Tulane at Army - 2024 Matchup Preview
Tulane logo Tulane Green Wave at Army Black KnightsArmy logo
Friday, December 6th 2024 (8:00 PM EST)
Tulane -4.5 (46.5) (-210)  Open: -4.0 | 47.5
Army 35 - Tulane: 14  (American Athletic Championship)

 
Green Wave (9 - 5) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (37 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
ARMY 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Army -4   (SP+ ARMY -4)

Projected Score: TULN: 23 - ARMY: 27 (50)
TULN Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
TULN Travel: 1199 miles, 1 hrs behind
Black Knights (12 - 2) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (70 - 55)
Avg Score : 31 - 16 (36 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#6)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
 
Tulane's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Tulane vs SE Louisiana-28.555.5W 52 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 Tulane vs Kansas State+8.547.5L 27 - 34OY
Sat 9/14 Tulane at Oklahoma+13.548.5L 19 - 34ON
Sat 9/21 Tulane at Louisiana-1.553.5W 41 - 33OY
Sat 9/28 Tulane vs South Florida-4.060.5W 45 - 10UY
Sat 10/5 Tulane at UAB-19.552.0W 71 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Tulane vs Rice-21.553.5W 24 - 10UN
Sat 10/26 Tulane at North Texas-7.570.5W 45 - 37OY
Thu 10/31 Tulane at Charlotte-14.555.5W 34 - 3UY
Sat 11/9 Tulane vs Temple-25.550.5W 52 - 6OY
Sat 11/16 Tulane at Navy-7.549.0W 35 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/28 Tulane vs Memphis-12.554.5L 24 - 34ON
Fri 12/6 Tulane at Army-4.546.5L 14 - 35ON
Fri 12/20 Tulane vs Florida+10.050.5L 8 - 33UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 6
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule
Army's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Army vs Lehigh-28
Sat 9/7 Army at Florida Atlantic+1.542.5W 24 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Army vs Rice-7.044.0W 37 - 14OY
Thu 9/26 Army at Temple-11.046.5W 42 - 14OY
Sat 10/5 Army at Tulsa-13.550.5W 49 - 7OY
Sat 10/12 Army vs UAB-27.055.5W 44 - 10UY
Sat 10/19 Army vs East Carolina-17.554.0W 45 - 28ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Army vs Air Force-18.038.5W 20 - 3UN
Sat 11/9 Army at North Texas-6.568.0W 14 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Army vs Notre Dame+14.544.5L 14 - 49ON
Sat 11/30 Army vs UTSA-6.553.5W 29 - 24UN
Fri 12/6 Army vs Tulane+4.546.5W 35 - 14OY
Sat 12/14 Army vs Navy-6.039.5
Sat 12/28 Army vs Louisiana Tech-15.044.5W 27 - 6UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 8
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Army's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#20 (.27)45% (32)35.145% (61)3.15 (47)19747% (23)2094.5 (18)#14 (.07)38% (29)20.638% (14)39% (45)3.53 (42)50.11.11.6
ARMY#10 (.32)51% (6)31.152% (7)3.57 (5)27843% (52)764.47 (19)#39 (.12)43% (89)15.545% (87)43% (88)2.57 (2)30.50.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#20 (.27)45% (32)45% (61)3.15 (47)19747% (23)2094.5 (18)#14 (.07)38% (29)38% (14)39% (45)3.53 (42)50.11.11.6
ARMY#10 (.32)51% (6)52% (7)3.57 (5)27843% (52)764.47 (19)#39 (.12)43% (89)45% (87)43% (88)2.57 (2)30.50.61.4



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Offense1435.13745.5%4.51.1214061972094.960%40%45%47%11%.27
ARMY Defense1415.514.343.4%2.571.4 - - - - - 47%52%45%43%14%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Defense1420.623.138.3%3.531.6 - - - - - 50%50%38%39%16%.07
ARMY Offense1431.13650.7%4.470.619354278765.686%14%52%43%8%.32

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulane1432:1320.850%45%6.150.11.11.65.42.4734.5
Army1432:4619.149%77%3.130.50.61.43.91.4029.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Offense1460% (10)45% (61)40.1196.64.932 (14).14 (65)3.15 (47)75% (57)7% (14)0.94 (80)
ARMY Defense1447% (32)45% (87) - - - - .14 (79)3.22 (100)67% (29)9% (92)0.94 (46)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Defense1450% (62)38% (14) - - - - .07 (41)2.97 (59)76% (80)11% (47)1.05 (99)
ARMY Offense1486% (1)52% (7)49.9277.85.644 (2).3 (9)3.57 (5)86% (3)6% (2)0.98 (60)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Offense1440% (125)47% (23)14.823.5209.48.914.225 (31)9 (48).48 (4)1.8 (12)32% (76)36% (22).49 (12)4% (11)2.1 (34)
ARMY Defense1452% (99)43% (88) - - - - - - 17 (5).15 (30)1.5 (25)32% (68)30% (57).29 (60)5% (96)2.1 (91)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Defense1450% (75)39% (45) - - - - - - 14 (23).07 (9)1.5 (21)32% (62)28% (31).18 (20)6% (85)1.9 (28)
ARMY Offense1414% (134)43% (52)4.68.175.99.416.610 (127)4 (1).43 (8)1.9 (4)23% (1)32% (56).31 (80)2% (1)1.7 (134)

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 6.32 #40
Tulane's Offense Rating: 21.32 #53
Tulane's Defense Rating: 5.16 #28
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Tulane's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Tulane's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.7 #43
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #30
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 6.32   Army: 9.865

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 5.7   Army: 9.2




Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: 9.865 #42
Army's Offense Rating: 26.97 #9
Army's Defense Rating: 8.96 #64
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Army's 2024 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Army's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #37
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Tulane Scoring
Offense: 35.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.1

Tulane's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Army 27
Tulane 23


Total Points: 50

Army Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

Army's 2024 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202412/06Army35Tulane14ArmyTulane -4.5Army46.5Over
202011/14Tulane38Army12TulaneTulane -3Tulane46.5Over
201910/05Army33Tulane42TulaneTulane -2.5Tulane42.5Over
201709/23Tulane21Army17TulaneTulane -3Tulane45.0Under
201511/14Army31Tulane34TulaneArmy -2.5Tulane42.5Over
201110/01Army45Tulane6Army
201010/09Tulane23Army41Army
200910/03Army16Tulane17Tulane
200810/04Tulane13Army44Army
200710/06Army20Tulane17Army
200610/28Tulane42Army28Tulane
200411/13Tulane45Army31Tulane
200309/20Army33Tulane50Tulane
200110/27Army42Tulane35Army
200010/20Army21Tulane17Army
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Army714 Overs
Tulane841 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 63 - 22 - 11 - 1
Road Teams6 - 92 - 31 - 11 - 2

(#40) Tulane Info
Power Rating: 6.32 #40
Offense Rating: 21.32 #53
Defense Rating: 5.16 #28
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.7 #43
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #30
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.5 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 47%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.53 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Tulane has lost 1 straight
Tulane has won 5 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 2 (5 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Tulane Notes
(12/16) QB Mensah left via portal (Duke)
(12/16) Signed QB TJ Finley (WKU/T St/Aub/LSU)
(12/6) Mauled by Army in AACC, Run D mauled 335 yds
(11/28) Mauled by Memphis on Sr day, Outrushed 236-57.
(11/25) AAC title game vs Army
(11/16) 200+ rush yds in Navy W, Clinched AAC title game
(10/31) Very slow paced and methodical. Too conservative
(10/28) Scored 40+ pts in last 4 of 5, Navy/Memphis finish
(10/28) Most pts off TOs in CFB, 8+ PPG thru 8 weeks
(10/20) Even w/ Rice into 4th? Mensah/Rgame bad TW

Tulane Highlights
Tulane has Really Good Running Game (#19)
Tulane offense is good in red zone (#57)
Tulane offense is good on 3rd downs
Tulane Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Tulane has a really good defense (#96)
Tulane has a good run defense (#109)
Tulane defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)

Tulane Deficiencies
Tulane Commits a Lot of Penalties (#118)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatARMYTULN
OverallOver#6#6
OffenseOff#1#4
DefenseDef#60#17
Special TeamsST#48#51
PassingPass#52#12
RushingRush#9#8
Run BlockRBLK#1#9
Pass BlockPBLK#61#30
Route RunningWR Rt#2#9
TacklingTkl#55#76
Run DefenseR Def#68#48
Pass Rush DefPRush#88#2
Coverage DefCov#55#52

Rematch from Week 15
Tulane 4.5 (46.5)
Army won vs Tulane this year (35-14)

Previous Matchups
Army beat Tulane last year (35-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Blaik Field at Michie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TULN | ARMY
Depth Chart: TULN | ARMY
Rosters: TULN | ARMY
(#42) Army Info
Power Rating: 9.865 #42
Offense Rating: 26.97 #9
Defense Rating: 8.96 #64
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #37
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0

Team Profile
Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
Great Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.47 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Great in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Army has won 1 straight
Army has won 6 straight at Home
Record at home: 7 - 0 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Army Notes
(12/6) Beat UTSA, routed Tulane in AAC title game
(12/6) 57 car, 335 yds, 5.9 ypc, 5 TD in AAC Title game
(11/25) Killed by ND, avg 16 ppg in last 3. AACC vs Tulane
(11/16) Clinched AAC title game appearance
(11/3) QB Daily DNP vs Air Force
(11/3) Rgame OK vs AFA w/o Daily, not near with him
(11/1) 3-0 w/ avg 31 ppg margin of victory in Oct
(10/22) Def stop rate 79% (#5) but bad opp Off so far
(10/20) Rgame 295 yds, 5.3 ypc. QB 7-10, 147 vs ECU
(10/18) Great start, played no one, Def still #88 success

Army Highlights
Army is Undefeated at Home
Army is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

Army has Really Good Running Game (#58)
Army offense is efficent (#99)
Army has a top Offensive Line (#107)
Army offense is good in red zone (#83)
Army offense is good on 3rd downs
Army does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#40)

Army defense is really good in red zone (#111)
Army has a great TO Margin (#54)
Army commits very few Penalties (#1)
Army defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)

Army Deficiencies
Army offense is not Explosive (#90)
Army has a bad defensive line (#46)


  
Tulane's OC Joe Craddock
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darian Mensah17226266%25142059.6
Ty Thompson (Tr)61155%74206.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Makhi Hughes2431306155.451
Arnold Barnes8339664.827
Ty Thompson (Tr)4024366.150
Ashaad Clayton2719817.328
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Mario Williams (Tr)48831417.368
Dontae Fleming29577119.953
Yulkeith Brown31440414.242
Alex Bauman15171611.436

View Tulane's Full Roster
Tulane's DC Greg Gasparato
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Grubbs585211
Sam Howard (Tr)564201
Bailey Despanie493001
Jack Tchienchou (Tr)471000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kameron Hamilton216540
Patrick Jenkins307512
Matthew Fobbs-White218401
Adin Huntington (Tr)285401
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Micah Robinson (Tr)291006
Javion White92003
Rayshawn Pleasant351003

Army's OC Cody Worley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryson Daily5410352%1007949.8
Dewayne Coleman111669%121107.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Daily3111653325.342
Kanye Udoh1791117106.272
Noah Short7556927.661
Hayden Reed4020715.215
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Casey Reynolds19449323.650
Noah Short17318318.758
Cam Schurr783111.918
Hayden Reed663110.523

View Army's Full Roster
Army's DC Nate Woody
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andon Thomas853012
Kalib Fortner7610343
Max DiDomenico562003
Chance Keith452123
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elo Modozie308671
Brett Gerena403310
Kyle Lewis254310
Kalib Fortner7610343
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gavin Shields101004
Max DiDomenico562003
Chance Keith452123