Jacksonville State at Louisiana Tech

Jacksonville State at Louisiana Tech - 2024 Matchup Preview

Jacksonville State Gamecocks at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Saturday, November 9th 2024 (4:30 PM EST)
Jacksonville State -10.0 (55.5) (-410) Open: -10.0 | 56.0
Jacksonville State 44 - Louisiana Tech: 37 (Conference USA)

Gamecocks (9 - 5) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (18 - 6)
Avg Score : 36 - 26 (34 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

JVST 2nd straight Road Game
LT is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Jacksonville State -9 (SP+ JVST -10.5)
Projected Score: JVST: 32 - LT: 23 (56)
JVST Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
JVST Travel: 408 miles

Bulldogs (5 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (6 - 18)
Avg Score : 21 - 21 (30 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 8 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
JVST Players
LT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Jacksonville State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Jacksonville State vs Coastal Carolina	-3.5	54.5	L 27 - 55	O	N
Sat 9/7	Jacksonville State at Louisville	+27.5	56.5	L 14 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/14	Jacksonville State at Eastern Michigan	-2.5	53.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/21	Jacksonville State vs Southern Miss	-6.0	59.5	W 44 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/4	Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State	-17.5	49.5	W 63 - 24	O	Y
Wed 10/9	Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State	-21.0	58.5	W 54 - 13	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/23	Jacksonville State vs Middle Tennessee	-20.5	64.5	W 42 - 20	U	Y
Wed 10/30	Jacksonville State at Liberty	+2.5	64.0	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Jacksonville State at Louisiana Tech	-10.0	55.5	W 44 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/16	Jacksonville State vs Florida International	-12.5	58.5	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/23	Jacksonville State vs Sam Houston	-5.5	57.5	W 21 - 11	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky	-0.5	62.5	L 17 - 19	U	N
Fri 12/6	Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky	-4.5	58.5	W 52 - 12	O	Y
Fri 12/20	Jacksonville State vs Ohio	+6.5	57.5	L 27 - 30	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Jacksonville State's Schedule

Louisiana Tech's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Louisiana Tech vs Nicholls	-17.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14	Louisiana Tech at NC State	+20.5	47.5	L 20 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Louisiana Tech vs Tulsa	-3.0	56.5	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/28	Louisiana Tech vs Florida International	-2.0	49.0	L 10 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/10	Louisiana Tech vs Middle Tennessee	-5.0	48.0	W 48 - 21	O	Y
Tue 10/15	Louisiana Tech at New Mexico State	-12.5	49.0	L 30 - 33	O	N
Tue 10/22	Louisiana Tech vs UTEP	-6.5	49.0	W 14 - 10	U	N
Tue 10/29	Louisiana Tech at Sam Houston	+10.5	45.5	L 3 - 9	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Louisiana Tech vs Jacksonville State	+10.0	55.5	L 37 - 44	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Louisiana Tech at Western Kentucky	+11.5	52.5	W 12 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Louisiana Tech at Arkansas	+23.5	48.5	L 14 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Louisiana Tech vs Kennesaw State	-13.5	41.5	W 33 - 0	U	Y
Sat 12/28	Louisiana Tech vs Army	+15.0	44.5	L 6 - 27	U	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JVST	#22 (.27)	45% (35)	36	49% (18)	3.36 (17)	254	40% (95)	189	4.85 (3)	#55 (.14)	43% (84)	26.1	44% (79)	43% (85)	3.81 (70)	58.4	1.1	1.6
LT	#130 (.02)	37% (119)	20.9	37% (122)	2.62 (125)	109	38% (111)	211	3.09 (124)	#26 (.1)	37% (13)	21	39% (36)	35% (11)	3.72 (61)	46.7	1.5	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JVST	#22 (.27)	45% (35)		49% (18)	3.36 (17)	254	40% (95)	189	4.85 (3)	#55 (.14)	43% (84)		44% (79)	43% (85)	3.81 (70)	58.4	1.1	1.6
LT	#130 (.02)	37% (119)		37% (122)	2.62 (125)	109	38% (111)	211	3.09 (124)	#26 (.1)	37% (13)		39% (36)	35% (11)	3.72 (61)	46.7	1.5	1.2

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JVST Offense	14	36	33.8	45.2%	4.85	1.1	23	443	254	189	5.5	64%	36%	49%	40%	11%	.27
LT Defense	13	21	19.2	37.2%	3.72	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	39%	35%	15%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JVST Defense	14	26.1	31.2	43.2%	3.81	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	44%	43%	16%	.14
LT Offense	13	20.9	29.5	37.5%	3.09	1.5	17	319	109	211	3.1	49%	51%	37%	38%	17%	.02

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Jacksonville State	14	26:57	22.6	41%	54%	6	58.4	1.1	1.6	5.6	1.7	1	28.5
Louisiana Tech	13	29:34	17.2	40%	35%	4.9	46.7	1.5	1.2	5.2	1.6	0	33.2

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JVST Offense	14	64% (4)	49% (18)	45.9	253.6	5.5	51 (1)	.25 (15)	3.36 (17)	67% (107)	8% (23)	1.07 (32)
LT Defense	13	56% (121)	39% (36)	-	-	-	-	.09 (54)	2.9 (50)	70% (48)	11% (52)	1.01 (82)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JVST Defense	14	54% (108)	44% (79)	-	-	-	-	.09 (52)	3.01 (72)	63% (20)	10% (59)	0.88 (22)
LT Offense	13	49% (78)	37% (122)	35.2	108.5	3.1	14 (98)	-.09 (134)	2.62 (125)	66% (114)	12% (116)	0.69 (134)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JVST Offense	14	36% (131)	40% (95)	13.4	22.3	189.4	8.5	14.1	14 (108)	7 (26)	.33 (35)	1.9 (5)	27% (10)	32% (65)	.33 (72)	3% (8)	2.1 (51)
LT Defense	13	43% (9)	35% (11)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.15 (26)	1.6 (72)	35% (20)	29% (46)	.28 (56)	5% (112)	1.9 (30)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JVST Defense	14	46% (27)	43% (85)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.21 (55)	1.5 (56)	30% (102)	33% (105)	.36 (92)	6% (63)	2 (45)
LT Offense	13	51% (56)	38% (111)	18.8	29.8	210.9	7.1	11.2	18 (68)	7 (26)	.13 (115)	1.7 (35)	33% (103)	26% (117)	.15 (127)	5% (22)	2.1 (27)

Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: -5.79 #85
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 24.74 #21
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 10.35 #76
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Jacksonville State's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Jacksonville State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #57
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -5.79 Louisiana Tech: -12.38

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -1.0 Louisiana Tech: -11.6

Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -12.38 #119
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 7.48 #133
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 7.55 #49
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Louisiana Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 8.0
Louisiana Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.6 #110
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.9 #128
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.8
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.2

Jacksonville State's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Jacksonville State 32
Louisiana Tech 23

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Jacksonville State 32
Louisiana Tech 24

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Jacksonville State 28
Louisiana Tech 27

Total Points: 55

Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.5
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

Louisiana Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/09	Louisiana Tech	37	Jacksonville State	44	Jacksonville State -10.0	Louisiana Tech	55.5	Over
2023	11/18	Jacksonville State	56	Louisiana Tech	17	Jacksonville State -8.5	Jacksonville State	53.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana Tech	0	1	2 Overs
Jacksonville State	2	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1

(#85) JVST at (#119) LT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	JVST	LT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#85	#119
SP+SP+	#73	#110
Perf GradeGrade	#68	#113
OffenseOff	#33	#113
DefenseDef	#84	#94
Spec TeamsST	#132	#93
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#53	#82

Jacksonville State Notes(12/21) Hired HC C Kelly (Aub Co-DC, 1st time HC)
(12/2) Rgame good, Pass bad, 2-13 on 3rd, QB Huff hurt
(12/2) L to WKU, held to 13 1st downs (season low)
(12/1) QB Huff inj (ankle) in finale. ? in CUSA title gm
(11/25) Rgame mauled Sam H, clinched CUSA title game
(11/18) Fight w/ FIU? Def awful esp Run, Rgame great
(11/1) 4-0, avg 28 ppg margin in Oct, although lowering
(10/30) RB Steward 232 yds, 8.6, 4 TD in Liberty upset
(10/30) Won five straight after bad 0-3 start to '24
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 15 Def TO's, 3rd in CFB
(10/4) Killed S Miss. Off improving, QB Huff dual threat
(9/23) Rough start, Def awful. QB Huff is good though
Jacksonville State Injury Report

Louisiana Tech Notes(11/18) Upset WKU, Rgame 200+, Run Def great.
(10/23) Lucky W (UTEP), Rgame abysmal, QB Bullock OK
(10/16) Horrible loss @ NMSU. Rgame awful, QB bad TW
(10/10) Cumbie taking over playcalling duties (10/10)
(10/10) QB Bullock/Run game better-Cumbie playcalling
(10/4) Bottom 10 Off both Pass/Run. Def shockingly good
(10/4) Avg nearly 3 TO's per game, & can't move the ball
(9/25) Even w/ Tulsa, but 3 TOs cost them in OT loss
(9/15) Played w/ NC St. Off succ #130, near worst
(9/1) Dog fight W over Nicholls? Rgame awful, QBs meh
(8/17) Cumbie-reporter incident LY says all about him
(8/3) This is a roster that gets coaches fired
Louisiana Tech Injury Report

Jacksonville State on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 36%
CategoryCat	JVST Off	LT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#33	#94
SuccessSuc	#35	#13
ExplosiveExp	#30	#57
PPAPPA	#22	#26
PowerPwr	#21	#49
SP+SP+	#57	#64
Pts POPPO	#3	#61
HavocHav	#7	#76

Jacksonville State Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 36%
CategoryCat	JVST Off	LT Def
Run GameRun	#11	#56
Run SuccessRSuc	#18	#36
Run ExplRExp	#32	#82
PPAExp	#15	#54
Run BlockR Blk	#22	-
OL YdsOLY	#17	#50
Stuff RateStuff	#31	#41
TackleTak	-	#96

Jacksonville State Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 36%
CategoryCat	JVST Off	LT Def
Pass GamePass	#53	#97
Pass SuccessPSuc	#95	#11
Pass ExplPExl	#5	#72
PPAExp	#35	#26
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#93	#118
F7 HavocF7	#23	#52
DB HavocDB	#8	#112

Louisiana Tech on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	LT Off	JVST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#113	#84
SuccessSuc	#119	#84
ExplosiveExp	#113	#27
PPAPPA	#130	#55
PowerPwr	#133	#76
SP+SP+	#128	#81
Pts POPPO	#124	#70
HavocHav	#83	#66

Louisiana Tech Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	LT Off	JVST Def
Run GameRun	#107	#60
Run SuccessRSuc	#122	#79
Run ExplRExp	#134	#22
PPAExp	#134	#52
Run BlockR Blk	#129	-
OL YdsOLY	#125	#72
Stuff RateStuff	#119	#63
TackleTak	-	#24

Louisiana Tech Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	LT Off	JVST Def
Pass GamePass	#91	#70
Pass SuccessPSuc	#111	#85
Pass ExplPExl	#35	#56
PPAExp	#115	#55
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#53	#121
F7 HavocF7	#116	#59
DB HavocDB	#22	#63

Program Comparison
LT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

JVST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'24 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joe Aillet Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 70°

Rematch from Week 11
Jacksonville State 10.0 (55.5)
Jacksonville State won at Louisiana Tech this year (44-37)

Previous Matchups
Jacksonville State beat Louisiana Tech last year (44-37)
Jacksonville State beat Louisiana Tech in 2023 (56-17)

JVST's OC Rod Smith (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tyler Huff (Tr)	178	293	61%	2543	14	7	8.7
Logan Smothers	11	19	58%	123	0	0	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre Stewart	279	1636	25	5.9	75
Tyler Huff (Tr)	227	1344	15	5.9	51
Logan Smothers	22	175	3	8.0	72
Andrew Paul (Tr)	38	166	4	4.4	28

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Vaughn	49	804	5	16.4	75
Michael Pettway	25	454	3	18.2	92
Brock Rechsteiner	16	241	2	15.1	85
Tre Stewart	17	233	1	13.7	50

View Jacksonville State's Full Roster

JVST's DC Luke Olson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Fred Perry	109	10	3	2	2
Antonio Carter II (Tr)	103	3	0	1	3
Reginald Hughes (Tr)	83	10	4	6	0
Laletia Hale	80	8	4	2	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Reginald Hughes (Tr)	83	10	4	6	0
Laletia Hale	80	8	4	2	3
Jaylen Swain	44	11	4	2	0
Fred Perry	109	10	3	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jabari Mack	32	2	11
Zechariah Poyser	77	3	8
Geimere Latimer	46	0	5

LT's OC Scott Parr (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Evan Bullock	199	302	66%	2107	14	3	7.0
Jack Turner	40	76	53%	471	2	2	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omiri Wiggins	111	527	4	4.7	35
Amani Givens	75	319	2	4.3	20
Marquis Crosby	57	224	1	3.9	31
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)	48	182	4	3.8	29

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tru Edwards	85	989	6	11.6	86
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)	39	476	2	12.2	32
Eli Finley	25	314	2	12.6	53
Jay Wilkerson	13	262	2	20.2	55

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

LT's DC Jeremiah Johnson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zach Zimos	84	6	1	5	1
Kolbe Fields	71	9	2	3	1
Blake Thompson (Tr)	60	3	0	0	3
Jacob Fields	54	6	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
David Blay	45	10	6	2	0
Sifa Leota (Tr)	42	6	4	1	1
Jessie Evans	40	6	3	4	0
J'Dan Burnett	21	3	3	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Cedric Woods	30	0	5
Demarcus Griffin-Taylor	53	2	5
Jacob Fields	54	6	4