Stanford Cardinal at California Golden Bears
Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
California -15 (53.5) (-600) Open: -13.0
California 24 - Stanford: 21 (ACC)
Cardinal (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Troy Taylor (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (21 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Troy Taylor (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (21 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
CAL 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: California -13 (SP+ CAL -12)
Projected Score: STAN: 20 - CAL: 33 (54)
CAL Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
STAN Travel: 31 miles
Our Line: California -13 (SP+ CAL -12)
Projected Score: STAN: 20 - CAL: 33 (54)
CAL Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
STAN Travel: 31 miles
Golden Bears (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (36 - 43)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Justin Wilcox (36 - 43)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
| Stanford's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/30 | Stanford vs TCU | +8.0 | 58.5 | L 27 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Stanford vs Cal Poly | -33.5 | 59.5 | W 41 - 7 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 9/20 | Stanford at Syracuse | +9.5 | 56.5 | W 26 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Stanford at Clemson | +24.0 | 58.0 | L 14 - 40 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Stanford vs Virginia Tech | +9.5 | 50.0 | L 7 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Stanford at Notre Dame | +22.5 | 45.5 | L 7 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Stanford vs SMU | +16.5 | 52.5 | L 10 - 40 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Stanford vs Wake Forest | +3.0 | 53.0 | L 24 - 27 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Stanford at NC State | +10.0 | 46.5 | L 28 - 59 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Stanford vs Louisville | +21.0 | 57.5 | W 38 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Stanford at California | +15.0 | 53.5 | L 21 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Fri 11/29 | Stanford at San José State | +2.5 | 54.5 | L 31 - 34 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Stanford's Schedule
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
| California's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | California vs UC Davis | -20.5 | 56.5 | W 31 - 13 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | California at Auburn | +11.5 | 52.5 | W 21 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | California vs San Diego State | -18.5 | 48.5 | W 31 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | California at Florida State | +3.0 | 44.0 | L 9 - 14 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | California vs Miami | +10.0 | 54.0 | L 38 - 39 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | California at Pittsburgh | +3.5 | 57.5 | L 15 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | California vs NC State | -9.5 | 46.0 | L 23 - 24 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | California vs Oregon State | -13.0 | 51.0 | W 44 - 7 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/8 | California at Wake Forest | -7.5 | 54.5 | W 46 - 36 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | California vs Syracuse | -10.5 | 58.0 | L 25 - 33 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | California vs Stanford | -15.0 | 53.5 | W 24 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | California at SMU | +11.5 | 54.5 | L 6 - 38 | U | N | |
| Wed 12/18 | California vs UNLV | +3.0 | 45.0 | L 13 - 24 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for California's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STAN | #114 (.1) | 40% (101) | 22.8 | 41% (95) | 2.72 (116) | 134 | 39% (98) | 191 | 3.67 (92) | #120 (.27) | 47% (119) | 33.7 | 45% (92) | 48% (124) | 4.53 (124) | 49 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| CAL | #79 (.17) | 42% (88) | 25.1 | 40% (104) | 2.68 (120) | 122 | 43% (57) | 259 | 3.07 (125) | #48 (.14) | 40% (52) | 22.3 | 41% (53) | 40% (67) | 3.23 (20) | 59.7 | 0.8 | 1.7 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STAN | #114 (.1) | 40% (101) | 41% (95) | 2.72 (116) | 134 | 39% (98) | 191 | 3.67 (92) | #120 (.27) | 47% (119) | 45% (92) | 48% (124) | 4.53 (124) | 49 | 1.8 | 1.3 | ||
| CAL | #79 (.17) | 42% (88) | 40% (104) | 2.68 (120) | 122 | 43% (57) | 259 | 3.07 (125) | #48 (.14) | 40% (52) | 41% (53) | 40% (67) | 3.23 (20) | 59.7 | 0.8 | 1.7 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STAN Offense | 12 | 22.8 | 21.2 | 40.1% | 3.67 | 1.8 | 19 | 325 | 134 | 191 | 3.7 | 50% | 50% | 41% | 39% | 22% | .1 |
| CAL Defense | 13 | 22.3 | 21 | 40.4% | 3.23 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 53% | 41% | 40% | 18% | .14 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STAN Defense | 12 | 33.7 | 38.3 | 46.6% | 4.53 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 43% | 57% | 45% | 48% | 14% | .27 |
| CAL Offense | 13 | 25.1 | 30.9 | 41.5% | 3.07 | 0.8 | 21 | 381 | 122 | 259 | 3.6 | 41% | 58% | 40% | 43% | 18% | .17 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford | 12 | 31:41 | 18.5 | 35% | 56% | 5.4 | 49 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 28.5 |
| California | 13 | 30:36 | 20.7 | 37% | 44% | 7.4 | 59.7 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 5.4 | 2.5 | 2 | 29.6 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STAN Offense | 12 | 50% (71) | 41% (95) | 36.3 | 133.8 | 3.7 | 11 (116) | .08 (97) | 2.72 (116) | 66% (111) | 15% (131) | 1.01 (52) |
| CAL Defense | 13 | 47% (28) | 41% (53) | - | - | - | - | .08 (44) | 2.99 (65) | 86% (129) | 10% (72) | 0.91 (37) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STAN Defense | 12 | 43% (4) | 45% (92) | - | - | - | - | .11 (62) | 2.92 (53) | 68% (39) | 10% (58) | 0.99 (70) |
| CAL Offense | 13 | 41% (121) | 40% (104) | 33.7 | 122.2 | 3.6 | 17 (84) | .07 (99) | 2.68 (120) | 69% (98) | 13% (126) | 1.1 (22) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STAN Offense | 12 | 50% (64) | 39% (98) | 18.7 | 30.8 | 191.3 | 6.2 | 10.3 | 18 (68) | 17 (127) | .13 (111) | 1.5 (120) | 32% (82) | 26% (116) | .22 (106) | 7% (102) | 2.1 (29) |
| CAL Defense | 13 | 53% (103) | 40% (67) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 17 (5) | .21 (52) | 1.7 (92) | 33% (44) | 30% (59) | .39 (102) | 8% (12) | 2.2 (111) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STAN Defense | 12 | 57% (131) | 48% (124) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (76) | .4 (125) | 1.6 (69) | 30% (96) | 34% (113) | .33 (85) | 4% (129) | 2 (51) |
| CAL Offense | 13 | 58% (14) | 43% (57) | 23.2 | 35.7 | 258.6 | 7.3 | 11.1 | 16 (87) | 7 (26) | .25 (72) | 1.4 (126) | 36% (128) | 30% (85) | .36 (58) | 5% (23) | 2.2 (23) |
Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -4.38 #79
Stanford's Offense Rating: 18.63 #80
Stanford's Defense Rating: 15.49 #112
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #35
Stanford's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Stanford's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Stanford's Power Rating: -4.38 #79
Stanford's Offense Rating: 18.63 #80
Stanford's Defense Rating: 15.49 #112
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #35
Stanford's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Stanford's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -4.38 California: 6.885
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -8.2 California: 4.0
Stanford: -4.38 California: 6.885
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -8.2 California: 4.0
California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 6.885 #44
California's Offense Rating: 18.12 #85
California's Defense Rating: 6.35 #39
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
California's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
California's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #55
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #65
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
California's Power Rating: 6.885 #44
California's Offense Rating: 18.12 #85
California's Defense Rating: 6.35 #39
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
California's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
California's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #55
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #65
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Stanford Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.2
Defense: 33.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.3
Stanford's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.2
Defense: 33.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.3
Stanford's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
California 33
Stanford 20
Total Points: 54
California 33
Stanford 20
Total Points: 54
California Scoring
Offense: 25.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21
California's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Offense: 25.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21
California's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/23 | California | 24 | Stanford | 21 | California | California -15 | Stanford | 53.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/18 | Stanford | 15 | California | 27 | California | California -6.5 | California | 52.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/19 | California | 27 | Stanford | 20 | California | California -5 | California | 46.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 11/20 | Stanford | 11 | California | 41 | California | California -2.5 | California | 46.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 11/27 | California | 23 | Stanford | 24 | Stanford | Stanford -2 | California | 51.0 | Under |
| 2019 | 11/23 | Stanford | 20 | California | 24 | California | California -1 | California | 41.5 | Over |
| 2018 | 12/01 | California | 13 | Stanford | 23 | Stanford | Stanford -3 | Stanford | 46.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/18 | Stanford | 17 | California | 14 | Stanford | Stanford -14 | California | 56.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/19 | California | 31 | Stanford | 45 | Stanford | Stanford -11 | Stanford | 60.5 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/21 | Stanford | 35 | California | 22 | Stanford | Stanford -12.5 | Stanford | 63.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/22 | California | 17 | Stanford | 38 | Stanford | Stanford -6.5 | Stanford | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/23 | Stanford | 63 | California | 13 | Stanford | Stanford -28.5 | Stanford | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/20 | California | 3 | Stanford | 21 | Stanford | ||||
| 2011 | 11/19 | Stanford | 31 | California | 28 | Stanford | ||||
| 2010 | 11/20 | California | 14 | Stanford | 48 | Stanford | ||||
| 2009 | 11/21 | Stanford | 28 | California | 34 | California | ||||
| 2008 | 11/22 | California | 37 | Stanford | 16 | California | ||||
| 2007 | 12/01 | Stanford | 20 | California | 13 | Stanford | ||||
| 2006 | 12/02 | California | 26 | Stanford | 17 | California | ||||
| 2005 | 11/19 | Stanford | 3 | California | 27 | California | ||||
| 2004 | 11/20 | California | 41 | Stanford | 6 | California | ||||
| 2003 | 11/22 | Stanford | 16 | California | 28 | California | ||||
| 2001 | 11/17 | Stanford | 35 | California | 28 | Stanford | ||||
| 2000 | 11/17 | California | 30 | Stanford | 36 | Stanford |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| California | 11 | 6 | 4 Overs |
| Stanford | 13 | 6 | 6 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 11 - 13 | 4 - 8 | 3 - 2 | 1 - 6 |
| Road Teams | 13 - 11 | 8 - 4 | 6 - 1 | 2 - 3 |
(#79) Stanford Info
Power Rating: -4.38 #79
Offense Rating: 18.63 #80
Defense Rating: 15.49 #112
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #35
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.67 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.53 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Stanford has won 1 straight
Stanford has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Stanford Notes
(11/29) Taylor 6-18 in 2 years, but is Stan serious?
(11/23) Daniels awful vs Cal, Rgame bad. Rough L
(11/18) At this pt why is 4 star QB Brown not playing?
(11/18) QB Daniels torched L'ville, Rgame awful, D held on
(11/18) Mosley V emerging top WR. 13/168/3 TD vs L'ville
(10/21) QB Daniels inj in SMU game, looks out for Wake
(10/20) Lost 11 straight at home vs FBS into Wake game
(10/12) 3 straight routs, Off v limited, Def wilts eventually
(9/23) QB Daniels limited but mobile QB. Rgame better?
(8/31) Def looked improved vs TCU, opportunistic
Stanford Highlights
Stanford Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#79)
Stanford Deficiencies
Stanford has a bad TO Margin (#82)
Stanford throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
Stanford offense is really bad (#118)
Stanford Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#64)
Stanford offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Stanford Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Stanford has a bad defense (#92)
Stanford gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#22)
Stanford has a bad red zone defense (#39)
Power Rating: -4.38 #79
Offense Rating: 18.63 #80
Defense Rating: 15.49 #112
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #35
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.67 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.53 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Stanford has won 1 straight
Stanford has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Stanford Notes
(11/29) Taylor 6-18 in 2 years, but is Stan serious?
(11/23) Daniels awful vs Cal, Rgame bad. Rough L
(11/18) At this pt why is 4 star QB Brown not playing?
(11/18) QB Daniels torched L'ville, Rgame awful, D held on
(11/18) Mosley V emerging top WR. 13/168/3 TD vs L'ville
(10/21) QB Daniels inj in SMU game, looks out for Wake
(10/20) Lost 11 straight at home vs FBS into Wake game
(10/12) 3 straight routs, Off v limited, Def wilts eventually
(9/23) QB Daniels limited but mobile QB. Rgame better?
(8/31) Def looked improved vs TCU, opportunistic
Stanford Highlights
Stanford Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#79)
Stanford Deficiencies
Stanford has a bad TO Margin (#82)
Stanford throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
Stanford offense is really bad (#118)
Stanford Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#64)
Stanford offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Stanford Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Stanford has a bad defense (#92)
Stanford gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#22)
Stanford has a bad red zone defense (#39)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | CAL | STAN |
| OverallOver | #49 | #80 |
| OffenseOff | #75 | #97 |
| DefenseDef | #25 | #86 |
| Special TeamsST | #12 | #6 |
| PassingPass | #46 | #96 |
| RushingRush | #77 | #95 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #92 | #84 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #77 | #80 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #36 | #77 |
| TacklingTkl | #25 | #84 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #35 | #75 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #40 | #48 |
| Coverage DefCov | #36 | #95 |
Rematch from Week 13
California -15.0 (53.5)
California won vs Stanford this year (24-21)
Previous Matchups
California beat Stanford last year (24-21)
California beat Stanford in 2023 (27-15)
California beat Stanford in 2022 (27-20)
Weather Forecast
Playing in California Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: STAN | CAL
Depth Chart: STAN | CAL
Rosters: STAN | CAL
(#44) California Info
Power Rating: 6.885 #44
Offense Rating: 18.12 #85
Defense Rating: 6.35 #39
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.07 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Great in Scoring Position 3.23 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
California has lost 1 straight
California has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
California Notes
(12/19) QB Caminong cannot play. Period.
(12/11) Hired OC Bryan Harsin (Aub/Boise HC)
(11/25) 5 L's by avg of 3.4 ppg, lowest in CFB
(11/23) Mendoza 299, 3 TDs/Rgame awful in W vs Stan
(11/18) Def bad, 2 TOs cost vs Cuse. Rgame OK, QB bad
(11/13) QB Mend. torched Wake, Rgame bad, WTF Ott?
(10/27) QB Mend. torched Oreg St, Run D outstanding TW
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 14 Def TO's, 4th in CFB
(10/12) OG'd Pitt & D held 1-12 3rd down, 12 flags killer
(10/12) Cal has lost 3 straight heart wrenching games
California Highlights
California Defense Sacks the QB a lot
California defense is really good in red zone (#41)
California Secondary is very good (#17)
California has a great TO Margin (#28)
California defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
California Deficiencies
California Commits a Lot of Penalties (#95)
California Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#76)
California offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#90)
California run game is really bad (#93)
Power Rating: 6.885 #44
Offense Rating: 18.12 #85
Defense Rating: 6.35 #39
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.07 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Great in Scoring Position 3.23 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
California has lost 1 straight
California has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
California Notes
(12/19) QB Caminong cannot play. Period.
(12/11) Hired OC Bryan Harsin (Aub/Boise HC)
(11/25) 5 L's by avg of 3.4 ppg, lowest in CFB
(11/23) Mendoza 299, 3 TDs/Rgame awful in W vs Stan
(11/18) Def bad, 2 TOs cost vs Cuse. Rgame OK, QB bad
(11/13) QB Mend. torched Wake, Rgame bad, WTF Ott?
(10/27) QB Mend. torched Oreg St, Run D outstanding TW
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 14 Def TO's, 4th in CFB
(10/12) OG'd Pitt & D held 1-12 3rd down, 12 flags killer
(10/12) Cal has lost 3 straight heart wrenching games
California Highlights
California Defense Sacks the QB a lot
California defense is really good in red zone (#41)
California Secondary is very good (#17)
California has a great TO Margin (#28)
California defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
California Deficiencies
California Commits a Lot of Penalties (#95)
California Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#76)
California offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#90)
California run game is really bad (#93)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Daniels | 170 | 271 | 63% | 1700 | 10 | 12 | 6.3 |
| Elijah Brown | 28 | 48 | 58% | 274 | 2 | 3 | 5.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Daniels | 148 | 669 | 3 | 4.5 | 67 |
| Micah Ford | 76 | 309 | 0 | 4.1 | 26 |
| Chris Davis Jr. | 54 | 288 | 0 | 5.3 | 47 |
| Cole Tabb | 27 | 130 | 0 | 4.8 | 39 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elic Ayomanor | 63 | 831 | 6 | 13.2 | 60 |
| Emmett Mosley V | 48 | 525 | 6 | 10.9 | 62 |
| Sam Roush | 40 | 334 | 2 | 8.4 | 28 |
| Ismael Cisse | 26 | 241 | 2 | 9.3 | 25 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaethan Bernadel | 86 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Scotty Edwards | 80 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Tristan Sinclair | 77 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Mitch Leigber | 54 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bailey | 31 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| Tevarua Tafiti | 41 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Tobin Phillips | 16 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Zach Buckey | 11 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Wright | 45 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Aaron Morris | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Zahran Manley | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Mendoza | 265 | 386 | 69% | 3004 | 16 | 6 | 7.8 |
| CJ Harris (Tr) | 19 | 31 | 61% | 184 | 0 | 1 | 5.9 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaivian Thomas | 100 | 626 | 7 | 6.3 | 75 |
| Jadyn Ott | 116 | 385 | 4 | 3.3 | 53 |
| Kadarius Calloway (Tr) | 26 | 124 | 1 | 4.8 | 60 |
| Fernando Mendoza | 87 | 105 | 2 | 1.2 | 50 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Endries | 56 | 623 | 2 | 11.1 | 57 |
| Nyziah Hunter | 40 | 578 | 5 | 14.5 | 60 |
| Trond Grizzell | 27 | 401 | 1 | 14.9 | 51 |
| Jonathan Brady (Tr) | 34 | 366 | 3 | 10.8 | 30 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddye Buchanan (Tr) | 108 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| Craig Woodson | 70 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| Cade Uluave | 68 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| Nohl Williams | 51 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Carlton | 47 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 1 |
| Teddye Buchanan (Tr) | 108 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| David Reese | 22 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Ryan McCulloch | 18 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nohl Williams | 51 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| Craig Woodson | 70 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| Lu-Magia Hearns III | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |