Wake Forest at UConn - 2024 Matchup Preview
Wake Forest logo Wake Forest Demon Deacons at UConn HuskiesUConn logo
Saturday, October 19th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Wake Forest -2.5 (55.5) (-130)  Open: -3.5
Wake Forest 23 - UConn: 20

 
Demon Deacons (4 - 8) (4 - 6 - 1)
Coach Dave Clawson (63 - 61)
Avg Score : 26 - 33 (24 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 0)
CONN coming off BYE
WAKE is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UConn -9   (SP+ CONN -7)

Projected Score: WAKE: 23 - CONN: 32 (56)
WAKE Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
WAKE Travel: 565 miles
Huskies (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Jim L. Mora (9 - 16)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (37 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
 
Wake Forest's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Wake Forest vs North Carolina A&T-20.5
Sat 9/7 Wake Forest vs Virginia+1.555.5L 30 - 31OY
Sat 9/14 Wake Forest vs Ole Miss+20.565.5L 6 - 40UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Wake Forest vs Louisiana-3.059.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 10/5 Wake Forest at NC State+4.052.5W 34 - 30OY
Sat 10/12 Wake Forest vs Clemson+21.063.0L 14 - 49UN
Sat 10/19 Wake Forest at UConn-2.555.5W 23 - 20UY
Sat 10/26 Wake Forest at Stanford-3.053.0W 27 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/8 Wake Forest vs California+7.554.5L 36 - 46ON
Sat 11/16 Wake Forest at North Carolina+10.564.5L 24 - 31UY
Sat 11/23 Wake Forest at Miami+23.567.0L 14 - 42UN
Sat 11/30 Wake Forest vs Duke+3.553.5L 17 - 23UN

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 7, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule
UConn's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 UConn at Maryland+19.045.5L 7 - 50ON
Sat 9/7 UConn vs Merrimack-14.544.5W 63 - 17OY
Sat 9/14 UConn at Duke+17.546.5L 21 - 26OY
Sat 9/21 UConn vs Florida Atlantic-1.046.0W 48 - 14OY
Sat 9/28 UConn vs Buffalo-6.044.5W 47 - 3OY
Sat 10/5 UConn vs Temple-17.549.0W 29 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 UConn vs Wake Forest+2.555.5L 20 - 23UN
Sat 10/26 UConn vs Rice-6.547.0W 17 - 10UY
Fri 11/1 UConn vs Georgia State-7.048.0W 34 - 27ON
Sat 11/9 UConn at UAB-7.554.0W 31 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 UConn at Syracuse+10.053.0L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/30 UConn at Massachusetts-9.549.5W 47 - 42ON
Sat 12/28 UConn vs North Carolina+2.053.5W 27 - 14UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UConn's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WAKE#122 (.07)41% (76)25.742% (85)2.97 (97)13042% (65)1963.03 (124)#89 (.21)41% (49)32.540% (40)42% (74)4.25 (110)38.81.81.3
CONN#111 (.11)40% (96)31.943% (68)2.76 (120)13737% (108)1903.29 (106)#99 (.23)47% (124)23.145% (89)49% (133)3.88 (75)53.81.41.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WAKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CONN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WAKE Offense1225.724.441.4%3.031.8203261301963.354%45%42%42%24%.07
CONN Defense1223.116.346.6%3.881.1 - - - - - 51%49%45%49%16%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WAKE Defense1232.529.440.5%4.251.3 - - - - - 51%48%40%42%17%.21
CONN Offense1231.936.939.8%3.291.4183271371904.251%48%43%37%16%.11

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wake Forest1229:0519.934%42%4.138.81.81.35.81.9130.7
UConn1231:1518.135%38%6.153.81.41.15.71.3127.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WAKE Offense1254% (35)42% (85)39130.43.313 (108).02 (124)2.97 (97)63% (122)15% (132)0.79 (132)
CONN Defense1251% (77)45% (89) - - - - .11 (48)2.9 (34)79% (103)11% (45)0.98 (59)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WAKE Defense1251% (79)40% (40) - - - - .06 (25)3.11 (71)64% (20)11% (31)0.89 (24)
CONN Offense1251% (54)43% (68)32.8136.64.215 (100).01 (125)2.76 (120)77% (41)11% (93)0.9 (112)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WAKE Offense1245% (101)42% (65)1626.81967.312.314 (106)12 (85).19 (98)1.6 (81)31% (53)29% (77).24 (96)9% (131)1.9 (110)
CONN Defense1249% (61)49% (133) - - - - - - 6 (120).4 (118)1.4 (17)30% (113)33% (112).35 (86)5% (110)1.8 (8)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WAKE Defense1248% (54)42% (74) - - - - - - 8 (100).4 (120)1.7 (113)33% (53)29% (46).4 (105)5% (102)2.3 (127)
CONN Offense1248% (79)37% (108)18.331.8190.3610.412 (113)7 (21).25 (78)1.6 (51)35% (112)28% (90).23 (98)5% (33)1.8 (122)

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: -10.36 #102
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 16.79 #98
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
2024 Talent Rating: 624.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Wake Forest's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wake Forest's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #77
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #103

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: -10.36   UConn: 1.025

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: -5.7   UConn: 1.5




UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: 1.025 #80
UConn's Offense Rating: 17.51 #89
UConn's Defense Rating: 6.05 #36
2024 Talent Rating: 468.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
UConn's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
UConn's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.5 #67
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #70
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #60

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 714
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 25.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.4
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.4

Wake Forest's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UConn 32
Wake Forest 23


Projected Total Points: 56
UConn Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.9
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.3

UConn's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19UConn20Wake Forest23Wake ForestWake Forest -2.5Wake Forest55.5Under
200712/29Wake Forest24UConn10Wake Forest
200609/16UConn13Wake Forest24Wake Forest
200311/15Wake Forest17UConn51UConn
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UConn100 Overs
Wake Forest311 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 30 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams3 - 11 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#102) Wake Forest Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.36 #102
Offense Rating: 16.79 #98
Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #103
Talent Rating: 624.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.2 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.12 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 53%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Wake Forest Notes
(12/16) HC Clawson stepping down after 11 years
(11/25) Off abysmal vs Miami. Def all 40+ pts per in Nov
(11/18) Run D torched by NC. 2 QBs meh, Rgame bad
(11/13) Def (pass) torched by Cal, Rgame is awful, QB OK
(10/12) Have no answers other than pray for TOs
(10/6) Def #'s are near worst in CFB. Big W @ NC St
(9/28) Even game w/ Louisiana, Bach good, Rgame good
(9/8) Bach 403 yds but bad L (UVA), Pass D awful.
(8/19) New QB Bachmeier, WR ? w/ leader gone (Neb)
(8/19) 3 OL return off great unit LY, RB mid at best
Wake Forest     Ratings Matchup     UConn
Power #102
#80
Off #98
#89
Def #115
#36
Talent #70
#107
SP+ #93
#67
SP+ Off #77
#70
SP+ Def #103
#60

Rematch from Week 8
Wake Forest 2.5 (55.5)
Wake Forest won at UConn this year (23-20)

Previous Matchups
Wake Forest beat UConn last year (23-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rentschler Field
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 65°

Team Information
Injuries: WAKE | CONN
Depth Chart: WAKE | CONN
Rosters: WAKE | CONN
(#80) UConn Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.025 #80
Offense Rating: 17.51 #89
Defense Rating: 6.05 #36
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.5 #67
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #70
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #60
Talent Rating: 468.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.09 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.36 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


UConn Notes
(11/3) Rgame 272, 6.5 ypc in W (Ga St). Bowl eligible
(10/28) Sched light, but Def in top 20 in most categories
(10/28) Final 3 games on road, but could win 3/4 for 8 W's
(10/18) QB Fagnano or Evers, doesn't really matter
(10/4) Off lights out, Rgame nearly 250 ypg. Who's QB?
(8/11) Won't leave home weeks 4 - 10
(8/3) Mora grabbed a lot of P5 talent via portal
(7/30) Should improve from 3 W's LY, fringe bowl?
(7/30) QB Fagano back (inj). Add Ewers (bust @ OU/Wisc)
(7/30) Portals really good from bigger schools, good WR


  
Wake Forest's OC Warren Ruggiero
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)22435763%259316107.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Demond Claiborne2281048114.660
Tate Carney8233564.118
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)9614111.520
Ty Clark III135704.414
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Horatio Fields39463411.942
Deuce Alexander36400211.138
Donavon Greene23380316.545
Demond Claiborne23254211.044

View Wake Forest's Full Roster
Wake Forest's DC Brad Lambert
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Branson Combs (Tr)836221
Dylan Hazen786130
Davaughn Patterson744003
Quincy Bryant483020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Branson Combs (Tr)836221
Zach Lohavichan123200
Dylan Hazen786130
Aiden Hall111101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C'Darius Kelley200004
Jamare Glasker373004
Davaughn Patterson744003

UConn's OC Gordon Sammis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nick Evers (Tr)9718054%918555.1
Tucker McDonald3560%20004.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Edwards14683085.771
Durell Robinson (Tr)10773186.868
Jayden Brown9857825.952
Nick Evers (Tr)8024533.123
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Skyler Bell (Tr)50860517.270
TJ Sheffield (Tr)5450539.458
Jasaiah Gathings (Tr)3230739.626
Louis Hansen2423649.855

View UConn's Full Roster
UConn's DC Matt Brock
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden McDonald (Tr)12510483
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Rante Jones562032
D'Mon Brinson484004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Jayden McDonald (Tr)12510483
Pryce Yates217451
Langston Hardy447430
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Cam Chadwick471016
D'Mon Brinson484004