Stanford at California - 2024 Matchup Preview
Stanford logo Stanford Cardinal at California Golden BearsCalifornia logo
Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
California -15 (53.5) (-600)  Open: -13.0
California 24 - Stanford: 21  (ACC)

 
Cardinal (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Troy Taylor (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (21 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
CAL 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: California -13   (SP+ CAL -12)

Projected Score: STAN: 20 - CAL: 33 (52)
CAL Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
STAN Travel: 31 miles
Golden Bears (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (36 - 43)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Stanford's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Stanford vs TCU+8.058.5L 27 - 34OY
Sat 9/7 Stanford vs Cal Poly-33.559.5W 41 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/20 Stanford at Syracuse+9.556.5W 26 - 24UY
Sat 9/28 Stanford at Clemson+24.058.0L 14 - 40UN
Sat 10/5 Stanford vs Virginia Tech+9.550.0L 7 - 31UN
Sat 10/12 Stanford at Notre Dame+22.545.5L 7 - 49ON
Sat 10/19 Stanford vs SMU+16.552.5L 10 - 40UN
Sat 10/26 Stanford vs Wake Forest+3.053.0L 24 - 27UY
Sat 11/2 Stanford at NC State+10.046.5L 28 - 59ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Stanford vs Louisville+21.057.5W 38 - 35OY
Sat 11/23 Stanford at California+15.053.5L 21 - 24UY
Fri 11/29 Stanford at San José State+2.554.5L 31 - 34ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule
California's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 California vs UC Davis-20.556.5W 31 - 13UN
Sat 9/7 California at Auburn+11.552.5W 21 - 14UY
Sat 9/14 California vs San Diego State-18.548.5W 31 - 10UY
Sat 9/21 California at Florida State+3.044.0L 9 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 California vs Miami+10.054.0L 38 - 39OY
Sat 10/12 California at Pittsburgh+3.557.5L 15 - 17UY
Sat 10/19 California vs NC State-9.546.0L 23 - 24ON
Sat 10/26 California vs Oregon State-13.051.0W 44 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/8 California at Wake Forest-7.554.5W 46 - 36OY
Sat 11/16 California vs Syracuse-10.558.0L 25 - 33UN
Sat 11/23 California vs Stanford-15.053.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 11/30 California at SMU+11.554.5L 6 - 38UN
Wed 12/18 California vs UNLV+3.045.0L 13 - 24UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for California's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STAN#114 (.1)38% (114)22.841% (95)2.61 (130)11936% (114)2333.4 (101)#133 (.35)51% (133)33.756% (133)48% (129)5.22 (133)59.11.21
CAL#61 (.21)41% (88)25.144% (59)3.39 (13)17338% (103)2184.12 (46)#87 (.21)45% (112)22.347% (103)44% (108)4.4 (118)44.82.22.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STAN Offense1222.821.237.6%3.41.2203521192333.442%57%41%36%21%.1
CAL Defense1322.32145%4.42.2 - - - - - 47%52%47%44%16%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STAN Defense1233.738.351.4%5.221 - - - - - 45%55%56%48%11%.35
CAL Offense1325.130.940.5%4.122.2213911732184.550%49%44%38%18%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Stanford1231:1619.536%33%6.359.11.214.31.9027.2
California1328:4021.439%52%5.544.82.22.24.51.9131.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STAN Offense1242% (114)41% (95)34.5118.83.415 (100).06 (114)2.61 (130)71% (90)13% (122)0.99 (74)
CAL Defense1347% (32)47% (103) - - - - .14 (67)3.1 (67)73% (66)9% (98)0.98 (55)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STAN Defense1245% (13)56% (133) - - - - .25 (120)3.45 (124)76% (87)7% (129)0.9 (25)
CAL Offense1350% (68)44% (59)38.2173.14.526 (30).24 (23)3.39 (13)75% (60)11% (86)1.11 (20)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STAN Offense1257% (17)36% (114)19.435.62336.61211 (117)10 (56).16 (106)1.5 (84)36% (120)29% (77).28 (87)8% (126)2 (71)
CAL Defense1352% (103)44% (108) - - - - - - 12 (37).3 (88)1.5 (34)27% (129)35% (121).36 (91)7% (40)1.8 (10)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STAN Defense1255% (124)48% (129) - - - - - - 8 (100).45 (130)1.7 (89)29% (125)41% (133).66 (133)4% (130)2.1 (93)
CAL Offense1349% (64)38% (103)19.833.4218.26.51122 (61)16 (121).21 (92)1.6 (49)33% (84)27% (96).33 (70)7% (97)2 (67)

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -4.38 #79
Stanford's Offense Rating: 18.63 #80
Stanford's Defense Rating: 15.49 #112
2024 Talent Rating: 798.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #35
Stanford's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Stanford's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -4.38   California: 6.885

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -8.2   California: 4.0




California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 6.885 #44
California's Offense Rating: 18.12 #85
California's Defense Rating: 6.35 #39
2024 Talent Rating: 756.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
California's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
California's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #55
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #65
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Stanford Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.2
Defense: 33.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.3

Stanford's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
California 33
Stanford 20


Projected Total Points: 52
California Scoring
Offense: 25.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

California's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23California24Stanford21CaliforniaCalifornia -15Stanford53.5Under
202311/18Stanford15California27CaliforniaCalifornia -6.5California52.5Under
202211/19California27Stanford20CaliforniaCalifornia -5California46.0Over
202111/20Stanford11California41CaliforniaCalifornia -2.5California46.0Over
202011/27California23Stanford24StanfordStanford -2California51.0Under
201911/23Stanford20California24CaliforniaCalifornia -1California41.5Over
201812/01California13Stanford23StanfordStanford -3Stanford46.5Under
201711/18Stanford17California14StanfordStanford -14California56.5Under
201611/19California31Stanford45StanfordStanford -11Stanford60.5Over
201511/21Stanford35California22StanfordStanford -12.5Stanford63.0Under
201411/22California17Stanford38StanfordStanford -6.5Stanford0
201311/23Stanford63California13StanfordStanford -28.5Stanford0
201210/20California3Stanford21Stanford
201111/19Stanford31California28Stanford
201011/20California14Stanford48Stanford
200911/21Stanford28California34California
200811/22California37Stanford16California
200712/01Stanford20California13Stanford
200612/02California26Stanford17California
200511/19Stanford3California27California
200411/20California41Stanford6California
200311/22Stanford16California28California
200111/17Stanford35California28Stanford
200011/17California30Stanford36Stanford
TeamWinsCoversO/U
California1164 Overs
Stanford1366 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 134 - 83 - 21 - 6
Road Teams13 - 118 - 46 - 12 - 3

(#79) Stanford Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.38 #79
Offense Rating: 18.63 #80
Defense Rating: 15.49 #112
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112
Talent Rating: 798.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #35
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.67 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.53 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Stanford Notes
(11/29) Taylor 6-18 in 2 years, but is Stan serious?
(11/23) Daniels awful vs Cal, Rgame bad. Rough L
(11/18) At this pt why is 4 star QB Brown not playing?
(11/18) QB Daniels torched L'ville, Rgame awful, D held on
(11/18) Mosley V emerging top WR. 13/168/3 TD vs L'ville
(10/21) QB Daniels inj in SMU game, looks out for Wake
(10/20) Lost 11 straight at home vs FBS into Wake game
(10/12) 3 straight routs, Off v limited, Def wilts eventually
(9/23) QB Daniels limited but mobile QB. Rgame better?
(8/31) Def looked improved vs TCU, opportunistic
Stanford     Ratings Matchup     California
Power #79
#44
Off #80
#85
Def #112
#39
Talent #30
#40
SP+ #101
#55
SP+ Off #90
#65
SP+ Def #112
#40

Rematch from Week 13
California -15.0 (53.5)
California won vs Stanford this year (24-21)

Previous Matchups
California beat Stanford last year (24-21)
California beat Stanford in 2023 (27-15)
California beat Stanford in 2022 (27-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in California Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 61° - Wind: 11 mph


Team Information
Injuries: STAN | CAL
Depth Chart: STAN | CAL
Rosters: STAN | CAL
(#44) California Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.885 #44
Offense Rating: 18.12 #85
Defense Rating: 6.35 #39
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Talent Rating: 756.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.07 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Great in Scoring Position 3.23 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


California Notes
(12/19) QB Caminong cannot play. Period.
(12/11) Hired OC Bryan Harsin (Aub/Boise HC)
(11/25) 5 L's by avg of 3.4 ppg, lowest in CFB
(11/23) Mendoza 299, 3 TDs/Rgame awful in W vs Stan
(11/18) Def bad, 2 TOs cost vs Cuse. Rgame OK, QB bad
(11/13) QB Mend. torched Wake, Rgame bad, WTF Ott?
(10/27) QB Mend. torched Oreg St, Run D outstanding TW
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 14 Def TO's, 4th in CFB
(10/12) OG'd Pitt & D held 1-12 3rd down, 12 flags killer
(10/12) Cal has lost 3 straight heart wrenching games


  
Stanford's OC Troy Taylor
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ashton Daniels17027163%170010126.3
Elijah Brown284858%274235.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ashton Daniels14866934.567
Micah Ford7630904.126
Chris Davis Jr.5428805.347
Cole Tabb2713004.839
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Emmett Mosley V48525610.962
Sam Roush4033428.428
Ismael Cisse2624129.325
Sedrick Irvin5107021.451

View Stanford's Full Roster
Stanford's DC Bobby April
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Scotty Edwards802002
Mitch Leigber544011
Collin Wright453005
Tevarua Tafiti417430
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Bailey318680
Tevarua Tafiti417430
Zach Buckey116301
Jshawn Frausto-Ramos222200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Collin Wright453005
Aaron Morris320004
Scotty Edwards802002

California's OC Mike Bloesch
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Fernando Mendoza26538669%30041667.8
CJ Harris (Tr)193161%184015.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaivian Thomas10062676.375
Jadyn Ott11638543.353
Kadarius Calloway (Tr)2612414.860
Fernando Mendoza8710521.250
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jack Endries56623211.157
Nyziah Hunter40578514.560
Trond Grizzell27401114.951
Jonathan Brady (Tr)34366310.830

View California's Full Roster
California's DC Peter Sirmon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Teddye Buchanan (Tr)10812564
Cade Uluave683152
Marcus Harris (Tr)443005
Aidan Keanaaina (Tr)433111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Teddye Buchanan (Tr)10812564
David Reese228512
Ryan McCulloch185381
Nathan Burrell295311
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcus Harris (Tr)443005
Teddye Buchanan (Tr)10812564
Cameron Sidney293113