Army at Florida Atlantic - 2024 Matchup Preview

Army Black Knights at Florida Atlantic Owls

Saturday, September 7th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Florida Atlantic -1.5 (42.5) (-115) Open: -4.0 | 42.5
Army 24 - Florida Atlantic: 7 (American Athletic)

Black Knights (12 - 2) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (70 - 55)
Avg Score : 31 - 16 (32 - 8 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#6)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Temp: 93.2° (63% Hum)
Light Rain Predicted
Our Line: Army -19 (SP+ ARMY -22)
Projected Score: ARMY: 30 - FAU: 11 (41)
FAU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
ARMY Travel: 1095 miles

Owls (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Chad Lunsford (Int) (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 26 - 30 (29 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARMY Players
FAU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Army's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Army vs Lehigh	-28
Sat 9/7	Army at Florida Atlantic	+1.5	42.5	W 24 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Army vs Rice	-7.0	44.0	W 37 - 14	O	Y
Thu 9/26	Army at Temple	-11.0	46.5	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Army at Tulsa	-13.5	50.5	W 49 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Army vs UAB	-27.0	55.5	W 44 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Army vs East Carolina	-17.5	54.0	W 45 - 28	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Army vs Air Force	-18.0	38.5	W 20 - 3	U	N
Sat 11/9	Army at North Texas	-6.5	68.0	W 14 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Army vs Notre Dame	+14.5	44.5	L 14 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/30	Army vs UTSA	-6.5	53.5	W 29 - 24	U	N
Fri 12/6	Army vs Tulane	+4.5	46.5	W 35 - 14	O	Y
Sat 12/14	Army vs Navy	-6.0	39.5
Sat 12/28	Army vs Louisiana Tech	-15.0	44.5	W 27 - 6	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Army's Schedule

Florida Atlantic's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Florida Atlantic at Michigan State	+12.0	45.0	L 10 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Florida Atlantic vs Army	-1.5	42.5	L 7 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/14	Florida Atlantic vs Florida International	-3.5	44.5	W 38 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Florida Atlantic at UConn	+1.0	46.0	L 14 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/28	Florida Atlantic vs Wagner	-34.5	52.5	W 41 - 10	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Florida Atlantic vs North Texas	+5.5	58.5	L 37 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Florida Atlantic at UTSA	+4.0	52.5	L 24 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/1	Florida Atlantic vs South Florida	+1.5	48.0	L 21 - 44	O	N
Thu 11/7	Florida Atlantic at East Carolina	+5.5	58.5	L 14 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/16	Florida Atlantic at Temple	+2.0	50.0	L 15 - 18	U	N
Sat 11/23	Florida Atlantic vs Charlotte	+3.0	49.5	L 27 - 39	O	N
Sat 11/30	Florida Atlantic at Tulsa	-2.5	57.5	W 63 - 16	O	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARMY	#10 (.32)	51% (6)	31.1	52% (7)	3.57 (5)	278	43% (52)	76	4.47 (19)	#39 (.12)	43% (89)	15.5	45% (87)	43% (88)	2.57 (2)	30.5	0.6	1.4
FAU	#80 (.17)	39% (108)	25.9	40% (107)	3.15 (48)	189	39% (99)	209	3.19 (122)	#90 (.21)	41% (54)	30.3	43% (72)	38% (39)	3.72 (62)	51.6	1.5	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARMY	#10 (.32)	51% (6)		52% (7)	3.57 (5)	278	43% (52)	76	4.47 (19)	#39 (.12)	43% (89)		45% (87)	43% (88)	2.57 (2)	30.5	0.6	1.4
FAU	#80 (.17)	39% (108)		40% (107)	3.15 (48)	189	39% (99)	209	3.19 (122)	#90 (.21)	41% (54)		43% (72)	38% (39)	3.72 (62)	51.6	1.5	1.6

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARMY Offense	14	31.1	32.3	50.7%	4.47	0.6	19	354	278	76	5.6	86%	14%	52%	43%	8%	.32
FAU Defense	12	30.3	29.7	40.6%	3.72	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	43%	38%	16%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARMY Defense	14	15.5	7.8	43.4%	2.57	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	45%	43%	14%	.12
FAU Offense	12	25.9	28.5	39.2%	3.19	1.5	20	398	189	209	5	54%	45%	40%	39%	17%	.17

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Army	14	32:46	19.1	49%	77%	3.1	30.5	0.6	1.4	3.9	1.4	0	29.4
Florida Atlantic	12	30:22	19.5	35%	47%	6.6	51.6	1.5	1.6	5.7	1.4	1	28.5

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARMY Offense	14	86% (1)	52% (7)	49.9	277.8	5.6	44 (2)	.3 (9)	3.57 (5)	86% (3)	6% (2)	0.98 (60)
FAU Defense	12	52% (86)	43% (72)	-	-	-	-	.16 (87)	3.09 (86)	83% (124)	10% (65)	1.05 (97)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARMY Defense	14	47% (32)	45% (87)	-	-	-	-	.14 (79)	3.22 (100)	67% (29)	9% (92)	0.94 (46)
FAU Offense	12	54% (41)	40% (107)	38	189.2	5	24 (45)	.2 (34)	3.15 (48)	64% (118)	12% (113)	1.28 (2)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARMY Offense	14	14% (134)	43% (52)	4.6	8.1	75.9	9.4	16.6	10 (127)	4 (1)	.43 (8)	1.9 (4)	23% (1)	32% (56)	.31 (80)	2% (1)	1.7 (134)
FAU Defense	12	47% (45)	38% (39)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.28 (94)	1.8 (129)	34% (33)	32% (88)	.35 (91)	6% (52)	2.2 (108)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARMY Defense	14	52% (99)	43% (88)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (5)	.15 (30)	1.5 (25)	32% (68)	30% (57)	.29 (60)	5% (96)	2.1 (91)
FAU Offense	12	45% (98)	39% (99)	17.1	29.2	208.6	7.2	12.2	14 (108)	11 (72)	.19 (96)	1.6 (51)	33% (105)	32% (65)	.39 (46)	5% (37)	2.1 (43)

Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: 5.53 #42
Army's Offense Rating: 26.97 #9
Army's Defense Rating: 8.96 #64
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Army's 2024 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Army's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #37
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Army: 5.53 Florida Atlantic: -11.865

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Army: 9.2 Florida Atlantic: -12.7

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -11.865 #114
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 14.76 #109
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 11.20 #82
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Florida Atlantic's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Florida Atlantic's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #113
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #109
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Army Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.3
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 7.8

Army's 2024 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Army 30
Florida Atlantic 11

Total Points: 41

Based on Last 4 Games
Army 18
Florida Atlantic 8

Total Points: 26

Based on Entire Season
Army 31
Florida Atlantic 20

Total Points: 51

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.5
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.7

Florida Atlantic's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/07	Florida Atlantic	7	Army	24	Florida Atlantic -1.5	Army	42.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida Atlantic	0	0	0 Overs
Army	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#42) ARMY at (#114) FAU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ARMY	FAU
Power RatePwr	#42	#114
SP+SP+	#37	#113
Perf GradeGrade	#6	#79
OffenseOff	#1	#84
DefenseDef	#79	#63
Spec TeamsST	#57	#80
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#74

Army Notes(12/14) Killed by Navy, offense was awful (2.9 ypc, 3 TO's)
(12/6) Beat UTSA, routed Tulane in AAC title game
(12/6) 57 car, 335 yds, 5.9 ypc, 5 TD in AAC Title game
(11/25) Killed by ND, avg 16 ppg in last 3. AACC vs Tulane
(11/16) Clinched AAC title game appearance
(11/3) QB Daily DNP vs Air Force
(11/3) Rgame OK vs AFA w/o Daily, not near with him
(11/1) 3-0 w/ avg 31 ppg margin of victory in Oct
(10/22) Def stop rate 79% (#5) but bad opp Off so far
(10/20) Rgame 295 yds, 5.3 ypc. QB 7-10, 147 vs ECU
(10/18) Great start, played no one, Def still #88 success
(9/26) Ran for 417 (7.3 ypc) vs Temple. Absolute machine
Army Injury Report

Florida Atlantic Notes(12/23) Signed QB Caden Veltkamp (WKU), huge get
(12/5) Hired new HC Tex Tech OC Zach Kittley
(11/18) HC Herman fired, ST's Lunsford taking over
(11/18) Off is lost. Herman fired after Temple L. DC back?
(11/18) DC Bellantoni back after Herman fired?
(11/10) Fired DC Bellantoni and OL Warinner
(11/8) Killed by ECU, Def mauled, QB Weisman good find?
(11/8) QB Fancher inj (ECU). BU Weisman looks good
(11/4) Def mauled by USF, 300+ rush, 7.4 ypc, Off OK, flags
(10/20) Def bad vs UTSA, 480+ yds. Run heavy but 3 ypc?
(10/12) Fancher/Rgame good, Def torched shootout L N.T.
(8/30) QB Francher bad passer but good runner, slippery
Florida Atlantic Injury Report

Army on Offense

Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCat	ARMY Off	FAU Def
Perf GradePerf	#1	#63
SuccessSuc	#6	#54
ExplosiveExp	#132	#117
PPAPPA	#10	#90
PowerPwr	#9	#82
SP+SP+	#42	#104
Pts POPPO	#19	#62
HavocHav	#1	#61

Army Run Game

Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCat	ARMY Off	FAU Def
Run GameRun	#9	#116
Run SuccessRSuc	#7	#72
Run ExplRExp	#60	#97
PPAExp	#9	#87
Run BlockR Blk	#1	-
OL YdsOLY	#5	#86
Stuff RateStuff	#1	#79
TackleTak	-	#110

Army Pass Game

Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCat	ARMY Off	FAU Def
Pass GamePass	#67	#22
Pass SuccessPSuc	#52	#39
Pass ExplPExl	#4	#129
PPAExp	#8	#94
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#69	#38
F7 HavocF7	#2	#65
DB HavocDB	#1	#52

Florida Atlantic on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	FAU Off	ARMY Def
Perf GradePerf	#84	#79
SuccessSuc	#108	#89
ExplosiveExp	#5	#40
PPAPPA	#80	#39
PowerPwr	#109	#64
SP+SP+	#109	#33
Pts POPPO	#122	#2
HavocHav	#89	#100

Florida Atlantic Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	FAU Off	ARMY Def
Run GameRun	#68	#85
Run SuccessRSuc	#107	#87
Run ExplRExp	#2	#46
PPAExp	#34	#79
Run BlockR Blk	#34	-
OL YdsOLY	#48	#100
Stuff RateStuff	#66	#92
TackleTak	-	#62

Florida Atlantic Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	FAU Off	ARMY Def
Pass GamePass	#122	#68
Pass SuccessPSuc	#99	#88
Pass ExplPExl	#51	#25
PPAExp	#96	#30
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#73	#104
F7 HavocF7	#113	#92
DB HavocDB	#37	#96

Program Comparison
FAU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

ARMY 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 93° - Wind: 8 mph
Rain: 0.004

Rematch from Week 2
Florida Atlantic -1.5 (42.5)
Army won at Florida Atlantic this year (24-7)

Previous Matchups
Army beat Florida Atlantic last year (24-7)

ARMY's OC Cody Worley (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bryson Daily	54	103	52%	1007	9	4	9.8
Dewayne Coleman	11	16	69%	121	1	0	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bryson Daily	311	1653	32	5.3	42
Kanye Udoh	179	1117	10	6.2	72
Noah Short	75	569	2	7.6	61
Hayden Reed	40	207	1	5.2	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Casey Reynolds	19	449	3	23.6	50
Noah Short	17	318	3	18.7	58
Cam Schurr	7	83	1	11.9	18
Hayden Reed	6	63	1	10.5	23

View Army's Full Roster

ARMY's DC Nate Woody (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Andon Thomas	85	3	0	1	2
Kalib Fortner	76	10	3	4	3
Max DiDomenico	56	2	0	0	3
Chance Keith	45	2	1	2	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elo Modozie	30	8	6	7	1
Brett Gerena	40	3	3	1	0
Kyle Lewis	25	4	3	1	0
Kalib Fortner	76	10	3	4	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gavin Shields	10	1	0	0	4
Max DiDomenico	56	2	0	0	3
Chance Keith	45	2	1	2	3

FAU's OC Charlie Frye (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cam Fancher (Tr)	126	212	59%	1528	6	6	7.2
Kasen Weisman (Tr)	39	73	53%	416	2	3	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
CJ Campbell	165	860	11	5.2	58
Zuberi Mobley	91	471	4	5.2	72
Cam Fancher (Tr)	99	365	3	3.7	76
Xavier Terrell	14	261	3	18.6	93

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omari Hayes	39	590	3	15.1	71
CJ Campbell	40	466	3	11.7	78
Jabari Smith	17	296	3	17.4	76
Marlyn Johnson (Tr)	17	169	0	9.9	22

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC Roc Bellantoni (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
C.J. Heard	74	1	0	0	1
Jackson Ambush	68	6	2	0	2
Eddie Williams	51	7	0	2	1
Phillip Dunnam (Tr)	48	3	0	1	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Merrifield	15	4	3	2	0
Marlon Bradley	14	5	2	1	0
Chisom Ifeanyi (Tr)	21	4	2	4	0
Jackson Ambush	68	6	2	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Kahzir Brown (Tr)	42	2	1	7
Daedae Hill	27	1	0	5
Phillip Dunnam (Tr)	48	3	1	4