BYU at Utah - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 9th 2024 (10:15 PM EST)
BYU -3.5 (40.5) (-170) Open: -4.5 | 41.5
BYU 22 - Utah: 21 (Big 12)

Cougars (11 - 2) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (61 - 41)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 2 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BYU coming off BYE
UTAH coming off BYE
Our Line: BYU -5 (SP+ BYU -7.5)
Projected Score: BYU: 24 - UTAH: 19 (43)
BYU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
BYU Travel: 36 miles

Utes (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (162 - 79)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (23 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BYU Players
UTAH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

BYU's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	BYU vs Southern Illinois	-31
Fri 9/6	BYU at SMU	+12.5	55.5	W 18 - 15	U	Y
Sat 9/14	BYU at Wyoming	-9.5	40.5	W 34 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/21	BYU vs Kansas State	+7.5	49.5	W 38 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/28	BYU at Baylor	+3.0	47.0	W 34 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	BYU vs Arizona	-3.0	48.5	W 41 - 19	O	Y
Fri 10/18	BYU vs Oklahoma State	-8.5	53.0	W 38 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/26	BYU at UCF	+2.5	53.5	W 37 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	BYU at Utah	-3.5	40.5	W 22 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/16	BYU vs Kansas	-3.0	55.5	L 13 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/23	BYU at Arizona State	+3.5	49.0	L 23 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/30	BYU vs Houston	-9.5	39.5	W 30 - 18	O	Y
Sat 12/28	BYU vs Colorado	+3.0	55.5	W 36 - 14	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for BYU's Schedule

Utah's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Utah vs Southern Utah	-37.5	55.5	W 49 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Utah vs Baylor	-14.5	52.5	W 23 - 12	U	N
Sat 9/14	Utah at Utah State	-20.5	43.5	W 38 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/21	Utah at Oklahoma State	-1.0	53.5	W 22 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Utah vs Arizona	-7.5	47.0	L 10 - 23	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/11	Utah at Arizona State	-6.0	46.5	L 19 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/19	Utah vs TCU	-3.0	52.0	L 7 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/26	Utah at Houston	-4.5	36.0	L 14 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Utah vs BYU	+3.5	40.5	L 21 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Utah at Colorado	+13.5	43.5	L 24 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/23	Utah vs Iowa State	+6.5	42.5	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Utah at UCF	+9.5	45.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BYU	#51 (.22)	45% (44)	31.2	47% (30)	3.23 (37)	148	43% (59)	216	3.73 (88)	#41 (.13)	41% (65)	19.6	46% (99)	37% (28)	3.79 (68)	37	1.4	2.1
UTAH	#120 (.08)	37% (125)	23.6	38% (116)	2.73 (114)	130	35% (119)	199	3.4 (111)	#7 (.05)	35% (4)	20.7	37% (10)	34% (6)	3.13 (15)	46.3	1.8	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BYU	#51 (.22)	45% (44)		47% (30)	3.23 (37)	148	43% (59)	216	3.73 (88)	#41 (.13)	41% (65)		46% (99)	37% (28)	3.79 (68)	37	1.4	2.1
UTAH	#120 (.08)	37% (125)		38% (116)	2.73 (114)	130	35% (119)	199	3.4 (111)	#7 (.05)	35% (4)		37% (10)	34% (6)	3.13 (15)	46.3	1.8	1.5

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BYU Offense	13	31.2	28	44.7%	3.73	1.4	20	363	148	216	4.7	52%	48%	47%	43%	16%	.22
UTAH Defense	12	20.7	16.8	35.3%	3.13	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	37%	34%	20%	.05

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BYU Defense	13	19.6	21.7	41.4%	3.79	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	46%	37%	17%	.13
UTAH Offense	12	23.6	23	36.7%	3.4	1.8	17	330	130	199	3.9	49%	51%	38%	35%	19%	.08

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
BYU	13	28:32	20.5	35%	75%	4.4	37	1.4	2.1	4.5	1.2	5	31.7
Utah	12	32:06	16.6	33%	45%	5.4	46.3	1.8	1.5	6.4	1.9	4	30.7

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BYU Offense	13	52% (62)	47% (30)	31.6	147.7	4.7	18 (78)	.2 (36)	3.23 (37)	75% (60)	9% (44)	0.99 (56)
UTAH Defense	12	48% (41)	37% (10)	-	-	-	-	.04 (25)	2.53 (9)	64% (22)	12% (34)	1.07 (105)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BYU Defense	13	51% (70)	46% (99)	-	-	-	-	.14 (78)	2.8 (36)	72% (59)	9% (86)	0.97 (61)
UTAH Offense	12	49% (76)	38% (116)	33.6	130.4	3.9	7 (131)	(123)	2.73 (114)	66% (113)	12% (117)	0.88 (111)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BYU Offense	13	48% (74)	43% (59)	15.6	27.3	215.8	7.9	13.8	20 (58)	11 (72)	.27 (60)	1.7 (33)	32% (83)	33% (49)	.34 (65)	7% (101)	2 (96)
UTAH Defense	12	51% (92)	34% (6)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.09 (15)	1.6 (74)	37% (4)	25% (8)	.09 (1)	8% (4)	2 (59)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BYU Defense	13	49% (65)	37% (28)	-	-	-	-	-	-	20 (2)	.12 (21)	1.5 (24)	31% (83)	31% (73)	.27 (52)	8% (11)	2 (49)
UTAH Offense	12	51% (58)	35% (119)	16.6	29.8	199.4	6.7	12	20 (58)	17 (127)	.16 (106)	1.7 (23)	36% (127)	24% (127)	.2 (110)	7% (107)	2.2 (22)

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 10.80 #28
BYU's Offense Rating: 20.40 #63
BYU's Defense Rating: 6.88 #42
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
BYU's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0
BYU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.3 #17
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #36
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #21

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
BYU: 10.80 Utah: 8.035

SP+ Ratings Matchup
BYU: 15.3 Utah: 7.7

Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 8.035 #48
Utah's Offense Rating: 10.54 #127
Utah's Defense Rating: 1.59 #8
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #25
Utah's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Utah's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7 #40
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #96
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #16

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 28
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

BYU's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
BYU 24
Utah 19

Total Points: 43

Based on Last 4 Games
BYU 28
Utah 18

Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
BYU 24
Utah 22

Total Points: 46

Utah Scoring
Offense: 23.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 23
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

Utah's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	BYU	24	Utah	21	Utah -4	BYU	49.5	Under
2024	11/09	Utah	21	BYU	22	BYU -3.5	Utah	40.5	Over
2021	09/11	BYU	26	Utah	17	Utah -7	BYU	50.0	Under
2019	08/29	BYU	12	Utah	30	Utah -6.5	Utah	49.0	Under
2018	11/24	Utah	35	BYU	27	Utah -10.5	BYU	44.5	Over
2017	09/09	BYU	13	Utah	19	Utah -4.5	Utah	45.5	Under
2016	09/10	Utah	20	BYU	19	Utah -4.5	BYU	43.0	Under
2015	12/19	Utah	35	BYU	28	Utah -3	Utah	0
2013	09/21	BYU	13	Utah	20	BYU -6.5	Utah	0
2012	09/15	Utah	24	BYU	21
2011	09/17	BYU	10	Utah	54
2010	11/27	Utah	17	BYU	16
2009	11/28	BYU	26	Utah	23
2008	11/22	Utah	48	BYU	24
2007	11/24	BYU	17	Utah	10
2006	11/25	Utah	31	BYU	33
2005	11/19	BYU	34	Utah	41
2004	11/20	Utah	52	BYU	21
2003	11/22	BYU	0	Utah	3
2001	11/17	BYU	24	Utah	21
2000	11/23	Utah	27	BYU	34

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Utah	13	5	2 Overs
BYU	8	4	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 9	4 - 5	1 - 3	3 - 2
Road Teams	9 - 12	5 - 4	2 - 3	3 - 1

(#28) BYU at (#48) UTAH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BYU	UTAH
Power RatePwr	#28	#48
SP+SP+	#17	#40
Perf GradeGrade	#30	#77
OffenseOff	#52	#99
DefenseDef	#33	#51
Spec TeamsST	#29	#31
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#25

BYU Notes(11/23) 2 str L's, Rgame meh, 2 INTs in L to ASU
(11/18) Outplayed KU but lost, Retzlaff awful, Rgame avg
(11/10) B12 refs handed BYU W. Miracle team will end
(10/28) 7.8 ppg via TO's, near top of CFB thru 8 games
(10/19) Gutty W (Ok St). Rgame great. QB meh, had 3 TOs
(10/12) Killed AZ, forced 4 TOs. Rgame/Retzlaff good
(9/28) Run Def great vs Bay. Rgame better, 5-0
(9/26) New DC Jay Hill proving he can really coach
(9/23) Blitzed K St with TOs. Rgame bad, 3.4 ypc
(9/20) QB Retzlaff has been good but TO prone
(9/20) Def has been great, esp vs pass so far (#6)
(9/8) Great W, outgained SMU 336-261. Great Def
BYU Injury Report

Utah Notes(12/11) Signed QB Dampier (New Mexico '24)
(11/24) Fight w/ ISU, OG'd by 180+, pick 6, PR TD
(11/24) Only 9 1st D, 3-10 on 3rd, Rgame/Wilson bad
(11/18) Wilson better but 3 INTs, Pass D torched by Buffs
(11/13) Fr QB Rose out for season, only Wilson left
(11/10) TE Kuithe lost for season (inj vs BYU)
(10/31) QB Wilson split reps w/ So. Rose for being awful
(10/27) Off still awful, BAD L vs Houston, Run D mauled
(10/21) 3 bad L's, Avg'd 12 PPG. Def is great, Off is poor
(10/21) New OC Bajakian led awful NW Off, < 120 ypp
(10/20) OC Ludwig steps down, near last Off 2 yrs
(10/14) QB Rising out for season, could have 8th yr?
Utah Injury Report

BYU on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	BYU Off	UTAH Def
Perf GradePerf	#52	#51
SuccessSuc	#44	#4
ExplosiveExp	#48	#104
PPAPPA	#51	#7
PowerPwr	#63	#8
SP+SP+	#36	#16
Pts POPPO	#88	#15
HavocHav	#64	#12

BYU Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	BYU Off	UTAH Def
Run GameRun	#71	#50
Run SuccessRSuc	#30	#10
Run ExplRExp	#56	#105
PPAExp	#36	#25
Run BlockR Blk	#64	-
OL YdsOLY	#37	#9
Stuff RateStuff	#89	#3
TackleTak	-	#129

BYU Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	BYU Off	UTAH Def
Pass GamePass	#44	#44
Pass SuccessPSuc	#59	#6
Pass ExplPExl	#33	#74
PPAExp	#60	#15
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#54	#84
F7 HavocF7	#44	#34
DB HavocDB	#101	#4

Utah on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	UTAH Off	BYU Def
Perf GradePerf	#99	#33
SuccessSuc	#125	#65
ExplosiveExp	#55	#34
PPAPPA	#120	#41
PowerPwr	#127	#42
SP+SP+	#96	#21
Pts POPPO	#111	#68
HavocHav	#120	#49

Utah Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	UTAH Off	BYU Def
Run GameRun	#123	#22
Run SuccessRSuc	#116	#99
Run ExplRExp	#111	#61
PPAExp	#123	#78
Run BlockR Blk	#14	-
OL YdsOLY	#114	#36
Stuff RateStuff	#123	#76
TackleTak	-	#90

Utah Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	UTAH Off	BYU Def
Pass GamePass	#131	#66
Pass SuccessPSuc	#119	#28
Pass ExplPExl	#23	#24
PPAExp	#106	#21
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#47	#70
F7 HavocF7	#117	#86
DB HavocDB	#107	#11

Program Comparison
UTAH 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

BYU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice-Eccles Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 41°

Rematch from Week 11
BYU 3.5 (40.5)
BYU won at Utah this year (22-21)

Previous Matchups
BYU beat Utah last year (22-21)

BYU's OC Aaron Roderick (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jake Retzlaff	211	367	58%	2896	19	12	7.9
Gerry Bohannon	3	4	75%	27	0	1	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
LJ Martin	138	723	7	5.2	39
Jake Retzlaff	100	417	6	4.2	29
Hinckley Ropati	68	360	1	5.3	26
Sione I Moa	23	127	3	5.5	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chase Roberts	50	803	3	16.1	62
Darius Lassiter	45	703	4	15.6	57
Keelan Marion	24	346	1	14.4	52
Jojo Phillips	10	211	2	21.1	57

View BYU's Full Roster

BYU's DC Jay Hill (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaiah Glasker	70	15	4	2	4
Harrison Taggart	69	3	1	4	3
Tyler Batty	57	7	2	8	2
Tanner Wall	53	0	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Kelly (Tr)	50	10	5	13	1
Isaiah Glasker	70	15	4	2	4
Blake Mangelson	37	6	2	3	1
Tyler Batty	57	7	2	8	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marque Collins (Tr)	25	1	0	1	8
John Nelson	23	2	1	3	5
Jakob Robinson	43	5	0	2	5

UTAH's OC Mike Bajakian (Int) (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Isaac Wilson	127	225	56%	1510	10	11	6.7
Cameron Rising	34	66	52%	555	7	3	8.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Micah Bernard	197	1009	4	5.1	64
Mike Mitchell	47	158	1	3.4	18
Dijon Stanley	20	66	0	3.3	14
Brandon Rose	11	66	0	6.0	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dorian Singer (Tr)	53	702	1	13.2	40
Brant Kuithe	35	505	6	14.4	71
Money Parks	21	294	3	14.0	71
Dijon Stanley	7	166	2	23.7	79

View Utah's Full Roster

UTAH's DC Morgan Scalley (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Lander Barton	72	5	2	1	4
Tao Johnson	70	2	0	0	4
Karene Reid	54	6	3	1	1
Smith Snowden	48	4	0	0	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Van Fillinger	43	8	5	1	5
Karene Reid	54	6	3	1	1
Logan Fano	35	7	3	4	1
Connor O'Toole	22	5	3	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Calhoun (Tr)	21	1	0	0	9
Smith Snowden	48	4	0	0	8
Van Fillinger	43	8	5	1	5