Tulane at Army - 2024 Matchup Preview

Friday, December 6th 2024 (8:00 PM EST)
Tulane -4.5 (46.5) (-210) Open: -4.0 | 47.5
Army 35 - Tulane: 14 (American Athletic Championship)

Green Wave (9 - 5) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (26 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARMY 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Army -4 (SP+ ARMY -4)
Projected Score: TULN: 22 - ARMY: 26 (49)
TULN Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
TULN Travel: 1199 miles, 1 hrs behind

Black Knights (12 - 2) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (70 - 55)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (26 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#6)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TULN Players
ARMY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Tulane's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Tulane vs SE Louisiana	-28.5	55.5	W 52 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Tulane vs Kansas State	+8.5	47.5	L 27 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Tulane at Oklahoma	+13.5	48.5	L 19 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/21	Tulane at Louisiana	-1.5	53.5	W 41 - 33	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Tulane vs South Florida	-4.0	60.5	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Tulane at UAB	-19.5	52.0	W 71 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Tulane vs Rice	-21.5	53.5	W 24 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/26	Tulane at North Texas	-7.5	70.5	W 45 - 37	O	Y
Thu 10/31	Tulane at Charlotte	-14.5	55.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Tulane vs Temple	-25.5	50.5	W 52 - 6	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Tulane at Navy	-7.5	49.0	W 35 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/28	Tulane vs Memphis	-12.5	54.5	L 24 - 34	O	N
Fri 12/6	Tulane at Army	-4.5	46.5	L 14 - 35	O	N
Fri 12/20	Tulane vs Florida	+10.0	50.5	L 8 - 33	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule

Army's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Army vs Lehigh	-28
Sat 9/7	Army at Florida Atlantic	+1.5	42.5	W 24 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Army vs Rice	-7.0	44.0	W 37 - 14	O	Y
Thu 9/26	Army at Temple	-11.0	46.5	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Army at Tulsa	-13.5	50.5	W 49 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Army vs UAB	-27.0	55.5	W 44 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Army vs East Carolina	-17.5	54.0	W 45 - 28	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Army vs Air Force	-18.0	38.5	W 20 - 3	U	N
Sat 11/9	Army at North Texas	-6.5	68.0	W 14 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Army vs Notre Dame	+14.5	44.5	L 14 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/30	Army vs UTSA	-6.5	53.5	W 29 - 24	U	N
Fri 12/6	Army vs Tulane	+4.5	46.5	W 35 - 14	O	Y
Sat 12/14	Army vs Navy	-6.0	39.5
Sat 12/28	Army vs Louisiana Tech	-15.0	44.5	W 27 - 6	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TULN	#70 (.19)	42% (61)	27.7	40% (108)	3.13 (63)	155	47% (27)	215	3.62 (91)	#56 (.16)	41% (55)	23.9	40% (42)	43% (83)	3.7 (61)	42.9	1.4	2
ARMY	#99 (.13)	40% (99)	23.8	41% (91)	3.33 (27)	209	37% (105)	103	3.07 (122)	#95 (.23)	46% (116)	21.6	47% (107)	46% (119)	2.58 (3)	36.3	1.8	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TULN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARMY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TULN Offense	14	27.7	26.4	42.4%	3.62	1.4	18	370	155	215	4.1	56%	43%	40%	47%	14%	.19
ARMY Defense	12	21.6	24.2	45.6%	2.58	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	47%	46%	12%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TULN Defense	14	23.9	32	41.1%	3.7	2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	40%	43%	18%	.16
ARMY Offense	12	23.8	25.6	39.5%	3.07	1.8	16	312	209	103	4.4	76%	22%	41%	37%	12%	.13

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Tulane	14	31:20	18.4	38%	59%	4.8	42.9	1.4	2	5.9	2.4	2	33.7
Army	12	32:32	16.3	38%	59%	3.9	36.3	1.8	1.6	3.9	1.4	3	32.7

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TULN Offense	14	56% (21)	40% (108)	37.6	155.1	4.1	16 (89)	.09 (104)	3.13 (63)	72% (89)	8% (36)	0.88 (121)
ARMY Defense	12	56% (123)	47% (107)	-	-	-	-	.26 (123)	3.44 (122)	63% (17)	8% (112)	1.06 (96)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TULN Defense	14	45% (14)	40% (42)	-	-	-	-	.09 (34)	3.03 (54)	77% (94)	11% (46)	1.01 (75)
ARMY Offense	12	76% (2)	41% (91)	47.8	208.8	4.4	19 (69)	.11 (88)	3.33 (27)	82% (9)	9% (42)	0.89 (118)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TULN Offense	14	43% (109)	47% (27)	16.4	26.3	215	8.2	13.1	25 (37)	7 (21)	.35 (40)	1.6 (77)	29% (24)	29% (83)	.28 (86)	6% (57)	2 (101)
ARMY Defense	12	43% (9)	46% (119)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.27 (71)	1.4 (16)	27% (130)	29% (57)	.26 (40)	4% (131)	2.2 (110)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TULN Defense	14	54% (121)	43% (83)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (3)	.25 (54)	1.4 (13)	34% (40)	29% (53)	.23 (28)	7% (24)	1.8 (15)
ARMY Offense	12	22% (132)	37% (105)	6.9	13.7	102.8	7.5	14.9	7 (129)	11 (68)	.33 (51)	2 (2)	29% (21)	23% (127)	.14 (120)	3% (5)	1.9 (115)

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 6.32 #40
Tulane's Offense Rating: 21.32 #53
Tulane's Defense Rating: 5.16 #28
2024 Talent Rating: 334.00 #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Tulane's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Tulane's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.7 #43
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #30
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 238.57
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 6.32 Army: 9.865

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 5.7 Army: 9.2

Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: 9.865 #42
Army's Offense Rating: 26.97 #9
Army's Defense Rating: 8.96 #64
2024 Talent Rating: 71.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Army's 2024 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Army's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #37
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 238.57
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Tulane Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.4
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32

Tulane's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Army 26
Tulane 22

Projected Total Points: 49

Army Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.6
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Army's 2024 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Tulane	24	Army	17	Tulane -10	Army	44.5	Under
2024	12/06	Army	35	Tulane	14	Tulane -4.5	Army	46.5	Over
2020	11/14	Tulane	38	Army	12	Tulane -3	Tulane	46.5	Over
2019	10/05	Army	33	Tulane	42	Tulane -2.5	Tulane	42.5	Over
2017	09/23	Tulane	21	Army	17	Tulane -3	Tulane	45.0	Under
2015	11/14	Army	31	Tulane	34	Army -2.5	Tulane	42.5	Over
2011	10/01	Army	45	Tulane	6
2010	10/09	Tulane	23	Army	41
2009	10/03	Army	16	Tulane	17
2008	10/04	Tulane	13	Army	44
2007	10/06	Army	20	Tulane	17
2006	10/28	Tulane	42	Army	28
2004	11/13	Tulane	45	Army	31
2003	09/20	Army	33	Tulane	50
2001	10/27	Army	42	Tulane	35
2000	10/20	Army	21	Tulane	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Army	7	2	4 Overs
Tulane	9	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 6	3 - 3	2 - 2	1 - 1
Road Teams	6 - 10	3 - 3	1 - 1	2 - 2

(#40) TULN at (#42) ARMY

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TULN	ARMY
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#40	#42
SP+SP+	#43	#37
Perf GradeGrade	#6	#6
OffenseOff	#4	#1
DefenseDef	#22	#79
Spec TeamsST	#61	#57
TalentTal	#63	#133
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#102

Tulane Notes(12/27) Lost QB and RB Hughes to portal
(12/16) QB Mensah left via portal (Duke)
(12/16) Signed QB TJ Finley (WKU/T St/Aub/LSU)
(12/6) Mauled by Army in AACC, Run D mauled 335 yds
(11/28) Mauled by Memphis on Sr day, Outrushed 236-57.
(11/25) AAC title game vs Army
(11/16) 200+ rush yds in Navy W, Clinched AAC title game
(10/31) Very slow paced and methodical. Too conservative
(10/28) Scored 40+ pts in last 4 of 5, Navy/Memphis finish
(10/28) Most pts off TOs in CFB, 8+ PPG thru 8 weeks
(10/20) Even w/ Rice into 4th? Mensah/Rgame bad TW
(10/6) Gaining on G5 best. 136-20 last 2 games.
Tulane Injury Report

Army Notes(12/14) Killed by Navy, offense was awful (2.9 ypc, 3 TO's)
(12/6) Beat UTSA, routed Tulane in AAC title game
(12/6) 57 car, 335 yds, 5.9 ypc, 5 TD in AAC Title game
(11/25) Killed by ND, avg 16 ppg in last 3. AACC vs Tulane
(11/16) Clinched AAC title game appearance
(11/3) QB Daily DNP vs Air Force
(11/3) Rgame OK vs AFA w/o Daily, not near with him
(11/1) 3-0 w/ avg 31 ppg margin of victory in Oct
(10/22) Def stop rate 79% (#5) but bad opp Off so far
(10/20) Rgame 295 yds, 5.3 ypc. QB 7-10, 147 vs ECU
(10/18) Great start, played no one, Def still #88 success
(9/26) Ran for 417 (7.3 ypc) vs Temple. Absolute machine
Army Injury Report

Tulane on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	TULN Off	ARMY Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#4	#79
SuccessSuc	#61	#116
ExplosiveExp	#112	#35
PPAPPA	#70	#95
PowerPwr	#53	#64
SP+SP+	#30	#33
Pts POPPO	#91	#3
HavocHav	#32	#127

Tulane Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	TULN Off	ARMY Def
Run GameRun	#8	#85
Run SuccessRSuc	#108	#107
Run ExplRExp	#121	#96
PPAExp	#104	#123
Run BlockR Blk	#10	-
OL YdsOLY	#63	#122
Stuff RateStuff	#33	#110
TackleTak	-	#62

Tulane Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	TULN Off	ARMY Def
Pass GamePass	#14	#68
Pass SuccessPSuc	#27	#119
Pass ExplPExl	#77	#16
PPAExp	#40	#71
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#30	#104
F7 HavocF7	#36	#112
DB HavocDB	#57	#131

Army on Offense

Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCat	ARMY Off	TULN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#1	#22
SuccessSuc	#99	#55
ExplosiveExp	#125	#43
PPAPPA	#99	#56
PowerPwr	#9	#28
SP+SP+	#42	#73
Pts POPPO	#122	#61
HavocHav	#11	#29

Army Run Game

Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCat	ARMY Off	TULN Def
Run GameRun	#9	#60
Run SuccessRSuc	#91	#42
Run ExplRExp	#118	#75
PPAExp	#88	#34
Run BlockR Blk	#1	-
OL YdsOLY	#27	#54
Stuff RateStuff	#8	#67
TackleTak	-	#88

Army Pass Game

Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCat	ARMY Off	TULN Def
Pass GamePass	#67	#64
Pass SuccessPSuc	#105	#83
Pass ExplPExl	#2	#13
PPAExp	#51	#54
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#69	#2
F7 HavocF7	#42	#46
DB HavocDB	#5	#24

Program Comparison
ARMY 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Average P4

TULN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Blaik Field at Michie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 15
Tulane 4.5 (46.5)
Army won vs Tulane this year (35-14)

Previous Matchups
Tulane beat Army last year (24-17)
Army beat Tulane in 2024 (35-14)

TULN's OC Joe Craddock (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Darian Mensah	172	262	66%	2514	20	5	9.6
Ty Thompson (Tr)	6	11	55%	74	2	0	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Makhi Hughes	243	1306	15	5.4	51
Arnold Barnes	83	396	6	4.8	27
Ty Thompson (Tr)	40	243	6	6.1	50
Ashaad Clayton	27	198	1	7.3	28

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mario Williams (Tr)	48	831	4	17.3	68
Dontae Fleming	29	577	1	19.9	53
Yulkeith Brown	31	440	4	14.2	42
Alex Bauman	15	171	6	11.4	36

View Tulane's Full Roster

TULN's DC Greg Gasparato (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyler Grubbs	58	5	2	1	1
Sam Howard (Tr)	56	4	2	0	1
Bailey Despanie	49	3	0	0	1
Jack Tchienchou (Tr)	47	1	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kameron Hamilton	21	6	5	4	0
Patrick Jenkins	30	7	5	1	2
Matthew Fobbs-White	21	8	4	0	1
Adin Huntington (Tr)	28	5	4	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Micah Robinson (Tr)	29	1	6
Javion White	9	2	3
Rayshawn Pleasant	35	1	3

ARMY's OC Cody Worley (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bryson Daily	54	103	52%	1007	9	4	9.8
Dewayne Coleman	11	16	69%	121	1	0	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bryson Daily	311	1653	32	5.3	42
Kanye Udoh	179	1117	10	6.2	72
Noah Short	75	569	2	7.6	61
Hayden Reed	40	207	1	5.2	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Casey Reynolds	19	449	3	23.6	50
Noah Short	17	318	3	18.7	58
Cam Schurr	7	83	1	11.9	18
Hayden Reed	6	63	1	10.5	23

View Army's Full Roster

ARMY's DC Nate Woody (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Andon Thomas	85	3	0	1	2
Kalib Fortner	76	10	3	4	3
Max DiDomenico	56	2	0	0	3
Chance Keith	45	2	1	2	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elo Modozie	30	8	6	7	1
Brett Gerena	40	3	3	1	0
Kyle Lewis	25	4	3	1	0
Kalib Fortner	76	10	3	4	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gavin Shields	10	1	0	0	4
Max DiDomenico	56	2	0	0	3
Chance Keith	45	2	1	2	3