Army at North Texas Game Matchup

Army Black Knights at North Texas Mean Green

Saturday, November 9th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Army -6.5 (68.0) (-220) Open: -5.5 | 63.0
Army 14 - North Texas: 3 (American Athletic)

Black Knights (12 - 2) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (70 - 55)
Avg Score : 31 - 16 (32 - 8 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#6)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)

UNT coming off BYE
Our Line: Army -11.5 (SP+ ARMY -13.5)
Projected Score: ARMY: 36 - UNT: 25 (58)
ARMY Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
ARMY Travel: 1389 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Mean Green (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 34 - 34 (33 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
ARMY Players
UNT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Army's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Army vs Lehigh	-28
Sat 9/7	Army at Florida Atlantic	+1.5	42.5	W 24 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Army vs Rice	-7.0	44.0	W 37 - 14	O	Y
Thu 9/26	Army at Temple	-11.0	46.5	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Army at Tulsa	-13.5	50.5	W 49 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Army vs UAB	-27.0	55.5	W 44 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Army vs East Carolina	-17.5	54.0	W 45 - 28	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Army vs Air Force	-18.0	38.5	W 20 - 3	U	N
Sat 11/9	Army at North Texas	-6.5	68.0	W 14 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Army vs Notre Dame	+14.5	44.5	L 14 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/30	Army vs UTSA	-6.5	53.5	W 29 - 24	U	N
Fri 12/6	Army vs Tulane	+4.5	46.5	W 35 - 14	O	Y
Sat 12/14	Army vs Navy	-6.0	39.5
Sat 12/28	Army vs Louisiana Tech	-15.0	44.5	W 27 - 6	U	Y

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 7
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Army's Schedule

North Texas's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	North Texas at South Alabama	+6.0	61.5	W 52 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/7	North Texas vs Stephen F. Austin	-21.5	72.5	W 35 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/14	North Texas at Texas Tech	+10.5	70.5	L 21 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/21	North Texas vs Wyoming	-7.0	55.0	W 44 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/28	North Texas vs Tulsa	-7.0	65.5	W 52 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	North Texas at Florida Atlantic	-5.5	58.5	W 41 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/19	North Texas at Memphis	+10.5	67.5	L 44 - 52	O	Y
Sat 10/26	North Texas vs Tulane	+7.5	70.5	L 37 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	North Texas vs Army	+6.5	68.0	L 3 - 14	U	N
Fri 11/15	North Texas at UTSA	+1.0	73.0	L 27 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/23	North Texas vs East Carolina	-2.5	73.5	L 28 - 40	U	N
Sat 11/30	North Texas at Temple	-10.5	63.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
Fri 1/3	North Texas vs Texas State	+15.5	67.5	L 28 - 30	U	Y

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARMY	#99 (.13)	40% (99)	31.1	41% (91)	3.33 (27)	209	37% (105)	103	3.07 (122)	#95 (.23)	46% (116)	15.5	47% (107)	46% (119)	2.58 (3)	36.3	1.8	1.6
UNT	#28 (.28)	45% (42)	33.5	46% (37)	3.4 (12)	191	44% (42)	305	4.42 (28)	#132 (.34)	48% (131)	34.2	51% (129)	46% (120)	4.77 (130)	46.6	1.6	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARMY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARMY Offense	12	31.1	32.3	39.5%	3.07	1.8	16	312	209	103	4.4	76%	22%	41%	37%	12%	.13
UNT Defense	12	34.2	26	48.5%	4.77	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	60%	39%	51%	46%	11%	.34

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARMY Defense	12	15.5	7.8	45.6%	2.58	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	47%	46%	12%	.23
UNT Offense	12	33.5	33.2	44.7%	4.42	1.6	25	496	191	305	5.1	45%	54%	46%	44%	17%	.28

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Army	12	32:32	16.3	38%	59%	3.9	36.3	1.8	1.6	3.9	1.4	3	32.7
North Texas	12	29:12	24.8	42%	60%	4.8	46.6	1.6	1.2	4	1.4	0	27.6

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARMY Offense	12	76% (2)	41% (91)	47.8	208.8	4.4	19 (69)	.11 (88)	3.33 (27)	82% (9)	9% (42)	0.89 (118)
UNT Defense	12	60% (133)	51% (129)	-	-	-	-	.36 (132)	3.49 (129)	74% (77)	7% (133)	1.15 (120)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARMY Defense	12	56% (123)	47% (107)	-	-	-	-	.26 (123)	3.44 (122)	63% (17)	8% (112)	1.06 (96)
UNT Offense	12	45% (105)	46% (37)	37.4	191.2	5.1	19 (69)	.3 (7)	3.4 (12)	78% (28)	10% (71)	1.22 (1)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARMY Offense	12	22% (132)	37% (105)	6.9	13.7	102.8	7.5	14.9	7 (129)	11 (68)	.33 (51)	2 (2)	29% (21)	23% (127)	.14 (120)	3% (5)	1.9 (115)
UNT Defense	12	39% (1)	46% (120)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.38 (115)	1.6 (62)	25% (132)	34% (116)	.44 (120)	5% (118)	2.1 (68)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARMY Defense	12	43% (9)	46% (119)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.27 (71)	1.4 (16)	27% (130)	29% (57)	.26 (40)	4% (131)	2.2 (110)
UNT Offense	12	54% (29)	44% (42)	23.7	38.6	304.8	7.9	12.9	33 (11)	9 (40)	.3 (63)	1.7 (43)	33% (89)	35% (26)	.49 (20)	7% (96)	2.3 (11)

Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: 5.53 #42
Army's Offense Rating: 26.97 #9
Army's Defense Rating: 8.96 #64
2024 Talent Rating: 172.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Army's 2024 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Army's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #37
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Army: 5.53 North Texas: -4.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Army: 9.2 North Texas: -4.5

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -4.3 #98
North Texas's Offense Rating: 19.35 #70
North Texas's Defense Rating: 14.51 #105
2024 Talent Rating: 576.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
North Texas's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
North Texas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.5 #89
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #121

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Army Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.3
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 7.8

Army's 2024 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Army 36
North Texas 25

Projected Total Points: 58

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.2
Defense: 34.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Texas's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/09	North Texas	3	Army	14	Army	Army -6.5	Army	68.0	Under
2017	11/18	North Texas	52	Army	49	North Texas	North Texas -1.5	North Texas	59.5	Over
2016	10/22	Army	18	North Texas	35	North Texas	Army -17.5	North Texas	48.0	Over
2016	12/27	North Texas	31	Army	38	Army	Army -9.5	North Texas	47.0	Over
2010	09/18	Army	24	North Texas	0	Army
2009	11/21	North Texas	13	Army	17	Army

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
North Texas	2	3	3 Overs
Army	4	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 4	2 - 2	1 - 1	1 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 2	2 - 2	1 - 1	1 - 1

(#42) Army Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.53 #42
Offense Rating: 26.97 #9
Defense Rating: 8.96 #64
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #37
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Talent Rating: 172.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0

Team Profile
Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
Great Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.47 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Great in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Army Notes
(12/6) Beat UTSA, routed Tulane in AAC title game
(12/6) 57 car, 335 yds, 5.9 ypc, 5 TD in AAC Title game
(11/25) Killed by ND, avg 16 ppg in last 3. AACC vs Tulane
(11/16) Clinched AAC title game appearance
(11/3) QB Daily DNP vs Air Force
(11/3) Rgame OK vs AFA w/o Daily, not near with him
(11/1) 3-0 w/ avg 31 ppg margin of victory in Oct
(10/22) Def stop rate 79% (#5) but bad opp Off so far
(10/20) Rgame 295 yds, 5.3 ypc. QB 7-10, 147 vs ECU
(10/18) Great start, played no one, Def still #88 success

Army Ratings Matchup North Texas

Power #42

#98

Off #9

#70

Def #64

#105

Talent #133

#81

SP+ #37

#89

SP+ Off #42

#27

SP+ Def #33

#121

Rematch from Week 11
Army 6.5 (68.0)
Army won at North Texas this year (14-3)

Previous Matchups
Army beat North Texas last year (14-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 71°

Team Information
Injuries: ARMY | UNT
Depth Chart: ARMY | UNT
Rosters: ARMY | UNT

(#98) North Texas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.3 #98
Offense Rating: 19.35 #70
Defense Rating: 14.51 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.5 #89
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #121
Talent Rating: 576.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.91 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.03 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

North Texas Notes
(11/25) 5 str L's, Def awful, R Def mauled. Bad vibes
(11/18) Def just abysmal (UTSA). Morris INTs, Rgame great
(11/17) DC Caponi after UTSA blowout
(10/20) Morris great, Rgame great, Def awful (Tulane L)
(10/12) QB Morris great, Rgame Ok in shootout W (F Atl)
(10/4) QB Morris been great, Rgame awful. Over Team
(9/1) Great W @ S Al, Morris 415, run game bad, Def bad
(8/21) Starting DB/S I. Young out for the season.
(8/13) Brutal def LY esp. vs run, Off has much to find
(7/30) QB Morris (TCU) out spring, 20 portals in 2 deep

Army's OC Cody Worley

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dewayne Coleman	11	16	69%	121	1	0	7.6
James Wagenseller	1	1	100%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kanye Udoh	179	1117	10	6.2	72
Noah Short	75	569	2	7.6	61
Hayden Reed	40	207	1	5.2	15
Dewayne Coleman	38	136	1	3.6	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Noah Short	17	318	3	18.7	58
Hayden Reed	6	63	1	10.5	23
Liam Fortner	1	28	0	28.0	28
Samari Howard	2	11	0	5.5	7

View Army's Full Roster

Army's DC Nate Woody

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Andon Thomas	85	3	0	1	2
Kalib Fortner	76	10	3	4	3
Casey Larkin	45	6	0	0	2
Justin Weaver	33	3	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elo Modozie	30	8	6	7	1
Kalib Fortner	76	10	3	4	3
Kody Harris-Miller	30	5	2	1	0
Eric Ford	21	3	2	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gavin Shields	10	1	0	0	4
Jaydan Mayes	27	3	0	0	3
Kalib Fortner	76	10	3	4	3

North Texas's OC Jordan Davis

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Chandler Morris (Tr)	322	509	63%	3774	31	12	7.4
Drew Mestemaker	30	46	65%	462	2	2	10.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Shane Porter	97	648	5	6.7	79
Makenzie McGill	78	470	10	6.0	75
Chandler Morris (Tr)	60	242	4	4.0	49
Kiefer Sibley	44	206	0	4.7	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
DT Sheffield (Tr)	66	822	11	12.5	75
Miles Coleman	36	378	2	10.5	49
Dalton Carnes (Tr)	29	371	2	12.8	34
Wyatt Young	18	295	2	16.4	75

View North Texas's Full Roster

North Texas's DC Matt Caponi

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jayden Hill (Tr)	86	3	1	2	3
Evan Jackson	59	1	0	1	2
Ethan Wesloski	57	5	3	2	1
Brian Nelson II	53	2	0	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Breylon Charles	29	6	5	3	1
Chavez Brown	49	8	4	1	0
Terrell Dawkins (Tr)	37	4	3	9	0
Ethan Wesloski	57	5	3	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Taylor Starling	20	2	0	0	4
Shane Whitter (Tr)	49	2	0	2	3
Jayden Hill (Tr)	86	3	1	2	3