BYU at Utah - 2024 Matchup Preview
BYU logo BYU Cougars at Utah Utes(#16)Utah logo
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (10:15 PM EST)
BYU -3.5 (40.5) (-170)  Open: -4.5 | 41.5
BYU 22 - Utah: 21  (Big 12)

 
Cougars (11 - 2) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (61 - 41)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 2 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
BYU coming off BYE
UTAH coming off BYE
Our Line: BYU -5   (SP+ BYU -7.5)

Projected Score: BYU: 24 - UTAH: 19 (43)
BYU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
BYU Travel: 36 miles
Utes (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (162 - 79)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (23 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
 
BYU's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 BYU vs Southern Illinois-31
Fri 9/6 BYU at SMU+12.555.5W 18 - 15UY
Sat 9/14 BYU at Wyoming-9.540.5W 34 - 14OY
Sat 9/21 BYU vs Kansas State+7.549.5W 38 - 9UY
Sat 9/28 BYU at Baylor+3.047.0W 34 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 BYU vs Arizona-3.048.5W 41 - 19OY
Fri 10/18 BYU vs Oklahoma State-8.553.0W 38 - 35ON
Sat 10/26 BYU at UCF+2.553.5W 37 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 BYU at Utah-3.540.5W 22 - 21ON
Sat 11/16 BYU vs Kansas-3.055.5L 13 - 17UN
Sat 11/23 BYU at Arizona State+3.549.0L 23 - 28ON
Sat 11/30 BYU vs Houston-9.539.5W 30 - 18OY
Sat 12/28 BYU vs Colorado+3.055.5W 36 - 14UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
Utah's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Utah vs Southern Utah-37.555.5W 49 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 Utah vs Baylor-14.552.5W 23 - 12UN
Sat 9/14 Utah at Utah State-20.543.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/21 Utah at Oklahoma State-1.053.5W 22 - 19UY
Sat 9/28 Utah vs Arizona-7.547.0L 10 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/11 Utah at Arizona State-6.046.5L 19 - 27UN
Sat 10/19 Utah vs TCU-3.052.0L 7 - 13UN
Sat 10/26 Utah at Houston-4.536.0L 14 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Utah vs BYU+3.540.5L 21 - 22OY
Sat 11/16 Utah at Colorado+13.543.5L 24 - 49ON
Sat 11/23 Utah vs Iowa State+6.542.5L 28 - 31OY
Fri 11/29 Utah at UCF+9.545.5W 28 - 14UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 7, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for Utah's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU#51 (.22)45% (44)31.247% (30)3.23 (37)14843% (59)2163.73 (88)#41 (.13)41% (65)19.646% (99)37% (28)3.79 (68)371.42.1
UTAH#120 (.08)37% (125)23.638% (116)2.73 (114)13035% (119)1993.4 (111)#7 (.05)35% (4)20.737% (10)34% (6)3.13 (15)46.31.81.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU#51 (.22)45% (44)47% (30)3.23 (37)14843% (59)2163.73 (88)#41 (.13)41% (65)46% (99)37% (28)3.79 (68)371.42.1
UTAH#120 (.08)37% (125)38% (116)2.73 (114)13035% (119)1993.4 (111)#7 (.05)35% (4)37% (10)34% (6)3.13 (15)46.31.81.5



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Offense1331.22844.7%3.731.4203631482164.752%48%47%43%16%.22
UTAH Defense1220.716.835.3%3.131.5 - - - - - 48%51%37%34%20%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Defense1319.621.741.4%3.792.1 - - - - - 51%49%46%37%17%.13
UTAH Offense1223.62336.7%3.41.8173301301993.949%51%38%35%19%.08

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
BYU1328:3220.535%75%4.4371.42.14.51.2531.7
Utah1232:0616.633%45%5.446.31.81.56.41.9430.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Offense1352% (62)47% (30)31.6147.74.718 (78).2 (36)3.23 (37)75% (60)9% (44)0.99 (56)
UTAH Defense1248% (41)37% (10) - - - - .04 (25)2.53 (9)64% (22)12% (34)1.07 (105)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Defense1351% (70)46% (99) - - - - .14 (78)2.8 (36)72% (59)9% (86)0.97 (61)
UTAH Offense1249% (76)38% (116)33.6130.43.97 (131) (123)2.73 (114)66% (113)12% (117)0.88 (111)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Offense1348% (74)43% (59)15.627.3215.87.913.820 (58)11 (72).27 (60)1.7 (33)32% (83)33% (49).34 (65)7% (101)2 (96)
UTAH Defense1251% (92)34% (6) - - - - - - 12 (39).09 (15)1.6 (74)37% (4)25% (8).09 (1)8% (4)2 (59)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Defense1349% (65)37% (28) - - - - - - 20 (2).12 (21)1.5 (24)31% (83)31% (73).27 (52)8% (11)2 (49)
UTAH Offense1251% (58)35% (119)16.629.8199.46.71220 (58)17 (127).16 (106)1.7 (23)36% (127)24% (127).2 (110)7% (107)2.2 (22)

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 10.80 #28
BYU's Offense Rating: 20.40 #63
BYU's Defense Rating: 6.88 #42
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
BYU's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0
BYU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.3 #17
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #36
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #21

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
BYU: 10.80   Utah: 8.035

SP+ Ratings Matchup
BYU: 15.3   Utah: 7.7




Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 8.035 #48
Utah's Offense Rating: 10.54 #127
Utah's Defense Rating: 1.59 #8
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #25
Utah's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Utah's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7 #40
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #96
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #16

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 28
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

BYU's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
BYU 24
Utah 19


Total Points: 43

Utah Scoring
Offense: 23.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 23
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

Utah's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Utah21BYU22BYUBYU -3.5Utah40.5Over
202109/11BYU26Utah17BYUUtah -7BYU50.0Under
201908/29BYU12Utah30UtahUtah -6.5Utah49.0Under
201811/24Utah35BYU27UtahUtah -10.5BYU44.5Over
201709/09BYU13Utah19UtahUtah -4.5Utah45.5Under
201609/10Utah20BYU19UtahUtah -4.5BYU43.0Under
201512/19Utah35BYU28UtahUtah -3Utah0
201309/21BYU13Utah20UtahBYU -6.5Utah0
201209/15Utah24BYU21Utah
201109/17BYU10Utah54Utah
201011/27Utah17BYU16Utah
200911/28BYU26Utah23BYU
200811/22Utah48BYU24Utah
200711/24BYU17Utah10BYU
200611/25Utah31BYU33BYU
200511/19BYU34Utah41Utah
200411/20Utah52BYU21Utah
200311/22BYU0Utah3Utah
200111/17BYU24Utah21BYU
200011/23Utah27BYU34BYU
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Utah1352 Overs
BYU734 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 93 - 51 - 32 - 2
Road Teams9 - 115 - 32 - 23 - 1

(#28) BYU Info
Power Rating: 10.80 #28
Offense Rating: 20.40 #63
Defense Rating: 6.88 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.3 #17
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #36
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #21
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

BYU has won 8 straight
BYU has won 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 6 - 1 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

BYU Notes
(11/18) Outplayed KU but lost, Retzlaff awful, Rgame avg
(11/10) B12 refs handed BYU W. Miracle team will end
(10/28) 7.8 ppg via TO's, near top of CFB thru 8 games
(10/19) Gutty W (Ok St). Rgame great. QB meh, had 3 TOs
(10/12) Killed AZ, forced 4 TOs. Rgame/Retzlaff good
(9/28) Run Def great vs Bay. Rgame better, 5-0
(9/26) New DC Jay Hill proving he can really coach
(9/23) Blitzed K St with TOs. Rgame bad, 3.4 ypc
(9/20) QB Retzlaff has been good but TO prone
(9/20) Def has been great, esp vs pass so far (#6)

BYU Highlights
BYU has a good pass defense (#18)
BYU Secondary is very good (#124)
BYU commits very few Penalties (#6)
BYU defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)

BYU Deficiencies
BYU does not Sack the QB (#80)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUTAHBYU
OverallOver#54#23
OffenseOff#79#45
DefenseDef#38#26
Special TeamsST#27#25
PassingPass#106#36
RushingRush#91#51
Run BlockRBLK#13#51
Pass BlockPBLK#47#51
Route RunningWR Rt#70#42
TacklingTkl#113#78
Run DefenseR Def#40#17
Pass Rush DefPRush#71#61
Coverage DefCov#34#53

Rematch from Week 11
BYU 3.5 (40.5)
BYU won at Utah this year (22-21)

Previous Matchups
BYU beat Utah last year (22-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice-Eccles Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BYU | UTAH
Depth Chart: BYU | UTAH
Rosters: BYU | UTAH
(#48) Utah Info
Power Rating: 8.035 #48
Offense Rating: 10.54 #127
Defense Rating: 1.59 #8
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7 #40
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #96
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #16
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #25
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.4 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 35%
Great in Scoring Position 3.13 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Utah has lost 4 straight
Utah has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Utah Notes
(11/24) Fight w/ ISU, OG'd by 180+, pick 6, PR TD
(11/24) Only 9 1st D, 3-10 on 3rd, Rgame/Wilson bad
(11/18) Wilson better but 3 INTs, Pass D torched by Buffs
(11/13) Fr QB Rose out for season, only Wilson left
(11/10) TE Kuithe lost for season (inj vs BYU)
(10/31) QB Wilson split reps w/ So. Rose for being awful
(10/27) Off still awful, BAD L vs Houston, Run D mauled
(10/21) 3 bad L's, Avg'd 12 PPG. Def is great, Off is poor
(10/21) New OC Bajakian led awful NW Off, < 120 ypp
(10/20) OC Ludwig steps down, near last Off 2 yrs

Utah Highlights
Utah is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

Utah has a really good defense (#14)
Utah defense is really good in red zone (#41)
Utah has a good run defense (#19)
Utah has a good pass defense (#16)
Utah Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#16)
Utah Defensive Line is very good (#43)
Utah Secondary is very good (#34)

Utah Deficiencies
Utah has a bad TO Margin (#11)
Utah Can Not Run the Ball (#14)
Utah throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Utah offense is really bad (#8)
Utah Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#12)
Utah offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#45)
Utah run game is really bad (#5)
Utah pass game is really bad (#19)
Utah offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Utah gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#62)


  
BYU's OC Aaron Roderick
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jake Retzlaff21136758%289619127.9
Gerry Bohannon3475%27016.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
LJ Martin13872375.239
Jake Retzlaff10041764.229
Hinckley Ropati6836015.326
Sione I Moa2312735.524
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Roberts50803316.162
Darius Lassiter45703415.657
Keelan Marion24346114.452
Jojo Phillips10211221.157

View BYU's Full Roster
BYU's DC Jay Hill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Glasker7015424
Harrison Taggart693143
Tyler Batty577282
Tanner Wall530001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Kelly (Tr)50105131
Isaiah Glasker7015424
Blake Mangelson376231
Tyler Batty577282
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marque Collins (Tr)251018
John Nelson232135
Jakob Robinson435025

Utah's OC Mike Bajakian (Int)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Isaac Wilson12722556%151010116.7
Cameron Rising346652%555738.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Micah Bernard197100945.164
Mike Mitchell4715813.418
Dijon Stanley206603.314
Brandon Rose116606.027
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dorian Singer (Tr)53702113.240
Brant Kuithe35505614.471
Money Parks21294314.071
Dijon Stanley7166223.779

View Utah's Full Roster
Utah's DC Morgan Scalley
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lander Barton725214
Tao Johnson702004
Karene Reid546311
Smith Snowden484008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Van Fillinger438515
Karene Reid546311
Logan Fano357341
Connor O'Toole225300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Calhoun (Tr)211009
Smith Snowden484008
Van Fillinger438515