Arkansas at Oklahoma State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Arkansas logo Arkansas Razorbacks at Oklahoma State CowboysOklahoma State logo
Saturday, September 7th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Oklahoma State -10.5 (60.5) (-360)  Open: -7.5 | 62.5
Oklahoma State 39 - Arkansas: 31

 
Razorbacks (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (23 - 25)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (34 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 14.9 MPH
OKST 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Arkansas -9  (SP+ ARK -13.5)

Projected Score: ARK: 34 - OKST: 25 (58)
OKST Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
ARK Travel: 161 miles
Cowboys (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (166 - 79)
Avg Score : 27 - 36 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Arkansas vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-50.560.5W 70 - 0OY
Sat 9/7 Arkansas at Oklahoma State+10.560.5L 31 - 39OY
Sat 9/14 Arkansas vs UAB-23.560.5W 37 - 27ON
Sat 9/21 Arkansas at Auburn+2.553.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 9/28 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+6.550.5L 17 - 21UY
Sat 10/5 Arkansas vs Tennessee+14.057.5W 19 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Arkansas vs LSU+3.057.0L 10 - 34UN
Sat 10/26 Arkansas at Mississippi State-7.555.0W 58 - 25OY
Sat 11/2 Arkansas vs Ole Miss+8.054.0L 31 - 63ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Arkansas vs Texas+13.057.5L 10 - 20UY
Sat 11/23 Arkansas vs Louisiana Tech-23.548.5W 35 - 14ON
Sat 11/30 Arkansas at Missouri+3.551.5L 21 - 28UN
Fri 12/27 Arkansas vs Texas Tech+3.552.5W 39 - 26OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule
Oklahoma State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Oklahoma State vs South Dakota State-9.554.0W 44 - 20OY
Sat 9/7 Oklahoma State vs Arkansas-10.560.5W 39 - 31ON
Sat 9/14 Oklahoma State at Tulsa-17.562.5W 45 - 10UY
Sat 9/21 Oklahoma State vs Utah+1.053.5L 19 - 22UN
Sat 9/28 Oklahoma State at Kansas State+6.058.0L 20 - 42ON
Sat 10/5 Oklahoma State vs West Virginia-2.565.0L 14 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18 Oklahoma State at BYU+8.553.0L 35 - 38OY
Sat 10/26 Oklahoma State at Baylor+7.064.5L 28 - 38ON
Sat 11/2 Oklahoma State vs Arizona State+5.057.0L 21 - 42ON
Sat 11/9 Oklahoma State at TCU+10.568.5L 13 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Oklahoma State vs Texas Tech+5.063.5L 48 - 56ON
Fri 11/29 Oklahoma State at Colorado+14.566.5L 0 - 52UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK#27 (.25)48% (13)30.952% (5)3.23 (38)16844% (41)2483.95 (64)#45 (.13)42% (66)2539% (32)44% (100)3.31 (22)56.31.71
OKST#52 (.21)43% (63)27.243% (86)2.79 (107)11444% (47)2654.22 (42)#131 (.34)46% (109)35.647% (107)44% (108)3.93 (82)43.21.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK#27 (.25)48% (13)52% (5)3.23 (38)16844% (41)2483.95 (64)#45 (.13)42% (66)39% (32)44% (100)3.31 (22)56.31.71
OKST#52 (.21)43% (63)43% (86)2.79 (107)11444% (47)2654.22 (42)#131 (.34)46% (109)47% (107)44% (108)3.93 (82)43.21.81.3



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Offense1330.933.548.2%3.951.7234161682484.951%48%52%44%19%.25
OKST Defense1235.634.845.6%3.931.3 - - - - - 50%50%47%44%15%.34
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Defense132526.541.5%3.311 - - - - - 50%50%39%44%14%.13
OKST Offense1227.230.843.1%4.221.8203791142653.942%58%43%44%15%.21

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas1328:0722.643%59%6.456.31.714.41.9027.3
Oklahoma State1227:0320.435%65%543.21.81.35.52.1127.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Offense1351% (64)52% (5)34.4167.94.932 (14).21 (29)3.23 (38)82% (13)12% (109)0.97 (67)
OKST Defense1250% (65)47% (107) - - - - .31 (133)3.43 (126)73% (68)8% (112)1.25 (133)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Defense1350% (64)39% (32) - - - - -.01 (11)2.84 (42)79% (104)8% (123)0.82 (8)
OKST Offense1242% (117)43% (86)29.4114.23.918 (78).04 (109)2.79 (107)74% (61)7% (19)0.87 (119)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Offense1348% (71)44% (41)18.830.2248.48.213.214 (108)9 (48).3 (46)1.6 (42)32% (72)37% (17).43 (25)7% (106)2.2 (25)
OKST Defense1250% (73)44% (108) - - - - - - 12 (39).37 (123)1.8 (124)32% (56)36% (119).46 (120)6% (53)2.1 (88)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Defense1350% (70)44% (100) - - - - - - 8 (93).28 (92)1.5 (43)33% (48)27% (23).2 (25)7% (45)1.9 (37)
OKST Offense1258% (17)44% (47)22.337.5264.77.111.922 (46)17 (127).34 (30)1.6 (67)31% (66)31% (82).32 (77)7% (109)1.9 (99)

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 10.16  #30
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 24.60  #22
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 8.73  #60
2024 Talent Rating: 800.00  #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 21%  #26
Arkansas's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Arkansas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0  #24
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4  #40
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 10.16   Oklahoma State: 1.495

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 11.0   Oklahoma State: -2.6




Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: 1.495  #59
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 25.18  #18
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 14.51  #105
2024 Talent Rating: 834.00  #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 6  #53
Oklahoma State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Oklahoma State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6  #81
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4  #53
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7  #102

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.5

Arkansas's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas 34
Oklahoma State 25


Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Oklahoma State 26
Arkansas 26

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Arkansas 34
Oklahoma State 27

Total Points: 61
Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.8
Defense: 35.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.8

Oklahoma State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Oklahoma State39Arkansas31Oklahoma State -10.5Arkansas60.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oklahoma State101 Overs
Arkansas010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#30) ARK at (#59) OKST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARKOKST
Power RatePwr #30 #59
SP+SP+ #24 #81
Perf GradeGrade #40 #103
OffenseOff #29 #65
DefenseDef #71 #128
Spec TeamsST #75 #49
TalentTal #29 #25
Blue ChipsBC% #26 #53

Oklahoma State Notes
(12/10) Hired DC Todd Grantham (NFL, Florida)
(11/29) What does Gundy do to reset? Or does he?
(11/29) Killed by Buffs 52-0. OG'd 471-147. QB/RB awful
(11/29) 18 yr bowl streak over, was 2nd longest in CFB
(11/23) Fight w/ TT, QB Smith great, Def abysmal
(11/13) Quit. Awful vs TCU, Def is shockingly awful
(11/3) Pokes Def is worst in P4 and near worst in CFB
(11/2) Team has Quit. Have all 40 ppg in B12 play.
(10/19) Rangel inj vs BYU, out 'a while'. Bowman back
(10/19) Monitor for quit watch after BYU collapse
(10/18) QB Bowman benched, SO Rangel (FR Flores?)
Arkansas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ARK OffOKST Def
Perf GradePerf #29 #128
SuccessSuc #13 #109
ExplosiveExp #80 #132
PPAPPA #27 #131
PowerPwr #22 #105
SP+SP+ #40 #102
Pts POPPO #64 #82
HavocHav #114 #89
Arkansas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ARK OffOKST Def
Run GameRun #15 #128
Run SuccessRSuc #5 #107
Run ExplRExp #67 #133
PPAExp #29 #133
Run BlockR Blk #62 -
OL YdsOLY #38 #126
Stuff RateStuff #83 #119
TackleTak -  #122
Arkansas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ARK OffOKST Def
Pass GamePass #27 #119
Pass SuccessPSuc #41 #108
Pass ExplPExl #42 #124
PPAExp #46 #123
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #81 #126
F7 HavocF7 #109 #112
DB HavocDB #106 #53
Oklahoma State on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCatOKST OffARK Def
Perf GradePerf #65 #71
SuccessSuc #63 #66
ExplosiveExp #69 #29
PPAPPA #52 #45
PowerPwr #18 #60
SP+SP+ #53 #33
Pts POPPO #42 #22
HavocHav #45 #101
Oklahoma State Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
OKST OffARK Def
Run GameRun #92 #7
Run SuccessRSuc #86 #32
Run ExplRExp #119 #8
PPAExp #109 #11
Run BlockR Blk #70 -
OL YdsOLY #107 #42
Stuff RateStuff #80 #112
TackleTak -  #50
Oklahoma State Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCatOKST OffARK Def
Pass GamePass #101 #123
Pass SuccessPSuc #47 #100
Pass ExplPExl #67 #43
PPAExp #30 #92
Pass Block/RushP Blk #4 #74
F7 HavocF7 #19 #123
DB HavocDB #109 #45
Program Comparison
OKST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

ARK 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 77° - Wind: 15 mph
Rematch from Week 2
Oklahoma State -10.5 (60.5)
Oklahoma State won vs Arkansas this year (39-31)

Previous Matchups
Oklahoma State beat Arkansas last year (39-31)

  
ARK's OC Bobby Petrino (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taylen Green (Tr)23038160%31531598.3
Malachi Singleton212875%3581012.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Quinden Jackson (Tr)149790155.346
Taylen Green (Tr)15660283.941
Braylen Russell6735435.375
Rashod Dubinion5633526.023
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Andrew Armstrong781140114.643
Isaac Teslaa28545319.575
Isaiah Sategna37490113.258
Luke Hasz26324412.543

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Travis Williams (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavian Sorey Jr. (Tr)9910231
Doneiko Slaughter (Tr)783106
Stephen Dix Jr. (Tr)703231
TJ Metcalf561007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Landon Jackson4910793
Brad Spence556511
Eric Gregory435351
Xavian Sorey Jr. (Tr)9910231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Metcalf561007
Marquise Robinson (Tr)350007
Doneiko Slaughter (Tr)783106

OKST's OC Kasey Dunn (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Alan Bowman20434060%244217127.2
Maealiuaki Smith447559%499246.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ollie Gordon189858124.568
Trenten Howland4123015.623
Sesi Vailahi429922.411
Rodney Fields Jr.219914.722
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
De'Zhaun Stribling52892617.277
Brennan Presley8976478.636
Rashod Owens32515416.158
Talyn Shettron12245120.478

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Bryan Nardo (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Rucker841001
Kendal Daniels6411637
Jeff Roberson589370
Parker Robertson492001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kendal Daniels6411637
Jeff Roberson589370
Obi Ezeigbo (Tr)429340
Xavier Ross123311
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Korie Black360009
Kendal Daniels6411637
Cam Smith341007