BYU at Utah - 2024 Matchup Preview
BYU logo BYU Cougars at Utah UtesUtah logo
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (10:15 PM EST)
BYU -3.5 (40.5) (-170)  Open: -4.5 | 41.5
BYU 22 - Utah: 21  (Big 12)

 
Cougars (11 - 2) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (61 - 41)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 2 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
BYU coming off BYE
UTAH coming off BYE
Our Line: BYU -5   (SP+ BYU -7.5)

Projected Score: BYU: 24 - UTAH: 19 (48)
BYU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
BYU Travel: 36 miles
Utes (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (162 - 79)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (23 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
 
BYU's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 BYU vs Southern Illinois-31
Fri 9/6 BYU at SMU+12.555.5W 18 - 15UY
Sat 9/14 BYU at Wyoming-9.540.5W 34 - 14OY
Sat 9/21 BYU vs Kansas State+7.549.5W 38 - 9UY
Sat 9/28 BYU at Baylor+3.047.0W 34 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 BYU vs Arizona-3.048.5W 41 - 19OY
Fri 10/18 BYU vs Oklahoma State-8.553.0W 38 - 35ON
Sat 10/26 BYU at UCF+2.553.5W 37 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 BYU at Utah-3.540.5W 22 - 21ON
Sat 11/16 BYU vs Kansas-3.055.5L 13 - 17UN
Sat 11/23 BYU at Arizona State+3.549.0L 23 - 28ON
Sat 11/30 BYU vs Houston-9.539.5W 30 - 18OY
Sat 12/28 BYU vs Colorado+3.055.5W 36 - 14UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
Utah's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Utah vs Southern Utah-37.555.5W 49 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 Utah vs Baylor-14.552.5W 23 - 12UN
Sat 9/14 Utah at Utah State-20.543.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/21 Utah at Oklahoma State-1.053.5W 22 - 19UY
Sat 9/28 Utah vs Arizona-7.547.0L 10 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/11 Utah at Arizona State-6.046.5L 19 - 27UN
Sat 10/19 Utah vs TCU-3.052.0L 7 - 13UN
Sat 10/26 Utah at Houston-4.536.0L 14 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Utah vs BYU+3.540.5L 21 - 22OY
Sat 11/16 Utah at Colorado+13.543.5L 24 - 49ON
Sat 11/23 Utah vs Iowa State+6.542.5L 28 - 31OY
Fri 11/29 Utah at UCF+9.545.5W 28 - 14UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 7, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for Utah's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU#120 (.08)36% (125)31.237% (126)2.97 (94)10436% (115)2053.96 (61)#88 (.21)44% (97)19.644% (75)45% (117)3.59 (50)431.61.7
UTAH#112 (.11)40% (89)23.642% (83)3.09 (72)18339% (92)1663.29 (107)#38 (.14)36% (16)20.738% (30)35% (9)3.48 (45)41.211.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UTAH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Offense1231.22835.9%3.961.6173101042053.545%54%37%36%21%.08
UTAH Defense1320.716.836.4%3.481.2 - - - - - 39%60%38%35%17%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Defense1219.621.744%3.591.7 - - - - - 49%50%44%45%15%.21
UTAH Offense1323.62340.4%3.291193481831664.260%39%42%39%14%.11

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
BYU1228:1916.829%50%5.3431.61.74.20.9229.3
Utah1334:0718.841%41%4.941.211.25.32.5229.6
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Offense1245% (101)37% (126)30104.33.515 (100).06 (115)2.97 (94)76% (49)12% (120)1.05 (42)
UTAH Defense1339% (1)38% (30) - - - - .09 (37)2.93 (39)70% (49)11% (41)1.01 (77)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Defense1249% (57)44% (75) - - - - .19 (96)3.35 (114)66% (28)8% (124)1 (70)
UTAH Offense1360% (11)42% (83)43.2182.54.219 (69).13 (82)3.09 (72)69% (100)8% (37)1 (63)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Offense1254% (30)36% (115)18.333205.46.211.217 (85)9 (40).13 (118)1.7 (45)36% (128)23% (126).13 (123)8% (127)2.2 (29)
UTAH Defense1360% (133)35% (9) - - - - - - 8 (100).18 (20)1.7 (99)38% (4)23% (4).2 (18)6% (77)2.1 (90)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Defense1250% (75)45% (117) - - - - - - 14 (21).29 (81)1.5 (44)32% (56)37% (127).56 (131)7% (39)2 (43)
UTAH Offense1339% (123)39% (92)14.525.2165.86.611.415 (96)11 (68).13 (117)1.5 (114)30% (37)28% (92).17 (113)5% (38)1.8 (121)

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 10.80 #28
BYU's Offense Rating: 20.40 #63
BYU's Defense Rating: 6.88 #42
2024 Talent Rating: 624.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
BYU's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0
BYU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.3 #17
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #36
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #21

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
BYU: 10.80   Utah: 8.035

SP+ Ratings Matchup
BYU: 15.3   Utah: 7.7




Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 8.035 #48
Utah's Offense Rating: 10.54 #127
Utah's Defense Rating: 1.59 #8
2024 Talent Rating: 690.00 #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #25
Utah's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Utah's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7 #40
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #96
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #16

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 28
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

BYU's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
BYU 24
Utah 19


Projected Total Points: 48
Utah Scoring
Offense: 23.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 23
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

Utah's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Utah21BYU22BYUBYU -3.5Utah40.5Over
202109/11BYU26Utah17BYUUtah -7BYU50.0Under
201908/29BYU12Utah30UtahUtah -6.5Utah49.0Under
201811/24Utah35BYU27UtahUtah -10.5BYU44.5Over
201709/09BYU13Utah19UtahUtah -4.5Utah45.5Under
201609/10Utah20BYU19UtahUtah -4.5BYU43.0Under
201512/19Utah35BYU28UtahUtah -3Utah0
201309/21BYU13Utah20UtahBYU -6.5Utah0
201209/15Utah24BYU21Utah
201109/17BYU10Utah54Utah
201011/27Utah17BYU16Utah
200911/28BYU26Utah23BYU
200811/22Utah48BYU24Utah
200711/24BYU17Utah10BYU
200611/25Utah31BYU33BYU
200511/19BYU34Utah41Utah
200411/20Utah52BYU21Utah
200311/22BYU0Utah3Utah
200111/17BYU24Utah21BYU
200011/23Utah27BYU34BYU
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Utah1352 Overs
BYU734 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 93 - 51 - 32 - 2
Road Teams9 - 115 - 32 - 23 - 1

(#28) BYU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.80 #28
Offense Rating: 20.40 #63
Defense Rating: 6.88 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.3 #17
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #36
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #21
Talent Rating: 624.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


BYU Notes
(11/18) Outplayed KU but lost, Retzlaff awful, Rgame avg
(11/10) B12 refs handed BYU W. Miracle team will end
(10/28) 7.8 ppg via TO's, near top of CFB thru 8 games
(10/19) Gutty W (Ok St). Rgame great. QB meh, had 3 TOs
(10/12) Killed AZ, forced 4 TOs. Rgame/Retzlaff good
(9/28) Run Def great vs Bay. Rgame better, 5-0
(9/26) New DC Jay Hill proving he can really coach
(9/23) Blitzed K St with TOs. Rgame bad, 3.4 ypc
(9/20) QB Retzlaff has been good but TO prone
(9/20) Def has been great, esp vs pass so far (#6)
BYU     Ratings Matchup     Utah
Power #28
#48
Off #63
#127
Def #42
#8
Talent #70
#59
SP+ #17
#40
SP+ Off #36
#96
SP+ Def #21
#16

Rematch from Week 11
BYU 3.5 (40.5)
BYU won at Utah this year (22-21)

Previous Matchups
BYU beat Utah last year (22-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice-Eccles Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 41°

Team Information
Injuries: BYU | UTAH
Depth Chart: BYU | UTAH
Rosters: BYU | UTAH
(#48) Utah Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.035 #48
Offense Rating: 10.54 #127
Defense Rating: 1.59 #8
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7 #40
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #96
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #16
Talent Rating: 690.00 #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #25
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.4 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 35%
Great in Scoring Position 3.13 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Utah Notes
(11/24) Fight w/ ISU, OG'd by 180+, pick 6, PR TD
(11/24) Only 9 1st D, 3-10 on 3rd, Rgame/Wilson bad
(11/18) Wilson better but 3 INTs, Pass D torched by Buffs
(11/13) Fr QB Rose out for season, only Wilson left
(11/10) TE Kuithe lost for season (inj vs BYU)
(10/31) QB Wilson split reps w/ So. Rose for being awful
(10/27) Off still awful, BAD L vs Houston, Run D mauled
(10/21) 3 bad L's, Avg'd 12 PPG. Def is great, Off is poor
(10/21) New OC Bajakian led awful NW Off, < 120 ypp
(10/20) OC Ludwig steps down, near last Off 2 yrs


  
BYU's OC Aaron Roderick
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jake Retzlaff21136758%289619127.9
Gerry Bohannon3475%27016.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
LJ Martin13872375.239
Jake Retzlaff10041764.229
Sione I Moa2312735.524
Keelan Marion219624.618
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Roberts50803316.162
Keelan Marion24346114.452
Jojo Phillips10211221.157
Parker Kingston13196115.136

View BYU's Full Roster
BYU's DC Jay Hill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Glasker7015424
Harrison Taggart693143
Tanner Wall530001
Jack Kelly (Tr)50105131
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Kelly (Tr)50105131
Isaiah Glasker7015424
Logan Lutui134132
Harrison Taggart693143
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marque Collins (Tr)251018
Isaiah Glasker7015424
Mory Bamba170004

Utah's OC Mike Bajakian (Int)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Isaac Wilson12722556%151010116.7
Brandon Rose193653%157224.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Mike Mitchell4715813.418
Dijon Stanley206603.314
Brandon Rose116606.027
Jaylon Glover126005.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dorian Singer (Tr)53702113.240
Dijon Stanley7166223.779
Daidren Zipperer8122015.346
Carsen Ryan (Tr)10113111.325

View Utah's Full Roster
Utah's DC Morgan Scalley
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lander Barton725214
Tao Johnson702004
Smith Snowden484008
Alaka'i Gilman (Tr)416111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Logan Fano357341
Lander Barton725214
Dallas Vakalahi163200
John Henry Daley41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Calhoun (Tr)211009
Smith Snowden484008
Lander Barton725214