Army at North Texas - 2024 Matchup Preview

Army Black Knights at North Texas Mean Green

Saturday, November 9th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Army -6.5 (68.0) (-220) Open: -5.5 | 63.0
Army 14 - North Texas: 3 (American Athletic)

Black Knights (12 - 2) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (70 - 55)
Avg Score : 31 - 16 (32 - 8 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#6)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNT coming off BYE
Our Line: Army -11.5 (SP+ ARMY -13.5)
Projected Score: ARMY: 38 - UNT: 26 (64)
ARMY Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
ARMY Travel: 1389 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Mean Green (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 34 - 34 (33 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARMY Players
UNT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Army's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Army vs Lehigh	-28
Sat 9/7	Army at Florida Atlantic	+1.5	42.5	W 24 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Army vs Rice	-7.0	44.0	W 37 - 14	O	Y
Thu 9/26	Army at Temple	-11.0	46.5	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Army at Tulsa	-13.5	50.5	W 49 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Army vs UAB	-27.0	55.5	W 44 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Army vs East Carolina	-17.5	54.0	W 45 - 28	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Army vs Air Force	-18.0	38.5	W 20 - 3	U	N
Sat 11/9	Army at North Texas	-6.5	68.0	W 14 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Army vs Notre Dame	+14.5	44.5	L 14 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/30	Army vs UTSA	-6.5	53.5	W 29 - 24	U	N
Fri 12/6	Army vs Tulane	+4.5	46.5	W 35 - 14	O	Y
Sat 12/14	Army vs Navy	-6.0	39.5
Sat 12/28	Army vs Louisiana Tech	-15.0	44.5	W 27 - 6	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Army's Schedule

North Texas's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	North Texas at South Alabama	+6.0	61.5	W 52 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/7	North Texas vs Stephen F. Austin	-21.5	72.5	W 35 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/14	North Texas at Texas Tech	+10.5	70.5	L 21 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/21	North Texas vs Wyoming	-7.0	55.0	W 44 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/28	North Texas vs Tulsa	-7.0	65.5	W 52 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	North Texas at Florida Atlantic	-5.5	58.5	W 41 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/19	North Texas at Memphis	+10.5	67.5	L 44 - 52	O	Y
Sat 10/26	North Texas vs Tulane	+7.5	70.5	L 37 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	North Texas vs Army	+6.5	68.0	L 3 - 14	U	N
Fri 11/15	North Texas at UTSA	+1.0	73.0	L 27 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/23	North Texas vs East Carolina	-2.5	73.5	L 28 - 40	U	N
Sat 11/30	North Texas at Temple	-10.5	63.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
Fri 1/3	North Texas vs Texas State	+15.5	67.5	L 28 - 30	U	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARMY	#10 (.32)	51% (6)	31.1	52% (7)	3.57 (5)	278	43% (52)	76	4.47 (19)	#39 (.12)	43% (89)	15.5	45% (87)	43% (88)	2.57 (2)	30.5	0.6	1.4
UNT	#45 (.23)	42% (70)	33.5	40% (109)	2.75 (111)	153	44% (39)	298	3.91 (69)	#98 (.22)	44% (98)	34.2	47% (106)	42% (79)	4.03 (93)	52.5	1.5	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARMY	#10 (.32)	51% (6)		52% (7)	3.57 (5)	278	43% (52)	76	4.47 (19)	#39 (.12)	43% (89)		45% (87)	43% (88)	2.57 (2)	30.5	0.6	1.4
UNT	#45 (.23)	42% (70)		40% (109)	2.75 (111)	153	44% (39)	298	3.91 (69)	#98 (.22)	44% (98)		47% (106)	42% (79)	4.03 (93)	52.5	1.5	1.1

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARMY Offense	14	31.1	32.3	50.7%	4.47	0.6	19	354	278	76	5.6	86%	14%	52%	43%	8%	.32
UNT Defense	13	34.2	26	44.3%	4.03	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	47%	42%	11%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARMY Defense	14	15.5	7.8	43.4%	2.57	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	45%	43%	14%	.12
UNT Offense	13	33.5	33.2	42.5%	3.91	1.5	22	451	153	298	5.6	38%	62%	40%	44%	15%	.23

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Army	14	32:46	19.1	49%	77%	3.1	30.5	0.6	1.4	3.9	1.4	0	29.4
North Texas	13	25:05	22.1	36%	48%	6.3	52.5	1.5	1.1	4.5	1.7	1	28.4

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARMY Offense	14	86% (1)	52% (7)	49.9	277.8	5.6	44 (2)	.3 (9)	3.57 (5)	86% (3)	6% (2)	0.98 (60)
UNT Defense	13	54% (105)	47% (106)	-	-	-	-	.19 (102)	3.29 (111)	75% (74)	7% (128)	0.96 (54)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARMY Defense	14	47% (32)	45% (87)	-	-	-	-	.14 (79)	3.22 (100)	67% (29)	9% (92)	0.94 (46)
UNT Offense	13	38% (129)	40% (109)	27.6	153.2	5.6	22 (55)	.17 (44)	2.75 (111)	58% (128)	9% (51)	1.25 (4)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARMY Offense	14	14% (134)	43% (52)	4.6	8.1	75.9	9.4	16.6	10 (127)	4 (1)	.43 (8)	1.9 (4)	23% (1)	32% (56)	.31 (80)	2% (1)	1.7 (134)
UNT Defense	13	46% (26)	42% (79)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (66)	.29 (98)	1.7 (94)	31% (90)	30% (72)	.31 (69)	4% (128)	2.1 (93)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARMY Defense	14	52% (99)	43% (88)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (5)	.15 (30)	1.5 (25)	32% (68)	30% (57)	.29 (60)	5% (96)	2.1 (91)
UNT Offense	13	62% (6)	44% (39)	25.2	39.8	298	7.5	11.9	31 (6)	12 (85)	.26 (64)	1.6 (60)	33% (88)	34% (35)	.35 (64)	6% (71)	2 (93)

Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: 5.53 #42
Army's Offense Rating: 26.97 #9
Army's Defense Rating: 8.96 #64
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Army's 2024 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Army's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #37
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Army: 5.53 North Texas: -4.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Army: 9.2 North Texas: -4.5

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -4.3 #98
North Texas's Offense Rating: 19.35 #70
North Texas's Defense Rating: 14.51 #105
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
North Texas's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
North Texas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.5 #89
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #121

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Army Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.3
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 7.8

Army's 2024 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Army 38
North Texas 26

Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
Army 40
North Texas 27

Total Points: 67

Based on Entire Season
Army 31
North Texas 23

Total Points: 54

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.2
Defense: 34.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Texas's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/20	Army	38	North Texas	45	North Texas -2.5	North Texas	50.5	Over
2024	11/09	North Texas	3	Army	14	Army -6.5	Army	68.0	Under
2017	11/18	North Texas	52	Army	49	North Texas -1.5	North Texas	59.5	Over
2016	10/22	Army	18	North Texas	35	Army -17.5	North Texas	48.0	Over
2016	12/27	North Texas	31	Army	38	Army -9.5	North Texas	47.0	Over
2010	09/18	Army	24	North Texas	0
2009	11/21	North Texas	13	Army	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
North Texas	3	4	4 Overs
Army	4	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 5	2 - 3	1 - 1	1 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 2	3 - 2	2 - 1	1 - 1

(#42) ARMY at (#98) UNT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ARMY	UNT
Power RatePwr	#42	#98
SP+SP+	#37	#89
Perf GradeGrade	#6	#105
OffenseOff	#1	#99
DefenseDef	#79	#101
Spec TeamsST	#57	#64
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#102

Army Notes(12/14) Killed by Navy, offense was awful (2.9 ypc, 3 TO's)
(12/6) Beat UTSA, routed Tulane in AAC title game
(12/6) 57 car, 335 yds, 5.9 ypc, 5 TD in AAC Title game
(11/25) Killed by ND, avg 16 ppg in last 3. AACC vs Tulane
(11/16) Clinched AAC title game appearance
(11/3) QB Daily DNP vs Air Force
(11/3) Rgame OK vs AFA w/o Daily, not near with him
(11/1) 3-0 w/ avg 31 ppg margin of victory in Oct
(10/22) Def stop rate 79% (#5) but bad opp Off so far
(10/20) Rgame 295 yds, 5.3 ypc. QB 7-10, 147 vs ECU
(10/18) Great start, played no one, Def still #88 success
(9/26) Ran for 417 (7.3 ypc) vs Temple. Absolute machine
Army Injury Report

North Texas Notes(11/25) Now have to W @ Temple just to bowl
(11/25) 5 str L's, Def awful, R Def mauled. Bad vibes
(11/18) Def just abysmal (UTSA). Morris INTs, Rgame great
(11/17) DC Caponi after UTSA blowout
(10/20) Morris great, Rgame great, Def awful (Tulane L)
(10/12) QB Morris great, Rgame Ok in shootout W (F Atl)
(10/4) QB Morris been great, Rgame awful. Over Team
(9/1) Great W @ S Al, Morris 415, run game bad, Def bad
(8/21) Starting DB/S I. Young out for the season.
(8/13) Brutal def LY esp. vs run, Off has much to find
(7/30) QB Morris (TCU) out spring, 20 portals in 2 deep
(7/30) RB/WR mostly new, portal adds look good
North Texas Injury Report

Army on Offense

Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCat	ARMY Off	UNT Def
Perf GradePerf	#1	#101
SuccessSuc	#6	#98
ExplosiveExp	#132	#62
PPAPPA	#10	#98
PowerPwr	#9	#105
SP+SP+	#42	#121
Pts POPPO	#19	#93
HavocHav	#1	#133

Army Run Game

Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCat	ARMY Off	UNT Def
Run GameRun	#9	#57
Run SuccessRSuc	#7	#106
Run ExplRExp	#60	#54
PPAExp	#9	#102
Run BlockR Blk	#1	-
OL YdsOLY	#5	#111
Stuff RateStuff	#1	#116
TackleTak	-	#54

Army Pass Game

Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCat	ARMY Off	UNT Def
Pass GamePass	#67	#110
Pass SuccessPSuc	#52	#79
Pass ExplPExl	#4	#94
PPAExp	#8	#98
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#69	#123
F7 HavocF7	#2	#128
DB HavocDB	#1	#128

North Texas on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat	UNT Off	ARMY Def
Perf GradePerf	#99	#79
SuccessSuc	#70	#89
ExplosiveExp	#4	#40
PPAPPA	#45	#39
PowerPwr	#70	#64
SP+SP+	#27	#33
Pts POPPO	#69	#2
HavocHav	#47	#100

North Texas Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat	UNT Off	ARMY Def
Run GameRun	#30	#85
Run SuccessRSuc	#109	#87
Run ExplRExp	#4	#46
PPAExp	#44	#79
Run BlockR Blk	#133	-
OL YdsOLY	#111	#100
Stuff RateStuff	#107	#92
TackleTak	-	#62

North Texas Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat	UNT Off	ARMY Def
Pass GamePass	#35	#68
Pass SuccessPSuc	#39	#88
Pass ExplPExl	#60	#25
PPAExp	#64	#30
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#85	#104
F7 HavocF7	#51	#92
DB HavocDB	#71	#96

Program Comparison
UNT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

ARMY 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 71°

Rematch from Week 11
Army 6.5 (68.0)
Army won at North Texas this year (14-3)

Previous Matchups
Army beat North Texas last year (14-3)

ARMY's OC Cody Worley (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bryson Daily	54	103	52%	1007	9	4	9.8
Dewayne Coleman	11	16	69%	121	1	0	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bryson Daily	311	1653	32	5.3	42
Kanye Udoh	179	1117	10	6.2	72
Noah Short	75	569	2	7.6	61
Hayden Reed	40	207	1	5.2	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Casey Reynolds	19	449	3	23.6	50
Noah Short	17	318	3	18.7	58
Cam Schurr	7	83	1	11.9	18
Hayden Reed	6	63	1	10.5	23

View Army's Full Roster

ARMY's DC Nate Woody (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Andon Thomas	85	3	0	1	2
Kalib Fortner	76	10	3	4	3
Max DiDomenico	56	2	0	0	3
Chance Keith	45	2	1	2	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elo Modozie	30	8	6	7	1
Brett Gerena	40	3	3	1	0
Kyle Lewis	25	4	3	1	0
Kalib Fortner	76	10	3	4	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gavin Shields	10	1	0	0	4
Max DiDomenico	56	2	0	0	3
Chance Keith	45	2	1	2	3

UNT's OC Jordan Davis (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Chandler Morris (Tr)	322	509	63%	3774	31	12	7.4
Drew Mestemaker	30	46	65%	462	2	2	10.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Shane Porter	97	648	5	6.7	79
Makenzie McGill	78	470	10	6.0	75
Chandler Morris (Tr)	60	242	4	4.0	49
Kiefer Sibley	44	206	0	4.7	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
DT Sheffield (Tr)	66	822	11	12.5	75
Damon Ward Jr.	41	755	4	18.4	57
Blair Conwright	40	542	7	13.6	96
Miles Coleman	36	378	2	10.5	49

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC Matt Caponi (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylen Smith	106	8	0	12	2
Jayden Hill (Tr)	86	3	1	2	3
Jordan Brown	79	4	1	2	0
Evan Jackson	59	1	0	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Breylon Charles	29	6	5	3	1
Roderick Brown	29	6	5	3	0
Chavez Brown	49	8	4	1	0
Ethan Wesloski	57	5	3	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Ridge Texada	44	2	0	7
Taylor Starling	20	2	0	4
Brian Nelson II	53	2	1	3