California at Wake Forest Game Matchup
California logo California Golden Bears at Wake Forest Demon DeaconsWake Forest logo
Friday, November 8th 2024 (8:00 PM EST)
California -7.5 (54.5) (-275)  Open: -7.5 | 53.5
California 46 - Wake Forest: 36  (ACC)

 
Golden Bears (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (36 - 43)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (19 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
CAL coming off BYE
WAKE coming off BYE
Our Line: California -10   (SP+ CAL -9.5)

Projected Score: CAL: 32 - WAKE: 22 (53)
CAL Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
CAL Travel: 2301 miles, 3 hrs behind
Demon Deacons (4 - 8) (4 - 6 - 1)
Coach Dave Clawson (63 - 61)
Avg Score : 26 - 33 (27 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
 
California's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 California vs UC Davis-20.556.5W 31 - 13UN
Sat 9/7 California at Auburn+11.552.5W 21 - 14UY
Sat 9/14 California vs San Diego State-18.548.5W 31 - 10UY
Sat 9/21 California at Florida State+3.044.0L 9 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 California vs Miami+10.054.0L 38 - 39OY
Sat 10/12 California at Pittsburgh+3.557.5L 15 - 17UY
Sat 10/19 California vs NC State-9.546.0L 23 - 24ON
Sat 10/26 California vs Oregon State-13.051.0W 44 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/8 California at Wake Forest-7.554.5W 46 - 36OY
Sat 11/16 California vs Syracuse-10.558.0L 25 - 33UN
Sat 11/23 California vs Stanford-15.053.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 11/30 California at SMU+11.554.5L 6 - 38UN
Wed 12/18 California vs UNLV+3.045.0L 13 - 24UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for California's Schedule
Wake Forest's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Wake Forest vs North Carolina A&T-20.5
Sat 9/7 Wake Forest vs Virginia+1.555.5L 30 - 31OY
Sat 9/14 Wake Forest vs Ole Miss+20.565.5L 6 - 40UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Wake Forest vs Louisiana-3.059.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 10/5 Wake Forest at NC State+4.052.5W 34 - 30OY
Sat 10/12 Wake Forest vs Clemson+21.063.0L 14 - 49UN
Sat 10/19 Wake Forest at UConn-2.555.5W 23 - 20UY
Sat 10/26 Wake Forest at Stanford-3.053.0W 27 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/8 Wake Forest vs California+7.554.5L 36 - 46ON
Sat 11/16 Wake Forest at North Carolina+10.564.5L 24 - 31UY
Sat 11/23 Wake Forest at Miami+23.567.0L 14 - 42UN
Sat 11/30 Wake Forest vs Duke+3.553.5L 17 - 23UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL#61 (.21)41% (88)25.144% (59)3.39 (13)17338% (103)2184.12 (46)#87 (.21)45% (112)22.347% (103)44% (108)4.4 (118)44.82.22.2
WAKE#122 (.07)41% (76)25.742% (85)2.97 (97)13042% (65)1963.03 (124)#89 (.21)41% (49)32.540% (40)42% (74)4.25 (110)38.81.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WAKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Offense1325.119.440.5%4.122.2213911732184.550%49%44%38%18%.21
WAKE Defense1232.534.740.5%4.251.3 - - - - - 51%48%40%42%17%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Defense1322.323.845%4.42.2 - - - - - 47%52%47%44%16%.21
WAKE Offense1225.726.641.4%3.031.8203261301963.354%45%42%42%24%.07

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
California1328:4021.439%52%5.544.82.22.24.51.9131.2
Wake Forest1229:0519.934%42%4.138.81.81.35.81.9130.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Offense1350% (68)44% (59)38.2173.14.526 (30).24 (23)3.39 (13)75% (60)11% (86)1.11 (20)
WAKE Defense1251% (79)40% (40) - - - - .06 (25)3.11 (71)64% (20)11% (31)0.89 (24)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Defense1347% (32)47% (103) - - - - .14 (67)3.1 (67)73% (66)9% (98)0.98 (55)
WAKE Offense1254% (35)42% (85)39130.43.313 (108).02 (124)2.97 (97)63% (122)15% (132)0.79 (132)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Offense1349% (64)38% (103)19.833.4218.26.51122 (61)16 (121).21 (92)1.6 (49)33% (84)27% (96).33 (70)7% (97)2 (67)
WAKE Defense1248% (54)42% (74) - - - - - - 8 (100).4 (120)1.7 (113)33% (53)29% (46).4 (105)5% (102)2.3 (127)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Defense1352% (103)44% (108) - - - - - - 12 (37).3 (88)1.5 (34)27% (129)35% (121).36 (91)7% (40)1.8 (10)
WAKE Offense1245% (101)42% (65)1626.81967.312.314 (106)12 (85).19 (98)1.6 (81)31% (53)29% (77).24 (96)9% (131)1.9 (110)

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 4.77 #44
California's Offense Rating: 18.12 #85
California's Defense Rating: 6.35 #39
2024 Talent Rating: 756.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #38
California's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
California's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #55
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #65
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
California: 4.77   Wake Forest: -5.53

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: 4.0   Wake Forest: -5.7




Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: -5.53 #102
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 16.79 #98
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
2024 Talent Rating: 624.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Wake Forest's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wake Forest's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #77
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #103

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


California Scoring
Offense: 25.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.4
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

California's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
California 32
Wake Forest 22


Projected Total Points: 53
Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 25.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.6
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

Wake Forest's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/08Wake Forest36California46CaliforniaCalifornia -7.5California54.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wake Forest001 Overs
California110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#44) California Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.77 #44
Offense Rating: 18.12 #85
Defense Rating: 6.35 #39
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Talent Rating: 756.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #38
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.07 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Great in Scoring Position 3.23 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


California Notes
(12/19) QB Caminong cannot play. Period.
(12/11) Hired OC Bryan Harsin (Aub/Boise HC)
(11/25) 5 L's by avg of 3.4 ppg, lowest in CFB
(11/23) Mendoza 299, 3 TDs/Rgame awful in W vs Stan
(11/18) Def bad, 2 TOs cost vs Cuse. Rgame OK, QB bad
(11/13) QB Mend. torched Wake, Rgame bad, WTF Ott?
(10/27) QB Mend. torched Oreg St, Run D outstanding TW
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 14 Def TO's, 4th in CFB
(10/12) OG'd Pitt & D held 1-12 3rd down, 12 flags killer
(10/12) Cal has lost 3 straight heart wrenching games
California     Ratings Matchup     Wake Forest
Power #44
#102
Off #85
#98
Def #39
#115
Talent #40
#70
SP+ #55
#93
SP+ Off #65
#77
SP+ Def #40
#103

Rematch from Week 11
California 7.5 (54.5)
California won at Wake Forest this year (46-36)

Previous Matchups
California beat Wake Forest last year (46-36)

Weather Forecast
Playing in BB&T Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 66° - Wind: 10 mph


Team Information
Injuries: CAL | WAKE
Depth Chart: CAL | WAKE
Rosters: CAL | WAKE
(#102) Wake Forest Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.53 #102
Offense Rating: 16.79 #98
Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #103
Talent Rating: 624.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.2 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.12 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 53%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Wake Forest Notes
(12/16) HC Clawson stepping down after 11 years
(11/25) Off abysmal vs Miami. Def all 40+ pts per in Nov
(11/18) Run D torched by NC. 2 QBs meh, Rgame bad
(11/13) Def (pass) torched by Cal, Rgame is awful, QB OK
(10/12) Have no answers other than pray for TOs
(10/6) Def #'s are near worst in CFB. Big W @ NC St
(9/28) Even game w/ Louisiana, Bach good, Rgame good
(9/8) Bach 403 yds but bad L (UVA), Pass D awful.
(8/19) New QB Bachmeier, WR ? w/ leader gone (Neb)
(8/19) 3 OL return off great unit LY, RB mid at best


  
California's OC Mike Bloesch
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Fernando Mendoza26538669%30041667.8
CJ Harris (Tr)193161%184015.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaivian Thomas10062676.375
Jadyn Ott11638543.353
Kadarius Calloway (Tr)2612414.860
Fernando Mendoza8710521.250
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jack Endries56623211.157
Nyziah Hunter40578514.560
Trond Grizzell27401114.951
Jonathan Brady (Tr)34366310.830

View California's Full Roster
California's DC Peter Sirmon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Teddye Buchanan (Tr)10812564
Cade Uluave683152
Marcus Harris (Tr)443005
Aidan Keanaaina (Tr)433111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Teddye Buchanan (Tr)10812564
David Reese228512
Ryan McCulloch185381
Nathan Burrell295311
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcus Harris (Tr)443005
Teddye Buchanan (Tr)10812564
Cameron Sidney293113

Wake Forest's OC Warren Ruggiero
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)22435763%259316107.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Demond Claiborne2281048114.660
Tate Carney8233564.118
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)9614111.520
Ty Clark III135704.414
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Horatio Fields39463411.942
Deuce Alexander36400211.138
Donavon Greene23380316.545
Demond Claiborne23254211.044

View Wake Forest's Full Roster
Wake Forest's DC Brad Lambert
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Branson Combs (Tr)836221
Dylan Hazen786130
Davaughn Patterson744003
Quincy Bryant483020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Branson Combs (Tr)836221
Zach Lohavichan123200
Dylan Hazen786130
Aiden Hall111101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C'Darius Kelley200004
Jamare Glasker373004
Davaughn Patterson744003