UTSA at Army - 2024 Matchup Preview
UTSA logo UTSA Roadrunners at Army Black KnightsArmy logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Army -6.5 (53.5) (-215)  Open: -7.5 | 54.5
Army 29 - UTSA: 24  (American Athletic)

 
Roadrunners (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (39 - 14)
Avg Score : 33 - 30 (22 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Army -11   (SP+ ARMY -7)
Projected Score: UTSA: 22 - ARMY: 33 (54)
ARMY Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
UTSA Travel: 1601 miles, 1 hrs behind
Black Knights (12 - 2) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (70 - 55)
Avg Score : 31 - 16 (36 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#6)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
 
UTSA's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 UTSA vs Kennesaw State-24.049.5W 28 - 16UN
Sat 9/7 UTSA at Texas State+2.558.5L 10 - 49ON
Sat 9/14 UTSA at Texas+36.556.5L 7 - 56ON
Sat 9/21 UTSA vs Houston Christian-35.554.5W 45 - 7UY
Sat 9/28 UTSA at East Carolina+2.053.5L 20 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 UTSA at Rice-3.551.0L 27 - 29ON
Sat 10/19 UTSA vs Florida Atlantic-4.052.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 10/26 UTSA at Tulsa-9.552.5L 45 - 46ON
Sat 11/2 UTSA vs Memphis+7.062.0W 44 - 36OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15 UTSA vs North Texas-1.073.0W 48 - 27OY
Fri 11/22 UTSA vs Temple-16.556.0W 51 - 27OY
Sat 11/30 UTSA at Army+6.553.5L 24 - 29UY
Mon 12/23 UTSA vs Coastal Carolina-12.556.5W 44 - 15OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 2

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Army's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Army vs Lehigh-28
Sat 9/7 Army at Florida Atlantic+1.542.5W 24 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Army vs Rice-7.044.0W 37 - 14OY
Thu 9/26 Army at Temple-11.046.5W 42 - 14OY
Sat 10/5 Army at Tulsa-13.550.5W 49 - 7OY
Sat 10/12 Army vs UAB-27.055.5W 44 - 10UY
Sat 10/19 Army vs East Carolina-17.554.0W 45 - 28ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Army vs Air Force-18.038.5W 20 - 3UN
Sat 11/9 Army at North Texas-6.568.0W 14 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Army vs Notre Dame+14.544.5L 14 - 49ON
Sat 11/30 Army vs UTSA-6.553.5W 29 - 24UN
Fri 12/6 Army vs Tulane+4.546.5W 35 - 14OY
Sat 12/14 Army vs Navy-6.039.5
Sat 12/28 Army vs Louisiana Tech-15.044.5W 27 - 6UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 8
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Army's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA#61 (.2)40% (100)33.237% (123)3.03 (70)16943% (61)2833.63 (94)#42 (.13)34% (2)30.132% (1)36% (16)3.78 (66)81.11.71.6
ARMY#10 (.32)51% (6)31.152% (7)3.57 (5)27843% (52)764.47 (19)#39 (.12)43% (89)15.545% (87)43% (88)2.57 (2)30.50.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA#61 (.2)40% (100)37% (123)3.03 (70)16943% (61)2833.63 (94)#42 (.13)34% (2)32% (1)36% (16)3.78 (66)81.11.71.6
ARMY#10 (.32)51% (6)52% (7)3.57 (5)27843% (52)764.47 (19)#39 (.12)43% (89)45% (87)43% (88)2.57 (2)30.50.61.4



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Offense1333.222.240.1%3.631.7224521692834.546%54%37%43%16%.2
ARMY Defense1415.514.343.4%2.571.4 - - - - - 47%52%45%43%14%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Defense1330.139.834.3%3.781.6 - - - - - 46%53%32%36%22%.13
ARMY Offense1431.13650.7%4.470.619354278765.686%14%52%43%8%.32

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTSA1331:1021.541%36%8.781.11.71.68.23.2230.4
Army1432:4619.149%77%3.130.50.61.43.91.4029.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense1346% (97)37% (123)37.71694.521 (59).1 (88)3.03 (70)60% (125)10% (65)1.09 (25)
ARMY Defense1447% (32)45% (87) - - - - .14 (79)3.22 (100)67% (29)9% (92)0.94 (46)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense1346% (24)32% (1) - - - - -.03 (5)2.12 (1)63% (16)15% (4)1.2 (129)
ARMY Offense1486% (1)52% (7)49.9277.85.644 (2).3 (9)3.57 (5)86% (3)6% (2)0.98 (60)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense1354% (37)43% (61)24.439.2283.57.211.627 (20)13 (103).29 (52)1.5 (82)34% (115)30% (90).34 (67)6% (81)2 (73)
ARMY Defense1452% (99)43% (88) - - - - - - 17 (5).15 (30)1.5 (25)32% (68)30% (57).29 (60)5% (96)2.1 (91)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense1353% (112)36% (16) - - - - - - 11 (52).27 (83)1.9 (134)36% (13)27% (22).39 (103)7% (29)2.3 (130)
ARMY Offense1414% (134)43% (52)4.68.175.99.416.610 (127)4 (1).43 (8)1.9 (4)23% (1)32% (56).31 (80)2% (1)1.7 (134)

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: -4.61 #81
UTSA's Offense Rating: 17.26 #91
UTSA's Defense Rating: 6.84 #41
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
UTSA's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
UTSA's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.2 #64
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #34
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #101

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA: -4.61   Army: 9.865

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 2.2   Army: 9.2




Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: 9.865 #42
Army's Offense Rating: 26.97 #9
Army's Defense Rating: 8.96 #64
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Army's 2024 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Army's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #37
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


UTSA Scoring
Offense: 33.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 30.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.8

UTSA's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Army 33
UTSA 22


Total Points: 54

Army Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

Army's 2024 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Army29UTSA24ArmyArmy -6.5UTSA53.5Under
202309/15UTSA29Army37ArmyUT San Antonio -7Army42.0Over
202209/10Army38UTSA41UTSAUT San Antonio -2UTSA54.0Over
202010/17UTSA16Army28ArmyArmy -8.5Army47.0Under
201909/14UTSA13Army31ArmyArmy -14.5Army44.0Push
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Army432 Overs
UTSA122 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 40 - 50 - 20 - 3
Road Teams4 - 15 - 03 - 02 - 0

(#81) UTSA Info
Power Rating: -4.61 #81
Offense Rating: 17.26 #91
Defense Rating: 6.84 #41
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.2 #64
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #34
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #101
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.63 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 34%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Great Run Def Success 32%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

UTSA has won 3 straight
UTSA has lost 5 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 6 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread )

UTSA Notes
(11/3) Huge W (Mem), McCown good, forced 2 TOs to W
(10/28) Blew 35-7 halftime lead vs Tulsa. Season killer?
(10/20) Even w/ FAU. McCown good, Def played well
(10/12) Bad L (Rice). Pass D torched, Rgame bad
(9/28) Rgame 170 (4.5)better but Pass D awful vs ECU
(9/15) Off has been really bad. Rgame awful, QB ?
(9/8) Killed by Tex St? Pulled McCown? Rgame just awful
(8/13) Lost DPY DE to Texas, another DE kicked out
(8/13) Starting MLB French suspended indefinitely
(8/13) Lost 3/4 top WR's, new QB, Def suspensions?

UTSA Highlights
UTSA offense is explosive (#11)
UTSA Defense Sacks the QB a lot

UTSA has a really good defense (#77)
UTSA has a good run defense (#54)
UTSA has a good pass defense (#101)
UTSA Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#57)
UTSA Defensive Line is very good (#19)
UTSA Front 7 is disruptive (#74)
UTSA Secondary is very good (#41)

UTSA Deficiencies
UTSA has a bad TO Margin (#1)
UTSA Fumbles a Lot (#1)
UTSA Commits a Lot of Penalties (#59)
UTSA throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
UTSA offense is really bad (#74)
UTSA Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#48)
UTSA run game is really bad (#72)
UTSA gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#130)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatARMYUTSA
OverallOver#6#50
OffenseOff#1#72
DefenseDef#60#27
Special TeamsST#48#59
PassingPass#52#26
RushingRush#9#56
Run BlockRBLK#1#61
Pass BlockPBLK#61#95
Route RunningWR Rt#2#71
TacklingTkl#55#103
Run DefenseR Def#68#15
Pass Rush DefPRush#88#18
Coverage DefCov#55#74

Rematch from Week 14
Army -6.5 (53.5)
Army won vs UTSA this year (29-24)

Previous Matchups
Army beat UTSA last year (29-24)
Army beat UTSA in 2023 (37-29)
UTSA beat Army in 2022 (41-38)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Blaik Field at Michie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UTSA | ARMY
Depth Chart: UTSA | ARMY
Rosters: UTSA | ARMY
(#42) Army Info
Power Rating: 9.865 #42
Offense Rating: 26.97 #9
Defense Rating: 8.96 #64
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #37
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0

Team Profile
Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
Great Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.47 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Great in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Army has lost 1 straight
Army has won 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 7 - 0 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Army Notes
(12/6) Beat UTSA, routed Tulane in AAC title game
(12/6) 57 car, 335 yds, 5.9 ypc, 5 TD in AAC Title game
(11/25) Killed by ND, avg 16 ppg in last 3. AACC vs Tulane
(11/16) Clinched AAC title game appearance
(11/3) QB Daily DNP vs Air Force
(11/3) Rgame OK vs AFA w/o Daily, not near with him
(11/1) 3-0 w/ avg 31 ppg margin of victory in Oct
(10/22) Def stop rate 79% (#5) but bad opp Off so far
(10/20) Rgame 295 yds, 5.3 ypc. QB 7-10, 147 vs ECU
(10/18) Great start, played no one, Def still #88 success

Army Highlights
Army is Undefeated at Home

Army has Really Good Running Game (#58)
Army offense is efficent (#99)
Army has a top Offensive Line (#107)
Army offense is good in red zone (#83)
Army offense is good on 3rd downs
Army does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#40)

Army defense is really good in red zone (#111)
Army has a great TO Margin (#54)
Army commits very few Penalties (#1)
Army defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)

Army Deficiencies
Army offense is not Explosive (#90)
Army has a bad defensive line (#46)


  
UTSA's OC Justin Burke
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Owen McCown29446763%342425107.3
Eddie Lee Marburger224055%234235.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Robert Henry13070675.488
Brandon High9349585.366
Owen McCown8634034.075
Kevorian Barnes7822122.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Willie McCoy28536419.166
Chris Carpenter39479112.369
Houston Thomas34470313.844
Devin Mccuin4542459.454

View UTSA's Full Roster
UTSA's DC Jess Loepp
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Martavius French8017143
Elliott Davison580004
Brevin Randle (Tr)483144
Jamal Ligon467343
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jimmori Robinson44181181
Ronald Triplette235420
Brandon Brown299410
Jamal Ligon467343
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zah Frazier241019
Tyan Milton182115
Elliott Davison580004

Army's OC Cody Worley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryson Daily5410352%1007949.8
Dewayne Coleman111669%121107.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Daily3111653325.342
Kanye Udoh1791117106.272
Noah Short7556927.661
Hayden Reed4020715.215
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Casey Reynolds19449323.650
Noah Short17318318.758
Cam Schurr783111.918
Hayden Reed663110.523

View Army's Full Roster
Army's DC Nate Woody
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andon Thomas853012
Kalib Fortner7610343
Max DiDomenico562003
Chance Keith452123
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elo Modozie308671
Brett Gerena403310
Kyle Lewis254310
Kalib Fortner7610343
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gavin Shields101004
Max DiDomenico562003
Chance Keith452123