UAB at Army - 2024 Matchup Preview
UAB logo UAB Blazers at Army Black KnightsArmy logo
Saturday, October 12th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Army -27 (55.5) (-4500)  Open: -18.5
Army 44 - UAB: 10  (American Athletic)

 
Blazers (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Trent Dilfer (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (19 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
ARMY is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Army -22   (SP+ ARMY -21)

Projected Score: UAB: 16 - ARMY: 38 (55)
ARMY Win prob: 98% | Cover: 56%
UAB Travel: 888 miles, 1 hrs behind
Black Knights (12 - 2) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (70 - 55)
Avg Score : 31 - 16 (36 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#6)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
 
UAB's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 UAB vs Alcorn State-29.555.5W 41 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 UAB at UL Monroe-10.555.5L 6 - 32UN
Sat 9/14 UAB at Arkansas+23.560.5L 27 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 UAB vs Navy+4.556.5L 18 - 41ON
Sat 10/5 UAB vs Tulane+19.552.0L 20 - 71ON
Sat 10/12 UAB at Army+27.055.5L 10 - 44UN
Sat 10/19 UAB at South Florida+14.055.5L 25 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 UAB vs Tulsa-2.557.5W 59 - 21OY
Sat 11/9 UAB vs UConn+7.554.0L 23 - 31UN
Sat 11/16 UAB at Memphis+16.062.0L 18 - 53ON
Sat 11/23 UAB vs Rice+7.052.0W 40 - 14OY
Sat 11/30 UAB at Charlotte+1.559.5L 27 - 29UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for UAB's Schedule
Army's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Army vs Lehigh-28
Sat 9/7 Army at Florida Atlantic+1.542.5W 24 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Army vs Rice-7.044.0W 37 - 14OY
Thu 9/26 Army at Temple-11.046.5W 42 - 14OY
Sat 10/5 Army at Tulsa-13.550.5W 49 - 7OY
Sat 10/12 Army vs UAB-27.055.5W 44 - 10UY
Sat 10/19 Army vs East Carolina-17.554.0W 45 - 28ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Army vs Air Force-18.038.5W 20 - 3UN
Sat 11/9 Army at North Texas-6.568.0W 14 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Army vs Notre Dame+14.544.5L 14 - 49ON
Sat 11/30 Army vs UTSA-6.553.5W 29 - 24UN
Fri 12/6 Army vs Tulane+4.546.5W 35 - 14OY
Sat 12/14 Army vs Navy-6.039.5
Sat 12/28 Army vs Louisiana Tech-15.044.5W 27 - 6UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Army's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UAB#85 (.16)45% (42)26.247% (32)3.19 (42)13144% (48)2623.43 (109)#101 (.23)45% (104)34.352% (132)35% (12)4.24 (110)73.82.21.1
ARMY#10 (.32)51% (6)31.152% (7)3.57 (5)27843% (52)764.47 (19)#39 (.12)43% (89)15.545% (87)43% (88)2.57 (2)30.50.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UAB#85 (.16)45% (42)47% (32)3.19 (42)13144% (48)2623.43 (109)#101 (.23)45% (104)52% (132)35% (12)4.24 (110)73.82.21.1
ARMY#10 (.32)51% (6)52% (7)3.57 (5)27843% (52)764.47 (19)#39 (.12)43% (89)45% (87)43% (88)2.57 (2)30.50.61.4



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UAB Offense1226.218.844.7%3.432.222393131262445%55%47%44%18%.16
ARMY Defense1415.514.343.4%2.571.4 - - - - - 47%52%45%43%14%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UAB Defense1234.338.344.9%4.241.1 - - - - - 58%42%52%35%13%.23
ARMY Offense1431.13650.7%4.470.619354278765.686%14%52%43%8%.32

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UAB1229:2621.638%46%8.273.82.21.141.5327.1
Army1432:4619.149%77%3.130.50.61.43.91.4029.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UAB Offense1245% (108)47% (32)32.613149 (125).1 (85)3.19 (42)80% (21)12% (111)0.73 (132)
ARMY Defense1447% (32)45% (87) - - - - .14 (79)3.22 (100)67% (29)9% (92)0.94 (46)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UAB Defense1258% (131)52% (132) - - - - .26 (127)3.64 (134)88% (132)7% (132)0.87 (17)
ARMY Offense1486% (1)52% (7)49.9277.85.644 (2).3 (9)3.57 (5)86% (3)6% (2)0.98 (60)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UAB Offense1255% (28)44% (48)23.737.1261.67.111.124 (38)16 (124).25 (71)1.5 (94)31% (59)31% (73).4 (40)6% (79)2.1 (37)
ARMY Defense1452% (99)43% (88) - - - - - - 17 (5).15 (30)1.5 (25)32% (68)30% (57).29 (60)5% (96)2.1 (91)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UAB Defense1242% (4)35% (12) - - - - - - 8 (93).18 (43)1.8 (121)29% (113)32% (92).32 (74)6% (62)1.8 (10)
ARMY Offense1414% (134)43% (52)4.68.175.99.416.610 (127)4 (1).43 (8)1.9 (4)23% (1)32% (56).31 (80)2% (1)1.7 (134)

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -12.62 #107
UAB's Offense Rating: 21.87 #51
UAB's Defense Rating: 16.86 #120
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
UAB's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
UAB's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.3 #108
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #75
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.0 #126

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
UAB: -12.62   Army: 9.865

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UAB: -11.3   Army: 9.2




Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: 9.865 #42
Army's Offense Rating: 26.97 #9
Army's Defense Rating: 8.96 #64
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Army's 2024 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Army's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #37
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.8
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.3

UAB's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Army 38
UAB 16


Total Points: 55

Army Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

Army's 2024 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Army44UAB10ArmyArmy -27Army55.5Under
200411/20Army14UAB20UAB
200311/01UAB24Army9UAB
200210/26Army26UAB29UAB
200109/22UAB55Army3UAB
200011/17Army7UAB27UAB
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Army110 Overs
UAB501 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 31 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams3 - 30 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#107) UAB Info
Power Rating: -12.62 #107
Offense Rating: 21.87 #51
Defense Rating: 16.86 #120
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.3 #108
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #75
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.0 #126
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.24 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 52%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

UAB has lost 4 straight
UAB has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 6 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

UAB Notes
(11/18) Tulsa was dead cat bounce, L's to UConn/Memphis
(11/3) Killed Tulsa, 400+ pass yds. Still 10 flags
(10/22) Def stop rate 39% (#129) into week 9
(10/20) Fought w/ S Fla but gagged. Kitna 384 yds
(10/13) Def all 400+ yds rush (Army). Dilfer needs 2 go
(10/7) Dilfer is done. Concerning rumors, team quit
(10/6) Team has quit. Tulane 70 pts, 300+ yds rushing
(9/29) Mauled by Navy, though stats even. Dilfer a clown
(9/14) Lost to #130 ULM by 26 as a 10+ pt fav. Woof
(8/13) OC Mortensen Dink & Dunk Off worked LY

UAB Highlights
UAB does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#33)

UAB defense does not give up big plays (#95)
UAB has a good pass defense (#132)

UAB Deficiencies
UAB has a bad TO Margin (#82)
UAB Fumbles a Lot (#42)
UAB Can Not Run the Ball (#74)
UAB Commits a Lot of Penalties (#30)
UAB throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
UAB offense is not Explosive (#59)
UAB offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#43)
UAB Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UAB does not Sack the QB (#47)
UAB has a bad defense (#135)
UAB Does Not Stuff Runs (#119)
UAB has a bad defensive line (#128)
UAB has a bad red zone defense (#120)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatARMYUAB
OverallOver#6#89
OffenseOff#1#87
DefenseDef#60#105
Special TeamsST#48#87
PassingPass#52#74
RushingRush#9#82
Run BlockRBLK#1#56
Pass BlockPBLK#61#45
Route RunningWR Rt#2#91
TacklingTkl#55#79
Run DefenseR Def#68#111
Pass Rush DefPRush#88#52
Coverage DefCov#55#51

Rematch from Week 7
Army -27.0 (55.5)
Army won vs UAB this year (44-10)

Previous Matchups
Army beat UAB last year (44-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Blaik Field at Michie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UAB | ARMY
Depth Chart: UAB | ARMY
Rosters: UAB | ARMY
(#42) Army Info
Power Rating: 9.865 #42
Offense Rating: 26.97 #9
Defense Rating: 8.96 #64
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #37
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0

Team Profile
Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
Great Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.47 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Great in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Army has won 5 straight
Army has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 7 - 0 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Army Notes
(12/6) Beat UTSA, routed Tulane in AAC title game
(12/6) 57 car, 335 yds, 5.9 ypc, 5 TD in AAC Title game
(11/25) Killed by ND, avg 16 ppg in last 3. AACC vs Tulane
(11/16) Clinched AAC title game appearance
(11/3) QB Daily DNP vs Air Force
(11/3) Rgame OK vs AFA w/o Daily, not near with him
(11/1) 3-0 w/ avg 31 ppg margin of victory in Oct
(10/22) Def stop rate 79% (#5) but bad opp Off so far
(10/20) Rgame 295 yds, 5.3 ypc. QB 7-10, 147 vs ECU
(10/18) Great start, played no one, Def still #88 success

Army Highlights
Army is Undefeated at Home

Army has Really Good Running Game (#58)
Army offense is efficent (#99)
Army has a top Offensive Line (#107)
Army offense is good in red zone (#83)
Army offense is good on 3rd downs
Army does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#40)

Army defense is really good in red zone (#111)
Army has a great TO Margin (#54)
Army commits very few Penalties (#1)
Army defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)

Army Deficiencies
Army offense is not Explosive (#90)
Army has a bad defensive line (#46)


  
UAB's OC Alex Mortensen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalen Kitna19631662%220917117.0
Jacob Zeno8211870%819656.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lee Beebe16688575.361
Lee Witherspoon3516604.715
Isaiah Jacobs4116204.012
Jacob Zeno379702.626
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Amare Thomas62670810.873
Kameran Shanks62656610.667
Corri Milliner24416317.345
Malachi Holt-Bennett16241115.171

View UAB's Full Roster
UAB's DC Sione Ta'ufo'ou
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Moore923012
Everett Roussaw Jr.758341
Tyjon Jones (Tr)590014
Sirad Bryant (Tr)591000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Desmond Little4010673
Everett Roussaw Jr.758341
James Smyre92200
Kendall Johnson184220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colby Dempsey2220011
Adrian Maddox (Tr)442017
Kelvin Hill420005

Army's OC Cody Worley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryson Daily5410352%1007949.8
Dewayne Coleman111669%121107.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Daily3111653325.342
Kanye Udoh1791117106.272
Noah Short7556927.661
Hayden Reed4020715.215
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Casey Reynolds19449323.650
Noah Short17318318.758
Cam Schurr783111.918
Hayden Reed663110.523

View Army's Full Roster
Army's DC Nate Woody
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andon Thomas853012
Kalib Fortner7610343
Max DiDomenico562003
Chance Keith452123
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elo Modozie308671
Brett Gerena403310
Kyle Lewis254310
Kalib Fortner7610343
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gavin Shields101004
Max DiDomenico562003
Chance Keith452123