Army at Tulsa - 2024 Matchup Preview
Army logo   Army Black Knights at Tulsa Golden Hurricane  Tulsa logo
Saturday, October 5th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Army -13.5 (50.5) (-550)  Open: -8.5
Army 49 - Tulsa: 7  (American Athletic)

 
Black Knights (12 - 2) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (70 - 55)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (21 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#6)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARMY 2nd straight Road Game
TLSA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Army -28.5  (SP+ ARMY -30)

Projected Score: ARMY: 39 - TLSA: 10 (49)
ARMY Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
ARMY Travel: 1234 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Hurricane (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Kevin Wilson (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Army's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Army vs Lehigh-28
Sat 9/7 Army at Florida Atlantic+1.542.5W 24 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Army vs Rice-7.044.0W 37 - 14OY
Thu 9/26 Army at Temple-11.046.5W 42 - 14OY
Sat 10/5 Army at Tulsa-13.550.5W 49 - 7OY
Sat 10/12 Army vs UAB-27.055.5W 44 - 10UY
Sat 10/19 Army vs East Carolina-17.554.0W 45 - 28ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Army vs Air Force-18.038.5W 20 - 3UN
Sat 11/9 Army at North Texas-6.568.0W 14 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Army vs Notre Dame+14.544.5L 14 - 49ON
Sat 11/30 Army vs UTSA-6.553.5W 29 - 24UN
Fri 12/6 Army vs Tulane+4.546.5W 35 - 14OY
Sat 12/14 Army vs Navy-6.039.5
Sat 12/28 Army vs Louisiana Tech-15.044.5W 27 - 6UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Army's Schedule
Tulsa's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Tulsa vs Northwestern State-37.555.5W 62 - 28ON
Sat 9/7 Tulsa at Arkansas State+9.565.5L 24 - 28UY
Sat 9/14 Tulsa vs Oklahoma State+17.562.5L 10 - 45UN
Sat 9/21 Tulsa at Louisiana Tech+3.056.5W 23 - 20UY
Sat 9/28 Tulsa at North Texas+7.065.5L 20 - 52ON
Sat 10/5 Tulsa vs Army+13.550.5L 7 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Tulsa at Temple+3.551.5L 10 - 20UN
Sat 10/26 Tulsa vs UTSA+9.552.5W 46 - 45OY
Sat 11/2 Tulsa at UAB+2.557.5L 21 - 59ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/14 Tulsa vs East Carolina+16.063.5L 31 - 38OY
Sat 11/23 Tulsa at South Florida+17.560.0L 30 - 63ON
Sat 11/30 Tulsa vs Florida Atlantic+2.557.5L 16 - 63ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARMY#99 (.13)40% (99)23.841% (91)3.33 (27)20937% (105)1033.07 (122)#95 (.23)46% (116)21.647% (107)46% (119)2.58 (3)36.31.81.6
TLSA#77 (.18)41% (83)23.240% (99)3.16 (59)18144% (50)2054.23 (34)#120 (.29)44% (96)28.943% (67)46% (121)3.95 (82)43.321.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARMY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TLSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARMY Offense1223.820.839.5%3.071.8163122091034.476%22%41%37%12%.13
TLSA Defense1228.927.243.9%3.951.7 - - - - - 47%51%43%46%14%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARMY Defense1221.621.245.6%2.581.6 - - - - - 56%43%47%46%12%.23
TLSA Offense1223.227.341%4.232203861812054.157%41%40%44%17%.18

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Army1232:3216.338%59%3.936.31.81.63.91.4332.7
Tulsa1229:4219.845%44%5.143.321.75.41.8028.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARMY Offense1276% (2)41% (91)47.8208.84.419 (69).11 (88)3.33 (27)82% (9)9% (42)0.89 (118)
TLSA Defense1247% (37)43% (67) - - - - .21 (107)3.18 (89)67% (30)10% (74)1.13 (115)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARMY Defense1256% (123)47% (107) - - - - .26 (123)3.44 (122)63% (17)8% (112)1.06 (96)
TLSA Offense1257% (16)40% (99)43.9180.94.113 (108).1 (96)3.16 (59)79% (27)11% (87)0.88 (120)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARMY Offense1222% (132)37% (105)6.913.7102.87.514.97 (129)11 (68).33 (51)2 (2)29% (21)23% (127).14 (120)3% (5)1.9 (115)
TLSA Defense1251% (89)46% (121) - - - - - - 10 (67).43 (124)1.7 (100)30% (103)29% (43).41 (111)5% (113)2.6 (133)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARMY Defense1243% (9)46% (119) - - - - - - 9 (87).27 (71)1.4 (16)27% (130)29% (57).26 (40)4% (131)2.2 (110)
TLSA Offense1241% (118)44% (50)15.827.8204.77.412.920 (70)19 (131).36 (37)1.8 (13)34% (95)32% (57).33 (68)6% (73)2.1 (66)

Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: 5.53  #42
Army's Offense Rating: 26.97  #9
Army's Defense Rating: 8.96  #64
2024 Talent Rating: 71.00  #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #102
Army's 2024 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Army's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2  #37
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #42
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #33

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 238.57
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Army: 5.53   Tulsa: -20.915

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Army: 9.2   Tulsa: -20.6




Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -20.915  #132
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 11.18  #125
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 19.20  #127
2024 Talent Rating: 253.00  #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #82
Tulsa's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Tulsa's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.6  #128
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2  #105
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3  #129

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 238.57
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


Army Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.2

Army's 2024 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Army 39
Tulsa 10


Projected Total Points: 49
Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.3
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Tulsa's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Army25Tulsa26Army -10Tulsa43.5Over
202410/05Tulsa7Army49Army -13.5Army50.5Over
200711/17Army39Tulsa49
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulsa212 Overs
Army110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 30 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams3 - 02 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#42) ARMY at (#132) TLSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARMYTLSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #42 #132
SP+SP+ #37 #128
Perf GradeGrade #6 #133
OffenseOff #1 #118
DefenseDef #79 #133
Spec TeamsST #57 #119
TalentTal #133 #94
Blue ChipsBC% #102 #82
Army Notes
(12/14) Killed by Navy, offense was awful (2.9 ypc, 3 TO's)
(12/6) Beat UTSA, routed Tulane in AAC title game
(12/6) 57 car, 335 yds, 5.9 ypc, 5 TD in AAC Title game
(11/25) Killed by ND, avg 16 ppg in last 3. AACC vs Tulane
(11/16) Clinched AAC title game appearance
(11/3) QB Daily DNP vs Air Force
(11/3) Rgame OK vs AFA w/o Daily, not near with him
(11/1) 3-0 w/ avg 31 ppg margin of victory in Oct
(10/22) Def stop rate 79% (#5) but bad opp Off so far
(10/20) Rgame 295 yds, 5.3 ypc. QB 7-10, 147 vs ECU
(10/18) Great start, played no one, Def still #88 success
(9/26) Ran for 417 (7.3 ypc) vs Temple. Absolute machine
Army Injury Report
Tulsa Notes
(12/8) Hired HC Tre Lamb (ETSU/Gar Web)
(11/24) HC Wilson fired, WR coach Ryan Switzer in
(11/4) Wilson is 3-10 in AAC play, 7-14 overall
(11/3) Killed by UAB? Def torched 400+ pass? Run awful
(10/28) Down 35-7, season saving comeback vs UTSA
(10/20) L to Temple after Bye? QB meh, Rgame abysmal
(10/20) Pass D torched by Temple for 300+, QBs awful
(10/20) Not sure what plan is or level of give a shit
(9/25) Even with LT, 13 flags killers, forced 3 TOs in OT W
(7/30) New QB Francis got PT LY, backups better upside
(7/30) Def was awful LY, returns little, need portal adds
(7/30) Is HC Wilson still a prick? OC is Spurrier Jr.
Tulsa Injury Report
Army on Offense
Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCat
ARMY OffTLSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #1 #133
SuccessSuc #99 #96
ExplosiveExp #125 #123
PPAPPA #99 #120
PowerPwr #9 #127
SP+SP+ #42 #129
Pts POPPO #122 #82
HavocHav #11 #108
Army Run Game
Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCat
ARMY OffTLSA Def
Run GameRun #9 #108
Run SuccessRSuc #91 #67
Run ExplRExp #118 #115
PPAExp #88 #107
Run BlockR Blk #1 -
OL YdsOLY #27 #89
Stuff RateStuff #8 #69
TackleTak -  #130
Army Pass Game
Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCat
ARMY OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePass #67 #136
Pass SuccessPSuc #105 #121
Pass ExplPExl #2 #100
PPAExp #51 #124
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #69 #44
F7 HavocF7 #42 #74
DB HavocDB #5 #113
Tulsa on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTLSA OffARMY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #118 #79
SuccessSuc #83 #116
ExplosiveExp #77 #35
PPAPPA #77 #95
PowerPwr #125 #64
SP+SP+ #105 #33
Pts POPPO #34 #3
HavocHav #87 #127
Tulsa Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TLSA OffARMY Def
Run GameRun #105 #85
Run SuccessRSuc #99 #107
Run ExplRExp #120 #96
PPAExp #96 #123
Run BlockR Blk #122 -
OL YdsOLY #59 #122
Stuff RateStuff #22 #110
TackleTak -  #62
Tulsa Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTLSA OffARMY Def
Pass GamePass #112 #68
Pass SuccessPSuc #50 #119
Pass ExplPExl #13 #16
PPAExp #37 #71
Pass Block/RushP Blk #121 #104
F7 HavocF7 #87 #112
DB HavocDB #73 #131
Program Comparison
TLSA 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Up to Poor G5

ARMY 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Army 13.5 (50.5)
Army won at Tulsa this year (49-7)

Previous Matchups
Tulsa beat Army last year (26-25)
Army beat Tulsa in 2024 (49-7)

  
ARMY's OC Cody Worley (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryson Daily5410352%1007949.8
Dewayne Coleman111669%121107.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Daily3111653325.342
Kanye Udoh1791117106.272
Noah Short7556927.661
Hayden Reed4020715.215
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Casey Reynolds19449323.650
Noah Short17318318.758
Cam Schurr783111.918
Hayden Reed663110.523

View Army's Full Roster

ARMY's DC Nate Woody (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andon Thomas853012
Kalib Fortner7610343
Max DiDomenico562003
Chance Keith452123
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elo Modozie308671
Brett Gerena403310
Kyle Lewis254310
Kalib Fortner7610343
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gavin Shields101004
Max DiDomenico562003
Chance Keith452123

TLSA's OC Steve Spurrier Jr. (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kirk Francis14925359%1585966.3
Cooper Legas (Tr)8716254%11441267.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Watkins8740244.677
Viron Ellison Jr.6235315.732
Bill Jackson6731904.837
Lloyd Avant7625913.416
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kamdyn Benjamin70822611.774
Joseph Williams30588519.672
Luke Mcgary17231113.632
Zion Steptoe (Tr)15203013.534

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC Chris Polizzi (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gavin Potter (Tr)7511140
Dayne Hodge601003
Malachi Jones490003
Zach Marcheselli (Tr)4710100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
R.J. Jackson354302
Owen Ostroski358240
Vontroy Malone255210
Myles Jackson (Tr)366210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keuan Parker200004
Buddha Garrett381003
Dayne Hodge601003