Rice at Army Game Matchup

Saturday, September 21st 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Army -7.0 (44.0) (-285) Open: -6.0 | 42.5
Army 37 - Rice: 14 (American Athletic)

Owls (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Pete Alamar (Int) (22 - 46)
Avg Score : 22 - 25 (13 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

RICE 2nd straight Road Game
ARMY coming off BYE
RICE is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Army -20 (SP+ ARMY -21)
Projected Score: RICE: 13 - ARMY: 33 (47)
ARMY Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
RICE Travel: 1444 miles, 1 hrs behind

Black Knights (12 - 2) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (70 - 55)
Avg Score : 31 - 16 (36 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#6)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
RICE Players
ARMY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Rice's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Rice vs Sam Houston	-9.5	49.0	L 14 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/7	Rice vs Texas Southern	-30.0	52.5	W 69 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Rice at Houston	+3.5	43.5	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 9/21	Rice at Army	+7.0	44.0	L 14 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/28	Rice vs Charlotte	-4.0	48.0	L 20 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Rice vs UTSA	+3.5	51.0	W 29 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Rice at Tulane	+21.5	53.5	L 10 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Rice at UConn	+6.5	47.0	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/2	Rice vs Navy	+12.5	49.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Fri 11/8	Rice at Memphis	+7.5	50.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Rice at UAB	-7.0	52.0	L 14 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/30	Rice vs South Florida	+5.5	53.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rice's Schedule

Army's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Army vs Lehigh	-28
Sat 9/7	Army at Florida Atlantic	+1.5	42.5	W 24 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Army vs Rice	-7.0	44.0	W 37 - 14	O	Y
Thu 9/26	Army at Temple	-11.0	46.5	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Army at Tulsa	-13.5	50.5	W 49 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Army vs UAB	-27.0	55.5	W 44 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Army vs East Carolina	-17.5	54.0	W 45 - 28	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Army vs Air Force	-18.0	38.5	W 20 - 3	U	N
Sat 11/9	Army at North Texas	-6.5	68.0	W 14 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Army vs Notre Dame	+14.5	44.5	L 14 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/30	Army vs UTSA	-6.5	53.5	W 29 - 24	U	N
Fri 12/6	Army vs Tulane	+4.5	46.5	W 35 - 14	O	Y
Sat 12/14	Army vs Navy	-6.0	39.5
Sat 12/28	Army vs Louisiana Tech	-15.0	44.5	W 27 - 6	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RICE	#52 (.22)	44% (49)	22.2	43% (70)	3.01 (87)	110	45% (32)	252	4.81 (9)	#63 (.17)	41% (57)	25.4	44% (83)	39% (33)	3.61 (52)	49.4	2	0.9
ARMY	#99 (.13)	40% (99)	31.1	41% (91)	3.33 (27)	209	37% (105)	103	3.07 (122)	#95 (.23)	46% (116)	15.5	47% (107)	46% (119)	2.58 (3)	36.3	1.8	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RICE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARMY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RICE Offense	13	22.2	12.5	43.7%	4.81	2	19	363	110	252	3.7	41%	58%	43%	45%	17%	.22
ARMY Defense	12	15.5	14.3	45.6%	2.58	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	47%	46%	12%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RICE Defense	13	25.4	29.7	41.2%	3.61	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	44%	39%	12%	.17
ARMY Offense	12	31.1	36	39.5%	3.07	1.8	16	312	209	103	4.4	76%	22%	41%	37%	12%	.13

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Rice	13	30:59	18.8	38%	67%	5.8	49.4	2	0.9	3.8	1.3	1	28.7
Army	12	32:32	16.3	38%	59%	3.9	36.3	1.8	1.6	3.9	1.4	3	32.7

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RICE Offense	13	41% (120)	43% (70)	29.8	110.5	3.7	21 (54)	.12 (86)	3.01 (87)	65% (118)	10% (59)	0.96 (89)
ARMY Defense	12	56% (123)	47% (107)	-	-	-	-	.26 (123)	3.44 (122)	63% (17)	8% (112)	1.06 (96)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RICE Defense	13	52% (93)	44% (83)	-	-	-	-	.19 (99)	3.15 (80)	73% (66)	7% (125)	1.01 (79)
ARMY Offense	12	76% (2)	41% (91)	47.8	208.8	4.4	19 (69)	.11 (88)	3.33 (27)	82% (9)	9% (42)	0.89 (118)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RICE Offense	13	58% (13)	45% (32)	20.6	33.2	252.5	7.6	12.3	29 (18)	16 (121)	.34 (45)	1.6 (54)	32% (74)	32% (60)	.32 (71)	7% (103)	2.1 (47)
ARMY Defense	12	43% (9)	46% (119)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.27 (71)	1.4 (16)	27% (130)	29% (57)	.26 (40)	4% (131)	2.2 (110)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RICE Defense	13	48% (42)	39% (33)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (126)	.21 (34)	1.6 (53)	33% (49)	29% (44)	.24 (34)	5% (109)	2 (53)
ARMY Offense	12	22% (132)	37% (105)	6.9	13.7	102.8	7.5	14.9	7 (129)	11 (68)	.33 (51)	2 (2)	29% (21)	23% (127)	.14 (120)	3% (5)	1.9 (115)

Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -8.74 #95
Rice's Offense Rating: 11.53 #123
Rice's Defense Rating: 3.01 #12
2024 Talent Rating: 572.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Rice's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Rice's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #109
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Rice: -8.74 Army: 9.865

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rice: -11.4 Army: 9.2

Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: 9.865 #42
Army's Offense Rating: 26.97 #9
Army's Defense Rating: 8.96 #64
2024 Talent Rating: 172.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Army's 2024 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Army's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #37
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Rice Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.5
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.7

Rice's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Army 33
Rice 13

Projected Total Points: 47

Army Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

Army's 2024 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/21	Army	37	Rice	14	Army	Army -7.0	Army	44.0	Over
2019	08/30	Army	14	Rice	7	Army	Army -23.5	Rice	46.5	Under
2017	10/07	Rice	12	Army	49	Army	Army -12.5	Army	48.0	Over
2016	09/10	Army	31	Rice	14	Army	Army -7	Army	52.0	Under
2015	10/24	Rice	38	Army	31	Rice	Army -14	Rice	53.0	Over
2014	10/11	Army	21	Rice	41	Rice	Army -2	Rice	0
2008	11/08	Rice	38	Army	31	Rice
2006	09/30	Army	14	Rice	48	Rice

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Army	4	3	3 Overs
Rice	4	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 3	3 - 3	2 - 2	1 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 5	3 - 3	1 - 1	2 - 2

(#95) Rice Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.74 #95
Offense Rating: 11.53 #123
Defense Rating: 3.01 #12
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #109
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94
Talent Rating: 572.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.27 PPO
Awful Run Success 36%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Rice Notes
(11/26) New HC Abell runs shotgun triple option
(11/25) Bad team awful on road, L to UAB? 4 TOs, Bad D
(11/3) Beat Navy, Run Def great, Off enough in W
(10/28) QB Warner DNP vs UConn, Devillier awful
(10/27) Bloomgren fired, AHC/ST Alamar interim
(10/20) Even w/ Tulane, Warner 3 Int, 5 TOs killed em
(10/12) QB Warner lit UTSA, Rgame awful, Def meh
(10/8) Strange L (Char), OG'd+ 150yds, 0 TO's, still lost
(9/23) Killed by Army, can't run, can't defend. Bad team
(9/17) Off Succ (#132), Expl (#123). Def top 10 Succ

Rice Ratings Matchup Army

Power #95

#42

Off #123

Def #12

#64

Talent #82

#133

SP+ #109

#37

SP+ Off #110

#42

SP+ Def #94

#33

Rematch from Week 4
Army -7.0 (44.0)
Army won vs Rice this year (37-14)

Previous Matchups
Army beat Rice last year (37-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Blaik Field at Michie Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 78° - Wind: 8 mph

Team Information
Injuries: RICE | ARMY
Depth Chart: RICE | ARMY
Rosters: RICE | ARMY

(#42) Army Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.865 #42
Offense Rating: 26.97 #9
Defense Rating: 8.96 #64
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #37
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Talent Rating: 172.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0

Team Profile
Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
Great Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.47 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Great in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Army Notes
(12/6) Beat UTSA, routed Tulane in AAC title game
(12/6) 57 car, 335 yds, 5.9 ypc, 5 TD in AAC Title game
(11/25) Killed by ND, avg 16 ppg in last 3. AACC vs Tulane
(11/16) Clinched AAC title game appearance
(11/3) QB Daily DNP vs Air Force
(11/3) Rgame OK vs AFA w/o Daily, not near with him
(11/1) 3-0 w/ avg 31 ppg margin of victory in Oct
(10/22) Def stop rate 79% (#5) but bad opp Off so far
(10/20) Rgame 295 yds, 5.3 ypc. QB 7-10, 147 vs ECU
(10/18) Great start, played no one, Def still #88 success

Rice's OC Marques Tuiasosopo

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
E.J. Warner (Tr)	271	438	62%	2710	17	13	6.2
Drew Devillier	20	38	53%	137	0	0	3.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dean Connors	159	780	9	4.9	71
Quinton Jackson	48	275	1	5.7	45
Taji Atkins	24	158	2	6.6	33
Coleman Bennett (Tr)	2	28	1	14.0	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dean Connors	61	472	2	7.7	69
Braylen Walker	22	264	1	12.0	50
Graham Walker (Tr)	24	252	0	10.5	33
Thai Chiaokhiao-Bowman (Tr)	15	125	1	8.3	33

View Rice's Full Roster

Rice's DC Brian Smith

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ty Anthony Morris	49	8	5	0	0
Andrew Awe	44	4	1	1	0
Daveon Hook	35	2	0	1	2
Max Ahoia	34	1	0	0	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Ty Anthony Morris	49	8	5	0
Michael Daley (Tr)	14	6	3	1
Charles Looes (Tr)	31	7	3	2
Joseph Mutombo	11	3	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Max Ahoia	34	1	0	8
Daveon Hook	35	2	1	2
Tyson Flowers	33	3	1	2

Army's OC Cody Worley

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dewayne Coleman	11	16	69%	121	1	0	7.6
James Wagenseller	1	1	100%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kanye Udoh	179	1117	10	6.2	72
Noah Short	75	569	2	7.6	61
Hayden Reed	40	207	1	5.2	15
Dewayne Coleman	38	136	1	3.6	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Noah Short	17	318	3	18.7	58
Hayden Reed	6	63	1	10.5	23
Liam Fortner	1	28	0	28.0	28
Samari Howard	2	11	0	5.5	7

View Army's Full Roster

Army's DC Nate Woody

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Andon Thomas	85	3	0	1	2
Kalib Fortner	76	10	3	4	3
Casey Larkin	45	6	0	0	2
Justin Weaver	33	3	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elo Modozie	30	8	6	7	1
Kalib Fortner	76	10	3	4	3
Kody Harris-Miller	30	5	2	1	0
Eric Ford	21	3	2	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gavin Shields	10	1	0	0	4
Jaydan Mayes	27	3	0	0	3
Kalib Fortner	76	10	3	4	3