California at Wake Forest - 2024 Matchup Preview
California logo California Golden Bears at Wake Forest Demon DeaconsWake Forest logo
Friday, November 8th 2024 (8:00 PM EST)
California -7.5 (54.5) (-275)  Open: -7.5 | 53.5
California 46 - Wake Forest: 36  (ACC)

 
Golden Bears (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (36 - 43)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (19 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
CAL coming off BYE
WAKE coming off BYE
Our Line: California -10   (SP+ CAL -9.5)

Projected Score: CAL: 32 - WAKE: 22 (54)
CAL Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
CAL Travel: 2301 miles, 3 hrs behind
Demon Deacons (4 - 8) (4 - 6 - 1)
Coach Dave Clawson (63 - 61)
Avg Score : 26 - 33 (27 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
 
California's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 California vs UC Davis-20.556.5W 31 - 13UN
Sat 9/7 California at Auburn+11.552.5W 21 - 14UY
Sat 9/14 California vs San Diego State-18.548.5W 31 - 10UY
Sat 9/21 California at Florida State+3.044.0L 9 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 California vs Miami+10.054.0L 38 - 39OY
Sat 10/12 California at Pittsburgh+3.557.5L 15 - 17UY
Sat 10/19 California vs NC State-9.546.0L 23 - 24ON
Sat 10/26 California vs Oregon State-13.051.0W 44 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/8 California at Wake Forest-7.554.5W 46 - 36OY
Sat 11/16 California vs Syracuse-10.558.0L 25 - 33UN
Sat 11/23 California vs Stanford-15.053.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 11/30 California at SMU+11.554.5L 6 - 38UN
Wed 12/18 California vs UNLV+3.045.0L 13 - 24UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for California's Schedule
Wake Forest's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Wake Forest vs North Carolina A&T-20.5
Sat 9/7 Wake Forest vs Virginia+1.555.5L 30 - 31OY
Sat 9/14 Wake Forest vs Ole Miss+20.565.5L 6 - 40UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Wake Forest vs Louisiana-3.059.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 10/5 Wake Forest at NC State+4.052.5W 34 - 30OY
Sat 10/12 Wake Forest vs Clemson+21.063.0L 14 - 49UN
Sat 10/19 Wake Forest at UConn-2.555.5W 23 - 20UY
Sat 10/26 Wake Forest at Stanford-3.053.0W 27 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/8 Wake Forest vs California+7.554.5L 36 - 46ON
Sat 11/16 Wake Forest at North Carolina+10.564.5L 24 - 31UY
Sat 11/23 Wake Forest at Miami+23.567.0L 14 - 42UN
Sat 11/30 Wake Forest vs Duke+3.553.5L 17 - 23UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL#79 (.17)42% (88)25.140% (104)2.68 (120)12243% (57)2593.07 (125)#48 (.14)40% (52)22.341% (53)40% (67)3.23 (20)59.70.81.7
WAKE#104 (.13)42% (81)25.743% (79)3 (79)13141% (75)2403.2 (121)#118 (.27)51% (134)32.548% (110)53% (133)4.12 (99)45.91.81.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL#79 (.17)42% (88)40% (104)2.68 (120)12243% (57)2593.07 (125)#48 (.14)40% (52)41% (53)40% (67)3.23 (20)59.70.81.7
WAKE#104 (.13)42% (81)43% (79)3 (79)13141% (75)2403.2 (121)#118 (.27)51% (134)48% (110)53% (133)4.12 (99)45.91.81.4



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Offense1325.119.441.5%3.070.8213811222593.641%58%40%43%18%.17
WAKE Defense1232.534.750.7%4.121.4 - - - - - 44%56%48%53%12%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Defense1322.323.840.4%3.231.7 - - - - - 47%53%41%40%18%.14
WAKE Offense1225.726.641.9%3.21.8223721312403.648%52%43%41%16%.13

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
California1330:3620.737%44%7.459.70.81.75.42.5229.6
Wake Forest1228:5121.839%64%5.145.91.81.44.91.7229
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Offense1341% (121)40% (104)33.7122.23.617 (84).07 (99)2.68 (120)69% (98)13% (126)1.1 (22)
WAKE Defense1244% (6)48% (110) - - - - .18 (101)3.13 (88)80% (112)8% (110)0.96 (58)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Defense1347% (28)41% (53) - - - - .08 (44)2.99 (65)86% (129)10% (72)0.91 (37)
WAKE Offense1248% (86)43% (79)36.4131.43.618 (78).05 (106)3 (79)81% (18)10% (70)0.92 (88)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Offense1358% (14)43% (57)23.235.7258.67.311.116 (87)7 (26).25 (72)1.4 (126)36% (128)30% (85).36 (58)5% (23)2.2 (23)
WAKE Defense1256% (129)53% (133) - - - - - - 11 (52).36 (116)1.3 (2)26% (130)40% (132).41 (106)4% (131)1.8 (18)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Defense1353% (103)40% (67) - - - - - - 17 (5).21 (52)1.7 (92)33% (44)30% (59).39 (102)8% (12)2.2 (111)
WAKE Offense1252% (50)41% (75)20.733.6240.17.211.617 (79)13 (103).23 (83)1.5 (115)31% (63)28% (102).15 (125)7% (93)1.9 (103)

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 4.77 #44
California's Offense Rating: 18.12 #85
California's Defense Rating: 6.35 #39
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #38
California's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
California's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #55
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #65
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
California: 4.77   Wake Forest: -5.53

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: 4.0   Wake Forest: -5.7




Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: -5.53 #102
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 16.79 #98
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Wake Forest's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wake Forest's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #77
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #103

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


California Scoring
Offense: 25.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.4
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

California's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
California 32
Wake Forest 22


Total Points: 54

Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 25.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.6
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

Wake Forest's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/08Wake Forest36California46CaliforniaCalifornia -7.5California54.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wake Forest001 Overs
California110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#44) California Info
Power Rating: 4.77 #44
Offense Rating: 18.12 #85
Defense Rating: 6.35 #39
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #38
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.07 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Great in Scoring Position 3.23 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

California has won 1 straight
California has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 3 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

California Notes
(12/19) QB Caminong cannot play. Period.
(12/11) Hired OC Bryan Harsin (Aub/Boise HC)
(11/25) 5 L's by avg of 3.4 ppg, lowest in CFB
(11/23) Mendoza 299, 3 TDs/Rgame awful in W vs Stan
(11/18) Def bad, 2 TOs cost vs Cuse. Rgame OK, QB bad
(11/13) QB Mend. torched Wake, Rgame bad, WTF Ott?
(10/27) QB Mend. torched Oreg St, Run D outstanding TW
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 14 Def TO's, 4th in CFB
(10/12) OG'd Pitt & D held 1-12 3rd down, 12 flags killer
(10/12) Cal has lost 3 straight heart wrenching games

California Highlights
California Defense Sacks the QB a lot

California defense is really good in red zone (#41)
California Secondary is very good (#17)
California has a great TO Margin (#28)
California defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

California Deficiencies
California Commits a Lot of Penalties (#95)
California Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#76)
California offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#90)
California run game is really bad (#93)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatWAKECAL
OverallOver#45#49
OffenseOff#56#75
DefenseDef#49#25
Special TeamsST#45#12
PassingPass#46#46
RushingRush#88#77
Run BlockRBLK#19#92
Pass BlockPBLK#37#77
Route RunningWR Rt#51#36
TacklingTkl#22#25
Run DefenseR Def#43#35
Pass Rush DefPRush#94#40
Coverage DefCov#44#36

Rematch from Week 11
California 7.5 (54.5)
California won at Wake Forest this year (46-36)

Previous Matchups
California beat Wake Forest last year (46-36)

Weather Forecast
Playing in BB&T Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CAL | WAKE
Depth Chart: CAL | WAKE
Rosters: CAL | WAKE
(#102) Wake Forest Info
Power Rating: -5.53 #102
Offense Rating: 16.79 #98
Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #103
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.2 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.12 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 53%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Wake Forest has won 2 straight
Wake Forest has lost 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 6 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

Wake Forest Notes
(12/16) HC Clawson stepping down after 11 years
(11/25) Off abysmal vs Miami. Def all 40+ pts per in Nov
(11/18) Run D torched by NC. 2 QBs meh, Rgame bad
(11/13) Def (pass) torched by Cal, Rgame is awful, QB OK
(10/12) Have no answers other than pray for TOs
(10/6) Def #'s are near worst in CFB. Big W @ NC St
(9/28) Even game w/ Louisiana, Bach good, Rgame good
(9/8) Bach 403 yds but bad L (UVA), Pass D awful.
(8/19) New QB Bachmeier, WR ? w/ leader gone (Neb)
(8/19) 3 OL return off great unit LY, RB mid at best

Wake Forest Highlights
Wake Forest defense does not give up big plays (#85)
Wake Forest commits very few Penalties (#85)

Wake Forest Deficiencies
Wake Forest has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Wake Forest throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
Wake Forest offense is not Explosive (#9)
Wake Forest offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#116)
Wake Forest Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Wake Forest Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Wake Forest has a bad defense (#20)


  
California's OC Mike Bloesch
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Fernando Mendoza26538669%30041667.8
CJ Harris (Tr)193161%184015.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaivian Thomas10062676.375
Jadyn Ott11638543.353
Kadarius Calloway (Tr)2612414.860
Fernando Mendoza8710521.250
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jack Endries56623211.157
Nyziah Hunter40578514.560
Trond Grizzell27401114.951
Jonathan Brady (Tr)34366310.830

View California's Full Roster
California's DC Peter Sirmon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Teddye Buchanan (Tr)10812564
Craig Woodson703017
Cade Uluave683152
Nohl Williams511018
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Carlton4711981
Teddye Buchanan (Tr)10812564
David Reese228512
Ryan McCulloch185381
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nohl Williams511018
Craig Woodson703017
Lu-Magia Hearns III120005

Wake Forest's OC Warren Ruggiero
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)22435763%259316107.3
Michael Kern244553%288136.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Demond Claiborne2281048114.660
Tate Carney8233564.118
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)9614111.520
Ty Clark III135704.414
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Taylor Morin64756211.851
Horatio Fields39463411.942
Deuce Alexander36400211.138
Donavon Greene23380316.545

View Wake Forest's Full Roster
Wake Forest's DC Brad Lambert
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nick Andersen1221011
Branson Combs (Tr)836221
Dylan Hazen786130
Davaughn Patterson744003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jasheen Davis3111650
Kevin Pointer337481
Bryce Ganious265370
Branson Combs (Tr)836221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C'Darius Kelley200004
Jamare Glasker373004
Davaughn Patterson744003