Army at Tulsa Game Matchup
Army logo Army Black Knights at Tulsa Golden HurricaneTulsa logo
Saturday, October 5th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Army -13.5 (50.5) (-550)  Open: -8.5
Army 49 - Tulsa: 7  (American Athletic)

 
Black Knights (12 - 2) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (70 - 55)
Avg Score : 31 - 16 (32 - 8 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#6)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
Wind: 12.7 MPH
ARMY 2nd straight Road Game
TLSA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Army -28.5   (SP+ ARMY -30)

Projected Score: ARMY: 41 - TLSA: 13 (57)
ARMY Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
ARMY Travel: 1234 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Hurricane (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Ryan Switzer (Int) (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 25 - 43 (29 - 45 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
 
Army's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Army vs Lehigh-28
Sat 9/7 Army at Florida Atlantic+1.542.5W 24 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Army vs Rice-7.044.0W 37 - 14OY
Thu 9/26 Army at Temple-11.046.5W 42 - 14OY
Sat 10/5 Army at Tulsa-13.550.5W 49 - 7OY
Sat 10/12 Army vs UAB-27.055.5W 44 - 10UY
Sat 10/19 Army vs East Carolina-17.554.0W 45 - 28ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Army vs Air Force-18.038.5W 20 - 3UN
Sat 11/9 Army at North Texas-6.568.0W 14 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Army vs Notre Dame+14.544.5L 14 - 49ON
Sat 11/30 Army vs UTSA-6.553.5W 29 - 24UN
Fri 12/6 Army vs Tulane+4.546.5W 35 - 14OY
Sat 12/14 Army vs Navy-6.039.5
Sat 12/28 Army vs Louisiana Tech-15.044.5W 27 - 6UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Army's Schedule
Tulsa's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Tulsa vs Northwestern State-37.555.5W 62 - 28ON
Sat 9/7 Tulsa at Arkansas State+9.565.5L 24 - 28UY
Sat 9/14 Tulsa vs Oklahoma State+17.562.5L 10 - 45UN
Sat 9/21 Tulsa at Louisiana Tech+3.056.5W 23 - 20UY
Sat 9/28 Tulsa at North Texas+7.065.5L 20 - 52ON
Sat 10/5 Tulsa vs Army+13.550.5L 7 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Tulsa at Temple+3.551.5L 10 - 20UN
Sat 10/26 Tulsa vs UTSA+9.552.5W 46 - 45OY
Sat 11/2 Tulsa at UAB+2.557.5L 21 - 59ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/14 Tulsa vs East Carolina+16.063.5L 31 - 38OY
Sat 11/23 Tulsa at South Florida+17.560.0L 30 - 63ON
Sat 11/30 Tulsa vs Florida Atlantic+2.557.5L 16 - 63ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARMY#99 (.13)40% (99)31.141% (91)3.33 (27)20937% (105)1033.07 (122)#95 (.23)46% (116)15.547% (107)46% (119)2.58 (3)36.31.81.6
TLSA#77 (.18)41% (83)2540% (99)3.16 (59)18144% (50)2054.23 (34)#120 (.29)44% (96)42.543% (67)46% (121)3.95 (82)43.321.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARMY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TLSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARMY Offense1231.132.339.5%3.071.8163122091034.476%22%41%37%12%.13
TLSA Defense1242.544.743.9%3.951.7 - - - - - 47%51%43%46%14%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARMY Defense1215.57.845.6%2.581.6 - - - - - 56%43%47%46%12%.23
TLSA Offense122528.741%4.232203861812054.157%41%40%44%17%.18

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Army1232:3216.338%59%3.936.31.81.63.91.4332.7
Tulsa1229:4219.845%44%5.143.321.75.41.8028.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARMY Offense1276% (2)41% (91)47.8208.84.419 (69).11 (88)3.33 (27)82% (9)9% (42)0.89 (118)
TLSA Defense1247% (37)43% (67) - - - - .21 (107)3.18 (89)67% (30)10% (74)1.13 (115)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARMY Defense1256% (123)47% (107) - - - - .26 (123)3.44 (122)63% (17)8% (112)1.06 (96)
TLSA Offense1257% (16)40% (99)43.9180.94.113 (108).1 (96)3.16 (59)79% (27)11% (87)0.88 (120)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARMY Offense1222% (132)37% (105)6.913.7102.87.514.97 (129)11 (68).33 (51)2 (2)29% (21)23% (127).14 (120)3% (5)1.9 (115)
TLSA Defense1251% (89)46% (121) - - - - - - 10 (67).43 (124)1.7 (100)30% (103)29% (43).41 (111)5% (113)2.6 (133)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARMY Defense1243% (9)46% (119) - - - - - - 9 (87).27 (71)1.4 (16)27% (130)29% (57).26 (40)4% (131)2.2 (110)
TLSA Offense1241% (118)44% (50)15.827.8204.77.412.920 (70)19 (131).36 (37)1.8 (13)34% (95)32% (57).33 (68)6% (73)2.1 (66)

Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: 5.53 #42
Army's Offense Rating: 26.97 #9
Army's Defense Rating: 8.96 #64
2024 Talent Rating: 172.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Army's 2024 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Army's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #37
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Army: 5.53   Tulsa: -20.915

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Army: 9.2   Tulsa: -20.6




Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -20.915 #132
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 19.20 #127
2024 Talent Rating: 510.00 #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Tulsa's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Tulsa's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.6 #128
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #105
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Army Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.3
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 7.8

Army's 2024 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Army 41
Tulsa 13


Projected Total Points: 57
Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.7
Defense: 42.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 44.7

Tulsa's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Tulsa7Army49ArmyArmy -13.5Army50.5Over
200711/17Army39Tulsa49Tulsa
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulsa101 Overs
Army110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams2 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#42) Army Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.53 #42
Offense Rating: 26.97 #9
Defense Rating: 8.96 #64
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #37
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Talent Rating: 172.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0

Team Profile
Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
Great Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.47 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Great in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Army Notes
(12/6) Beat UTSA, routed Tulane in AAC title game
(12/6) 57 car, 335 yds, 5.9 ypc, 5 TD in AAC Title game
(11/25) Killed by ND, avg 16 ppg in last 3. AACC vs Tulane
(11/16) Clinched AAC title game appearance
(11/3) QB Daily DNP vs Air Force
(11/3) Rgame OK vs AFA w/o Daily, not near with him
(11/1) 3-0 w/ avg 31 ppg margin of victory in Oct
(10/22) Def stop rate 79% (#5) but bad opp Off so far
(10/20) Rgame 295 yds, 5.3 ypc. QB 7-10, 147 vs ECU
(10/18) Great start, played no one, Def still #88 success
Army     Ratings Matchup     Tulsa
Power #42
#132
Off #9
#125
Def #64
#127
Talent #133
#94
SP+ #37
#128
SP+ Off #42
#105
SP+ Def #33
#129

Rematch from Week 6
Army 13.5 (50.5)
Army won at Tulsa this year (49-7)

Previous Matchups
Army beat Tulsa last year (49-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 84° - Wind: 13 mph


Team Information
Injuries: ARMY | TLSA
Depth Chart: ARMY | TLSA
Rosters: ARMY | TLSA
(#132) Tulsa Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -20.915 #132
Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Defense Rating: 19.20 #127
Overall SP+ Rating: -20.6 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #105
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 510.00 #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 34%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.54 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.7 PPO
Good Run Def Success 38%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Tulsa Notes
(11/24) HC Wilson fired, WR coach Ryan Switzer in
(11/4) Wilson is 3-10 in AAC play, 7-14 overall
(11/3) Killed by UAB? Def torched 400+ pass? Run awful
(10/28) Down 35-7, season saving comeback vs UTSA
(10/20) L to Temple after Bye? QB meh, Rgame abysmal
(10/20) Pass D torched by Temple for 300+, QBs awful
(10/20) Not sure what plan is or level of give a shit
(9/25) Even with LT, 13 flags killers, forced 3 TOs in OT W
(7/30) New QB Francis got PT LY, backups better upside
(7/30) Def was awful LY, returns little, need portal adds


  
Army's OC Cody Worley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dewayne Coleman111669%121107.6
James Wagenseller11100%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kanye Udoh1791117106.272
Noah Short7556927.661
Hayden Reed4020715.215
Dewayne Coleman3813613.615
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Noah Short17318318.758
Hayden Reed663110.523
Liam Fortner128028.028
Samari Howard21105.57

View Army's Full Roster
Army's DC Nate Woody
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andon Thomas853012
Kalib Fortner7610343
Casey Larkin456002
Justin Weaver333000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elo Modozie308671
Kalib Fortner7610343
Kody Harris-Miller305210
Eric Ford213201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gavin Shields101004
Jaydan Mayes273003
Kalib Fortner7610343

Tulsa's OC Steve Spurrier Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kirk Francis14925359%1585966.3
Cooper Legas (Tr)8716254%11441267.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Viron Ellison Jr.6235315.732
Bill Jackson6731904.837
Lloyd Avant7625913.416
Cooper Legas (Tr)7920112.533
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Joseph Williams30588519.672
Luke Mcgary17231113.632
Zion Steptoe (Tr)15203013.534
Corey Smith12179214.938

View Tulsa's Full Roster
Tulsa's DC Chris Polizzi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gavin Potter (Tr)7511140
Dayne Hodge601003
Zach Marcheselli (Tr)4710100
Chris Thompson Jr. (Tr)445110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
R.J. Jackson354302
Vontroy Malone255210
Owen Ostroski358240
Myles Jackson (Tr)366210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keuan Parker200004
Dayne Hodge601003
Buddha Garrett381003