Utah at Oklahoma State - 2024 Matchup Preview

(#16)Utah Utes at Oklahoma State Cowboys

Saturday, September 21st 2024 (4:00 PM EDT)
Utah -1 (53.5) (-115) Open: -1.0
Utah 22 - Oklahoma State: 19 (Big 12)

Utes (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (162 - 79)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (24 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UTAH 2nd straight Road Game
OKST is playing their 4th straight game
UTAH is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Utah -4 (SP+ UTAH -10.5)
Projected Score: UTAH: 30 - OKST: 26 (56)
UTAH Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
UTAH Travel: 860 miles, 1 hrs behind

Cowboys (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (166 - 79)
Avg Score : 27 - 36 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UTAH Players
OKST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Utah's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Utah vs Southern Utah	-37.5	55.5	W 49 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Utah vs Baylor	-14.5	52.5	W 23 - 12	U	N
Sat 9/14	Utah at Utah State	-20.5	43.5	W 38 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/21	Utah at Oklahoma State	-1.0	53.5	W 22 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Utah vs Arizona	-7.5	47.0	L 10 - 23	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/11	Utah at Arizona State	-6.0	46.5	L 19 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/19	Utah vs TCU	-3.0	52.0	L 7 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/26	Utah at Houston	-4.5	36.0	L 14 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Utah vs BYU	+3.5	40.5	L 21 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Utah at Colorado	+13.5	43.5	L 24 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/23	Utah vs Iowa State	+6.5	42.5	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Utah at UCF	+9.5	45.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah's Schedule

Oklahoma State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Oklahoma State vs South Dakota State	-9.5	54.0	W 44 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Oklahoma State vs Arkansas	-10.5	60.5	W 39 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/14	Oklahoma State at Tulsa	-17.5	62.5	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Oklahoma State vs Utah	+1.0	53.5	L 19 - 22	U	N
Sat 9/28	Oklahoma State at Kansas State	+6.0	58.0	L 20 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/5	Oklahoma State vs West Virginia	-2.5	65.0	L 14 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18	Oklahoma State at BYU	+8.5	53.0	L 35 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Oklahoma State at Baylor	+7.0	64.5	L 28 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/2	Oklahoma State vs Arizona State	+5.0	57.0	L 21 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/9	Oklahoma State at TCU	+10.5	68.5	L 13 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Oklahoma State vs Texas Tech	+5.0	63.5	L 48 - 56	O	N
Fri 11/29	Oklahoma State at Colorado	+14.5	66.5	L 0 - 52	U	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTAH	#120 (.08)	37% (125)	23.6	38% (116)	2.73 (114)	130	35% (119)	199	3.4 (111)	#7 (.05)	35% (4)	20.7	37% (10)	34% (6)	3.13 (15)	46.3	1.8	1.5
OKST	#52 (.21)	43% (63)	27.2	43% (86)	2.79 (107)	114	44% (47)	265	4.22 (42)	#131 (.34)	46% (109)	35.6	47% (107)	44% (108)	3.93 (82)	43.2	1.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTAH	#120 (.08)	37% (125)		38% (116)	2.73 (114)	130	35% (119)	199	3.4 (111)	#7 (.05)	35% (4)		37% (10)	34% (6)	3.13 (15)	46.3	1.8	1.5
OKST	#52 (.21)	43% (63)		43% (86)	2.79 (107)	114	44% (47)	265	4.22 (42)	#131 (.34)	46% (109)		47% (107)	44% (108)	3.93 (82)	43.2	1.8	1.3

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTAH Offense	12	23.6	24.2	36.7%	3.4	1.8	17	330	130	199	3.9	49%	51%	38%	35%	19%	.08
OKST Defense	12	35.6	34.8	45.6%	3.93	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	47%	44%	15%	.34

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTAH Defense	12	20.7	24.5	35.3%	3.13	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	37%	34%	20%	.05
OKST Offense	12	27.2	30.8	43.1%	4.22	1.8	20	379	114	265	3.9	42%	58%	43%	44%	15%	.21

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Utah	12	32:06	16.6	33%	45%	5.4	46.3	1.8	1.5	6.4	1.9	4	30.7
Oklahoma State	12	27:03	20.4	35%	65%	5	43.2	1.8	1.3	5.5	2.1	1	27.1

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTAH Offense	12	49% (76)	38% (116)	33.6	130.4	3.9	7 (131)	(123)	2.73 (114)	66% (113)	12% (117)	0.88 (111)
OKST Defense	12	50% (65)	47% (107)	-	-	-	-	.31 (133)	3.43 (126)	73% (68)	8% (112)	1.25 (133)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTAH Defense	12	48% (41)	37% (10)	-	-	-	-	.04 (25)	2.53 (9)	64% (22)	12% (34)	1.07 (105)
OKST Offense	12	42% (117)	43% (86)	29.4	114.2	3.9	18 (78)	.04 (109)	2.79 (107)	74% (61)	7% (19)	0.87 (119)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTAH Offense	12	51% (58)	35% (119)	16.6	29.8	199.4	6.7	12	20 (58)	17 (127)	.16 (106)	1.7 (23)	36% (127)	24% (127)	.2 (110)	7% (107)	2.2 (22)
OKST Defense	12	50% (73)	44% (108)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.37 (123)	1.8 (124)	32% (56)	36% (119)	.46 (120)	6% (53)	2.1 (88)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTAH Defense	12	51% (92)	34% (6)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.09 (15)	1.6 (74)	37% (4)	25% (8)	.09 (1)	8% (4)	2 (59)
OKST Offense	12	58% (17)	44% (47)	22.3	37.5	264.7	7.1	11.9	22 (46)	17 (127)	.34 (30)	1.6 (67)	31% (66)	31% (82)	.32 (77)	7% (109)	1.9 (99)

Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 3.37 #48
Utah's Offense Rating: 10.54 #127
Utah's Defense Rating: 1.59 #8
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 22% #25
Utah's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Utah's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7 #40
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #96
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #16

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah: 3.37 Oklahoma State: 1.495

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah: 7.7 Oklahoma State: -2.6

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: 1.495 #59
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 25.18 #18
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 14.51 #105
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Oklahoma State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Oklahoma State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #81
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #53
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7 #102

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Utah Scoring
Offense: 23.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.2
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.5

Utah's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Utah 30
Oklahoma State 26

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Utah 31
Oklahoma State 28

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
Utah 30
Oklahoma State 26

Total Points: 56

Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.8
Defense: 35.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.8

Oklahoma State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/21	Oklahoma State	19	Utah	22	Utah -1	Utah	53.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oklahoma State	0	0	0 Overs
Utah	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

(#48) UTAH at (#59) OKST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UTAH	OKST
Power RatePwr	#48	#59
SP+SP+	#40	#81
Perf GradeGrade	#77	#103
OffenseOff	#99	#65
DefenseDef	#51	#128
Spec TeamsST	#31	#49
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#25	#53

Utah Notes
(12/11) Signed QB Dampier (New Mexico '24)
(11/24) Fight w/ ISU, OG'd by 180+, pick 6, PR TD
(11/24) Only 9 1st D, 3-10 on 3rd, Rgame/Wilson bad
(11/18) Wilson better but 3 INTs, Pass D torched by Buffs
(11/13) Fr QB Rose out for season, only Wilson left
(11/10) TE Kuithe lost for season (inj vs BYU)
(10/31) QB Wilson split reps w/ So. Rose for being awful
(10/27) Off still awful, BAD L vs Houston, Run D mauled
(10/21) 3 bad L's, Avg'd 12 PPG. Def is great, Off is poor
(10/21) New OC Bajakian led awful NW Off, < 120 ypp
(10/20) OC Ludwig steps down, near last Off 2 yrs

Oklahoma State Notes
(12/10) Hired DC Todd Grantham (NFL, Florida)
(11/29) What does Gundy do to reset? Or does he?
(11/29) Killed by Buffs 52-0. OG'd 471-147. QB/RB awful
(11/29) 18 yr bowl streak over, was 2nd longest in CFB
(11/23) Fight w/ TT, QB Smith great, Def abysmal
(11/13) Quit. Awful vs TCU, Def is shockingly awful
(11/3) Pokes Def is worst in P4 and near worst in CFB
(11/2) Team has Quit. Have all 40 ppg in B12 play.
(10/19) Rangel inj vs BYU, out 'a while'. Bowman back
(10/19) Monitor for quit watch after BYU collapse
(10/18) QB Bowman benched, SO Rangel (FR Flores?)

Utah on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	UTAH Off	OKST Def
Perf GradePerf	#99	#128
SuccessSuc	#125	#109
ExplosiveExp	#55	#132
PPAPPA	#120	#131
PowerPwr	#127	#105
SP+SP+	#96	#102
Pts POPPO	#111	#82
HavocHav	#120	#89

Utah Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	UTAH Off	OKST Def
Run GameRun	#123	#128
Run SuccessRSuc	#116	#107
Run ExplRExp	#111	#133
PPAExp	#123	#133
Run BlockR Blk	#14	-
OL YdsOLY	#114	#126
Stuff RateStuff	#123	#119
TackleTak	-	#122

Utah Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	UTAH Off	OKST Def
Pass GamePass	#131	#119
Pass SuccessPSuc	#119	#108
Pass ExplPExl	#23	#124
PPAExp	#106	#123
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#47	#126
F7 HavocF7	#117	#112
DB HavocDB	#107	#53

Oklahoma State on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	OKST Off	UTAH Def
Perf GradePerf	#65	#51
SuccessSuc	#63	#4
ExplosiveExp	#69	#104
PPAPPA	#52	#7
PowerPwr	#18	#8
SP+SP+	#53	#16
Pts POPPO	#42	#15
HavocHav	#45	#12

Oklahoma State Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	OKST Off	UTAH Def
Run GameRun	#92	#50
Run SuccessRSuc	#86	#10
Run ExplRExp	#119	#105
PPAExp	#109	#25
Run BlockR Blk	#70	-
OL YdsOLY	#107	#9
Stuff RateStuff	#80	#3
TackleTak	-	#129

Oklahoma State Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	OKST Off	UTAH Def
Pass GamePass	#101	#44
Pass SuccessPSuc	#47	#6
Pass ExplPExl	#67	#74
PPAExp	#30	#15
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#4	#84
F7 HavocF7	#19	#34
DB HavocDB	#109	#4

Program Comparison
OKST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

UTAH 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Utah 1.0 (53.5)
Utah won at Oklahoma State this year (22-19)

Previous Matchups
Utah beat Oklahoma State last year (22-19)

UTAH's OC Mike Bajakian (Int) (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Isaac Wilson	127	225	56%	1510	10	11	6.7
Cameron Rising	34	66	52%	555	7	3	8.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Micah Bernard	197	1009	4	5.1	64
Mike Mitchell	47	158	1	3.4	18
Dijon Stanley	20	66	0	3.3	14
Brandon Rose	11	66	0	6.0	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dorian Singer (Tr)	53	702	1	13.2	40
Brant Kuithe	35	505	6	14.4	71
Money Parks	21	294	3	14.0	71
Dijon Stanley	7	166	2	23.7	79

View Utah's Full Roster

UTAH's DC Morgan Scalley (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Lander Barton	72	5	2	1	4
Tao Johnson	70	2	0	0	4
Karene Reid	54	6	3	1	1
Smith Snowden	48	4	0	0	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Van Fillinger	43	8	5	1	5
Karene Reid	54	6	3	1	1
Logan Fano	35	7	3	4	1
Connor O'Toole	22	5	3	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Calhoun (Tr)	21	1	0	0	9
Smith Snowden	48	4	0	0	8
Van Fillinger	43	8	5	1	5

OKST's OC Kasey Dunn (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Alan Bowman	204	340	60%	2442	17	12	7.2
Maealiuaki Smith	44	75	59%	499	2	4	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ollie Gordon	189	858	12	4.5	68
Trenten Howland	41	230	1	5.6	23
Sesi Vailahi	42	99	2	2.4	11
Rodney Fields Jr.	21	99	1	4.7	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
De'Zhaun Stribling	52	892	6	17.2	77
Brennan Presley	89	764	7	8.6	36
Rashod Owens	32	515	4	16.1	58
Talyn Shettron	12	245	1	20.4	78

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Bryan Nardo (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Rucker	84	1	0	0	1
Kendal Daniels	64	11	6	3	7
Jeff Roberson	58	9	3	7	0
Parker Robertson	49	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kendal Daniels	64	11	6	3	7
Jeff Roberson	58	9	3	7	0
Obi Ezeigbo (Tr)	42	9	3	4	0
Xavier Ross	12	3	3	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Korie Black	36	0	0	0	9
Kendal Daniels	64	11	6	3	7
Cam Smith	34	1	0	0	7