989611.686
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)39476212.232
Eli Finley25314212.653
Jay Wilkerson13262220.255

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster
Louisiana Tech's DC Jeremiah Johnson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zach Zimos846151
Kolbe Fields719231
Blake Thompson (Tr)603003
Jacob Fields546004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Blay4510620
Sifa Leota (Tr)426411
Jessie Evans406340
J'Dan Burnett213321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cedric Woods300005
Demarcus Griffin-Taylor532005
Jacob Fields546004